This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s 10-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.
**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.
MLB Fantasy Stack: Minnesota Twins
vs. RHP Ivan Nova (CWS): 6.00 Runs
I know the Twins let a lot of us down last night. I also know Nova has put on some off the wall performances that may cause others to rethink whether or not they want to go here tonight. I have no problems going back here, we all know how bad Ivan Nova can be. Nova carries a 5.49 ERA, 5.34 FIP, and 5.03 SIERA. He has allowed batters to slash to a .359 wOBA, .526 SLG, and .340 OBP at home this season. When pitching at home, Nova’s ERA goes from a 5.12 road average to 6.02. He has allowed 33 earned runs and 11 home runs over 49.1 innings pitched at home. The Twins continue to hit well, slashing to a .382 wOBA, .252 ISO, and 139 WRC+. I hate to use such a small sample, but four batters in the Twins lineup have an OPS of 1.000 or greater against Nova this season.
Preferred Stack:Nelson Cruz ($4400 FD|$5600 DK), Jorge Polanco ($3500 FD|$4800 DK), Max Kepler ($3700 FD|$5100 DK), and Miguel Sano ($3700 FD|$5100 DK). Jason Castro ($2700 FD|$4200 DK) and Luis Arraez ($2900 FD|$4200 DK) make excellent value plays once again.
MLB Fantasy Stack: Cleveland Indians
vs. RHP Glenn Sparkman (KCR): 5.70 Runs
Cleveland Indians have slumped off a bit after going on a heater for a few weeks. They look to have returned to form last night, scoring eight earned runs. Sparkman carries a 4.67 ERA, 5.64 FIP, and 5.47 SIERA. He has the worst contact % on the slate at 84.7. He is only inducing a 7.4% swinging strike rate. The only downside to a Cleveland stack today is Sparkman’s home/road splits. Compared to his atrocious road averages, he is absolutely stellar at home. He carries a 1.76 ERA and allows batters to slash a measly .256 wOBA, .328 SLG, and .265 OBP. He has only allowed nine earned runs and four home runs over 40 innings pitched. With these kind of splits at home I can definitely see a hedge with Sparkman as well if you want to take a shot in tournaments. The Indians are slashing to a .337 wOBA, .187 ISO, and 106 WRC+ over the last month.
Preferred Plays: Carlos Santana ($3700 FD|$4300 DK), Francisco Lindor ($4200 FD|$5300 DK), Roberto Perez($2900 FD|$3500 DK), and Jose Ramirez ($4000 FD|$4600 DK). Greg Allen ($2500 FD|$3900 DK) and Tyler Naquin ($2900 FD|$4100 DK) for value.
MLB Fantasy Stack: Oakland Athletics
vs. RHP Adrian Sampson (TEX): 5.30 Runs
Adrian Sampson has come back down to earth recently, getting tagged for five or more runs in his last two starts. He carries a 5.19 ERA, 5.00 FIP, and 4.63 SIERA on the year. Sampson is allowing 1.76 HR/9 and a 48% hard contact rate. He is allowing 80% contact and struggles mightily to right handed batters. They are slashing to a .388 wOBA, .581 SLG, and .360 OBP. Sampson has allowed 32 earned runs and 13 home runs over 55.1 innings pitched to righties. The Athletics are slashing to a .339 wOBA, .217 ISO, and 115 WRC+ over the last month. Sampson throws a ton of sinker (55% usage) and slider (31% usage). Batters 1-4 in this projected Athletics lineup are all hitting .200 ISO or better against Sampson’s two most frequently used pitches.
Preferred Plays: Mark Canha ($2800 FD|$4300 DK), Ramon Laureano ($3100 FD|$4700 DK), Matt Olson ($3700 FD|$4500 DK), and Marcus Semien($3200 FD|$4400 DK).
MLB Fantasy Stack: New York Mets
vs. RHP Trevor Williams (PIT): 4.85 Runs
Preferred Plays:Jeff McNeil ($3600 FD|$4600 DK), Pete Alonso ($4100 FD|$5100 DK), and Michael Conforto ($3500 FD|$4200 DK). Dominic Smith ($2300 FD|$4200 DK) and Robinson Cano ($2700 FD|$3700 DK) for value.
MLB Fantasy Stack: Atlanta Braves
vs. RHP Zach Eflin (PHI): 5.20 Runs
Preferred Plays:Freddie Freeman ($4100 FD|$5200 DK), Josh Donaldson ($3800 FD|$4800 DK), and Ronald Acuna Jr. ($4300 FD|$5300 DK).
MLB Fantasy Stack: Baltimore Orioles
vs. RHP Dillon Peters (LAA): UPDATE
Preferred Plays:Anthony Santander ($3300 FD|$4400 DK), Renato Nunez ($3400 FD|$4100 DK), Trey Mancini ($3900 FD|$4600 DK), and Dwight Smith Jr. ($2900 FD|$3600 DK).
MLB Fantasy Stack: Los Angeles Angels
vs. RHP Aaron Brooks (BAL): UPDATE
Preferred Plays:Shohei Ohtani ($3900 FD|$4800 DK), Mike Trout ($5000 FD|$5700 DK), Kole Calhoun ($3500 FD|$4700 DK).
Dan Wehr is a real money DFS player with over four years of experience. He has several large field GPP take-downs in NFL, MLB, and NBA. His passion for DFS stems from his love affair with his home town sports teams, the Baltimore Orioles and Baltimore Ravens.