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Stack Report for MLB Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 19

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This report will provide recommended DFS stacks for today’s 14-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

New York Yankees Stack

vs. LHP Kyle Freeland (COL): 6.90 Runs

I glared at the computer for awhile this morning trying to figure out how to get away from this Yankees chalk tonight and I can’t do it. Kyle Freeland is just downright terrible. He carries a 7.39 ERA, 6.13 FIP, and 5.18 SIERA on the season. He has allowed 43 earned runs across 53 innings to right-handed batters. Freeland is allowing a massive 2.27 HR/9 innings and 43% hard contact. Freeland is not at Coors, but he is in very hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium. The Yankees have been slumping off just a bit coming off the break, but this team is jam packed with talent and it would be foolish to fade them. The Yankees are slashing to a .365 wOBA, .225 ISO, and 128 WRC+ over the last month. I’m typically an advocate against using the Yankees on most nights, but I feel confident using these right handed power bats this evening.

Preferred Plays: Aaron Judge ($4500 FD|$5300 DK), DJ Lemahieu ($3800 FD|$4700 DK), Gary Sanchez ($3900 FD|$4600 DK), and Luke Voit ($3800 FD|$4600 DK). Also consider: Gleyber Torres ($3400 FD|$4500 DK) and Edwin Encarnacion ($4100 FD|$5000 DK).

Cleveland Indians Stack

vs. LHP Mike Montgomery (KCR): 6.15 Runs

Mike Montgomery was a top prospect not long ago but has not had a good 2019 campaign. I doubt he’s stretched out all the way so he should be limited today. We have a small sample size to go off of here, but Montgomery carries a 5.67 ERA, 6.21 FIP, and 5.25 SIERA over 27 innings pitched this season. His splits indicate he struggles more with lefties. They are slashing to a .556 wOBA, .868 SLG, and .512 OBP. Montgomery is not much better against righties (thus far). They are slashing to a .336 wOBA, .464 SLG, and .338 OBP. Obviously these numbers are inflated due to limited action this season but most tend to go for the handedness matchup, so don’t be afraid to differentiate with some Cleveland lefties. Cleveland bats are red hot right now. They are slashing to a .369 wOBA, .255 ISO, and 128 WRC+ over the last couple of weeks.

Preferred Plays: Roberto Perez ($2800 FD|$4100 DK), Carlos Santana ($4300 FD|$4900 DK), Jordan Luplow ($2600 FD|$4100 DK), Francisco Lindor ($4100 FD|$5100 DK). Also consider: Oscar Mercado ($3300 FD|$4900 DK) and Tyler Naquin ($3000 FD|$4200 DK).

Toronto Blue Jays Stack

vs. RHP Jordan Zimmermann (DET): 5.90 Runs

Jordan Zimmermann heads into tonight’s matchup carrying a 7.01 ERA, 4.64 FIP, and 5.35 SIERA. That ERA is a little elevated compared to his FIP and SIERA. That is because of his .344 BABIP and a lowly 58% LOB. Some of it can be attributed to bad luck but he also has a poor defense behind him, so that will drive his ERA up whereas FIP measures things only the pitcher can control. Bats are slashing to a .350 wOBA, .508 SLG, and .348 OBP on the season against him. Zimmermann has allowed 41 earned runs across 52.2 innings pitched. He has only allowed seven home runs in that span. Blue Jays batters are slashing to a .351 wOBA, .234 ISO, and 120 WRC+ over the last month. They have seen a dip in their batting averages recently, but this is a good spot for Toronto to do some damage.

Preferred Plays: Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($4000 FD|$4900 DK), Eric Sogard ($3300 FD|$4300 DK), Freddy Galvis ($3200 FD|$3800 DK),Randal Grichuk ($3400 FD|$3700 DK), and Vlad Guerrero Jr. ($2900 FD|$3700 DK) Also consider: Justin Smoak ($3100 FD|$3700 DK) and Billy McKinney ($2400 FD|$3400 DK).

Honorable Mention

Boston Red Sox Stack

vs. LHP John Means (BAL): 6.00 Runs

Preferred Stack: Christian Vazquez ($2800 FD|$4700 DK), Xander Bogaerts ($4500 FD|$5700 DK), Rafael Devers ($4400 FD|$5400 DK), and J.D. Martinez ($4000 FD|$4700 DK).

Pitching

  1. RHP Jacob deGrom (NYM): 3.13 Runs
  2. LHP Hyun-jin Ryu (LAD): 2.45 Runs
  3. RHP Marcus Stroman (TOR): 4.20 Runs
  4. LHP Brendan McCay (TAM): 3.29 Runs

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Dan Wehr is a real money DFS player with over four years of experience. He has several large field GPP take-downs in NFL, MLB, and NBA. His passion for DFS stems from his love affair with his home town sports teams, the Baltimore Orioles and Baltimore Ravens.

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