This report will provide NFL DFS touches and targets for the Week Seven 11-game main slate. I will break down players into three tiers: High, mid, and low.
High Tier
NFL DFS WR: Cooper Kupp (LAR) ($7800 FD|$7400 DK)
69 Targets (2nd in NFL), 45 Receptions (3rd), 11 yards per reception, 242 YAC (1st), Four TDs.
I just don’t see how you do not roster Cooper Kupp this week. The Falcons defense has certainly seen better days. They are the worst team in the NFL in getting to the QB, logging only five sacks through their first six. An ineffective pass rush combined with a very beatable secondary would yield a Falcons defense that his given up over 331 yards through the air over their last three games. Cooper Kupp averages 11 receptions per game and is so good after the catch. He is Jared Goff’s go to, who I also expect to have his best game in 2019.
NFL DFS WR: DeAndre Hopkins (HOU) ($8000 FD|$7800 DK)
56 Targets (5th in league), 40 Receptions (5th in league), 11 yards per reception, Two TDs.
It looks like everyone is going to hit the snooze button on Deandre Hopkins, but if I were you I would absolutely keep him in your player pool. He is going to sneak up on us one of these slates where he is sub 10% owned, like this week. He has an excellent matchup and even despite his lackluster fantasy performance as of late, he still see’s a 28% target share within the offense, fourth best in the NFL.
NFL DFS WR: T.Y. Hilton (IND) ($7600 FD|$5900 DK)
30 Targets, 24 Receptions, 10 yards per reception, Four TDs. 36% RZ target share**
I want to start out by saying that I think T.Y. Hilton is grossly underpriced on DK given his history against the Houston Texans. In 14 career games, Hilton averages nine targets, five receptions, and 103 yards per game. Houston consistently gets burned by WR’s in 2019 (Thomas, Allen, Ridley, Hill, and even Ginn Jr.) so I’m more than okay with eating the chalk here. You just can’t ignore what he has done in the past and what he is doing this season, he is the Colts one true weapon and I expect a big Sunday.
Honorable Mention: Keenan Allen ($7500 FD|$6700 DK), Adam Thielen ($7100 FD|$6900 DK).
Mid Tier
NFL DFS WR: D.J. Chark Jr. (JAX) ($6600 FD|$6000 DK)
44 Targets, 30 Receptions, 17 yards per reception, Five TDs. Fourth most deep targets in NFL (13).
Grand Master Minshew had a bit of a the struggle last week in what ended up being a defensive slug fest. I fully expect a bounce back from the rookie QB and there couldn’t be a better spot than against the Bengals. Cincinnati isn’t as bad through the air (241 YPG) as they are against the rush (184 YPG), but still bad enough in coverage that I can see D.J. Chark continue his dominance. It is also worth noting Dede Westbrook is listed as a game-time decision on Sunday, James O’Shaugnessy TE OUT, and George Swain TE OUT. Rookie TE Josh Oliver will see his first career start.
NFL DFS WR: Robert Woods ($7300 FD|$5900 DK)/Brandin Cooks ($6700 FD|$5400 DK) (LAR)
Woods: 51 targets, 31 receptions, 11 yards per catch, one TD.
Cooks: 37 targets, 23 receptions, 15 yards per catch, one TD.
The same applies as I talked about with Cooper Kupp. Robert Woods is another receiver who is great with YAC (173) and gets his fair share of targets (51). Brandin Cooks is always boom or bust, but if he Booms for two deep bombs you’ll be on the outside looking in. Definitely worth a shot in tourneys, I would alternate between the three Rams receivers in multiple lineups.
NFL DFS TE: Evan Engram (NYG) ($6800 FD|$6500 DK)
48 targets, 33 receptions, 11 yards per reception, Two TDs.
If you’re wanting to spend up at tight end in Week Seven , Evan Engram is your top option. If you don’t know by now, the Arizona Cardinals are the worst defense in the NFL against tight ends, allowing nearly 25 FPTS per game. The Cardinals do get Patrick Peterson back, which will certainly help, but they’ve struggled for a couple years against the position, even when he is healthy.
NFL DFS TE: Tyler Lockett (SEA) ($6500 FD|$6600 DK)
I put Tyler Lockett in here just so I can advise you not to play him. Marlon Humphrey is like super glue and has shut down the likes of Odell Beckham Jr., JuJu Smith-Schuster, Tyler Boyd, and Sammy Watkins. Tyler Lockett is no where near the caliber of the first two listed so I can see Marlon shutting this guy down easily, forcing the ball to DK Metcalf who I actually do like. He will draw softer coverage and the Ravens have been bad against WR2. Marcus Peters was traded to the Ravens and will play on Sunday, bolstering a weaker secondary.
NFL DFS TE: George Kittle (SF) ($7100 FD|$6700 DK)
88% Snap Share. 37 Targets, 31 Receptions, 11 yards per reception, One TD.
George Kittle is a premier tight end option on a week to week basis. I’m not crazy about the spend up but if you’re looking for a safe floor, he is a good option with Deebo Samuel out this Sunday.
NFL DFS WR: Larry Fitzgerald (ARI) ($5600 FD|$6100 DK)
99% Snap Share. 52 targets, 35 receptions, 12 yards per recption, Two TDs.
The outing between the Giants and Cardinals screams pass funnel game. These two teams are both in the bottom three in terms of passing yards per game. They are also two of the fastest paced offense in the 2019 season. There’s a lot of love to go around with Christian Kirk slated to play, and David Johnson said he will be good to go for Sunday. I will have exposure to all three key offensive pieces in tournaments, including Kyler Murray.
NFL DFS WR: DK Metcalf (SEA) ($6200 FD|$4800 DK)
31 Targets, 16 Receptions, 21 yards per reception (1st in NFL), Two Tds.
I’m a bit nervous about this play, I really need to see how Marcus Peters lines up with the defense, but it’s hard to say at this point. The Ravens are prone to giving up huge plays, particularly to the WR2 position. Seattle is 17th in the league in terms of big plays and Baltimore is giving up an average of 6.3 yards per play, third worst in the league.
NFL DFS WR: Mark Andrews (BAL) ($6700 FD|$4900 DK)
47 Targets, 33 Receptions, 12 yards per reception, Three TDs.
I’m pretty sure I’d rather spend only $100 more for Evan Engram on FD, but love Mark Andrews low price on DK. He hasn’t seen less than seven targets in any game this season and logged another healthy week of practice. Hollywood Brown will likely not start this game, increasing Andrews target share. The Seahawks give up the fourth most FPTS to opposing tight ends (15.4 FPTS per game).
NFL DFS WR: Calvin Ridley (ATL) ($5500 FD|$5300 DK)
38 Targets, 27 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Four TDs.
I want exposure on the Atlanta side of this high implied total with the Rams vs. Falcons, but I’m not interested in spending up for Julio Jones. Calvin Ridley has seen a steady share of targets (one game with less than six targets) and should see at the very least see another six targets in a game where Atlanta is going to have to rely on their passing game to keep up with the average of five TDs per game that the defense has given up over their last three games.
NFL DFS TE: Austin Hooper (ATL) ($6600 FD|$5300 DK)
51 targets, 42 receptions, 11 yards per reception, Three TDs.
Atlanta won’t be running the ball this game and Matt Ryan is averaging close to 50 throws per game, Hooper should plenty of looks at home. Austin Hooper has only one game with less than six targets.
NFL DFS WR: John Brown (BUF) ($5900 FD|$5500 DK)
Josh Allen has been an absolute monster against the Dolphins, averaging 300 yards per game through the air, and over 100 yards on the ground. John Brown can take the top off of any defense and Miami, as we all know, is bottom three in every statistical category on defense. I question how often the Bills throw in this game, but I can see Brown easily reaching value with a big play or two.
Honorable Mention: Tyler Boyd (CIN) ($5600 FD|$5600 FD), Auden Tate (5900 FD|$4500 DK)
Low Tier/Punts
NFL DFS WR: Zay Jones (OAK) ($4500 FD|$3100 DK)
Near min price on both sites, lining up at the WR1 for Oakland with no Tyrell Williams.
NFL DFS WR: Allen Lazard (GBP) ($4500 FD|$3000 DK)
Minimum price on both sites, lining up at the WR1 position for Green Bay with Devante Adams out, Marquez Valdes-Scantling doubtful, and Geronimo Allison ruled out.
NFL DFS TE: Josh Oliver (JAX) ($4000 FD|$2900 DK)
Josh Oliver is below minimum price on both sites and will be the lone tight end with James O’Shaugnessy and George Swaim confirmed out this week. The absence of Dede Westbrook would be a huge boost for the rookie tight end making his 2019 season debut. Oliver should have an immediate role in the Jacksonville offense.
Honorable Mention: Cole Beasley ($5600 FD|$4700 DK) Dante Pettis ($5100 FD|$4100 DK)
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Featured Image via Keith Allison
