DFS Winning Edge for 7/4: Early Only Stack Report

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This report will provide stacks that I recommend for today’s 4 game early only slate on FD and 6 game slate on DK. I’ve also included my favorite one offs and value plays.

Minnesota Twins

vs. RHP Tanner Anderson (OAK)

Implied Run Total: 5.10 Runs

Tanner Anderson has a small sample size coming into today’s matchup (17.2 IP) but has struggled nonetheless. Anderson carries a 7.13 ERA, 5.30 FIP, and 4.17 SIERA. He has struggled more so to left handed batters, carrying a .473 wOBA, .730 SLG, and .439 OBP through 7.1 IP. The Twins are currently hitting below their season averages, slashing .295 wOBA, .164 ISO, and 81 WRC+ over the last two weeks. Their season averages sit at .343 wOBA, .232 ISO, and 112 WRC+. Despite the hitting slump for this Twins team, I will take the matchup and run with it, even with a limited sample size and inflated stats from Tanner’s last start against the Angels.

Preferred Stack: Nelson Cruz $4200 FD|$5200 DK, Max Kepler $3700 FD|$4600 DK, Jorge Polanco $3700 FD|$4500 DK, and Jason Castro $3000 FD|$4100 DK, Miguel Sano $3800 FD|$5000 DK

Pittsburgh Pirates

vs. LHP Jose Quintana (CHC)

Implied Run Total: 4.65 Runs

Jose Quintana comes into today’s matchup carrying a 4.21 ERA, 4.13 FIP, and 4.68 SIERA through 94 IP. He tends to struggle more to right handed batters. They carry a .325 wOBA, .442 SLG, and .325 OBP against Quintana through 69.2 IP. The Pirates are hitting slightly above their season averages against left handed pitching, slashing .291 wOBA, .133 ISO, and 84 WRC+. Tougher matchup for Pittsburgh against Quintana, who has been fairly dominant to lefties. Most of the Pirates power lies in their left handed batters, but I’m confident they can knock Quintana around a bit this afternoon.

Preferred Stack: Josh Bell $4600 FD|$5600 DK, Starling Marte $3900 FD|$5100 DK, Bryan Reynolds $3400 FD|$4800 DK, and Jose Osuna $2800 FD|$4800 DK.

Honorable Mentions

Seattle Mariners

vs. RHP Michael Wacha (STL)

Implied Run Total: 4.80 Runs

Preferred Stack: Domingo Santana $3700 FD|$5000 DK, Daniel Vogelbach $3600 FD|$4700 DK, J.P. Crawford $3100 FD|$4700 DK, Omar Narvaez $2500 FD|$4400 DK. I also like Tim Beckham (FD specific) $2700 FD|$3900 DK.

One-offs & Value Plays

Jose Martinez (STL) $2600 FD|$3900 DK, Paul Goldschmidt (STL) $3000 FD|$3800 DK. Kyle Schwarber (CHC) $3600 FD|$4100 DK, Franklin Barreto (OAK) $2000 FD|$3500 DK, Elias Diaz $2200 FD|$3500 DK.