Tag:

Jacob deGrom

7/31 MLB DFS Pitching Picks

written by Vincent Pensabene

With an eight game main slate on FanDuel we have high, mid, and low end options for 7/31 MLB DFS Pitching. One stands out above the rest but we have cheaper options and potential pivots. These are my favorites.

7/31 MLB DFS Pitching Top overall arm – Jacob deGrom ($12,000 FD). deGrom has the highest floor on the board tonight since he gets a nice matchup with the White Sox. Chicago strikes out 23.3% of the time against right handed pitching and has a basement ISO of 0.153. deGrom’s strikeout rate of 31.2% is the highest on the slate. He is the number one pitching option on the schedule. However, his $12K price tag takes him out of “must play” status.

7/31 MLB DFS Pitching Tournament Pivot 1 – Mike Minor ($9,500 FD). Minor gets Seattle tonight and a lineup that strikes out 30.8% of the time against lefties! And he’s $2.500 less than deGrom on FanDuel. There is some risk in a great hitter’s park, with great hitting weather, and a lineup that does have some power. However, I’m more than okay giving up a few home runs for the high strikeout ceiling. He’s my number one points per dollar play of the night.

7/31 MLB DFS Pitching Tournament Pivot 2 – Jose Berrios ($10,400 FD). Berrios gets the Miami Marlins tonight in a nice pitcher’s park. Miami’s lineup has the lowest ISO on the board at 0.139 and has a 22.9% strikeout rate. His matchup gets even better since he will likely see seven righties and no DH. He has one of the highest floors on the slate with plenty of strikeout upside.

7/31 MLB DFS Pitching Salary Saver – Jordan Lyles ($6,400 FD). Lyles has an above average strikeout rate at 24.9% and he gets a fresh start with Milwaukee tonight. Oakland at home is not the ideal matchup due to their decent power numbers, but the park does favor pitchers. He should see six righties tonight which he strikes out at a 26.1% clip. Again, I’m okay with giving up a few home runs if the strikeout upside is there. Which it is for Lyles tonight.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB Stacks for Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 31

Jason Mezrahi 5 years ago

written by Jason Mezrahi

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s eight game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

MLB Stack: Houston Astros

vs. RHP Zach Plesac (CLE): 5.30 Runs

**Low Risk

Zach Plesac is on the mound in Cleveland this evening and he has had a pretty good rookie campaign thus far. He sports a 3.10 ERA, 5.14 FIP, and 5.21 SIERA. Through expected regression his 3.10 ERA will come closer to his FIP and SIERA. Plesac also has tremendous splits, only allowing righties to slash to a .304 wOBA, .425 SLG, and .293 OBP. Despite the great averages put forth by Plesac he still only has a K rate of 18.1%, one of the lowest on today’s slate. Houston is the second best team in the league in regards to striking out, averaging only 7.23 per game. The Astros are red hot vs. right hand pitching right now, slashing to a .374 wOBA, .264 ISO, and 140 WRC+.

MLB Stack: Texas Rangers

vs. LHP Wade LeBlanc (PLR) (SEA): (Update)

**Moderate Risk

Thankfully the Coors game falls on the early slate so we don’t have to worry about that. We do get Coors south in Texas, which has quickly become one of the more prolific hitting parks in MLB this season. There’s no doubt this Rangers lineup is just not the same without Joey Gallo in it. The Rangers are slashing to a lowly .288 wOBA, .170 ISO, and 70 WRC+ for the month of July. Despite these poor hitting averages they get to face Wade LeBlanc at home. LeBlanc owns a 4.79 ERA, 5.17 FIP, and 4.69 SIERA. He is allowing 1.85 HR/9 and holds a terrible K rate of 17.6%. LeBlanc gave up three earned runs and struck out five over five innings pitched the last time he faced the Rangers at home.

Honorable Mention

MLB Stack: Boston Red Sox

vs. LHP Ryan Yarbrough (TAM): 7.00 Runs

**Low Risk

Preferred Plays: J.D. Martinez ($4100 FD|$4900 DK), Xander Bogaerts ($4200 FD|$5100 DK), Rafael Devers ($4300 FD|$5300 DK), and Christian Vazquez ($2600 FD|$3900 DK).

MLB Stack: Philadelphia Phillies

vs.RHP Jeff Samardzija (SFG): 5.35 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Preferred Plays: Bryce Harper ($4200 FD|$4300 DK), Rhys Hoskins ($4000 FD|$4200 DK), Cesar Hernandez ($2700 FD|$3400 DK) and Adam Haseley ($2300 FD|$3400 DK).

Pitching

Jose Berrios RHP (MIN): 3.30 Runs
Mike Minor LHP (TEX): UPDATE
Jacob deGrom RHP (NYM): 3.50 Runs

5 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports

7/20 MLB DFS Podcast With The King and the MLB/Weather Expert

Scott Engel 5 years ago

written by Scott Engel

Scott Engel and Mark Paquette are featured in the 7/20 MLB DFS Podcast. Listen to get caught up on who they are planning to play tonight. There are some top aces on the hills, but which ones are the smartest to spend on?

Find out who the Experts like in Starting Pitching on the 7/20 MLB DFS Podcast.

Clayton Kershaw and Luis Castillo are the top pitchers on the schedule. But Mike Soroka is very tempting, and maybe you should even consider Anibal Sanchez. Mark has a unique pick as a salary saver. So listen closely to the 7/20 MLB DFS Podcast to find the right choices.

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Click play below to listen to the 7/20 MLB DFS Podcast.

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5 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports

7/19 MLB DFS Podcast With The King and the MLB/Weather Expert

Scott Engel 5 years ago

written by Scott Engel

Scott Engel and Mark Paquette are featured in the 7/19 MLB DFS Podcast. Listen to get caught up on who they are planning to play tonight. There are some top aces on the hills tonight, but also some starters that can save you some cash.

Find out who the Pros like in Starting Pitching on the 7/19 MLB DFS Podcast.

Hyun Jim-Ryu and Jacob deGrom are the obvious top starters, but Shane Bieber is a strong pivot. Brendan McKay and Julio Teheran are among the top salary savers. So listen closely to the 7/19 MLB DFS Podcast to find the right choices on the Daily Fantasy Baseball schedule.

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Click play below to listen to the 7/19 MLB DFS Podcast.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS Pitching and Monkey Knife Fight Picks for 7/19

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

This is a fascinating DFS slate because there aren’t really many great cheap options out there. Cheap pitchers have been dominating DFS all season but I don’t think this scheduleis going to allow that. We actually have two cash game pitchers here that I believe are great bets for 40-plus and they’re elite options in both cash games and GPPs.

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Cash Game Pitchers of the Day

Jacob deGrom, NYM at SF

DK ($10.600) FD ($10,600)

deGrom has the highest upside of any player on this DFS slate, as he truly has 60-point potential in this stellar matchup. Dating back to last season, deGrom is pitching to a 2.22 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. One would believe that those video game-like numbers would be a bit inflated but his 2.45 FIP and 32 percent K rate in that span indicates that it’s no fluke. That nasty stuff paired with this matchup makes deGrom one of the best plays on the board, with the Giants sitting 21^st in runs scored, 26^th in OBP, 27^th in OPS and 28^th in wOBA. Oracle Park is arguably the best pitcher’s park in the Majors, which is why the Giants have an implied run total of just 3.5 runs. and the Mets are a -195 favorite.

Hyun-Jin Ryu, LAD vs. MIA

DK ($11,000) FD ($10,500)

Is there any question that Ryu was going to be in this article? He’s simply been the best pitcher in the NL this season, which is evident by the fact that he sits first in both ERA and WHIP. A 1.78 ERA and 0.93 WHIP are simply bonkers numbers at this point of the season and they’d be even better if it weren’t for an ugly Coors Field start two weeks ago. While he’s been dominant everywhere this year, his home numbers are downright silly. In fact, Ryu has a 0.85 ERA and 0.77 WHIP in 63.2 innings at home en route to a 7-0 record and 8.9 K/9 rate.

That’s why Ryu has at least 31 FanDuel points in 16 of his 18 starts this season, which is simply an unmatched floor. These unsightly statistics make Ryu the safest play on the slate and it doesn’t even take into consideration this cupcake matchup. The Marlins currently rank 19^th in K rate, 29^th in runs scored and last in wOBA, OPS and xwOBA. Vegas absolutely loves Ryu too, projecting the Marlins for a measly three runs with the Dodgers entering this game as a –310 favorite.

Top-Tier Alternative

Shane Bieber, CLE vs. KC

DK ($10.400) FD ($10,800)

Bieber is our final cash game option on this DFS slate and he also makes for a fantastic pivot. Many people will pick Verlander, deGrom or Ryu but Bieber has just as much upside. We’re talking about a guy with a 3.05 xFIP, 1.00 WHIP and 32 percent K rate. That’s just as good as any of those aforementioned studs and he’s actually been even better recently. Over his last six starts, Bieber is pitching to a 2.40 ERA and 0.75 WHIP while generating an 11.8 K/9 rate.

The icing on the cake is this matchup though, is Kansas City sitting 22^nd in runs scored, 24^th in OPS, 25^th in xwOBA and 27^th in xSLG. What really makes them appealing to target is the fact that they’ll be without their best hitter in Adalberto Mondesi. That’s a major reason why the Royals are projected for just 3.5 runs with the Indians coming into this matchup as a –230 favorite.

Justin Verlander is a great cash game DFS option too, as he’s facing a Rangers team that owns the worst K rate in the Majors.

GPP Pitchers

Tyler Mahle, CIN vs. STL

DK ($6.000) FD ($6,200)

Ok, bear with me here. Mahle has been much better than his numbers would indicate and we need to take a deeper dive into these statistics. Let’s start with his recent matchups, with Mahle’s last 10 starts including games at COL, vs. MIL, vs. HOU, vs. TEX, at PHI, at CHC and vs. LAD. That’s a murderer’s row of a schedule and anyone would have a tough time maintaining a decent ERA in that span. The peripherals tell me that Mahle is much better than his 4.82 ERA, with the Cincy righty pitching to a 3.82 xFIP and 24.3 percent K rate. That’s why he has at least 31 FanDuel points in 10 of his 18 starts this season and that makes these prices hard to understand.

The matchup may be the best part about this play though, with the Cardinals ranking 25^th in runs scored, 24^th in wOBA and 27^th in SLG. That doesn’t even take into consideration that Matt Carpenter, Marcell Ozuna and Yadier Milona are all out of the lineup. We’re playing DFS here guys, you can take a risk on a bad pitcher on any given slate if the circumstances are there.

Brendan McKay, TB vs. CWS

DK ($8,700) FD ($8,000)

This young gun has been an absolute stud in his short time at the Majors, pitching to a 1.69 ERA and 0.69 WHIP across 16 innings. That’s really no surprise when you consider his 1.22 ERA and 0.80 WHIP at Double-A and Triple-A, as this is simply one of the best pitching prospects in the game.

All that would put him in consideration against pretty much anyone but especially vs. the White Sox. In fact, Chicago currently ranks 25^th in wOBA, 28^th in runs scored and 23^rd in K rate. That’s a scary thought considering they’ll be without Eloy Jimenez too. We’re looking at the Rays as a projected –200 favorite with the White Sox forecasted to score less than four runs.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

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Hyun-Jin Ryu Over 5.5 Strikeouts

While Ryu is not really known for his strikeouts, it would be hard to imagine him not reaching this total in such a premium matchup. I anticipate Ryu going 7-8 innings and that alone should guarantee him 6 Ks with his 24 percent K rate and stellar matchup.

Reynaldo Lopez Under 5.5 Strikeouts

Lopez has an unsightly 5.97 ERA and 1.54 WHIP. That’s why the Rays are projected for more than five runs here and I really don’t see Lopez going past the fifth inning. That will make this total tough to reach, especially with the Rays sitting ninth in xwOBA, full of dangerous bats.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

Stack Report for MLB Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 19

Daniel Wehr 5 years ago

written by Daniel Wehr

This report will provide recommended DFS stacks for today’s 14-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

New York Yankees Stack

vs. LHP Kyle Freeland (COL): 6.90 Runs

I glared at the computer for awhile this morning trying to figure out how to get away from this Yankees chalk tonight and I can’t do it. Kyle Freeland is just downright terrible. He carries a 7.39 ERA, 6.13 FIP, and 5.18 SIERA on the season. He has allowed 43 earned runs across 53 innings to right-handed batters. Freeland is allowing a massive 2.27 HR/9 innings and 43% hard contact. Freeland is not at Coors, but he is in very hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium. The Yankees have been slumping off just a bit coming off the break, but this team is jam packed with talent and it would be foolish to fade them. The Yankees are slashing to a .365 wOBA, .225 ISO, and 128 WRC+ over the last month. I’m typically an advocate against using the Yankees on most nights, but I feel confident using these right handed power bats this evening.

Cleveland Indians Stack

vs. LHP Mike Montgomery (KCR): 6.15 Runs

Mike Montgomery was a top prospect not long ago but has not had a good 2019 campaign. I doubt he’s stretched out all the way so he should be limited today. We have a small sample size to go off of here, but Montgomery carries a 5.67 ERA, 6.21 FIP, and 5.25 SIERA over 27 innings pitched this season. His splits indicate he struggles more with lefties. They are slashing to a .556 wOBA, .868 SLG, and .512 OBP. Montgomery is not much better against righties (thus far). They are slashing to a .336 wOBA, .464 SLG, and .338 OBP. Obviously these numbers are inflated due to limited action this season but most tend to go for the handedness matchup, so don’t be afraid to differentiate with some Cleveland lefties. Cleveland bats are red hot right now. They are slashing to a .369 wOBA, .255 ISO, and 128 WRC+ over the last couple of weeks.

Toronto Blue Jays Stack

vs. RHP Jordan Zimmermann (DET): 5.90 Runs

Jordan Zimmermann heads into tonight’s matchup carrying a 7.01 ERA, 4.64 FIP, and 5.35 SIERA. That ERA is a little elevated compared to his FIP and SIERA. That is because of his .344 BABIP and a lowly 58% LOB. Some of it can be attributed to bad luck but he also has a poor defense behind him, so that will drive his ERA up whereas FIP measures things only the pitcher can control. Bats are slashing to a .350 wOBA, .508 SLG, and .348 OBP on the season against him. Zimmermann has allowed 41 earned runs across 52.2 innings pitched. He has only allowed seven home runs in that span. Blue Jays batters are slashing to a .351 wOBA, .234 ISO, and 120 WRC+ over the last month. They have seen a dip in their batting averages recently, but this is a good spot for Toronto to do some damage.

Honorable Mention

Boston Red Sox Stack

vs. LHP John Means (BAL): 6.00 Runs

Preferred Stack: Christian Vazquez ($2800 FD|$4700 DK), Xander Bogaerts ($4500 FD|$5700 DK), Rafael Devers ($4400 FD|$5400 DK), and J.D. Martinez ($4000 FD|$4700 DK).

Pitching

RHP Jacob deGrom (NYM): 3.13 Runs
LHP Hyun-jin Ryu (LAD): 2.45 Runs
RHP Marcus Stroman (TOR): 4.20 Runs
LHP Brendan McCay (TAM): 3.29 Runs

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB Pitching/MKF Picks for July 14- Zack Attack

Mark Paquette 5 years ago

written by Mark Paquette

Sunday’s are enjoyable for me in the DFS world, generally all the games are on the same slate and pitching choices abound. The first Sunday after the All Star Break is no different.

Upper-Tier Pitching

Zack Greinke, Diamondbacks at Cardinals ($9,600 FD, $10,300 DK): Sometimes FD, because they are a one pitcher site, seems to dare you to use a pitcher over another for some reason. That is the case with Greinke today. He seems to cheap and in too good of a spot (STL really struggles against righties, 25th in the league at OPS at .707, second to last at ISO with a pathetic .148) to not use him as your cash pitcher. For pitching purposes, he seems to be in the classic safe, cash-game mode today, with a high floor. Greinke is coming off a great first half. He threw seven shutout innings in each of his past two starts leading into the break.

Jacob deGrom, Mets at Marlins ($10,800 FD, $10,800 DK): Because of his volatility this season, deGrom will likely not be my pitching choice for cash games today. All you have to do is go back to a previous start in Miami, where he gave up six runs and nine hits in only five innings of work, to see the up and down nature of deGrom’s season so far. The Mets wisely gave deGrom, a NL All-Star, a full eight days off between this start and his most recent one. deGrom has one win in his last 10 starts, despite a 3.29 ERA in that span.

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Middle-Tier Pitching

Jose Quintana, Pirates at Cubs ($8,000 FD, $7,300 DK): The DK price seems particularly appealing for cash games expecially if you want to use plenty of Coors bats. Pirates fans can hope that their annual second half swoon is not under way, but it probably is. And Quintana is likely going to be a big part of it continuing. Quintana has started to throw more breaking balls in his last two starts, and the results show that has been a wise choice. He has 10 strikeouts and one walk over 13 IP in those pair of outings. That included a seven-inning win over the Pirates on July 4. He is 3-1 with a 2.57 ERA in seven career starts vs. the Bucs.

Homer Bailey, Tigers at Royals ($7,100 FD, $6,800 DK): A possible cash-game choice is you just want to grab as many Coors bats as you can. This pick is about that fact and two others as well. Kauffman Stadium is an extreme pitchers park and the Tigers are really bad against righties. I am not going to blame you to roll out Homer today in your cash lineups.

Bargain Basement Pitching

Sandy Alcantara, Mets at Marlins ($7,600 FD, $6,300 DK): I guess the pricing makes Bailey and Alcantara interchangeable between bargain basement and middle-tier arms but the reasons behind it are the same. The Mets are not a good hitting baseball team and they will play is a park that is great for pitchers. And, if you want to use someone that has had success against an opponent this season so far, Sandy is your guy. May 19th at home against New York: a complete-game shutout with only two hits given up, a single walk and eight strikeouts.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

I will not blame you if you want to go to Coors and do a Daniel Murphy, Phillip Ervin and Puig trio like this one from Tampa Bay. I love picking on the Orioles pitching staff as a whole. With their starter for today traded to the Red Sox, they will scramble to find another one and will likely ask a terrible bullpen for more innings than they normally would.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS Pitching/Monkey Knife Fight Picks: deGrom is Dicey

wesley maxwell 5 years ago

written by wesley maxwell

The Cubs, Royals and Cardinals will have home games where rain and lightning could cause delays or even a PPD(s). We will have to watch those games carefully, including deGrom/Hamels.

Upper-Tier Arms: deGrom vs. Hamels

Jacob deGrom, Mets at Cubs ($10,600 FD, $10,500 DK): deGrom is coming off one of his best starts of the season, if not THE best. He struck out 10 Braves and the only runs he gave up were a pair of solo homers in the ninth. Over the last 30 days, the Cubs are striking out the fourth most frequently in the league at 25%. So the strikeout potential is there for deGrom, the defending N.L. Cy Young award winner.

As mentioned above, the weather could be a bit dicey here and we don’t want a delay in-game that could artificially shorten the deGrom start. Another weather factor here is after several days of drier than normal air and the wind blowing in, today it will be very muggy and the wind will be blowing out at 10-15 mph. Wrigley is the most weather-dependent park in all of MLB and this could factor both into deGrom’s performance and how the game plays out. deGrom is probably a GPP-only choice here given all the potential issues mentioned above.

Cole Hamels, Mets at Cubs ($9,000 FD, $11,000 DK): There is quite the pricing discrepancy between the two major sites today. Though he will be dealing with the same weather factors as deGrom, his price on FD has to make him a cash game consideration while on DK he is likely GPP-only for me. Hamels became the 10th left-hander in MLB history to reach 2,500 strikeouts in his previous start vs. the White Sox. He went seven innings, allowing one run and striking out eight while taking a no-decision.

Hamels is now 2-1 with a terrific 0.31 ERA over that four start stretch. He will have to be careful with powerful righty batter Peter Alonso, who tied the N.L. rookie record of HRs before the All-Star break of 26 (Cody Bellinger in 2017) and now has his eyes set on Mark McGwire’s MLB rookie record of 28 home runs before July 1 which was set in 1987. Alonso also tied the all-time Mets rookie record for HRs yesterday (Darryl Strawberry in 1983). The Mets strike out the 10th most frequently against lefties at 24.8% so the strikeout potential is here in this matchup IF the weather does not scare us off of him.

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Middle-Tier Arms

Brandon Woodruff, Reds at Brewers ($9,200 FD, $$7,900 DK): Sort of the reverse of Cole Hamels, his price on the two pitcher site DK is very appealing while on the one pitcher site (FD) he will be tougher to roster. Notice I said tougher, not impossible, especially if you want to differentiate. The reason why I like Woodruff is his stuff. In his last start, the first one in 10 Woodruff starts which the Brewers lost, he was throwing 100 mph fastballs against the Padres.

Any time you have a pitcher with that kind of velocity, you know the strikeout potential is there. And it helps that the Reds strike out the ninth most frequently against righties at 24.3%. Much like the game at Wrigley, some rain will be in the area. Unlike Wrigley, they will simply close their roof and there are no worries about in-game delays. However, Miller Park plays a bit bigger with the roof closed than open so this is a factor that could work in Woodruff’s favor. Given his upside, he is a borderline cash option for me today, especially on DK.

Joey Lucchesi, Padres at Pirates ($8,500 FD, $9,100 DK): The 26-year-old lefty is quickly the best pitcher in the Padres rotation. Lucchesi pitched seven scoreless innings against a good hitting Brewers team on Monday night. One of the reason why Lucchesi may be having success at the MLB level is his different repertoire of pitchers than the “normal” guy has.
His newfound cutter has given him a third weapon along with his fastball and “churve.”

Lucchesi did face the Pirates on May 17, going seven innings and giving up two runs with six strikeouts. Much like Woodruff, he is a borderline cash play for me today. I feel that the floor is there but I wonder how high his ceiling is. Can’t argue about the matchup he has at PNC Park (an extreme pitcher’s park) and against a Pirates team that is 21st in the league in ISO (.175) over the last two weeks.

Bargain Basement Arm

Michael Pineda, Twins at Royals ($6,700 on both sites): If I am feeling bold AND it looks like the weather is going to hold up, he may be my cash pitcher today. You obviously get the savings, but let me share with you what was written by Yahoo fantasy sports before his last start against the Red Sox:

“If you’ve been patient with Twins starter Michael Pineda, that patience is finally starting to pay off. Returning from elbow and knee surgeries this season, Pineda’s velocity has been down significantly compared to what he showed in recent seasons with the Yankees. However, since a brief IL stint to rest his knee, Pineda’s velocity has bounced back in two starts (94.0 mph average fastball) and he hasn’t allowed a home run in those starts. He had an atrocious 2.1 HR/9 before going on the IL, pushing his ERA to 5.34, but the results are headed in the right direction after his break. Pineda has also been a WHIP asset this year (1.21) as a result of his elite 1.7 BB/9. There’s some risk ahead in a two-start week that includes the Red Sox lineup, but Pineda is looking like a more interesting play the rest of the way if he can maintain this velocity. “

Pineda pitched very well against the Red Sox in the start following this write up, going six innings, giving up five hits, one run, one walk and five strikeouts. If somehow Pineda could go more than six innings, we could be looking at major upside here.

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Day

Michael Pineda over 6.5 Strikeouts/Homer Bailey Over 4.5 Strikeouts

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS!

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Winners and Losers: Alonso, deGrom and More

Emely Sharman 5 years ago

written by Emely Sharman

There was a 15 game slate on Tuesday, June 18th. After a few delays we were able to get in 14 of those with the exception being the Phillies and Nationals game. The Mets had some huge scoring performances and there were also a few big names who did not perform up to their lofty standards. Points and salaries are based on DraftKings.

Winners

Pete Alonso ($4,900)

Alonso and the Mets were the team you wanted to back in fantasy on Tuesday. They beat the Braves 10-2 on the road and had three huge fantasy performances, starting with Alonso. Alonso went 4-for-4 with a home run and two doubles. He finished the game with three RBI, three runs scored, and walked twice. That all added up to 39 fantasy points. Alonso has been a beast in his rookie campaign and has now hit 24 home runs and has 57 RBI. He has a batting average of .274 to go with his impressive OPS of .982. He extended his hitting streak to seven games.

Alonso’s Outlook

Pete Alonso and the Mets have one more game in Atlanta before heading to Chicago for a four game series with the Cubs. They will face off against Max Fried Wednesday. Fried has decent numbers on the year but he has not pitched well lately. He has a 4.11 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. Over his last four starts, though, he has given up 17 earned runs on 17 hits while pitching just 20.1 innings. He has also given up 10 home runs to righties this year and they have a batting average of .281 against him. This looks like a great spot to fire up Alonso again after his huge game Tuesday.

Jacob deGrom ($10,300)

He got the win as he went 8.1 innings while giving up two earned runs on five hits. Both of these runs came on solo home runs in the ninth inning. He scored 35.15 fantasy points. deGrom has been a really good fantasy pitcher this year and his strikeout numbers are in great shape. deGrom has a K/9 that is north of 11 to go with his ERA/WHIP of 3.26/1.08. He has been really good in his last three, striking out 28 over 21.1 innings and giving up only six hits.

deGrom’s Outlook

deGrom’s next projected start will come on Sunday, June 23 in Chicago against the Cubs. The Cubs offense has been just adequate lately and averages 4.6 runs per game in the month of June. Over that same time span they rank 23rd in team batting average, hitting only .237. They are also below league average at home this year, ranking 17th. The positive outlook doesn’t stop there either as they rank 14th in team batting average in day games. Chicago’s strikeout numbers are also up as they rank 10th in the league in the month of June. All of these stats point to deGrom being considered for the top pitcher spot against the Cubs Sunday.

Whit Merrifield ($4,800)

Merrifield and the Royals won in dominating fashion on Tuesday. Merrifield went 3-for-4 and hit two home runs. He ended up with six RBI and three runs scored. He scored 41 fantasy points. This now brings Merrifield’s season batting average to .306 and his OPS is at .862. He has hit 10 home runs and has 39 RBI. He has also added 11 stolen bases.

Merrifield’s Outlook

The Royals have one more game in Seattle before heading back home to face the Twins for four games. Wednesday starter Marco Gonzales has been inconsistent this year and Merrifield has the platoon advantage in this matchup. In Gonzales’ last four starts, he has given up earned runs of one, two, six and 10 and hit numbers of two, two, 10 and eight. The Royals have been one of the worst teams in the league but have found offense lately, scoring 23 runs in their last three games. Expect Merrifield to keep it going against Gonzales and the Mariners Wednesday.

Losers

Julio Teheran ($9,500)

You have already read about the Mets winning big Tuesday and that means that the Braves starter, Teheran, got roughed up early. Teheran was only able to get through four innings and gave up six earned runs. The Mets got to him for eight hits, three walks, and one home run. He did strike out three over his 83 pitches. This netted him -3.6 fantasy points. Teheran fell to 5-5 after the loss and his ERA rose to 3.40. His WHIP also grew to 1.26. His K/9 is at 8.14.

Teheran’s Outlook

Teheran has been a dominant pitcher lately and gave up more earned runs Tuesday than he had over his last eight starts combined. That covered 44.2 innings. The only issue with Teheran in that span is that he does not control his pitch count well and didn’t get past six innings in any of those. Those numbers, though, add up to a bounce-back opportunity for him in his next start against the Cubs at Wrigley on Monday, June 24th. I already went into detail on the Cubs struggles lately and nearly all of those stats from above can be copied and pasted here against Teheran. Look for him to bounce back against the scuffling Cubs offense.

Giancarlo Stanton ($5,200)

Giancarlo Stanton made his highly anticipated return to action Tuesday and disappointed in a big way. He went 0-for-4 with two ugly strikeouts. He didn’t hit the ball hard in any of his at bats and did not look comfortable in the box. This was Stanton’s first action since May.

Stanton’s Outlook

Stanton has come off a long layoff and had mixed results in rehab. He hit .286 overall but went only 1-for-11 in Triple-A. Five of Stanton’s six hits in the minors went for home runs. This has been his all-or-nothing style that we have grown to know. Stanton should get back to hitting home runs but I am giving the rust plenty of time to go away before I pay a premium price on him.

Injury Report

Mike Moustakas left Tuesday’s game after being hit in the hand by a pitch. He should have some X-rays to make sure there are no breaks.

Max Scherzer broke his nose after fouling a bunt off of his face in practice Tuesday.

Justin Smoak (quad) and Edwin Jackson (back) are both headed to the 10-day IL for the Blue Jays.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS Pitching for 6/13: Cy Ya Soon, Jake?

Mark Paquette 5 years ago

written by Mark Paquette

It’s a decent sized schedule for a Thursday with 11 games scheduled. Games in BAL, NYY and BOS have some risk of rain but do not look like PPD threats.

Upper-Tier Arms

Jacob deGrom, Cardinals at Mets ($10,200 FD, $10,400 DK): The Cardinals can be beaten by righties and there are not many better righties in the game than the reigning NL Cy Young award winner. Though the Cardinals do not strike out too much against righties (21st in the league at 22.5%) they do not have much pop either (ISO is 26th at .157). While the perception lingers that deGrom is hurt or is just in the middle of a bad year, we are seeing signs that he might be rediscovering his Cy Young form as he has been very good lately. A 2.72 ERA and more than a strikeout per inning in his last eight starts backs the theory that he is rounding into 2018 form. In his career, deGrom is 4-2 with a 4.21 ERA against the Cardinals. He is a GPP-only option for me since we have better price options below.

Clayton Kershaw, Cubs at Dodgers ($10,400 FD, $10,100 DK): A theory of mine is that bats of a team leaving Coors have a “hangover” affect. The ball simply does not move the same at Coors than it does in other locations. Well, we get the Cubbies in this spot facing one of the best lefties in the game. For the season, the Cubs strike out the 12th most frequently against lefties at 24.9% and they walk the most frequently at 11.2%. Luckily, Kershaw is one of the stingiest pitchers in the game when it comes to issuing free passes, with only one walk allowed every 6.2 innings pitched. Kershaw has been very effective as of late, even if he is coming off a tough luck loss the arch-rival Giants. The middle-tier arm will likely be my cash option so I will save Kershaw for GPPs.

Matthew Boyd, Tigers at Royals ($10,500 FD, $10,700 DK): The Royals are just not hitting the ball well right now. Over the last seven days, they are striking out the second most frequently at 28.2%, their ISO is 25th at .126, their wOBA is 27th at .265. and their hard hit rate is an ugly 32.1%, good for 28th. Boyd starred in nearby Omaha for Oregon State in the College World Series in 2013, tossing a four-hit, 11-strikeout shutout of Indiana in a 1-0 win. He has had success against this Kansas City team this season, striking out nine Royals over seven innings of two-run ball in a May 3 victory. He is a possible cash game option but I like the guy below better.

Middle Tier Arm

Julio Teheran, Pirates at Braves ($8,600 FD, $10,800 DK): Not only has Teheran been tremendously effective over the last month plus, he gets to pitch at home where is much more effective (3.65 road ERA compared to 1.93 ERA home ERA). Since May 5, he has the second-lowest ERA in all of baseball at 0.70. During that span, Teheran has given up one earned run or fewer in each of seven starts. If I want to spend up for bats, he is likely my primary cash game pitcher but obviously only on FD.

See what our projection tools are saying about these arms here.

Bargain Basement Arm

Gabriel Ynoa, Blue Jays at Orioles ($5,600 FD, $5,400 DK): Ynoa has gone from a long reliever/spot starter to a member of the Orioles rotation, starting the last three turns in place of Dan Straily. Ynoa went six innings is his last start in an extra-innings loss to Houston. The six innings was his longest outing since 2017. Over the last seven days, the Blue Jays strike out the 12th most frequently in MLB, at 24.4%. GPP-only because we do not fully know whqat to expect.

5 years ago 0 comment

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Jacob deGrom

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

MLB Stack: Houston Astros

vs. RHP Zach Plesac (CLE): 5.30 Runs

MLB Stack: Texas Rangers

vs. LHP Wade LeBlanc (PLR) (SEA): (Update)

Honorable Mention

MLB Stack: Boston Red Sox

MLB Stack: Philadelphia Phillies

Pitching

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Cash Game Pitchers of the Day

Jacob deGrom, NYM at SF

Hyun-Jin Ryu, LAD vs. MIA

Top-Tier Alternative

Shane Bieber, CLE vs. KC

GPP Pitchers

Tyler Mahle, CIN vs. STL

Brendan McKay, TB vs. CWS

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

Hyun-Jin Ryu Over 5.5 Strikeouts

Reynaldo Lopez Under 5.5 Strikeouts

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

New York Yankees Stack

vs. LHP Kyle Freeland (COL): 6.90 Runs

Cleveland Indians Stack

vs. LHP Mike Montgomery (KCR): 6.15 Runs

Toronto Blue Jays Stack

vs. RHP Jordan Zimmermann (DET): 5.90 Runs

Honorable Mention

Boston Red Sox Stack

vs. LHP John Means (BAL): 6.00 Runs

Pitching

Upper-Tier Pitching

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Middle-Tier Pitching

Bargain Basement Pitching

Upper-Tier Arms: deGrom vs. Hamels

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Middle-Tier Arms

Bargain Basement Arm

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Day

Winners

Pete Alonso ($4,900)

Alonso’s Outlook

Jacob deGrom ($10,300)

deGrom’s Outlook

Whit Merrifield ($4,800)

Merrifield’s Outlook

Losers

Julio Teheran ($9,500)

Teheran’s Outlook

Giancarlo Stanton ($5,200)

Stanton’s Outlook

Injury Report

Upper-Tier Arms

Middle Tier Arm

Bargain Basement Arm

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