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NBA dfs

NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/12

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

There are plenty of elite matchups on tonight’s NBA slate. However, the majority of the action resides in the latter part of the schedule. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Brooklyn Nets @ Washington Wizards (+5.5)

Brooklyn Nets (-5.5)

Back to back calls on Kyrie Irving has paid off in tournaments. On tonight’s NBA slate, he’s in another good spot. Over his last ten appearances, Kyrie has scored 20 or more in nine of ten. Moreover, he has averaged 25.2/4.4/4.5 on 51.3% shooting. With the absence of Royce O’Neale from the lineup, Kyrie becomes the primary three-point shooter as well. Washington currently ranks 28th in the league in three-point percentage allowed on 12.6 made attempts allowed per game. This play is for tournaments only, as I much rather get exposure to the next two games.

Washington Wizards (+5.5)

Exposure to the Wizards offense on tonight’s NBA slate depends on the availability of Bradley Beal. After leaving a game against the Lakers over a week ago, Beal has since missed three games and is questionable to play tonight. Should he be ruled out again, the trio of Kristaps Porzingis, Kyle Kuzma, and Deni Avdija will be in for another night of big minutes. The Wizards have been playing on an awfully short rotation this past week, and tonight may be the same case. Should Beal make his return, I’ll fade this game entirely to prioritize the next two.

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Portland Trail Blazers (-4.5)

Minnesota Timberwolves (+4.5)

Karl-Anthomy Towns remains out and there is a lot to like about the trio of Edwards, Gobert, and Russell. While Anthony Edwards has the highest ceiling of the three, his point/dollar upside isn’t ideal in this matchup. Rather, Gobert will be in for a big night against Jusuf Nurkic. Portland currently ranks 24th in the NBA in defensive rating. However, they have been exposed in the paint. Portland struggles mightily on both ends of the floor, ranking 24th in the league against true centers. Moreover, they are 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game. Gobert certainly won’t lead the team in touches, but his efficiency around the rim will be on display. Many shot takers in this game gives Gobert plenty of rebounding opportunity.

Portland Trail Blazers (-4.5)

If you are not fond of the studs in the next game, you should be fond of Damian Lillard in an elite game environment. Despite the acquisition of Rudy Gobert, Minnesota ranks 19th in the NBA in defensive rating. Moreover, they rank 27th against primary ball handlers. If that wasn’t enough for Lillard, Minnesota ranks 29th in three-point percentage allowed and 27th in three-pointers allowed per game. Over his last two games, Lillard has posted 30 or more points each time. He has averaged 38 points per game, chipping in 10 assists per night during that span as well. The shooting efficiency can always be an issue, but Lillard has attempted a whopping 28 three-pointers over his last two.

Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Clippers (+3.5)

Boston Celtics (-3.5)

In the absence of both Al Horford and Robert Williams III, the trio of Tatum, Brown, and Smart will be tasked with heavy minutes tonight. First, Tatum has the highest ceiling of the three, but is tough to fit in builds on this NBA slate. If you can, do so with confidence. Second, Brown has been one of the best shooting guards in the league this season. A model of consistency, Brown has scored 20 or more points in 23 of 25 appearances this season. Moreover, he is second on the team in usage rate at 31.2% while averaging 26.8/7.2/3.6 on 50.1% shooting. Lastly, Smart has a safe floor but low ceiling. He is in a great spot as a ball handler versus the Clippers and is easier to fit in midrange builds. Moreover, Smart has five or more assists in his last twelve games, averaging 13.7/3.3/8.2 on 49.2% shooting during that span.

Los Angeles Clippers (+3.5)

It might be time to finally deploy Kawhi Leonard with confidence on an NBA slate. This certainly won’t come with any risk, given that he has been in and out of the lineup since returning from a torn ACL. However, he has played 30 minutes in back-to-back appearances. Moreover, with Boston being without both Al Horford and Robert Williams III, a smaller Celtics lineup may force the Clippers to do the same, resulting in more rebounding opportunity for Leonard. If you’re uncertain of Leonard, then Paul George is one of the better targets in a thin Clippers offense. PG13 has averaged 32.5/7.5/6.5 on 48.9% shooting in his last two games and will be relied upon heavily tonight.

Honorable Mentions:

Miami Heat @ Indiana Pacers (+2.5)
Atlanta Hawks @ Memphis Grizzlies (-6.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/09

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Tonight’s NBA slate is one of the most interesting ones of the season. There are plenty of studs going head to head, while many will fly under the radar despite elite performances lately. It’s a Fajita Friday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Many key players are currently listed as questionable. Should they sit out, the slate can be altered in a drastic way. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Washington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers (-5.5)

Washington Wizards (+5.5)

Kristaps Porzingis will be completely overlooked on this NBA slate. However, he shouldn’t be. Over his last five games, KP has been on an absolute tear. The Wizards big man has averaged 28.8/10.4/2.6 on 50% shooting during that span, while scoring 20 or more points in every appearance. Moreover, he leads the team with a 30.3% usage rate. A tough matchup looms against Myles Turner, but he is listed as questionable. Should he miss this game, Porzingis is set to dominate the paint on both ends of the court. However, Porzingis himself is also questionable, making Kyle Kuzma one of the most popular plays on the slate if the former sits out.

Indiana Pacers (-5.5)

Without hesitation, Tyrese Haliburton is an elite play on this NBA slate. Similarly to Kristaps Porzingis, Haliburton will be overlooked considering the number of studs on this slate. Over his last 14 games, Haliburton has posted double digit assists in 12 appearances with ten double-doubles. However, I also want to highlight Buddy Hield in the midrange of the pricing grid. Over his last three appearances, Hield has averaged 21.7/7.7/3 on 45.1% shooting, including 45.5% from deep. The Wizards currently rank 24th in the NBA in three-point percentage allowed on over 12 makes allowed per night.

Atlanta Hawks @ Brooklyn Nets (-6.5)

Atlanta Hawks (+6.5)

Despite the letdown at the Garden, Trae Young will be one of the most popular studs on this NBA slate. Not only is John Collins still out, but Dejounte Murray has been ruled out for the next two weeks and De’Andre Hunter is questionable to return to the lineup after a three game absence. On the season, Young leads the team with a 34.1% usage rate and has posted 1.31 fantasy points per minute. However, with Murray off the floor, Young sees increases to an outrageous 43.7% usage rate and 1.60 fantasy points per minute. A short memory is key in NBA DFS after poor performances and it certainly applies to Trae Young here tonight.

Brooklyn Nets (-6.5)

Exposure to the Nets offense is far from a must on tonight’s NBA slate. However, Kyrie Irving has massive upside in the midrange of the pricing grid. With the field likely flocking to a player in the same range as Irving in the next game, the Nets point guard will essentially go unrostered. In his last appearance, Kyrie turned in his first 30-point performance since October 29th. The sheer presence of Kevin Durant limits his ceiling, and with the return of Ben Simmons to the lineup, this is a pure tournament play only.

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Utah Jazz (-2.5)

Minnesota Timberwolves (+2.5)

The player referred to above is Anthony Edwards. Likely to be one of the most popular options on the NBA slate, be wary in this one. While Edwards has posted phenomenal statistics with Karl-Anthony Towns out over his last three games, the majority has come in unsustainable practice. Edwards has three straight games with 26 or more points while Towns has been out, averaging 27/4.7/5.7 on 48.3% shooting. However, he has topped 50 fantasy points in two of three games, large in part to his ridiculous 5.67 steals per game during that span. Moreover, Utah ranks 6th in the NBA in turnover percentage, taking care of the ball nearly every possession they can.

Utah Jazz (-2.5)

Exposure to the Jazz is already interesting with Collin Sexton ruled out. However, should Lauri Markkanen miss a second straight game, Jordan Clarkson and Malik Beasley will shoulder the load on offense. We need to take a wait-and-see approach here, but Utah is one of the most key injury reports to monitor on this NBA slate. Look for updates in Discord once we get confirmation on Markkanen and Mike Conley.

Honorable Mentions:

Sacramento Kings @ Cleveland Cavaliers (-5.5)
Los Angeles Lakers @ Philadelphia 76ers (-3.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/08

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

The NBA is back with another six teams in action tonight. Similarly to how we saw on Tuesday, strategy is key on small slates. It’s a Thirsty Thursday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

With only six teams in action tonight, a single injury or rotation change can alter the slate. Moreover, these are teams that have the most complicated injury reports in the league. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Los Angeles Clippers @ Miami Heat (OTB)

Los Angeles Clippers (OTB)

There is no way to analyze this rotation until we see the Clippers’ final injury report. Thankfully, this is the first game on the NBA slate. With so many players missing the front end of their back-to-back, LA can have a thin rotation tonight, depending on how the dominos fall. Both Paul George and Kawhi Leonard, who played last night, are rest candidates, in addition to Reggie Jackson. Moreover, John Wall, Marcus Morris Sr., Norman Powell, and Luke Kennard all missed last night’s game. There will be plenty of value in this game, beginning with the Clippers.

Miami Heat (OTB)

Similarly to the Clippers, the final injury report for the Heat will dictate how the chips fall. The biggest domino of them all is the availability of Jimmy Butler, who is questionable due to conditioning. Should he miss a second straight game, Tyler Herro instantly becomes one of the most popular plays on the NBA slate. Herro has now posted 20 or more points in four straight contests, averaging 26.3/6.8/5.8 on 53.4% shooting through a 26.5% usage rate. The status of Jimmy Butler truly dictates how the Heat will look, which we’ll have to wait on.

Houston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs (+2.5)

Houston Rockets (-2.5)

Should Kevin Porter Jr. miss this game, Jalen Green becomes one of the most enticing options on tonight’s NBA slate. While he has been inconsistent with his shot, Green faces a San Antonio defense that ranks 26th in the league versus combo guards. Moreover, Green leads the team in usage rate this season, but sees a drastic shift in production with KPJ off the floor. His usage rate climbs to 33.5% from 28.9%, while his fantasy points per minute increases from 0.99 to 1.13. Elsewhere, Alperen Sengun gets a friendly matchup versus a Spurs interior that ranks 25th in the league versus true centers. Moreover, the Spurs rank 29th in points allowed in the paint per game with over 54 allowed nightly.

San Antonio Spurs (+2.5)

Issues are piling up for the Spurs. Not only is their injury report ridiculously lengthly, but they are 1-16 in their last 17 games. However, they are a mere underdog in this matchup. Jakob Poeltl, Keita Bates-Diop, Jeremy Sochan, and Blake Wesley are all out. Meanwhile, Devin Vassell is doubtful to play. Thus, both Tre Jones and Keldon Johnson are in for a heavy workload on offense tonight, flanked by the likes of Doug McDermott and Josh Richardson. There is also potential value here with Isaiah Roby and the rest of their frontcourt. In summary, make sure to check our projections to see where the value lies because it is with the Spurs on tonight’s NBA slate.

Denver Nuggets @ Portland Trail Blazers (+1.5)

Denver Nuggets (-1.5)

While I hopefully talked you off on Nikola Jokic in their matchup versus Dallas, where he posted a mere 42 fantasy points, I’m hoping to talk you into him tonight. Now, this strategy is only feasible if the Spurs value grades out well in my projections. However, should it do so, the back and forth between Jokic and one of four Trail Blazers is the route to take on this NBA slate. Despite only being third on his team in usage rate at 26.5%, Jokic has the upside to dominate this matchup. Portland currently ranks 24th in the NBA against true centers. Moreover, Jusuf Nurkic and Jerami Grant have two of the worst defensive ratings amongst qualified players. If you choose to go the Keldon Johnson/Tre Jones route with Spurs exposure, then Aaron Gordon/Jamal Murray/Bones Hyland are the Nuggets you can look at.

Portland Trail Blazers (+1.5)

After missing seven games, Damian Lillard made his return to the lineup last game in a victory against Indiana. Lillard posted over 40 fantasy points in his return, but did shoot 7-for-16 from the field. However, he did make five three-pointers on ten attempts. Denver currently ranks 19th in the NBA in three-pointers allowed per game, while also ranking 20th in three-point percentage allowed. Similarly to the strategy described above with Jokic, should you choose the midrange route for Portland, then Anfernee Simons and Jerami Grant are the targets. Specifically, Grant has posted 27 or more points in six straight games. During that span, Grant has averaged 32.2/2.8/3.7 on 47.7% shooting through a 32.6% usage rate.

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/07

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Some teams are on back-to-backs, while a key rotation is sitting out the majority of their starters. The NBA fantasy landscape changes drastically leading up to lock, and tonight will be no different. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks (-1.5)

Atlanta Hawks (+1.5)

Trae Young has been inconsistent on offense lately, but whenever he’s playing in the Garden, you have to take notice. By now, everyone knows the history that lies between Young and the city of New York, dating back to the 2021 NBA Playoffs. Additionally to the narrative, the Knicks currently rank 29th in the NBA to primary ball handlers. Moreover, they rank 28th in three-pointers allowed per game. He’s in a tremendous spot, but can’t fault you for being concerned about his recent output. Should you not go to the top of the pricing grid with Young, do not hesitate to go right back to the well with the trio of AJ Griffin, Jalen Johnson, and Jarrett Culver without both John Collins and De’Andre Hunter still out.

New York Knicks (-1.5)

Tom Thibodeau continues to search for answers in his rotation and cannot find any. Recently, Cam Reddish has fallen out of the rotation, similarly to how Evan Fournier has for quite some time. Thus, there are few options of interest here. The trio of Julius Randle, Jalen Brunson, and RJ Barrett are in for a heavy workload on offense tonight. However, I also want to mention Quentin Grimes and Immanuel Quickley. The Hawks currently rank 27th in the NBA versus off-ball guards. Grimes has a low floor, but has logged 26 or more minutes in eight straight appearances. Meanwhile, Quickley has only seen 20 or more minutes in three of his last five. Don’t force exposure to the Knicks tonight.

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Memphis Grizzlies (-6.5)

Oklahoma City Thunder (+6.5)

If you’re looking for a back and forth between two elite guards, this is the game for you. Over his last seven appearances, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has topped 30 points in every one. Moreover, he has averaged 31.7/5.1/6.1 on 44.4% shooting during that span. While the field will see his lackluster performance against Memphis in their last game, I’m counting on the fact that this keep him rostered at a lower number than he should be. With a certain stud point guard in the next game ruled out, there is arguably to better option at the position on this NBA slate than SGA.

Memphis Grizzlies (-6.5)

Ja Morant has been removed from the injury report, and the Memphis value from their last NBA slate is gone. However, there are different ways to get exposure to this offense in an elite game environment. Morant is the obvious choice, but by doing so, you’re committing the primary contributions of your lineup to a single game. This is more than fine given the studs in this matchup, but if not, use the Memphis frontcourt. With OKC running a much smaller lineup than Memphis, Steven Adams will likely see less than 30 minutes in this game. Thus, things open up for Jaren Jackson Jr., Brandon Clarke, and Santi Aldama. OKC currently ranks 26th in the league versus centers while allowing over 54 points in the paint per game, ranking 27th in the NBA.

Golden State Warriors @ Utah Jazz (+1.5)

Golden State Warriors (-1.5)

The field will flock to this game and rightfully so. Golden State is sitting out three of their five starters with Steph Curry, Andrew Wiggins, and Draymond Green all ruled out. Thus, Jordan Poole instantly becomes the most popular option on the NBA slate. On the season, Poole is sporting a 27.5% usage rate and 1.03 fantasy points per minutes. However, his usage jumps to 32.6% in six starts this season. Moreover, with Curry off the floor, Poole carries a whopping 35.2% usage rate and sees his fantasy points per minute increase to 1.15. Utah currently ranks 20th in the NBA against primary ball handlers, while also sitting 25th in defensive rating.

Utah Jazz (+1.5)

The potential return of Mike Conley complicates a backcourt that is already riddled with talent in Jordan Clarkson, Collin Sexton, and Malik Beasley. However, he will almost certainly be on a minutes limit, if he makes his return. While both Sexton and Beasley are going to see the biggest decrease in volume of the trio, both Jordan Clarkson and Lauri Markkanen will still carry this offense. Golden State has struggled with its perimeter defense this season, most notably versus combo guards. This bodes well for Clarkson, who has scored 20 or more points in eight of his last ten games. Over that span, Clarkson has averaged 22.5/3.6/4.8 on 44.8% shooting, leading the team in usage rate at 28.1%.

Honorable Mentions:

Los Angeles Lakers @ Toronto Raptors (OTB)
Indiana Pacers @ Minnesota Timberwolves (-4.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/06

Richard Masana 2 years ago

written by Richard Masana

There are only six NBA teams in action tonight but there is no shortage of intriguing headlines. The King makes his return to Cleveland, while both Miami and Dallas are on the second half of a back-to-back. It’s a Taco Tuesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Only three games are on the schedule tonight. Therefore, a single injury or lineup change can alter the slate and popularity of players. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat (OTB)

Detroit Pistons (OTB)

Barring any added injuries throughout the day, there is little intrigue in the Pistons offense tonight. Jaden Ivey has the highest upside of the bunch, but I prefer another guard in the last game of the NBA slate at a similar price point. Elsewhere, Bojan Bogdanovic can certainly shoot well from deep in this one with the Heat ranked 27th in the league in three-pointers allowed per game. Additionally, the duo of Marvin Bagley and Isaiah Stewart see a bump in the frontcourt should Bam Adebayo be ruled out, but only in that specific scenario.

Miami Heat (OTB)

We are going to need some value to roster some of the studs discussed below and this is the game to get it. Now, at the time of writing, I am fully anticipating Jimmy Butler sitting out on the second half of a back-to-back. With Detroit being without Cade Cunningham for the foreseeable future, the Pistons are set to be contending for the top of the lottery. Thus, there is no reason for Miami to push Butler, who is dealing with a knee injury. Moreover, Tyler Herro is dealing with an ankle injury, and Max Strus is nursing a shoulder issue. There is no confirmation on who the Heat will sit out, but I’m banking on the fact that is is a lengthly injury report to provide immense value on this NBA slate.

Los Angeles Lakers @ Cleveland Cavaliers (-4.5)

Los Angeles Lakers (+4.5)

Look out for the rejuvenated Lakers! Is this team still a championship contender? One can argue no, but you can certainly argue in favor of LeBron James and Anthony Davis being one of, if not the strongest duo in the NBA right now. Over his last nine games, Davis has been on an absolute tear. The All-NBA talent has posted double-doubles in every one of those appearances with 25 points or more in every one. Moreover, he has averaged 35.3/15.6/2.7/1.2/2.9 on 64.8% shooting during that span. Additionally, Davis currently leads the league in rebounds per game and is second in blocks. A tough matchup looms against Evan Mobley and a potential return for Jarrett Allen to the lineup, but Davis has entered the conversation for being unfadeable right now.

Cleveland Cavaliers (-4.5)

If you’re looking for a potentially overlooked player that can contend with the slate’s best, it’s Donovan Mitchell. The back and forth between he and Darius Garland on offense can cause headaches on offense, but one of the two is set to dominate here. Mitchell currently leads the team in usage rate at 31.3% with Garland right behind him at 28.3%. Moreover, the same trend lies true in the Cavs’ last five and ten games. Mitchell has a higher upside due to his shotmaking and minutes splits. With the Lakers ranked 28th in the NBA against primary ball handlers, both Mitchell and Garland are firmly in play, but I prefer the former.

Dallas Mavericks @ Denver Nuggets (-4.5)

Dallas Mavericks (+4.5)

There should be no doubt that Luka Doncic can lead any NBA slate in scoring. Not only that, but he is one of few players in the league who can produce at a level that alters fantasy sports in indescribable ways. However, as good as he is, playing Doncic on DraftKings tonight forces you into an ugly lineups structure. On FanDuel, it is much more doable. Thus, I’ll have exposure to him on the latter rather than the former. It’s a bold stance to take, but you have to plant your flag on small slates. No exposure to this offense on DraftKings, with Doncic firmly in play on FanDuel.

Denver Nuggets (-4.5)

Similarly to Luka Doncic, there is another international star that can shift an NBA slate like only a few in the league could. Nikola Jokic certainly has a sizeable advantage over Dwight Powell and Christian Wood on the inside, but the Mavericks actually rank first in the league against true centers. They collapse the paint well, but this leaves the perimeter open. Thus, Jamal Murray is a great way to get exposure to Denver if you’re not playing Jokic. Over his last five games, Murray has averaged 23.2/3.8/5.6 on 50% shooting. Moreover, he has the second highest usage rate on the team at 29.1% over that span.

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/05

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

There are plenty of elite options on this NBA slate. Thankfully, there are a few game environments and matchups that stand above the others. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

A few players are making their returns from injury tonight while others remain out. Moreover, there will be injury reports to be monitored since some teams are on back-to-backs. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

OKC Thunder @ Atlanta Hawks (OTB)

OKC Thunder (OTB)

Josh Giddey is resembling a fellow combo guard in this game. While his style of play translates to that of Dejounte Murray, it won’t be Giddey seeing him on defense, but rather Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Thus, this is a tremendous spot for the former. Because Murray guards primary ball handlers, Atlanta currently ranks 24th in the NBA against off-ball guards. As a result, Trae Young is currently ranked 15th-worst in the league as a qualified defender. Through his last 13 games, Giddey has scored ten or more points in 12 of them. In that same span, he has averaged 15.7/8.8/5.9 on 47.6% shooting and is second on the team in usage, minutes, scoring, and assists, while leading the team in rebounding.

Atlanta Hawks (OTB)

Although Trae Young is expected to be returning to the lineup tonight, there is still plenty of value with both John Collins and De’Andre Hunter out. On their last slate, the trio of AJ Griffin, Jarrett Culver, and Jalen Johnson were crucial to our subcribers. Not only were they ignored by the field, but they combined for over 90 fantasy points for a little over $11,000 in salary. Tonight, on an NBA slate where value will be needed to roster multiple studs, this is the spot to be.

Phoenix Suns @ Dallas Mavericks (-4.5)

Phoenix Suns (+4.5)

If you’re looking for a back and forth between two of the league’s best, this is the game for you. I’d spend time talking about the history between Devin Booker and Luka Doncic, but there’s only so many hours in a day. If you’re unfamiliar with what has happened between these two, start at last season’s Conference Finals and you’ll find out soon enough. Over his last three games, Booker has led the Suns to a 2-1 record, at the time of writing. One win by blowout, one tight win, and one tight loss. During that span, Booker has posted 40 or more points in all three affairs, averaging 45.3/5.3/6 on 66.7% shooting, including 57.9% from deep.

Dallas Mavericks (-4.5)

I mentioned it briefly above, but seriously, look into the history between Doncic, Booker, and these two franchises over the last season. Also mentioned is the fact that, at the time of writing, the Suns are 2-1 in their last 3: one win by blowout, one tight win, and one tight loss. Well look no further, but the Mavericks are also 2-1 in their last 3 with, you guessed it, one win by blowout, one tight win, and one tight loss. Doncic didn’t quite match Booker’s three 40-point efforts, but the former does have 30 or more in three straight. Over that same span, Doncic averaged 35.3/8.3/9.7 on 52.1% shooting. The writing is on the wall for this one – enjoy the show.

Indiana Pacers @ Golden State Warriors (-8.5)

Indiana Pacers (+8.5)

Both of these teams have injury reports to monitor in one of the best game environments on the NBA slate. The Pacers find themselves on the second half of a back-to-back, meaning some players may sit. Most notably, Tyrese Haliburton has been nursing a groin injury. We’ll have the see how things shake out with their final injury report, but I’m certainly keeping an empty spot for a late swap in the event players are ruled out for the Pacers.

Golden State Warriors (-8.5)

The Warriors are dealing with injuries of their own in this one. Both Andrew Wiggins and Jordan Poole are questionable to play. However, Klay Thompson is back in the lineup and he is the main interest on offense, aside from Curry. The Pacers currenly rank 23rd in the NBA in three-pointers allowed per game and three-point shooting percentage allowed. This bodes well for Thompson, who is arguably one of the best shooters to ever take an NBA court. Dating back to November 1st, Thompson has made two or more three-pointers in 12 of 13 appearances. Moreover, he has posted 19.8 points per game during that span with an average of 4.3 three-pointers made per contest, shooting 41.5% from deep.

Honorable Mentions:

Boston Celtics @ Toronto Raptors (+1.5)
Miami Heat @ Memphis Grizzlies (-2.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/02

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

The majority of the NBA was off yesterday but we have a loaded slate in its return. Multiple teams are dealing with the injury bug, while others are struggling to overcome early season woes. It’s a Fajita Friday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Despite the day off yesterday, many players have already been ruled out tonight. Moreover, there are lengthly injury reports heading into tonight’s action. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Denver Nuggets @ Atlanta Hawks (-2.5)

Denver Nuggets (+2.5)

We already knew the Nuggets were banged up heading into the season. Jamal Murray was recovering from an ACL tear, while Michael Porter Jr. was healing from a recurring back injury. Now, the latter is out for tonight’s game with a heel injury, which marks his sixth absence this season. In their absence, Nikola Jokic will shoulder the load on offense. Moreover, his support case of Bruce Brown and Aaron Gordon have been playing at high levels this season. However, the interest here lies in Jokic. His opponent currently rank 23rd in the NBA against true centers. Additionally, Jokic has posted a 26.8/11/8.8 scoring line on 66.7% shooting across his last four games, sporting a 28.3% usage rate.

Atlanta Hawks (-2.5)

We hit big on a Trae Young masterclass the other night versus Orlando, but the Hawks rotation is riddled with value tonight. Both John Collins (ankle) and De’Andre Hunter (hip) left last game and did not return. Additionally, the two have already been ruled out for tonight’s game. Thus, we are going to see a heavy dose of AJ Griffin and Jarrett Culver tonight, in addition to Onyeka Okongwu if Clint Capela (ankle) is ultimately ruled out. Although the usage will be modest, the Hawks duo represent some of the best value plays on the NBA slate.

New Orleans Pelicans @ San Antonio Spurs (+7.5)

New Orleans Pelicans (-7.5)

Even with CJ McCollum likely to return tonight, Zion Williamson is an elite target on tonight’s NBA slate. In the absence of Brandon Ingram, it’s been Williamson who has carried the Pelicans to a 3-1 record over their last four games. Moreover, Zion has posted two 30-point efforts during that span, averaging 25.5/8.5/4.5 on 68.3% shooting. The Spurs currently rank 28th in the NBA in points in the paint allowed per game and will be without their best defender in Jakob Poeltl.

San Antonio Spurs (+7.5)

The Spurs are heavy underdogs in this game but if they want to keep it close, it will be because of Devin Vassell and Keldon Johnson. The latter gets the more favorable matchup on the wing, but the former has been performing exceptionally well as of late. Keldon Johnson faces a Pelicans defense that currently ranks 29th in the NBA against wings, in addition to avoiding a matchup against Herbert Jones since he has been ruled out. However, it is Vassell that is the better of the two targets for tournaments. Across his last seven games, Vassell has posted a 22.3/4.3/3.7 scoring line on 47.4% shooting, including 44% from deep.

Indiana Pacers @ Utah Jazz (-4.5)

Indiana Pacers (+4.5)

Look out for Myles Turner on tonight’s NBA slate. Not only has the Pacers center been playing at an elite level on both ends of the floor, but he gets a phenomenal matchup as well. On the season, Turner has averaged 17.1/8.3/1.5 on 52.8% shooting. Moreover, he has chipped in nearly 1.5 three-pointers per game, shooting 37.7% from behind the arc. On the defensive side of the ball, Turner is second in the league with 2.6 blocks per game. Utah currently ranks 29th in the NBA against true centers, making this matchup appealing as ever. Be sure to keep an eye on the status of Tyrese Haliburton, who is questionable to play with a groin injury. Should he be ruled out, there is plenty of value to be had with Bennedict Mathurin and TJ McConnell.

Utah Jazz (-4.5)

Exposure to the Jazz offense is enticing tonight. There is only one spot to avoid against the Pacers defense: Myles Turner. The big man is quite the disadvantage for the duo of Kelly Olynyk and Jarred Vanderbilt. Thus, the trio of Lauri Markkenen, Jordan Clarkson, and Collin Sexton are the desired options. By now, you know the kind of season Markkanen has been having and he has the safest floor of the three. However, the guard duo has tremendous upside in this matchup. Indiana struggles mightily against primary ball handlers, off-ball guards, and combo guards. Clarkson has 20 or more points in seven of his last eight games, while Sexton has averaged 17.6/2.6/7.2 on 60% shooting over his last five games.

Honorable Mentions:

Los Angeles Lakers @ Milwaukee Bucks (-8.5)
Orlando Magic @ Cleveland Cavaliers (-9.5)
Chicago Bulls @ Golden State Warriors (-6.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 11/30

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Elite game environments and head-to-head matchups amongst some of the league’s best headlines tonight’s NBA slate. Some teams are playing on short rotations, while others scramble to find new rotations to avoid falling in the standings. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

There have already been multiple players ruled out ahead of tonight’s slate with more to come. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Atlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic (+5.5)

Atlanta Hawks (-5.5)

If you think Orlando can keep this game relatively close, than Trae Young is someone to monitor at the top of the pricing grid. The Magic currently rank 25th in the NBA versus primary ball handlers and have poor perimeter defenders. Before failing to miss the 20-point mark in his last game, Young has scored 20 or more in eleven straight. Moreover, he leads the team in usage rate, scoring, assists, and field goal attempts per game. It’s a hefty price to pay and by no means necessary, but the ceiling is there in an elite game environment.

Orlando Magic (+5.5)

Many players in this rotation are out, while a few make their return after long absences. Wendell Carter Jr., Jalen Suggs, and Chuma Okeke are all out, while Mo Bamba is questionable. Meanwhile, Markelle Fultz and Cole Anthony will be on minutes limits in their first action in quite some time. The key player to monitor here is Mo Bamba. Should he be ruled out, Bol Bol shifts to the power forward spot in a phenomenal matchup against John Collins. His scoring output has been inconsistent, but with 10 or more points in three of his last five games, he makes for an intriguing tournament play given all the injuries to this roster.

San Antonio Spurs @ OKC Thunder (-5.5)

San Antonio Spurs (+5.5)

One of the best spots for value on the entire NBA slate. Both Jakob Poeltl and Jeremy Sochan have been ruled out for this game, leaving plenty of opportunity in the frontcourt. Additionally, Keita Bates-Diop is listed as questionable, as is Josh Richardson. Should the two miss this game as well, plenty of minutes will be there for Zach Collins, Charles Bassey, and Doug McDermott. Since returning to the lineup, Collins has posted an 8/7.5/1 scoring line on 50% shooting, while McDermott has averaged 15 points per game in those two games.

OKC Thunder (-5.5)

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (ankle) is currently questionable to play. Should he miss this game, Josh Giddey will be one of the most popular plays on the NBA slate and rightfully so. The Spurs currently rank 27th against combo guards. Moreover, Giddey has tremendous upside on the glass with the Spurs frontcourt missing two of the best rebounders. The only interest I have in this offense is if Gilgeous-Alexander misses this game, so keep an eye on the final injury report.

Toronto Raptors @ New Orleans Pelicans (-2.5)

Toronto Raptors (+2.5)

With Pascal Siakam making his return to the lineup, do not feel forced to get exposure to this offense. However, if there is a spot for OG Anunoby to make his mark, it’s in this matchup. The Pelicans currently rank 29th in the NBA versus wings. Moreover, Anunoby has scored 20 or more points in four of his last five games, posting a 24/5.6/3.2 scoring line on 50% shooting. The usage rate will always fall behind Fred VanVleet and Pascal Siakam, but Anunoby has the best matchup of the three.

New Orleans Pelicans (-2.5)

With Brandon Ingram (toe) ruled out for a second straight game, the value is there once again with the Pelicans on this NBA slate. CJ McCollum (health and safety protocols) has been cleared to play, but his conditioning may not be there after missing three games. Thus, it looks as though Zion Williamson is set to lead the offense once again. Moreover, the backcourt will pick up the slack in the absence of Ingram and potentially McCollum. Jose Alvarado is set to see heavy minutes in this one once again, while Dyson Daniels makes for an intriguing option off the bench should McClollum sit out.

Honorable Mentions:

Indiana Pacers @ Sacramento Kings (-4.5)
Portland Trail Blazers @ Los Angeles Lakers (-5.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 11/29

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Only six teams are in action tonight. However, there are plenty of NBA stars facing off against one another, while a few others have already been ruled out. It’s a Taco Tuesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

With only three games on tonight’s schedule, a single injury can alter the look of lineups. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

New York Knicks @ Detroit Pistons (+3.5)

New York Knicks (-3.5)

Despite what the Pistons final injury report looks like, the Knicks have an intriguing player in the midrange of the pricing grid. With 27 or more points in four straight games, including 30 or more in his last three, Jalen Brunson is carrying this offense. Through his last four appearances, Brunson has posted a 30.8/3.3/6.3 scoring line on 51.8% shooting through a team-leading 31.3% usage rate. The Pistons currently rank 27th in the NBA against primary ball handlers and have the league’s 29th ranked defense.

Detroit Pistons (+3.5)

There won’t be a confirmation on how to get exposure to the Pistons until their final injury report is released. With four of five starters currently listed as questionable, including all of whom missed their last game, the Pistons can either be a popular source of value or targets in the midrange. The Knicks currently rank 11th in the NBA in pace and 27th in defensive rating. Thus, this will be a game environment that is far from one to avoid.

Golden State Warriors @ Dallas Mavericks (+1.5)

Golden State Warriors (-1.5)

Obviously, Steph Curry is the primary target on this Warriors offense. Not only is Curry posting better numbers than his unanimous MVP season, but he is leading the team in usage rate and scoring, while being second in rebounds and assists. If you are not getting exposure to the Warriors with Curry, you need to be doing so elsewhere. On their current five-game winning streak, the Warriors support cast have been elite. Both Klay Thompson and Andrew Wiggins have averaged over 20 points per game on over 50% shooting. Moreover, Draymond Green has averaged 11.3/5/9 while logging 31 or more minutes in every game. The Mavericks are last in the NBA in pace, but the Warriors offense is in another great spot.

Dallas Mavericks (+1.5)

Outside of Luka Doncic, there is little to be excited about when it comes to the Mavericks’ fantasy outlook. Despite being on a four-game losing streak, Doncic has continued to dazzle. The NBA MVP candidate has posted a 28.8/7.3/9.5 scoring line on 53.2% shooting during that span. However, he has little support. Spencer Dinwiddie has a safe floor in this game environment, but other guards take priority of him; he is not a bad play by any means, but lacks upside. Christian Wood is another target given the lack of depth at the center position on this NBA slate. However, with the Warriors playing Green more at the ‘5’, Wood will have a tough time in the paint on both ends of the court. Nonetheless, the Mavericks will shift Dwight Powell to the bench quickly in favor of Christian Wood if they want to stay in this game, making the latter an intriguing target despite the tough matchup.

Los Angeles Clippers @ Portland Trail Blazers (-2.5)

Los Angeles Clippers (+2.5)

With the trio of Paul George, Kawhi Leonard, and John Wall all ruled out for tonight, there is plenty of value on this Clippers offense. Ivica Zubac is fresh off a ridiculous 31/29/3 game and gets a phenomenal matchup against Jusuf Nurkic, making him the popular option at the thin center position. He is in a good spot, but be wary of chasing another big game. Elsewhere, with both Wall and Kennard missing in the backcourt, the trio of Reggie Jackson, Terence Mann, and Norman Powell will get many looks on offense. While all three are volatile given their dependence on their scoring output, Mann has the safer floor of the trio due to his upside on the glass and with his ball handling.

Portland Trail Blazers (-2.5)

Damian Lillard is slated to miss another game with his injury. Thus, Portland should be one of the first rotations you go to on this NBA slate. With Justice Winslow replacing Shaedon Sharpe in the starting lineup, the bench is getting little to no minutes. Joining Winslow are Simons, Hart, Nurkic, and Grant. Of the four, Jerami Grant is the most intriguing. Yes, Anfernee Simons has the higher upside as the primary shooter, but Grant gets a friendly matchup versus a defense that ranks 28th in the NBA versus wings. Over his last five games, Grant has scored in double digits in every one, posting a 25.2/2.8/2.6 scoring line on 45.8% shooting. There should be interest in Nurkic, Simons, and Winslow as well in an overlooked game on a small slate.

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 11/28

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

There is a strong possibility that many stars will be missing on this NBA slate. Injury reports are already riddled with questionable tags and there are surely more to come. However, there are a few games that stand out above the rest amongst the uncertainty. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

While some players have already been ruled out, the availability of many more is up in the air. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

OKC Thunder @ New Orleans Pelicans (-4.5)

OKC Thunder (+4.5)

Assuming Brandon Ingram (toe) misses this game, the Pelicans backcourt is extremely overmatched tonight. The duo of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Josh Giddey have been leading one of the most entertaining offenses the NBA has to offer. Over their last four games, the Thunder are only 1-3, but they have averaged 118.25 points per game. During the same span, SGA and Giddey have usage rates of 33.1% and 24.4%, respectively, which are the top two on the team. Moreover, SGA continues to lead the team in scoring with a 30.8/5.8/7 scoring line over his last four, while Giddey has averaged 14.5/7.8/6. SGA has a higher ceiling in terms of raw points, but Giddey has one of his own given his rebounding and assist upside.

New Orleans Pelicans (-4.5)

CJ McCollum remains out for this game and it looks like Brandon Ingram (toe) will be joining him. Currently listed as doubtful, the Pelicans backcourt will be a popular spot for value on this NBA slate. The duo of Jose Alvarado and Devonte’ Graham will both see a notable uptick in minutes should Ingram miss this game. In their last three games, both Alvarado and Graham has been efficient with their time on the court. The duo sport usage rates of 15.9% and 21.1%, respectively, while combining for 22.3 points per game. Zion Williamson instantly becomes the primary option on offense should Ingram be ruled out, but this rotation will be highlighted by the value it brings to the table.

Chicago Bulls @ Utah Jazz (-3.5)

Chicago Bulls (+3.5)

The Bulls take on a reeling Jazz squad and are all affordable. Moreover, the Jazz are ranked 24th in the NBA in defensive efficiency, making this game environment one of the best on the slate. There are four players of interest here: DeMar DeRozan, Zach Lavine, Nikola Vucevic, and Patrick Williams. While the duo of DeRozan and Lavine have the higher ceiling of the trio, Vucevic has the best matchup. The Bulls center has four double-doubles in his last five games where he has sported an 18.4% usage rate. Moreover, he has posted a 14.2/11.4/4 scoring line on 49.2% shooting. The Jazz rank 29th in the league against true centers, giving him the ceiling he needs at an affordable price tag. Lastly, Patrick Williams makes for an intriguing value play. He has now logged 26 or more minutes in four straight games, scoring in double digits in all four.

Utah Jazz (-3.5)

Exposure to the Jazz will depend on the status of Lauri Markkanen. Currently battling a knee injury, Markkanen collided with Deandre Ayton the other night and it did not look good. However, there has been no confirmation just yet, so be sure to monitor this injury report closely. Utah has drastically condensed their rotation and it makes for an interesting scenario for fantasy purposes. In a matchup against the Bulls, Collin Sexton, Jordan Clarkson, Malik Beasley, and Kelly Olynyk will log heavy minutes in a fast-paced environment. The Bulls are weakest on the wing, meaning Beasley will be intriguing off the bench, but look for updates in Discord once we get confirmation on Markkanen.

Indiana Pacers @ Los Angeles Lakers (-4.5)

Indiana Pacers (+4.5)

At the top of the pricing grid, Tyrese Haliburton is an intriguing play for tournaments. Not only does he currently lead the NBA in assists per game with 11.1, but the second ranked player, Trae Young, averages 9.1. There is a sizeable improvement in Haliburton’s playmaking and a matchup against a Lakers defense that ranks 28th versus primary ball handlers is hard to pass on. However, both Myles Turner and Buddy Hield are intriguing options as well. The two have been at the center of trade rumors with their opponent and certainly have something to prove. Turner will have no minutes concern given the need to have him match Anthony Davis in the paint, while Hield gets a friendly matchup versus a Lakers defense that ranks 27th against wings.

Los Angeles Lakers (-4.5)

Exposure to the Lakers depends on the status of Anthony Davis. While LeBron James is also listed as questionable, there is little doubt that he will play. However, a calf injury forced Davis to miss the second half of a back-to-back against the Spurs. Nonetheless, there are elite options are both ends of the pricing grid here. Obviously, at the top, both James and Davis are strong options. Moreover, Dennis Schroder has now logged 20 or more minutes in four straight games. While he is clearly the third, if not fourth option on offense, he has been efficient on offense with limited opportunity while posting just under one DraftKings point per minute. Not only do the Lakers lead the NBA in pace, but their opponent is ranked sixth.

Honorable Mentions:

Atlanta Hawks @ Philadelphia 76ers (-1.5)
Phoenix Suns @ Sacramento Kings (-1.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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