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Monkey Knife Fight

The 9/5 MLB main slate has some really awful pitching on it. This is not a slate that I would suggest playing heavily. That said, hopefully we can pick out a few options that aren’t too rough on the stomach.

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9/5 MLB DFS Pitcher 1: Stephen Strasburg – Washington Nationals (Both Sites Cash and Tournament)

$11,200 FD / $11,100 DK

Stephen Strasburg is the top arm on the 9/5 MLB DFS main slate in all formats. The Braves are not an ideal matchup by any stretch of the imagination. There are only three hitters in Atlanta’s projected lineup striking out over 20% on the season against righties. Strasburg has very equal splits with an even .170 ISO against both sides, a 31.1% strikeout against righties and a 28.1% strikeout rate against southpaws. This should prove beneficial versus an Atlanta team that can confound other righties by starting six lefties. Because he is the most talented pitcher on the slate and most likely to drop a big game, I am listing Strasburg up top. Jose Quintana is nothing special and Wade Miley hasn’t even reached six innings in five prior starts (including starts against Detroit, Baltimore, and the White Sox).

9/5 MLB Pitcher 2: Jose Quintana – Chicago Cubs (FanDuel Cash and Both Sites Tournament)

$9,000 FD / $10,500 DK

This is more of a FanDuel play for me as on DraftKings I think you just find the $600 for Strasburg or pay down. Earlier this season I never expected to be sitting here writing up expensive Jose Quintana, but here we are. His mention is solely the by-product of a bad pitching slate. Aside from one outlier game versus the Phillies, Quintana has not exceeded seven strikeouts in the last three months. Regardless, the Brewers haven’t exactly been death on lefties lately. This largely because Milwaukee’s traditional key righty bats such as Lorenzo Cain, Ryan Braun, and Hernan Perez have not been striking fear into any pitcher’s hearts. If I had to sum him up, I’d say Quintana in this spot is decent but nothing spectacular.

9/5 MLB Pitcher 3: Kolby Allard – Texas Rangers (DraftKings Cash and Both Sites Tournament)

$7,700 FD / $7,700 DK

Kolby Allard has been significantly outperforming his cost, as all but one of his five major league starts have been respectable. His pitch count has routinely reached around 100 pitches and he draws a free swinging Baltimore team with nothing to play for. In the minors, Allard possessed normal splits and gets a righty heavy Orioles lineup which works against him. But yeah, it’s still the downtrodden Orioles so on this slate I wouldn’t try to get too fancy. He is my favorite paydown pitcher on the 9/5 MLB Slate.

9/5 MLB Pitcher 4: Austin Pruitt – Tampa Bay Rays (Tournament)

$6,300 FD / $6,900 DK

Austin Pruitt brings a lot of uncertainty to the table. Because of the inconsistency of his pitch counts, it is hard to consider him for cash when he is not $4,000 on DraftKings. Furthermore, his numbers against righties are very weak. Pruitt needs other pitchers to fail and for nearly everything to go right for him to really make you pay for fading him. Nonetheless, with as weak as this slate is he gets a top five rank!

9/5 MLB Pitcher 5: John Means – Baltimore Orioles (DraftKings Cash and Both Sites Tournament)

$7,400 FD /$6,100 DK

Speaking of volatile, next up we have the chairman of the “Ways and Means” Committee himself, John Means. The possibility of outcomes here is tremendous but he has considerably more upside than many peers in his price range. At his DraftKings price, Means is definitely a fringe play for cash despite the up and down nature. I think he will be really popular in fact. I will likely be a bit underweight as the Texas Rangers projected lineup only has two lefties. Means’ strikeout rate drops nearly 10 points to a paltry 17% against righties.

9/5 MLB Pitcher 6: Dario Agrazal – Pittsburgh Pirates (DraftKings Large Field Tournament Only)

$5,300 DK/$5,600 FD

Don’t turn away, you know you love it. Now I don’t think “Super Dario” makes any sense on a one pitcher site like FanDuel. However, as the cheapest pitcher on the 9/5 MLB DraftKings slate, a very poor pitching slate, Dario Agrazal is worth consideration. The Marlins do get a nice park bump and some such as Garrett Cooper, Starlin Castro, Jorge Alfaro, et al., had good evenings last night. Regardless, it’s the Marlins, they’re still awful and a team you want to attack. If Agrazal can get you 11-15 DraftKings points and access to some contrarian bats and builds, in my opinion it is worth a stab or two.

9/5 MLB Monkey Knife Fight MLB Prop Picks

9/5 MLB

Kolby Allard – Texas Rangers – Over 5.5 Strikeouts – Between his tendency to throw strikes, decent leash, and matchup, I think Allard can rack up six strikeouts. I wouldn’t bet the house on it but it seems fair enough.

9/5 MLB Prop Picks

Wade Miley – Houston Astros- Under 5.5 Strikeouts – As he has not reached six innings in his last five starts as mentioned, this will be tough for Miley. Not surprisingly, he only reached six once in that span when he put up eight strikeouts versus the Tigers.

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To say this is an ugly slate for pitchers would be an understatement. I can’t remember having so many pitchers that I don’t trust in one particular article, so treading the waters lightly here is going to be key. With that said, there were five guys that I found suitable for recommendation, so with that in mind, let’s get into our 8/30 DFS Pitching options.  

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8/30 DFS Pitching Cash Game Pitcher of the Day 

Madison Bumgarner, SF vs. SD 

DK ($10,200)   FD ($9,200) 

Finding a cash game pitcher was tough with the matchups but Bumgarner probably has the highest floor of any pitcher on this slate. That’s evident by the fact that Bum has at least 24 FanDuel points in 19 of his last 22 starts. Two of those were at Coors Field and versus the Dodgers, so it’s clear that he’s in top form right now. The reason we like him today is because he gets to face a weak offense at home.  

Let’s begin with Mad Bum’s splits, with the left-hander generating a 2.95 ERA, 0.93 WHIP and 8.9 K/9 rate at Oracle Park this season. That’s no surprise when you consider that San Fran has the best pitching environment in the Majors and that spells disaster for an offense like the Padres. In fact, San Diego currently ranks 27th in K rate, 26th in runs scored, 28th in xwOBA and 23rd in both OBP and OPS.  

8/30 DFS Pitching GPP Plays 

Anibal Sanchez, WSH vs. MIA 

DK ($8,800)   FD ($7,700) 

Alright, let’s get into these questionable starters. Sanchez is just that but he’s shown some signs of a resurgence the last two seasons. In that two-year span, Sanchez is pitching to a 3.31 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. That’s really all you can ask for from a pitcher who’s coming off of the best start of his season, allowing just one hit across 8.1 innings against the Chicago Cubs. That Cubbies matchup is a lot tougher than this one, with the Marlins ranked bottom-two in runs scored, OBP, OPS and xwOBA. That was crystal clear in Sanchez’s last start against Miami on July 4, with the right-hander pitching six one-run innings. Vegas couldn’t agree more with our assessment, making the Nationals a –270 favorite in this tasty matchup.  

Dinelson Lamet, SD at SF 

DK ($10.700)   FD ($8,200) 

Lamet is probably my favorite play on the board, as he truly has some of the best upside on this slate. The reason for that is because of his stellar strikeout stuff, with Lamet posting a 30.2 percent K rate this season and a 29 percent K rate for his career. Those are simply some of the best averages around and it’s backed up by a 3.80 xFIP.  

While he is a bit volatile, it’s hard to overlook the fact that he’s never allowed more than four runs in all nine starts this season, striking out at least five batters in each one too. That’s truly scary for an offense like this, with the Giants ranked 24th in runs scored, 27th in OBP and 26th in both wOBA and OPS. That’s why we’re looking at a measly total of 7.5 in this pitcher-friendly park, as both of these guys should be great bets to throw a quality start with potential for double-digit Ks.  

8/30 DFS Pitching Punt Plays 

Kyle Gibson, MIN at DET 

DK ($9,500)   FD ($8,400) 

Nobody is going to use Gibson at this price and that’s why I consider him a punt play. I don’t think I’ve used Gibson once all season long but anyone is worth considering against the Tigers. The reason for that is because the Motor City Kitties currently rank last in runs scored, OBP, K rate and xwOBA. That’s why anyone is worth playing against them, particularly an average arm like Gibson.

The Twins right-hander has been better than we’re giving him credit for, scoring at least 23 FanDuel points in 16 of his last 23 starts. The duds came against teams like the Red Sox, Rays, Yankees, Indians and Brewers, as he’s plenty capable of controlling an offense like this. In his two starts against Detroit this season, Gibson has eight Ks in each, averaging 29 FanDuel points per game. Not to mention, he and the Twins enter this matchup as a –300 favorite.  

Max Fried, ATL vs. CWS  

DK ($7,500)   FD ($8,800) 

Let’s cap things off with another great matchup. Any time an A.L. team travels to face an N.L. team, you have to consider picking a pitcher against them, especially one as bad as the White Sox. Chicago currently ranks 28th in runs scored, 25th in OPB, 27th in OPS, 26th in K rate and 25th in both wOBA and xwOBA. That’s really frightening with them losing a DH here and that should really benefit a guy like Fried.  

The Braves southpaw currently has a 14-4 record to match his 4.03 ERA. 3.46 xFIP and 24 percent K rate. That’s really all you can ask for from a player in this price range with such a good matchup. The lefty has been feeling it recently too, scoring at least 21 FanDuel points in 10-straight starts while averaging 35.1 fantasy points per game in that span. The odds completely agree, making Fried a –200 favorite in this fantastic matchup.  

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day 

Lamet/Bumgarner Each Over 5.5 Strikeouts 

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Since we love both of these guys, we have to like these props. I anticipate both of these guys pitching at least six innings in this spacious ballpark and that would have them on pace for 15 Ks between them if they maintain their K rates. That shouldn’t be an issue against bad offenses like this and I wouldn’t be afraid to get some money on the under too.  

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Whenever we have games spread all throughout the day, I try my best to cater to every DFS player out there. What’s interesting here is that we only have three games during the day, so I’ll only offer up two plays from that slate. That should help DFS players who want to play both schedules and that’s our goal here at Win Daily Sports! So, let’s get into our 8/28 DFS Hitting picks!

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8/28 DFS Hitting Catcher  

Robinson Chirinos, HOU vs. TB 

DK ($3,400)   FD ($2,900) 

Trying to pick a catcher is always the toughest part of this article but Chirinos is a nice value on this slate. The reason for that is because of his matchup, with the Astros facing Ryan Yarbrough. While the Tampa lefty has been brilliant this season, his 3.89 xFIP indicates that he has some negative regression headed his way. That’s huge for a guy like Chirinos, with the Astros backstop generating a .447 OBP and .982 OPS against southpaws so far this season.  

8/28 DFS Hitting First Baseman 

Matt Olson, OAK at KC 

DK ($4,700)   FD ($3,500) 

A power hitter like Olson becomes a great pick against a homer-prone pitcher like Jakob Junis. A 4.89 ERA and 1.40 WHIP from Junis is bad enough but his 58 dingers allowed since 2018 is one of the worst marks in baseball too. That’s got to light up Olson’s eyes, with the left-handed slugger posting a .511 SLG and .260 ISO since 2017. He’s been even better against right-handers in that span, tallying a .351 OBP, .543 SLG and .894 OPS against them. Olson is feeling it right now too, amassing a .382 OBP over his last 17 fixtures.  

8/28 DFS Hitting Second Baseman 

Gleyber Torres, NYY at SEA 

DK ($4,600)   FD ($4,400) 

Let’s kick off our day-slate recommendations with the hottest second baseman in the league. This dude has been absolutely ridiculous the last few weeks and it’s scary just how good this 22-year-old kid could be. Over his last 22 games, Torres has 13 homers en route to a .786 SLG and 1.126 OPS, with 10 of those dingers coming in his last 15 fixtures. Those fantastic numbers since the All-Star break have led to a breakout season with 33 dingers in total. Torres has a career .531 SLG and .869 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor too and we definitely have to consider him against a guy like Justus Sheffield.  

8/28 DFS Hitting Third Baseman 

Miguel Sano, MIN at CWS 

DK ($5,500)   FD ($3,900) 

Sano is a favorite of mine and I’m just thrilled to see him hitting so well. A .579 SLG, .923 OPS, .378 wOBA and .332 ISO is obviously all career-highs, as it really shows just how powerful this dude is. His .250 career ISO is still a rather impressive mark and it’s clear that things are finally clicking for the big man. The reason we like him today is because he gets the platoon advantage against a terrible lefty. The Twins face Ross Detwiler, who’s got an unsightly 6.29 ERA and 1.72 WHIP dating back to 2015. That’s why Minnesota is projected for more than six runs, with Sano accumulating a .394 wOBA, .341 ISO, .612 SLG and .966 OPS against left-handers this season.   

8/28 DFS Hitting Shortstop 

Trevor Story, COL vs. BOS 

DK ($5,300)   FD ($4,300) 

While this isn’t a great matchup against Eduardo Rodriguez, Story is always in play at home against a lefty. Let’s start with his Coors Field numbers, with Story totaling a .326 AVG, .399 OBP, .683 SLG and 1.082 OPS at home this season. That’s pretty close to his numbers against lefties, with the shortstop posting a .383 OBP, .637 SLG and 1.020 OPS since the beginning of 2017. That means he’s hard t fade anytime he faces a lefty at home and Rodriguez surely has to be scared of Coors Field with the Rockies projected for more than six runs.  

8/28 DFS Hitting Outfielders 

J.D. Martinez, BOS at COL 

DK ($5,600)   FD ($4,700) 

How can this possibly go wrong? Arguably the best pure hitter in baseball hitting in Coors Field is a recipe for success, particularly someone as hot as Martinez. Over his last 48 games, J.D. is putting together a 349 .AVG .420 OBP, .646 SLG and 1.066 OPS. Those are actually not that far off of his season-long numbers and he should do some serious damage in a place like Coors Field. What we like here is that he gets to face Peter Lambert, who’s pitching to a 6.40 ERA and 1.61 WHIP this season.   

Aaron Judge, NYY at SEA 

DK ($4,500)   FD ($4,300) 

We foreshadowed this a bit with our final sentence in the Torres write-up, as we love the Yankees on this slate. Any time they face a weak left-hander, all of the powerful righties are in play. Judge is just that, as he and the Bronx Bombers will oppose Sheffield and his 6.43 ERA and 2.29 WHIP. That’s truly frightening against a stud like Judge, who actually leads the league in exit velocity and hard-hit percentage. Those elite advanced statistics have been really shining recently, with Judge hitting four doubles and five homers over his last 14 games. Not to mention, he also has a .478 OBP, .667 SLG and 1.144 OPS against southpaws so far this season and is priced way too low on DK.  

Franmil Reyes, CLE at DET 

DK ($4,000)   FD ($3,200) 

After a couple of stud outfielders, let’s give you a value play. Reyes is just that and it’s truly hard to understand why his price remains so low. We’re talking about a slugger with a .513 SLG and .271 ISO being priced around a bunch of minor leaguers. What makes it even more bizarre is that Reyes has four dingers over his last three games while knocking out six homers in total over his last 13 fixtures. That means the power stroke is strong right now, which is not a good thing for Jordan Zimmermann and his 6.48 ERA and 1.46 WHIP.  

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day 

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Aaron Civale Over 5.5 Strikeouts

Adam Plutko just struck out nine Tigers on Tuesday and I expect Civale to have a similar performance. The rookie is pitching to a 1.82 ERA and 0.91 WHIP and gets to face a Detroit lineup who ranks last in runs scored, xwOBA and K rate.

MKF Record 30-22

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It’s Monday, which means it’s a travel day for numerous MLB teams. That’s why we have only eight games in total and seven in the night slate. We’re going to go ahead and eliminate the one day game between Colorado and Atlanta because there really won’t be much action on that game for DFS purposes. What’s interesting here is that we have five of the eight games being played in pitcher’s parks, so we’re going to try to avoid those if possible. So, let’s get into our 8/26 DFS Hitting picks for the night slate.  

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8/26 DFS Hitting Catcher 

Yasmani Grandal, MIL vs. STL 

DK ($4,600)   FD ($3,100) 

In such a limited slate, I was pleased that we were able to find such a good catcher at such a reasonable price. The simple fact is, Grandal is in the midst of a career year and he’s recording some of the best numbers among anyone at the catcher position. In fact, Grandal is generating a .381 OBP and .848 OPS this season, which are both Top-5 among catchers. Getting to hit from the left side is the main reason we like Grandal, with the Milwaukee battery mate posting a .483 SLG and .826 OPS against right-handers since 2017. That’s huge against Adam Wainwright and we’ll go over his struggles in our third base write-up.  

8/26 DFS Hitting First Basemen 

Paul Goldschmidt, STL at MIL 

DK ($4,500)   FD ($3,700) 

Goldy has had a disappointing season by his standards but we really like him here against a lefty in a hitter-friendly stadium like Miller Park. Let’s begin with that matchup, as he faces Gio Gonzalez, who’s pitching to a 4.17 FIP and 1.40 WHIP dating back to last season. More importantly, right-handed hitters have a .345 OBP and 1.50 WHIP against him in that same span. That’s huge for a guy like Goldy, who’s got a .426 OBP, .589 SLG and 1.014 OPS against southpaws for his career.  

8/26 DFS Hitting Second Basemen 

Gleyber Torres, NYY at SEA 

DK ($5,100)   FD ($4,200) 

Any time the Yankees get a matchup against a lefty, they’re always in play for a full-on stack. Sending out a bunch of potent righties is the main reason why and Torres would be the main part of that stack. What we really like is his recent form, with Torres collecting 12 homers over his last 20 games. That’s led to him providing 32 dingers and a .552 SLG for the year, which is simply incredible statistics. He’s killed lefties in his career too, tallying a .538 SLG and .880 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. Tommy Milone is certainly not a southpaw we need to fear either and we’ll go over that in the outfield write-up.  

8/26 DFS Hitting Third Basemen 

Mike Moustakas, MIL vs. STL 

DK ($5,000)   FD ($3,700) 

We foreshadowed Wainwright’s numbers in the Grandal recommendation, so let’s discuss why we like these Brewers. So far this season. Wainwright is allowing left-handed bats to accrue a .393 OBP, .377 wOBA, 1.86 WHIP and 5.86 FIP against him. Those are ghastly numbers and it really makes him someone we want to stack against in a place like Miller Park. Moustakas should play a major part in that damage, as he too is setting career-highs in AVG, OBP, SLG and OPS. The Moose is really letting it loose right now too, generating a .500 OBP and 1.000 SLG over his last six games en route to a 1.500 OPS.  

8/26 DFS Hitting Shortstop 

Paul DeJong, STL at MIL 

DK ($4,400)   FD ($3,400) 

Those aforementioned numbers from Gio Gonzalez put many of the Cardinals bats in play, with Goldy, Marcell Ozuna and DeJong being the cream of the crop. The slugging shortstop usually finds himself batting third for the RedBirds and it’s no surprise when you see his career .473 SLG and .794 OPS. That’s huge from a guy who has four dingers in his last 11 games and 10 homers across his last 34 fixtures. DeJong getting the platoon advantage is simply the icing on the cake, with the shortstop producing a .357 OBP against lefties so far this season.  

8/26 DFS Hitting Outfielders 

Aaron Judge, NYY at SEA 

DK ($4,600)   FD ($4,100) 

Let’s get into Tommy Milone, as he makes the Yankees one of the best stacks of the day. The Seattle southpaw is currently pitching to a 4.84 ERA, which looks even worse when you see his 7.02 ERA and 1.44 WHIP over his last seven starts. That definitely puts Judge in play, with the big man posting a .483 OBP and 1.120 OPS against lefties this season. Those brilliant numbers are coming in a down year, as Judge’s 96.5 MPH exit velocity and 58.4 percent hard-hit rate happen to be the best marks in MLB, which indicates even more positive regression is headed his way.  

A.J. Pollock, LAD at SD 

DK ($4,400)   FD ($3,400) 

Pollock has been dealing with injuries throughout his career but he’s always in play when he’s healthy. The reason we like him today is because he gets to face a lefty, with the Dodgers typically batting him leadoff in these circumstances. That’s really no surprise when you see that he has a .369 AVG, .425 OBP, .523 SLG and .948 OPS against lefties so far this season. That’s all you can ask for from a player who has a .383 OBP, .590 SLG and .973 OPS over his last 30 fixtures. Not to mention, he faces Eric Lauer and his 4.47 ERA and 1.40 WHIP.  

Corey Dickerson, PHI vs. PIT 

DK ($4,700)   FD ($3,500) 

Dickerson is always a favorite of mine against righties. The simple fact is, this dude is one of the best hitters in the game against right-handed pitching. That’s evident by his .364 wOBA, .534 SLG, .868 OPS and .243 ISO against righties for his career. Those numbers are even better this year, with Dickerson generating a .981 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. Dickerson happens to be raking right now too, hitting .340 over his last 27 games en route to a .649 SLG and 1.013 OPS. That’s the opposite of what Joe Musgrove is doing, with the Pirates righty pitching to a 7.03 ERA and 1.41 WHIP over his last eight starts. That’s even scarier in a hitter’s haven like Citizen’s Bank Ballpark.  

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day 

Adam Wainwright Under 5.5 Strikeouts

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Seeing as how we love the Brewers, this prop seems like a great pick. I don’t anticipate Wainwright getting past the fifth inning and that’s truly scary against this lefty-heavy lineup. Wainwright’s 20 percent K rate against lefties and his aforementioned struggles against southpaw bats only add to the value of this prop.

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It’s Friday and that means I’m covering pitching. This is my favorite article of the week and I can’t wait to get into it. With that said, let’s discuss our 8/23 DFS Pitching options.

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8/23 DFS Pitching Cash Game Options

Jose Berrios, MIN vs. DET 

DK ($10,000)   FD ($8,800) 

This is the best cash game pitcher of the day. The simple fact is, you have to love any pitcher against the Tigers, particularly a great one like Berrios. A 3.37 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 8.6 K/9 rate speak for itself and it’s amazing just how reliable this guy is. We’re talking about a pitcher who’s thrown at least 5.2 innings in 23 of his 25 starts this season and the Twins let him go as deep as he wants.  

It’s all about the matchup though, with Detroit establishing themselves as the worst offense in baseball. In fact, the Motor City Kitties currently rank bottom-two in runs scored, OBP, OPS, xwOBA and K rate. That’s why Berrios enters this matchup as a –210 favorite and why the Tigers are projected for fewer than four runs.  

Lance Lynn, TEX at CWS 

DK ($10,500)   FD ($9,700) 

It’s so crazy to call Lynn a cash game pitcher but something has legitimately changed with this guy. A 3.60 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 10.2 K/9 rate are truly incredible numbers in a place like Texas. That’s arguably the toughest ballpark to pitch in and it says a lot about just how much he’s improved. His last 19 starts are where he’s really turned things around, pitching to a 2.90 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 10.9 K/9 rate. He’s actually thrown at least six innings and struck out at least five batters in all but one of those starts. 

All of those brilliant numbers make Lynn a very enticing option in a matchup like this. The White Sox currently rank 28th in runs scored, 24th in OBP, 27th in OPS, 26th in K rate and 25th in xwOBA. They’re even worse against righties, filling out their lineup with guys like Jose Abreu, Eloy Jimenez, James McCann and Tim Anderson.  

Jack Flaherty, STL vs. COL 

DK ($9,400)   FD ($9,900) 

This one really pains me because the Rockies are my team but they’re just horrendous outside of Coors Field. In fact, Colorado ranks 23rd in K rate, 26th in runs scored, 29th in OPS and last in OBP outside of Coors. Those are nightmarish numbers against a guy like Flaherty, who’s been the best pitcher in the league the last month. Over his last seven starts, Flaherty is pitching to a 0.89 ERA, 0.77 WHIP and 10.9 K/9 rate. That has led to him scoring at least 32 FanDuel points in all seven of those starts, which is an unbelievably high floor from a player in this price range. That’s why Flaherty and the Cardinals enter this game as a -230 favorite.

8/23 DFS Pitching GPP Plays 

Vince Velasquez, PHI at MIA 

DK ($7,800)   FD ($7,700) 

Velasquez has been a regular in my articles over recent weeks and his numbers indicate that we’ve been getting it right with this talented pitcher. Since June 5, Velasquez is pitching to a 4.14 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 9.6 K/9 rate. That ERA may look like nothing special but that WHIP and K rate indicates that he’s one of the best pitchers in this rotation. Gabe Kapler really let him loose in his last start too, allowing VV to throw a season-high 108 pitches. Length has been one of the only issues with Velasquez over recent years and we’re looking at a stud if he throws over 100 pitches.  

The career numbers speak loudly as well, with VV posting a 4.20 career xFIP to match his 4.05 SIERA and 25.4 percent K rate. Those great numbers make him particularly intriguing against an offense like the Marlins, with Miami ranked either 29th or dead-last in runs scored, OBP, OPS and xwOBA. That’s no surprise when you see that Velasquez has a 3.52 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and 8.9 K/9 rate against them this season. Not to mention, Marlins Park is arguably the most pitcher-friendly ballpark in baseball, with Velasquez entering this matchup as a -180 favorite.

Zach Plesac, CLE vs. KC 

DK ($7,200)   FD ($8,000) 

Plesac has quietly had a nice year for the Indians and it’s no wonder that they plan on keeping him in the rotation even with Carlos Carrasco returning. So far this season, Plesac is pitching to a 3.53 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. That’s really all you can ask for from someone this cheap and it looks even better when you consider that he’s faced the Yankees twice, the Red Sox twice, the Rangers twice and the Astros in his 15 starts.  

We’re talking about a guy who was a stud in the minors too, posting a 1.89 ERA and 0.86 WHIP for his Double-A and Triple-A career. All of these numbers make him tough to fade against the Royals, with Kansas City ranked 27th in runs scored, 28th in OPS, 23rd in xwOBA and 27th in wOBA. That’s why they have an implied run total south of four and why the Indians enter this matchup as a –180 favorite.  

Trent Thornton, TOR at SEA 

DK ($6,200)   FD ($6,000) 

This is a total punt play. Thornton has frustrated me all season in terms of picking hitters against him and it’s time that I get on his end of the success train. A 5.30 ERA and 1.48 WHIP looks pretty ugly, but pitching in the AL East will do that to your numbers. He’s actually allowed five runs or more to the Rays (2), Red Sox (2), Twins and Yankees. Those happen to be the only games that he’s allowed more than four runs and those six ugly outings have sky-rocketed his numbers.  

If you look at his other 19 starts, Thornton is pitching to a 3.28 ERA and 1.17 WHIP en route to 29.8 FanDuel points per outing. That shows that he can perform against poor offenses and he gets just that here. In fact, the Mariners currently rank bottom-five in runs scored, OBP, OPS and K rate since the opening month of the season. Getting to face an offense like this in a pitcher’s park like Safeco Field makes Thornton one of the best punt plays on the board. Opposing Thornton is Justus Sheffield and he’s also in play with his elite minor league numbers, great matchup and dirt-cheap price.  

8/23 DFS Pitching Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Day 

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Here are our picks of the day:

Zach Plesac Over 4.5 Strikeouts

Trent Thornton Over 4.5 Strikeouts

Both of these plays speak for themselves when you read the previous write-ups and these props are simply too low.

MKF Record 28-21

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The first few recommendations in this article are going to be affordable guys but don’t let that fool you. We have the studs coming in hot at the end and there’s a great mix out there to build whatever sort of lineup you prefer. With that in mind, let’s get into our 8/21 DFS Hitting selections…

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8/21 DFS Hitting Catcher 

Yasmani Grandal, MIL at STL 

DK ($3,900)   FD ($3,100) 

Catcher is undoubtedly the weakest position in fantasy baseball but Grandal always softens the blow with his impressive power. While he’s been struggling recently, he’s still on pace to set career-highs in AVG, SLG and OPS. A .377 OBP and .848 OPS shows just how special this guy can be, as he’s actually been much better batting from the left side. Since last season, Grandal has an .361 OBP and .842 OPS against righties and gets a superb matchup against Adam Wainwright here. The St. Louis right-hander is currently allowing left-handed bats to post a .383 OBP, .502 SLG and .368 wOBA against him this season, which is horrifying against guys like Grandal, Eric Thames, Mike Moustakas and Christian Yelich.

8/21 DFS Hitting First Baseman 

Jesus Aguilar, TB vs. SEA 

DK ($3,600)   FD ($2,800) 

It’s unclear who will start at first base for the Rays but we like either Aguilar or Choi at their dirt-cheap price tags. We’ll go with Aguilar, since he’s the cheaper option. Since joining the Rays at the trade deadline, he’s been batting in the heart of this order and it’s easy to see why when looking at these numbers. Over his last 34 games, Aguilar is hitting .315 while providing a .379 OBP, .494 SLG and .864 OPS. That’s huge considering he gets the platoon advantage against Wade LeBlanc, who’s allowed 19 runs over his last four appearances.  

8/21 DFS Hitting Second Baseman 

Hanser Alberto, BAL vs. KC 

DK ($3,900)   FD ($2,900) 

Alberto is always a favorite of mine against left-handers and it’s crazy just how low his price is being kept at on these sites. He’s done nothing but rake when facing lefties and that’s why the Orioles bat him leadoff in these circumstances. That’s no surprise when you see his .407 AVG, .533 SLG and .954 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. Those are bonkers numbers and it’s even more enticing when you see Mike Montgomery’s 4.63 ERA and 1.54 WHIP. Alberto happens to be rolling right now too, hitting .354 over his last 18 games en route to a .970 OPS.  

8/21 DFS Hitting Third Baseman 

Alex Bregman, HOU vs. DET 

DK ($5,200)   FD ($4,500) 

This might be my favorite play on the board. I know that the Astros are my favorite stack and Bregman should be at the heart of that damage. The reason for that is because they face Daniel Norris, who’s pitching to a 4.82 ERA and 1.41 WHIP from the left side. That’s truly scary against all of these potent righties, particularly Bregman. Over his last 15 games, Bregman has a .422 AVG, .522 OBP, .857 SLG and 1.380 OPS. Those are literally video game numbers and it doesn’t even take into consideration that Bregman has a .661 SLG and 1.068 OPS against left-handers this year. Don’t fade the Astros and don’t fade Bregman! 

8/21 DFS Hitting Shortstop 

Corey Seager, LAD vs. TOR 

DK ($4,200)   FD ($3,400) 

Seager has quietly been turning things around since the All-Star break and it’s about time that he starts living up to expectations. Over his last 13 games, Seager has collected nine doubles and three homers en route to a .630 SLG and .953 OPS. That stellar form. paired with this matchup, makes him one of the best values on the board. Not only does Seager have a .521 SLG and .875 OPS against right-handers this season, he also gets to face Jacob Waguespack and his 5.06 xFIP and 1.31 WHIP.  

8/21 DFS Hitting Outfielders 

Juan Soto, WSH at PIT 

DK ($5,400)   FD ($4,100) 

Now that we got a bunch of the value bats out of the way, let’s get you some stud outfielders. Soto actually found himself into my article on Monday and we have to keep rolling with him the way he’s hitting. Over his last 19 games, Soto has collected 11 homers, 19 runs scored, 19 RBI and five steals en route to a .438 OVP, .824 SLG and 1.264 OPS. Those are absurd numbers and it’s truly amazing that this kid is only 20 years-old. We really like that he gets the platoon advantage against Joe Musgrove too, who’s got a 4.59 ERA and 1.22 WHIP, allowing 20 runs over his last five starts.  

J.D. Martinez, BOS vs. PHI 

DK ($5,100)   FD ($4,200) 

Much like Soto, J.D. is absolutely scorching right now. Over his last 43 games, Martinez is hitting .349 while generating a .416 OBP, .623 SLG and 1.039 OPS. That’s the dude that we’ve been waiting for all season long and he’s done a good amount of that damage against lefties. In fact, Martinez has a .477 OBP, .848 SLG and 1.325 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor this season. That’s got to be scary for Drew Smyly, who’s got an ugly 7.09 ERA and 1.66 WHIP. Don’t forget about Mookie Betts either, with Boston and Houston being the premier stacks of the day.  

Khris Davis, OAK vs. NYY 

DK ($3,200)   FD ($2,500) 

This is a total punt play but Davis has a lot of power potential to be priced this cheaply. He’s in such a bad slump that he’s being priced around guys who are in the minors, but we will take the risk here. While he’s earned every bit of that price tag, he’s still among the league leaders in home runs dating back to 2016. He also has an ISO north of .250 in that span and he can swat two dingers on any given night. This matchup is more inducive to do just that, as he gets the platoon advantage against J.A. Happ and his 5.40 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. So far this year, Davis has an OPS north of .800 against southpaws, which is nearly 200 points higher than his OPS against righties.  

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day 

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Mike Mongomery Over 4.5 Strikeouts

Montgomery has a 1.00 ERA and 1,06 WHIP over his last three starts while striking out 22 batters across 18 innings of action. That great form and elite K rate should fare well against an offense that ranks 26th in runs scored, 27th in OBP, 25th in OPS, 21st in K rate and 28th in wOBA.  

Mookie Betts/J.D. Martinez/Corey Dickers Over 14.5 Fantasy Points

All of these guys found themselves into my write-up and I fully expect all three to perform in such a superb matchup.

Jose Altuve/Goerge Springer/Alex Bregman Over 6.5 Total Bases

All of these righties get to face Daniel Norris with an implied run total north of six. Look for these three to fo the majority of the damage.

MKF Record 27-19

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I always look forward to writing these pitching articles and we have yet another fascinating slate here. While a lot of these pitchers are guys I haven’t used much this season, there are still some great options out there. With that in mind, let’s get into our 8/16 DFS Pitching Picks. 

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8/16 DFS Pitching Cash Game Plays 

Luis Castillo, CIN vs. STL 

DK ($10,800)   FD ($11,100) 

I really haven’t written up Castillo a whole lot this season and that’s probably a mistake on my part. We’re talking about a complete breakout, with the Reds righty pitching to a 2.69 ERA and 1.11 WHIP this season while striking out 172 batters. That equates to an incredible 29.5 percent K rate, which is no surprise when you look at his 3.57 career xFIP.  

That’s why his price has risen so much and it’s amazing just how consistent he’s been. Castillo has at least 30 FD points in 20 of his 24 starts this season. The icing on the cake is this matchup though, with the Cardinals establishing themselves as one of the worst offenses in the league. In fact, St. Louis sits 25th in runs scored, 24th in OPS, 22nd in OBP and 25th in wOBA. That’s why Castillo and the Reds enter this matchup as a –160 favorite.   

Charlie Morton, TB vs. DET 

DK ($11,600)   FD ($11,300) 

Morton is easily my favorite play on the board. This dude has been downright special the last two seasons and it’s a wonder why more people aren’t taking notice. Dating back to last season, Morton is providing a 3.02 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 30 percent K rate. That’s backed up by a 3.33 xFIP and it’s amazing just how much this guy has improved.  

Much like Castillo, Morton is extremely reliable too. In 25 starts this season, the Tampa Bay righty has reached at least 33 FanDuel points in 21 of those fixtures. That appears to be the floor in a matchup like this, with the Motor City Kitties ranked bottom-three in runs scored, OBP, OPS, xwOBA and K rate. That’s truly frightening in a pitcher’s park like Tropicana Field and it’s main reason why Morton and the Rays enter this matchup as a –320 favorite.  

Noah Syndergaard, NYM at KC 

DK ($10,100)   FD ($9,800) 

Syndergaard has been slightly disappointing for season-long fantasy owners but his recent form shows just how much talent this dude possesses. Over his last six starts, Syndergaard is pitching to a 1.91 ERA and 1.04 WHIP while striking out 44 batters across 42.1 innings of action. He also went at least seven innings in all six of those starts, which is unheard of in today’s MLB. That’s the guy that we’ve been expecting, as his 2.85 FIP and 26.3 percent career K rate for show the sort of potential he has. All of that pairs beautifully with this matchup, with the Royals ranked 26th in runs scored, 25th in OBP, 26th in OPS, 23rd in wOBA and 22nd in xwOBA. All of these factors have him entering this matchup as a –190 favorite.  

8/16 DFS Pitching GPP Plays 

Vince Velasquez, PHI vs. SD 

DK ($7,200)   FD ($7,200) 

Velasquez has been stellar the last month or so and it’s not indicative in his price. Over his last 49 innings pitched, Velasquez is generating a 4.04 ERA, 3.50 xFIP, 1.12 WHIP and 9.7 K/9 rate. That’s the stud we’ve been waiting for and it’s really encouraging to see him pitching so well. This guy has always shown that sort of capability, with Velasquez posting a 4.19 xFIP. 4.04 SIERA and 25.4 percent K rate for his career.  

What makes him an enticing option here is this matchup, with the Padres ranked 23rd in runs scored, 23rd in OBP, 22nd in OPS, 27th in K rate and 28th in xwOBA. What makes that even scarier is the fact that they’re missing Fernando Tatis Jr and are throwing out a bunch of righties against Velasquez. For his career, VV has a .320 wOBA and 27 percent K rate against right-handed batters.     

Kyle Hendricks, CHC at PIT 

DK ($8,200)   FD ($7,800) 

Hendricks is coming off one of his worst starts of the year but that has lowered his price enough to entice me. We’re still talking about a guy with a 3.48 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 114:27 K:BB rate facing one of the worst offenses in the league. Prior to that ugly start against a scorching-hot Reds offense, Hendricks pitched to a 2.35 ERA and 0.97 WHIP over his previous seven appearances. All of that makes him tough to fade against a Pirates offense that ranks 20th in runs scored, 20th in wOBA and 19th in xwOBA.  

Jake Odorizzi, MIN at TEX 

DK ($9,200)   FD ($8,800) 

This is very risky when you look at Texas’ team total but there’s a lot to like here about Odorizzi. Let’s start with the Twins pitcher, as he’s in the midst of a breakout year. A 3.44 ERA and 1.22 WHIP speaks for itself but his 25.3 percent K rate is also the best mark of his career. That impressive strikeout stuff becomes very attractive against an offense like this, with the Rangers owning the worst K rate in the Majors. In addition, the Rangers also rank 19th in OBP and they simply haven’t been the same offense since Joey Gallo went down.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day 

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Kyle Hendricks Over 4.5 Strikeouts

We had an ugly 0-2 outing in our last article, so its time to rebound with this pick. This happens to be pitching and I’m actually hitting over 70 percent with these strikeout props. While Pittsburgh is pretty good in terms of strikeouts, their weak offense should allow Hendricks to pitch into the sixth inning. As long as he does that, he will likley reach five Ks with his 21 percent K rate and good peripherals.

MKF Record 26-18

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We killed it on Monday with players like Bo Bichette, Rougned Odor and Matt Adams and we’re going to look to build off that momentum here. It is Wednesday, so that means we have baseball spread all throughout the day. I always try to offer up players from different slates to cater to each of you and I feel as though we have some great 8/14 DFS Hitting plays here! 

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8/14 DFS Hitting Catcher 

Carson Kelly, ARI at COL 

DK ($5,200)   FD ($3,400) 

If you’ve been following my articles, you already know who we’re riding at catcher. Kelly gets to face a lefty and that means he’s getting into our lineups. Let’s take another look at those ridiculous splits, with Kelly generating a .400 AVG, .494 OBP, .800 SLG and 1.294 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor this season. That doesn’t even take into consideration that his team’s total is approaching seven in a hitter’s haven like Coors Field. Not to mention, he faces Kyle Freeland and his 7.06 ERA and 1.61 WHIP.  

8/14 DFS Hitting First Basemen 

Pete Alonso, NYM at ATL 

DK ($5,500)   FD ($4,100) 

Alonso has seen his price drop a little bit because of a slide after the All-Star break but it’s really tough to fade The Polar Bear against a lefty. A .657 SLG and 1.017 OPS against left-handers speaks for itself and it’s really not far off of his season-long averages. In fact, Alonso has a .592 SLG and .955 OPS for the year. That’s truly frightening for a guy like Dallas Keuchel, who just allowed eight runs to the putrid Miami Marlins in his last start.  

8/14 DFS Hitting Second Basemen 

Hanser Alberto, BAL at NYY 

DK ($3,800)   FD ($2,700) 

Alberto is always a favorite of mine when he faces a left-hander and it’s really shocking just how low these DFS sites keep his price. It’s simply hard to argue with these splits, with Alberto providing a .414 AVG, .541 SLG and .970 OPS against southpaws this season. That means that these prices should be about $1,000 more and him batting leadoff only adds to his value. It’s not like J.A. Happ is a pitcher we need to worry about either, with the Yankees lefty pitching to a 5.48 ERA and 1.35 WHIP this season.  

8/14 DFS Hitting Third Basemen 

Vladimir Guerrero Jr, TOR vs. TEX 

DK ($4,000)   FD ($3,500) 

All of these youngsters are really starting to blossom in Toronto and it’s no doubt that Guerrero is the centerpiece to this club. Many people projected him as the best prospect since Bryce Harper and he’s really showing signs of that player recently. In fact, Guerrero is hitting .388 over his last 22 games en route to a .682 SLG and 1.129 OPS. That’s awesome with Cavan Biggio and Bo Bichette also playing well and this is a completely different lineup right now with all of these young studs performing. Getting the platoon advantage for Guerrero is the bonus, as he’ll oppose Kolby Allard, who’s only made one Major League appearance.  

8/14 DFS Hitting Shortstop 

Carlos Correa, HOU at CWS 

DK ($5,200)   FD ($4,400) 

We definitely want to get some Astros in there against Ross Detwiler. The simple fact is, Detwiler has been pitching in the minors for the majority of the last three seasons and its easy to see why. In 147 innings in the Majors since 2015, Detwiler is pitching to a 6.32 ERA and 1.75 WHIP. Those are disastrous numbers against a righty-heavy lineup like this and Correa should help do some serious damage in the heart of their order. Not only does Correa have a .418 OBP and 1.011 OPS against left-handers this season, he’s also got a 1.138 OPS over his last 13 games in total.

8/14 DFS Hitting Outfielders 

Ronald Acuna, ATL vs. NYM 

DK ($5,700)   FD ($4,500) 

This guy is going nuts right now. I truly believe that this is the most talented player in our game and he’s showing why with his recent form. Over his last 10 games, Acuna has eight homers, 14 runs scored, 15 RBI and three steals en route to a .378 AVG, .933 SLG and 1.382 OPS. Those are obviously ridiculous numbers but his 33 homers and 28 steals for the year shows that it’s no fluke. That form paired with this matchup is a beautiful thing, with Acuna getting the platoon advantage against Steven Matz, who’s pitching to a 4.49 ERA and 1.40 WHIP.  

Franmil Reyes, CLE vs. BOS 

DK ($3,700)   FD ($2,800) 

Reyes has been terrible since joining the Indians but he’s got too much potential to be priced this cheap. The 29 home runs speak loudly, as a .507 SLG and .264 ISO shows the sort of power potential this big masher has. That alone makes him a nice value at this price and Cleveland batting him cleanup shows that they have trust in him. It’s not like this is a scary matchup either, with Reyes getting the platoon advantage against Brian Johnson’s 7.23 ERA and 2.03 WHIP.  

Eloy Jimenez, CWS vs. HOU 

DK ($3,400)   FD ($3,000) 

Eloy is a regular in my articles and I truly believe that he’s going to be a special player for years to come. The 18 homers in 81 games tell you everything you need to know about this kid, as he simply has elite power. What makes him intriguing on this slate is that he gets to face a lefty, with Jimenez generating a 1.215 OPS against lefties last year at Triple-A. Wade Miley is not a southpaw we should fear either, as his 4.43 xFIP is way off of his 2.99 ERA.  

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day 

Acuna/Donaldson/Alonso Over 7.5 Total Bases

All of these guys are in this article, so this was a relatuvely easy pick.

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Vogelbach, Smith and Santana Over 6.5 Total Bases

We have to get Mariners in there against Edwin Jackson. A 9.35 ERA and 1.96 WHIP is simply unacceptable and we definitely believe these guys could reach 10 bases between them.

MKF Record 26-16

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A full Tuesday 8/13 DFS hitting slate with a bunch of weather issues, including games in NYY, PHI and oh boy….WSH.

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8/13 DFS Hitting Catcher 

Gary Sanchez, NYY vs. BAL 

DK ($4,300)   FD ($4,000) 

A lefty (John Means) against Sanchez…..sign me up! The slugging catcher is posting a .360 wOBA, .291 ISO and .860 OPS against left-handers for his career.  

8/13 DFS Hitting First Baseman 

Paul Goldschmidt, STL vs. KC

DK ($4,400)   FD ($4,100) 

Goldschmidt just might be the streakiest hitter in the Majors. And we catch him on a tear with hits in three consecutive games, including multiple hits in two of them, with a homer and four each of RBI and runs. Glenn Sparkman, the opposing starting pitcher, has proved to be a below-average MLB pitcher.

8/13 DFS Hitting Second Baseman 

Rougned Odor, TEX at TOR 

DK ($4,100)   FD ($3,300) 

Odor had eight homers and 15 RBI over his previous 15 games. That home run potential is what we are chasing here and he came through for us last night. Do not be scared of the left on left matchup, as the Blue Jays starter Thomas Pannone, will likely have a short outing.

8/13 DFS Hitting Third Baseman 

Gio Urshela, NYY vs BAL

DK ($5,000)   FD ($4,400) 

Yankees. Get as many Yankees as you can tonight. Though Gio disappointed a bit out of the 3-hole last night, you have to love Aaron Boone’s confidence in him to bat him there. And maybe disappointed is too strong of a word, as he recorded three hits and scored twice.

8/13 DFS Hitting Shortstop 

Gleyber Torres, NYY vs. BAL

DK ($4,400)   FD ($3,600) 

I am unashamedly stealing from John Sterling here. You know when I as a Red Sox fan do that, then I must really like the Yankees tonight. Anyway, as the calendar approaches, Gleyber Day and the first weekend of September, you can count on Torres. Sort of like how you can count on a good Gleyber to be there for you. I am sorry, I apologize. I really do. USE THE YANKEE BATS TONIGHT!

8/13 DFS Hitting Outfielders 

Aaron Judge, NYY vs. BAL 

DK ($4,400)   FD ($4,000) 

The price is just too low going up against a struggling lefty.

Nomar Mazara

DK ($4,200)   FD ($3,500) 

Another lefty on lefty matchup to not be scared of tonight in Toronto. This guy is starting to hit the ball hard and the Jays will have to use their bullpen a bunch tonight.

Charlie Blackmon

DK ($5,600)   FD ($4,600) 

This is my spend-up outfielder for tonight. He disappointed last night with only five DK fantasy points, what are the chances he does that again tonight?

Stacks to use Tonight

  1. Yankees: They get the Orioles. you know what to do.
  2. Rockies/Diamondbacks: This game is at Coors. The weather is warm. The ball will carry great. I like the Yankees stack better simply because the two starting pitchers in this game (Gallen and Gray) are both pretty good (though this is Gallen’s 1st Coors experience).
  3. Rangers: This choice will make you different than the crowd. We have seen that the Blue Jays starting pitcher, Thomas Pannone, is a lefty that can be hit hard.
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This article is full of players that I haven’t written up at all this season and that actually makes me feel good. I think we found some gems here at some affordable prices and we’re really hitting our stride over these last two months. We also have another free Monkey Knife Fight play for you and that’s a great sign considering I’ve hit eight of my last 10 plays! Let’s get into our 8/9 DFS Pitching Plays! 

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8/9 DFS Pitching Cash Game Pitchers 

Walker Buehler, LAD vs. ARI 

DK ($11,500)   FD ($11,400) 

Buehler is sneakily putting his hat in the ring for N.L. Cy Young and it’s a wonder why more people aren’t talking about this kid. If you take out one flaky start at Coors Field, Buehler is pitching to a 1.80 ERA and 0.78 WHIP while striking out 90 batters in 65.2 innings over his last 10 starts. Those are bonkers statistics and it’s even scarier when he’s at home. Since the beginning of last season, Buehler has a 2.30 ERA, 0.80 WHIP and 10.8 K/9 rate at Dodger Stadium. Facing Arizona is simply a bonus, with Buehler allowing just four runs and 11 baserunners across 15 innings in his last two starts against the D’Backs while striking out 20 batters. That’s no surprise with Arizona ranked 16th in xwOBA and 18th in xSLG. Not to mention, Buehler enters this game as a –200 favorite with the Diamondbacks projected for fewer than four runs.  

Julio Teheran, ATL at MIA 

DK ($8,800)   FD ($9,000) 

It’s strange to recommend Teheran as a cash game pitcher but I’ve been riding him all season when he faces the Marlins. In three starts against Miami this season, Teheran is pitching to a 0.00 ERA and 0.70 WHIP while striking out 15 batters in 18 innings of action. Yes, that’s three shutouts and it’s really no surprise when you consider this matchup. The Marlins currently rank bottom-three in runs scored, OBP, OPS, wOBAxwOBA, SLG and xSLG. That’s particularly scary considering this is arguably the best pitcher’s park in baseball.  

8/9 DFS Pitching GPP Plays 

Yu Darvish, CHC at CIN 

DK ($9,200)   FD ($9,400) 

I don’t want to toot my own horn but I posted this in our Slack channel on June 26.  —>Since then, Darvish has at least 42 FanDuel points in four of his last six starts while providing a 2.78 ERA and 0.84 WHIP in that span. More importantly, he has 68 Ks across his last 53.2 innings pitched, which is simply one of the best K rates in the Majors. That’s the guy that I’ve been waiting for all season long and we have to love this improved play in a matchup like this. Not only did the Reds get rid of Yasiel Puig and Scooter Gennett at the trade deadline, they also may be without Derek Dietrich (IL) for this game. That’s truly frightening when you consider that this lineup already ranks 22nd in runs scored, 23rd in OPS, 29th in xSLG and 26th in xwOBA.  

Caleb Smith, MIA vs. ATL 

DK ($10,000)   FD ($9,500) 

Smith is actually a decent cash game play too, as he simply has some of the best stuff in the league. A 3,35 ERA and 1.05 WHIP speaks loudly but a 30.2 percent K rate is downright incredible. In addition, Smith has at least 6 Ks in 15 of his 18 starts this season, which is why he scored at least 30 FanDuel points in all 15 of those games. Getting to pitch in a spacious ballpark like Marlins Park should only help, with Smith generating a 2.66 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 11.4 K/9 rate at home this season. That totally limits the risk from this tough matchup and the implied run total of 4.1 for the Braves tells you that Vegas agrees with this assessment.   

8/9 DFS Pitching Punt Plays 

Brad Keller, KC at DET 

DK ($8,000)   FD ($8,800) 

I only call this a punt play because I anticipate Keller being one of the lowest owned pitchers on this slate. These numbers truly surprised me and Keller has established himself as the Royals best pitcher. A 3.95 ERA and 1.33 WHIP may look like nothing special but he’s really turned things around recently. Not only has Keller thrown at least 5.2 innings in six-straight starts, he’s also pitching to a 2.20 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in that span. He did that damage against good offenses like the Twins, Braves and Nationals, as he’ll get quite the cupcake matchup here. In fact, the Tigers rank 29th in xwOBA, 30th in wOBA, 29th in runs scored, 30th in OBP and 28th in K rate. That makes it no surprise that Keller threw eight one-run innings the last time he faced the Motor City Kitties on July 13 en route to a season-high 52 FanDuel points.  

Cal Quantrill, SD vs. COL 

DK ($6,200)   FD ($7,000) 

The Rockies are just horrible right now. Losing 23 of their last 31 games says a lot and much of it has to do with their road offense. After ranking 29th in road OPS last season, Colorado finds themselves 25th in runs scored, 29th in OPS and 30th in OBP on the road this year. They also sit 23rd in K rate and they’re simply one of the best offenses to exploit outside of Coors Field. That’s big for an average arm like Quantrill, who’s actually in the best stretch of his career right now. A 3.57 ERA and 1.19 WHIP for the season is impressive in its own right but he also has a 1.84 ERA and 0.92 WHIP over his last seven appearances. That’s all you can ask for from such a cheap pitcher in such a tasty matchup and the 4.2 implied run total for the Rockies only adds to Quantrill’s value.  

Monkey Knife Fight Play of the Day 

Brad Keller Over 4.5 Strikeouts 

With the Tigers ranked bottom-two in runs scored, OPS, OBP, wOBA and xwOBA while sitting 28th in K rate, Keller should reach this prop at relative ease with his recent form.

Julio Teheran.Caleb Smith Over 11.5 Strikeouts Combined

This is self-explanaory after the previous write-ups, as either one of these guys could reach 7-8 Ks on their own.

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MKF Record 24-14

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