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Monkey Knife Fight

MLB

9/26 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks

Richard Masana 5 years ago

written by Richard Masana

The 9/26 MLB main slate has a few solid arms that we can pick from, as well as a couple trash cans to pick on.

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9/26 MLB DFS Pitcher to Start One: Zach Wheeler – New York Mets (Both Sites Cash and Tournaments)

$10,500 FD / $10,200 DK

Even with the Mets out of the playoff picture, Zach Wheeler has some of the most to gain out of the arms on the 9/26 MLB Main Slate. This could be his last start in New York and either way his final opportunity to show off before a new contract. Wheeler couldn’t ask for a better opponent than the putrid Marlins, with whom his teammate Jacob DeGrom had his way with last night.

9/26 MLB DFS Pitcher to Start Two: Aaron Civale – Cleveland Indians (Both Sites Cash and Tournaments)

$8,700 FD / $9,600 DK

With the Cleveland Indians in must-win mode, Aaron Civale will take the hill against a strikeout prone White Sox team. While Civale is far from a prolific strikeout artist with his mediocre 19.8% strikeout rate on the season, the White Sox will do their part to help compensate. Every single hitter in their projected lineup has at least a 22% strikeout rate against righties.

9/26 MLB DFS Pitcher to Start Three: Jose Quintana – Chicago Cubs (DraftKings Cash and Both Sites Tournaments)

$6,700 FD / $7,400 DK

Early on this season, Jose Quintana had a spectacular start versus the Pirates registering double digit strikeouts. The current Pirates lineup could not be any worse against lefties so despite uninspiring current form we can turn to Quintana in this spot. By rostering him, it allows you a completely different build with the extra money available for bats.

9/26 MLB DFS Pitcher to Attack One: Jaime Barria – Los Angeles Angels

The previous meeting between the Houston Astros and Jaime Barria last week did not work out well for Barria. He allowed four home runs and six runs across two and two-thirds of an inning. Needless to say, Barria’s .407 ISO allowed to righties this season does not make the Astros an ideal matchup.

9/26 MLB DFS Pitcher to Attack Two: Felix Hernandez – Seattle Mariners

Far from a King at this point in his career, Felix Hernandez has become a mere peasant. He isn’t the worst arm on the 9/26 MLB Slate, that award would go to Jaime Barria above. However, he is a ghost of his former self and should get shelled by a hungry Athletics team.

9/26 MLB Monkey Knife Fight MLB Prop Picks – Sign Up To Win With These Picks and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Zach Wheeler – New York Mets – Over 5.5 Strikeouts – Quite frankly I expected the over/under total to be a strikeout or two higher given the matchup with the Marlins. Six seems like a fair bet.

Aaron Civale – Cleveland Indians – Over 5.5 Strikeouts – We might as well stick to the theme of attacking the White Sox for strikeout upside.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

9/22 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks

Richard Masana 5 years ago

written by Richard Masana

The 9/22 MLB main slate does not have as many total gas cans as most slates. However, the goal today is to highlight a couple pitchers who stand out, as well as a couple to attack.

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9/22 MLB DFS Pitcher to Start One: Justin Verlander – Houston Astros (Both Sites Cash and Tournaments)

$12,000 FD / $12,800 DK

Justin Verlander is the top arm in all formats on the 9/22 MLB Main Slate. The Angels have a reputation in the DFS community as a low strikeout team but that hasn’t been the case. The watered down projected lineup has six hitters at a 26.7% strikeout rate or higher against righties. As Verlander will be attempting to keep his status as the favorite for the American League Cy Young Award, I would not expect any special limitations.

9/22 MLB DFS Pitcher to Start Two: Yu Darvish – Chicago Cubs (Both Sites Tournaments)

$10,500 FD / $11,600 DK

Yu Darvish may be more of a tournament play on a one pitcher site as it would be difficult to play him over Justin Verlander in cash. Darvish has displayed tremendous consistency, only failing to hit a minimum of 20 DraftKings points once over his last nine starts. With an elevated 35.8% strikeout rate against righties, the Cardinals present a better matchup for him than for most pitchers. Just to be sure to check the local weather reports as it does look like there will be rain most of the day. If Darvish is not available, Trevor Bauer would be the tournament pivot in this range.

9/22 MLB DFS Pitcher to Start Three: Reynaldo Lopez – Chicago White Sox (DraftKings Cash and Both Sites Tournaments)

$8,200 FD / $7,400 DK

It has been two poor starts in a row for Reynaldo Lopez. However, he will have the opportunity to bounce back against the hapless Detroit Tigers. On DraftKings, I would expect him to get some buzz as an sp2 option. There should be a wide realm of possibilities here as Lopez has an immense ceiling in this spot but no floor.

9/22 MLB DFS Pitcher to Attack One: Nathan Eovaldi – Boston Red Sox

Over his last eight and one third innings, Nathan Eovaldi has allowed eight runs which includes four home runs. Despite getting a ballpark boost pitching in Tampa Bay, I like the Rays to score some runs here. As of the time of writing they have a 4.84 projected run total and are also fairly cheap on both sites.

9/22 MLB DFS Pitcher to Attack Two: Jorge Lopez – Kansas City Royals

I don’t think that Jorge Lopez is necessarily the worst pitcher on the 9/22 MLB Slate. In fact, he rarely serves up home runs. However, the Minnesota Twins are projected for a 6.4 run total as of the time of writing and 10-12 mph winds are blowing out. It is unlikely Lopez pitches deep into this game.

9/22 MLB Monkey Knife Fight MLB Prop Picks – Sign Up To Win With These Picks and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Justin Verlander – Houston Astros – Over 9.5 Strikeouts – Since he has not failed on any prop bets so far I would roll with Justin Verlander one more time. That said, as crazy as it sounds I might like Lopez’s odds better if only picking one.

Reynaldo Lopez – Chicago White Sox – Over 4.5 Strikeouts – It just doesn’t seem like this is a very high barrier for Reynaldo Lopez to hit. Particularly facing the lowly Tigers.

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5 years ago 0 comment

9/21 DFS Pitching and Prop Picks: Manaea is the Man

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

I’m looking to follow up some great MLB DFS picks from last night with another batch of winning hurlers. It’s a nine-game slate with a couple big names and some fabulous value plays among a pretty large mess of unreliable arms and likely pitch counts. But I know we’re going to find some gems in this edition of 9/21 DFS pitching picks.

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9/21 DFS Pitching Cash Game Plays

SeanManaea, OAK vs. TEX

DK ($9,800) FD($9,200)

Manaea is a huge home favorite (-340), he’s backed by a potent offensewith a high implied total (6.00), and the Rangers offense has been scufflinglately. Over the course of the season, Texas has struck out at a 25.7% rate, whichis third worst among MLB teams. Manaea (2-0, 0.50 ERA in three starts this season) gave up justthree hits and one walk while striking out six through 6.0 scoreless IP againstthis same Rangers team on Sunday – in a much tougher hitting environment inArlington. I feel comfortable going right back to the well in cash games andGPPs, as the 27-year-old hurler had 11 swinging strikes and 19 called strikesin that last outing.

Jose Berrios, MIN vs. KC

DK ($10,900) FD ($9,400)

The Twins are large favorites against the Royals and while I don’t like Berrios for a monster K game here in 9/21 DFS, he’s still a viable cash game play with the Kansas City implied run total languishing at just 3.39. Keep an eye on the weather before this one locks, because we could see a late start – but deploy him with confidence in a slate lacking in elite pitching options. The Twins offense should get him a win, and on FanDuel he could easily notch a quality start bonus – as he’s gone at least 6 IP and has given up less than 3 ER in three of his last four starts.

9/21 DFS Pitching GPP Plays

WalkerBuehler, LAD vs. COL

DK ($12,300) FD($11,100)

Buehler willlikely be on a pitch count, so he’s way too expensive for cash gamesconsidering he’s likely looking at around 5-6 IP. Still, his low WHIP (1.01) andelite strikeout rate (29.4%) mean he very well could fan 10 hitters even onsuch a short leash. The Rockies may have gotten a few licks on Clayton Kershawlast night, but they have a team K rate of 23.7% and shouldn’t have muchsuccess against this dominant young arm.

MaxFried, ATL vs. SF

DK ($8,500) FD ($8,600)

Fried (16-6, 4.25 ERA) allowed five runs on six hits while striking out just two hitters (and walking three Nationals) in just 2.1 innings in Washington during his last outing, but he’s a much better pitcher at home this season and he draws a great matchup against the Giants. Fried has been battered a bit in two consecutive starts and has given up at least three earned runs in five of his last six starts, but that should help keep some of the ownership off him here in a start where he looks like he could get a little chalky for the DFS Pros. There’s plenty to like once you check out the home/away splits in a little more detail and take into account the sometimes punchless Giants offense.

9/21 DFS Pitching Punt Plays

JohnnyCueto, SF at ATL

DK ($9,600) FD($7,800)

I’m a lot more interested in Cueto as a GPP play on FD, where he’s essentially a punt at 7,800 and doesn’t have to keep guys off base. The veteran should have a much easier path to making value by striking out a handful of Braves, even if he gets knocked out after 4 innings. There’s plenty of risk here because Cueto only has 6 Ks in his last 10 IP, but the price is right for FD GPPs and I’m looking for some contrarian angles in the mid-tier since Fried might be a little more chalky. Grabbing the other side of that chalk could pay off.

Justus Sheffield, SEA at BAL

DK ($7,900) FD ($7,300)

Once again, it’s a huge risk playing Sheffield in a hitter’s park like Camden Yards, but few pitchers on this slate have better strikeout potential against a weak opponent like the Orioles, and there’s an outside chance his team gets him a lead and a possible win. Forget the fact that he hasn’t notched a win in 2019 yet and focus on the metrics: He’s carrying a 10.13 K/9, 4.22 xFIP and 4.41 SIERA through his appearances despite an admittedly bad ERA, but his 12.4 SwStr% is promising.

You have to take some chances to win GPPs and I’ll have my fair share of Sheffield lineups on FD, though he’s a much riskier play on DK with such a high walk rate (4.91 BB/9 in his career).

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Jose Berrios Under 6.5 Strikeouts

Berrios is a solid pitcher, but he hasn’t been dominant in too many games back-to-back this season. These Royals will be focused on putting the ball in play after chalking up 11 team Ks in 33 ABs last night, and they only had 3 total Ks against Berrios in a June meeting.

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Zach Davies Under 3.5 Strikeouts

Davies doesn’t miss bats and could have an early night against a Pirates lineup sporting a 19.5 team K% — and has whiffed just 13 times in their last 23.1 IP against him. I fully expect the Pirates to have more success against Brewers pitching in this one, and knock Davis out of there before he gets to 4 Ks.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

9/20 DFS Pitching and Prop Picks: deGrom is the Bomb, Kershaw is the Law

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

These pitching articles have been fun to write all season long and we’re finally getting down to the final two weeks. That’s really disappointing news but we really want to continue our stellar form and give you guys some solid plays for this last week of MLB DFS. One thing that I hate about this time of the year is that we have managers doing funky things, like limiting pitch counts and scratching starters. That means anything can change at any given time and we’ll do our best to provide pitchers who are actually pitching for a purpose. With that in mind, let’s get into our 9/20 DFS pitching picks.

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9/20 DFS Pitching Cash Game Plays

Jacob deGrom, NYM at CIN

DK ($11,600) FD ($11,000)

deGrom is arguably the best arm in the league right now and he’s always worth considering as your cash game pitcher. His 2.61 ERA and 1.01 WHIP this season is incredible but it’s actually lower than his 1.70 ERA and 0.91 WHIP from last year. Those absurd statistics equate to a 2.12 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and 32 percent K rate in that two-year span. His form right now is on par with that 2018 season, with deGrom pitching to a 1.76 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and 11.5 K/9 rate over his last 13 starts.

That’s bad news for a Reds offense that ranks 22^nd in runs scored, 21^st in OPS, 22^nd in OBP and 27^th in xwOBA. This team has only gotten worse over the last two months too, trading away players like Yasiel Puig and Scooter Gennett while dealing with injuries from guys like Joey Votto, Nick Senzel, Jesse Winker and Derek Dietrich.

Clayton Kershaw, LAD vs, COL

DK ($10,800) FD ($10,400)

Kershaw has been in this article a lot this season and he’s truly the definition of a cash game pitcher. The reason for that is because of his consistency, with CK pitching at least six innings in 24 of his 26 starts this season. That’s reliability at its finest and it’s led to a 3.05 ERA and 1.05 WHIP.

His recent form only adds to his intrigue, with Kershaw providing 11.5 K/9 across his last 12 starts. Facing the Rockies is simply the icing on the cake, with Colorado ranked 23^rd in K rate, 28^th in runs scored, 29^th in OPS and 30^th in OBP on the road this season. That’s why Kershaw and the Dodgers enter this matchup as a –320 favorite.

9/20 DFS Pitching GPP Plays

Mike Foltynewicz, ATL vs. SF

DK ($9,400) FD ($7,700)

While Folty’s terrible start to the season obliterated his season averages, he’s been a much better pitcher over the last month or so. Over his last eight starts, Foltynewicz is accruing a 2.76 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 8.5 K/9 rate. That’s the guy that we saw in 2018, with Folty amassing a 2.85 ERA and 1.08 WHIP.

Those amazing statistics make him very attractive against an offense like this, with the Giants sitting 28^th in runs scored, 27^th in OBP and 28^th in both OPS and wOBA. These are two teams headed in opposite directions and that’s evident by the fact that Foltynewicz enters this matchup as a –250 favorite.

Anibal Sanchez, WSH at MIA

DK ($8,100) FD ($8,300)

Using pitchers against Miami is always a good idea. The reason for that is because this club ranks either 29^th or last in runs scored, OBP, OPS, wOBA, SLG and xwOBA. That’s a recipe for disaster, especially in one of the most pitcher-friendly parks in baseball. We certainly want a veteran like Sanchez opposing them too, with the right-hander tallying a 3.38 ERA and 1.19 WHIP since the start of last season. He’s absolutely rolling right now, throwing at least seven innings in both his last two starts while allowing just two combined runs and nine total baserunners. That’s why Vegas has Sanchez and the Nationals as a –200 favorite in this fixture.

9/20 DFS Pitching Punt Plays

Dylan Cease, CWS at DET

DK ($8,300) FD ($6,300)

This is totally risky but there’s reason to like Cease. Let’s start with his matchup, as he faces a Detroit team that ranks at the bottom in nearly every offensive statistic. In fact, the Motor City Kitties rank last in runs scored, OBP, OPS, K rate and xwOBA. That puts any pitcher in play against them, particularly a talented, young arm like Cease.

While he’s currently got an ugly 6.18 ERA, this dude was nails at the minors. In fact, he had a 3.02 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 11.3 K/9 rate for his minor league career. A 4.63 xFIP at the Majors also indicates that he has some positive regression headed his way and a matchup with the Tigers might be just what the doctor ordered. In his two starts against Detroit this season, Cease has actually scored at least 30 FanDuel points in each outing.

Mike Fiers, OAK vs. TEX

DK ($5,700) FD ($6,800)

It’s risky to trust a guy who’s struggling so badly but we can overlook some tough matchups. Despite allowing 16 runs over his last three starts, Fiers is actually in a great spot to succeed. He’s actually pitched to a 2.44 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in his previous 21 starts and its way easier to trust a 21-game sample size over a small three-gamer.

What really makes him enticing here is this matchup though, with the Rangers sitting 29th in K rate, 21st in OBP and 19th in wOBA. That’s scary in a spacious ballpark like Oakland Coliseum, with Fiers pitching to a 3.15 ERA and 1.11 WHIP there this season. Not to mention, Fiers enters this game as a -180 favorite.

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Steven Brault Under 4.5 Strikeouts

I’m not so sure that Brault will even last four innings in this game. The Brewers are projected for about six runs in Miller Park, which is horrible news for Brault and his 4.98 ERA and 1.49 WHIP with Milwaukee playing for their lives.

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Zach Greinke Over 5.5 Strikeouts

Greinke didn’t find his way into this article because I wanted to save him for this prop. We are talking about a pitcher with a 2.95 ERA and 1.00 WHIP facing an Angels offense who ranks dead-last in runs scored for the month of September. That’s really no surprise when you consider that they’re without Mike Trout, Justin Upton, Justin Bour and Tommy LaStella

MKF Record: 35-24

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

9/19 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks

Richard Masana 5 years ago

written by Richard Masana

The 9/19 MLB main slate has two top arms that we can use but there is a significant drop off after them. I would try to limit exposure to most of the fringe pitchers and go above the field ownership wise on Mike Clevinger. In cash games, there is no good reason not to roster him.

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9/19 MLB DFS Pitcher to Start One: Mike Clevinger – Cleveland Indians (Both Sites Cash and Tournaments)

$11,800 FD / $11,400 DK

Mike Clevinger is your no-brainer ace in all formats on the 9/19 MLB Main Slate. The bottom four in the Tigers order all strike out over 33% of the time against righties. As for Clevinger, he is striking out righties at a 42% clip and should face six.

9/19 MLB DFS Pitcher to Start Two: Jack Flaherty – St. Louis Cardinals (Both Sites Tournaments)

$10,900 FD / $11,000 DK

Perhaps no pitcher has shown the floor that Jack Flaherty has over the course of the second half of the season. However, he has a tough matchup against the Cubs, who have generally been rolling while fighting for a wild card spot. Therefore, I think Flaherty makes sense as a high end pivot off of a more popular Mike Clevinger in tournaments and not in cash.

9/19 MLB DFS Pitcher to Start Three: Anthony Kay – Toronto Blue Jays (DraftKings Cash and Both Sites Tournaments)

$6,300 FD / $7,400 DK

It has been a tale of two starts so far for Anthony Kay. His first start was an eight strikeout masterpiece against Tampa Bay. In Kay’s second start he had an extremely difficult matchup with the Yankees only lasting four and a third innings. The opportunity for the bounce back is there tonight versus an Orioles team that can rack up strikeouts.

9/19 MLB DFS Pitcher to Attack One: Gabriel Ynoa – Baltimore Orioles

At the top of the article, I told you that most of the pitchers on this slate are not good. Let’s start with Gabriel Ynoa. I’m not sure if “you know a” worse pitcher on this slate. Pitching in the unfriendly confines of Camden Yards, Ynoa will be facing a young Blue Jays team that is finding it’s groove right now. He rarely pitches deep into games and is followed by the awful Baltimore bullpen. This is a clear spot to attack, particularly given the Blue Jays affordability on both sites.

9/19 MLB DFS Pitcher to Attack Two: Mike Montgomery – Kansas City Royals

Another one of the trash cans on the 9/19 MLB Slate, Mike Montgomery has been decent at times. However, this is not an ideal spot for him facing a Twins team that absolutely crushes left handed pitching. There are at least six hitters in Minnesota’s projected lineup with at least a .300 ISO this season against lefties. This seems like a spot to stack them up.

9/19 MLB Monkey Knife Fight MLB Prop Picks

Mike Clevinger – Cleveland Indians – Over 8.5 Strikeouts – Facing the awful Tigers, as noted above Mike Clevinger should have a field day in the strikeout department. For reference, he has reached nine strikeouts in four of his last six games.

Mike Montgomery – Kansas City Royals – Under 3.5 Strikeouts – Mike Montgomery has failed to reach four strikeouts in four of his last six games. Facing a low strikeout team against lefties such as Minnesota, the odds are likely that aforementioned failure becomes five of his last seven.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

9/15 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks

Chris Davies 5 years ago

written by Chris Davies

For the 9/15 MLB main slate I will stick to three player pitcher pool listed below. Pitcher does not seem like a spot that I would recommend spreading out a ton of ownership on.

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9/15 MLB DFS Pitcher to Start One: Max Fried – Atlanta Braves (Both Sites Cash and Tournament)

$9,200 FD / $9,100 DK

I believe it was Gordon Gekko who once said told us, “Fried is good”. No, hold on a second, he was talking about greed. Nevertheless, Max Fried had a superb nine strikeout outing the last time that he faced the Nationals back on September 5th. As pitching is tough on the 9/15 MLB Main Slate, Fried makes for one of the better options as a young pitcher on the rise.

9/15 MLB DFS Pitcher to Start Two: Shane Bieber – Cleveland Indians (Both Sites Cash and Tournament)

$11,200 FD / $11,800 DK

Ordinarily, spending up to attack the Twins would not be something that I would consider. However, Justin’s brother Shane Bieber is the best pitcher on the slate by quite a lot, matchup notwithstanding. His 31.1% overall strikeout rate should help offset some of the Twins low k rates. Back on August 9th, he recorded 11 strikeouts in Minnesota and prior to that a solid nine on July 14th against the Twins at home.

9/15 MLB DFS Pitcher to Start Three: Asher Wojciechowski- Baltimore Orioles (DraftKings Cash and Tournament)

$6,700 FD / $5,500 DK

I would probably not play him on FanDuel but on DraftKings it makes sense to fire some Woj bombs. Asher Wojciechowski gets a positive ballpark shift and a strong matchup with the Detroit Tigers. Against righties, his strikeout rate rises to 26.7% and he should face at least six. This is hands down my favorite option as far as cheap starting pitching goes.

9/15 MLB DFS Pitcher to Attack One: Edwin Jackson – Detroit Tigers

$5,600 FD / $4,600 DK

Every time that we see Edwin Jackson it could be the last time. He has been getting shelled every start lately, particularly against righties to whom he allows a .357 ISO/45.7 HC rate against. Baltimore has plenty of righties with pop and Jackson’s non existent strikeout rate should ensure that he isn’t missing their bats. Jackson is the clown pitcher of the 9/15 MLB Slate.

9/15 MLB DFS Pitcher to Attack Two: Rick Porcello – Boston Red Sox

$6,500 FD /$6,100 DK

Rick Porcello has allowed multiple home runs in two straight starts and will be pitching in a day game in a good park for home runs. He has not been particularly good versus either side of the plate with near equal splits. Much as was the case with Edwin Jackson above, Porcello’s low strikeout rate should offset some of the Phillies high strikeout rates.

9/15 MLB Monkey Knife Fight MLB Prop Picks

Shane Bieber – Cleveland Indians – Over 7.5 Strikeouts – Shane Bieber put up eleven and nine strikeouts respectively in his last two outings against the Twins. I think that he is a strong bet for eight in his third encounter.

Asher Wojciechowski- Baltimore Orioles- Over 5.5 Strikeouts – If you’ve read this article before you know how much I think the Tigers suck. This sets up to be one of the Woj’s best starts of the year.

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5 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

9/13 DFS Pitching and Prop Picks: A Cole Lotta Kershaw

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

With the season winding down, we’re back at it with more pitching picks here. We nearly went 3-0 with our Monkey Knife Fight picks last week but just missed because Dinelson Lamet couldn’t keep his pitch count down. We have some absolute studs taking the mound today though and it should make for a fascinating schedule. Let’s get into our 9/13 DFS Pitching Picks!

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9/13 DFS Pitching Cash Game Pitchers

Gerrit Cole, HOU at KC

DK ($12,200) FD ($12,000)

Is there any question that Cole was going to be the cash game pitcher of the day? This dude has been absolutely absurd this season, pitching to a 2.73 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 2.51 xFIP and 39.4 percent K rate. Those are probably the best numbers around and he’s been even better recently. Over his last nine starts, Cole has a 1.75 ERA and 0.70 WHIP while striking out at least 14 batters in three-straight and 10 victims in five-straight.

Those are little league numbers and it’s truly horrifying for a bad Royals lineup like this. In fact, Kansas City currently ranks 28^th in runs scored, 25^th in OBP, 27^th in OPS and 24^th inwOBA. That’s why Cole and the Astros enter this matchup as a –400 favorite.

Clayton Kershaw, LAD at NYM

DK ($10,800) FD ($10,800)

Many people were very concerned about Kershaw’s reliability in the offseason but he’s proved all the doubters wrong. Not only has he reached at least six innings in 24 of his 25 starts this year, he’s currently pitching to a 3.06 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. That’s vintage Kershaw and his 11.7 K/9 rate over his last 12 starts indicates that he has everything clicking right now. To back up that reliability even more, CK actually has at least 30 FanDuel points in all but four starts this season.

That consistency is truly incredible and it’s the definition of what we want when discussing a cash game pitcher. Pitching in Citi Field against an average lineup like this is simply a bonus, with that ballpark surrendering the fewest runs in the Majors dating back to 2017. That’s why we’re looking at a meager total of 7 in this fixture.

9/13 DFS Pitching GPP Plays

Andrew Heaney, LAA vs. TB

DK ($9,900) FD ($8,400)

Heaney is a very volatile pitcher but his K-upside makes him a very intriguing option on this slate. We’re talking about a guy with a 29.2 percent K rate facing an offense who ranks 21^st in K rate. The biggest part about this is the fact that Heaney is absolutely rolling right now, pitching to a 3.38 ERA, 0.94 WHIP and 11.8 K/9 rate over his last four starts.

Heaney has been much more comfortable at home through his career too, pitching to a 3.67 ERA and 1.18 WHIP at Angels Stadium. All of that doesn’t even take into consideration that the Rays really struggle with lefties, sitting 20^th in OBP, 22^nd in SLG and 19^th in OPS against them this season.

Sandy Alcantara, MIA at SF

DK ($8,100) FD ($7,400)

Alcantara was the lone All-Star for the Marlins and he’s showing why with his recent form. After recording a shutout in his last start, Alcantara is now pitching to a 2.77 ERA and 0.92 WHIP over his last seven appearances. More importantly, Alcantara has gone at least seven innings in five of his last six starts while striking out at least seven batters in four-straight.

That means he’s feeling it right now and that becomes very attractive against a putrid offense like this. Not only do the Giants play in the worst ballpark in baseball, they currently rank 26^th in runs scored, 27^th in OBP and 28^th in both OPS andwOBA.

9/13 DFS Pitching Punt Plays

Tyler Beede, SF vs. MIA

DK ($6,300) FD ($5,700)

I am going to use pitchers from this series all weekend, as we have two of the worst offenses in the league hitting in the most pitcher-friendly park in baseball. That’s why I don’t imagine any team scoring more than five runs in any of these games and I want to use every pitcher possible.

That makes this Beedes price all the more surprising, facing a Marlins team who ranks bottom-two in runs scored, OBP, OPS and xwOBA. That’s a great sign for a pitcher who’s coming off one of the best starts of his career, throwing five scoreless innings against the Dodgers. That offense is obviously way better than this Marlins one and we’re going to look for Beede to carry over that momentum here.

Yusei Kikuchi, SEA vs. CWS

DK ($5,400) FD ($6,100)

This is the definition of a punt play. Kikuchi has been one of the most inconsistent pitchers in baseball this season, mixing flashes of brilliance with complete blowups. We feel like he can have one of his gems in a spot like this, facing a weak offense in a pitcher’s park. Let’s start with that matchup, as the White Sox currently rank 25^th in K rate, 27^th in runs scored, 23^rd in OBP and 24^th in wOBA.

The thing that makes Kikuchi such a great punt play is because he’s gone off on numerous occasions this season. That’s evident by the fact that he has at least 27 FanDuel points in 12 starts, which would be an incredible total from someone in this price range. His last four games have been much better too, with Kikuchi pitching to a 3.52 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in that span.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

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Gerrit Cole Over 8.5 Strikeouts

Cole has at least 14 Ks in three-straight starts and faces one of the worst offenses of the league here. I was shocked that this prop wasn’t a double-digit number.

MKF Record 34-24

Featured Image of Clayton Kershaw via Arturo Padavilla III

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

9/12 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks

Richard Masana 5 years ago

written by Richard Masana

The 9/12 MLB main slate does not have much high end pitching outside of Justin Verlander. No matter what else you decide to do, just make sure to play him in cash games.

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9/12 MLB DFS Pitcher to Start One: Justin Verlander – Houston Astros (Both Sites, Cash and Tournament)

$12,000 FD / $12,600 DK

The last time that I wrote up Justin Verlander on this site, it resulted in a no-hitter. While I would not set expectations that high, this is certainly an exploitable matchup. As he is normally whenever available, Verlander is the top arm on the 9/12 MLB slate. Jose Urquidy struck out 10 Athletics over five innings yesterday. Kate Upton’s beau has both the highest floor and ceiling on the slate.

9/12 MLB DFS Pitcher to Start Two: Julio Teheran – Atlanta Braves (DraftKings Cash and Both Sites Tournament)

$8,700 FD / $8,500 DK

Julio Teheran entered the 2019 season with a bad reputation as a pitcher on the decline. However, he has rebounded fairly thoroughly this year and has quality starts in his last three games and four of his last five. He will be facing a hit or miss Phillies squad on their last leg, attempting to stay in the wild card race. Teheran has averaged nearly a strikeout per inning and should be the primary mid range option on a weak pitching slate outside of the top dog.

9/12 MLB DFS Pitcher to Start Three: Kolby Allard- Texas Rangers (DraftKings Cash and Tournament)

$8,000 FD / $7,200 DK

Koby Allard is a better FanDuel pitcher as all the hits he allows do not come back to haunt him in that scoring format. However, this time around we have a bit of a discount on DraftKings to help compensate for that fact. This is certainly not the most inviting ballpark to pitch in but the Rays struggle against lefties. Nearly every projected starter has at least a 20% strikeout rate on the year against the side.

9/12 MLB DFS Pitcher to Attack One: Dylan Bundy – Baltimore Orioles

$7,300 FD / $5,100 DK

This pick is somewhat of a cop out. Dylan Bundy has exhibited some reverse splits this year but is an equal opportunity gas can. The Dodgers get an extra edge with the designated hitter and have too many good hitters for Bundy to handle. I expect them to be the most popular team on this slate. I couldn’t imagine playing Bundy for $7,300 on FanDuel, now that is crazy!

9/12 MLB DFS Pitcher to Attack Two: Drew Smyly – Philadelphia Phillies

$7,000 FD /$6,500 DK

Coming off arguably his two best starts of the season you can make an argument to both play Drew Smyly, as well as stack against him. However, I tend to lean towards the latter option. Smyly draws a tough assignment in the form of the Braves whose top seven projected hitters all have strong numbers versus lefties. The Braves will likely roll out a bunch of righties with Freddie Freeman the lone lefty. It seems like there is very little upside here and a lot of blowup risk.

9/12 MLB Monkey Knife Fight MLB Prop Picks

Justin Verlander – Houston Astros – Over 9.5 Strikeouts – This is solid bet considering that Justin Verlander has hit double digit strikeouts in eight of his last ten games. If Jose Urquidy can do it, there is no reason JV shouldn’t.

Drew Smyly – Philadelphia Phillies – Under 4.5 Strikeouts – Taking a wager in the opposite direction I like the under on Drew Smyly. He will be lucky if he lasts four innings let alone strikes out five Braves.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

9/8 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks

Jason Mezrahi 5 years ago

written by Jason Mezrahi

Contests for the 9/8 MLB main slate are filling up quickly and much smaller than usual. I suggest reserving entries first and building lineups afterwards.

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9/8 MLB DFS Pitcher One: Gerrit Cole – Houston Astros (Both Sites Cash and Tournament)

$12,000 FD / $12,200 DK

Gerrit Cole is my favorite pitcher on the 9/8 MLB Slate, price notwithstanding. Over his last four starts, he has produced 36.5, 30.8, 42, and 31.7 DraftKings points, respectively. The aforementioned outputs have been buoyed by double digit strikeouts in each of these games. The Mariners have a pathetic 2.44 projected run total. One would think that Seattle possibly throwing six lefties in the lineup would hurt. However, Cole has an elevated 42.4% strikeout rate against the side. Fire him up with confidence.

9/8 MLB DFS Pitcher Two: Jack Flaherty – St. Louis Cardinals (Both Sites Tournament)

$10,300 FD / $10,000 DK

Jack Flaherty has been nothing short of rock solid lately. His team has been winning and will look to Flaherty to lead them to yet another victory. My primary complaint here is that the Pirates do not strike out much. The lineup on the whole is decent so this is not an ideal upside spot. I don’t think you should turn to him cash. However, I trust the talent of Flaherty to put together yet another in a string of quality starts.

9/8 MLB DFS Pitcher Three: Mike Montgomery – Kansas City Royals (DraftKings Cash and Tournament)

$7,800 FD / $4,400 DK

It would be surprising if Mike Montgomery does not turn out to be the most popular value pitcher on the 9/8 MLB DraftKings slate. Montgomery has been decent as of late and faces the Marlins in Miami. On DraftKings, he costs as much as an average hitter. In cash games on that site you should just lock him in. He also makes for an interesting tournament play given what the salary relief allows you to do with bats.

9/8 MLB DFS Pitcher Four: Mike Minor – Texas Rangers (Both Sites Tournament)

$9,500 FD / $9,700 DK

It had seemed like Mike Minor was slowing down up until a seven inning shutout of the Yankees last time out. As a reverse splits pitcher, Baltimore’s lack of lefties should work to Minor’s advantage. If looking for a boom or bust pitcher on the 9/8 MLB slate, Minor could be your man.

9/8 MLB DFS Pitcher Five: Dylan Cease – Chicago White Sox (FanDuel Cash, Both Sites Tournament)

$5,700 FD /$7,400 DK

Much like Mike Montgomery’s DraftKings cost versus his Fanduel cost, Dylan Cease also has disparate pricing between the two sites. Cease has put up monster starts in two of his last three games including an 11 strikeout performance in Cleveland. Given his prospect pedigree and price, I think that he makes for an amazing FanDuel play in both formats.

9/8 MLB Monkey Knife Fight MLB Prop Picks

Gerrit Cole – Houston Astros – Over 9.5 Strikeouts – With the soft matchup Cole can likely make it four straight starts with double digit strikeouts.

Dylan Cease – Chicago White Sox- Over 5.5 Strikeouts – Given that Cease doubled this total last time out I would be willing to take this bet. The Angels have a low strikeout reputation but have been much worse over the second half of the season.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

9/6 DFS Pitching and Prop Picks: Kershaw is the Law

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

We’re getting down to the final few weeks of the regular season and we’re seeing something strange. The good teams are really taking control right now and it’s caused some very bizarre betting lines. There are more –300/-400 favorite than ever before and it’s making pitchers extremely chalky for DFS purposes. What makes it even more bizarre is the fact that cheap pitchers have been most successful in terms of DFS and that totally throws everything into a loop. That’s why most of the GPP/punt play recommendations in this article won’t be big name players because it’s key to pick a guy with low ownership. Let’s get into our 9/6 DFS Pitching plays!

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9/6 DFS Pitching Cash Game Pitcher

Clayton Kershaw, LAD vs. SF

DK ($11,900) FD ($11,700)

Is there any question that Kershaw is one of the best cash game plays? Not only is he arguably the most reliable pitcher around, he’s also got a superb matchup. Let’s begin with his consistency, with Kershaw throwing at least six innings in all 24 of his starts this season. He’s the only pitcher in the league to do that and it’s led to a 2.96 ERA and 1.01 WHIP. That’s vintage Kershaw, as he’s also got 90 Ks over his last 70 innings pitched.

All of those fantastic numbers make him tough to fade against an offense like the Giants, with San Fran ranked 26^th in runs scored, 27^th in OBP, 26^th in OPS and 28^th in wOBA. In his two starts against the Giants this season, Kershaw has gone at least seven innings in both outings while allowing just two combined runs. That’s why he and the Dodgers enter this matchup as a –250 favorite.

Charlie Morton/Brendan McKay, TB vs. TOR

DK ($10,600/$7,800) FD ($9,700/$7,100)

Morton is easily one of the best cash game pitchers on the board. We’re talking about a guy with a 3.06 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 30.2 percent K rate facing one of the worst offenses in baseball. That doesn’t even take into consideration that Tropicana Field ranks as one of the best pitcher’s parks around, with Morton amassing a 2.62 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 12.1 K/9 rate there this season.

Battling the Blue Jays is simply the icing on the cake, with Toronto ranked 21^st in K rate, 23^rd in runs scored, 28^th in OBP, 24^th in OPS and 27^th in wOBA. Vegas agrees, making Morton and the Rays a –350 favorite in this stellar matchup. There is some thought out there that Brendan McKay may move into this starting spot and he would definitely be in play with his absurd minor league statistics against a poor offense like this.

9/6 DFS Pitching GPP Pitchers

Robbie Ray, ARI at CIN

DK ($10,500) FD ($8,800)

Ray is literally the definition of a GPP play. Any pitcher with a 1.32 WHIP and 31 percent K rate is the anthesis of a GPP pitcher, because that’s volatility as its finest. The reason we can trust that K rate more than that WHIP today is because of this matchup, with the Reds ranked 22^nd in runs scored, 21^st in OPS, 22^nd in OBP and 27^th in xwOBA. In addition, Cincinnati actually ranks 27^th in runs scored against left-handers. Ray has shown some signs of consistency recently too, allowing four runs or fewer in 13-straight starts, scoring at least 24 FanDuel points in all but two of those outings.

Dinelson Lamet, SD vs. COL

DK ($10,300) FD ($8,400)

This has double-digit strikeouts written all over it. As a Rockies fan, I can tell you that this is one of the worst offenses in baseball right now. They’ve completely given up on the season and it’s evident by the fact that they rank 29^th in OBP and last in OPS on the road this season. They also happen to rank 27^th in K rate on the road and traditionally struggle in a pitcher-friendly stadium like Petco Park. That’s horrifying against a strikeout-king like Lamet, with the right-hander posting a 3.72 xFIP and 32 percent K rate this season.

9/6 DFS Pitching Punt Plays

Pablo Lopez, MIA vs. KC

DK ($6,300) FD ($6,700)

The 4.89 ERA from Lopez will surely scare some owners off but this dude has been better than that would indicate. His 4.22 xFIP and 1.16 WHIP are much more indicative of how good this guy can be, as he’s been rather unlucky this season. Getting to pitch at Marlins Park is the main reason we trust him here though, with the ballpark ranked as the most pitcher-friendly park in the Majors.

That’s why Lopez has a 2.66 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and 8.6 K/9 rate there so far this season. That’s bad news for a bad offense like this, with the Royals ranked 27^th in runs scored, 25^th in OBP, 28^th in OPS and 23^rd in xwOBA. In addition, it’s even scarier with KC having to play this game without a DH.

Homer Bailey, OAK vs. DET

DK ($8,500) FD ($8,200)

I was tempted to throw Bailey in the cash game play section but he’s simply too volatile to classify him as a cash game pitcher. That’s why he’s found himself in the punt plays but he’s honestly a better option than that would indicate. The reason we like him so much on this slate is because of this matchup, with the Tigers ranked last in runs scored, OBP, OPS, K rate and xwOBA.

That simply means they’re the worst offense in baseball and that’s going to make it really tough to hit in a spacious ballpark like Oakland Coliseum. Bailey has been much better since joining the A’s too, allowing three runs or fewer in six of his last seven starts while pitching to a 2.22 ERA and 0.98 WHIP over his last four fixtures. All of that has led to Bailey and Oakland entering this matchup as a –250 favorite.

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Day

Dinelson Lamet Over 6.5 Strikeouts

A guy with a 31 percent K rate facing one of the worst offenses in the league should have projection of about 8 Ks, not 6.5.

Brendan McKay Over 4.5 Strikeouts

If McKay gets the start, this is probably my favorite play on the board. McKay had a K rate north of 34 percent at the minors this season and faces a Toronto offense who struggles across the board.

Miles Mikolas Over 3.5 Strikeouts

I ate using a contact-pitcher against a low-K lineup but Mikolas could clear this prop in a bad game. Pittsburgh ranks 22nd in OPS since the All-Star break and Mikolas has reached this K-total in 19 of his last 23 starts.

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MKF Record: 32-23

5 years ago 0 comment

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