Michael Rasile is joined by Nick Bretwisch to look at and discuss 2020 wide receiver evaluation. Nick breaks down the top 30 thoroughly to give an understanding of who you should be looking to grab and who not to touch. They then look at the upside players towards the end of your draft to make sure that you’ll have some potential on your bench.
Understanding who is being drafted where is something that will help you decided when it’s time to draft an elite wide receiver or when you should wait. With running back being very thin and wide receiver being very thick, we run through the top 60 giving insight on who else you may be able to grab instead.
The great debate of which Tampa Bay wide receiver to take might be just as exciting as if we forgot about how good AJ Green was.
Listen to the episode below and don’t forget to subscribe and leave a 5 star review
You can also listen on these platforms
Apple Podcasts
Spotify
Anchor
Follow Nick -> https://twitter.com/StixPicks
Check out Nick’s articles on Win Daily Sports -> https://windailysports.com/author/nbretwisch/
Check out the QB Evaluation and RB Evaluation
Win Daily Sports Discord Chat -> https://discord.com/invite/KEFD2Kr
Make sure to follow Win Daily, too!
https://www.instagram.com/windaily/
https://twitter.com/windailysports
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCY2I3VNyf_dtW-2xl5vwv0Q
https://www.twitch.tv/windailysports
https://windailysports.com/
The slate of wide receivers is incredible as we are approaching teams clinching playoff spots. There are some spots where you can afford some expensive receivers and some cheaper options with a good upside. Let’s dive into the best wideouts for Cash Games, GPP and who you should avoid with our Week 15 Wide Receiver DFS Picks.
Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!
If you’d like to see more of my DFS work click here! Also, Follow me on Twitter @VinPensabene
Julian Edelman is going to have the most targets for the Patriots and has been doing well lately. In the last three games, he is averaging seven catches for 98 yards. Those were against Kansas City, Houston, and Dallas, which are leagues above the Bengals defense. Edelman also has a touchdown in each of the last two games. I don’t think any defensive back on the roster can stop Edelman so expect a nice 100-yard game out of him.
Jarvis Landry is the number one option for Baker Mayfield and going against the worst pass-defending team in the NFL. When he went up against another struggling defense in Miami, Landry had 13 catches for 148 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Expect one of the biggest statistical games of the season for Landry.
Stefon Diggs is still one of the best receivers in the game. He is a deep threat with seven plays of at least 40 yards. The only issue is that he has four fumbles on the year as well so ball security is the biggest weakness. The Chargers are solid against the pass but with a handful of their defensive backs on the injury report means trouble against a speedy receiver. Expect a solid game out of Diggs to keep Minnesota in the NFC North race.
Hopkins is a catching machine as he is at 93 receptions thus far, which ranks only behind Michael Thomas. Tennesee is in the Top 10 with passing yards allowed per game, but the last time they faced a solid number one receiver, Tyreek Hill had 157 yards. The Titans struggle with the upper echelon of receivers and DeAndre Hopkins should have a great game.
He only has six targets in each of the last two games so it seems like Philip Rivers is transitioning away from him as of late. Minnesota forces turnovers so the time of possession could be heavily favored towards the Vikings as well, limiting the opportunities that Keenan Allen would have to make an impact. Xavier Rhodes has been limited in practice due to an ankle injury but is expected to play against the Chargers. With Rhodes covering him for most of, if not all of the game, expect Allen to be held under his average and not worth the price.
Julio Jones is still one of the best receivers in the league and the 49ers are coming off a game where they seemed like any offense would cause problems. However, the Saints offense is a completely different animal than the Atlanta offense. San Francisco is still the best team defending the pass with only 150.8 passing yards allowed. Expect a few catches but nothing that will make you regret the decision to fade him in your DFS contests this Sunday.
Chris Godwin, O.J. Howard and Danny Amendola over 17.5 receptions.
Chris Godwin is going to be Jameis Winston’s biggest target as Mike Evans is listed as doubtful so I expect around seven catches for him. O.J. Howard has seen his targets increase the past two weeks as well so expect a handful of catches for him as well. Danny Amendola is good for about five catches himself and that should get you right at 18. This one might be tight but the over should still hit.
Week 14 is here and the window to hit big in NFL DFS is closing soon. Read my injury analysis of Dalvin Cook and the fades/plays across the league to help optimize your lineups. Let’s get to it. Note that all of the following prices are from FanDuel.
Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!
Josh Jacobs ($7,400)
Jacobs came out this week and said that he has a “fractured shoulder” and he “just plays through it” which I find extremely odd. The assumption here is that if the shoulder is truly fractured, the medical staff doesn’t believe it is bad enough to shut him down. The most commonly fractured parts of the shoulder are the upper arm and the shoulder blade, but really there’s no way to know exactly what the injury is. What we do know is that Jacobs has seen a significant decline in targets in neutral and negative game scripts going from 5 to 3 to 1, and somehow to 0 (that’s zero) targets in a 40-9 loss to the Chiefs in Week 14. This decline in targets correlates perfectly with a shoulder injury as any type of scapulothoracic and glenohumeral elevation (i.e. raising arms to catch a ball)
With that said, Jacobs is a fade in cash games for me and I’m not confident using him in tournaments either until further notice. Unfortunately, neither Jalen Richard or Deandre Washington are usable in either formats.
Greg Olsen ($4,900)
Olsen is dealing with his third documented concussion which means he’s entered the point of no return in terms of predicting a quick return to play. It also doesn’t help that he’s nearing age 35 and the brain’s plasticity naturally declines with age. All of this means that Olsen is in legitimate jeopardy of missing Sunday’s game against the Falcons. He didn’t practice on Wednesday, and if he’s inactive on Sunday, Ian Thomas ($4,000) becomes an enticingly cheap option against the Falcons who’s defense gives up passing yards like it’s their job. Consider Thomas a cash game play in order to jam in your studs on this slate.
Update: Olsen did not practice Thursday again. He’ll have to clear protocol before early Sunday morning to play.
Taylor Gabriel ($8,00)
Gabriel remains in the concussion protocol following his second of the season and is in jeopardy to miss Week 14. In his absence Anthony Miller ($10,500) has come into his own as a second year starter and makes for an excellent tournament play in a game that the Bears should be down. Consider Miller a play in cash games as well in the showdown slate.
Update: Gabriel has officially been ruled out.
Dalvin Cook ($8,700)
If I title my DFS article “Injuries- Dalvin Cook/Fades/Plays” I should probably give a thorough analysis on Dalvin Cook, so here it goes. Tuesday Mike Zimmer said Cook is “fine” and didn’t offer many details about the injury. Cook offered us more insight and said his injury is “weird” but that he’ll be good to go for Week 14. He also added that the defender who caused the fumble “hit him good” in the spot that has been bothering him since the Vikings played the Broncos. Although the video of Cook fumbling in the third quarter is not great, the fact that the injury is labeled by the team as “chest” coupled with the video itself, leads me to believe that Dalvin Cook is dealing with a sternoclavicular (SC) joint injury.
Now, these injuries can be very painful but much like the AC joint, the potential for dislocation is the primary concern. If Cook takes a hit in the right spot, the clavicle can be knocked out of socket causing a whole host of issues that would land him on the IR.
With all that said, Cook has a decent chance to play this week depending on his practice activity, so be sure to check back in with me during the week. This injury makes Cook a fade in cash which is unfortunate considering this salivating matchup with Detroit who is awful against the run. The risk of dislocation and/or re-injury to the SC joint is too great for me personally trust him. Even if Cook is active, there is a chance that Alexander Mattison’s ($5,100) role is expanded to protect Cook in what should be an easy win for the Vikings. Obviously Mattison is the play here in tournaments, but consider pivoting to the Vikings defense ($4,800) in cash who should bully rookie David Blough now that he’s put some game on film.
Adam Thielen ($7,300)
It is obvious at this point that Thielen’s hamstring injury was made much worse by him trying to come back too early in Week Nine. He did not practice on Wednesday, but Thursday and Friday will be much more telling. Regardless, I can’t see Thielen playing this week, but even if he does he’s a fade in all formats due to the injury’s history. This vaults Stefon Diggs ($8,000) into consideration for cash games and tournaments as his floor and ceiling have been solid with Thielen out.
Update: Thielen did not practice again on Thursday and will need to at least participate in Friday’s practice to have a shot to play. I’m not confident in this happening.
Julio Jones ($7,800)
Jones is recovering from (what I believed to be) an AC sprain that he suffered in Week 12. The consensus from the reports are that Julio would have given it a go on Thanksgiving if not for the quick Thursday turnaround. Although Jones has not provided many ceiling games this season, I like him as a contrarian play in cash games this week against an atrocious Carolina defense that just fired their defensive minded coach Ron Rivera.
Austin Hooper ($6,600)
Hooper is recovering from an MCL sprain that he suffered about a month ago. The injury was a grade II sprain and has kept him out of practice until Monday this week. He’s now on track to play on Sunday barring any setbacks, but he’s on my “prove it” list before I play him in cash games. If Hooper still cannot go on Sunday, consider Russell Gage ($5,700) in tournaments who has done just fine filling in for the injured pass catchers of the Falcons. Atlanta plays Carolina in Week 14, a franchise who just fired their head coach and is in disarray. This could be a big game for the Atlanta offense.
Tyler Lockett
Hear me out. I get it, Lockett has only one catch over two games, but we have to consider the circumstances. In Week Ten, Lockett suffered a significant contusion to his lower leg that caused a two night hospital stay. That contusion lingered through the bye and showed in Week 12 as he tied a season low 19 routes run, a number that has dipped that low only one other time all season. Then in Week 13, Lockett was dealing with the flu but still played against the Vikings. In that MNF game, Locket played a season low 87% of snaps and saw five fewer targets than his season average. These numbers come against a struggling Minnesota secondary that ranks 14th in pass DVOA. I get into the numbers in my tweet thread below:
After the win on Monday night, Lockett was quoted as saying “I’ve been sick all week. I just want to go to bed.” What I’m saying here is that this is the window to play Tyler Lockett at low ownership in cash against a Rams secondary that is ranked 12th in pass DVOA.
Update: After not practicing on Thursday or Friday leading up to Week 13, Lockett is not even listed on the practice report for Week 14. As the kids say it might once again be Tyler Lockett SZN.
Evan Engram
Despite the fact that he hasn’t practiced since Week Nine, Engram has told reporters he’s optimistic about his return in Week 14. I’m not sold on this optimism as his foot injury has lingered as serious foot/ankle injuries tend to do. If Engram is active I’m fading him in cash. If he’s inactive yet again, fire up either Rhett Ellison (concussion) or Kaden Smith in tournaments against this Eagles defense who just got torched by the fightin’ Ryan Fitzpatricks.
Thank you for reading Injuries- Dalvin Cook/Fades/Plays. Hopefully I was able to provide some insight on this week’s injuries and provide potential fades/plays. Good luck in DFS this week!
THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE.
Thanksgiving is a beautiful holiday that brings together everything we love: family, good food, and a mini slate of DFS. This week will be different as I’ll be putting out two separate fade/play injury articles. Because of the short week, the Thanksgiving Injury Fades/Plays article is at a disadvantage, but I’ll do my best to project every significant injury that could affect lineups this week. So let’s dive in. Keep in mind that all of the following prices are from DraftKings.
Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!
Jeff Driskel ($5,500)
Normally I wouldn’t mention a player like Jeff Driskel in the Thanksgiving Fades/Plays article but he is the Lions starter, it’s a shortened slate, and he’s dealing with a hamstring strain. Matt Patricia doesn’t say a whole lot, but even he admitted on Tuesday that Driskel’s hamstring is “pretty sore” which led to- checks to google again- David Blough taking first-team reps. Driskel is at serious risk for missing Thursday’s game but even if he’s active his rushing ability will likely be capped. Ultimately this means that at just $2,500 the Bears defense is an absolute steal regardless of Driskel’s game status.
Update: David Blough will officially start for the Lions tomorrow.
Taylor Gabriel ($4,300)
Gabriel is out with this third documented concussion, so first and foremost I hope he’s doing well as a human. His absence will open up opportunities for Anthony Miller ($3,900) who over the last two weeks has seen 20 targets and totaled 12 receptions. Miller should garner serious consideration in tournaments on Turkey Day.
Update: Gabriel has officially been ruled out. Smash the Bears DST in all formats.
Julio Jones (7,300)
Jones injured his shoulder at some point in the first half on Sunday, but I’m having a difficult time identifying when and exactly what happened. Video analysis can usually give me more context, but I can’t find anything definitive. The best I can come up with is an AC injury (think James Conner) late in the second quarter when he was taken down over the middle of the field. The hope is that since he came back to play later in the game that the injury is not serious despite missing two practices this week.
Jones hasn’t put up great numbers this year, but if he’s active it’s difficult to envision not sprinkling him into a few lineups based on his history of playing through injuries. An added layer to this story is that shut down corner Marshon Lattimore, who held Jones to three catches for 79 yards in Week Ten, returned to practice from his own injury last Friday. Lattimore has continued practicing in a limited fashion this week and has a chance to play. So in conclusion, this is where I stand on Jones:
Due to the context of this slate, there is obviously little clarity as of now, so bookmark this article for updates as the next day and a half unfolds. Understand that because of the murkiness to Jones’ injury he’s a more volatile play than usual, but still usable.
Update: Julio Jones is officially considered questionable for Thursday night. He certainly does not need to practice to play, but there is some cause for concern.
Devonta Freeman ($5,100)
Freeman is making his return from what appears to be grade I turf toe, which has a reputation of lingering. Despite the fact that Freeman is the only show in town at running back for the Falcons, it’s difficult to suggest him in cash. The primary reason for the lack of confidence is that the Saints are ranked 8th in rushing DVOA but are middle of the pack against the pass. In a game that the Saints are favored by more than a touchdown, Freeman could see a few targets, but considering his injury I’m only trusting him in tournaments. To Freeman’s credit, he has stayed relatively healthy this season missing only two games with a minor injury. After not having played a full season since 2016 and missed almost the entire 2018 campaign, it seems Freeman’s offseason work is benefiting him.
Austin Hooper ($5,900)
Hooper is highly unlikely to return this week, so look at the previously mentioned receivers to fill the void.
Update: Hooper has officially been ruled out.
Thank you for reading the Thanksgiving Injury Fades/Plays article! Also, utilize my post-Thanksgiving Injury Fades/Plays piece scheduled for Saturday. I’ll discuss Adam Thielen, T.Y. Hilton, Damien Williams, Evan Engram, and several other injuries DFS players are itching to hear about. Until then, be sure to check back with me as updates for the Thanksgiving slate roll in.
THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE.
Featured image courtesy of Georgia National Guard.
This report will provide NFL DFS touches and targets for the Week Seven 11-game main slate. I will break down players into three tiers: High, mid, and low.
69 Targets (2nd in NFL), 45 Receptions (3rd), 11 yards per reception, 242 YAC (1st), Four TDs.
I just don’t see how you do not roster Cooper Kupp this week. The Falcons defense has certainly seen better days. They are the worst team in the NFL in getting to the QB, logging only five sacks through their first six. An ineffective pass rush combined with a very beatable secondary would yield a Falcons defense that his given up over 331 yards through the air over their last three games. Cooper Kupp averages 11 receptions per game and is so good after the catch. He is Jared Goff’s go to, who I also expect to have his best game in 2019.
56 Targets (5th in league), 40 Receptions (5th in league), 11 yards per reception, Two TDs.
It looks like everyone is going to hit the snooze button on Deandre Hopkins, but if I were you I would absolutely keep him in your player pool. He is going to sneak up on us one of these slates where he is sub 10% owned, like this week. He has an excellent matchup and even despite his lackluster fantasy performance as of late, he still see’s a 28% target share within the offense, fourth best in the NFL.
30 Targets, 24 Receptions, 10 yards per reception, Four TDs. 36% RZ target share**
I want to start out by saying that I think T.Y. Hilton is grossly underpriced on DK given his history against the Houston Texans. In 14 career games, Hilton averages nine targets, five receptions, and 103 yards per game. Houston consistently gets burned by WR’s in 2019 (Thomas, Allen, Ridley, Hill, and even Ginn Jr.) so I’m more than okay with eating the chalk here. You just can’t ignore what he has done in the past and what he is doing this season, he is the Colts one true weapon and I expect a big Sunday.
Honorable Mention: Keenan Allen ($7500 FD|$6700 DK), Adam Thielen ($7100 FD|$6900 DK).
44 Targets, 30 Receptions, 17 yards per reception, Five TDs. Fourth most deep targets in NFL (13).
Grand Master Minshew had a bit of a the struggle last week in what ended up being a defensive slug fest. I fully expect a bounce back from the rookie QB and there couldn’t be a better spot than against the Bengals. Cincinnati isn’t as bad through the air (241 YPG) as they are against the rush (184 YPG), but still bad enough in coverage that I can see D.J. Chark continue his dominance. It is also worth noting Dede Westbrook is listed as a game-time decision on Sunday, James O’Shaugnessy TE OUT, and George Swain TE OUT. Rookie TE Josh Oliver will see his first career start.
Woods: 51 targets, 31 receptions, 11 yards per catch, one TD.
Cooks: 37 targets, 23 receptions, 15 yards per catch, one TD.
The same applies as I talked about with Cooper Kupp. Robert Woods is another receiver who is great with YAC (173) and gets his fair share of targets (51). Brandin Cooks is always boom or bust, but if he Booms for two deep bombs you’ll be on the outside looking in. Definitely worth a shot in tourneys, I would alternate between the three Rams receivers in multiple lineups.
48 targets, 33 receptions, 11 yards per reception, Two TDs.
If you’re wanting to spend up at tight end in Week Seven , Evan Engram is your top option. If you don’t know by now, the Arizona Cardinals are the worst defense in the NFL against tight ends, allowing nearly 25 FPTS per game. The Cardinals do get Patrick Peterson back, which will certainly help, but they’ve struggled for a couple years against the position, even when he is healthy.
I put Tyler Lockett in here just so I can advise you not to play him. Marlon Humphrey is like super glue and has shut down the likes of Odell Beckham Jr., JuJu Smith-Schuster, Tyler Boyd, and Sammy Watkins. Tyler Lockett is no where near the caliber of the first two listed so I can see Marlon shutting this guy down easily, forcing the ball to DK Metcalf who I actually do like. He will draw softer coverage and the Ravens have been bad against WR2. Marcus Peters was traded to the Ravens and will play on Sunday, bolstering a weaker secondary.
88% Snap Share. 37 Targets, 31 Receptions, 11 yards per reception, One TD.
George Kittle is a premier tight end option on a week to week basis. I’m not crazy about the spend up but if you’re looking for a safe floor, he is a good option with Deebo Samuel out this Sunday.
99% Snap Share. 52 targets, 35 receptions, 12 yards per recption, Two TDs.
The outing between the Giants and Cardinals screams pass funnel game. These two teams are both in the bottom three in terms of passing yards per game. They are also two of the fastest paced offense in the 2019 season. There’s a lot of love to go around with Christian Kirk slated to play, and David Johnson said he will be good to go for Sunday. I will have exposure to all three key offensive pieces in tournaments, including Kyler Murray.
31 Targets, 16 Receptions, 21 yards per reception (1st in NFL), Two Tds.
I’m a bit nervous about this play, I really need to see how Marcus Peters lines up with the defense, but it’s hard to say at this point. The Ravens are prone to giving up huge plays, particularly to the WR2 position. Seattle is 17th in the league in terms of big plays and Baltimore is giving up an average of 6.3 yards per play, third worst in the league.
47 Targets, 33 Receptions, 12 yards per reception, Three TDs.
I’m pretty sure I’d rather spend only $100 more for Evan Engram on FD, but love Mark Andrews low price on DK. He hasn’t seen less than seven targets in any game this season and logged another healthy week of practice. Hollywood Brown will likely not start this game, increasing Andrews target share. The Seahawks give up the fourth most FPTS to opposing tight ends (15.4 FPTS per game).
38 Targets, 27 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Four TDs.
I want exposure on the Atlanta side of this high implied total with the Rams vs. Falcons, but I’m not interested in spending up for Julio Jones. Calvin Ridley has seen a steady share of targets (one game with less than six targets) and should see at the very least see another six targets in a game where Atlanta is going to have to rely on their passing game to keep up with the average of five TDs per game that the defense has given up over their last three games.
51 targets, 42 receptions, 11 yards per reception, Three TDs.
Atlanta won’t be running the ball this game and Matt Ryan is averaging close to 50 throws per game, Hooper should plenty of looks at home. Austin Hooper has only one game with less than six targets.
Josh Allen has been an absolute monster against the Dolphins, averaging 300 yards per game through the air, and over 100 yards on the ground. John Brown can take the top off of any defense and Miami, as we all know, is bottom three in every statistical category on defense. I question how often the Bills throw in this game, but I can see Brown easily reaching value with a big play or two.
Honorable Mention: Tyler Boyd (CIN) ($5600 FD|$5600 FD), Auden Tate (5900 FD|$4500 DK)
Near min price on both sites, lining up at the WR1 for Oakland with no Tyrell Williams.
Minimum price on both sites, lining up at the WR1 position for Green Bay with Devante Adams out, Marquez Valdes-Scantling doubtful, and Geronimo Allison ruled out.
Josh Oliver is below minimum price on both sites and will be the lone tight end with James O’Shaugnessy and George Swaim confirmed out this week. The absence of Dede Westbrook would be a huge boost for the rookie tight end making his 2019 season debut. Oliver should have an immediate role in the Jacksonville offense.
Honorable Mention: Cole Beasley ($5600 FD|$4700 DK) Dante Pettis ($5100 FD|$4100 DK)
Did you enjoy this piece of content? Sign up for our premium gold membership today!
Follow us on Twitter
Featured Image via Keith Allison
This report will provide NFL DFS touches and targets for the Week Six 10-game main slate. I will break down players into three tiers: High, mid, and low.
77% Snap Share. 44 Targets, 26 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Four TDs.
Another down week for Julio Jones in Week Five. I have to imagine he’s going to have a big game sooner rather than later, and he gets the matchup for it in Week Six. Matt Ryan has the third most passing yards through six weeks (1636) and other than the Colts game has thrown 43 times or more. Julio Jones should get plenty of targets this week.
100% Snap Share. 44 Targets, 31 Receptions, 11 yards per reception, Two TDs.
Same applies as above, DeAndre Hopkins hasn’t quite gotten things going yet but draws a favorable matchup against a very weak K.C. secondary. Ownership should be identical for Fuller and Hopkins so I will definitely have shares of both, just not paired with Watson.
91% Snap Share. 43 Targets, 32 Receptions, 16 yards per reception, Five TDs. Fourth best fantasy point per game output for WR’s (22).
Amari Cooper comes in as my top rated receiver for the Week Six slate. He is seeing a nice target share on a week to week basis (26%) and is facing a bottom 10 defense vs. the pass. Not to mention the Jets are missing two more defensive lineman on top of C.J. Mosley this week, so I can see the Cowboys having their way in New York.
77% Snap Share. 30 Targets, 20 Receptions, 15 yards per reception, Five TDs. 42% red zone target share**
I know the big debate this week is play Stefon Diggs or Adam Thielen. My personal take is I favor Thielen just based on his red zone utilization. He is seeing a ton of looks down towards the goal line and that’s what we want if we’re going to pay off his salary. The Eagles are in the bottom six against the pass and we saw Kirk Cousins turn things around against a lowly Giants defense last week. I’m not necessarily crazy about Cousins this week, but a good matchup for the receivers nonetheless.
Honorable Mention: Michael Thomas ($8200 FD|$8400 DK), Michael Thomas ($8200 FD|$7800 DK).
100% Snap Share. 39 Targets, 28 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Three TDs.
Will Fuller reeled in 14 of his 16 targets for 217 yards and three TD’s in Week Five. I like both Deandre Hopkins and Fuller against a pourous K.C. secondary and expect a high scoring shootout. I will have equal shares of both in my lineups.
Tyreek Hill is back from a clavicle injury and you shouldn’t hesitate to plug him in. Having him back in the Chiefs offense will really open things up and he naturally will draw a majority of the targets.
48% Snap Share. 39 targets, 28 receptions, 11 yards per reception, Three TDs.
Not quite the fantasy output I expected from Andrews in Week Five, but they did face a Pittsburgh defense that has made vast improvements on defense and after all, it was an AFC North matchup. It looks like Marquise Brown is highly likely to play after coming down awkwardly on his ankle during his lone touchdown reception last week. This will instantly give Mark Andrews a boost and he almost always has the advantage over opposing safeties. This week is no different.
93% Snap Share. 45 Targets, 29 Receptions, 11 yards per reception, One TDs.
Zach Ertz has seen seven or more targets in every game this season and is a big chain mover in the middle of the field. He is one of the better players in terms of YAC and offers high upside again here this week with Alshon Jeffrey being mainly used in the red zone. I do think this game could be a sneaky shootout so keep consider Ertz as a tournament play in Week Six.
88% Snap Share. 29 Targets, 23 Receptions, 10 yards per reception, One TD.
Another tight end to consider if you’re trying to pivot off of Hooper at a similar price is George Kittle. Other than Week two against the Bengals, Kittle has seen eight or more targets. Vegas currently has this game pegged at a 50 point game total. We could see a shootout here with the Rams giving up 271 yards or more in their last three games and Aqib Talib is out so that should open things up even more. If you like a SF stack this weak I would pair Jimmy Garoppolo and Kittle.
99% Snap Share. 44 targets, 29 receptions, 12 yards per recption, Two TDs.
Christian Kirk is listed as a game-time decision this Sunday so I’m back on Larry Fitzgerald. He comes in at a great price again considering how much Atlanta is giving up through the air their last three games (317). If David Johnson is anything short of 100% this will only increase the target share for Fitz in Week Six.
93% Snap Share. 47 Targets, 31 Receptions, 11 yards per reception.
The Rams are at home with one of the higher implied totals on the slate. They have a pass heavy offense, averaging 46 pass plays per game (second most). Cooper Kupp is where most will naturally levitate to if they’re getting exposure to this game, but Woods is a top five receiver in terms of targets and YAC (173). He may not have found his way into the end zone yet, but he has big play upside in an NFC West tilt where the Rams need to find a way to win if they have a chance to keep up with San Francisco and Seattle for the division.
96% Snap Share. 36 Targets, 30 Receptions, 12 yards per reception, Three TDs.
I’m looking at this play mostly due to low ownership. His target share has gone down the last two weeks and he will draw a Cleveland Browns defense who have been fairly stingy against the pass, sacking the QB 16 times (7th best) and allowing just over 200 yards per game through the air. Despite the tough matchup, I think Carson can really open things up in the pass and Russell Wilson has a way of getting things done, even under pressure.
78% Snap Share. 32 Targets, 21 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Three TDs.
I’m not crazy about Calvin Ridley’s 14% target share, but he plays in an offense that is passing the ball almost 50 times per game. The Falcons and Cardinals are also top ten in terms of offensive pace, and their defenses both are subject give up a lot of points through the air. I am prioritizing Julio Jones, but I do like exposure to Ridley just based on sheer volume in a high passing offense.
95% Snap Share. 29 targets, 20 receptions, 17 yards per reception, One TD.
Michael Gallup has had a very solid floor in DFS NFL through his first three starts. He has seen seven or more targets and 14 targets in his last game against GB. I don’t expect Cowboys to be playing from behind, so he likely won’t draw quite as many targets in Week Six, but I do love the safe floor he provides at a very nice price on both sites.
Case Keenum is back under center for the Week Six tank bowl. Miami, as we all know, has been absolutely horrendous on all facets of defense. They are giving up the second most yards through the air (296) and the most on the ground (175). Redskins aren’t far behind in terms of offensive efficiency, but I do think the Dolphins are outmatched, even by Washington. Terry McLaurin has seen seven or more targets in every outing this season and now has Keenum back under center.
Honorable Mention: DJ Chark Jr. (JAX) ($6500 FD|$5500 FD)
100% Snap Share. 37 Targets, 23 Receptions, 10 yards per reception, One TD.
63% Snap Share. 12 Targets, 9 Receptions, 18 yards per reception, One TD.
73% Snap Share. 16 Targets, 12 Receptions, 10 yards per reception, One TD.
82% Snap Share. 36 Targets, 29 Receptions, 10 yards per reception, One TD.
96% Snap Share. 31 Targets, 22 Receptions, 8 yards per reception, Zero TDs.
75% Snap Share. 16 Targets, 12 Receptions, 17 yards per reception, Two TDs.
45% Snap Share. 21 Targets, 11 Receptions, 12 yards per reception, Zero TDs.
81% Snap Share. 30 Targets, 15 Receptions, 13 yards per reception, One TD.
Did you enjoy this piece of content? Sign up for our premium gold membership today!
Follow us on Twitter
Featured Image via Keith Allison
Week 6 in the NFL is all about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value GPP plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.
David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here!
David also won back-to-back GPPs!
There will be updates closer to lock. Check back Sunday morning.
We have a handful of elite quarterbacks in elite spots this week. I don’t think you want to “punt” QB in Week Six NFL DFS.
Stud Quarterback: Matt Ryan ($8,000 FD,$6,400 DK)
My top guy this week has got to be Matt Ryan, who is going up against the terrible Arizona Cardinals pass defense. They have given up 12 touchdowns (2nd most in the NFL) through the air in the first five games. The ONLY thing the Atlanta Falcons have is an elite passing game. The Dirty Birds are ranked only behind Kansas City and the Rams in total pass offense. Ryan has 12 touchdowns (2nd in NFL) and over 300 yards in ALL five games. The Atlanta run game is non existent so Ryan will need to continue to push the ball down the field by airing it out to Julio Jones, Calvin Ridley, Mohamed Sanu and Austin Hooper.
It is also not wise to try and run against the Cardinals rush defense. They have surprisingly only given up two scores on the ground the entire season. Dan Quinn better attack what works against the Cardinals here if he wants to try and crawl out of that hot seat he is on with Arthur Blank. Ryan is 100% safe in cash games, and will be on my main lineup in GPPs. Lock him in with Hooper and whichever other wide receiver you can fit.
Stud Quarterback Pivots: Patrick Mahomes (should play, low ownership), Lamar Jackson, Deshaun Watson
Mid Quarterback: Kyler Murray ($7,700 FD, $6,500 DK)
The last two weeks the quarterback who played the Falcons has been on the Millionaire Maker team (Mariota and Watson). Marcus Mariota bounced back from an embarrassing zero touchdown game against the Jaguars to throw three touchdowns in ATL and last week Watson threw for five. Are we seeing a pattern here? Kyler’s bounce back game starts at 4:05 ET this Sunday. The Falcons have given up 12 receiving touchdowns this season. Murray has been about as constant (of a fantasy scorer) as you could hope for early in his rookie season. He is a dual threat QB who can score through the air or on the ground. The last two weeks he has run for a touchdown in both games. Last week he ran for 93 yards against Cincinnati and threw for 253. Murray’s upside versus this defense and price makes him a nice mid tier NFL DFS play this week.
Mid Quarterback Pivots: Dak Prescott, Russell Wilson
I have zero interest in any cheaper quarterbacks.
Update: Kamara popped up with ankle issue at Thursdays practice. Bumping him down slightly. I am liking mid range RBs more and more this week.
Stud RB: Alvin Kamara ($7,900 FD, $8,000 DK)
I am going with Alvin Kamara as my top high priced running back. Last week against the Bucs it was Teddy Bridgewater and Michael Thomas’ time to shine but against the Jags, the Saints should lean on their stud running back. The Jacksonville defense is giving up a league most 5.5 yards per carry and are tied for second most rushing touchdowns allowed (six). Kamara will obviously get his opportunities to run but also benefits by being targeted like the Saints WR2. You should always be looking to target players who get the ball in their hands the most on the offense and that is exactly what we have with Kamara. He is too talented to only have one rushing TD and one receiving TD on the year. I am calling for him to double that this week.
Stud Pivots: Dalvin Cook, Nick Chubb, Ezekiel Elliott
Mid RB: Chris Carson ($7,200 FD, $6,000 DK)
The Seahawks get the Browns on a short week after getting absolutely embarrassed on Monday Night Football. The Browns gave up three touchdowns to the running back against the 49ers. In the past two games Carson has gotten at least 22 carries and over 100 yards. He seems all but guaranteed to exceed value here. The Browns are far more susceptible on the ground than through the air. Carson should also get a few receiving targets. He caught a touchdown last game and one in the season opener. He has not run one in since game one but I think that changes here. He has multiple TD upside and should not be heavily owned in NFL DFS with so many options at running back. The ONLY thing that worries me is if Russell Wilson vultures a TD from him. If you play Carson, don’t do it on the same team as Wilson.
Mid Pivots: Mark Ingram, Derrick Henry, Leonard Fournette (I really like all three of these guys and rank them very close to Carson. Paying down for two cheaper running backs isn’t a bad strategy this week) Lev Bell on DraftKings.
Punt RB: Malcolm Brown, Joe Mixon (gets first TD), Chase Edmonds (If David Johnson is out) Kenyan Drake (DK)
Update: David Johnson looks like he is going to play. You can’t play Chase Edmonds if he is in.
Update: Todd Gurley looks like he is going to sit. Malcolm Brown will start and is min price. You have to get some share.
I listed more running backs than normal here, but there is a lot to like. I do not think you need to “dumpster dive”. Everyone above is listed in order of preference.
Stud WR: Julio Jones ($8,500 FD, $8,000 DK)
Smash spot for Julio. I wrote up Matt Ryan as my top quarterback and this is his number one option. I really don’t see a way that Julio fails here. I think he easily surpasses 100 yards and gets targeted in the Red Zone whenever they are close. Julio’s brute strength makes him a touchdown threat anywhere on the field. He can run through defenders and once he gets going, no one will be able to catch him. I also don’t believe the Falcons will dial back on the passing game even if they are winning because they don’t have a running back, and absolutely have to win this game. Jones let us down last week, but I’ll let that scare everyone else off him, not me.
Stud Pivots: Amari Cooper, DeAndre Hopkins, Adam Thielen
Mid WR: Will Fuller ($6,600 FD, $6,000 DK)
Oh yes, I am going right back, and it is going to be glorious. If you think the Will Fuller faders were mad last week, wait until he gets in the end zone again this week. Everyone is going to say fade him because it is unsustainable, which three touchdowns is, but he is still only $6,600 on FanDuel!? He was targeted 16 times last week and caught 14! That is the Will Fuller I know. The Cheifs’ are going to be ready for this game, and I expect them to win, which means more passing for Watson and the Houston Texans. The Chiefs are ranked about mid tier in pass defense but that’s all about to change. They really don’t look good, plus they have not had much real competition. Here are the quarterbacks they have faced: Foles/Minshew, Carr, Lamar Jackson, Matt Stafford and Jacoby Brissett. DeShaun Watson is about to give this defense a run for it’s money, and I will take Fuller over Hopkins at a supreme discount in NFL DFS.
Mid WR Pivots: Michael Gallup (in my main lineup), Tyler Lockett, D.J. Chark (All very solid options)
Value WR: Larry Fitzgerald ($5,600 FD, $6,100 DK)
A ridiculously low price, for a Hall of Fame receiver vs a terrible defense. The Atlanta Falcons are tied with the Cardinals and the Dolphins for the second most touchdowns given to wideouts. Receiving options against them are averaging 8.5 yards per catch. Larry Fitz knows he will be retiring soon however he is still way outperforming expectations. He seems like a guy who wants to get a couple more big games in before he throws in the towel and he knows how to pick them. I see him getting around 10 targets and a touchdown in this game. It also doesn’t hurt that the Cardinals running back, David Johnson, is questionable for the game. If he is out, bump up Fitz even further. At his price he is a phenomenal NFL DFS receiver to target.
WR Value Pivots: Calvin Ridley, Dede Westbrook, Christian Kirk (if he plays)
Update: WR Deep Value: Terry McLauin, KeeSean Johnson (don’t play if Kirk in), Marquise Goodwin, DeVante Parker
Update: Remove KeeSean Johnson if Kirk plays, removed Paul Richardson with Terry McLaurin in.
Tight End: Austin Hooper ($6,400 FD, $5,000 DK)
Duh. Against the Cardinals, in a potential shootout, and one of the league’s most productive tight ends to start the season. Easy number one, but will be highly owned. Still, I will have a lot of him and roster him on my main team. I have said it before, sometimes it is chalk because it is the best play. Don’t auto fade the best play in NFL DFS. Lock him in and figure out how to be different at other positions.
Tight End Pivots: George Kittle, Travis Kelce
I don’t think their is a big separation on NFL DFS defense this week. There is nothing I “love”. You do not have to pay all the way up for the Cowboys, but if you can fit them, they feel “safe”. I am not sure that “safe” wins GPP’s this week, but is will double you up in cash.
Order Updated
Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold Right Here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!
Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily Sports has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms. There are channels set up for MLB, PGA, NASCAR, WNBA, CFL, NBA, and NFL. We also have a channel dedicated to sports betting and one dedicated to Monkey Knife Fight where we provide winners to cash in on daily. We have a special promo for a limited time only to sign up for a full 12 months at only $199.99 or a monthly plan at $19.99 which are both 50% off our regular price.
This report will provide NFL DFS touches and targets for the Week Five 12-game main slate. I will break down players into three tiers: High, mid, and low.
77% Snap Share. 37 Targets, 23 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Four TDs.
Julio Jones comes in as a top play once again in Week Five. Bit of a disappointing performance in Week Four as Matt Ryan threw the ball 53 times for nearly 400 yards and Jones only drew seven of those targets. Julio Jones and the Falcons will look to rebound against a beatable Houston Texans secondary and a defense that ranks 13th overall DVOA.
100% Snap Share. 36 Targets, 24 Receptions, 11 yards per reception, Two TDs.
Deshaun Watson and DeAndre Hopkins correlation will likely be the heaviest chalk in Week Five. I’m not as crazy as everyone else is about this matchup. Yes, the Falcons rank 25th in terms of getting pressure on the QB but Houston ranks 31st in allowing pressure against the QB (11.9% ADJ. Sack Rate). Atlanta faced a Tennessee team in Week Four that struggles the most in the league in protecting the QB and managed to not register even one sack. If the offensive line can give Watson the protection he absolutely needs to be successful than I can see Houston having a great day, but it is risky.
100% Snap Share, 31 Targets, 25 Receptions for 218 yards, 86 carries for 411 yards, 6 yards per touch, Four TDs.
I predicted 30 touches last week for Christian McCaffrey and he ended up with 37 touches for 179 all-purpose yards and a TD. The entire offense revolves around him and he will continue to receiver monster work loads week in and out. CMC is once again viable in all formats in Week Five.
71% Snap Share, 14 Targets, 11 Receptions, 63 yards. 73 carries for 324 yards, 4.4 yards per touch, Three TDs.
After starting out looking like the a perennial defense, the Packers have come back down to reality and rank 26th against the run in Week Five. They surrender over 140 yards per game on the ground but they do have a very good secondary. This is clearly Zeke’s day and I will have plenty of shares.
Honorable Mention: Dalvin Cook ($8200 FD|$8400 DK), Mark Ingram ($7500 FD|$6300 DK), Chris Godwin ($7800 FD|$6900 DK), Mike Evans ($7700 FD|$7100 DK), Zach Ertz ($6600 FD|$6000 DK).
93% Snap Share. 22 Targets, 13 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Three TDs.
Adam Thielen expressed his frutration with the poor passing performance by the Vikings offense. All the right pieces are there, unfortunately it falls on one guy and that is Kirk Cousins. Thielen is in a great spot, as is Stefon Diggs. I’d like to think we can expect a breakout performance in the passing game against the Giants who allow nearly 300 yards through the air per game, but Cousins is just not getting it done.
83% Snap Share. 15 Targets, 8 Receptions, 11 yards per reception, Two TDs.
Very nice matchup for Alshon Jeffrey against a Jets defense that gives up nearly 300 yards through the air per game. His numbers aren’t there just due to injury early in the season but he is a good play at a fair price, particularly on DK.
48% Snap Share. 32 targets, 23 receptions, 266 receiving yards. Three TDs.
You didn’t fall asleep on my boy, did you? Mark Andrews has been dealing with a foot injury all season but heads into Week Five without an injury designation (finally) and practiced in full on Friday. The Steelers do struggle defending slot receivers and Andrews is lining up in the slot at a 40% clip. Outside of Andrews being Lamar Jackson’s favorite target, his size advantage, and the fact that he’s quickly becoming a top tier NFL tight end, I see no reason not to play him.
99% Snap Share. 36 targets, 23 receptions, 300 yards, Two TDs.
Christian Kirk is out so that’s going to give Fitz a nice boost in looks. The Bengals look decent against the pass, but with David Johnson in such a good spot I just see this Cardinals offense being able to stay on balance and effectively throw the ball just as well as they will run it on Sunday.
87% Snap Share. 38 Targets, 27 Receptions, 10 yards per reception, Zero TDs.
Same situation as the Cardinals, John Ross is out for the next 6-8 weeks so Boyd should draw a nice chunk of those targets against a sub-par defense.
95% Snap Share. 54 touches, 202 yards, One TD.
The Bengals offensive line has been questionable, but the Cardinals surrender nearly 150 yards per game on the ground. Mixon is still looking for his footing on the season and this is as good of a spot as any to find it.
Honorable Mention: Julian Edelman ($6500 FD|$6300 DK), DJ Moore ($5900 FD|$5200 DK), Marquise Brown ($5400 FD|$5700 DK), Aaron Jones ($6800 FD|$5900 DK), Phillip Lindsay ($6700 FD|$4900 DK).
100% Snap Share. 23 Targets, 14 Receptions, 13 yards per reception.
63% Snap Share. 19 Targets, 11 Receptions, 10 yards per reception.
Christian Kirk is out, boost in targets for Keesean Johnson.
73% Snap Share. 18 Targets, 11 Receptions, 13 yards per reception, Zero TDs.
I hate Auden Tate’s price on Fanduel but I’m more than fine with the $3500 tag on DK. Tate should see a boost as well with no John Ross.
90% Snap Share. 34 Targets, 23 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Two TDs.
71% Snap Share. 23 Targets, 15 Receptions, 13 yards per reception, Three TDs.
76% Snap Share. 23 Targets, 16 Receptions, 13 yards per reception, Two TDs.
45% Snap Share. 17 Targets, 11 Receptions, 81 yards, One TD.
Did you enjoy this piece of content? Sign up for our premium gold membership today!
Follow us on Twitter
Featured Image via Keith Allison
At WIN DAILY®, our motto is to “change your game and change your life.” We want to help you win that bet, parlay, and big DFS tournament and have some fun while you do. Our goal is to help you turn your love of sports into a profit center while playing responsibly and enjoying your time with a like-minded community.
