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Minnesota Twins

Fantasy MLB Stacks: MLB Winning Edge for August 19

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s nine-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks. All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you stay up to date with all our favorite plays on our DFS Cheat Sheet as well.

Teams with Highest IRT

Fantasy MLB Stack: Houston Astros**

vs. RHP Edwin Jackson (DET): 7.50 Runs

**Low Risk

Edwin Jackson has disappointed a lot of people his last few starts. He has actually fared well against struggling teams like the Red Sox and Mariners. Today is a whole different story though. Jackson has the displeasure of taking on the most talented team in MLB, the Houston Astros. The Astros are on fire right now, slashing to a .378 wOBA, .272 ISO, and 143 WRC+ against righties. Jackson maintains his 8.00+ ERA, is allowing a massive 3.40 HR/9, and has a BABIP of .331. The cards are obviously stacked against him tonight and although he has had some decent performances, I highly doubt he will have one against this Astros squad. Eat the chalk, play the Astros.

Fantasy MLB Stack: Los Angeles Angels

vs. LHP Kolby Allard (TEX): 5.80 Runs

**Moderate Risk

The Angels come in with the second highest run total today and a get a major boost at Globe Life Park. We are looking at 101 degrees first pitch. The Angel’s have struggled mightily this month, slashing to a .211 wOBA, .130 ISO, and 28 WRC+. These are awful hitting numbers are I have hard time getting here for a full stack even with a ball park boost and LHP on the mound. I do like a few pieces here. Allard has looked decent in his first two starts away from Arlington, striking out 5 or more and allowing 3 runs or less in 5 innings pitched. Texas will presumably roll out five righties against Peters, I do like the Rangers as well.

Preferred Stack: Mike Trout ($4900 FD|$5600 DK), Albert Pujols ($2900 FD|$3800 DK), Justin Upton ($3500 FD|$4500 DK), and David Fletcher ($3000 FD|$3900 DK).

Fantasy MLB Stack: Baltimore Orioles**

vs. RHP Jorge Lopez (KCR): 5.50 Runs

**High Risk

The Twins actually have the slight edge over the Orioles for implied run total but I like the O’s today for less ownership. The Orioles are hitting the best they have all season in the last two weeks, slashing to a .332 wOBA, .235 ISO, and .321 WRC+. Their offensive struggles outweigh the good days but when they are making good contact the runs seem to pour in. Jorge Lopez owns a 6.51 ERA, 5.44 FIP, and 4.64 SIERA. He is allowing 1.89 HR/9 and .321 BABIP. Not sure if I’ll get to a full stack here but I do like a few pieces.

Other Teams I Have Interest in

Fantasy MLB Stack: Minnesota Twins**

vs. RHP Ivan Nova (CHW): 5.60 Runs

**Low Risk

Fantasy Team Stack: Cincinnati Reds**

vs. LHP Eric Lauer (SDP): 5.10 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Plays: Phillip Ervin ($2500 FD|$3800 DK), Aristides Aquino ($4500 FD|$5000 DK), Eugenio Suarez ($3800 FD|$4600 DK).

Fantasy Team Stack: Kansas City Royals

vs. LHP John Means (BAL): 4.75 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Plays: Jorge Soler ($3600 FD|$5500 DK), Chelsor Cuthbert ($2500 FD|$3500 DK), Hunter Dozier ($3800 FD|$5400 DK), and Whit Merrifield ($3200 FD|$5100 DK).

Pitching

Kyle Gibson RHP (MIN): 3.80
Marco Gonzales LHP (SEA): 3.50 Runs
Wade Miley LHP (HOU): 2.60 Runs
Zac Gallen RHP (ARI): 3.90 Runs

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

The MLB DFS Hitting Picks Of Destiny For August 17

5 years ago

written by

This Saturday August 17th slate is all about landing the right bats. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the MLB DFS Picks of Destiny.

Check out our Data Driven Projections for FanDuel Hitters for Premium Gold Members.

Todays picks are listed in order of preference, not price.

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel this week! Read about it here!

Catcher: Wellington Castillo ($2,600 FD) gets to hit against lefty Jose Suarez tonight in L.A. Castillo has two homers in 59 at bats vs southpaws and hits .220 ISO/ .322 wOBA. He should be batting fifth vs. a pitcher I am not afraid to target. Suarez has a 6.57 ERA and has given up four homers in his last eight innings. We are going to need some extra MLB DFS salary to pay up for bats tonight and Castillo provides the relief.

Catcher: Dom Nunez ($3,000 FD) it’s a long shot but if Nunez plays you can roster him. Hitting in Coors vs. my top pitcher to target against, Hector Noesi (7.11 ERA). Nunez has played in only one MLB game this season, but he homered. In 213 ABs he did it 14 times in the minors.

Honorable Mention: Mitch Garver/Jason Castro

First Base: Albert Pujols ($3,300 FD) Tonight we target the Hectors in MLB DFS. Hector Santiago was used to coming out of the bullpen and only pitching an inning or two. Last start the White Sox tried to stretch him out and he got lit up for four earned runs in 4.2 innings. He has a 7.11 ERA and 1.89 WHIP. The Angels may sneak under the radar tonight. Pujols tends to come alive on weekends, especially at home. So far this season Pujols has nine homers vs. lefties and hits .248 ISO/ .343 wOBA.

First Base: C.J. Cron ($3,200 FD) faces yet another home run prone pitcher in Ariel Jurado in a very hot Globe Life Park. Cron has been cold lately but he has the power and it just takes one swing. The Twins are in a great spot tonight and Cron will have the opportunity to help clear the bases. He has 10 home runs on the season vs righties and I think he makes it 11 by this time tomorrow. He is hitting .188 ISO/.288 wOBA.

Honorable Mentions: Jose Abreu, Daniel Murphy

Second Base: Ryan Goins ($2,400 FD) also gets to face Jose Suarez tonight (6.57 ERA). Goins has two homers in 28 ABs against lefties with a .286 ISO/ .470 wOBA. He is cheap, will be low owned and Suarez is vulnerable. Sounds like a good MLB DFS combination to me.

Second Base Value: Scooter Gennett ($2,500 FD) This is a salary saver play. Gennett looks to be getting comfortable at the plate again. He is batting fifth on a Giants team that should bomb Taylor Clarke (5.46 ERA) who almost has given up a homer in every game he has pitched in this year, sometimes more.

Honorable mentions: Luis Arraez, Ryan McMahon

Third Base Base: Nolan Arenado ($4,500 FD) Play the Rockies today. They are going to destroy Hector Noesi at home. In a small sample size Noesi has a 8.18 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. He has good strikeout stuff but that’s fine. He is going to give up plenty of runs to erase that, then we get the Marlins BP. Arenado has 19 homers vs righties and hits .235 ISO/. 367 wOBA.

Third Base: Matt Thaiss ($2,600) This is another value play vs a pitcher I want to target in Hector Santiago. Thaiss hasn’t done much lately, which has helped suppress his price all the way down to $2,600 on FanDuel. In his 11 ABs vs lefties he has one homer and hits .273 ISO/.393 wOBA. Thaiss will have an even better chance to hit whatever righty pitcher comes in after Santiago has had enough.. He has an additional four home runs on righty pitching since mid July.

Short Stop: Trevor Story ($4,500 FD) is my top shortstop, although I also like the two below. He has 21 homers on the season and has the nuts matchup vs Noesi. Don’t overthink this one.

Short Stop: Evan Longoria ($3,200 FD) and the Giants are hot right now. Longo has 11 home runs with a .207 ISO/.325 wOBA on the season. In his last seven games he is hitting .423/.692. He goes against Taylor Clarke in Arizona tonight.

Shortstop Value: David Fletcher ($3,000 FD) His numbers on the season are average but he can thrive in the leadoff spot. In the last seven days he is batting .423/.654 SLG. He has nine hits in his last four games and gets Hector Santiago.

Outfield: Mike Trout ($4,900 FD) What do I need to say? It’s Mike Trout vs Hector Santiago. If you have the salary use him. Trout has eight homers vs lefties this year and hits .304 ISO/.436 wOBA. If the White Sox aren’t too scared to pitch to him he should hit one, or two, out.

Outfield: Charlie Blackmon ($4,700) I was dreaming about the Rockies vs. Hector Noesi last night. The matchup is perfect, and in Coors?! How do you not play them? Blackmon bats lead and has at least one hit in 13 of his last 15 games. If you are just looking at FanDuel boxscores people may get scared of playing him because he hasn’t hit a homer since August 8th and has been burning people for about a week. Don’t let the price tag scare you off. Blackmon should be in store for a multi-hit night and should be worth the price. We need the back end of the Rockies lineup to get on base so Blackmon gets his RBI. That should not be an issue vs the Marlins pitching.

Outfield: Alex Dickerson ($3,200 FD) LOL at $3,200 for Dickerson tonight vs Clarke. He can absolutely crush the ball and no one ever plays him in MLB DFS. He has six homers on his shortened season vs righties and hits .313 ISO/ .450 wOBA. He didn’t get his homer last night but he will tonight. LOCK.

Honorable Mentions: Eddie Rosario, Kole Calhoun, Mike Yastrzemski, Kevin Pillar, Max Kepler

Rockies, Giants, Twins and Angels are all in GREAT spots. If you like a bat off one of those teams and they are not mentioned above you can still play them. I tried to narrow down my plays here.

I primary used FanDuel when building optimal MLB DFS lineups.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Team Stacks: Winning Edge for August 17

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s nine-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

Teams with Highest IRT

MLB DFS Team Stack: Colorado Rockies

vs. RHP Hector Noesi (MIA): 7.80 Runs

**Low Risk

I hope all of you considered my advice yesterday when I said to fade Coors. Three runs from the Rockies isn’t a good fantasy output but that brings us to today. I am all over the Rockies. They face Hector Noesi, who has struggled with his splits his entire career. He has only pitched 11 innings this season, but owns a 8.18 ERA, 7.58 FIP, and 5.29 SIERA. He struggles where we need him to, allowing right handed batters to slash to a .387 wOBA, .640 SLG, and .321 OBP. Limited sample, but even in years past Noesi has always struggled to righties. The Rockies are slashing to a .338 wOBA, .196 ISO and 92 WRC+, just above their season averages. I will have a nice chunk of exposure to the Rockies tonight.

MLB DFS Team Stack: Boston Red Sox

vs. RHP Asher Wojciechowski (BAL): 7.00 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Last night I faded Coors for Boston and it worked out pretty well. Today I will be doing the exact opposite and will be fading Boston. I’m not saying they aren’t in a good spot, cause it is the Orioles and their bullpen is awful as we all know. I’m not inclined to attack Wojcie with his respectable 27.5% K rate, although he has struggled in recent outings. My hope is the Coors letdown yesterday will drive ownership down and people will gravitate to this game instead. The Red Sox are hovering right around their season averages, slashing to a .349 wOBA, .217 ISO, and 113 WRC+ for the month of August.

Preferred Plays: Xander Bogaerts ($4200 FD|$5100 DK), Rafael Devers ($4400 FD|$5600 DK), and Mookie Betts ($4100 FD|$5200 DK), and Andrew Benintendi ($3700 FD|$4500 DK)

MLB DFS Team Stack: Minnesota Twins**

vs. RHP Ariel Jurado (TEX): 6.50 Runs

**Low Risk

Did somebody say two Coors Fields in one slate? I am all over the Twins tonight. An excellent hitting park, a bad pitcher, and one of the best hitting teams in the league that are slashing to a .349 wOBA, .230 ISO, and 114 WRC+ for the month of August. Ariel Jurado is one of, if not the worst pitcher on tonight’s slate. Jurado owns a 5.31 ERA, 4.80 FIP, and 4.96 SIERA. He has a 44% GB rate coupled with a .314 BABIP. Jurado also has the lowest K rate on the slate at 17% and he is facing the fourth best team in MLB in terms of strikeout percentage. It’s a hot one in Texas today, folks. Load up on the MIN bats.

Other Teams I Have Interest in

MLB DFS Team Stack: San Francisco Giants**

vs. RHP Taylor Clarke (ARI): 4.85 Runs

**Moderate Risk

DFS Team Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers**

vs. RHP Mike Foltynewicz (ATL): 5.50 Runs

**Low Risk

Pitching

Jacob deGrom RHP (NYM): 3.20 Runs
German Marquez RHP (COL): 4.50 Runs
Dinelson Lamet RHP (SDP): 4.75 Runs

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

Fantasy Stacks for MLB: Winning Edge for August 4

Wesley Passinault 5 years ago

written by Wesley Passinault

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s nine-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 10-11 AM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

Fantasy Stack: Minnesota Twins

vs. RHP Brad Keller (KCR): 6.30 Runs

**Low Risk

The Twins have been on fire this entire series and I’m not going to let off the gas before it’s over. The Twins continue to smash the competition, slashing to a massive .271 ISO, .366 wOBA, and 126 WRC+. Brad Keller has been somewhat decent this season, owning a 4.01 ERA, 4.46 FIP, and 5.19 SIERA. Keller is a ground ball pitcher with an impressive .270 BABIP and an extremely low fly ball rate. Despite his success this year I just don’t see him out performing this extremely talented and powerful Twins lineup.

Preferred Stack: Max Kepler ($4400 FD|$5300 DK), Nelson Cruz ($4500 FD|$5600 DK), Jorge Polanco ($4500 FD|$5600 DK), and Eddie Rosario ($3700 FD|$4500 DK).

Fantasy Stack: Houston Astros

vs. LHP Tommy Milone (SEA): UPDATE

**Low Risk

The Astros are another team that has been on fire in their series. Seattle has rolled out three sub par left handed pitchers and have payed the price for it in the form of Houston power righties. Houston is slashing to a massive .340 ISO, .402 wOBA, and 160 WRC+. These are incredible hitting numbers, some of the best I’ve seen all season. Tommy Milone has the pleasure of taking on this hot Astros squad and owns a 4.39 ERA, 4.97 FIP, and 4.08 SIERA. He is allowing 1.92 HR/9 and a 45% fly ball rate. Stack the Astros with confidence.

Preferred Stack: Jose Altuve ($4300 FD|$5100 DK), Alex Bregman ($3900 FD|$4800 DK), George Springer ($4400 FD|$5400 DK), and Yuli Gurriel ($3200 FD|$4500 DK).

Honorable Mention

Fantasy Stack: New York Mets

vs. RHP Joe Musgrove (PIT): 4.70 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Stack: Jeff McNeil ($4000 FD|$4400 DK), Michael Conforto ($4400 FD|$5300 DK), Pete Alonso ($4200 FD|$4600 DK), Robinson Cano ($3800 FD|$4300 DK).

Fantasy Stack: Toronto Blue Jays

vs. RHP Tom Eshelman (BAL): 5.90 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Stack: Vlad Guerrero Jr. ($3900 FD|$4900 DK), Bo Bichette ($3500 FD|$4300 DK), Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($3500 FD|$5000 DK) and Justin Smoak ($3300 FD|$4300 DK).

Pitching

Yonny Chirinos RHP (TAM): 3.65 Runs
Sonny Gray RHP (CIN): 4.50 Runs
Justin Verlander RHP (HOU): UPDATE

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB Team Stacks: Winning Edge for August 3

rdbtone@gmail.com 5 years ago

written by rdbtone@gmail.com

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s 13-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

MLB Team Stack: Los Angeles Angels

vs. RHP Adam Plutko (CLE): UPDATE

The Angels are in Cleveland tonight facing Adam Plutko. Plutko owns a 4.83 ERA, 6.80 FIP, and 5.35 SIERA. He has a measly 14.5% K rate and struggles with the long ball, allowing 2.50 HR/9 and a 48% fly ball rate. Plutko has struggled against righties, particularly at home. They are slashing to a .371 wOBA, .625 SLG, and .294 OBP. Plutko has shown inconsistency overall so I won’t be afraid to roll out these powerful Angels lefties. The Angels are slashing to a .316 wOBA, .210 ISO, and 100 WRC+ over the last month against right handed pitching.

Preferred Stack: Mike Trout ($4800 FD|$5700 DK), Shohei Ohtani ($3800 FD|$5100 DK), Kole Calhoun ($3300 FD|$4700 DK), and Matthew Thaiss ($2500 FD|$4100 DK).

MLB Team Stack: Minnesota Twins

vs. LHP Danny Duffy: 6.25 Runs

**Low Risk

The Twins were the top stack on the slate as I stated yesterday. They take on an underwhelming Danny Duffy. Duffy owns a 4.42 ERA, 4.73 FIP, and 4.85 SIERA. He hasn’t thrown a lot to lefties, but has struggled in the 24 innings he has. He is allowing them to slash to a .357 wOBA, .457 SLG, and .367 OBP. The Twins are slashing to a .357 wOBA, .223 ISO, and 122 WRC+ over the last month.

Preferred Stack: Nelson Cruz ($4400 FD|$5200 DK), Mitch Garver ($3500 FD|$5500 DK), Miguel Sano ($3800 FD|$4800 DK), and Jonathon Schoop ($2700 FD|$3700 DK).

MLB Team Stack: Philidelphia Phillies

vs. LHP Ross Detwiler (CWS): 6.00

**Low Risk

Ross Detwiler is on the mound tonight for the White Sox. He owns a 6.35 ERA, 6.84 FIP, and 4.39 SIERA over 22 innings pitched. He has a slate low 11.7% K rate and is allowing 2.78 HR/9 innings (inflated stat due to small sample size). Detwiler absolutely gets smashed by right handed batting, allowing them to slash to a .480 wOBA, .726 SLG, and .440 OBP. He has allowed 11 earned runs and six home runs against righties across 15 innings pitched.

Preferred Stack: Rhys Hoskins ($4200 FD|$4600 DK), J.T. Realmuto ($3700 FD|$4500 DK), Jean Segura ($3600 FD|$4300 DK), and Scott Kingery ($3300 FD|$4400 DK).

Honorable Mention

MLB Team Stack: Houston Astros

vs. LHP Marco Gonzales (SEA): 6.30 Runs

**Low Risk

MLB Team Stack: Atlanta Braves

vs. RHP Trevor Bauer (CIN): 4.70 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Stack: Freddie Freeman ($4100 FD|$4900 DK), Brian McCann ($2400 FD|$3700 DK), Josh Donaldson ($3600 FD|$4400 DK) and Ozzie Albies ($3600 FD|$4200 DK).

Pitching

Matthew Boyd LHP (DET): 4.70 Runs
Walker Buehler RHP (LAD): UPDATE
Kyle Gibson RHP (MIN): 3.60 Runs
Jon Gray RHP (COL): 5.50 Runs

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS Team Stacks for MLB: Winning Edge for August 2

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s eight game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

DFS Team Stack: Minnesota Twins

vs. RHP Glenn Sparkman: 7.00 Runs

**Low Risk

This Twins lineup is the clear cut top stack on the slate. They are facing Glenn Sparkman, who is by no means a good pitcher. The odds are heavily against him, owning a slate low 12.8% K rate. He is only inducing a 7% swinging strike rate as well. Sparkman is giving up a slate high 84.9% contact rate and 2.04 HR/9 innings. He owns a 5.25 ERA, 5.94 FIP, and 5.44 SIERA. Sparkman is getting absolutely blasted on the road, allowing batters to slash to a .441 wOBA, .674 SLG, and .401 OBP over 33 innings pitched. Glenn Sparkman has allowed 32 earned runs in those 33 innings. The Twins are slashing to a .357 wOBA, .223 ISO, and 122 WRC+ over the last month.

*I want to emphasize the importance of getting a lot of exposure across the board here. Just about every player in this Twins lineup grades out very well today.

DFS Team Stack: Houston Astros

vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi (SEA): 6.45 Runs

**Low Risk

Another expensive stack here, but this Astros squad is in a great spot at home. Yusei Kikuchi is on the mound and owns a 5.21 ERA, 5.61 FIP, and 5.16 SIERA. He has a lowly 16.6% K rate and 8.9% swinging strike rate. Kikuchi is giving up 1.89 HR/9 innings and a 45% ground ball rate. His splits are fairly close, allowing batters to slash to a .354 wOBA, .340 OBP, and .510 SLG. The Astros are back to full health and the bats are hot. They are slashing to a .368 wOBA, .214 ISO, and .136 WRC+ over the last month.

Preferred Stack: Jose Altuve ($4300 FD|$5000 DK), Alex Bregman ($3800 FD|$4600 DK), George Springer ($4400 FD|$5300 DK), and Carlos Correa ($3900 FD|$4600 DK).

DFS Team Stack: Colorado Rockies

vs. RHP Shaun Anderson (SFG): 7.70

**Moderate Risk

The Rockies are back home and we all know what happened the last time they faced the Giants. These teams played a four game series against each other back in mid-July and combined for a whopping 55 runs. Shaun Anderson takes the mound, owning a 5.06 ERA, 4.67 FIP, and 5.16 SIERA. Anderson has not been good to righties on the road this season, allowing them to slash to a .416 wOBA, .587 SLG, and .416 OBP. He has allowed 19 earned runs in 21 innings on the road against them. The Rockies are slashing to a .309 wOBA, .149 ISO, and 74 WRC+ right now. These numbers aren’t good but I think this is a nice spot for a slump buster at home.

Honorable Mention

DFS Team Stack: Arizona Diamondbacks

vs. RHP Joe Ross (WSH): 5.20 Runs

**Moderate Risk

DFS Team Stack: Cleveland Indians

vs.LHP Dillon Peters (LAA: 6.00 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Stack: Carlos Santana ($3800 FD|$4600 DK), Jordan Luplow ($2500 FD|$4400 DK), Oscar Mercado ($3600 FD|$4700 DK) and Francisco Lindor ($4100 FD|$5200 DK).

DFS Team Stack: Texas Rangers

**Moderate Risk

Pitching

Dustin May RHP (LAD): 3.50 Runs
Lance Lynn RHP (TEX) : 3.50 Runs
Robbie Ray LHP (ARI): 4.00 Run

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

The MLB DFS Hitting Picks Of Destiny For July 28

Daniel Wehr 5 years ago

written by Daniel Wehr

This Sunday July 28th slate is all about landing the right bats. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the MLB DFS Picks of Destiny.

MLB DFS Bats: Houston Astros and Home Run Hunting

Position Rankings and Values

Check out our Data Driven Projections for FanDuel Hitters for Premium Gold Members.

Catcher: Travis D’Arnaud ($3,200 FD; $4,300 DK) Travis is batting cleanup vs Aaron Sanchez and his 6.06 ERA. Sanchez gives up multiple run games on the regular. In June he gave up at least FOUR runs in EVERY SINGLE ONE of his starts. To say he is struggling would be an understatement. D’Arnaud is batting .316/.409 OBP/.684 SLG in July and is locked in. I feel comfortable with him continuing his dominant month, especially at $3,200.

Catcher Value: Ryan Lavarnway ($2,400 FD; $4,000 DK) I am just hoping he starts. He is batting a ridiculous .667 ISO/ .628 wOBA (small sample size) vs right handed pitching this season with two home runs in only 12 AB’s. He faces Peter Lambert (5.93 ERA, 1.46 WHIP) who has never once pitched in a MLB game without giving up a run. Lambert is actually averaging over a hit per inning. Yes, half of his starts are at Coors Field’s poor pitching environment however he is still getting hit on the road. Lavarnway is your value Red, and yes I do like as a stack. How could you not vs Lambert?

First Base Stud: Paul Goldschmidt ($4,100 FD; $4,400 DK) I like the pitching matchups better for the Gurriel and Abreu (listed below) but Goldy is HOT. Last night he tied the franchise record home run streak. He will no doubt be trying to break it, in his first year as a Cardinal, today. The last sevens days he is batting .338/.385 OBP/.958 SLG with six home runs.

First Base Value Jose Abreu ($3,500 FD; $4,000 DK) is pretty much boom or bust. I see myself paying up at the position but if I am forced to pay down a bit I would play Abreu. He is batting .328 ISO/ .328 wOBA and if he (or Moncada) aren’t hitting than the White Sox don’t have a chance. Opposing pitcher Kyle Gibson is decent, and may even be someone to consider rostering because the overall lack of depth of the Chicago White Sox and his price ($7,200), but he does have a 4.24 ERA and he has given up a home run in every game in July except one. If anyone on the White Sox is going to do it, it’s Abreu or Moncada.

First Base Honorable Mention: Yuli Gurriel ($3,700 FD, $4,500 DK) I expect Astros to put up runs today (See Altuve below) and trying to pick out which of the studs go off on a daily basis is difficult. I would be happy to play him in my Houston stacks.

Second Base: Jose Altuve ($4,100 FD; $4,500 DK) I expect the Houston Astros to tee off on Dakota Hudson. Hudson has given up seven homers in his last six starts and now gets the lethal Astros. I love the Astros stack and if they are scoring, Altuve is contributing. Altuve is batting .349/.379 OBP/.614 SLB in July with a .231 ISO on the season.

Second Base Value: Aledmys Diaz ($2,800 FD) Batting .219 ISO/ .338 wOBA with the Houston platoon advantage. Batting seventh, it helps that I like every single Astro in front of him to help load the bases and beat up on the pitcher.

Shortstop Stud Jorge Polanco ($3,700 FD; $4,900 DK) is batting .242 ISO/.405 wOBA on the season. Last night the Twins got shut down but this lineup is too talented to let that happen twin in a row. Dylan Covey (R) is on the mound, and while I do respect Covey’s strike out ability he carries a 6.04 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP. Once the Twins get going, they usually don’t stop. I will go back to their big bats today.

Short Stop Value Carlos Correa ($3,600 FD; $4,300 DK) is back, is hitting (finally) and is priced too low for his skill set. The Astros are going to score vs Dakota Hudson (see Jose Altuve Above) and Correa is batting fifth behind Spinger, Altuve, Bregman, Alvarez with Gurriel hitting behind him. That is going to be a MAJOR issue for Hudson. Correa has a safe floor and upside. I expect him to be priced close to $4,000 in a couple weeks. He is batting .273/.355 OPB/.503 SLG in July.

Third Base Base: Eugenio Suarez ($3,700 FD; $5,300 DK) may have my vote for July MVP. He has 11 home runs and since the beginning of the month and is batting .421 in the last seven days. I believe in hot streaks. I also believe in hitting home runs off of Peter Lambert (see Lavarnway above). Eugenio is my HR lock of the day.

Third Base Value: Tommy Edeman ($2,900 FD; $4,100 DK) is batting lead vs lefty Wade Miley (3.81 ERA). I don’t necessarily love targeting Miley, as he has been much better this year, but the Cardinals prices are making it easier for me to give it a shot. He has a .200 ISO/.303 wOBA vs lefties with one home run in 29 AB’s. At $2,900 I will be happy with double digit fantasy points which a run, RBI and double can do. I believe he hits value but would much rather pay up for Suarez.

Outfield Stud: Nelson Cruz ($4,400 FD; $5,800 DK) put up only three points last night. It hurt. So now what do we do? Should we fade him because we don’t want our hearts broken again? Nope. He is still slugging a ridiculous .414/.484 OBP/.1.241 SLG/1.726 OPS in the last seven days. The opposing arm Dylan Covey does have some strike out capability, sure, but he is not elite. Nelson Cruz is a seasoned vet and can homer off anyone, and I like him to make a hater out of the faders today.

Outfield MidRange: Tommy Pham ($3,800 FD; $4,400 DK) is on a five game hitting streak, batting second and facing Aaron Sanchez. I mentioned earlier (with D’Arnaud) just how prone Sanchez is to giving up runs. Pham can contribute in every scoring category in MLB DFS which is what we want. He hits, steals, scores and of course and get RBI’s. Pham is batting .204 ISO/. 352 wOBA on the season.

Outfield Value: Jose Martinez ($2,600 FD; $3,700 DK) is just as capable of taking Wade Miley deep today as Paul Goldschmidt is and cost significantly less. I don’t know that I am stacking Cardinals but I like them as one offs or mini stacks. He is batting .345 ISO/ 472 wOBA vs lefties this season with five home runs in 55 AB’s. Martinez has six hits in the last five games and at $2,600 a couple hits will suffice, but the upside for an 18 point home run is great.

Notes: I love all of the Houston Astro Outfielders but they are ALL $4,000 or higher on FanDuel. I could have easily wrote them up but it would be very difficult to get them all on one team.

I primary used FanDuel when building optimal MLB DFS lineups.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

Fantasy MLB Stacks for Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 28

Marshall Rosen 5 years ago

written by Marshall Rosen

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s 10-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 1130-12 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

Fantasy MLB Stack: Cincinnati Reds

vs. RHP Peter Lambert (COL): 5.90 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Cincinnati Reds bats get a major boost today. They get a sub par pitching matchup at their home park, one of the more hitting friendly venues in the league. The Reds are hitting well above their season averages over the last two weeks, slashing to a .354 wOBA, .191 ISO, and 117 WRC+ against right handed pitching. Peter Lambert is not the best pitcher, carrying an average 5.93 ERA, 5.61 FIP, and 4.59 SIERA. He is allowing batters to slash to a .382 wOBA, .344 OBP, and .586 SLG. Lambert is allowing 2.45 HR/9 to left handed batters and 1.99 HR/9 to righties. He is allowing a ton of hard contact (47%) to lefties and only has a LOB% of 57 against them. His splits are much better on the road, but Great American is not an ideal place for any pitcher that struggles with the long ball. Stack the Reds with confidence this afternoon.

Preferred Stack: Eugenio Suarez ($3700 FD|$5300 DK), Jesse Winker ($2800 FD|$4100 DK), and Yasiel Puig ($3300 FD|$4500 DK).

Fantasy MLB Stack: Minnesota Twins

vs. RHP Dylan Covey (CWS): 6.10 Runs

**Low Risk

Third time’s a charm? The Twins offense has disappeared the last two games. Ivan Nova put on another excellent performance last night. What in the world is going on? I’m going to remain on the Twins, one of the best hitting teams in the league against another bad pitcher. Covey carries a 6.04 ERA, 5.62 FIP, and 5.75 SIERA over 47 innings pitched. He tends to struggle more to lefties, allowing them to slash to a .415 wOBA, .548 SLG, and .444 OBP over 19.1 innings pitched. Smaller sample size so I’ll take it with a grain of salt, but it is noteworthy to say Covey has been successful (or lucky) at home against righties. They are only slashing to a .179 wOBA, .262 SLG, and .163 OBP over 12 innings pitched. The Twins averages remain high over the last two weeks against right handed pitching. They are slashing to a .384 wOBA, .284 ISO, and 140 WRC+.

Preferred Stack: Jorge Polanco ($3700 FD|$4900 DK), Max Kepler ($4000 FD|$5300 DK), and Nelson Cruz ($4600 FD|$5800 DK). Jason Castro ($2700 FD|$4100 DK) and Luis Arraez ($3000 FD|$4200 DK) for the third day in a row make my top value plays.

Fantasy MLB Stack: Houston Astros

vs. RHP Dakota Hudson (STL): 5.10 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Dakota Hudson gets a home matchup against the red hot Astros. They are hitting extremely well to right handed pitching recently, slashing to a .353 wOBA, .223 ISO, and 126 WRC+. Hudson has been exceptional this season, allowing only one game with more than three earned runs. He owns a 3.61 ERA, 5.15 FIP, and 4.95 SIERA. He has true splits, allowing lefties to slash to a .380 wOBA, .515 SLG, and .392 OBP. Something has to give here and I’ve got money on the Astros taking it to Hudson this afternoon.

Honorable Mention

Fantasy MLB Stack: Cleveland Indians

vs. LHP Danny Duffy (KCR): 5.10 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Plays: Jordan Luplow ($2600 FD|$4000 DK), Francisco Lindor ($4400 FD|$5000 DK), Oscar Mercado ($3700 FD|$4400 DK), and Carlos Santana ($3600 FD|$4100 DK).

Fantasy MLB Stack: Tampa Rays

vs. RHP Aaron Sanchez (TOR): 5.40 Runs

Preferred Plays: Austin Meadows ($3400 FD|$4700 DK), Nate Lowe ($2800 FD|$4000 DK), Travis D’Arnaud ($3200 FD|$4300 DK), and Tommy Pham ($3800 FD|$4400 DK).

Pitching

Jason Vargas LHP (NYM): 4.30 Runs
Robbie Ray LHP (ARI): 3.40 Runs
Trevor Bauer RHP (CLE): 3.85 Runs

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB Fantasy Stacks for Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 27

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s 10-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

MLB Fantasy Stack: Minnesota Twins

vs. RHP Ivan Nova (CWS): 6.00 Runs

**Moderate Risk

I know the Twins let a lot of us down last night. I also know Nova has put on some off the wall performances that may cause others to rethink whether or not they want to go here tonight. I have no problems going back here, we all know how bad Ivan Nova can be. Nova carries a 5.49 ERA, 5.34 FIP, and 5.03 SIERA. He has allowed batters to slash to a .359 wOBA, .526 SLG, and .340 OBP at home this season. When pitching at home, Nova’s ERA goes from a 5.12 road average to 6.02. He has allowed 33 earned runs and 11 home runs over 49.1 innings pitched at home. The Twins continue to hit well, slashing to a .382 wOBA, .252 ISO, and 139 WRC+. I hate to use such a small sample, but four batters in the Twins lineup have an OPS of 1.000 or greater against Nova this season.

MLB Fantasy Stack: Cleveland Indians

vs. RHP Glenn Sparkman (KCR): 5.70 Runs

**High Risk

Cleveland Indians have slumped off a bit after going on a heater for a few weeks. They look to have returned to form last night, scoring eight earned runs. Sparkman carries a 4.67 ERA, 5.64 FIP, and 5.47 SIERA. He has the worst contact % on the slate at 84.7. He is only inducing a 7.4% swinging strike rate. The only downside to a Cleveland stack today is Sparkman’s home/road splits. Compared to his atrocious road averages, he is absolutely stellar at home. He carries a 1.76 ERA and allows batters to slash a measly .256 wOBA, .328 SLG, and .265 OBP. He has only allowed nine earned runs and four home runs over 40 innings pitched. With these kind of splits at home I can definitely see a hedge with Sparkman as well if you want to take a shot in tournaments. The Indians are slashing to a .337 wOBA, .187 ISO, and 106 WRC+ over the last month.

MLB Fantasy Stack: Oakland Athletics

vs. RHP Adrian Sampson (TEX): 5.30 Runs

**Low Risk

Adrian Sampson has come back down to earth recently, getting tagged for five or more runs in his last two starts. He carries a 5.19 ERA, 5.00 FIP, and 4.63 SIERA on the year. Sampson is allowing 1.76 HR/9 and a 48% hard contact rate. He is allowing 80% contact and struggles mightily to right handed batters. They are slashing to a .388 wOBA, .581 SLG, and .360 OBP. Sampson has allowed 32 earned runs and 13 home runs over 55.1 innings pitched to righties. The Athletics are slashing to a .339 wOBA, .217 ISO, and 115 WRC+ over the last month. Sampson throws a ton of sinker (55% usage) and slider (31% usage). Batters 1-4 in this projected Athletics lineup are all hitting .200 ISO or better against Sampson’s two most frequently used pitches.

Preferred Plays: Mark Canha ($2800 FD|$4300 DK), Ramon Laureano ($3100 FD|$4700 DK), Matt Olson ($3700 FD|$4500 DK), and Marcus Semien($3200 FD|$4400 DK).

Honorable Mention

MLB Fantasy Stack: New York Mets

vs. RHP Trevor Williams (PIT): 4.85 Runs

**Moderate Risk

MLB Fantasy Stack: Atlanta Braves

vs. RHP Zach Eflin (PHI): 5.20 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Plays: Freddie Freeman ($4100 FD|$5200 DK), Josh Donaldson ($3800 FD|$4800 DK), and Ronald Acuna Jr. ($4300 FD|$5300 DK).

MLB Fantasy Stack: Baltimore Orioles

vs. RHP Dillon Peters (LAA): UPDATE

**Low Risk

Preferred Plays: Anthony Santander ($3300 FD|$4400 DK), Renato Nunez ($3400 FD|$4100 DK), Trey Mancini ($3900 FD|$4600 DK), and Dwight Smith Jr. ($2900 FD|$3600 DK).

MLB Fantasy Stack: Los Angeles Angels

vs. RHP Aaron Brooks (BAL): UPDATE

**Low Risk

Preferred Plays: Shohei Ohtani ($3900 FD|$4800 DK), Mike Trout ($5000 FD|$5700 DK), Kole Calhoun ($3500 FD|$4700 DK).

Pitching

Gerrit Cole RHP (HOU): 3.20 Runs
Mike Clevinger RHP (CLE): 3.80 Runs
Anthony DeSclafani RHP (CIN): 4.30 Runs

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

The MLB DFS Hitting Picks Of Destiny For July 27

David Jones 5 years ago

written by David Jones

This Saturday July 27th slate is all about landing the right bats. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the MLB DFS Picks of Destiny.

MLB DFS Bats: Twins are Cruzing

Twins. Look, I am 100% sold on the Twins today for my MLB DFS stacks. If they don’t deliver, so be it. I will break down the players below. They face off against Ivan Nova, who has a 5.94 ERA and is very likely to give up multiple homers (again) today. The Twins are En Fuego right now and I will take as many as I can get.

Position Rankings and Values

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Catcher: Mitch Garver ($3,600 FD; $5,400 DK) boasts a .322 IS0 and .395 wOBA vs right handed pitchers. I am expecting the Twins to put on an absolute show and Garver should be a part of it. Ivan Nova is in for a bludgeoning tonight. In his last six games he has given up eight home runs. That is not what you want if you are the White Sox and about to face the electric Minnesota bats. The Twins may be the hottest team in MLB right now and I can not wait to attack this matchup

Catcher Value: Tyler Flowers ($2,400 FD; $3,500 DK) will face off against Zach Eflin, who has given up 16 runs combined over his last three starts. That’s a lot. Flowers is hitting .237 ISO/ 369 wOBA vs Righties and will be hitting behind a Braves squad who absolutely has owned Zach Eflin.

Note: If McCann is in the lineup I would play him too. (9 homers/.204 ISO/.359 wOBA)

First Base Stud: Freddie Freeman ($4,100 FD; $5,200 DK) brings his All-Star swing to Philly today hitting .273 ISO/.425 wOBA vs right handed pitchers. As mentioned above, Zach Eflin is struggling lately and Freddie Freeman is not the one who is going to help him break out of his slump. The Braves are in a spot today where they can put up plenty of runs to get the W and keep the lineup turning over .

First Base Value Eric Hosmer ($3,000 FD; $3,900 DK) is the best of the cheap First Basemen. I don’t see myself having to go this cheap at such a crucial position but wanted to recommend a punt. Opposing Pitcher Shaun Anderson struggles more with the long ball vs. Lefties than Righties. Hosmer has 13 homers off righties this season, batting .289/.462 SLG. He is worth a stab if you can to pay up.

Second Base: Jose Altuve ($4,200 FD; $4,700 DK) is finally delivering night in and night out like we have been waiting on all year. In July he is hitting .341/.505 .SLG/.841 OPS with five homers. Daniel Ponce De Leon has made significant changes this year and has not been bad on the mound, but I am siding with the elite Astros to overwhelm him here and Altuve to get his.

Second Base Jonathan Schoop ($2,900 FD; $4,100 DK) will be at the back of the lineup with plenty of opportunities to clear the bases today. In his last 14 games Schoop has only gone hitless twice. He is batting .256 vs Righties with 11 home runs. Schoop is too cheap today and helps me round out my Twins stacks.

Shortstop Stud: Francisco Lindor ($4,200; $5,300 DK) is averaging 18.98 FanDuel Points over his last eight games. He is hitting .344/.533/.897 in June. Today he leads off vs Glenn Sparkman and his 4.67 ERA. Lindor has a small sample size against Sparkman and has gotten a hit off him three times in his six at bats. Lindor has a VERY safe floor and a ton of upside.

Shortstop Mid Range: Jorge Polanco ($3,500 FD; $4,800 DK) is hitting .342/.577 SLG/.971 OPS against righties. He is too cheap on FanDuel and an easy to fit into lineups. All aboard vs Nova.

Third Base Base: Miguel Sano ($3,700, $5,100 DK) hits .264 ISO/ .337 wOBA vs righties. The whole squad should deliver in this spot vs Ivan Nova.

Third Base Value: Renato Nunez ($3,200 FD; $4,100 DK) I repeat, this guy is hitting value every night and no one ever plays him. Nunez has four homers in his last six games and hasn’t put up a fantasy goose egg since July 14th. He has a safe floor with upside which is what we look for in MLB DFS. Nunez is hitting .344/.662 SLG/1.067 OPS in July. $3,200 is joke of a price on FanDuel so keep playing him.

Outfield Stud: Nelson Cruz ($4,400 FD; $5,600 DK) He can not be stopped right now and we love the Twins today. Batting .286 ISO/ .300 wOBA/ .586 SLG with 4 homers in the last two games Cruz is more locked in than maybe he has ever been. Enjoy the benefits while they last.

Honorable Mention: Eddie Rosario is also a good play with Twins stack, I just have Cruz ranked higher in the OF

Outfield MidRange: Max Kepler ($3,700 FD, $5,100 DK) is batting .278 ISO/.375wOBA and hitting cleanup for the Twins. His last six MLB DFS performances go as follows on FD, 25.7, 31.4, 0, 6, 21.7, 41.4. I like the matchup for the Twins so of course I like the guy in the four hole.

Outfield Value: Gregg Allen ($2,500 FD; $3,900 DK) has a .211 ISO and .343 wOBA vs righties this year and is finally getting some more PT. He is on a two game hitless streak, but this is the first time since May that has happened so I like him to bounce back and hit value here today. I do like targeting Sparkman so a cheap Indians OF, It makes sense with my MLB DFS builds. I am hoping for a hit, run and a stolen base from Allen today.

Honorable Mention: Tyler Naquin is another cheap Indian I would consider in the OF.

I primary used FanDuel when building optimal MLB DFS lineups.

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5 years ago 0 comment

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