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MLBMA Premium Algo Results 7.15.19

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Sports Betting

One slight change to the MLBMA readout you may notice will make it more comprehensive for use across formats. I scratched the color coded left column, which was creating confusion. The column with team names will be used to mark any F5 ML bets, based on a run differential greater than one between implied team totals.

Remember ORC & PRA are scaled with 100 as average. Every point above represents a single percentage point above average, and vice versa.

Identify DFS pitching from MLBMA by finding the greatest negative differences in Offenive Runs Created and Pitching Runs Allowed (dark blue).

Identify DFS hitting stacks by finding the greatest positive differences in Offenive Runs Created and Pitching Runs Allowed (dark red)

F5 Picks w/Implied Team Totals Using ORC+/PRA+

MLBMA table
MLBMA Algo Results Found Exclusively at windailysports.com

The MLBMA Plays:

  • LAD F5ML -185
  • ATL F5ML -110
  • PIT F5ML +120 (PIT +0.5 RL if parlaying)
  • CHW F5ML -140

I hate paying the freight for the Dodgers, and you know I love Round Robins so my initial MLBMA take (I don’t go live $$$ until lineups are out) is to play the PIT F5ML straight, and then play the remaining three in pairs (AB, AC, BC).

MLBMA DFS Pitchers:

  1. Musgrove
  2. Giolito
  3. Kershaw
  4. Hendricks

DFS Offensive Stacks:

  • Braves
  • Dodgers
  • Tigers
  • Astros/Angels game

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Baseball Twitter's Robin Hood. Lifetime baseball fan, avid capper and fantasy baseball player. 15+ years of stock trading experience, specializing in risk management and advanced game theories. Creator of the MLB Moving Averages algorithm in 2018

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