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MLB

8/21 DFS Pitching Picks

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Hump Day offers a smattering of daytime baseball but the best cash plays for our 8/21 DFS Pitching Picks come out at night. With the usual 15-game slate, expect solid choices for all formats.

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8/21 DFS Pitching Cash Game Pitchers 

Justin Verlander, HOU vs. DET

DK ($12,400)   FD ($12,500) 

It begins and ends with Verlander for the 8/21 DFS Pitching Picks when it comes to best cash game options. Yes, it’s going to cost you, but Verlander has put up at least 30 FanDuel points in all but two starts dating back to April 8. He’s been freaking Lights Out over his last six starts, recording at least 10 Ks in each, putting within the outer edge of his first 300-K season. Barring the unforeseen, Verlander will push the streak to seven at the expense of a Tigers team that is third only to the Mariners and Rangers in batter’s strikeouts (1,219). You don’t need a lot of fancy next gen numbers with this pick: Ante up and watch the K’s come.

Charlie Morton, TB vs. SEA

DK ($11,100)   FD ($11,600) 

Easily the best play among the daytime starters, Morton has helped deliver the long green in his past three starts, having produced FanDuel totals of 46, 42 and 55 points. He’s pitching at home in the Trop, where opponents have managed a .197 batting average and where Morton has a K:BB rate of 105:16 over 75.2 innings at home. Expensive? Yes, but if you’re playing an afternoon slate, there’s no other pitcher that comes close to giving you what Morton can provide.

This should be a dual act of Morton either fanning batters at will (remember, the Mariners lead the majors with 1,237 Ks from their hitters) or watching his 48.7% ground ball rate improve a tick or two. Seattle’s lineup doesn’t look like the Triple-A offense the Tigers will have in Houston tonight, but it’s one that is essentially playing for their fans at 10:10am.

Walker Buehler, LAD vs. TOR

DK ($11,400)   FD ($11,000) 

Like Verlander, Buehler finds himself in an ideal scenario: at home against a free-swinging team that’s allergic to walks. Slightly less expensive than V-Squared, Buehler also has lacked Verlander’s consistency, having pitched a combined 10 innings in his last two starts, but I love the FanDuel projection (41.70 points) for him tonight. Buehler has a sick, sick, sick K:BB rate of 10.57:1.66. That number is more perverse when looking at his K:BB rate when pitching at Dodger Stadium, as Buehler sports a 94:7 rate in 73.1 innings tossed at home. To paraphrase a line of the song “Walking in LA” by the 1980s new wave group Missing Persons, nobody walks in LA, especially when Buehler is on the mound.

Toronto is 23rd in batter’s strikeouts, but for all the future talent brimming in their lineup, the Blue Jays are 28th in the majors with a .304 OBP. Do not count on that number improving after Wednesday night. In short, Buehler is money well spent for the 8/21 DFS Pitching Picks.

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8/21 DFS Pitching GPP Picks 

Mike Minor, TEX vs. LAA

DK ($10,400)   FD ($9,300) 

He’s matched up well against the Angels, having gone 3-0 with a 2.08 ERA in five starts against them. Minor put up 58 FanDuel points against them on April 16 and followed that with a solid 34 FDP in a May 25 start before a 16 FDP clunker versus Team Trout on July 2. His ability to reduce his fly ball rate (40%) is a key element behind his underrated performance this season and is also a welcomed fact considering how the ball can fly in Arlington on a hot August night.

Minor also brings a 12:7% HR:BB rate to the party and does come into this start with a lot of DFS momentum, recording 52 and 67 FanDuel points in his last two starts. The Angels managed just 13 hits in a double-header split on Tuesday, and I don’t suspect their bats will come alive against Minor.

Mike Fiers, OAK vs. NYY

DK ($9,600)   FD ($7,700) 

This sets to be a trap game for those who like to stack Yankees batters. Fiers is Cy Young-caliber at Oakland Coliseum, where he has a 7-2 record with a 2.89 ERA while allowing hitters to get him at a .215 clip. He’s a bit pricey at DraftKings and does come off his worst DFS scoring performance since May 1, managing just 18 FanDuel points against the Tigers (!!!). However, he has delivered at least 30 FanDuel points in three of his last four starts at home. If there is any concern regarding Fiers, it’s the 5.99 K/9 rate he brings to the table.

That’s a tad unnerving, especially considering the level of lumber the Yanks will have in the lineup, but since Fiers is at home, you have to give him the edge and simply trust he can keep his infielders busy while hoping his 39.5% fly ball rate doesn’t take a sharp turn.

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8/21 DFS Pitching Punt Pick 

Joe Musgrove, PIT vs. WAS

DK ($5,900)   FD ($7,200) 

Musgrove is a roller coaster, but what fun he can be when he’s on. He comes off a solid outing against the Cubs that resulted in 47 FanDuel points, continuing a season-long trend that has seen him either blow up DFS lineups or become an unsung hero to those crazy enough to run with him. Musgrove has allowed three or fewer earned runs in three of his last four starts and is also on a 10-start stretch that has seen him walk two or fewer batters eight times.

The Nats’ offensive onslaught was slowed on Tuesday night, and if you’re a believer that it’s a sign of regression from Washington, boy, do I have a sleeper play for you.

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MLB

Fantasy MLB Stacks: Winning Edge for July 21

Daniel Wehr
written by Daniel Wehr

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s 10-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

Fantasy MLB Stack: Cleveland Indians

vs. RHP Glenn Sparkman (KCR): 6.75 Runs

**Low Risk

Cleveland Indians are three games back on Minnesota but are gaining ground quick, winning their last 17 of 24 games. I’ll continue to ride these hot bats and feel good about doing so with a lofty 6.75 implied run total today. Cleveland batters are slashing to a magnificent .374 wOBA, .240 ISO, and 131 WRC+ over the last two weeks. They face Glenn Sparkman who carries a 4.54 ERA, 5.42 FIP, and 5.32 SIERA into today’s game. Sparkman has been atrocious on the road, allowing batters to slash to a .445 wOBA, .658 SLG, and .403 OBP over 26.4 innings while allowing a massive 28 earned runs.

Preferred Plays: Francisco Lindor ($4000 FD|$5100 DK) Carlos Santana ($4300 FD|$4800 DK), Jose Ramirez ($4100 FD|$4600 DK), and Jason Kipnis ($3300 FD|$3700 DK). Also Consider: Mike Freeman ($2100 FD|$3900 DK), and Tyler Naquin ($3000 FD|$4400 DK).

Fantasy MLB Stack: Boston Red Sox

vs. RHP Asher Wojciechowski (BAL): 7.50 Runs

**Low Risk

Asher Wojciechowski carries a 5.74 ERA, 5.01 FIP, and 3.86 SIERA over 15.2 innings pitched. During that short span, Asher is allowing left handed batters to slash to a .436 wOBA, .700 SLG, and .382 OBP. Red Sox batters are slashing to a .358 wOBA, .220 ISO, and 120 WRC+ over the last two weeks. Even if Wojciechowski finds success against the powerful right handed batters in this Boston lineup today, he will eventually give way to an awful Orioles bullpen.

Preferred Stack: Rafael Devers ($4500 FD|$5500 DK), Xander Bogaerts ($4200 FD|$5600 DK), Mookie Betts ($4400 FD|$5400 DK), J.D. Martinez ($3900 FD|$4700 DK), Christian Vazquez ($3000 FD|$4500 DK), and Marco Hernandez ($2200 FD|$3900 DK).

Fantasy MLB Stack: Pittsburgh Pirates

vs. LHP Drew Smyly (PHI): 5.90 Runs

**Moderate Risk

I typically wouldn’t consider the Pirates against a left handed pitcher but Drew Smyly is the exception. Smyly is making is debut for the Phillies after pitching 51 innings for the Rangers. He carries a 8.42 ERA, 8.06 FIP, and 5.61 SIERA. The Pirates let us down last night but Smyly is terrible so I have no problem going back to this spot. The Pirates are slashing to a .361 wOBA, .196 ISO, and 124 WRC+ over the last month. Two week averages suggest the Pirates are due a slump buster and I believe we get that today in this matchup against Smyly.

Honorable Mention

Fantasy MLB Stack: Baltimore Orioles

vs. RHP Andrew Cashner (BOS): 5.00 Runs

**High Risk

Preferred Plays:Trey Mancini ($3400 FD|$4300 DK), Jonathan Villar ($2600 FD|$4100 DK), Anthony Santander ($3500 FD|$4100 DK), and Renato Nunez($3000 FD|$4300 DK).

Pitching

  1. RHP Blake Snell (TAM): 2.90 Runs
  2. LHP James Paxton (NYY): 4.10 Runs
  3. Jack Flaherty (STL): 4.75 Runs

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MLB

Team DFS Stack Report: Winning Edge for July 20

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s 10-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

DFS Stack Team: Cleveland Indians

vs. RHP Jakob Junis (KCR): 6.20 Runs

**Low Risk

Cleveland Indians batters are as hot as can be as of late. They come into tonight’s matchup slashing to a .366 wOBA, .250 ISO, and 126 WRC+ over the last two weeks. They get a lofty 6.20 implied run total and another subpar pitching matchup. Jakob Junis carries a 5.08 ERA, 4.94 FIP, and 4.59 SIERA on the season. Batters are slashing to a .340 wOBA, .475 SLG, and .337 OBP against Junis this year. He has surrendered 64 earned runs across 113 innings pitched. Junis is giving up 1.67 HR/9 and a 41% hard contact on the year. Cleveland batters have put up four or more runs on Junis in the three meetings they have had this season. Junis hasn’t faced a Cleveland team that happens to be hitting the best they have all year long.

Preferred Plays: Francisco Lindor ($4000 FD|$4600 DK) Carlos Santana ($4300 FD|$4600 DK), Jose Ramirez ($4100 FD|$4500 DK), and Jason Kipnis ($3300 FD|$3500 DK). Also Consider: Jakob Bauers ($2600 FD|$3300 DK), and Tyler Naquin ($3000 FD|$4200 DK).

DFS Stack Team: Houston Astros

vs. RHP Ariel Jurado (TEX): 6.10 Runs

As of publication time there still wasn’t Vegas information available for this game. If I had to guess they will slap a 10.5 O/U with Houston being favorites for an implied run total of 5.60 runs. The Astros have been picking up steam, slashing to a .365 wOBA, .185 ISO, and 136 WRC+ over the last two weeks against right handed pitching. Ariel Jurado is on the mound and he carries a 4.63 ERA, 4.55 FIP, and 4.94 SIERA on the season. He is a reverse splits pitcher, allowing right handed batters to slash to a .360 wOBA, .510 SLG, and .356 OBP. Jurado just allowed five runs to this same Astros team six days ago.

Preferred Plays: Alex Bregman ($4600 FD|$5100 DK), George Springer ($4800 FD|$5500 DK), Yuli Gurriel ($3800 FD|$4600 DK), and Yordan Alvarez ($4200 FD|$5200 DK)

DFS Stack Team: Pittsburgh Pirates

vs. RHP Zach Eflin (PHI): 5.80 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Zach Eflin is on the mound tonight in a hot and muggy Pittsburgh. At first pitch we are looking at a temperature around 91 degrees and 52% humidity. This is great hitting weather, so bump the bats. Eflin carries a 4.16 ERA, 4.65 FIP, and 4.71 SIERA. He is just about as bad as you would want him to be against left handed batters. They are slashing to a .357 wOBA, .543 SLG, and .333 OBP. On the road, Eflin has surrendered 16 earned runs and seven home runs to left handed batters across 25.1 innings pitched. He has been in major regression mode as of late, allowing six or more runs in three of his four last starts. Eflin faces a powerful left handed team in the Pittsburgh Pirates. They are slashing to a .365 wOBA, .202 ISO, and 127 WRC+ over the last month. Recent averages make the Pirates a bit less appealing, but with the weather, matchup, and excellent pricing I find it hard not to go for at least a two or three man mini stack.

Preferred Plays: Josh Bell ($4100 FD|$4800 DK), Bryan Reynolds ($3100 FD|$4300 DK), Corey Dickerson ($2600 FD|$3700 DK), Colin Moran ($2600 FD|$3800 DK), and Adam Frazier ($3200 FD|$3700 DK)

DFS Stack Team: Baltimore Orioles

vs. RHP Rick Porcello (BOS): 4.75 Runs

**High Risk

If you live somewhere on the East Coast you’re probably experiencing some of this extreme heat over the weekend. Baltimore is awful and we are looking at 95 degrees and 70% humidity around first pitch, so probably a 100+ real feel. Rick Porcello carries a 5.37 ERA, 4.59 FIP, and 5.02 SIERA. He has a 5.28 xFIP so we expect further regression. Porcello has been fairly poor on the road with batters slashing to a .362 wOBA, .531 SLG, and .340 OBP over 42.1 innings. The Baltimore Orioles are slashing to a .315 wOBA, .170 ISO, and 95 WRC+ over the last month. I do deem the Birds a high risk play, but they are in a good spot and have had success against Porcello already this season. This time the O’s get a better ballpark and the weather gives the bats a nice bump. Not to mention how cheap all these players are on both sites.

Preferred Plays: Trey Mancini ($3300 FD|$4300 DK), Jonathan Villar ($2800 FD|$4300 DK), Chance Sisco ($3100 FD|$4300 DK), and Anthony Santander ($3200 FD|$3800 DK). Also consider: Renato Nunez($3000 FD|$4400 DK) and Chris Davis ($2300 FD|$3000 DK) for value.

Honorable Mention

Cincinnati Reds DFS Stack

vs. RHP Miles Mikolas (STL): 4.85 Runs

**Low Risk

Preferred Stack: Yasiel Puig ($3400 FD|$4400 DK), Eugenio Suarez ($3700 FD|$4200 DK), Jesse Winker ($2900 FD|$3600 DK), and Josh Vanmeter ($2000 FD|$2500 DK).

Boston Red Sox DFS Stack

vs. RHP Tom Eshelman (BAL): 6.75 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Stack: J.D. Martinez ($3900 FD|$4700 DK), Mookie Betts ($4700 FD|$5300 DK), Xander Bogaerts ($4500 FD|$5700 DK), and Rafael Devers ($4400 FD|$5400 DK). Brock Holt ($2600 FD|$4000 DK) and Jackie Bradley Jr. ($2500 FD|$3700 DK) for value.

Pitching

  1. RHP Zack Greinke (ARI): 4.10 Runs
  2. LHP Clayon Kershaw (LAD): 2.70 Runs
  3. RHP Mike Soroka (ATL): 4.40 Runs

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Daily Fantasy Sports

7/7 MLB DFS Podcast With The King and The MLB/Weather Expert

Scott Engel
written by Scott Engel

Scott Engel and Mark Paquette get into the full MLB schedule on the 7/7 MLB DFS Podcast. They break down all the slates on FanDuel and DraftKings. The King runs down the complete Sunday slate with Mark after an in-depth weather breakdown for Sunday.

7/7 MLB DFS Podcast: Making The Pitching Calls

Aaron Nola and Zach Wheeler are both coming off three good starts. Is David Price the top pick of the day? Trevor Bauer also deserves strong consideration, and you also have to think about German Marquez, who is on the road at Arizona.

7/7 MLB DFS Podcast Stacks

Not many people may have noticed lately, but the Pirates have been swinging some hot bats. The Nationals are also a prime stack, as are the Twins. We also provide value plays to bolster your stacks.

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MLB

DFS Winning Edge for 7/4: Early Only Stack Report

Daniel Wehr
written by Daniel Wehr

This report will provide stacks that I recommend for today’s 4 game early only slate on FD and 6 game slate on DK. I’ve also included my favorite one offs and value plays.

Minnesota Twins

vs. RHP Tanner Anderson (OAK)

Implied Run Total: 5.10 Runs

Tanner Anderson has a small sample size coming into today’s matchup (17.2 IP) but has struggled nonetheless. Anderson carries a 7.13 ERA, 5.30 FIP, and 4.17 SIERA. He has struggled more so to left handed batters, carrying a .473 wOBA, .730 SLG, and .439 OBP through 7.1 IP. The Twins are currently hitting below their season averages, slashing .295 wOBA, .164 ISO, and 81 WRC+ over the last two weeks. Their season averages sit at .343 wOBA, .232 ISO, and 112 WRC+. Despite the hitting slump for this Twins team, I will take the matchup and run with it, even with a limited sample size and inflated stats from Tanner’s last start against the Angels.

Preferred Stack: Nelson Cruz $4200 FD|$5200 DK, Max Kepler $3700 FD|$4600 DK, Jorge Polanco $3700 FD|$4500 DK, and Jason Castro $3000 FD|$4100 DK, Miguel Sano $3800 FD|$5000 DK

Pittsburgh Pirates

vs. LHP Jose Quintana (CHC)

Implied Run Total: 4.65 Runs

Jose Quintana comes into today’s matchup carrying a 4.21 ERA, 4.13 FIP, and 4.68 SIERA through 94 IP. He tends to struggle more to right handed batters. They carry a .325 wOBA, .442 SLG, and .325 OBP against Quintana through 69.2 IP. The Pirates are hitting slightly above their season averages against left handed pitching, slashing .291 wOBA, .133 ISO, and 84 WRC+. Tougher matchup for Pittsburgh against Quintana, who has been fairly dominant to lefties. Most of the Pirates power lies in their left handed batters, but I’m confident they can knock Quintana around a bit this afternoon.

Preferred Stack: Josh Bell $4600 FD|$5600 DK, Starling Marte $3900 FD|$5100 DK, Bryan Reynolds $3400 FD|$4800 DK, and Jose Osuna $2800 FD|$4800 DK.

Honorable Mentions

Seattle Mariners

vs. RHP Michael Wacha (STL)

Implied Run Total: 4.80 Runs

Preferred Stack: Domingo Santana $3700 FD|$5000 DK, Daniel Vogelbach $3600 FD|$4700 DK, J.P. Crawford $3100 FD|$4700 DK, Omar Narvaez $2500 FD|$4400 DK. I also like Tim Beckham (FD specific) $2700 FD|$3900 DK.

One-offs & Value Plays

Jose Martinez (STL) $2600 FD|$3900 DK, Paul Goldschmidt (STL) $3000 FD|$3800 DK. Kyle Schwarber (CHC) $3600 FD|$4100 DK, Franklin Barreto (OAK) $2000 FD|$3500 DK, Elias Diaz $2200 FD|$3500 DK.

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MLB

Umpire Report for Main DFS Slate on June 30

Nicholas Robert
written by Nicholas Robert

Indians vs Baltimore- Umpire Joe West   Avg. Ks/Gm- 18.20, Over record (4-11), 26.7% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 8.7, HR/Gm- 2.93

Royals vs Blue Jays- Umpire Mark Carlson   Avg. Ks/Gm- 17.91, Over record (6-4), 60% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 9.8, HR/Gm- 3.18

Cubs vs Reds- Umpire Alan Porter   Avg. Ks/Gm- 17.73, Over record (13-2), 86.7% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 12.2 , HR/Gm- 3.93

Rangers vs Tampa Bay- Bruce Dreckman  Avg. Ks/Gm- 17.57, Over record (8-6), 57.1% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 9.4, HR/Gm- 1.50

Phillies vs Miami- Ted Barrett   Avg. Ks/Gm- 16.25, Over record (6-8), 42.9% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 8.6, HR/Gm- 2.62

Nationals vs Tigers- Umpire Brennan Miller   Avg. Ks/Gm- 12.00, Over record (1-0), 100% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 16.0, HR/Gm- 5.00

Twins vs White Sox- Jim Wolf   Avg. Ks/Gm- 20.47, Over record (8-6), 57.1% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 9.9, HR/Gm- 2.53

Pittsburgh vs Brewers- Sean Barber   Avg. Ks/Gm- 17.53, Over record (10-5), 66.7% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 11.9, HR/Gm- 3.00

Seattle vs Astros- Umpire Gabe Morales   Avg. Ks/Gm- 15.33, Over record (8-5), 61.5% OVER, RUNS/Gm- 9.7, HR/Gm- 2.40

Umpire Report


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MLB

DFS Winning Edge for 6/29: Main Slate Breakdown

written by

For those not familiar, my name is Dan Wehr and I am a new author here at WinDailyDFS. This article will provide a game by game DFS breakdown for the six game main slate on Draftkings and FanDuel, and I also provide some preferred stacks.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies

Over/Under: 12.5

Implied Run Total – LAD: 6.83 Runs

Implied Run Total – COL: 5.67 Runs

Weather Concerns: N/A

Los Angeles Dodgers – Clayton Kershaw (LHP) takes the mound in Colorado tonight. He is sporting a 2.85 ERA, 3.51 FIP, and 3.76 SIERA on the season. Kershaw has identical splits, carrying a .282 wOBA, .269 OBP, and .278 BABIP to both sides. Dodgers batters are slashing .338 wOBA, .209 ISO, and .298 BABIP over the last two weeks. They are hitting close to their season averages.

Preferred DFS Plays – Max Muncy $4400 FD|$5400 DK. Cody Bellinger $5100 FD|$5800 DK. Matt Beaty $2800 FD| $3700 DK. Alex Verdugo $3800 FD |$4700 DK.

Colorado Rockies – Jon Gray (RHP) takes the mound tonight at home. He carries a 4.18 ERA, 4.20 FIP, and 4.19 SIERA on the year. Gray has identical splits, carrying a .338 wOBA, .339 OBP, and .439 SLG to both sides. Rockies batters are slashing .368 wOBA, .187 ISO, and .497 SLG over the last two weeks. They are hitting close to their season averages.

Preferred DFS Plays: Ian Desmond $2900 FD | $4600 DK. Charlie Blackmon $4400 FD | $5500 DK. Nolan Arenado $4100 FD | $5000 DK. Greg Hampson $2700 FD | $3200 DK.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers

Over/Under: 9.5

Implied Run Total – PIT: 3.80 Runs

Implied Run Total – MIL: 5.70 Runs

Weather Concerns: Dome

Pittsburgh Pirates – Jordan Lyles (RHP) on the mound tonight in Milwaukee. Lyles is sporting a 3.64 ERA, 3.67 FIP, and 4.74 SIERA on the season. He has true splits, carrying a .367 wOBA, .500 SLG, and .367 OBP to left handed batters. He has been particularly bad on the road against lefties. Pirates batters are slashing to a respectable .376 wOBA, .226 ISO, and .532 SLG against right handed batters over the last few weeks.

Preferred DFS Plays – Corey Dickerson $3100 FD | $4300 DK. Josh Bell $4500 FD | $5300 DK. Bryan Reynolds $3300 FD | $4500 DK. Colin Moran $2500 FD | $3900 DK. Elias Diaz $2500 FD | $3300 DK.

Milwaukee Brewers – Brandon Woodruff (RHP) on the mound for the Brewers tonight. He has a 4.01 ERA, 3.07 FIP, and 3.53 SIERA on the season. Woodruff has true splits, carrying a .335 wOBA, .441 SLG, and .341 OBP against left handed batters this season. Brewers batters are currently slashing to a .315 wOBA, .170 ISO, and have a .402 SLG. They are hitting slightly below their season average over the last two weeks. Jordan Lyles is awful on the road vs. lefties and Milwaukee bats have been a bit pedestrian lately. I think the Brewers crack things open tonight and score some runs.

Preferred DFS Plays: Mike Moustakas $3700 FD | $4700 DK. Yasmani Grandal $3300 FD | $4400 DK. Christian Yelich $4500 FD | $5700 DK. Eric Thames $2700 FD | $4200 DK

Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros

Over/Under: 9.5

Implied Run Total – SEA: 3.20 Runs

Implied Run Total – HOU: 6.30 Runs

Weather Concerns: Dome

Seattle Mariners – Yusei Kikuchi (LHP) on the mound in Houston. He carries a 5.11 ERA, 5.55 FIP, and 5.10 SIERA on the season. Kikuchi has fairly similar splits and struggles quite a bit on the road. Kikuchi carries a .361 wOBA, .505 SLG, and .354 OBP against right handed batters. Everyone is waiting for the Astros to really break out again and I think this is a good spot for them to do so. Seattle batters are slashing to a .333 wOBA, .173 ISO, and .441 SLG over the last few weeks. They are hitting close to their season average.

Preferred DFS Plays – Daniel Vogelbach $3700 FD | $4000 DK. J.P. Crawford $3000 FD | $4200 DK.

Houston Astros – Justin Verlander (RHP) on the mound tonight at home. He carries a 2.67 ERA, 3.77 FIP, and 3.17 SIERA on the season. Verlander has a flyball rate of 46%, hard contact rate of 39%, and 1.65 HR/9. He has identical splits, carrying a .232 wOBA, .343 SLG, and 1.75 BABIP. Houston batters are hitting well above their season averages recently with a .448 wOBA, .337 ISO, and .647 SLG.

Preferred DFS Plays: Alex Bregman $4200 FD | $5100 DK. Jose Altuve $4000 | $4100 DK. Tyler White $2200 FD | $3200 DK. Jake Marisnick $2200 FD | $4000 DK. George Springer $4400 FD | $5400 DK.

Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants

Over/Under: 7.5

Implied Run Total – ARI: 4.20

Implied Run Total – SFG: 3.30

Weather Concerns: N/A

Arizona Diamondbacks – Zack Greinke (RHP) takes the mound in San Francisco tonight. He is sporting a 2.91 ERA, 3.45 FIP, and 3.96 SIERA on the season. Greinke has identical splits, allowing a .260 wOBA, .249 OBP, and .252 BABIP to both sides. Greinke gets a ballpark boost and has the clear advantage against a weak SFG offense. Arizona batters are slashing to a .272 wOBA, .127 ISO, and .349 SLG over the last few weeks. They are hitting well below their season averages.

Preferred DFS Plays – Ketel Marte $4100 FD | $5200 DK. Eduardo Escobar $4200 FD | $4800 DK. Christian Walker $3000 FD | $4000 DK.

San Francisco Giants – Drew Pomeranz (LHP) is on the mound at home. He carries a 7.09 ERA, 6.01 FIP, and 4.68 SIERA on the year. Pomeranz has true splits as right handed batters are slashing to a .412 wOBA, .594 SLG, and .396 OBP against him this season. San Francisco batters are slashing to a .307 wOBA, .178 ISO, and .418 SLG over the last few weeks. They are hitting above their season averages.

Preferred DFS Plays – N/A

Oakland Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels

Over/Under: 9.5

Implied Run Total – OAK: 4.40 Runs

Implied Run Total – LAA: 5.10 Runs

Weather Concerns: N/A

Oakland Athletics – Brett Anderson (LHP) is on the mound in Anaheim tonight. Anderson has a 4.26 ERA, 5.15 FIP, and 5.44 SIERA on the season. He is a ground ball pitcher with a hefty 52% GB rate. Anderson carries a .295 wOBA .383 SLG, and .304 OBP against him on the road. Oakland batters are slashing to a .371 wOBA, .273 ISO, and .580 SLG to left handed pitching over the last few weeks.

Preferred DFS Plays – Khris Davis $3400 FD | $3600 DK. Marcus Semien $3400 FD | $4100 DK. Ramon Laureano $3300 FD | $3900 DK. Mark Canha $2800 FD | $3600 DK. Matt Chapman $3700 FD | $4200 DK.

Los Angeles Angels – Tyler Skaggs (LHP) is on the mound for the Angels this evening. He carries a 4.30 ERA, 4.25 FIP, and 4.40 SIERA on the year. Skaggs tends to be hot and cold and the last time he faced the A’s he ended up getting hit around a bit. The A’s lineup is full of right handed power and Skaggs is carrying a .310 wOBA, .407 SLG, and 318 OBP to them on the year. Angels batters are slashing .to a 266 wOBA, .073 ISO, and .305 SLG over the last two weeks, They are hitting well below their season averages over the last two weeks.

Preferred DFS Plays: Mike Trout $4700 FD | $5600 DK. Shohei Ohtani $4100 FD | $5100 DK. Albert Pujols $3000 FD | $3900 DK. Kole Calhoun $3200 FD | $4300 DK.

St. Louis Cardinals @ San Diego Padres

Over/Under: 8

Implied Run Total – STL: 3.71 Runs

Implied Run Total – SDP: 4.29 Runs

Weather Concerns: N/A

St. Louis Cardinals – Dakota Hudson (RHP) takes the mound in San Diego. He has a 3.36 ERA, 4.67 FIP, and 4.72 SIERA on the season. Hudson struggles mightily against left handed batters, carrying a 386 wOBA, .532 SLG, and .396 OBP so far this season. He has a massive ground ball rate of 62% and an extremely low fly ball rate of 17%. Cardinals batters are slashing .283 wOBA, .123 wOBA, and 74 WRC+. They have struggled all season with right handed pitching.

Preferred DFS Plays – Dakota Hudson $8400 FD | $6900 DK.

San Diego Padres – Chris Paddack (RHP) is on the mound at home this evening. He has a 3.18 ERA, 3.99 FIP, and 3.87 SIERA this season. Paddack has a 45% hard contact rate and 40% fly ball rate. He has identical splits, carrying a .261 wOBA, .370 SLG, and .257 OBP against both sides this season. The Cardinals have struggled a ton against righties as of late and Paddack certainly has the arm talent to get the QS and win against this porous Cardinals lineup. The only concern I have is Paddack is not an innings eater, averaging four or five IP per game. Padres batters are slashing to a .358 wOBA, .214 ISO, and .493 SLG against right handed pitching over the last two weeks. They are hitting well above their season averages.

Preferred DFS Plays – Chris Paddack $8100 FD | $8300 DK. Fernando Tatis Jr. $4000 FD | $5500 DK. Manny Machado $3900 FD | $4900 DK. Franmil Reyes $2800 FD | $4100 DK.

Dwehrj08’s Favorite DFS Plays

Top Pitchers

  1. Chris Paddack (Not an innings eater so tread carefully)
  2. Dakota Hudson
  3. Zack Greinke

Top Stacks

  1. Houston Astros
  2. Milwaukee Brewers
  3. Arizona Diamondbacks
  4. For good measure I will most definitely have exposure to Coors, as should you. This game isn’t my top priority but the implied run total here just simply cannot be ignored.

Home Run Call of Day: Matt Olson (OAK)

The Winning Edge
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MLB

DFS Hitting Stacks: Bright Rays

Mark Paquette
written by Mark Paquette

Kansas City looks to be the only game with any weather issues but even here it looks like it will be late in the game and bats should not be affected.

  1. Cubs/Rockies: I will group these teams together as they are playing in the same park, Coors Field and the weather will almost be a carbon copy of yesterday. Pay attention to last night’s boxscore, how many bullpen arms did they use? Also, an interesting fact, both these pitchers (Quintana and Lambert) just faced each other at Wrigley a few days ago. Use this to gauge how the batters may do against them this time around. And did I mention that Quintana is a lefty?
  2. Rays: Mike Fiers pitched a no-hitter about a month ago. Why do I want to pick on him? Because this is the Rays! Brandon Lowe and Austin Meadows are burgeoning superstars. The Rays have made the Trop their offensive haven. Look for the Rays to put a whooping on Fiers.
  3. Nationals: Man, a fire has been burning under this team’s butt, both offensively and defensively! We saw Mad Max and Stras pitch great games but did you see the Nats hit four consecutive HRs this weekend? Turner, Rendon, Dozier, Soto, Eaton have all hit the ball really well, making this lineup a deep one that can put up runs in a hurry.
  4. Braves/Pirates: Let’s end this article how we began, with a duo of teams hitting in a strong batter’s park. These two teams combined to batter each other on the scoreboard and almost physically as Josh Donaldson baited Joe Musgrove into an early exit last night. Well, like I mentioned in #1 above, both teams had to go deep in their bullpens last night (especially the Pirates who got only 2/3rds of an inning out of the previously mentioned Musgrove).
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MLB

Drafting Smart

Jason Mezrahi
written by Jason Mezrahi

Drafting Smart – written by Brian Handzel

Rougned Odor (2nd Base, Texas Rangers)

Drafting smart this time of year is important, but where can you save yourself headaches and still get a value? My value pick of the day is Rougned Odor. With an average draft position of around 128, in season-long leagues, according to RotoBaller, Odor should be a steal for a daily pickup. Since 2014 Odors walk rates have been on the rise;

2014: 4.1%

2015: 4.9%

2016: 3%

2017: 4.9%

2018: 8%

2019: Spring Training, 11.4% (as of 3/20/19)

What does this mean for Odor this season? According to Fangraphs, Odor is projected to keep a walk rate of 8%, while producing a slash line of .249/.307/.445 and a WRC+ of 97. So a league average player with a high walk rate. In a daily prospective Odor should be cheap on a daily basis. You’ll be able to fill your lineup with big hitters without having to scrape the bottom of the barrel for no upside.

At 25 years old, if Odor is on base, which by his projections he will be over 30% of the time, he is a threat to steal. This is no longer the 80’s where everyone is running all over, but Odor should be able to amass some steals. Any player you can pick up who will give you the on-base percentage and steals is definitely a good pickup, especially if you don’t have to spend a lot to obtain them.

So keep an eye out for Rougned Odor this season, especially if he is a cheap option to fill the 2nd base slot so you can load your lineup with big hitters to maximize your daily lineup.

Jung Ho Kang (3rd Base/ShortStop, Pittsburgh Pirates)

Kang is projected to hit .266/.340/.464 in 104 games this season with 17 home runs and 59 runs batted in. Good average, great on base percentage, Kang is going to produce for you, without the giant price tag. With the low price tag, just like Odor, you can maximize other positons while still getting production from your lower paid slots.

Kang, at least in the beginning of the season is going to be relatively forgotten about since he has only played in three Major League games since 2016. Don’t let that deter you from taking the value on Kang though because in 2016 when he played in 103 games he slashed .255/.354/.513 with 21 home runs and 62 runs batted in.

Ronald Acuna Jr. (Atlanta Braves)

Will last year’s National League Rookie of the Year come back for another great sophomore season or will there be a classic case of the sophomore slump? According to Fangraphs, Acuna is going to dominate again. Last season Acuna slashed .293/.366/.552 with 26 home runs and 64 runs batted in. This season he is projected to slash .276/.344/.511 with 30 home runs and 81 runs batted in. Acuna is going to be a costly player, but he is going to be one that you should be willing to spend on.

Not only is Acuna going to get on base and hit the ball hard, but he is also going to grab you some ever-elusive steals. Projected to swipe 25 bags this year, Acuna’s speed is a big difference maker when it comes to spending because he can fill up more categories than just your average power hitter.

Teoscar Hernandez (Outfield, Toronto Blue Jays)

Last season Hernandez came on the scene and played in a career-high 134 games for the Blue Jays.

Hernandez ensured that if he was going to get the playing time, he was going to make the best of it.

Hernandez produced a slash line of .239/.302/.468 which were all career highs. To add to the list of career highs, he also hit 22 home runs, drove in 57 and on top of all that, stole seven bags. With regular playing time, Hernandez could be a key piece to an outfield. But with Toronto’s outfield of Billy McKinney, Kevin Pillar, and Randal Grichuk, it doesn’t look like Hernandez will get the chance to be an everyday player in Toronto.

Even without regular playing time, I feel like Hernandez can be a great cheap option for you. Steamer projects Hernandez to play in 99 games and l to produce a slash line of .236/.301/.435 while amassing 14 home runs and seven stolen bases.

Steamer is also projecting a .320 BABIP and a .316 wOBA. All of these stats equate to essentially a league average player, and the 99 WRC+ shows that. Fangraphs also projects Hernandez to produce a slightly above average WAR, at 0.3.

Don’t sleep on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (3rd Base, Toronto Blue Jays

There is no doubt that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is going to be taken in the first round in every draft this season. If he makes it to you, take him. Last year Vlad Guerrero Jr. slashed .381/.437/.636 with 20 Home runs and posted a WRC+ of 201 over 4 levels. With a steamer projection of .306/.368/.511 with 22 home runs and a WRC+ of 138, Guerrero will be a slam dunk first round pick. It doesn’t matter if you’re in a

redraft league or dynasty, Vlad Guerrero Jr should be taken in your first round, as long as you pick picking up Mike Trout or Mookie Betts.

 

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