9/20 DFS Pitching and Prop Picks: deGrom is the Bomb, Kershaw is the Law

These pitching articles have been fun to write all season long and we’re finally getting down to the final two weeks. That’s really disappointing news but we really want to continue our stellar form and give you guys some solid plays for this last week of MLB DFS. One thing that I hate about this time of the year is that we have managers doing funky things, like limiting pitch counts and scratching starters. That means anything can change at any given time and we’ll do our best to provide pitchers who are actually pitching for a purpose. With that in mind, let’s get into our 9/20 DFS pitching picks.

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9/20 DFS Pitching Cash Game Plays

Jacob deGrom, NYM at CIN

DK ($11,600) FD ($11,000)

deGrom is arguably the best arm in the league right now and he’s always worth considering as your cash game pitcher. His 2.61 ERA and 1.01 WHIP this season is incredible but it’s actually lower than his 1.70 ERA and 0.91 WHIP from last year. Those absurd statistics equate to a 2.12 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and 32 percent K rate in that two-year span. His form right now is on par with that 2018 season, with deGrom pitching to a 1.76 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and 11.5 K/9 rate over his last 13 starts.

That’s bad news for a Reds offense that ranks 22^nd in runs scored, 21^st in OPS, 22^nd in OBP and 27^th in xwOBA. This team has only gotten worse over the last two months too, trading away players like Yasiel Puig and Scooter Gennett while dealing with injuries from guys like Joey Votto, Nick Senzel, Jesse Winker and Derek Dietrich.

Clayton Kershaw, LAD vs, COL

DK ($10,800) FD ($10,400)

Kershaw has been in this article a lot this season and he’s truly the definition of a cash game pitcher. The reason for that is because of his consistency, with CK pitching at least six innings in 24 of his 26 starts this season. That’s reliability at its finest and it’s led to a 3.05 ERA and 1.05 WHIP.

His recent form only adds to his intrigue, with Kershaw providing 11.5 K/9 across his last 12 starts. Facing the Rockies is simply the icing on the cake, with Colorado ranked 23^rd in K rate, 28^th in runs scored, 29^th in OPS and 30^th in OBP on the road this season. That’s why Kershaw and the Dodgers enter this matchup as a –320 favorite.

9/20 DFS Pitching GPP Plays

Mike Foltynewicz, ATL vs. SF

DK ($9,400) FD ($7,700)

While Folty’s terrible start to the season obliterated his season averages, he’s been a much better pitcher over the last month or so. Over his last eight starts, Foltynewicz is accruing a 2.76 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 8.5 K/9 rate. That’s the guy that we saw in 2018, with Folty amassing a 2.85 ERA and 1.08 WHIP.

Those amazing statistics make him very attractive against an offense like this, with the Giants sitting 28^th in runs scored, 27^th in OBP and 28^th in both OPS and wOBA. These are two teams headed in opposite directions and that’s evident by the fact that Foltynewicz enters this matchup as a –250 favorite.

Anibal Sanchez, WSH at MIA

DK ($8,100) FD ($8,300)

Using pitchers against Miami is always a good idea. The reason for that is because this club ranks either 29^th or last in runs scored, OBP, OPS, wOBA, SLG and xwOBA. That’s a recipe for disaster, especially in one of the most pitcher-friendly parks in baseball. We certainly want a veteran like Sanchez opposing them too, with the right-hander tallying a 3.38 ERA and 1.19 WHIP since the start of last season. He’s absolutely rolling right now, throwing at least seven innings in both his last two starts while allowing just two combined runs and nine total baserunners. That’s why Vegas has Sanchez and the Nationals as a –200 favorite in this fixture.

9/20 DFS Pitching Punt Plays

Dylan Cease, CWS at DET

DK ($8,300) FD ($6,300)

This is totally risky but there’s reason to like Cease. Let’s start with his matchup, as he faces a Detroit team that ranks at the bottom in nearly every offensive statistic. In fact, the Motor City Kitties rank last in runs scored, OBP, OPS, K rate and xwOBA. That puts any pitcher in play against them, particularly a talented, young arm like Cease.

While he’s currently got an ugly 6.18 ERA, this dude was nails at the minors. In fact, he had a 3.02 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 11.3 K/9 rate for his minor league career. A 4.63 xFIP at the Majors also indicates that he has some positive regression headed his way and a matchup with the Tigers might be just what the doctor ordered. In his two starts against Detroit this season, Cease has actually scored at least 30 FanDuel points in each outing.

Mike Fiers, OAK vs. TEX

DK ($5,700) FD ($6,800)

It’s risky to trust a guy who’s struggling so badly but we can overlook some tough matchups. Despite allowing 16 runs over his last three starts, Fiers is actually in a great spot to succeed. He’s actually pitched to a 2.44 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in his previous 21 starts and its way easier to trust a 21-game sample size over a small three-gamer.

What really makes him enticing here is this matchup though, with the Rangers sitting 29th in K rate, 21st in OBP and 19th in wOBA. That’s scary in a spacious ballpark like Oakland Coliseum, with Fiers pitching to a 3.15 ERA and 1.11 WHIP there this season. Not to mention, Fiers enters this game as a -180 favorite.

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Steven Brault Under 4.5 Strikeouts

I’m not so sure that Brault will even last four innings in this game. The Brewers are projected for about six runs in Miller Park, which is horrible news for Brault and his 4.98 ERA and 1.49 WHIP with Milwaukee playing for their lives.

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Zach Greinke Over 5.5 Strikeouts

Greinke didn’t find his way into this article because I wanted to save him for this prop. We are talking about a pitcher with a 2.95 ERA and 1.00 WHIP facing an Angels offense who ranks dead-last in runs scored for the month of September. That’s really no surprise when you consider that they’re without Mike Trout, Justin Upton, Justin Bour and Tommy LaStella