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Daily Fantasy Golf

Tee 2 Green PGA DFS Picks: Rocket Mortgage

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Here are the links to Bettor Golf and PGA DraftCast

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Patrick Cantlay ($10,700)  – Cantlay ranks first in the field for par-five birdie or better percentage and is also the top golfer for overall birdie or better. With over 40 players an event reaching double-digit totals, expect the American to use that strength to his advantage, and he also grades as the fourth-rated putter in this field to mimic the track.

Will Zalatoris ($10,400) – Is a birdie fest the best venue for Will Zalatoris? Maybe not. But the American does grade as the top player in the field for expected opportunities created, which means if the putter can be marginally above his baseline expectation, there is a chance he runs away with the title. I am willing to bet on that upside at a reduced ownership percentage.

Other Considerations – I have no issues going back to Tony Finau at ($10,600), although I am out on Cameron Young.

$9,000 Range

Max Homa ($9,900) – Homa’s ability to create opportunities and make the putts places him third in this field – not to mention the par-five scoring is also inside the top-15.

Cameron Davis ($9,700) – I don’t care for the ownership, but I love the statistical profile. Davis has a legit chance to compete on the first page of the leaderboard again.

Other Targets: Adam Scott ($9,300)

$8,000 Range

Adam Hadwin ($8,400) – I am always interested in golfers at sub-10 percent ownership who possess top-10 equity in the $8,000 range.

Webb Simpson ($8,300) – Just consider me a broken record at this point. Simpson’s statistical makeup is too good to continue this poor run. The breakout will happen before long.

Other Thoughts: Russell Henley ($8,200) – GPP-Only. Mark Hubbard ($8,000).

$7,000 Range

Si Woo Kim ($7,900) – Kim is always intriguing when he is trending around five percent because of his upside. You would be taking a shot on some of the unknown, but we have gotten extremely positive returns in the past when doing that with him.

Chris Kirk ($7,800) – The offshore market loves Chris Kirk.

Joohyung Kim ($7,600) The price remains similar from last week’s 3M Open, but the ownership will be cut in half.

C.T. Pan ($7,300) – The ball-striking has started to pick up for Pan, who has gained with his irons in 10 of his last 12 and off the tee in seven of nine. 

Rickie Fowler ($7,300) – Fowler graded as a positive value in all iterations of my model.

Michael Gligic ($7,000) – There are some concerns with how the long-term metrics compare to the recent form for Gligic, which always means the ground underneath him could sink at any moment, but his top-40 statistical rank over a two-year sample size is good enough for me to trust that the floor is higher than you might expect. 

Austin Smotherman ($7,000) – Smotherman improves 26 spots in expected putting on this particular green complex – something that could help since he is one of the best ball-strikers in the field. 

Additional Thoughts: Chris Gotterup ($7,400) – I have no issues with the ownership. You will have to make a decision on how aggressive you want to get. Stewart Cink ($7,100)

$6,000 Range

Lucas Glover $6,900, John Huh $6,800, Kelly Kraft $6,700, Matt Wallace $6,700, Justin Lower $6,600, Andrew Novak $6,400, Aaron Baddeley $6,200, Seung-Yul Noh $6,000

*** Noh is my favorite dart throw on the board

If you haven’t already, follow Win Daily Sports on YouTube and via Apple Podcasts. We’re already hitting big with our NFL content and you are going to want to be a part of that. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late-breaking news and weather reports.

Co-host of the 'Bettor Golf Podcast' and 'PGA Draftcast' here at WinDaily Sports, I was born and raised in Las Vegas, Nevada, and bring a unique approach to how I handicap a DFS or betting slate. I have my own database of statistics that I use to find incongruities in various markets, and I apply that information into a model that is available (and useable) to the public. You can follow me on Twitter @teeoffsports to gain access to that spreadsheet, and I am always more than happy to engage and answer any questions you might have for an event.

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