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NFL DFS Week 17: StixPicks (Cash and GPP)

StixPicks
written by StixPicks

I hope everyone had an excellent holiday season and are ready for a big start of the 2023 calendar year with some NFL DFS! As always, we can focus more on lineup construction in Discord. The purpose of this article is to identify my top plays for a NFL DFS cash game lineup on DraftKings and FanDuel Sunday Main Slates (also known as a double-up) in addition to my favorite NFL DFS GPP tournament plays. Good luck this week!

NFL DFS Quarterbacks

Quick note regarding Quarterbacks: I’ll continue to attack the mid-tier range at the quarterback position for that value I’ve been discussing over the past month. It’s been working and this is a full slate with 13 games. There is a ton of value on this slate and the pay-up, Patrick Mahomes, is likely in a slower game environment that I will probably avoid. Justin Fields is always in-play and capable of breaking the slate on a 70-yard touchdown run, but I do worry about his health status and lack of designed runs we saw last week against Buffalo. Maybe that was just a fluke and Fields is a fantastic play this week in the highest total game on the slate, but I’m going to save money at the quarterback position again in Week 17 NFL DFS.

  • Aaron Rodgers ($6,000 DK / $7,100 FD) – We’ve been picking on the Vikings’ secondary throughout this whole season and won’t stop now as we get Aaron Rodgers at home in a must-win game. If Christian Watson is out, that will hinder my love for Rodgers this week as they can simply lean heavily on the running game, but regardless, he’s in a beautiful matchup for a very affordable price. With 80% of the field likely to roster Jared Goff in cash games, I’ll leave Rodgers to the NFL DFS GPP player pool.
  • Deshaun Watson ($5,800 DK / $6,700 FD) – If you’ve been following my articles lately, you know that I love playing these $5K price-range quarterbacks with rushing upside. Watson is finally priced below $6,000 (on DraftKings) and is going to be 1% owned in this Week 17 slate. As everyone looks to roster Aaron Rodgers, Mike White, and Jared Goff in this price range, the guy with the highest upside in Deshaun Watson is the forgotten man. Yes, he’s looked like garbage so far this season, but in NFL DFS GPP lineups, Deshaun Watson is one of the AETY Model’s favorite value and leverage plays on the slate at the quarterback position. The Commanders’ defense is solid, but they’re extremely beatable through the air and grade out as a top-10 adjusted-expected matchup for opposing rushing quarterbacks.
  • Jared Goff ($5,600 DK / $7,400 FD) – I’ll keep this one brief. Jared Goff is on fire in terms of fantasy points per game over the past five weeks and gets a cakewalk matchup at home against the Bears’ 29th ranked pass defense (DVOA). The Detroit Lions’ have the HIGHEST IMPLIED TEAM TOTAL on the slate, lol! I don’t know if I have ever typed those words in my life. In cash, you’re playing Jared Goff. In tournaments, Goff is still a fine play (just know you’ll need to get different elsewhere), but I’ll pivot to Rodgers or Watson in hopes that the Lions’ do most of their scoring on the ground with their three running backs.

Honorable Mention: Justin Fields, Justin Herbert, Mike White, Tom Brady

NFL DFS Running Backs

  • Saquon Barkley ($8,000 DK / $9,200 FD)
  • Dalvin Cook ($7,000 DK / $8,300 FD) – I don’t think I’ve got Dalvin Cook right all season long, but I’ll go back to the well this week against the Packers’ 32nd ranked run defense (DVOA). This is going to be a highly competitive game with a lot of points scored (according to the AETY Model and Vegas totals), and the price is right here for a lead running back who hardly leaves the field. If the Vikings’ want to win this game, they’ll need to take advantage of the Packers’ inability to stop opposing running backs.
  • David Montgomery ($6,900 DK / $7,500 FD) – Montgomery is a GPP only play for me in Week 17 NFL DFS. We will see some Khalil Herbert like we did in the beginning of the season, but this offense runs through Justin Fields and David Montgomery. We’ll likely see a sub-5% ownership tag and that leverage Montgomery offers against Justin Fields’ chalk is always something noteworthy in a high-total game against a run defense that grades 26th in DVOA.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson ($6,800 DK / $7,000 FD) – Great price and a good matchup for a true three-down running back with 18+ touch equity. As long as Damien Harris is out, Stevenson is a cash game staple and fine for your NFL DFS GPP lineups.

    *Damien Harris will be active. Now off this situation as a whole.
  • Miles Sanders ($5,900 DK / $6,800 FD) – Like Dalvin Cook, I’ve never got Miles Sanders’ week right this season. At the price and the expected ownership (15-20%), Miles Sanders is perfect for your NFL DFS cash game lineups and is worthy of a GPP roster spot as the Eagles have the #1 DVOA advantage in terms of rushing attacks against a horrendous rushing defense.
  • Isiah Pachecho ($5,600 DK / $6,300 FD) – A double-digit home favorite at sub-5% ownership… GPP sex. The Denver Broncos run defense continues to plummet and Pachecho is hiding in-between all of the chalk value running backs. Let’s go.
  • Tyler Allgeier ($5,300 DK / $6,700 FD) – It looks like the Falcons have given rookie Tyler Allgeier the keys to this offense as they start to slowly cut ties with Cordarrelle Patterson. At the price, Allgeier offers our lineup a ton of value and a safe bet for 15+ touches with significant touchdown equity. Allegeir is full-go for cash and GPP lineups in Week 17 NFL DFS.
  • Brian Robinson Jr. ($5,200 DK / $6,900 FD) – With no Antonio Gibson, lock in Brian Robinson for 18+ touches against the Browns’ 30th ranked run defense (DVOA). The AETY Model had a very hard time projecting the passing down work for this backfield now that Gibson is out, so it’s best to leave Brian Robinson to GPP lineups and just find $100 more for Tyler Allgeier if you need a cash game value running back.

    *Update: Ownership now warrants a cash game roster spot for Brian Robinson Jr.

Honorable Mention: Christian McCaffrey, Cam Akers, Leonard Fournette

NFL DFS Wide Receivers

  • Justin Jefferson ($9,500 DK / $9,200 FD)
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown ($7,800 DK / $8,200 FD) – Core play for me in all formats. I don’t really care what the ownership is. This is a prime matchup for any pass catcher against the Bears with an added bonus to those who line up in the slot.
  • Mike Evans ($6,500 DK / $7,500 FD) – Mike Evans historically dominates the Carolina Panthers and will enter this slate at 2-4% in ownership. Evans is one of my favorite NFL DFS GPP plays against a Panthers’ secondary who will be without their cover corner in Jaycee Horn. This is a must-win game for the Bucs’ and a perfect buy-low spot on the outside of this Carolina coverage for the struggling Mike Evans.
  • Amari Cooper ($5,800 DK / $7,100 FD) – As I love Deshaun Watson in GPP lineups this weekend, I obviously love his top target in Amari Cooper. With or without Benjamin St. Juste, this is a matchup Amari Cooper should thrive in and the AETY Model expects this one to go well over the total of 41 points. I wouldn’t say this is a sneaky shootout, but the value is there with everyone in the matchup priced down in all NFL DFS formats. Cooper is only of interest to me in my GPP builds.
  • Garrett Wilson ($5,500 DK / $7,300 FD) – Ridiculous pricing on DraftKings. Wilson is a clear $6K or more wide receiver on any given week, let alone the weeks where Mike White is playing quarterback. He’s an absolute cash game staple this week and a fine value piece for GPP lineups in a must-win game for the New York Jets.
  • Allen Lazard ($5,400 DK / $6,200 FD) – With or without Christian Watson this week, Allen Lazard is in fantastic matchup against the Vikings’ pass funnel defense. The Vikings have been playing significantly more Cover-1 man defense and that’s where Rodgers loves to use the hot routes to his most trusted pass-catcher, Allen Lazard. As long as this game has good pace, Allen Lazard is one of the best pass-catching values on this slate and will be a core play for me in all formats.
  • Courtland Sutton ($5,100 DK / $6,800 FD) – The AETY Model LOVES this spot for Courtland Sutton but that scares me a bit as we haven’t really seen a big game from the big-bodied wideout in since Week 2, but he’s quietly gone for double-digit fantasy points in each of his past four games. The Chiefs’ secondary has been bleeding production to wideouts this season and based on the Vegas pre-match numbers, this is a perfect gamescript for Sutton and the Broncos pass catchers.

    For whatever it’s worth, Sutton lead the Broncos with a 28% target share when Greg Dulcich was injured to begin the season. Now that he is on the IR, we should expect Sutton to move around the formation more and fill some of those “hybrid” routes that Dulcich was running. At 2-5% ownership and a valuable price-tag, Sutton is a GPP favorite of mine.
  • Drake London ($4,900 DK / $6,700 FD) – Simply too cheap for the expected volume. In cash, I’ll probably lean Allgeier over London, but if you need the savings, London is a perfect cash game play and someone I would also consider in NFL DFS GPP formats against this banged-up Arizona secondary.

Honorable Mention: Keenan Allen, Chris Godwin, DJ Moore, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Jakobi Meyers (20% ownership tag likely warrants a cash game roster spot), Romeo Doubs, DJ Chark, Elijah Moore

NFL DFS Tight-Ends

  • Travis Kelce ($8,100 DK / $8,300 FD)
  • TJ Hockenson ($5,400 DK / $7,000 FD) – Broke the slate last week and is a fine play again this week in all formats. Over the past four weeks, Hockenson actually has six more targets than Travis Kelce. The volume is too good for the price.
  • Cole Kmet ($4,500 DK / $5,300 FD) – Kmet is the only healthy pass-catcher on this Bears’ offense who poses a threat in fantasy football. He’s quietly lead this team in targets throughout the 2022 NFL season and should be heavily leaned on in the shootout at Detroit. The Lions grade 26th in pass defense DVOA to opposing tight-ends.

Honorable Mention: George Kittle, David Njoku, Tyler Conklin

NFL DFS: The Fab Five (DK Cash Games)

  • Jared Goff
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown
  • Garrett Wilson
  • Brian Robinson Jr.
  • San Francisco 49ers

UPDATE: I will unfortunately be out of town on Sunday morning and will miss the livestream so here is my NFL DFS GPP Core Plays:

  • Deshaun Watson
  • Isiah Pachecho
  • Amari Cooper
  • Courtland Sutton

Be sure to follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and DFS slate.

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PGAPremium

DFS DraftKings Ownership Projections for The Sony Open

cdenny99@hotmail.com
written by cdenny99@hotmail.com

Last week Jon Rahm exploded on Sunday like the volcanoes on the Hawaiian Island course they played on. Collin Morikawa blew a six stroke lead and finished second. Kudos to him for immediately finishing and conducting an emotional interview where he expressed his profound sorrow for losing and how sad he was. Hopefully the 1.5 million for second will assuage his sadness. We get a full field this week, a bit watered down, and the pricing is soft compared to last years tourney. Ownership, especially on Mr. Tom Kim, will be a key factor for your rosters. The Honda Classic DFS DraftKings Ownership Projections will provide you with the tools and intel to propel your teams to the top of the board.

Recent Results

For the Sentry we put out Trey Mullinax as a solid play for 6200 salary and 8% ownership. He finished 14 under, a stroke away from top 20, and brought value for both his effort and his price allowing you to pick another stud up top.

2021 was sweet for me. I took down 6 tourneys, including 20K in a tennis tourney I used a golf program for and the sage advice of Mr. Pickett, our friend from the north and an excellent tennis forecaster for Win Daily Sports. I used some of my winnings to upgrade to integrated AI systems and this past year I only sniffed the top 10 a couple of times. I was relying on the AI too much and it showed. A lesson learned.

Penn Gillette, the one half of Penn and Teller, (the top magicians on the planet) is a mathematical genius. Penn has written several books on Chaos math. Recently they did a study at Penn where they put up a huge screen in the cafeteria and put dots, lines and dashes all over it, changing frequently, and the one constant was that it was totally random at all times. Over three days over 4000 students who ate there were asked what if any pattern they saw, and every single one mentioned a perceived pattern, not one single response was for total randomness. Humans seek patterns, in social arenas, in problem solving, in gaming and in DFS. All the time. Every time.

One of the proven theories in Chaos math is that a sub optimized construct over a finite period of time including variables WILL become optimized. Four days of golf, (a finite time) weather, injuries, W/D’s, players moods (being the variables) means that helpless looking team you built could take it all down. Its a proven fact.

I am in no way suggesting you not use an optimizer. Win Daily Sports has an excellent optimizer that can help you define and refine your golfer pool. If you use them please try and input some rules. For example, if playing Tom Kim this week I want at least one of the other golfers to be Conners. (HINT) If you just run the opto blind you will spend your GPP budget quickly. Remember, we all seek patterns no matter what, our brains are hard wired to seek them out. Being just one player different can mean many extra zeroes on your green screen. (instead of sharing last place money with fifteen hundred strangers). This is for GPP only, cash games can use the more standard opto with most of the chalk being preferred.

The Course – The Field

This is a smaller course, 7000 yards and a par 70. This is one of 10 courses over the season where shots gained putting is a key metric. Those of you with favorite golfers who are suspect putters may have an out on this course due to the large greens and forgiving nature. The rough will be higher (3.25 to 3.5 inches) than it normally is but is not considered too penal.

Whether to trust the Weather

At present the weather is calling for mild winds in the 10-15 mph range. Thursday looks like a PM wave advantage but its not significant. The remainder looks pretty much the same. Make sure you check with Win Daily Sports Discord later tonight for weather and wind updates.

Lets take a look at The Sony Open DFS DraftKings Ownership Projections powered by Win Daily Sports. These tools are designed to allow you to build your lineups and streamline roster construction while gaining leverage on the field through pivots on the chalk and finding value plays in the lower tiers.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYEROWN %SALARY
Kim, Tom (Joohyung) 28.710500
Im, Sungjae25.310300
Harman, Brian24.19700
Davis, Cameron21.28500
Conners, Corey18.79600
Lee, KH18.18700
Spieth, Jordan16.710000
English, Harris14.97800
Hughes, Mackenzie14.87500
Mitchell, Keith14.48300
Poston,  JT14.37700
Smalley, Alex 13.97800
Hoge, Tom13.69900
Putnam, Andrew13.38000
Kitayama, Kurt 12.67700
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan12.48100
Montgomery, Taylor12.39000
Jaeger, Stephan 12.27200
Grillo, Emiliano11.98000
Kucher, Matt11.87900
Svensson, Adam11.77500
Sigg, Greyson 11.57300
Bradley, Keegan11.49300
Henley, Russell11.29800
Scott,Adam10.98600
Shelton, Robby10.97000
Buckley, Hayden10.87600
Matsuyama, Hideki10.710100
Spaun, JJ10.68400
Woodland, Gary10.17600
Knox, Russell9.87200
Kim, Si Woo9.78200
Todd, Brendon9.47400
Griffin, Ben9.37300
Horschel, Billy9.29500
Hardy, Nick7.97500
McCarthy, Denny7.87900
Simpson, Webb7.37400
McNealy, Maverick7.29100
Gordon, Will6.87600
Steele, Brendan6.27300
Kirk, Chris5.97400
Hubbard, Mark5.87100
Lipsky, David4.97100
Kizzire, Patton4.87300
Taylor, Ben4.36800
Rai, Aaron4.17400
Lingmerth, David3.96700
Palmer, Ryan3.87100
Glover, Lucas3.47000
Cink, Stewart2.96900
Thompson, Michael2.86700
Ryder, Sam2.76900
Kim, SH (Seonghyeon)2.77000
Hadley, Chesson2.66600
Smotherman, Austin2.56300
Blair, Zac2.56400
Armour, Ryan2.36900
Thompson, Davis 2.37100
Suh, Justin 2.27200
Yu, Chun-an (Kevin)1.96700
Stuard, Brian1.96300
Reavie, Chez1.97000
Bramlett, Joseph1.86900
Eckroat, Austin 1.86400
Yuan, Carl1.86800
Barnes, Erik1.76600
Streelman, Kevin1.67100
Taylor, Nick1.66700
Hammer, Cole 1.46500
Nakajima, Keita1.46700
Piercy, Scott1.46800
Martin, Ben1.36500
Merritt, Troy1.37200
Higa, Kazuki1.36900
Cole, Eric1.26200
Wu, Brandon 1.27000
Cook, Austin1.26600
Long, Adam1.26900
Baddeley, Aaron1.16400
Alexander, Tyson0.96300
Semikawa, Taiga0.96600
An, Byeong0.86700
Schenk, Adam0.86800
Moore, Ryan0.86500
Hickok, Kramer0.86300
Lee, Danny0.76300
Johnson, Zack0.76600
Stevens, Sam0.66200
Higgs, Harry0.66400
Lashley, Nate0.66400
Malnati, Peter0.66400
Kim, Michael0.56400
Duo, Zecheng0.56500
Wu, Dylan0.56200
Kraft, Kelly0.56300
Daffue, MJ0.46800
Echavarria, Nico0.46000
Haley II, Paul0.46500
Hall, Harry0.46200
Sabbatini, Rory0.46500
Garnett, Brice0.46500
Ramey, Chad0.46300
Streb, Robert0.46500
Stanley, Kyle0.46100
Cone, Trevor0.46000
Endycott, Harrison0.36200
Novak, Andrew0.36200
Kelly, Jerry0.36200
Schwab, Matthias 0.36600
Gligic, Michael0.36400
Duncan, Tyler0.36200
Walker, Jimmy0.36100
Westmoreland, Kyle0.36000
Schmid, Matthias (Matti)0.26800
Redman, Doc0.26300
Norrman, Vincent0.26300
Herman, Jim0.26100
Roy, Kevin0.16100
Nunez, Augusto0.16100
Katsuragawa, Yuto0.16700
Onishi, Kaito0.16200
Tway, Kevin0.16200
Brehm, Ryan0.16200
Harrington, Scott0.16100
McGreevy, Max0.16100
Matthews, Brandon0.16100
Werenski, Richy0.16100
Okada, Kohei0.16100
Choi, KJ0.16100
McLachlin, Parker0.16000
Winslow, Joseph0.06100
Markham, George0.06100
Grant, Brent0.06000
Goya, Tano0.06000
Young, Carson0.06000
Albertson, Anders0.06000
Werbylo, Trevor0.06000
Mueller, Jesse0.06000
Castillo, Michael0.06000
Akana, Blaze (a)0.06000
Truslow, Austen0.06000
Guise, Danny0.06000

These figures for The Sony Open are accurate as of 18:58 EST. The higher tier golfers may/will show a higher percentage by lock.

**Billy Horschel will play this weekend. He had initially told his team he was heading home to work on his game. Tom Kim will be higher owned than Sungjae in all contests under 100.00, expect the opposite on any contest over that figure, especially the 333.00, 555.00, and up.**

My picks for The Sony Open

Top Tier: T. Kim

Mid Tier: C. Connors

Low Tier: A. Putnam

Out in Left Play: K. Higa

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: Svensson

FR Leader: Griffin (Contrarian)

What to Watch

Stix and Spencer of The Bettor Golf Podcast (powered by Win Daily Sports) are available on Anchor at Spotify, Apple and other channels. Stix’s hammer plays hits almost every single time and Spencer has the most comprehensive program breakdowns in the industry. Their picks are free square plays. Together they have been winning thousands and thousands of dollars week in and week out. They provide you with not just the picks, they also provide the tools for you to learn how to make money. For the best edge in the betting market and for outstanding DFS position and placement content, do not miss The Bettor Golf podcast!

Its available to listen to right now!

The Premier Live Stream

This week The PGA Draftcast had Jason Sobel as a guest. He was the first DFS Golf Guru I followed almost ten years ago, and I paid for lessons by having him and CSURAM from the old LABS team kicking my tail every week until I started holding my own. Kudos to Joel for having additional Superstars on the DraftCast. This is the group featuring Sia that kills the First Round Leader pick week after week after week.

Don’t forget to tune in to The DraftCast, hosted by Joel and featuring Sia, Spencer, and Dave and the surprise guest who drops by to battle you, the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s back to the familiar time slot at 9:00 EST on Tuesday nights and is fun, engaging and educational. Show up, tune in, and help your audience win the week with the best team on the board!

The Results

Our current record for The Frisky Biscuit play is 20-4. We are sitting at 80% winners for an extremely cheap golfer (6K range) that everyone hates (less than 5 % ownership). Our play will be released this evening in The Win Daily Sports Discord channel.

In Closing

We finished with a 97% + accuracy rating on our ownership projections from last year. We want 99%+ this year. We have 37 more tourneys to take down starting tomorrow and we look forward to seeing all those green screens in Win Daily Sports Discord.

They have a new state breakfast In Georgia this week. It’s called “Toads on Toast”.

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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DFS DraftKings Ownership Projections for The Houston Open

cdenny99@hotmail.com
written by cdenny99@hotmail.com

This will be the third year at Memorial for The Houston Open. With the birdie fests going on recently in the second season you could expect another 24 under to win. If you played even par in this tourney over the last two years you would have ended up in 40th place, and that’s for both years. This course is rated in the top 10 of most difficult to score from around the greens, fairway run off areas and the actual rough. The Houston Open DFS DraftKings Ownership Projections are designed to help you find the studs, value plays and reduced ownership pivots to drive your teams to the top of the leaderboard.

This course does carry major- type lines and hazards, especially with the dry, brittle Bermuda rough at almost 3 inches. Our model is projecting a 12 under to 14 under victory. Bogey avoidance is a key to this weeks contest as well as distance, accuracy and approach play with a boost to around the greens.

The Course – The Field

Bombers with accuracy and elite ball strikers should do well here, and this weeks offering has attracted some top heavy talent. Scottie Scheffler, Sam Burns, Tony Finau and Aaron Wise are several top names scheduled to tee it up in Houston on Thursday.

Whether to trust the Weather

At present the weather in Houston calls for a great day for golf on Thursday, Friday and Sunday, with winds topping out at 6-7 MPH. Saturday should be a bit breezy with the winds at 13-15 MPH and cooler temperatures in the afternoon. Please check in with The Win Daily Sports Discord later this evening for the latest updates on weather and a wave advantage.

Lets take a look at The Houston Open DFS DraftKings Ownership Projections powered by Win Daily Sports. These tools are designed to allow you to build your lineups and streamline roster construction while gaining leverage on the field through pivots on the chalk and finding value plays as well.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYEROWN %SALARY
Scheffler, Scottie35.411500
Wise, Aaron22.89900
Burmester, Dean19.77600
McNealy, Maverick17.39400
Burns, Sam16.610700
Montgomery, Taylor16.19700
Finau, Tony15.910400
Day, Jason15.89500
Pendrith, Taylor 15.78500
Gordon, Will15.57700
Hodges, Lee14.97600
Straka, Sepp13.47400
Thompson, Davis 13.37300
Riley, Davis 12.98400
Mitchell, Keith12.98100
Hughes, Mackenzie12.77700
Rodgers, Patrick11.87800
Clark, Wyndham11.47900
Henley, Russell11.310000
Smalley, Alex 10.97600
Steele, Brendan10.87200
McCarthy, Denny10.49200
Dahmen, Joel9.79000
NeSmith, Matthew9.68900
Munoz, Sebastian9.28200
Matsuyama, Hideki8.910300
Jaeger, Stephan 8.87100
Putnam, Andrew8.48600
Woodland, Gary7.97000
Moore, Taylor7.78000
English, Harris7.67800
Noren, Alex7.58700
Kim, Si Woo7.38800
Hadwin, Adam6.48300
Theegala, Sahith5.99300
Long, Adam5.87400
Hossler, Beau5.87000
Suh, Justin 5.77500
Piercy, Scott5.66700
Rai, Aaron5.47500
Hoffman, Charley5.46800
Schenk, Adam5.37500
Hubbard, Mark5.37100
Frittelli, Dylan5.26800
Wu, Brandon 5.17300
Lower, Justin4.97400
Willett, Danny4.97200
Champ, Cameron4.87200
Lipsky, David4.77100
Kim, Seonghyeon (SH)4.67100
List, Luke4.67300
Molinari, Francesco4.17100
Griffin, Ben3.96800
Laird, Martin3.77200
Palmer, Ryan3.46900
Streb, Robert3.46500
Streelman, Kevin3.37000
Shelton, Robby3.27300
Hickok, Kramer3.26600
Mullinax, Trey3.17000
Rose, Justin2.97200
An, Byeong2.96900
Wallace, Matt2.86800
Tarren, Callum2.86500
Knox, Russell2.77000
Hahn, James2.76700
Bramlett, Joseph2.76500
Hadley, Chesson2.66900
Smotherman, Austin2.46700
Van Rooyen, Erik2.36800
Taylor, Nick2.26900
Cink, Stewart1.96700
Higgo, Garrick1.96700
Lingmerth, David1.86600
Eckroat, Austin 1.76600
Svensson, Adam1.66900
Cook, Austin1.56400
Yuan, Carl1.47000
Duo, Zecheng1.46800
Taylor, Ben1.46500
Schwab, Matthias 1.36500
Johnson, Zack1.36400
Gligic, Michael1.36400
Daffue, MJ1.26600
Duncan, Tyler1.26500
Barnes, Erik1.06100
Armour, Ryan0.96600
Malnati, Peter0.96300
Redman, Doc0.96300
Kraft, Kelly0.86300
Tway, Kevin0.86200
Noh, Seung-Yul0.76100
Huh, John0.76600
Norlander, Henrik0.76600
McGreevy, Max0.66300
Stroud, Chris0.66100
Lee, Danny0.56300
Ramey, Chad0.56200
Haley II, Paul0.46500
Cole, Eric0.46300
Watney, Nick0.46200
Werenski, Richy0.46200
Grant, Brent0.46100
Nunez, Augusto0.46100
Young, Carson0.46100
Hammer, Cole 0.46000
Veerman, Johannes0.36700
Werbylo, Trevor0.36700
Hall, Harry0.36400
Harrington, Scott0.36200
Goya, Tano0.36200
Echavarria, Nico0.36200
Walker, Jimmy0.36100
Matthews, Brandon0.36000
Martin, Ben0.26400
Blair, Zac0.26200
Alexander, Tyson0.26100
Westmoreland, Kyle0.26100
Dufner, Jason0.26000
Kern, Ben0.26000
Roy, Kevin0.16500
Knowles, Philip0.16400
Kim, Michael0.16300
Fischer, Zack0.16300
Herman, Jim0.16000
Brehm, Ryan0.16000
Jacklin, Sean0.06000
Vick, Travis (a)0.06000
Lee, Walker0.06000
Euler, Lukas0.06000

These figures for The Houston Open are accurate as of 17:29 EST. The higher tier golfers may/will show a higher percentage by lock.

My picks for The Houston Open Championship

Top Tier: S. Scheffler/ A. Wise

Mid Tier: T. Montgomery

Low Tier: D. Burmeister

Out in Left Play: S. Straka

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: Mav McNealy

FR Leader: Robert Streb (contrarian)

What to Watch

Stix and Spencer of The Bettor Golf Podcast (powered by Win Daily Sports) are available on Anchor at Spotify, Apple and other channels. At present they are on a short break. Stix did include his hammer play this week which is Alex Smalley to go top 40. These are free square plays. Together they have been winning thousands and thousands of dollars week in and week out. They have the most comprehensive podcast in the industry to provide you with not just the picks, they also provide the tools for you to learn how to make money. For the best edge in the betting market and for outstanding DFS position and placement content, do not miss The Bettor Golf podcast!

The Premier Live Stream

This week Spencer is going for the elusive three peat on The PGA DraftCast as he has won two weeks in a row. Joel, Deep Dive Dave and Sia/ the audience have something to say about his chances. Check out their teams on Twitter until Elon Musk raises the membership fees to 99.99 per month with the blue bird at 100 extra. Maybe he will lose interest and stick to Tesla’s and outer space and hair plugs.

Don’t forget to tune in to The DraftCast, hosted by Joel and featuring Sia, Spencer, and Dave and the surprise guest who drops by to battle you, the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s back to the familiar time slot at 9:00 EST on Tuesday nights and is fun, engaging and educational. Show up, tune in, and help your audience win the week with the best team on the board!

The Results

Last week our Frisky Risky Biscuit play was C. T. Pan who withdrew from The Houston Open this week. He told his hometown paper he tweaked something last Friday at Mayakoba. We do not offer this as an excuse, more to reinforce the volatility of DFS golf.

I remember sitting at +13K with only Sunday to go and with Jon Rahm holding a sizable lead going into Sunday. Late Saturday after finishing a great day, a PGA official told him he had tested positive for Covid and had to withdraw. I ended up that week +180. Joel lost 50K+ based on a ruling by an official as well. Ask Stix about DJ putting and the monetary difference between a birdie and bogey when you are on the brink of winning a huge tourney.

There is still no greater feeling like being in the top 10 late on Sunday with a shot at the takedown. Its why we work so hard to help you get there, and we will be releasing our Frisky Biscuit play tonight in the Win Daily Sports Discord to improve on our record of 20-4 for a low salary and low owned difference maker. Lets take one down this week!

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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DFS DraftKings Ownership Projections for The Mayakoba Classic

cdenny99@hotmail.com
written by cdenny99@hotmail.com

El Camaleon Golf Course was designed by Greg Norman, yes, that Greg Norman, in 2006. It is a resort style course that’s the 5th smallest on tour this year. Bombers won’t have much success here as the tight lies require precision shots. There is dense jungle vegetation and canals that snake through the course that scream double bogey or worse for the errant tee shot. The greens are Paspalum with a rating of 10 on the meter. This means you can paint your house in between the putter striking the ball and it reaching the hole. The Mayakoba DFS DraftKings Ownership Projections powered by Win Daily Sports are designed to give you the metrics to leverage upside and ownership and to pivot off the chalky traps. Our goal is to have you taking down contests using the tools, industry leading analysis, and Discord expert chat.

The Course – The Field

Accurate elite ball strikers should do well here, and the natural beauty has attracted some top heavy talent to this weeks event. Scottie Scheffler, Victor Hovland, Tony Finau and Collin Morikawa are several top names scheduled to tee it up in Mexico on Thursday.

Whether to trust the Weather

At present the weather in Mayakoba calls for a wet tournament. Thunderstorms will be prevalent Wednesday afternoon, Thursday morning, Friday and Saturday. Sunday is projected to be partly cloudy with the golfers getting a reprieve from the showers. There is a category one hurricane making landfall in Belize right now which will add to the moisture in Mexico. The winds are expected to be higher Thursday afternoon. With the variance these storms bring it’s more difficult to project an edge for the am/pm wave. Please check with Win Daily Sports Discord for the updated weather later tonight along with any edge.

Lets take a look at The Mayakoba DFS DraftKings Ownership Projections powered by Win Daily Sports. These tools are designed to allow you to build your lineups and streamline roster construction while gaining leverage on the field through pivots on the chalk and finding value plays as well.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYEROWN %SALARY
Hovland, Viktor19.911200
Grillo, Emiliano17.49100
Finau, Tony16.910400
Hoge, Tom16.89500
Morikawa, Collin16.710600
Horschel, Billy16.410000
Scheffler, Scottie15.811400
Wise, Aaron15.410200
Buckley, Hayden14.77500
Harman, Brian13.98900
Rai, Aaron13.67600
Todd, Brendon13.29000
Putnam, Andrew12.88100
Dahmen, Joel12.87200
Kucher, Matt12.58000
Detry,Thomas 12.48800
Lower, Justin11.97600
Long, Adam11.67400
Munoz, Sebastian11.37900
Lee, KH10.98700
Mitchell, Keith10.78300
McNealy, Maverick10.69400
Henley, Russell10.18400
Montgomery, Taylor9.79600
Hubbard, Mark9.67400
Hodges, Lee 9.37500
Spaun, JJ9.27300
Rodgers, Patrick9.17900
Hadwin, Adam8.98200
Day, Jason8.49200
Sigg, Greyson 7.97300
Yu, Chun-an (Kevin)7.96900
Straka, Sepp7.37400
Molinari, Francesco7.27400
Power, Seamus6.49300
Streelman, Kevin6.47100
Hardy, Nick6.37800
Kirk, Chris6.37200
Noren, Alex6.28500
Shelton, Robby6.17600
Knox, Russell6.17100
English, Harris5.97700
Poston,  JT5.57500
Riley, Davis 5.47800
Gordon, Will5.47000
Burmester, Dean5.37700
Champ, Cameron5.37300
Suh, Justin 5.27100
Wu, Brandon 5.26900
Lipsky, David4.96700
Rose, Justin4.77300
Kim, Seonghyeon (SH)4.57200
Pan, CT4.46800
Duncan, Tyler4.46500
Svensson, Adam4.07100
Van Rooyen, Erik3.97200
Laird, Martin3.87000
Eckroat, Austin 3.76800
Smotherman, Austin3.67000
Taylor, Nick3.47000
Reavie, Chez3.46700
Huh, John3.26700
Hahn, James3.06800
Glover, Lucas2.96700
Tarren, Callum2.96700
Lee, Danny2.86600
Endycott, Harrison2.86600
Griffin, Ben2.76800
Wallace, Matt2.67100
Merritt, Troy2.56900
Armour, Ryan2.56500
Duo, Zecheng2.46900
Hoffman, Charley2.46700
Haley II, Paul2.36500
Palmer, Ryan2.26900
Baddeley, Aaron2.16500
Arnaus, Adri1.96700
Kizzire, Patton1.96300
An, Byeong1.77000
Ryder, Sam1.76800
Moore, Ryan1.76300
Martin, Ben1.66400
Lashley, Nate1.66400
Ramey, Chad1.66100
Palmer, Ryan1.56900
Ghim, Doug1.46600
Lingmerth, David1.46300
Norlander, Henrik1.46200
McGreevy, Max1.36200
Hickok, Kramer1.36400
Willett, Danny1.27000
Piercy, Scott1.16600
Bramlett, Joseph0.96500
Schmid, Matthias (Matti)0.96500
Frittelli, Dylan0.86800
Gligic, Michael0.86400
Higgo, Garrick0.76900
Blair, Zac0.66400
Herman, Jim0.66000
Hall, Harry0.66600
Daffue, MJ0.56600
Taylor, Ben0.46400
Streb, Robert0.46300
Cook, Austin0.46300
Werenski, Richy0.46200
Dufner, Jason0.36100
Hossler, Beau0.37200
Sabbatini, Rory0.36300
Barnes, Erik0.36200
Vick, Travis (a)0.26600
Schwab, Matthias 0.26500
Grant, Brent0.26400
Higgs, Harry0.26200
Landry ,Andrew0.26100
Tway, Kevin0.26100
Kim, Michael0.16300
Nunez, Augusto0.16200
Davis, Brian0.16100
Favela, Armando0.16000
Vazquez, Sebastian0.16000
Matthews, Brandon0.16000
Marin Santander, Enrique0.16000
Knowles, Philip0.06200
Young, Carson0.06200
Rodriguez, Jose de Jesus0.06100
Westmoreland, Kyle0.06100
Cole, Eric0.06100
Stevens, Sam0.06100
Adamonis, Brad0.06000
Brehm, Ryan0.06000
Benitez, Isidro 0.06000
Trace, Travis0.06000
Hall, Ryan0.06000

These figures for The Mayakobo are accurate as of 18:18 EST. The higher tier golfers may/will show a higher percentage by lock.

My picks for The Mayakoba Championship

Top Tier: S. Scheffler

Mid Tier: R. Henley

Low Tier: A. Rai

Out in Left Play: F. Molinari

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: A. Long

FR Leader: R. Knox (contrarian)

What to Watch

Stix and Spencer of The Bettor Golf Podcast (powered by Win Daily Sports) are available on Anchor at Spotify, Apple and other channels. Together they have been winning thousands and thousands of dollars week in and week out. They have the most comprehensive podcast in the industry to provide you with not just the picks, they also provide the tools for you to learn how to make money. For the best edge in the betting market and for outstanding DFS position and placement content, do not miss The Bettor Golf podcast!

The Premier Live Stream

Don’t forget to tune in to The DraftCast, hosted by Joel and featuring Sia, Spencer, and Dave and the surprise guest who drops by to battle you, the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s back to the familiar time slot at 9:00 EST on Tuesday nights and is fun, engaging and educational. Show up, tune in, and help your audience win the week with the best team on the board!

The Results

Last week our Frisky Risky Biscuit play was Harrison Endicott. He tied for the first round lead and finished 10th overall in the tourney. He was owned by 4% of the field. This brings our record to 20-3 this year for a low priced, low owned golfer that brings tremendous value. This weeks Frisky Biscuit will be released tonight in the Win Daily Sports Discord.

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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DFS DraftKings Ownership Projections for The Bermuda

Jon Love
written by Jon Love

Mark Twain once said, “You can go to heaven if you want. I’d rather stay in Bermuda.” This is a beautiful course with natural contours and the wind can change how you play a hole in a matter of moments. The par three 16th can win or lose a tourney for you. It’s the second smallest course on the tour and the par threes are no picnic, they’re crucial to good scores. We want you to access The Bermuda DFS DraftKings Ownership Projections to use leverage and allow for pivots from heavy chalk to construct your lineups with one goal…..to take down the contest!

The Course – The Field

The Bermuda has a lot less star power than last weeks CJ Cup. You know that when the golfer you picked last week and who played marginally is now 3500 more in salary. You will notice that some names in the bottom tier last week are now top tier. This weeks event may come down to a survivors battle due to weather concerns.

Whether to trust the Weather

At present the weather in Bermuda isn’t ideal for a PGA event. Thunderstorms all weekend are going to bring the heavy winds. When you add the swirling coastal breezes to the mix you get a lot of variance built into an island course with no clear edge. These tourneys can be rewarding if you leverage the chalk and try and stay away from name recognition, crowd noise and spending the entire salary cap.

Lets take a look at The Bermuda DFS DraftKings Ownership Projections powered by Win Daily Sports. These tools are designed to allow you to build your lineups and streamline roster construction while gaining leverage on the field through pivots on the chalk and finding value plays as well.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYEROWN %SALARY
Hubbard, Mark16.910000
Tarren, Callum16.39200
McCarthy, Denny15.910400
Jaeger, Stephan 15.89300
Lower, Justin15.79900
Detry,Thomas 14.910500
Rodgers, Patrick14.89700
Ryder, Sam14.47700
Power, Seamus14.110200
Hardy, Nick13.99800
Shelton, Robby12.79100
Rai, Aaron12.310100
Schenk, Adam12.28700
Wu, Brandon 11.98400
Gordon, Will11.78600
Smalley, Alex 11.59500
Long, Adam11.48900
Kim, SH ( Seonghyeon)11.39600
Bramlett, Joseph10.97500
Eckroat, Austin 10.88300
Hall, Harry10.47600
Armour, Ryan10.27400
Knox, Russell9.99200
Hadley, Chesson9.87600
Sigg, Greyson 9.79400
Duo, Zecheng9.67600
Smotherman, Austin9.57500
Gligic, Michael9.58100
Van Rooyen, Erik9.38000
Stevens, Sam8.47300
Hickok, Kramer8.37000
Lebioda, Hank8.27000
Griffin, Ben8.17200
An, Byeong8.18500
Pan, CT7.97300
Yu, Chun-an (Kevin)7.87300
Taylor, Ben7.57400
Meronk, Adrian7.410300
Ghim, Doug7.37800
Garnett, Brice7.17300
Higgo, Garrick6.97400
Piercy, Scott6.87300
Ramey, Chad6.66900
Lashley, Nate6.47000
Glover, Lucas6.37500
Percy, Cameron6.27900
Taylor, Nick5.98800
Schwab, Matthias 5.87000
Martin, Ben5.67100
Noh, Seung-Yul4.96700
Duncan, Tyler4.87400
Stuard, Brian4.77000
Schmid, Matthias (Matti)4.27200
Norlander, Henrik4.17200
Donald, Luke3.97000
Cook, Austin3.77100
Streb, Robert3.46800
Daffue, MJ3.37200
O’Hair, Sean3.26700
Villegas, Camilo2.96900
Brown, Scott2.96600
Endycott, Harrison2.87100
Hoffman, Charley2.67100
Matthews, Brandon2.46600
VanDerLaan, John2.36700
Byrd, Jonathan2.26800
Stroud, Chris2.16500
Novak, Andrew2.16900
Barnes, Erik1.96800
Taylor, Vaughn1.86600
Gribble, Cody1.86500
Lingmerth, David1.76700
Kim, Michael1.76900
McGirt, William1.66800
Chappell, Kevin1.66600
Nunez, Augusto1.56800
Baddeley, Aaron1.46900
Wu, Dylan1.36500
Gutschewski, Scott1.36700
Gay, Brian1.26700
Cone, Trevor1.16700
Bhatia, Akshay 0.96300
Watney, Nick0.86200
Surratt, Caleb (a)0.86400
Lindheim, Nicolas0.76600
Kang, Sung0.76200
Haas, Bill0.76400
Trainer, Martin0.66100
Norrman, Vincent0.67100
Knowles, Philip0.66800
Gomez, Fabian0.66900
Cole, Eric0.66500
Brehm, Ryan0.66200
Hearn, David0.66400
Werenski, Richy0.56100
Murray, Grayson0.56400
Goya, Tano0.56500
Garrigus, Robert0.56200
Tway, Kevin0.46400
Trahan, DJ0.46100
Roy, Kevin0.46600
McGreevy, Max0.46300
Higgs, Harry0.46500
Gainey, Tommy 0.46300
Echavarria, Nico0.46400
Bae, Sangmoon 0.46100
Alexander, Tyson0.46300
Westmoreland, Kyle0.36300
Sims, Michael0.36000
Crane, Ben0.36200
Bryan, Wesley0.36200
Blanchet, Chandler0.36400
Barnes, Ricky0.36100
Young, Carson0.26400
Swan, Kim0.26500
Points, DA0.26100
Mack III, Willie0.26000
Grant, Brent0.26600
Werbylo, Trevor0.16000
Van Pelt, Bo0.16200
Nicholas, James0.16100
Jackson, Palmer (a)0.16300
Henry, JJ0.16000
Harrington, Scott0.16300
Feagler, Clay0.16300
Dillas, Jarryd (a)0.16000
Blixt, Jonas0.16100
Koch, Greg0.06000
Jones, Nick0.06000
Jarvis, Aaron (a)0.06200
Daly, John0.06000
Chalmers, Greg0.06100

These figures for The Bermuda are accurate as of 18:18 EST. The higher tier golfers may/will show a higher percentage by lock.

My picks for The Bermuda Championship

Top Tier: S. Kim

Mid Tier: A. Smalley

Low Tier: M. Gligic

Out in Left Play: B. Taylor

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: S. Kim

FR Leader: R. Knox (Contrarian)

What to Watch

Stix and Spencer of The Bettor Golf Podcast (powered by Win Daily Sports) are available on Anchor at Spotify, Apple and other channels. Together they have been winning thousands and thousands of dollars week in and week out. They have the most comprehensive podcast in the industry to provide you with not just the picks, they also provide the tools for you to learn how to make money. For the best edge in the betting market and for outstanding DFS position and placement content, do not miss The Bettor Golf podcast!

The Premier Live Stream

Don’t forget to tune in to The DraftCast, hosted by Joel and featuring Sia, Spencer, and Dave and the surprise guest who drops by to battle you, the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s back to the familiar time slot at 9:00 EST on Tuesday nights and is fun, engaging and educational. Show up, tune in, and help your audience win the week with the best team on the board!

The Results

Please excuse the abbreviated version of the article this week. I just had eye surgery yesterday and I’m presently on one good eye, with the word “good” being a very relative term. Getting older sucks, but it sucks a lot less when you’re taking down DFS golf contests! I could be a pirate this year for Halloween and win most realistic costume.

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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DFS DraftKings Ownership Projections for The CJ Cup

cdenny99@hotmail.com
written by cdenny99@hotmail.com

Sometimes in sports you see moments of raw emotion. Last weeks ZoZo winner, Keegan Bradley, got a surprise call from his wife. He broke down on camera realizing what he had just accomplished. It may not be on the level of Aaron Judge getting to 62 home runs, it simply proves that elite athletes are human as well. Humans love sports and competition. Draftkings offers competitive contests with fellow human beings. The CJ Cup DFS DraftKings Ownership Projections are designed to give you the metrics and leverage to pound your fellow humans into dust as you transcend to the top of the leaderboard. Fun times!

The Course

This week we are at Congaree Golf Club, a beautiful top 30 U.S. course that requires a unique set of skills. The greens are fast. You need to hit it long and approach shots will be mostly in the + 200 range. The ARG metrics are in play due to the numerous bunkers that surround the undulating greens.

This field is loaded this year with star power. Its a no cut event so you will have to choose the right stars that can go for four days. Between Rory, Rahm, JT and Scottie you should be able to pair them with other name players littered up and down the board. Those 4 names represent close to 37% win equity The 6K range has the strongest representation of any second season tourney so far.

Whether to trust the Weather

At present the weather in South Carolina is calling for winds 4-6 MPH Thursday and Friday. On Saturday winds will jump to 22 mph and be calmer on Sunday at 12 mph. There is no discernable edge to either wave. Deep Dive Dave noted in Discord that the mornings will be much cooler, and as the day warms up the ball will travel farther. I know I can go much further as long as my balls are warm. Please check with Win Daily Sports Discord for weather updates up until lock.

These projections for The CJ Cup are accurate as of 7:29 EST. Top Tier golfers will/may show a higher % by lock.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYEROWN %SALARY
McIlroy, Rory29.611000
Rahm, John22.810900
Homa, Max18.79100
Thomas, Justin18.610200
Hovland, Viktor18.59200
Scheffler, Scottie18.310400
Im, Sungjae18.29600
Wise, Aaron17.67800
Lowry, Shane16.88300
Young, Cameron16.78600
Spieth, Jordan15.38800
Fitzpatrick, Mathew14.99800
Kim, Tom (Joohyung)14.98900
Hoge, Tom14.97700
Mitchell, Keith14.37200
Pereira, Mito13.87600
Montgomery, Taylor12.98200
Burns, Sam12.79300
Hatton, Tyrrell11.68500
Morikawa, Collin11.49000
Bradley, Keegan11.48400
Hadwin, Adam11.37300
Conners, Corey10.78000
Theegala, Sahith10.38100
Grillo, Emiliano10.17900
Davis, Cameron9.77500
Straka, Sepp8.97400
Kim, SH (Seonghyeon)8.97100
Fleetwood, Tommy8.77600
Horschel, Billy8.68000
Fowler, Rickie8.47400
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan8.27200
Day, Jason8.17500
Matsuyama, Hideki7.98700
Harman, Brian7.97700
Henley, Russell7.87300
Putnam, Andrew7.67400
Munoz, Sebastian7.57300
Stallings, Scott7.47200
Moore, Taylor6.97000
Kitayama, Kurt6.87100
Riley, Davis6.86900
Noren, Alex6.67500
Kim, Si Woo6.37800
McNealy, Maverick6.27900
Lee, KH5.96800
Clark, Wyndham5.96800
English, Harris5.76500
Kirk, Chris5.26600
List, Luke5.16800
Steele, Brendan5.16300
Mullinax, Trey4.96600
Smalley, Alex4.96600
Woodland, Gary4.96400
Simpson, Webb4.86700
Spaun, JJ4.86700
Power, Seamus4.67000
Hodges, Lee4.66300
Poston, JT4.27100
Willett, Danny3.96200
Kisner, Kevin3.76900
An, Byeong3.66500
Kucher, Matt3.46900
Palmer, Ryan3.26700
Todd, Brendon2.46400
Reavie, Chez2.46000
McCarthy, Denny2.37000
Suh, Justin2.36500
Merritt, Troy2.26400
Glover, Lucas1.56300
Huh, John1.16200
Park, Sang-Hyun0.66100
Seo, Yoseop0.26200
Kim, Yeong-Su0.26100
Kim, Bio0.26000
Shin, Sanghun0.16100
Jung, Chanmin0.16000
Bae, Yongjun0.06000

My picks for The CJ Cup Championship

Top Tier: Justin Thomas

Mid Tier: Aaron Wise

Low Tier: Andrew Putnam

Out in Left Play: J.J. Spaun

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: Cam Young

FR Leader: Seonghyeon Kim (Contrarian)

What to Watch

Stix and Spencer of The Bettor Golf Podcast (powered by Win Daily Sports) are available on Anchor at Spotify, Apple and other channels. Together they have been winning thousands and thousands of dollars week in and week out. They have the most comprehensive podcast in the industry to provide you with not just the picks, they also provide the tools for you to learn how to make money. For the best edge in the betting market and for outstanding DFS position and placement content, do not miss The Bettor Golf podcast!

The Premier Live Stream

Don’t forget to tune in to The DraftCast, hosted by Joel and featuring Sia, Spencer, and Dave and the surprise guest who drops by to battle you, the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s tonight at 8:00 EST and is fun, engaging and educational. Show up, tune in, and help your audience win the week with the best team on the board!

The Results

Just in the last 11 days our golf staff expert Joel aka DraftmasterFlex has taken $120,000.00 from golf and football. The team he used for our PGA DraftCast broke the slate and brought in 20,000 and that was just one contest. Just imagine if you had thought hey, I’ll try that team in a contest. You’d have 15,000 more in your pocket today. At Win Daily Sports, “we play what we say” and provide you with priceless intel. You are welcome to join us and find out what DFS winning is all about!

Two golfers are on 18 and after great rounds, one pulls out a cigar and asks his friend for a light. The partner goes over to his golf bag and pulls out a 12 inch BIC lighter and lights his cigar. “Wow! Where did you get this monster lighter from?” His partner replied, “I’ve got a genie in my bag and got it from him.” The man runs over and sure enough, pulls a genie out of the golf bag. “Will you grant me one wish?” I sure can says the genie. “I wish for a million bucks!” The genie said “done”, and jumped back in the golf bag. The sky grew dark and all of sudden one million ducks descend on the course, flapping and quacking everywhere. He looked at his partner and said, “I asked for bucks, not ducks!” His partner shook his head and said, “Yea, I know, my genie is really hard of hearing.” “Did you really think I would ask him for a 12 inch BIC?”

 

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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DFS DraftKings Ownership Projections for The ZoZo

cdenny99@hotmail.com
written by cdenny99@hotmail.com

The ZoZo DFS DraftKings Ownership Projections are designed to provide you with the analytics to create leverage and assist you with roster construction. We are powered by Win Daily Sports.

So how much did YOU win last week?

My colleague and friend, and Win Daily Sports fellow expert Joel aka DraftMasterFlex won $120,000.00 in Golf and college football. I was in the top 5 of the college football all day until the last game left me without enough ammo. It was all due to Joel.

Joel posted his golf lineup in the DraftCast show last week. That team was shared with everyone watching. That lineup took down a huge golf contest. Sia picked the first round leader and Spencer, Stix, and Deep Dive Dave, our Euro tour expert, all cashed big.

Catch Joel and Gloeck’s NCAA Football show on Friday nights. Catch the DraftCast on Wednesday nights at 8:00 EST powered by Win Daily Sports. If you had used Joel’s PGA lineup last week from the show you would be 15,000.00 richer. 15K for taking a few minutes to catch a great show. I highly recommend it and your wallet does as well.

Whether to trust the Weather

At present the weather in Japan is calling for light winds, 7-9 MPH with mostly sunny skies with a chance for light precipitation for the tourney. This is a limited field 78 man tourney with no cut. Please check with Win Daily Sports Discord for weather updates up until lock. *** Lock is Wednesday Night***

Let’s take a look at The ZoZo DFS DraftKings Ownership Projections to assist you with roster construction and team building.

***NOTE*** These projections are being placed much earlier than usual due to the early lock this evening. There are many contests that are unfilled and you may have some overlay opportunity.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYEROWN %SALARY
Im, Sungjae28.810000
Young, Cameron28.19300
Schauffele, Xander25.910800
Pereira, Mito20.88300
Kim, Tom (Joohyung) 20.39700
Hovland, Viktor19.79500
Matsuyama, Hideki18.910400
Hatton, Tyrrell18.49100
Morikawa, Collin16.610200
Davis, Cameron15.58500
Lee, KH15.37900
Kitayama, Kurt 14.87500
Conners, Corey14.69000
Bradley, Keegan14.38900
Fleetwood, Tommy13.89200
Munoz, Sebastian13.48100
McNealy, Maverick12.28400
Kim, Si Woo11.98800
Herbert, Lucas 11.77800
Straka, Sepp11.67900
Hoge, Tom11.58600
Stallings, Scott11.38200
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan10.68000
Riley, Davis 10.48000
Clark, Wyndham10.27200
NeSmith, Matthew9.97800
Buckley, Hayden9.86800
Theegala, Sahith9.68700
Hubbard, Mark9.57700
Grillo, Emiliano9.47700
Putnam, Andrew9.27600
Hughes, Mackenzie8.47600
Rai, Aaron8.37500
Jaeger, Stephan 8.17100
Svensson, Adam7.97200
Steele, Brendan6.97400
Hodges, Lee 6.96700
List, Luke6.87300
Wallace, Matt6.87200
Rodgers, Patrick6.77300
Schenk, Adam6.66900
Smalley, Alex 6.37100
Long, Adam6.16900
Ryder, Sam5.96600
Katsuragawa, Yuto5.66300
Moore, Taylor5.67400
Streelman, Kevin5.57300
Spaun, JJ5.47500
Fowler, Rickie4.87400
Champ, Cameron4.86800
Dahmen, Joel4.77000
Knox, Russell4.27000
Hossler, Beau3.96700
Merritt, Troy3.87100
Wu, Brandon 3.86500
Lipsky, David3.76800
Pan, CT3.66700
Frittelli, Dylan3.56900
Malnati, Peter2.96500
Kawamoto, Riki2.86100
Kodaira, Satoshi2.46400
Laird, Martin2.37000
Huh, John2.36300
Kanaya, Takumi2.26600
Higa, Kazuki2.26600
Iwata, Hiroshi2.16100
Lee, Danny1.96200
Reavie, Chez1.86500
Ramey, Chad1.86300
Nakajima, Keita (a)1.76100
Iwasaki, Aguri1.66000
Onishi, Kaito1.66000
Otsuki, Tomoharu1.56200
Imahira, Shugo1.26400
Hoshino, Rikuya0.96200
Horikawa, Mikumu0.56000
Kataoka, Naoyuki0.06000

These projections for The ZoZo are accurate as of 2:59 EST. Top Tier golfers will/may show a higher % by lock.

My picks for The ZoZo Championship

Top Tier: Sungjae IM

Mid Tier: Cam Young

Low Tier: S. Munoz

Out in Left Play: W. Clark

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: Cam Young

FR Leader: Munoz (contrarian)

Stix and Spencer of The Bettor Golf Podcast (powered by Win Daily Sports) are available on Anchor at Spotify, Apple and other channels. Together they have been winning thousands and thousands of dollars week in and week out. They have the most comprehensive podcast in the industry to provide you with not just the picks, they also provide the tools for you to learn how to make money. For the best edge in the betting market and for outstanding DFS position and placement content, do not miss The Bettor Golf podcast!

Don’t forget to tune in to The DraftCast, hosted by Joel and featuring Sia, Spencer, and Dave and the surprise guest who drops by to battle you, the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s tonight at 8:00 EST and is fun, engaging and educational. Show up, tune in, and help your audience win the week with the best team on the board!

Last week Joel posted his lineup that won him $120,000.00 (including football) and he shared that lineup with all DraftCast listeners. Sia then called out the first round leader as he does almost every single week.

At Win Daily Sports, “we play what we say” and provide you with priceless intel. You are welcome to join us and find out what DFS winning is all about!

 

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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NFLPremium

Stix Picks: Week 5 NFL DFS GPP Lineups

StixPicks
written by StixPicks

To quote the great Michael Rasile, “It’s a great day to be alive!” Hopefully everyone is safe from the Hurricane and ready to decompress with some NFL football! The NFL season is here and it feels like Christmas morning. For those who haven’t read it yet, please check out the Week 5 Cash Game Checkdown for your bankroll sustaining, cash game build advice before building your NFL DFS GPP lineups.

If you have any questions or would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter.

For those looking to get different and make a potential splash in some GPPs, the time is now. We’ll usually be taking some heavy stances on lower-ownership players, but at times, there is certainly good “chalk” to eat (all of which are in the cash game article).

NFL DFS GPP Quarterbacks

Jalen Hurts ($8,100 DK / $8,600 FD)

This is one of the few games with a higher total that I actually believe can go relatively back-and-forth. Both teams play at a high tempo and both teams have healthy, explosive playmakers. I really cannot say that for many of the games on this slate. I’m rolling out Hurts in all formats with the expectation this is a ceiling type of game in the dome for Jalen Hurts.

Stacking Options: AJ Brown, DeVonta Smith, Dallas Goedert, Miles Sanders
Run-Back Options: Marquise Brown, Zach Ertz, Rondale Moore, James Conner

Andy Dalton ($5,200 DK / $6,500 FD)

Similar to Jalen Hurts in the Eagles @ Philadelphia, the Seahawks @ Saints is one of the few games on this slate I truly believe have “game-stack ability”. Quite frankly, this is a week where I’m not too focused on correlation but more so pivots against the heavy chalk running backs. In terms of value, the AETY Model grades Andy Dalton as the #1 value quarterback on the slate and that makes a lot of sense as Seattle has been getting carved by all passing attacks, including a decimated Detroit Lions offense last week.

As long as Seattle can stay in this game (I have very little doubt that they will), this game offers the NFL DFS GPP players a sneaky shootout.

Stacking Options: Chris Olave, Alvin Kamara
Run-Back Options: Tyler Lockett, DK Metcalf, Rashaad Penny

Honorable Mention: Josh Allen, Justin Herbert, Kyler Murray, Kirk Cousins, Carson Wentz

NFL DFS GPP Running Backs

Derrick Henry ($8,200 DK / $8,900 FD)

Derrick Henry is quietly heating up and the ownership has yet to flock his way. The best thing about Derrick Henry right now is that he’s received a 23% target share in the passing attack over the past two weeks. With no Treylon Burks, this offense will (and always has) run through Derrick Henry. It’s not the best matchup in the world, but when Henry gets hot, he gets scorching hot. Outside of no more Taylor Lewan, this offensive line is healthy and ready to roll.

Nick Chubb ($8,000 DK / $9,400 FD)

The Chargers are currently giving up almost five and a half yards per carry. With a 3-5% owned Nick Chubb, what else do you need me to say? This game should be a bit more back-and-forth than people think and Vegas agrees, as we currently have a 47-point total. As always, our concerns with Nick Chubb on DraftKings is that he doesn’t catch passes, so if you’re rostering Chubb, you’re investing in the script that he goes for over 100 rushing yards and multiple touchdowns… which is certainly possible anytime Chubb steps on the field.

Miles Sanders ($6,500 DK / $7,600 FD)

A sub-5% owned Sanders against a dreadful Arizona defense. As everyone looks for the “safer” plays at this price-point (Leonard Fournette, Jamaal Williams, and Alvin Kamara), the NFL DFS GPP community is completely overlooking Miles Sanders. The AETY Model has Miles Sanders as the 7th best running back value on this slate and the ownership projections have Sanders as the 20th rostered running back. I’ll take that edge on the DFS field all day long and ensure myself a piece of every touchdown for the Eagles via Jalen Hurts and Miles Sanders.

James Robinson ($6,300 DK / $8,000 FD)

In the same tier as Miles Sanders is James Robinson. Robinson is a significant value on DraftKings specifically but in play on FanDuel as well. I’m currently seeing ownership projections at 2-3% for the lead back of the Jaguars, at home, going up against the Texans run defense that grades 29th in DVOA. This is an absolute smash spot and extreme leverage off of a 20% owned stack of Trevor Lawrence and Christian Kirk. Let’s ride my alma mater’s best running back in James Robinson!

Honorable Mention: Austin Ekeler, Dalvin Cook, James Conner

NFL DFS GPP Wide Receivers

Honestly, DraftKings made a lot of questionable price-tags this week and I really do like the chalk wide receivers from the Week 5 Cash Game Checkdown. My thought there is to use the obvious high-upside values and get different at the running back position above. Here are some other wide receivers I’m interested in rostering pending the lineup construction:

  • Stefon Diggs
  • Mike Evans
  • Tyreek Hill (stacked up with Teddy Bridgewater and Jaylen Waddle if Tyreek is healthy)
  • Deebo Samuel (crazy low ownership for the highest floor and arguably highest upside at the position and nice pivot off of Jeff Wilson chalk)
  • AJ Brown / DeVonta Smith (weekly pick on Marco Wilson matchup and easy stack with Hurts)
  • Marquise Brown (sub 5% due to the field being scared of the potential Darius Slay shadow)
  • Adam Thielen (1% owned, high-upside against the worst secondary in the NFL)
  • Terry McLaurin / Curtis Samuel (no Jahan Dotson and a matchup against the 2nd worst secondary in the NFL)
  • George Pickens
  • Khalil Shakir (significant sneaky value and excellent coverage matchup IF Isaiah McKenzie is OUT)

NFL DFS GPP Tight-Ends

To be as transparent as possible, I’ll be using a TON of O.J. Howard ($2,600 DK / $4,500 FD) due to the savings offered and coverage thoughts from the Week 5 Cash Game Checkdown. I understand if that is not in your appetite but I’m really trying to pay up at Quarterback/Wide Receiver/Defense (yes, Defense) and get different at the running back position. Howard is scary as hell to roster at a high clip, but he opens up a lot for my builds when there really isn’t any tight-end on the slate that I worry will score 20+ points.

Honorable Mention: Dallas Goedert, Zach Ertz, David Njoku, Gerald Everett

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate.

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PGAPremium

DFS DraftKings Ownership Projections for The Sanderson Farms

Steven Polardi
written by Steven Polardi

After the anti climatic Presidents Cup in which the United States dominated once again, we are in Jackson Mississippi for a full field tourney. There are many new faces from the Korn Ferry tour that showed well at the Fortinet along with rookies with sponsorship exemptions trying to earn their card. The Sanderson Farms DFS Draftkings Ownership Projections are designed to give you the extra intel to help with roster construction and leverage in the large field GPPs.

Whether to trust the Weather

At present early Thursday from 700 am to 10 am the winds will be 7-9 mph and will go up to 13-15 in the afternoon wave. On Friday expect the same with gusts rising to 17-20. With hurricane Ian battering Florida right now keep checking the Win Daily Sports Discord golf channel for updates for this weekend.

Let’s take a look at The Sanderson Farms DFS DraftKings Ownership Projections to assist you with roster construction and team building.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYEROWN %SALARY
Burns, Sam35.910700
Theegala, Sahith21.610400
Henley, Russell19.810100
Grillo, Emiliano17.89200
Montgomery, Taylor17.39600
Mullinax, Trey16.88300
Poston,  JT16.710200
Clark, Wyndham15.98000
Riley, Davis 15.89000
Stallings, Scott15.69500
Burmester, Dean14.97600
Bradley, Keegan13.49400
Power, Seamus13.18400
McCarthy, Denny12.89900
Detry,Thomas 12.68800
Smalley, Alex 12.67500
Thompson, Davis 12.37200
An, Byeong11.97400
List, Luke10.77300
Moore, Taylor10.48500
Woodland, Gary10.28100
Rodgers, Patrick9.97100
Svensson, Adam9.37400
Suh, Justin 9.27700
Steele, Brendan8.87900
Bramlett, Joseph8.87200
Kirk, Chris8.48200
Hubbard, Mark8.37400
Gordon, Will7.47300
English, Harris7.38600
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan7.29300
Hardy, Nick7.17500
Jaeger, Stephan 6.97200
Straka, Sepp6.28900
Duo, Zecheng6.27300
Shelton, Robby5.97300
Streelman, Kevin5.87400
Hodges, Lee 5.57000
Hadwin, Adam5.38700
Eckroat, Austin 4.97100
Buckley, Hayden4.97000
Schenk, Adam4.86700
Schmid, Matthias (Matti)4.86900
Daffue, MJ4.76800
Rai, Aaron4.77800
Lower, Justin4.67500
Tarren, Callum4.46900
Cink, Stewart3.97100
Long, Adam3.86700
Laird, Martin3.77100
Putnam, Andrew3.67700
NeSmith, Matthew3.57100
Smotherman, Austin3.36800
Knox, Russell3.27300
Norrman, Vincent2.96700
Taylor, Nick2.87400
Gligic, Michael2.87100
Hughes, Mackenzie2.77000
Malnati, Peter2.66900
Hadley, Chesson2.56800
Huh, John2.56800
Hall, Harry2.46600
Griffin, Ben2.36300
Lipsky, David2.27200
Kim, Michael2.26700
Taylor, Ben1.96800
Whaley, Vincent1.96600
Reavie, Chez1.87200
Kim, Seonghyeon (SH)1.77200
Sigg, Greyson 1.67000
Kizzire, Patton1.66700
Endycott, Harrison1.56500
Haley II, Paul1.47100
Pan, CT1.47000
Wu, Brandon 1.37000
Lindheim, Nicolas1.36900
Armour, Ryan1.36600
Frittelli, Dylan1.27000
Sabbatini, Rory1.26900
Duncan, Tyler1.26900
Ryder, Sam1.16600
Nunez, Augusto1.16500
Todd, Brendon0.97600
Stevens, Sam0.96700
Moore, Ryan0.96600
Stuard, Brian0.96600
Schwab, Matthias 0.96600
Piercy, Scott0.96400
Albertson, Anders0.96200
Norlander, Henrik0.87200
Thompson, Michael0.86700
Walker, Jimmy0.86300
Matthews, Brandon0.86200
Blair, Zac0.77300
Streb, Robert0.76400
Grant, Brent0.76400
Watney, Nick0.76200
Dahmen, Joel0.66800
Garnett, Brice0.66500
Echavarria, Nico0.66200
Cook, Austin0.56500
Higgs, Harry0.56200
Lashley, Nate0.46600
Taylor, Vaughn0.46500
Hickok, Kramer0.46400
Barnes, Erik0.46300
Stroud, Chris0.46200
Brehm, Ryan0.46000
Ramey, Chad0.36500
Harrington, Scott0.36300
Werenski, Richy0.36300
Higgo, Garrick0.36100
Westmoreland, Kyle0.36000
Lingmerth, David0.26500
Martin, Ben0.26500
Roy, Kevin0.26400
McGirt, William0.26300
Cole, Eric0.26300
Trainer, Martin0.26200
Dufner, Jason0.26000
Gribble, Cody0.16400
Knowles, Philip0.16400
Landry ,Andrew0.16200
Wu, Dylan0.16100
McGreevy, Max0.16100
Herman, Jim0.16000
Silverman, Ben0.16000
Tway, Kevin0.06300
Young, Carson0.06200
Goya, Tano0.06100
Alexander, Tyson0.06100
Cummins, Quade0.06100
ALL OTHER0.0

These projections for The Sanderson Farms are accurate as of 6:49 EST. Top Tier golfers will/may show a higher % by lock.

My picks for The Sanderson Farms Championship

Top Tier: Taylor Montgomery

Mid Tier: Scott Stallings

Low Tier: Mark Hubbard

Out in Left Play: Robbie Shelton

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: Burns

FR Leader: Shelton (contrarian)

Stix and Spencer of The Bettor Golf Podcast (powered by Win Daily Sports) are available on Anchor at Spotify, Apple and other channels. Together they have been winning thousands and thousands of dollars week in and week out. They have the most comprehensive podcast in the industry to provide you with not just the picks, they also provide the tools for you to learn how to make money. For the best edge in the betting market and for outstanding DFS position and placement content, do not miss The Bettor Golf podcast!

Don’t forget to tune in to The DraftCast, hosted by Joel and featuring Sia, Spencer, and Dave and the surprise guest who drops by to battle you, the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s tonight at 8:00 EST and is fun, engaging and educational. Show up, tune in, and help your audience win the week with the best team on the board!

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock! coming

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NFLPremium

Stix Picks: Week 3 NFL DFS GPP Lineups

brgrewe@gmail.com
written by brgrewe@gmail.com

A big miss on my end to not discuss the Baltimore/Miami game last week. Congrats to those who played it! Now let’s get right back at it for Week 3. To quote the great Michael Rasile, “It’s a great day to be alive!” The NFL season is here and it feels like Christmas morning. For those who haven’t read it yet, please check out the Week 3 Cash Game Checkdown for your bankroll sustaining, cash game build advice before building your NFL DFS GPP lineups.

If you have any questions or would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter.

For those looking to get different and make a potential splash in some GPPs, the time is now. We’ll usually be taking some heavy stances on lower-ownership players, but at times, there is certainly good “chalk” to eat.

NFL DFS GPP Quarterbacks

There’s no denying the popular plays of Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts are fantastic. If you’re into them, I will not talk you off of them, but I’ll likely be keeping my exposure to them in mass multi entry contests and cash games. In single entry or 3-max GPPs, here’s where I’m looking to go:

Patrick Mahomes ($7,900 DK / $8,700 FD)

A sub-5% owned Mahomes in a dome, against a banged up Colts’ defense that runs Cover-3 coverage at a league high rate is all systems go for me and the AETY Model. On a slate with Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts, we need upside if we’re going to go elsewhere and Patrick Mahomes offers just that and little-to-no ownership.

Stacking Options: Travis Kelce, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Mecole Hardman
Run-Back Options: Jonathan Taylor, Michael Pittman Jr.

Matthew Stafford ($6,500 DK / $7,700 FD)

Getting exposure to the highest expected tempo on the slate is more times than not going to work out in your favor and pairing that with a matchup against one of the worst defenses in football certainly should help. The AETY Model projects Stafford and the Rams for the second highest passing yards on this slate (second to Mahomes) and there’s no ownership going to Stafford (sub 5%).

I prefer to limit my Stafford exposure to a 3-max type of contest, but I have no problems with you taking that route in single entry. The 28th ranked pass defense (DVOA) is going to get torched and as long as you think Kyler Murray and the Cardinals can keep this one close and up-tempo, Stafford should be in for a field day.

Stacking Options: Cooper Kupp, Allen Robinson, Tyler Higbee
Run-Back Options: Marquise Brown, Zach Ertz, Greg Dortch

Joe Burrow ($6,600 DK / $7,500 FD)

Simply put, the Bengals are damn-near in “must-win” territory and what better time for Burrow and the Bengals to absolutely light up the worst secondary in the NFL? The Jets dead-last in pass defense DVOA and have had an insanely hard time generating pressure on opposing quarterbacks. This is a statement game for Burrow and the Bengals. I love the buy-low spot being offered by these sites for my NFL DFS GPP lineups.

Stacking Options: Ja’Maar Chase, Tee Higgins
Run-Back Options: Garrett Wilson, Elijah Moore, Tyler Conklin, Michael Carter

Honorable Mention: Kyler Murray, Tua Tagovailoa, Marcus Mariota (great value)

NFL DFS GPP Running Backs

This is a week where NO-ONE is going to pay up at running back (David Montgomery, Dameon Pierce, and Leonard Fournette leading the pack in ownership by a mile…and for good reason). I’m not sure that I will either due to the lack of production from high-end backs so far this season and my appetite to load up these top tier wide receivers. If you want to guarantee yourself a nice way to get different, it’s paying up at RB.

  • Jonathan Taylor ($9,000 DK / $9,400 FD)
  • Derrick Henry ($8,100 DK / $8,800 FD)
  • Dalvin Cook ($7,900 DK / $8,300 FD)

Miles Sanders ($5,500 DK / $6,800 FD)

Sitting right around 10-12% in current ownership projections is one of the most talented running backs who’s starting to break away with the lead running back role in Philadelphia. Sanders offers us the perfect leverage off of Jalen Hurts chalk (Hurts may very well have a great game), but Miles Sanders projects as the 4th best value on the slate according to the AETY Model and goes up against the worst run defense on the model and 2nd worse in DVOA. Let’s ride.

Rashaad Penny ($4,900 DK / $6,200 FD)

Kenneth Walker being activated and used a bit in both the rushing and passing game downgrades this play quite a bit, but the lead back in Seattle is still Rashaad Penny until further notice. I somewhat like this Atlanta/Seattle game and think it can be a low-key, no ownership type of gross shootout. While everyone is going to play Dameon Pierce, pivoting down to Rashaad Penny (who the AETY Model likes almost just as much as Pierce) may be a 1% owned play that can make a difference in NFL DFS GPP lineups.

Honorable Mention: Devin Singletary, Joe Mixon, David Montgomery

NFL DFS GPP Wide Receivers

We don’t need to discuss how great of plays Cooper Kupp, Justin Jefferson, Stefon Diggs, and Davante Adams and Tyreek Hill are. Considering ownership, I’d rank them Jefferson, Kupp, Adams, Hill, Diggs. You know they are fine plays and should feel confident loading them in your lineups or game-stacks.

Ja’Maar Chase ($8,100 DK / $8,500 FD)

The ownership projection is sub-3% right now for Ja’Maar Chase… I’m in. Chase should have an absolute field day against this Jets’ secondary and offer us a great low-owned pivot off of the chalkier studs listed above.

Michael Pittman Jr. ($6,900 DK / $7,400 FD)

I spoke all summer about Matt Ryan WR1’s and won’t stop now. I absolutely love the Chiefs’ side of this game and would start my run-back in those stacks with Michael Pittman Jr. Pittman moves all around the formation and will have a positive gamescript as soon as the Chiefs march down the field and score twice. We know Frank Reich will try to avoid this game becoming a shootout, but I doubt they can they can keep the Chiefs contained for long.

Gabriel Davis ($6,300 DK / $7,200 FD)

While the world world rushes to load up on Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs stacks (there’s no shame in that, it’s been the nuts all year long thus far), I’ll be prioritizing the cheaper, un-owned wide receiver to ensure I get a strong piece of this Bills’ offense in Gabe Davis. Xavien Howard will likely travel with Stefon Diggs (advantage still to Diggs) but at that ownership, I’ll take the stance that Howard does enough to limit the ceiling of Diggs and let hope for a big game out of Davis against Nik Needham, Keion Crossen, and rookie, Kader Kohou.

Drake London ($5,800 DK / $6,200 FD)

London is a true WR1 who currently sits 4th in the NFL for WR target share. The price is a sham and the matchup is absolutely sexy (Seattle grades 30th in pass defense DVOA). I mentioned my small interested in Rashaad Penny earlier and I’ll definitely prioritize Drake London as a mini game-stack or solely as a one-off in NFL DFS GPP lineups.

Honorable Mention: AJ Brown, Tee Higgins, Marquise Brown, Tyler Lockett, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Garrett Wilson, Elijah Moore, Treylon Burks, Mecole Hardman

NFL DFS GPP Punt Plays

  • Mack Hollins
  • Nico Collins
  • Greg Dortch
  • Scotty Miller

NFL DFS GPP Tight-Ends

Travis Kelce ($7,900 DK / $7,800 FD)

A 5-10% owned Travis Kelce against a banged up Colts’ defense who grades 31st in DVOA against opposing tight-ends…

Darren Waller ($5,800 DK / $6,400 FD)

Without Hunter Renfrow, Mack Hollins and Darren Waller got a significant upgrade in the AETY Model. My only concern here is the expected pace of play, but the enhanced workload and price in NFL DFS GPP lineups makes Waller a top-tier tight-end this weekend.

Dallas Goedert ($4,700 DK / $5,500 FD)

The price is way too cheap for the number two passing target in one of the most highest scoring, up-tempo offenses in the NFL. The Eagles are doing a fantastic job putting Goedert in plus matchups against linebackers and and nickel corners. If you’re going to stack with Jalen Hurts, Dallas Goedert and AJ Brown are the clear options here.

Honorable Mention: Mark Andrews, Kyle Pitts, Irv Smith Jr., Tyler Conklin

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate.

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