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Last year at The Fortinet the top five golfers in price and chalk scored an abysmal average of 22 DK points each. It cost anyone that rostered them a green screen. With the NFL in play, a lot of part time DFS golf players will look to the top this year for known names. There will be many new faces off the Korn Ferry tour that earned their PGA cards and several from the Asian tour. Twelve rookies have never set foot on a PGA tourney before. Many haven’t played this course in four or five years. Fortinet Ownership Projections are designed to give you the edge in both ownership and picks to help you take down your favorite contests.

Recap

We are currently smoking hot with our Frisky Risky Biscuit plays. 18-1 last nineteen and that’s picking a 6K golfer under 5% owned. This weeks pick will be released Wednesday evening in Discord to compliment the selections listed below the Fortinet Ownership Projections

Whether to trust the Weather

At present winds should be 10-12 on Thursday. 7-10 on Friday. 9-12 on Saturday and 7-9 mph on Sunday. It looks like weather at this time will not play a factor in scoring all weekend. We will be monitoring the weather for possible edges to the morning or evening wave. We will bring you updates in the Win Daily Sports Discord through the evening tonight.

***UPDATE* There is a small edge to the morning wave for Thursday.

Let’s take a look at The Fortinet Ownership Projections to assist you with roster construction and team building.

These projections for The Fortinet are accurate as of 7:09 EST. Top Tier golfers will/may show a higher % by lock.

My picks for The Fortinet Championship

Top Tier: Homa

Mid Tier: Davis Riley

Low Tier: Justin Suh

Out in Left Play: Lee Hodges

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: Homa

FR Leader: Taylor Montgomery (contrarian)

Stix and Spencer of The Bettor Golf Podcast (powered by Win Daily Sports) are available on Anchor at Spotify, Apple and other channels. Together they have been winning thousands and thousands of dollars week in and week out. They have the most comprehensive podcast in the industry to provide you with not just the picks, they also provide the tools for you to learn how to make money. For the best edge in the betting market and for outstanding DFS position and placement content, do not miss The Bettor Golf podcast!

Don’t forget to tune in to The DraftCast, hosted by Joel and featuring Sia, Spencer, and Dave and the surprise guest who drops by to battle you, the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s tonight at 8:00 EST and is fun, engaging and educational. Show up, tune in, and help your audience win the week with the best team on the board!

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock! coming

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With a condensed field and no cut, The BMW Ownership Projections powered by Win Daily Sports will provide the intel and metrics for leverage in the upcoming contests along with game theory and selections.

We are down to the final 68 golfers. Fleetwood and Cam Smith won’t be in the field this week. Some say Smith complained of hip discomfort due to carrying around 100 million in LIV money in his pocket. This a first time venue course that’s just shy of 7600 yards with lots of sand traps with ample greens. It makes up for it with narrow fairways and gnarly rough.

Recap

Last week every one of our selections made the cut and provided point value with the exception of Russell Henley. Our Frisky Risky Biscuit was Andrew Putnam. He made the cut to run our record to 15-1 last 16. He was owned by less than 1% of the field and he finished in 5th place. Talk about leverage. That’s pretty good for a golfer that NO ONE else promoted and not one other service had except for Win Daily Sports.

Whether to trust the Weather

At present there is a slight edge to the morning wave. This may be due to late light rains the night before. The weather is calling for clear skies and winds to stay at 5-8 mph and below. The weekend looks the same. Check with Win Daily Sports Discord well into tonight for weather updates and any changes.

Roster Building.

Pricing is soft this week and the general build will be stars and scrubs. There will be condensed heavy ownership in the upper and mid upper tiers which may approach 20%-25% and up. Please note that in regular Milly Maker large field GPPs we toggle ownership to be between 70-80% total for six golfers. This week we go higher, a golfer that’s 15-18% in The BMW would normally be 9-10% in a regular tournament so don’t let that sway you from a golfer you like. Conversely, if you love a golfer that’s close to 30% ownership, you have to go 2X the field to gain leverage and value, which means that golfer needs to be in 60% of your lineups. Just remember you heard that here if Rham or Rory miss the mark.

Let’s take a look at The BMW Ownership Projections to assist you with roster construction and team building.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYEROWN %SALARY
McIlroy, Rory22.410500
Rahm, Jon21.610300
Finau, Tony21.59700
Scheffler, Scottie20.99800
Young, Cameron20.48900
Thomas, Justin18.510100
Im, Sungjae17.49100
Davis, Cameron16.97600
Niemann, Joaquin16.58600
Zalatoris,Will16.210000
Schauffele, Xander15.99600
Fitzpatrick, Mathew15.89500
Cantlay, Patrick15.49900
Pendrith, Taylor 14.37400
Morikawa, Collin14.29400
Burns, Sam14.19300
Hovland, Viktor13.79200
Moore, Taylor12.36400
Wise, Aaron12.28100
Kim, Joohyung 11.69000
Conners, Corey11.38300
Mullinax, Trey11.26200
Theegala, Sahith10.77300
Pereira, Mito9.97100
Grillo, Emiliano9.86600
Clark, Wyndham9.76500
Stallings, Scott9.66600
Homa, Max9.28500
Mitchell, Keith9.17400
Henley, Russell8.97800
Riley, Davis 8.87500
Scott,Adam8.78000
Hatton, Tyrrell8.18200
Bradley, Keegan8.07200
Spieth, Jordan7.98800
McNealy, Maverick7.87200
Lowry, Shane7.58700
Munoz, Sebastian7.36500
Matsuyama, Hideki7.28400
Varner III, Harold7.26900
Poston,  JT7.17300
List, Luke6.76000
Kim, Si Woo6.67000
Harman, Brian6.47700
Steele, Brendan5.96200
Horschel, Billy5.47900
Lee, KH5.36400
Merritt, Troy5.26300
Kirk, Chris5.16700
Smalley, Alex 4.96100
Kitayama, Kurt 4.96000
Putnam, Andrew4.66200
Power, Seamus4.27100
Hoge, Tom4.16300
McCarthy, Denny3.97000
Glover, Lucas3.76100
Herbert, Lucas 3.66100
Noren, Alex3.46900
Tringale, Cameron3.36200
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan3.16800
Straka, Sepp2.96700
Leishman, Marc2.96400
Spaun, JJ2.86000
Hadwin, Adam2.86300
Hughes, Mackenzie2.46000
Kisner, Kevin2.36800
Reavie, Chez1.96100
Kucher, Matt1.76000

These projections for The BMW are accurate as of 6:09 EST. Top Tier golfers will/may show a higher % by lock.

**UPDATE** There will be many lineups in the Milly Maker GPP that start with Rham, Rory, and Scheffler, followed by List, Kitayama and a 7400 player, most likely Pendrith. Three top tiers, two bottom feeders and a mid tier play will be very popular. These builds will also be heavily used in more high dollar contests as well. If you want to WIN, try and be different!

Only 30 players make it to the Championship at East Lake. Odds at present to get there for borderline players as the top 27 are almost a lock)

Current Player Rank Odds to get to East Lake (top 30)

#28 Kisner 18.3%

#29 Conners 45.2%

#30 Spaun 16.8%

#31 Wise 41.3%

#58 Reavie 0.9%

My picks for The BMW FedEx Championship

Top Tier: Xander

Mid Tier: Spieth

Low Tier: Stallings

Out in Left Play: Hebert

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: Sungjae IM

FR Leader: Taylor Moore (contrarian)

Stix and Spencer of The Bettor Golf Podcast (powered by Win Daily Sports) are available on Anchor at Spotify and other channels. Together they have been winning thousands and thousands of dollars week in and week out. They have the most comprehensive podcast in the industry to provide you with not just the picks, they also provide the tools for you to learn how to make money. For the best edge in the betting market and for outstanding DFS position and placement content, do not miss The Bettor Golf podcast!

Don’t forget to tune in to The DraftCast, hosted by Joel and featuring Sia, Spencer, and Dave and the surprise guest who drops by to battle you, the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s every Tuesday night at 8:00 EST and is fun, engaging and educational. Show up, tune in, and help your audience win the week with the best team on the board!

The audience won last weeks DraftCast, this happened after Sia announced that after just two picks he would be the winner. Bootleg copies of that statement are being sold on the dark web for major money, our own Drago has copies and cheerfully posted them in Discord for all to admire. Spencer will have to start over on his three peat as both the audience and Joel have kept him from reigning supreme. Deep Dive Dave is on an unheard of run with his picks. He has been scorching hot with plays in the PGA and DP markets and continues to excel in the betting markets in both formats. The WDS golf staff is on fire right now!

Last weeks St Jude was more than just a golf tourney. Monies collected help cancer research for children, and my good friend Sia and his wife took their valuable time and their considerable talents to help raise a ton of money for kids cancer. I lost my wife and mom to that despicable disease and applaud Sia, his lovely wife and Dave for their inspiring message and money raising for such a worthy cause. Thank you.

Arnold Palmer was playing in a huge tourney and he teed off at a par 3- 225 yard hole. He blasted a 3 iron and it sailed 20 feet OVER the pin and it spun back to within a foot of the hole. Someone in the crowd yelled, “Arnie, How can you make a 3 iron back up like that?’ Arnie asked if the man owned a 3 iron. He said yes. Arnie asked him how far he could hit it. He answered,” about 160 yards”. Palmer smiled and then asked, “So what in the hell do you want it to back up for?”

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock! coming

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Be sure to check out my Bettor Golf and PGA DraftCast episodes over here at WinDaily!

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Rory McIlroy ($10,500) – My initial lean on Monday was to exclude Rory McIlroy from my player pool, but with Justin Thomas’ ownership surging and the reduction in price that we do have with the entire top section of the board, I will pivot over to the Irishman – who likely will go off as one of the five highest owned golfers on the slate. To me, this is a spot where being neutral to McIlroy is my preferred choice versus trying to get overweight since my model doesn’t necessarily love his profile from top-to-bottom, but the total driving and par-five scoring might be enough for him to tear this venue apart.

Jon Rahm ($10,300)  – Jon Rahm flashed the form we had become accustomed to for years at the St. Jude – gaining eight strokes with his ball-striking, and while the short game has been problematic for far too long this season, we see the Spaniard’s baseline putting increase from 31st in this field when given a random track to 13th on Bent. If the putter is actually heating up, I wouldn’t be surprised if the former top-ranked player in the world walks out of the BMW Championship victorious.

Other Thoughts – Justin Thomas ($10,100) – At the end of the day, it just came down to McIlroy and Thomas being too close in ownership to ignore the rest of the intangibles. I do like how Thomas sets up for the track, but there were options I preferred over him when push came to shove.

$9,000 Range

Scottie Scheffler ($9,800) – Is Scottie Scheffler’s inability to putt recently ideal? Of course not. But I am more focused on this $9,800 price tag that is baking in many of those concerns upfront. The number one player in the world has the exact makeup I am looking for in a golfer that can use his distance to hit it into wide-open areas of the rough and then find success out of the thicker stuff with his irons – a category where he ranks second in the field when I recalculated the information.

Xander Schauffele ($9,600) – The ownership is steadily rising, which means he isn’t as great of a play Wednesday afternoon as he was on Monday morning, but he is one of the safer golfers for cash because of the no-cut nature and recent form, and he is also in GPP consideration since he would need to be pushing around 18% to be classified as a ‘negative value’ in my model. I am not going massively overweight, but he will be in my pool.

Viktor Hovland ($9,200) – I am looking for golfers that have a potential recipe that can enter the mix if certain facets of their games get hot, and Viktor Hovland brings both the total driving and iron proximity to the table if we see this track play into the 20-under par range.

Sungjae Im ($9,100) – It is worth noting that Sungjae Im is a favorite over Collin Morikawa at a few sharper books in the space, and while my model doesn’t necessarily see a massive difference between the two parties, it does view him as a golfer that is trending in the right direction from both a ball-striking and a results perspective.

Other Thoughts: Matthew Fitzpatrick ($9,500) did make my official player pool. The ownership is low enough to take a shot, and even if my model struggles to find his upside during most weeks, the floor is there on a player I am clearly too low on from a statistical perspective. I still can’t figure out how Fitzpatrick produces weekly, but he does always seem to find success.

$8,000 Range

Cameron Young ($8,900) – I thought this situation was extremely similar to what we saw with Will Zalatoris last week. Sure, I don’t love that the public is all over a golfer with actual red flags if we want to get nitpicky, but I will trust my model, which places Young first overall.

Shane Lowry ($8,700) – The recent form is trending in the wrong direction, but I cannot ignore the first-place total in weighted tee-to-green. Similar to what I am doing with Jordan Spieth, I am taking a shot on Lowry’s potential.

Corey Conners ($8,300) – I can’t say the overhaul of Corey Conners plays from me haven’t been working, but I also can’t declare anyone has been overly impressed by his 28th, 21st and 28th place finishes, respectively. I believe Conners busts through at some point with a top-10 showing because the stats look too strong across the board, and the venue does seem strong for him, especially since he has been such a robust Bentgrass performer in the past.

Other Thoughts: Jordan Spieth ($8,800) – Stixpicks has talked me into playing Jordan Spieth.

$7,000 Range

Russell Henley ($7,800) – It has been settled. Russell Henley might be the worst putter on tour. I don’t know when and how that happened because there was a time that I once trusted him with a flat stick in his hand, but since everyone knows that about him at this point, it is providing us an opening to roster the American at sub-10 percent. I do like how Henley tends to spike when he gains strokes with the putter, so let’s hope for the best there and trust the ball-striking metrics that help rank him fifth in weighted tee-to-green expectation.

Davis Riley ($7,500) Riley ranks 14th in this field for birdie or better percentage, and he also propels to seventh overall in weighted total driving – thanks to his combination of distance and accuracy off the tee.

Keith Mitchell ($7,400) – My numbers were neutral on Mitchell, but when I added in some of the totals from the sharper books into my mix, it did propel him into a playable option in all markets.

Taylor Pendrith ($7,400) – Taylor Pendrith -110 over J.T. Poston was one of my bigger head-to-head plays of the week in the betting market.

Keegan Bradley ($7,200) – The long-term metrics outweigh this recent downswing that we have seen from Bradley.

Additional Thoughts: You can view my model for additional thoughts!

$6,000 Range

Harold Varner III $6,900, Emiliano Grillo $6,600, Wyndham Clark $6,500, Sebastian Munoz $6,500, Alex Smalley $6,100, Luke List $6,000

If you haven’t already, follow Win Daily Sports on YouTube and via Apple Podcasts. We’re already hitting big with our NFL content and you are going to want to be a part of that. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late-breaking news and weather reports.

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Yannik Paul and Justin Lower. WHO? Exactly. These two golfers were promoted in The Win Daily Sports Discord last week as great values. They both finished mid thirties at -7. They were both priced in the mid 6K range and both held about 1% ownership. No other service promoted them and 99% of the players didn’t take them last week. Win Daily Sports was all over them. The FedEx Ownership Projections provide the intel and the tools to allow you to pivot highly owned players and create leverage. We also give you golfers that no one will roster that provide excellent results. Win Daily staff ace Deep Dive Dave provided the intel on Paul, as well as J Kim as an outright. He was also high on John Huh.

Recap

Last week every one of our selections made the cut and provided extreme point value with the exception of one player who withdrew. We had Henley, Taylor Moore, Lower and Putnam in our pool. Our Frisky Biscuit, Justin Lower, made the cut to run our record to 14-1 last 15. The Frisky Biscuit must have a 6K salary and be owned by less than 5% of the field. Picking 10K players is so much easier than picking 6K players that nobody wants.

Whether to trust the Weather

At present there is no discernable edge to either wave. There may be minor T storms (30%) in the afternoon on Thursday. Friday winds will be from the NE at 10-15 mph. The weekend looks good for weather conditions. Check with Win Daily Sports Discord well into tonight for weather updates and any changes.

Roster Building.

Most of the upper tier hasn’t played competitive golf in almost a month, not since the British Open. Normally cream rises to the top. Rusty cream rises much slower. The pricing is decent enough to have new wonderkid J. Kim priced at 8K. He is undervalued and you just have to stomach the ownership or you could pivot. There are plenty of values and low owned gems on the board to get different and even a top tier play leaves you enough to finish out a strong competitive team.

Let’s take a look at The FedEx Ownership Projections to assist you with roster construction and team building.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYEROWN %SALARY
Im, Sungjae20.48500
Burns, Sam18.88600
Conners, Corey18.77600
Zalatoris,Will18.69500
Kim, Joohyung 18.48000
Thomas, Justin17.910200
Finau, Tony17.89700
Henley, Russell17.67800
McIlroy, Rory17.511000
Scheffler, Scottie14.910800
Fitzpatrick, Mathew14.69800
Lowry, Shane14.38300
Wise, Aaron14.27700
Hovland, Viktor13.89000
Cantlay, Patrick13.710300
Schauffele, Xander12.910600
Horschel, Billy12.78200
Spieth, Jordan12.49100
Hatton, Tyrrell12.37800
Stallings, Scott12.27100
Pendrith, Taylor 11.97600
Rahm, John11.810000
Morikawa, Collin11.68700
Homa, Max11.27900
Young, Cameron10.99300
Niemann, Joaquin10.18100
Steele, Brendan9.97000
Smith, Cameron8.910500
Riley, Davis 8.97700
Reavie, Chez8.87100
Mitchell, Keith8.77400
Pereira, Mito8.37500
Kirk, Chris7.97400
Davis, Cameron7.87200
Hoge, Tom7.66800
Poston,  JT6.87300
Varner III, Harold6.77400
Moore, Taylor6.66800
Power, Seamus6.57600
Grillo, Emiliano5.97000
Bradley, Keegan5.87500
Long, Adam5.77000
Munoz, Sebastian5.47100
Scott,Adam5.37500
Noren, Alex4.97200
Theegala, Sahith4.87400
Jaeger, Stephan 4.86600
Tarren, Callum4.66600
Merritt, Troy4.46700
Mullinax, Trey4.46500
Hubbard, Mark4.26900
Smalley, Alex 4.16800
Kitayama, Kurt 4.16400
Streelman, Kevin3.86700
Harman, Brian3.67200
Hadley, Chesson3.46400
List, Luke3.36500
Kim, Si Woo3.27300
Simpson, Webb3.17300
Lahiri, Anirban2.96700
NeSmith, Matthew2.96500
Wu, Brandon 2.86800
Buckley, Hayden2.86300
Laird, Martin2.66500
Putnam, Andrew2.56600
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan2.57500
Woodland, Gary2.47000
Kucher, Matt2.46900
Svensson, Adam2.46700
Hadwin, Adam2.47300
Clark, Wyndham2.36900
Todd, Brendon2.36800
Rai, Aaron2.26800
Hodges, Lee 2.26400
Rose, Justin2.17200
Huh, John1.96700
Palmer, Ryan1.96600
Cink, Stewart1.96600
Lipsky, David1.96500
Tringale, Cameron1.87100
Knox, Russell1.86500
Duncan, Tyler1.76300
Lee, KH1.66700
Pan, CT1.56400
McNealy, Maverick1.47200
Day, Jason1.47000
Hahn, James1.46200
McCarthy, Denny1.37100
Vegas, Jhonattan1.36600
Rodgers, Patrick1.36500
Dahmen, Joel1.26400
Leishman, Marc1.16900
Glover, Lucas1.16300
Malnati, Peter1.16200
Herbert, Lucas 0.96900
Fowler, Rickie0.96400
McGreevy, Max0.96000
Spaun, JJ0.86400
Ghim, Doug0.86200
Kisner, Kevin0.76900
Whaley, Vincent0.76300
Piercy, Scott0.76200
Lee, Danny0.66100
Schwab, Matthias 0.66100
Hughes, Mackenzie0.56300
Ryder, Sam0.56000
Kizzire, Patton0.46300
Thompson, Michael0.46200
Hickok, Kramer0.46100
Streb, Robert0.46000
Frittelli, Dylan0.36300
Sigg, Greyson 0.36200
Hossler, Beau0.36100
Schenk, Adam0.36100
Watney, Nick0.36000
Taylor, Nick0.26000
Tway, Kevin0.16100
Straka, Sepp0.16100
Brehm, Ryan0.16000
Ramey, Chad0.06000

These projections for The FedEx are accurate as of 6:09 EST. Top Tier golfers may show a higher % by lock.

My picks for The FedEx Championship

Top Tier: Xander

Mid Tier: Henley

Low Tier: Conners

Out in Left Play: T. Moore

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: Will Z

FR Leader: Lahiri (Contrarian)

Stix and Spencer of The Bettor Golf Podcast (powered by Win Daily Sports) are available on Anchor at Spotify and other channels. Together they have been winning tens of thousands of dollars recently in just a few short weeks. They have the most comprehensive podcast in the industry to provide you with not just the picks, they also provide the tools for you to learn how to make money. Their picks are red hot as well. We also learned that a receiver is highly regarded that will have Mahomes throwing to him and his only competition seems to be Sky. There’s also another highly regarded receiver in Houston that will smoke the DK points machine if Mills doesn’t get killed behind that Texans line. All this and more great golf from two of the best in the business. Make sure you check out the Bettor Golf Podcast!

Don’t forget to tune in to The DraftCast, hosted by Joel and featuring Sia, Spencer, and Dave and the surprise guest who drops by to battle you, the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s every Tuesday night at 8:00 EST and is fun, engaging and educational. Show up, tune in, and help your audience win the week with the best team on the board!

Spencer won last weeks DraftCast as he starts again on that three peat quest that Joel, Sia, Dave and the audience keep thwarting with timely wins after he hits two in a row. Sia had to rule in again on whether Scotti or Scotty meant Stallings or Scheffler so Scotti-gate was born. Again. It’s comforting to know that we have an in house attorney to settle all the small and large issues that come up. It’s one of the most fun, outlandish and informative shows on the net.

The Montana Wildlife Service warns golfers to be on alert for bears while playing on Gallatin, Helena, Lewis and Clark National courses. They highly recommend using pepper spray if you encounter an aggressive bear. Black bears are much less dangerous than grizzly bears. The way to distinguish from the two is by their droppings they leave on the golf course. The black bear droppings have nuts, berries, squirrel and gopher fur in them. The grizzly bear droppings have golf gloves, sunglasses, polo shirt and foot joy fragments and it always smells like pepper spray…..smile.

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock! coming

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Here are the links to my two podcasts over at Win Daily: Bettor Golf & PGA DraftCast.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Rory McIlroy ($11,000)  – We will see where lineups end up going with how I want to allocate ownership in certain spots, but Rory McIlroy is one of three golfers up top that I want to find a way to back this week on DraftKings. The Irishman enters the contest having produced five straight top-19 finishes since the Memorial a few months back, and while I do have some concerns with how the putting splits will transfer over to Bermuda since it has historically been his worst surface, we have seen players win this title in the past by excelling with their ball-striking and losing strokes on the greens.

Scottie Scheffler ($10,800)  – I think Scheffler wins this event because of his ball-striking and ability to scramble from out of the rough. That is a combination that is going to suit TPC Southwind perfectly.

Patrick Cantlay ($10,300) – It will be hard to play more than three options up top for me with how aggressively I want to get to Scottie Scheffler, but it was a tough decision between Cantlay and Xander. I decided to roll with Cantlay because I do believe it will create slightly more leverage than the current ownership is inferring, but there wasn’t much of an edge either way. 

Other Thoughts – I am completely out on Justin Thomas and Cameron Smith.

$9,000 Range

Will Zalatoris ($9,500) – Zalatoris and Scheffler will be the two golfers that will push 40%+ for me in my builds.

Jordan Spieth ($9,100) – Spieth’s increase on Bermuda is notable with the flat stick, gaining the second-most of anyone in this field in his expected output.

Viktor Hovland ($9,000) – I wasn’t planning on backing Viktor Hovland this week, but if I believe there is general ease in getting up and down from off the green, Hovland is one of the top candidates to receive a boost in production. The volatility is there for him to miss the cut, but I don’t see much difference between him and Morikawa from an upside perspective.

Other Thoughts: As always seems to be the case with Fitzpatrick, he never quite makes my player pool when push comes to shove, and I decided to go overly aggressive on Zalatoris, which meant Finau was left on the side. It is hard to find much about Tony to dislike if we remove his ownrship.

$8,000 Range

Collin Morikawa ($8,700) -Morikawa ranks first in my model for good drive percentage on difficult-to-hit fairways, and he is also sixth in weighted proximity.

Sungjae Im ($8,500) – The long-term metrics show a correctly priced golfer, but the more recent stuff is pushing Sungjae Im into this zone that places him as a top-five fit for TPC Southwind. As everyone knows by now, I prefer the long-term metrics, but the Bermuda upgrade that Sungjae will receive + the numbers firing on all cylinders does have me drinking the Kool-Aid that there is a chance he walks out of Memphis with his blue suede shoes.

Shane Lowry ($8,300) – The offshore market doesn’t seem to care much for Shane Lowry, but it is hard to ignore his top-10 totals for weighted proximity, ball-striking, weighted par-four scoring and weighted tee-to-green.

Other Thoughts: I can’t take the chalk in every situation, so I will find myself lower on Joohyung Kim and Sam Burns than consensus.

$7,000 Range

Corey Conners ($7,600) – Conners is a perfect stylistic fit for TPC Southwind, as he ranks inside the top-10 in this field for good drive % on difficult-to-hit fairways, GIR percentage, ball striking and strokes gained off the tee. 

Adam Scott ($7,500) A GPP leverage target, Scott grades as one of the better pivots, even if he is correctly priced.

Keegan Bradley ($7,500) – If you only look at Keegan Bradley from a statistical sense, he is one of the better values in the field. Sure, the form and course history does matter, but he is worth a flier in GPP contests.

Harold Varner III ($7,400) – Nobody burns me as frequently as Harold Varner III. I’d be cautious in my exposure.

Adam Hadwin ($7,300) – I don’t know what the upside is for the week, but I do like the leverage.

Brian Harman ($7,200) – A 71st-place showing has made everyone jump off of Brian Harman, who is just a week removed from being the sharpest play on the board at the Wyndham.

Additional Thoughts: You can view my model for additional thoughts!

$6,000 Range

Rickie Fowler $6,400, Mark Hubbard $6,900, Lucas Glover $6,300, Matthew NeSmith $6,500, Stewart Cink $6,600, Lee Hodges $6,400, Russell Knox $6,500, C.T. Pan $6,400 – I tried to list as many options as I could to go with a Scheffler/Zalatoris stack. Some of the routes are safer than others.

If you haven’t already, follow Win Daily Sports on YouTube and via Apple Podcasts. We’re already hitting big with our NFL content and you are going to want to be a part of that. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late-breaking news and weather reports.

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This week we are at Sedgefield in Greensboro, North Carolina for the Wyndham Championship. This is the last shot for PGA golfers to fight to get under the 125 ranking for The FedEx Cup playoffs and the millions that come to the players for excelling. The Wyndham Ownership Projections, along with our selections, can assist you with team selection and rostering the right golfers to compete for top money on your favorite DFS sites.

Recap

Last week every one of our selections made the cut and provided extreme point value. We had Cantlay as a top option, followed by Stallings and Pendrith. Lee Hodges was our “out in left” play, and we had Pendrith as a first round leader selection which hit as well. Our Frisky Biscuit made the cut to run our record to 13-1 last 14, not to shabby for a 6K golfer under 5% owned. We continue to strive to bring value and real actionable intel to our members and subscribers.

Whether to trust the Weather

At present there is no discernable edge to either wave. There may be minor T storms in the middle of the day both Thursday and Friday. If lift clean and place is installed expect a much bigger birdie percentage. Check with Win Daily Sports Discord well into tonight for weather updates and any changes.

Roster Building.

A lot of the team building we are seeing this week is skipping the top tier and jamming in the 8K range for a balanced build. Be careful, this is where a majority of the chalk is. You could take one or two in the top tier, perhaps one in the 9K and finish out with 6 and 7K builds for your fifth and sixth. In the event some of the heavy chalk misses the cut in the 8K range it gives you tremendous leverage against extremely popular builds so far.

Let’s take a look at The Wyndham Ownership Projections to assist you with roster construction and team building.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYEROWN %SALARY
Im, Sungjae21.410500
Kim, Si Woo20.98800
Henley, Russell19.39800
Kim, Joohyung 17.98600
Conners, Corey17.79600
Wise, Aaron16.98100
Harman, Brian16.88300
Horschel, Billy16.710300
Lowry, Shane16.410600
Svensson, Adam15.37500
Poston,  JT15.28200
Stallings, Scott15.17800
McCarthy, Denny14.38900
Hubbard, Mark12.97900
Long, Adam12.87700
Zalatoris,Will12.710900
Varner III, Harold12.59000
Munoz, Sebastian12.47700
Riley, Davis 11.88000
Scott,Adam11.29200
Pendrith, Taylor 10.98500
Mitchell, Keith10.87900
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan10.78400
Kisner, Kevin10.38700
Rose, Justin10.28000
Streelman, Kevin9.87600
Hatton, Tyrrell8.49400
Simpson, Webb8.310700
Smalley, Alex 8.27500
Duncan, Tyler8.17100
Spaun, JJ7.97300
Todd, Brendon7.77500
Pan, CT7.67400
Laird, Martin6.87400
Reavie, Chez6.57400
Buckley, Hayden6.46900
English, Harris6.17300
Tarren, Callum5.97300
Moore, Taylor5.87300
Lee, KH5.67400
Rai, Aaron5.47200
Jaeger, Stephan 5.27100
NeSmith, Matthew5.17200
Gotterup, Christopher4.97600
Hadley, Chesson4.86900
Day, Jason4.77800
Hodges, Lee 4.77100
Thompson, Michael4.67000
Putnam, Andrew4.57000
Sabbatini, Rory4.26900
Champ, Cameron3.97500
Knox, Russell3.87200
Ghim, Doug3.77200
Huh, John3.76800
Gligic, Michael3.46800
Smotherman, Austin3.07000
Whaley, Vincent2.97000
Rodgers, Patrick2.87200
Glover, Lucas2.86700
Taylor, Nick2.76800
Taylor, Vaughn2.76400
Sloan, Roger2.76300
Werenski, Richy2.66300
Wallace, Matt2.67000
Dahmen, Joel2.47100
Lipsky, David2.37000
Hoffman, Charley2.36900
Lebioda, Hank2.26900
Wu, Brandon 2.26900
Sigg, Greyson 2.17100
Straka, Sepp2.16700
Hughes, Mackenzie1.97100
Lahiri, Anirban1.96900
Piercy, Scott1.96800
Ryder, Sam1.86700
Johnson, Zack1.86600
Cink, Stewart1.77200
Kizzire, Patton1.77000
Moore, Ryan1.66600
Hardy, Nick1.57300
Lower, Justin1.46700
Schwab, Matthias 1.36900
Kodaira, Satoshi1.36800
Redman, Doc1.26600
Kraft, Kelly1.26500
Malnati, Peter1.16800
Garnett, Brice1.06800
Willett, Danny0.97100
Schenk, Adam0.96700
Percy, Cameron0.96600
Brown, Scott0.96500
Seiffert, Chase0.96500
Herman, Jim0.96300
Stuard, Brian0.96300
Donald, Luke0.96200
Fowler, Rickie0.87000
Hahn, James0.86800
Cabrera-Bello, Rafa0.86700
Villegas, Camilo0.86300
Lee, Danny0.76700
Ramey, Chad0.76600
Martin, Ben0.76500
Cook, Austin0.76500
Paul, Yannik0.66700
Norlander, Henrik0.66400
Hoag, Bo0.66400
Aphibarnrat, Kiradech0.66200
Landry ,Andrew0.66100
Lamb, Rick0.66000
Hickok, Kramer0.56600
Gutschewski, Scott0.56500
Dufner, Jason0.56200
Bryan, Wesley0.56100
Streb, Robert0.46600
Higgs, Harry0.46500
McGirt, William0.46300
Baddeley, Aaron0.46200
Barjon, Paul0.46200
Trainer, Martin0.46100
Watney, Nick0.46000
McGreevy, Max0.46000
Novak, Andrew0.36500
Haas, Bill0.36400
Kohles, Ben0.36400
Kang, Sung0.36200
Reeves, Seth0.36200
Knous, Jim0.36100
Byrd, Jonathan0.26400
Higgo, Garrick0.26400
Brehm, Ryan0.26300
Wu, Dylan0.26300
Stroud, Chris0.26200
Skinns, David0.26100
Phillips, Trent0.26100
Barnes, Ricky0.26000
Bramlett, Joseph0.16600
Chappell, Kevin0.16400
Tway, Kevin0.16400
Hagy, Brandon0.16200
Thompson, Curtis0.16100
Hammer, Cole 0.16100
Love III, Davis0.16000
Van Pelt, Bo0.16000
Gay, Brian0.16000
Griffin, Ben0.06500
Creel, Joshua0.06100
Wolfe, Jared0.06100
Gainey, Tommy 0.06000
Van Der Walt, Dawie0.06000
Drewitt, Brett0.06000
Demorat, Mickey0.06000
ALL OTHER0.0

These projections for The Wyndham are accurate as of 6:09 EST. Top Tier golfers may show a higher % by lock.

My picks for The Wyndham Championship

Top Tier: Henley

Mid Tier: Long

Low Tier: T. Moore

Out in Left Play: Putnam

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: Munoz

FR Leader: Mitchell (Contrarian)

Stix and Spencer of The Bettor Golf Podcast (powered by Win Daily Sports) are back Tuesday night after winning more money than the last Mega Million winner in the last couple of weeks. Spencer explains the model percentages better than anyone and Stix has been making it rain by deleting the problem players that are chalk. I have never heard Spencer speechless before but when Stix said Simpson deserved to miss the cut this week and should miss it there was a silence that was priceless. Spencer quickly recovered and mentioned Stix’s site info like a friend would. Better Golf Podcast Commandments: Thou shall not blasphemy Webb Simpson or Jason Day. So let it be written, so let it be done.

Don’t forget to tune in to The DraftCast, hosted by Joel and featuring Sia and Spencer and the surprise guest who drops by to battle you, the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s every Tuesday night at 8:00 EST and is fun, engaging and educational. Show up, tune in, and help your audience win the week with the best team on the board!

Joel won last week preventing Spencer from his umpteenth three peat. Sia, with the only juris prudence mind on the show used his legal (?) veto to pick Hubbard over McCarthy. Within an hour #Hubbard-gate became a trending tag. Someone in the chat described the audience team as a dumpster fire which means they probably run away with it this week. Sia and Spencer and the guest host had some solid picks, while Joel and Spencer tried to out guess each other on which golfer they could steal from each other. I would expect law enforcement to be called in if it gets more rowdy, but its a hellova lot of fun!

I turned 65 yesterday and got my Medicare card in the mail. So now I get subsidized health care from the lowest bidder in the country. They also deducted the “privilege” from my bank account as well. I’m sure they’ll be useful in 30 years. Someone once asked Abe Lincoln, who was very tall, how long he thought a mans legs should be to be considered a man of stature. Abe replied, “long enough to touch the ground.”

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock! coming

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We had Kenny Kim on this week’s PGA DraftCast + a short episode of Bettor Golf where Nick and I ran through the entire board for DFS and betting.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Sungjae Im ($10,500)  – Sungjae’s form has quietly come back around, as we have seen him average 3.58 shots with his irons and 3.85 with his driver over his last four tournaments with stats present. A significant result might be around the corner, and the presence of Bermuda greens has been the surface where he has found his best success in the past.

Other Considerations – You can make a strong argument for anyone in this range, but with Sungjae pushing 20% as of Wednesday afternoon, I likely will stick my flag in the sand for him and find myself aggressively overweight on the golfer that I think is most likely to win this event.

$9,000 Range

Russell Henley ($9,800) – It is hard to go against my model’s number one golfer for upside. I don’t love the ownership, but the potential is there for him to win this event, which is noteworthy enough to keep him in the pool, especially in single-entry type builds that feature reduced-sized fields.

Corey Conners ($9,600) – The top-ranked golfer in my model for scoring at easy courses, Conners’ ball-striking is perfectly equipped for a test such as Sedgefield.

Tyrrell Hatton ($9,400) – Hatton is a favorite in all his head-to-head matchups at the credible offshore books. I don’t love the price tag, but you are able to create some leverage if you are willing to play him at 15%+ in your MME contests. I would avoid him in other game types.

Other Considerations: Adam Scott ($9,200) and Harold Varner III ($9,000). If you can’t tell already, the entire 9k+ range is worth consideration, but I am picking and choosing my spots with the highlighted players since 1. we can’t play everyone and 2. chalk is condensing in all the same zones.

$8,000 Range

Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($8,400) – Bezuidenhout ranks seventh in this field in proximity between 150-175 yards, and while you can say that is a wonky statistic that doesn’t tell the entire picture, the total driving and putting should be viewed as reminiscent of past winners at the track.

Brian Harman ($8,300) – One of the sharper movers at the offshore books, Harman is the only golfer in this field that ranks inside the top 20 in my model for weighted par-four scoring, overall weighted scoring, weighted total driving and fast Bermuda + three-putt percentage. 

Aaron Wise ($8,100) – Nick said it best on Bettor Golf, “Wise is playing the best golf of his career and is priced next to players beneath him in stature.” In fairness, I paraphrased the hell out of that quote, so much so that it probably shouldn’t have been in quotations, but the overall outline of that sentiment rings true.

Other Thoughts: My model loves Joohyung Kim ($8,600), and he is my preferred of the two Kim’s next to each other, but I will find myself neutral because of the hefty ownership.

$7,000 Range

Mark Hubbard ($7,900) – Hubbard’s most significant deterrent during most events is his lack of distance, but the ability to club down at Sedgefield should give him a boost so he can take advantage of his seventh-place mark in weighted proximity – a total that is 31 spots better than his expected production at a random course. 

Jason Day ($7,800) – Yes, I am the king of maintaining the bit weekly for Webb Simpson and Jason Day, but the weighted proximity is improved for Day to mimic Sedgefield – not to mention the shortened layout and Donald Ross design should fit right into his wheelhouse.

Kevin Streelman ($7,600) Streelman cracks the top-10 of my model when running it for purely upside, which is enough for me to warrant him in GPP contests.

Adam Svensson ($7,500) – As much as I want to fade the chalk, my model likes him too much to ignore.

Alex Smalley ($7,500) – Smalley jumps from 70th to 18th when moving my metrics from ‘driving accuracy’ into ‘good drive percentage.’ That means he has found success in the past when clubbing down, and even if the ownership is trickling up, I like the potential he brings to the table.

Brendon Todd ($7,500) – I worry a little about the irons here for Todd, as he has lost in his past three starts, but this is one of those catch-22 spots where the approach metrics are almost always bad, and the production only gets worse at venues where he can’t take advantage of his accuracy. Thankfully, the second part of that situation will be negated at Sedgefield, with Todd grading third in my model for weighted total driving

C.T. Pan ($7,400) – Pan’s short game went in reverse during his outing in Detroit. Let’s not overreact to one missed cut.

Harris English ($7,300) – Reduced ownership on a golfer that has produced three top-39 finishes at this course over his past three attempts. I know the current form is worrisome, but English is a GPP-only target that does have upside.

Russell Knox ($7,200) – I am not sure I have ever gotten Russell Knox correct, but first in GIR percentage and fifth in overall ball-striking should suit him well at this week’s course.

Andrew Putnam ($7,000) – Putnam’s off-the-tee metrics are 59 spots better over his last 24 rounds compared to his two-year running data, and he ranks fourth in this field for weighted par-four scoring. 

Michael Thompson ($7,000) – Three top-26 finishes in a row for Thompson, who has the game to find success at a driving accuracy contest.

Additional Thoughts: You can view my model for additional thoughts!

$6,000 Range

Justin Lower $6,700, Zach Johnson $6,600

If you haven’t already, follow Win Daily Sports on YouTube and via Apple Podcasts. We’re already hitting big with our NFL content and you are going to want to be a part of that. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late-breaking news and weather reports.

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Here are the links to Bettor Golf and PGA DraftCast

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Patrick Cantlay ($10,700)  – Cantlay ranks first in the field for par-five birdie or better percentage and is also the top golfer for overall birdie or better. With over 40 players an event reaching double-digit totals, expect the American to use that strength to his advantage, and he also grades as the fourth-rated putter in this field to mimic the track.

Will Zalatoris ($10,400) – Is a birdie fest the best venue for Will Zalatoris? Maybe not. But the American does grade as the top player in the field for expected opportunities created, which means if the putter can be marginally above his baseline expectation, there is a chance he runs away with the title. I am willing to bet on that upside at a reduced ownership percentage.

Other Considerations – I have no issues going back to Tony Finau at ($10,600), although I am out on Cameron Young.

$9,000 Range

Max Homa ($9,900) – Homa’s ability to create opportunities and make the putts places him third in this field – not to mention the par-five scoring is also inside the top-15.

Cameron Davis ($9,700) – I don’t care for the ownership, but I love the statistical profile. Davis has a legit chance to compete on the first page of the leaderboard again.

Other Targets: Adam Scott ($9,300)

$8,000 Range

Adam Hadwin ($8,400) – I am always interested in golfers at sub-10 percent ownership who possess top-10 equity in the $8,000 range.

Webb Simpson ($8,300) – Just consider me a broken record at this point. Simpson’s statistical makeup is too good to continue this poor run. The breakout will happen before long.

Other Thoughts: Russell Henley ($8,200) – GPP-Only. Mark Hubbard ($8,000).

$7,000 Range

Si Woo Kim ($7,900) – Kim is always intriguing when he is trending around five percent because of his upside. You would be taking a shot on some of the unknown, but we have gotten extremely positive returns in the past when doing that with him.

Chris Kirk ($7,800) – The offshore market loves Chris Kirk.

Joohyung Kim ($7,600) The price remains similar from last week’s 3M Open, but the ownership will be cut in half.

C.T. Pan ($7,300) – The ball-striking has started to pick up for Pan, who has gained with his irons in 10 of his last 12 and off the tee in seven of nine. 

Rickie Fowler ($7,300) – Fowler graded as a positive value in all iterations of my model.

Michael Gligic ($7,000) – There are some concerns with how the long-term metrics compare to the recent form for Gligic, which always means the ground underneath him could sink at any moment, but his top-40 statistical rank over a two-year sample size is good enough for me to trust that the floor is higher than you might expect. 

Austin Smotherman ($7,000) – Smotherman improves 26 spots in expected putting on this particular green complex – something that could help since he is one of the best ball-strikers in the field. 

Additional Thoughts: Chris Gotterup ($7,400) – I have no issues with the ownership. You will have to make a decision on how aggressive you want to get. Stewart Cink ($7,100)

$6,000 Range

Lucas Glover $6,900, John Huh $6,800, Kelly Kraft $6,700, Matt Wallace $6,700, Justin Lower $6,600, Andrew Novak $6,400, Aaron Baddeley $6,200, Seung-Yul Noh $6,000

*** Noh is my favorite dart throw on the board

If you haven’t already, follow Win Daily Sports on YouTube and via Apple Podcasts. We’re already hitting big with our NFL content and you are going to want to be a part of that. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late-breaking news and weather reports.

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This week we are at TPC twin cities for the 3M Open. St Andrews is so last week and its time to make money in Blaine Minnesota! We have your 3M Open Ownership projections to vault you to the top. Last week Win Daily Sports golf staff member Stix took home 55,000+ from the open after hitting the Scottish Open the week before for 25K+.

Honestly, It’s a Great Service

Someone asked last week why a lot of services have their staff or the owners win and not their subscribers. This was after he won quite a bit riding with Stix’s picks for the Open. Stix put all his favorite golf plays in the Win Daily Sports Discord, and put his most heavily used players in as well. His podcast, Bettor Golf Podcast powered by Win Daily Sports and featuring his partner Spencer Aguilar also gave out the golfers they both used to take down the 55K plus.

Recap

You all know me, I won’t list a player I like unless I have him in a majority of my lineups. It was gratifying to see all those hits for all our members last Sunday and all the previous weeks as well. Our Frisky Risky Biscuit plays, players in the 6K range and under 5% ownership are 9-1 last ten for making the cut and bringing rain. Every single one of our selections made the cut last week and brought value.

Sia’s Secret Weapon, with the same incredibly difficult handicap, is 55-22, that’s a 72% winners mark for golfers that DK has no respect for and then prices in the dumpster bin and that everyone is definitely not on as far as ownership, creating a built in leverage and tremendous upside once they make the cut.

Whether to trust the Weather

Right now there is a slight edge to the am tee times, roughly 1/4 stroke. Please check Discord into this evening as we will have updates on everything weather related well into the night.

Let’s take a look at The The 3M Open Ownership Projections to assist you with roster construction and team building.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYEROWN %SALARY
Finau, Tony28.310500
Davis, Cameron25.88900
Steele, Brendan23.68300
McNealy, Maverick23.59300
Riley, Davis 22.69000
Svensson, Adam22.47600
Matsuyama, Hideki21.810300
Im, Sungjae21.410000
Gotterup, Christopher19.47900
Theegala, Sahith19.19800
Kim, Joohyung 18.97300
Tringale, Cameron18.78800
Hardy, Nick17.68000
Long, Adam16.98600
Poston,  JT15.28500
Hadwin, Adam14.69600
Laird, Martin11.98200
NeSmith, Matthew11.87500
Grillo, Emiliano11.77600
Pan, CT10.77500
Clark, Wyndham10.47500
Duncan, Tyler9.97100
Todd, Brendon9.87700
Merritt, Troy9.47400
Hoge, Tom8.47100
Gligic, Michael7.97000
Smotherman, Austin7.87400
Ghim, Doug7.87300
Tarren, Callum7.77000
Day, Jason6.97800
Buckley, Hayden6.87100
Reavie, Chez6.78700
Fowler, Rickie6.57700
Palmer, Ryan6.37900
Hossler, Beau6.17200
Lashley, Nate6.17000
Frittelli, Dylan5.97600
Schwab, Matthias 5.87200
Cink, Stewart5.77300
Schenk, Adam5.37000
Jaeger, Stephan 5.17000
Champ, Cameron4.97800
Lower, Justin4.96900
Kizzire, Patton4.87100
Lebioda, Hank4.76900
Huh, John4.57100
Glover, Lucas4.47400
Taylor, Nick4.37200
Sigg, Greyson 4.27200
Hodges, Lee 4.17000
Kodaira, Satoshi3.96700
Lee, Danny3.97200
Thompson, Michael3.87300
Noh, Seung-Yul3.76300
Ryder, Sam3.66900
Hadley, Chesson3.47300
Garnett, Brice3.16900
Higgo, Garrick2.97500
Armour, Ryan2.96900
Moore, Ryan2.86800
Cook, Austin2.76700
Hickok, Kramer2.67200
Hoag, Bo2.46800
Barjon, Paul1.96300
Taylor, Vaughn1.86600
Hammer, Cole 1.76500
Bramlett, Joseph1.67000
Matthews, Brandon1.56900
Seiffert, Chase1.56800
Redman, Doc1.46800
Gutschewski, Scott1.46700
Novak, Andrew1.36800
Stuard, Brian1.36600
Dufner, Jason1.36200
Hahn, James1.27000
Hagy, Brandon1.26800
Wu, Dylan1.16700
Kohles, Ben1.16500
Byrd, Jonathan1.16600
Willett, Danny0.97100
Malnati, Peter0.96800
Percy, Cameron0.96500
Stroud, Chris0.96400
Kraft, Kelly0.86900
O’Hair, Sean0.86800
Chappell, Kevin0.86600
Brown, Scott0.86600
Naegel, Chris0.86400
Piercy, Scott0.76900
Higgs, Harry0.76700
Lamb, Rick0.76500
Baddeley, Aaron0.76300
Haas, Bill0.66800
Lingmerth, David0.66700
Norlander, Henrik0.66700
Sloan, Roger0.66500
Bryan, Wesley0.66200
Wolfe, Jared0.66000
Wallace, Matt0.56900
Murray, Grayson0.56600
Skinns, David0.56100
Streb, Robert0.46700
Villegas, Camilo0.46600
McGreevy, Max0.46500
Garrigus, Robert0.46400
Reeves, Seth0.46400
Trainer, Martin0.46100
Thompson, Curtis0.36500
Knous, Jim0.36500
Werenski, Richy0.36400
Atwal, Arjun0.36300
Watney, Nick0.36200
Aphibarnrat, Kiradech0.26400
Kang, Sung0.26400
Hearn, David0.26300
Gainey, Tommy 0.26100
Putnam, Andrew0.17100
Tway, Kevin0.16700
Landry ,Andrew0.16600
Creel, Joshua0.16600
Martin, Ben0.16500
Van Pelt, Bo0.16400
Gay, Brian0.16400
Barnes, Ricky0.16300
Brehm, Ryan0.16300
Choi, KJ0.16200
Van Der Walt, Dawie0.16200
McNeill, George0.16100
Blixt, Jonas0.16100
Henry, JJ0.16000
Goydos, Paul0.16000
Hensby, Mark0.06400
Crane, Ben0.06300
Drewitt, Brett0.06300
Bohn, Jason 0.06200
Trahan, DJ0.06200
Overton, Jeff0.06100
Chalmers, Greg0.06100
Ernst, Derek0.06100
Merrick, John 0.06100
Metzger, Andre0.06100
Every, Matt0.06000
Points, DA0.06000
Davis, Brian0.06000
Chopra, Daniel0.06000
Stadler, Kevin0.06000
Sorenson, Jeff0.06000
Lamely, Derek0.06000
McLachlin, Parker0.06000
Huston, John0.06000
Potter Jr., Ted0.06000
ALL OTHERS 0.0

These projections for The 3M Open are accurate as of 5:59 EST. Top Tier golfers may show a higher % by lock.

My picks for The 3M Open

Top Tier: McNealy

Mid Tier: Tringale

Low Tier: C T Pan

Out in Left Play: Duncan

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: McNealy

FR Leader: Tringale (Contrarian)

Stix along with Spencer of The Bettor Golf Podcast won 55,000+ last week at The Open with a team that included D.J. If he had made the 4 foot birdie putt on 18 Stix would have walked away with 1 million plus. Add 25,000 from the week before, and the countless subscribers who won based on their analysis and picks, and you can see how much they have profited, for themselves and their listeners. It’s on Tuesday evenings at Anchor on Spotify and other channels, listen in, build your teams and make it rain. It’s an every week occurrence.

Don’t forget to tune in to The DraftCast, hosted by Joel and featuring Sia and Spencer and the surprise guest ( lately deep Dive Dave) who drops by to battle you, the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s every Tuesday night at 8:00 EST and is fun, engaging and educational. Show up, tune in, and help your audience win the week with the best team on the board!

Spencer got back in the winners bracket last week, barely squeaking by the audience as they square off for supremacy in the DraftCast. Although he picked first in the draft, Spencer watched as most of his favorite players were snapped up by Joel and Sia and the audience. Sia normally assists the audience but had his own team to build this week, Joel had some solid picks and the audience came up with some sound players as well. Deep Dive Dave was absent this week so we missed out on the new Armani business look for fashion.

A four year old asked his dad where poo came from. His father sat him down and gave him the “bodily function” talk and his son, looking disgusted, looked up and asked, “so is that where tigger and piglet come from too?” Gathering the right golf information can sometimes seem like that.

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock! coming

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There is no Bettor Golf Podcast this week, but here is the link to the PGA DraftCast.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Sungjae Im ($10,000)  – You can’t go wrong with anyone in this range, but Sungjae Im would be my preferred choice since I think we ultimately receive the lowest ownership on him. Sometimes it is just a numbers game when there are only seven players priced above $9,000, but there is a reason all three golfers in this section rank inside the top three of my model for upside.

Other Considerations – Tony Finau $10,500, Hideki Matsuyama $10,300

$9,000 Range

Maverick McNealy ($9,300) – Bentgrass courses that allow birdie-making opportunities has always been where McNealy has thrived, and the pieces feel like they might finally be coming together for him to spring his first victory on the PGA Tour.

Other Targets: I am okay with the idea of finding myself underweight to everyone else. A start of McNealy as your first man in or one of the big-three + McNealy is my ideal roster construction at the 3M.

$8,000 Range

Cameron Tringale ($8,800) – Cameron Tringale feels like one of the better pivots on the board because of his reduction in ownership compared to the rest of the range.

Martin Laird ($8,200) – My intrigue around Laird is coming because of his inflated price tag that has reduced his ownership percentage.

Other Thoughts: Cameron Davis ($8,900) – I don’t love the ownership, but there are ways to be aggressive playing him.

$7,000 Range

Ryan Palmer($7,900) – Palmer ranks sixth in my model at TPC courses and is also second on short par-fours – a range he will get five times at some of the more accessible locations at the track.

Emiliano Grillo ($7,600) – The stats always look better than the finishes, but it is a venue like TPC Twin Cities that could allow Grillo to shine.

Austin Smotherman ($7,400) Smotherman is the number one ball-striker in my model when I recalculated the metrics to mimic the course.

Troy Merritt ($7,400) – The hometown narrative is starting to catch some steam, which I could do without, but the upside metrics are percolating through the page.

Joohyung Kim ($7,300) – Kim is 28/1 to win the event. That has to count for something when every other golfer priced next to him is between 80-100/1.

Danny Lee ($7,200) – Lee is always a bad shot away from potentially withdrawing, but sub-five percent is low enough to bet on the upside.

Tyler Duncan ($7,100) – Duncan grades inside the top-10 of this field in weighted ball-striking and weighted par-four scoring.

Tom Hoge ($7,100) – The classic case of recent form versus long-term metrics. I don’t love the current ownership projection, but Hoge’s upside is probably higher than anyone else in this section if the pieces do come together.

Callum Tarren ($7,000) – Tarren is top-25 in this field for birdie or better and opportunities gained, and the recent putting surge puts him in a position where he only needs a few pieces to come together to land a top-end result. 

Nate Lashley ($7,000) – Lashley ranks first in my model for par-four scoring in this field.

Joseph Bramlett ($7,000) – There is little to no floor for Bramlett, but the potential is there for a golfer that will struggle to exceed two or three percent in popularity

Additional Thoughts: You can use my model to find any plays you might like. This section is massive.

$6,000 Range

Justin Lower $6,900, Satoshi Kodaira $6,700, Kevin Chappell $6,600, Jim Knous $6,500, Seung Yul Noh $6,300

If you haven’t already, follow Win Daily Sports on YouTube and via Apple Podcasts. We’re already hitting big with our NFL content and you are going to want to be a part of that. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late-breaking news and weather reports.

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