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Draftkings Nascar

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Xfinity Series Martinsville 10/29

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop for Saturday’s Dead On Tools 250 from Martinsville Speedway

For those that don’t know, Martinsville is a short track and is sometimes referred to as “The Paperclip” because of its oblong shape. Since this is a short track, dominators will be extremely important in this race. For Saturday’s race, there will be a whopping 175 dominator points available in this 250-lap race.

Martinsville is its own animal, so I won’t be looking into how drivers have faired in 2022 at short tracks but instead looking at the last two seasons of Xfinity races at Martinsville. NASCAR was nice enough to hold practice and qualifying on Friday afternoon so we also have that info to look to while building lineups for this race.

This race is the cutoff race for the championship four that will be going for the title next week in Phoenix. We already know that both Josh Berry and Noah Gragson have locked themselves via wins in the last two weeks. Outside of them, nobody else is a sure thing and size drivers will be racing for two spots.

NASCAR DFS: Top Tier

Austin Hill ($9,500)

Starting Position: 36th

Austin Hill is the first of multiple chalk plays in this race. Hill had a radiator issue and did not attempt a qualifying lap so he will start 36th. I expect Hill to be over 50% owned in most contest types and potentially over 70% in cash games. Hill was incredibly fast in practice, and while it’s hard to pass here, I think we will see Hill near the front early on and be a contender for the win. For me, Hill is safe for both cash and GPP because of his top 5 upside.

Sam Mayer ($9,700)

Starting Position: 22nd

Mayer was only 14th in single-lap speed, but in the 10-lap average ranks, he was 7th. In his short career, Mayer has raced here at Martinsville twice and has finished 4th and 5th in those races. Mayer is one of the drivers that need a win to get himself into the championship four next week so he may be on a different strategy to get himself near the front. I believe that Mayer will be low-owned because of the dominator potential of the drivers above him and because of the PD upside from HIll. Mayer is a great GPP play in my book and I will have exposure to him for sure.

Ty Gibbs ($11,200)

Starting Position: 4th

Gibbs was the dominant car earlier in 2022 at Martinsville but ended up finishing 8th after a late race restart that shuffled him back. In that race, Gibbs led 197 of 261 laps but was disappointed after the race. While it is a pretty safe bet that Gibbs makes the championship four in Phoenix, he will want to win this race to secure his spot.

Other Options: Brandon Jones ($10,100 – P1) – Jones won the spring race here and will look for the season sweep on Saturday. Noah Gragson ($11,500 – P5) – Gragson is expensive and even though he’s locked in, that doesn’t mean he won’t try to win this race. AJ Allmendinger ($10,900 – P9) – Dinger is another driver who would like win this race and lock his spot in for the championship race next week. AJ has one of the best cars in the field after practice with a 3rd best single-lap time and the best 10-lap average.

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Daniel Hemric ($8,500)

Starting Position: 37th

Hemric, similarly to Hill, had issues in practice and did not get to put down a qualifying time. In that session, Hemric ended up in the wall and will be going to his backup car on Saturday. Before he had his incident, Hemric had a fast car as he posted the 6th fastest single-lap speed and fourth-best 10-lap average. Hemric will be chalky, but once again I don’t see a need to fade him in any contest type and he will be in the majority, if not all, of my lineups.

Nick Sanchez ($7,700)

Starting Position: 24th

Sanchez is still very young but has made some strong strides in his limited Xfinity action this season. After two straight finishes of 12th or better, Sanchez had a disappointing 25th-place finish last week. That finish is a little misleading though since Sanchez as he spent over 50% of the race running inside the top 15 and was involved in a late race wreck on the front stretch that sent him back and 2 laps down.

Landon Cassill ($8,800)

Starting Position: 16th

Here is yet another driver who is starting a lot further back in the field than his practice speed would indicate. Cassill was 5th in single-lap speed and was even better 3rd, in the 10-lap average. Along with a fast car, Cassill is on a bit of a hot streak with four straight finishes between 3rd and 12th. Cassill also had a great day at the Martinsville race in the spring race where he finished 2nd.

Other Options: Stefans Parsons ($7,300 – P20), Ryan Sieg ($8,200) – P17,

Value Tier Rankings:

Kyle Weatherman ($6,900) – P38
Bayley Currey ($5,700) – P20
Blaine Perkins ($5,300) – P23
Rajah Carruth ($6,100)- P18C
Chad Finchum ($4,500) – P18
Ryan Vargas ($5,000) – P29
CJ McLaughlin ($6,300) – P34

Make sure you head to the Win DaiBly Sports Discord for up-to-date info and help directly from our pros! Head over to Twitter and give the @WinDailySports account and me (@MVecchio81) a follow for all things Fantasy Sports! You can find more FREE NASCAR content over at WinDailySports.com!

Make sure to check out my NASCAR DFS Tutorial to make sure you are ready and understand how I break down the races and build lineups (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-pit-stop-2021-introduction-to-nascar-dfs/).

There were a lot of changes in the cars and what driver is in what car/truck in 2022; check out my What’s new in 2022 article (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-whats-new-in-2022/)

3 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Cup Series Homestead 10/23

rmferenc@gmail.com 3 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop for Sunday’s Dixie Vodka 400 from Homestead-Miami Speedway!

This is the second of three races that will determine which four drivers race for the NASCAR Cup Series championship in two weeks at Phoenix. Last week, Joey Logano punched his ticket into the Championship 4, and this week another driver might be able to do the same. Homestead is a cookie-cutter 1.5-mile track where the high line is usually the best line to run. There are certain drivers who excel at that line and they will, of course, be high on our list this week.

Like I said in both the Truck Series and Xfinity Series article, this is a race you can chase dominator points. I will be rostering 2-3 potential dominators in every lineup I have to chase the 186.9 dominator points.

NASCAR DFS: Top Tier/Dominators

Ross Chastain ($9,600)

Starting Position: 20th

Chastain has never raced at Homestead in a competitive car, but he has been exceptional at this track type in 2022. Chastain owns the number one speed ranking on high-speed 1.5-mile tracks in 2022, as well as the best average finish (7.8), the best average running position (6.6), and the most average laps led per race (51.5). In Saturday’s practice session, Chastain was faced as he posted the 6th fastest single-lap, and he was atop the 10-lap average chart as well.

Tyler Reddick ($10,900)

Starting Position: 7th

When you talk about drivers who like running the high line, Reddick is a master of it. While Reddick has never won here in the Cup Series, he has an average finish of 3rd in his career. In practice on Saturday, Reddick showed great speed, but he was above all others in the long run showing he is able to manage his tires on a track where that matters greatly. Reddick was 3rd fastest in single-lap speed, but in 15, 20, and 25-lap runs, he was the fastest.

Kyle Larson ($10,800)

Starting Position: 5th

Larson is another driver who can be dominant at this track type, and I think it could come down to him or Reddick at the end. Similar to Reddick, Larson was fast late in his practice run on Saturday. Larson posted the 4th best 15-lap average, but he was second only to Reddick in 20 and 25-lap speed. Also, similar to Reddick, Larson should be at lower ownership than usual which is always a positive.

William Byron ($9,200)

Starting Position: 1st

Byron is the polesitter for Sunday’s race, and he should be considered a contender as well. This track type is one of Byron’s best, and he was dominant here last year on his way to victory. During the 2022 playoffs, Byron has the best average running position (7.1) and 3rd best average finish (8.7) at this track type. Byron also ranked top 6 in all lap average categories in Saturday’s practice.

Other Options: Denny Hamlin ($10,600 – P14): Great play, but will be chalky. Joey Logano ($9,800 – P17): Another chalky, but solid PD play. Martin Truex Jr. ($9,400 – P12): Won’t carry the ownership of the Hamlin and Logano but is riskier. Chase Elliott ($10,400 – P3): Well, because it’s Chase Elliott.

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Kevin Harvick ($8,600)

Starting Position: 16th

Harvick is a driver who typically runs well at this track type and should be a top 10 car at day’s end. In practice, Harvick was not showing a lot of speed, but this team should find a way to get speed into this car for Sunday. This season at high tire wear tracks, Harvick has finishes of 4th and 7th and was a top 5 car when he caught fire at the second Darlington race.

Austin Dillon ($7,200)

Starting Position: 32nd

I don’t love the idea of playing Dillon after seeing how slow this car was in practice, but when you look at his history here, it’s hard to pass him up. Dillon will be popular, no doubt, and is a lock for cash games and probably single-entry because of the upside. In his last six Homestead races, Dillon has a 10.2 average finish and has not finished lower than 12th in any race. This season at high tire wear 1.5-mile tracks, Dillon has the second-best average finish (9.3).

Daniel Suarez ($8,300)

Starting Position: 23rd

Suarez has been good to near great at both high-speed 1.5-mile ovals and at high tire wear tracks in 2022. Suarez finished 7th at Auto Club, 10th at Darlington 1, and was a contender at Darlington 2 until a late race pit penalty. At high-speed 1.5-mile tracks, Suarez has been a mid-teens driver but has shown better speed later in the season with two top-5 rankings in his last four at this track type. I view Suarez as a mid-teens driver with top 10 upside on Sunday.

Other Options: Austin Cindric ($7,700 – P26), Chase Briscoe ($8,500 – P19), Noah Gragson ($8,100 – P24)

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings

Ty Dillon ($5,700) – P30
Corey Lajoie ($5,000) – P31
Ricky Stenhouse ($6,500) – P27
Aric Almirola ($6,700) – P28
Landon Cassill ($4,800) – P33
Justin Haley ($6,300) – P15

The driver I’m playing you shouldn’t:

John Hunter Nemechek ($6,100 – P4)

Cash Core:

Denny Hamlin, Joey Logano, Ross Chastain, Austin Dillon: This core leaves you with $6.4K left for your final two spots, but they are pretty easy to fill when you look at possible place differential.

Check out my NASCAR DFS Tutorial! Ensure you are ready and understand how I break down the races and build lineups (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-pit-stop-2021-introduction-to-nascar-dfs/).

There were a lot of changes in the cars and what driver is in what car/truck in 2022. Check out my What’s new in 2022 article (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-whats-new-in-2022/)

3 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Xfinity Series Homestead 10/22

rmferenc@gmail.com 3 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop for Saturday’s Contender Boats 300 at Homestead-Miami Speedway!

Unlike the race before it on Saturday, this isn’t the cut-off race for the Xfinity that comes next week in Martinsville. Last week in Sin City, Josh Berry clinched the first spot in the final four for Phoenix. Berry is the first and only driver locked in for Phoenix, but it’ll be tough for Noah Gragson not to make his way there.

Friday afternoon, we had an abbreviated 10-minute practice session because of rain. Luckily the rain dissipated early enough to allow the Series to qualify. This is a traditional 1.5-mile track where the race will run 167 laps, leading to 113.9 dominator points being available, so using multiple dominators is recommended.

NASCAR DFS: Top Tier

Noah Gragson ($11,300)

Starting Position: 2nd

Gragson has been the class of the Xfinity Series this season, and I am sure I’ve already said that, but it is the truth. In four races on similar track types (Auto Club, Kansas, Charlotte, & Darlington), Gragson has two wins and has finished top 5 in all four races. Gragson is the only driver with multiple wins and four top 5’s, but not only that, Gragson has an average finish of 2nd and is 11 points better than 2nd place in DKFP P/race. Gragson had the fastest car in practice on Friday, if all that wasn’t enough.

Justin Allgaier ($10,700)

Starting Position: 20th

Allgaier has been great in the same four races I mentioned in my Gragson breakdown. Allgaier has finished top 10 in all four and has two top 5s. Allgaier is also a driver who can put up some dominator points, as he has averaged 10.75 dominator points per race in the four races at similar tack types.

Trevor Bayne ($10,000)

Starting Position: 1st

Bayne has shown that he can wheel a car with the best of the Xfinity Series when he is in a great car. In only eight races in 2022, Bayne has five top 5 finishes but is still looking for his first win. Bayne is no stranger to being upfront, though. In his eight races this season, Bayne has led at least 13 laps led in five races. Bayne didn’t run ten consecutive laps in practice, but he did have the 6th fastest lap.

Other Options: Ty Gibbs ($11,100 – P3), Josh Berry ($10,300 – P12), Sam Mayer ($9,300 – P6)

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Parker Retzlaff ($7,600)

Starting Position: 29th

Retzlaff has been good in all his seven starts in 2022, and Saturday should be no different. If you take out Phoenix, where he had a fuel pump issue, Retzlaff has an average finish of 15.5 and a place differential of +35. Those are the two things we need from a driver like Retzlaff, as it is doubtful he will give us dominator points.

Sheldon Creed ($8,800)

Starting Position: 7th

Creed is an ideal GPP play for this race. It has not been the season this team envisioned when they started, but it is ending much better as they bring fast cars weekly. This week is no different, as Creed put down a top 10 lap in practice and has the quickest 10-lap average.

Ryan Sieg ($8,200)

Starting Position: 25th

Before having steering issues early at Las Vegas, Sieg had been on a role of quality finishes. Prior to Vegas, Sieg had four straight top 10s and six straight finishes of 18th or better. Sieg had a fast car in Friday’s practice posting the 13th-best single-lap time and a top 10 10-lap average. I like the upside of Sieg here; looking at him for a solid top-15 finish.

Other Options: Anthony Alfredo ($7,200 – P35), Landon Cassill ($8,400 – P16)

Value Tier Rankings:

CJ McLaughlin ($6,100) – P38
Stefan Parsons ($6,500) – P18
Jeb Burton ($6,700) – P21
Kyle Sieg ($6,300) – P33
Matt Mills ($4,700) – P36
Kris Wright ($5,800) – P34
Josh Williams ($5,200) – P32

Make sure you head to the Win Daily Sports Discord for up-to-date info and help directly from our pros! Head over to Twitter and give the @WinDailySports account and me (@MVecchio81) a follow for all things Fantasy Sports! You can find more FREE NASCAR content over at WinDailySports.com!

There were a lot of changes in the cars and what driver is in what car/truck in 2022; check out my What’s new in 2022 article (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-whats-new-in-2022/)

3 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Truck Series Homestead 10/22

rmferenc@gmail.com 3 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Truck Series for the Baptist Health 200 from Homestead-Miami Speedway!

This race used to close out the season for the Truck Series, but now it closes out the second round of the playoffs. After Saturday’s race, we will know what four drivers will be fighting it out in Phoenix for the title in a few weeks.

There was rain on Friday afternoon, so qualifying was rained out, but they were at least able to get the 20-minute practice session in, so we have something to go off when building lineups. As to no surprise, the top trucks in practice were also the playoff trucks. Christian Eckes topped the charts for single-lap speed, and John Hunter Nemechek was tops in 10-lap average. This is a race where we want to find potential dominators since we have 134 laps of racing in this race equalling over 93 dominator points.

NASCAR DFS: Top Tier

Ty Majeski ($10,200)

Starting Position: 18th

Majeski has already won his way into the final four (Bristol) so he doesn’t need to push for the win, but that doesn’t mean he won’t. In Friday’s practice session, Majeski had the second-best single-lap speed and was 11th-best in 10-lap average. Some may argue that Majeski is racing the best he has all season (it’s me, I’m “some”) with his only win, five top 5s, and eight top 10s in his last races. Majeski could be one of the highest-owned drivers in the field, but with nothing to lose this team may try to run up front and win this race.

Corey Heim ($10,000)

Starting Position: 19th

Heim will start one spot behind Majeski and will also be racing to win or bust. Heim is not a full-time driver in the series so he isn’t point racing or racing for a title, because of this Heim’s only goal is to win on Saturday. In Friday’s practice, Heim was only 12th best in single-lap time, but in 10-lap average, he was fifth fastest. Heim has been great in his 14 races this season, so much so that if you remove his four DNFs, he has two wins and eight top 10s in ten races. Heim also has an average finish of 9.6 in those same ten races.

John Hunter Nemechek ($11,300)

Starting Position: 13th

Another driver who will probably be highly owned is Nemechek. While both Majeski and Heim are ONLY racing to win, Nemechek will also be looking to earn stage points as he starts this race five points back of the final four. Nemechek’s truck has a lot of speed, evidenced by his 3rd fastest single-lap time and top 10-lap average in Friday’s practice. I see JHN as a potential dominator and winner at race end on Saturday.

Other Potential Dominators: Ryan Preece ($10,500 – P1): Preece is only racing to win like a lot of drivers in this race, the only difference he has already done that this season. Preece also has eight top 10s and six top 5s in nine races (his worst finish is 11th). All four of Zane Smith ($11,000 – P6), Chandler Smith ($10,700 – P4), Christian Eckes ($9,700 – P5), and Ben Rhodes ($9,500 – P2) are potential lap leaders as well in this race. I like the idea of using two of the three drivers I wrote about above paired with one of these five potential lap leaders.

Grant Enfinger ($9,000 – P23): Enfinger will need to win this race to make the championship four. In Friday’s practice, Enfinger was top 5 in both single-lap and 10-lap averages. I wouldn’t put money on Enfinger winning this race, but anything can happen, especially for a driver who is in a must-win.

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Matt Crafton ($8,600)

Starting Position: 20th

Homestead has been one of Crafton’s better tracks throughout his career, but especially recently. In his last seven races here in Miami, Crafton has finished top 10 in all of them and has one win. Crafton has also led laps in five of those seven races. With all the high-priced drivers having some place differential upside, there is a good chance that Crafton goes under-owned.

Max Gutierrez ($7,500)

Starting Position: 31st

Gutierrez has only run three Truck Series races in his career, and all of them have come this season for Tim Self. This week the 19-year-old Gutierrez will be back in the #22 truck for the third time, looking for another top-25 finish. In Friday’s practice session, Gutierrez wasn’t fast, and that is worrisome, but I believe there will be some attrition in this race, and if Gutierrez can avoid it, he has the upside to smash value.

Tanner Gray ($7,70)

Starting Position: 25th

Gray, like his teammate Preece, showed some good speed in Friday’s practice session. Gray was 7th quickest in single-lap speed, but he did seem to fall off during the long run. In two career races here, Gray has finishes of 16th and 12th, and that is how I view Gray, a mid-teens truck.

Other Options: Carson Hocevar ($8,800 – P2, Colby Howard ($7,200 – P14), Parker Kligerman ($8,400 – P8)

NASCAR Value Rankings

Tyler Hill ($5,700) – P36
Stefan Parsons ($6,000) – P29
Blaine Perkins ($5,000) – P26
Jack Wood ($6,300) – P24
Dean Thompson ($5,9000) – P27
Nick Leitz ($4,800) – P33
Lawless Alan ($5,500) -P28

Make sure you head to the Win Daily Sports Discord for up-to-date info and help from our pros! Head over to Twitter and give the @WinDailySports account and me (@MVecchio81) a follow for all things Fantasy Sports! You can find more FREE NASCAR content over at WinDailySports.com!

Make sure to check out my NASCAR DFS Tutorial to ensure you are ready and understand how I break down the races and build lineups (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-pit-stop-2021-introduction-to-nascar-dfs/).

There were a lot of changes in the cars and what driver is in what car/truck in 2022; check out my What’s new in 2022 article (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-whats-new-in-2022/)

3 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR Premium

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Cup Series Las Vegas 10/16

rmferenc@gmail.com 3 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop for Sunday’s South Point 400 from Las Vegas!

This week the Cup Series begins the third round of the NASCAR playoffs with 400 miles of high-speed 1.5 oval racing! We saw on Saturday in the Xfinity race that drivers could pass on both the top and bottom lanes. We also saw that tires were key and drivers on old tires were sitting ducks on the track.

While this is a race we can look to roster dominators, there are a lot of great place differential plays in all tiers of this race. Kansas is the most similar track to Vegas so I will be looking closely at how that race went when breaking down this race.

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

Denny Hamlin ($11,100)

Starting Position: 31st

Hamlin won this race last fall and will look to clinch his spot in the championship finale with another win here. Recently at Kansas, Hamlin started 25th and came home 2nd in that race which makes me believe he can do the same on Sunday. In Saturday’s practice session, Hamlin was 13th quickest in single-lap speed.

Ross Chastain ($9,900)

Starting Position: 11th

Chastain is someone that has been dominant on this track type in 2022. In five races on high-speed 1.5-mile ovals, Chastain has the best speed ranking among all drivers. Chastain was also extremely fast in practice on Saturday, posting the 2nd fastest single-lap, 5-lap, and 10-lap speeds. Chastain is by no means safe when it comes to making it to Phoenix, and he will definitely be a factor in winning this race and clinching his spot in the finale.

Martin Truex Jr. ($9,100)

Starting Position: 27th

Truex has been nearly as fast as Chastain has on this track type in 2022. Looking at the same speed rankings, Truex has been top 6 in speed in four of the five races for an average rank of 5.8. The last time Truex had a top 5 finish was at Kansas earlier this season. I don’t love the fact that Truex didn’t show great speed in practice, but I do think he and the 19 team will figure out what kept them from running well.

Other Options: Ryan Blaney ($9,500 – P4) – Blaney is my favorite potential dominator in this race. Kyle Busch ($9,300 – P18), Chase Elliott ($10,700 – P20)

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Erik Jones ($7,100)

Starting Position: 22nd

Jones was posting top 5 laps in practice and ended up with the third best single-lap speed. Not only did Jones post the third best single, he also had the third best 5-lap average. Jones has finished 11th or better in three straight races and I would not be surprised if he makes it four straight on Sunday.

Bubba Wallace ($8,700)

Starting Position: 9th

Wallace and the Toyota’s were fast at Kansas and have been fast this weekend. Back at Kansas, Wallace won that race while leading the last 58 laps. Wallace said today that the car they brought to Vegas was the one the won that race. I don’t know if Wallace can win this race, but he should be a threat for a top 5 on Sunday.

Other Options: Chase Briscoe ($8,100 – P16), Joey Logano ($8,900 – P5), Noah Gragson ($7,300 – P17)

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings

Ty Dillon ($5,600) – P33
Corey Lajoie ($4,900) – P30
Justin Haley ($5,800) – P28
AJ Allmendinger ($6,400) – P21
Ricky Stenhouse ($6,000) – P29
Todd Gilliland ($5,200) -P35
Brad Keselowski ($6,900) – P25

Check out my NASCAR DFS Tutorial! Ensure you are ready and understand how I break down the races and build lineups (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-pit-stop-2021-introduction-to-nascar-dfs/).

There were a lot of changes in the cars and what driver is in what car/truck in 2022. Check out my What’s new in 2022 article (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-whats-new-in-2022/)

3 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Xfinity Series Las Vegas 10/15

rmferenc@gmail.com 3 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop for Saturday’s Xfinity Series race from Las Vegas!

Saturday’s race is the first in the round of 8, and if a playoff driver wins, they will put themselves in the championship race at Phoenix in four weeks. After a couple of weeks of ignoring dominator points in this series, we are back looking to roster dominators. This race is a 201-lap race which gives us 140.7 dominator points to chase.

In Friday night’s practice session, the JGR and JGR helped; cars were the class of the field. Three of their cars finished top 3, and all four were in the top in single-lap practice speed. Surprisingly, the JRM cars were not great in practice, with only Gragson and Mayer cracking the top 10 in speed. I am confident that both the 7 and 8 teams will get their cars fixed and be contenders on Saturday.

NASCAR DFS: Top Tier

Ty Gibbs ($11,000)

Starting Position: 3rd

Gibbs has been the elite driver on this track type in 2022. In six races on low tire wear, 1.5-mile ovals, no one has been better than Gibbs. In those six races, Gibbs has two wins, five top 5s, and the best average finish among Xfinity Series regulars (3.7). Gibbs also averages 21.5 laps led per race, which is 4th best behind a bunch of JRM cars (more on one of those drivers next), and he has the best DKFP average per race (62.8). In Friday night’s practice session, Gibbs posted the fastest lap. My pick to win this race is Ty Gibbs and the #54 car to sweep the Vegas races this season.

Noah Gragson ($10,800)

Starting Position: 4th

For me, it comes to Gibbs and Gragson for the title. Both drivers have been consistent all season, and it has been much of the same on this track in 2022. Gragson also has two wins and five top 5s in six races on this track type in 2022; the one difference is Gibbs has finished top 15 in all six, and Gragson hasn’t. Because of that one race (36th place finish at Texas – crash), Gragson’s average finish is 7.8 at this track type. Gragson has won five of the last eleven races in the Xfinity Series and has ten top 10s (22nd place finish at Daytona – crash) in those same eleven races. Gragson was the fastest chevy in practice putting up the 5th fastest single-lap time.

John Hunter Nemechek ($9,200)

Starting Position: 11th

Nemechek has not had the best luck at this track type in 2022, but I think this week will be different. In Friday’s practice, Nemechek showed speed with the rest of the Toyotas (3rd fastest lap). At the Spring race here, John Hunter had a good day finishing 12th, and at Michigan, he was 19th after starting 31st and fighting a tight car all day. It’s the recent Texas race that has me optimistic about his chances on Saturday. In that race, Nemechek was dominant leading 60 laps before being caught up in the big one on lap 118. Now, he was in the #18 car for that race, but this #26 Sam Hunt car gets some help from JGR, and his two previous races (Vegas and Michigan) were in this #26.

Other Options: Trevor Bayne ($10,400 – P2) – Pretty good pivot off of the chalkier Gibbs and Gragson. Bayne has finished top 4 in four of his seven races this season and has led at least 13 laps in five of seven. Sam Mayer ($9,600 – P5), Austin Hill ($9,400 – P8), AJ Allmendinger ($10,100 – P1)

Realistically, every driver in this tier is in play, and depending on how many lineups I end up with; I will be spreading out my ownership amongst most of them. Prioritize 2-3 drivers from this tier in every lineup. There is plenty of value in this field to make three top-tier driver lineups work.

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Riley Herbst ($8,500)

Starting Position: 36th

Ok, so here is my obligatory “Play the chalk driver who has a fast car” section. Before his spin in qualifying, I was already looking at Herbst as a solid “fringe” top-tier option this week; now, he is a must-play in single-entry and cash games. Riley showed some really good speed beating all the Chevys in practice and finishing with the 4th best lap time just behind the Toyota group. Herbst spun during his qualifying attempt but managed to save the car and avoided any damage. It may take a bit of time, but I expect Herbst to get through the field and finish top 10 on Saturday.

Brandon Jones ($8,800)

Starting Position: 7th

Looking for a dark horse candidate to win this race? Brandon Jones is that guy. Jones has done well at Vegas in his career, and it is arguably his best track on the circuit. He has more top 10s at Vegas than any other track (8), and Jones looked fast once again in Friday’s practice. Since signing with JGR in 2018 (9 races), Jones has been stellar here, with a worst non-wreck finish of 11th. In the eight races in which Jones hasn’t wrecked, his average finish is 6.6 at Vegas with seven top 10s.

Nick Sanchez ($7,600)

Starting Position: 22nd

Sanchez is back in the #48 Big Machine Racing Chevy on Saturday for the third time, and it will be his fifth Xfinity race this season. It took some time, but it appears this team and Sanchez have found something that works. After a rocky start at Bristol, Sanchez finished 11th in his last race at Texas (a similar track type). In that race, Sanchez ran over 81% of the race inside the top 15 (162 laps) and made 34 quality passes (passes inside the top 15 under green). Now, that race was a wreck fest, and his 11th-place finish may have benefited from that, but he was running in the mid-teens all race before the carnage started. Because of that, and because of his top 20 speed in practice, I view Sanchez as a low to mid-teens finisher on Saturday.

Other Options: Parker Retzlaff ($7,800 – P27), Rajah Caruth ($7,000 – P18), Myatt Snider ($7,400 – P23)

Value Tier Rankings:

Let’s start with this, both David Starr and Kyle Sieg did not make a qualifying attempt and, therefore, will start 37th and 38th, respectively. Both of these drivers will be chalky, and while I won’t tell you not to play them, I would use them sparingly in GPP’s. In cash and single-entry, I think you need to play them both with Herbst and fill in the rest with three top-tier drivers. Neither of these drivers will be in the rankings below, but they are both solid, albeit chalky, options.

Hailie Deegan ($4,800) – P20: Can we trust Deegan this week? I don’t know. But what I do know is she has a fast Ford Mustang and could be a sneaky top 15 GPP play this week.
CJ McLaughlin ($5,700) – P34: McLaughlin is a safer, slightly more expensive option over Deegan.
Bayley Currey ($5,000) – P24: I expect Currey to finish right where he started, but that will be enough to make value.
Ryan Vargas ($4,900) – P35
Stefan Parsons ($6,600) – P17: Parsons was fast in practice and will probably be sub-5 % owned.
Mason Massey ($5,500) – P29
Garrett Smithley ($5,300) – P25

There were a lot of changes in the cars and what driver is in what car/truck in 2022; check out my What’s new in 2022 article (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-whats-new-in-2022/)

3 years ago 0 comments

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NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Cup Series Charlotte Roval 10/9

rmferenc@gmail.com 3 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop for Sunday’s Bank of America Roval 400 from Charlotte!

This will be the sixth and final time the Cup Series is on a road course in 2022 and it should be an exciting one. Last season we saw Chase Elliott and Kevin Harvick trying to destroy one another because of the incident at Bristol a few weeks back. There are a lot of drivers who believe they “owe” another driver payback so maybe we see something similar on Sunday.

One of those drivers is Denny Hamlin. Byron dumped Hamlin and sent him spinning under caution at Texas a few weeks back and was fined 25 points (and money). This week NASCAR heard Byron’s appeal and decided to raise his fine but award Byron his 25 points back. Because of this Byron went from 11 points below the cut line to 14 points above. I talk about this because it changes how Byron will run this race.

There are two strategies that drivers and their teams will apply to this race:

“Optimal Strategy” – The optimal strategy is to pit under before the stage breaks and try to win this race and nothing else. I see drivers who have already advanced (Chase Elliott) or non-playoff drivers using this strategy on Sunday.

“Points Racing” – Drivers who need stage points to help them advance will stay out for the full stage to gain points and then pit under caution after the stage. This will most likely be a strategy most playoff drivers use, especially ones who are right around the cut line (Cindric, Briscoe, Byron, etc).

Paying attention to who is in what position on the season could be key to succeeding this weekend. Keep in mind that I am just guessing who will be running which strategy on Sunday,

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

“Optimal Strategy” Drivers:

There are three drivers in this tier that will be running on the optimal strategy and all three are great road course drivers.

Chase Elliott ($10,600 – P9) –

Elliott is surprisingly winless at road courses in 2022, but that doesn’t mean he hasn’t been good at this track type this season. At road courses in 2022, Elliott has a series-bests in the average finish (6.8), average running position (7.6), and the best driver rating. If he didn’t have his issues last season, Elliott could be going for his fourth straight win here on Sunday but will have to settle for three in four seasons.

Tyler Reddick ($10,500 – P4) –

Reddick is a two-time winner on road courses in 2022 (Road America and Indy GP) and was the runner-up in this race last season. In 2022, Reddick has been nothing short of spectacular on this track type with four top 5s in five races and ranking top 2 in speed ranking in three of the five. If you remove Sonoma, where Reddick had issues and finished 35th, he would have an average finish of 3.5 and have the fourth-best average speed ranking.

AJ Allmendinger ($9,400 – P7) –

Allmendinger is coming off his fourth straight win at the Roval in Xfinity Series on Saturday and his #16 Chevy looked superior to the field in practice on Saturday for this race. Allmendinger has the fastest lap in both sessions on Saturday but did spin late in his session and made some contact with the wall. It does not appear Dinger will need to drop to the rear since the damage was just cosmetic.

Last season at this track, Allmendinger was running well and was in 5th on lap 57 when his engine gave out and ended his day. This season at road courses, Allmendinger unsurprisingly has run well with the exception of Sonoma which is a track he has never run well at historically. Allmendinger has three top 10s in the other four road course races in 2022 and it would be 4 for 4 if he didn’t have contact with eventual race winner, Ross Chastain, at COTA on the last lap while battling for the lead.

I like the idea of running all three of these drivers together in GPP’s on Sunday, but for SE and cash I would go with two only and look for some other place differential plays to mix in with them.

Other Options: Christopher Bell ($9,300 – P8) – Bell has to win to advance so he could be on the same strategy as these drivers. Bell is an excellent road course driver and should be in contention at race end

“Points Racing” Drivers:

Kyle Larson ($10,300 – P18) –

Larson is the defending winner of this race and should be a contender again on Sunday. Since he is only 18 points above the cut line, Larson will need to race clean, especially early, if he wants to advance. With him starting 18th, I expect that Larson will be popular and he makes for an ideal cash game play. Larson is also a good option to pair with two of the optimal strategy drivers in GPP’s. Larson won at Watkins Glen earlier this season but has not been great at this track type in 2022. This track has always been one of his better ones and Larson should be near the front at the end of the day.

Ryan Blaney ($9,700 – P6) –

Blaney is a former winner here and has finished top 10 in all four races at this track. In his career at this track, Blaney has a 5.8 average finish which is second-best behind Elliott. Now, Blaney is starting near the front and will most likely be point racing so there is the risk that he doesn’t hit value therefore I suggest Blaney as a GPP-only play for this race. This season at road courses, Blaney started out hot with an average finish of 7.6, but at Indy and Watkins Glen he did not end well. Blaney was fast at Indy but got caught up in all the chaos at the end and ruined his day.

Other Options: William Byron ($9,900 – P2), Denny Hamlin ($10,100 – P24)

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Chris Buescher ($7,800)

Starting Position: 21st

Buescher is probably one of the most underrated road course drivers in the series. Early this season he was one of three drivers that tested tires at Watkins Glen and since then he has been great at this track type. In the four RC races following the test, Buescher has the second-best average finish (6.8) and second-best speed ranking. Last year at the Roval, Buescher finished 3rd and ranked 5th for speed late in a run. I am not putting too much stock in Buescher’s slow practice speeds because of how well they have been at this track type in 2022. Buescher is a contender to win this race in my eyes and is a great play in all formats.

Austin Cindric ($8,600)

Starting Position: 5th

Cindric is a premier road course racer and should be high on the list of potential winners on Sunday. With that being said, I expect Cindric to be points-racing, at least early on. Cindric is below the cut line currently and will need to get stage points and a good finishing position to advance, but he could also just try and go out and win this race. This season in five road course races, Cindric has the second-best average finish (7th), the fourth-best speed ranking, and the third-best average DKFP per race (41.3). With the speed he showed in practice on Saturday, there is no reason that Cindric can’t win this race on Sunday.

Erik Jones ($7,400)

Starting Position: 26th

Is Erik Jones an elite road course racer, probably not. Is Jones an elite DFS road course racer, yup (in 2022 at least)! This season nobody has a better place differential than Erik Jones at road courses (+14.8 avg per race) and he should once again show that upside on Sunday. For some reason, Jones cannot qualify well at this track type but he can race well. Besides being the top place differential driver at this track type, Jones has the second-best DKFP per race average (41.4) and best FDFP per race (47.7).

Other Options: Chase Briscoe ($8,300 – P17), Noah Gragson ($7,600 – P29), Michael McDowell ($7,300 – P11), Brad Keselowski ($7,000 – P31)

There are A LOT of mid-tier drivers in play for this race and I probably wouldn’t talk you off any of them.

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings

Aric Almirola ($6,400 – P37): Almirola is not a great road course driver, but you can’t argue with his PD upside here for the price. Almirola is an elite cash and SE option on Sunday.
Todd Gilliland ($5,700 – P32): Gilliland is the GPP pivot off of the chalk Almirola for me. If you remove Watkins Glen where he wrecked, Gilliland has a 17.25 average finish on road courses in 2022.
Ty Gibbs ($6,500 – P16): Gibbs has excelled at this track type in his Xfinity career and finished 2nd here yesterday in the Xfinity race.
Ricky Stenhouse ($6,000 – P25)
Ty Dillon ($5,400 – P28)
Mike Rockenfeller ($4,900 – P34)
Corey Lajoie ($5,200 – P30)

Cash Core: Kyle Larson, Chris Buescher, Erik Jones, Aric Almirola : This core leaves you over $9K per driver.

Check out my NASCAR DFS Tutorial! Ensure you are ready and understand how I break down the races and build lineups (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-pit-stop-2021-introduction-to-nascar-dfs/).

There were a lot of changes in the cars and what driver is in what car/truck in 2022. Check out my What’s new in 2022 article (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-whats-new-in-2022/)

3 years ago 0 comments

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NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Xfinity Series Charlotte Roval 10/8

Matt Vecchio 3 years ago

written by Matt Vecchio

Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop for Saturday’s Xfinity Series race from The Charlotte Roval!

This week the Xfinity Series runs its sixth and final road course race on Saturday from the Charlotte Roval. Since it is a road course, we won’t be chasing dominator points with only 67 laps of racing in this race.

Practice and qualifying will be held Saturday morning so I will just be giving you the plays I think will be good for this race based on how they’ve done this season. Luckily we have a lot of races on this track type in 2022 to use for reference.

Make sure to check back in discord on Saturday afternoon before lock for my updated plays.

NASCAR DFS: Top Tier

AJ Allmendinger ($11,000)

Allmendinger is the epitome of a road course racer and to be honest, his price is too cheap for this race. The Xfinity Series has run three races on this track and Allmendinger’s average finish in those three races is 1st. Yep, that is correct, Allmendinger has won all three races the series has run on the Roval. In five road course races this season, Allmendinger has won three times and finished 2nd and 6th in the other two. We could see Allmendinger win again here and he is the most likely driver to lead the most laps as well. It does not matter where Dinger starts on Saturday, he is the top play on this slate.

Sam Mayer ($10,000)

Mayer has quietly been one of the top road course drivers in the Xfinity Series in his short career. In nine career road course races, Mayer has five top 10s and one top 5. Mayer comes in riding high with four straight top 10s and has finished 6th and 7th in the previous two road courses. Mayer is a potentially lower-owned pivot off a possibly high-owned Ty Gibbs ($10,600).

James Davison ($9,000)

Davison is a driver we usually see running road courses in the Cup Series, but for the first time this season and only the second time since 2018, he will be in an Xfinity race. This will be Davison’s fourth run in a Joe Gibbs car. Davison has two top 10s and a top 5 while driving for JGR in his career. Davison should be a contender for the win on Saturday but if he stays clean should be a top-10 lock.

Other Options: Noah Gragson ($10,100), Ty Gibbs ($10,600), Josh Berry ($9,200)

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Unlike the top tier, it is hard to pick the best plays without seeing where they start. There are a few drivers, in particular, I have some interest in, but I will need to see how they run in practice and qualify first:

Myatt Snider ($8,400) – Snider is a solid road course driver, but if he starts too high the value won’t be there.
Daniil Kvyat ($7,200) – Kvyat is an experienced F1 driver but has not been given equipment this good in his two career Cup Series races. I believe that Kvyat could be a factor here on Saturday, but we will need to see how this car does in practice.
Andy Lally ($7,000) – Lally is one of the top road course specialists and has more experience than most in this field. In four races this season, Lally has only finished outside the top 20 one time and has an average finish of 18.8. Lally will run a clean race and if he starts lower than 20th, lock him into your lineups on Saturday. With that being said, he is still viable he starts higher.

Other Options Brandon Jones ($8,800), Kaz Grala ($7,800), Alex Labbe ($7,500)

Value Tier Rankings:

Timmy Hill ($5,700) – P34
Ryan Vargas ($4,800) – P36
Brandon Brown ($5,500) – P33
Marco Andretti ($6,600) – P30
Josh Williams ($5,200) – P22
Bayley Currey ($4,900) – P32
Scott Heckert ($5,100) – P26
Josh Bilicki ($5,800) – P20

There were a lot of changes in the cars and what driver is in what car/truck in 2022, check out my What’s new in 2022 article (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-whats-new-in-2022/)

3 years ago 0 comments

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NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Cup Series Talladega 10/2

rmferenc@gmail.com 3 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop for Sunday’s YellaWood 500 from Talladega Superspeedway!

As with most superspeedway races, this one should be filled with destroyed cars. After what we’ve seen in the lack of safety and tires in this new car I am hoping we don’t have any wrecks but they are inevitable in these races. What happened in the Xfinity Series race, every car finished the race, will not happen on Sunday. That was the first time that has ever happened in any of the three national series in NASCAR.

In four of the last five Talladega races, the winner won with a last-lap pass. Like I have said all weekend and at previous superspeedway races, you need to focus on place differential and finishing position. If you are playing only one lineup, you should be completely fading the drivers starting in the top 10. In most of the last five Talladega races, 2-3 drivers starting in the top 10 would finish there. The majority of the top 10 came from the high teens and further back. Also, there are only 37 cars in the field so there will be lower place differential totals on Sunday so you don’t need to stack the chalk from the back.

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

Ryan Blaney ($10,400)

Starting Position: 19th

Blaney is one of the series’ top superspeedway drivers and should be one of the top picks to win this race. Earlier this season at Talladega, Blaney finished 11th, but he led 23 laps and was running second but had a pit road issue that led to his 11th place. In the last five races here, Blaney has the 3rd best average finish (of drivers with more than one race) and has one win and two top 10’s in those races.

Chase Elliott ($10,000)

Starting Position: 16th

Superspeedways are not Elliott’s best track type but he should be a top performer on Sunday. Elliott needs points and can’t afford to wreck out early in this race. Since 2019, Elliot has one win and four finishes of 8th or better in that span.

Other Options: Kyle Busch ($9,900 – P26), Martin Truex Jr. ($9,700 – P22)

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Bubba Wallace ($8,900)

Starting Position: 27th (Dropping to the rear for engine change)

Even with Wallace dropping to the rear, this shouldn’t deter anyone from playing him on Sunday. Wallace is one of the supreme superspeedway drivers in the Cup Series and should be near the front at day’s end. Last fall at this race Wallace earned his first career Cup Series win and has excelled at every superspeedway race since. At the Daytona 500, Wallace was in a position to win at the end but ended up 2nd behind Austin Cindric. Then at the first Talladega race this season, Wallace led 15 laps and won stage 1. Wallace was pushing back to the front on the last lap, but was caught up in the last lap wreck and finished 17th.

Lower Owned Pivot: Kevin Harvick ($8,100 – P24) – Harvick has run well at Talladega recently with 5 finishes in the top 20 out of five races. Harvick also has four top 10’s in that time and the second best average finish (10.4)

Chris Buescher ($7,600)

Starting Position: 23rd

Buescher is another driver who traditionally runs well at this track type. In the last two fall races, Buescher won stage 1 and has two top 10’s in the last five races here. Last Fall at this race, Buescher won stage 1 as I mentioned, and he also led seven laps in that race on his way to a 6th place finish. Ford’s, and more specifically RFK Ford’s, run well at this track type and Sunday should be no different.

Outside of the three drivers above, there are three more I highly rank for today’s race:

Austin Cindric ($7,900 – P17): Cindric won the Daytona 500 this year and ran well at Talladega but was caught up in the big one in stage 2 and finished 21st.

Austin Dillon ($7,200 – P20): Dillon is a superior superspeedway driver and is coming off a win at Daytona.

Brad Keselowski ($7,400 – P18): Keselowski is a 6-time winner at Talladega and should be a contender on Sunday. Can he win this race? Of course he can, but I view Kes as a top 10 car. In his last five Dega races, Keselowski has finished every race running and has only one finish lower than 19th (23rd – Spring ’22) and won the spring race here in 2021. Keselowski also has the second-most quality passes over the last 5 races (passes inside the top 15 under green)

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings

Corey Lajoie ($6,000) – P32
Todd Gilliland ($4,900) – P34: Gilliland may be my favorite play on the entire slate. He is a driver that never gets above 20% ownership and typically runs well at drafting tracks.
Ricky Stenhouse ($6,400) – P25 (Speicial 2Lock Bday narrative today!)
Ty Dillon ($5,300) – P30
Cole Custer ($6,700) – P28): Nobody ever plays Custer as these tracks but he (almost) always does well.
Michael McDowell ($6,600) – P29
Landon Cassill ($5,800) – P33
Justin Haley ($6,200) – P21: Haley probably comes in at sub 10% ownership which makes me love him more. If you are making 1-3 lineups, don’t go here but if you’re MME like me crank up the exposure.

Realistically everyone in this tier is in play, even Noah Gragson ($5,600 – P7).

There are a lot of good drivers that I don’t want exposure to in DFS, like Kyle Larson, but I will have some Erik Jones ($8,300 – P12) exposure on Sunday. He is my pick to win this race and has decent odds on DK still at +3000. I also think Stenhouse can get it done today as well at +4000 on DK, but a real darkhorse bet that I put some money is Harrison Burton ($5,100 – P15) at +10000.

Remember everyone, this a superspeedway and you should NOT be looking to max out your salary. Instead look to drivers who run well and are good at avoiding the wrecks to have good finishes. Of course, place differential is key but you do NOT need to just “stack the back”, drivers in the low 20’s and teens are playable.

Check out my NASCAR DFS Tutorial! Ensure you are ready and understand how I break down the races and build lineups (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-pit-stop-2021-introduction-to-nascar-dfs/).

There were a lot of changes in the cars and what driver is in what car/truck in 2022. Check out my What’s new in 2022 article (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-whats-new-in-2022/)

3 years ago 0 comments

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NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Xfinity Series Talladega 10/1

rmferenc@gmail.com 3 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop for Saturday’s Xfinity Series race from Talladega!

This week the Xfinity Series makes its return to Talladega for the second and final time in 2022. Like with most superspeedway races there will be massive carnage, or at least that’s what I anticipate. We generally get a large number of wrecks late in the Xfinity Series races and it should be no different at Talladega on Saturday.

Earlier this season at Talladega we only had 20 cars finish on the lead lap and we also had 11 extra laps run in that race. Only 22 cars of the 38 that started actually finished the race. We saw different outcomes in 2021, but both of those races were rain-shortened so those don’t count. In 2020, it was similar to the race earlier this season with 12-15 cars being out at race end.

I am maxing out a couple of different GPP’s for this race and I will have almost no exposure to the drivers in the top 5 and top 10. When using the optimizer to build these lineups I will be setting the randomization higher than usual (usually I set it around 5-10%) and will be limiting drivers starting in the top 10 to 5% of my lineups. I want to maximize my exposure to the drivers starting mid-pack and back. Also, remember that there are only 36 trucks in this race so that is what makes the drivers starting in the teens more playable.

Lastly, ownership. There will be plenty of drivers who carry high ownership in this race and while I’d like to avoid all of them, that just isn’t possible. I will in turn suggest that you lower your ownership of certain drivers. If I break down a potentially high-owned driver, I will suggest a good lower-owned pivot with that driver.

NASCAR DFS: Top Tier

Riley Herbst ($9,100)

Starting Position: 23rd

Herbst is the only driver I have a really high interest in on Saturday from this tier. There are other drivers I have in my lineups, but that’s because I have 40 lineups with 37 of 38 drivers in them. Herbst is a great SE and cash game play. Since joining SHR in 2021, Herbst has finished top 10 twice at Talladega and only failed to finish once in three races.

Other Options: Trevor Bayne ($9,300 – P11), AJ Allmendinger ($9,500 – P8)

If you are playing multiple lineups in GPP’s you can take a chance on Noah Gragson ($10,100 – P6), who has won four straight races and won here in the spring. Also, Sam Mayer ($10,300 – P13) is a good option that has some PD upside.

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Jeremy Clements ($7,500)

Starting Position: 37th

Clements is going to be the chalk play on this slate, especially coming off his win at Daytona a few weeks back. That finish was because of attrition and that is the only reason to believe he can do it again today. Clements is in my lineups, but I limited my exposure to him at 25% for large-field GPP’s but in cash and SE you HAVE to play him.

Lower Owned Pivot: Brandon Brown ($7,300 – P17) – Brown won this race last season and should be a factor for a top 10 if attrition is on his side. Brown projects for only 7 fewer points starting 20 positions higher than Clements at over 20% lower ownership.

Jeffrey Earnhardt ($7,700)

Starting Position: 27th

Earnhardt is the perfect GPP play for this track type, he either finishes top 20 or wrecks out. I would not play Earnhardt in cash or SE but in GPP’s he’s my highest-owned driver. I know there is a lot of risk in this play but that is what you want in those types of contests.

Derek Griffith ($8,000)

Starting Position: 26th

Griffith is starting 26th in the number 26 Toyota on Saturday afternoon. I expected Griffith to be projected at much higher ownership than he is so I have him as my second highest owned driver in this race. I expected Griffith to be a cash game type play, but he is viable in all contests now. This car typically runs well and Giffith has bettered his starting spot in all four races he has been in this car for in 2022.

Other Options: Anthony Alfredo ($7,200 – P20), Ryan Sieg ($7,900 – P14), Landon Cassill ($8,400 – P18), Myatt Snider ($8,200 – P21)

Value Tier Rankings:

Timmy Hill ($6,900) – P36
JJ Yeley ($5,900) – P35
Howie Disavino III ($5,100) – P34
Josh Williams ($6,700) – P30
Mike Harmon ($4,700) – P38
David Starr ($4,800) – P33
BJ McLeod ($4,900) – P32
Caesar Bacarella ($6,300) – P31

There were a lot of changes in the cars and what driver is in what car/truck in 2022, check out my What’s new in 2022 article (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-whats-new-in-2022/)

3 years ago 0 comments

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