This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s 10-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.
**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 1130-12 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.
Fantasy MLB Stack: Cincinnati Reds
vs. RHP Peter Lambert (COL): 5.90 Runs
Cincinnati Reds bats get a major boost today. They get a sub par pitching matchup at their home park, one of the more hitting friendly venues in the league. The Reds are hitting well above their season averages over the last two weeks, slashing to a .354 wOBA, .191 ISO, and 117 WRC+ against right handed pitching. Peter Lambert is not the best pitcher, carrying an average 5.93 ERA, 5.61 FIP, and 4.59 SIERA. He is allowing batters to slash to a .382 wOBA, .344 OBP, and .586 SLG. Lambert is allowing 2.45 HR/9 to left handed batters and 1.99 HR/9 to righties. He is allowing a ton of hard contact (47%) to lefties and only has a LOB% of 57 against them. His splits are much better on the road, but Great American is not an ideal place for any pitcher that struggles with the long ball. Stack the Reds with confidence this afternoon.
Third time’s a charm? The Twins offense has disappeared the last two games. Ivan Nova put on another excellent performance last night. What in the world is going on? I’m going to remain on the Twins, one of the best hitting teams in the league against another bad pitcher. Covey carries a 6.04 ERA, 5.62 FIP, and 5.75 SIERA over 47 innings pitched. He tends to struggle more to lefties, allowing them to slash to a .415 wOBA, .548 SLG, and .444 OBP over 19.1 innings pitched. Smaller sample size so I’ll take it with a grain of salt, but it is noteworthy to say Covey has been successful (or lucky) at home against righties. They are only slashing to a .179 wOBA, .262 SLG, and .163 OBP over 12 innings pitched. The Twins averages remain high over the last two weeks against right handed pitching. They are slashing to a .384 wOBA, .284 ISO, and 140 WRC+.
Preferred Stack: Jorge Polanco ($3700 FD|$4900 DK), Max Kepler ($4000 FD|$5300 DK), and Nelson Cruz ($4600 FD|$5800 DK). Jason Castro ($2700 FD|$4100 DK) and Luis Arraez ($3000 FD|$4200 DK) for the third day in a row make my top value plays.
Fantasy MLB Stack: Houston Astros
vs. RHP Dakota Hudson (STL): 5.10 Runs
Dakota Hudson gets a home matchup against the red hot Astros. They are hitting extremely well to right handed pitching recently, slashing to a .353 wOBA, .223 ISO, and 126 WRC+. Hudson has been exceptional this season, allowing only one game with more than three earned runs. He owns a 3.61 ERA, 5.15 FIP, and 4.95 SIERA. He has true splits, allowing lefties to slash to a .380 wOBA, .515 SLG, and .392 OBP. Something has to give here and I’ve got money on the Astros taking it to Hudson this afternoon.
Preferred Plays: Yordan Alvarez ($4000 FD|$5200 DK), Yuli Gurriel ($3700 FD|$4500 DK), and George Springer ($4400 FD|$5000 DK). I also like Carlos Correa ($3600 FD|$4300 DK) and Jose Altuve ($4100 FD|$4500 DK).
Fantasy MLB Stack: Cleveland Indians
vs. LHP Danny Duffy (KCR): 5.10 Runs
Preferred Plays:Jordan Luplow ($2600 FD|$4000 DK), Francisco Lindor ($4400 FD|$5000 DK), Oscar Mercado ($3700 FD|$4400 DK), and Carlos Santana ($3600 FD|$4100 DK).
After participating in season-long fantasy baseball for over two and a half decades, Wes shifted his focus to the DFS grind. He has shared from his experiences and began his MLB DFS-writing career at FanRag.com in 2013. There he provided a deep analysis inside the numbers of matchups as well as winning FanDuel lineups. The cash game grinder has also done work with Razzball and is excited to help the Win Daily family get into the green.