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Happy Thanksgiving everyone and welcome to one of my favorite DFS days of the year. With just 3 games on the slate, excitement rises and falls so quickly. It makes for great entertainment as you gather with family and friends.Please be sure to check out Stix's projections each week when evaluating N...

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Happy Thanksgiving everyone and welcome to one of my favorite DFS days of the year. With just 3 games on the slate, excitement rises and falls so quickly. It makes for great entertainment as you gather with family and friends.Please be sure to check out Stix's projections each week when evaluating N...

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After last night’s nice 9 game slate, we end up with a baby 2-gamer tonight. This one looks interesting, and will be a very volatile slate. Keep it light tonight and prep for tomorrow’s massive slate. Check out our NHL DFS picks for tonight below. Good luck!

Goalies

With only four teams in action tonight, we will list the goalies in order of risk below, from safest to riskiest. As usual, be sure to keep an eye on news through the day to verify they draw the start.

Igor Shesterkin – New York Rangers: Igor is hands-down the best goalie on this slate from a talent perspective. He has some fantastic numbers this year, and the Rangers have a good chance at winning this game tonight.

Jake Allen – Montreal Canadiens: The Canadiens host the Sabres tonight, who have been pretty bad of late. They have been losing like crazy, and are averaging just 1 goal per game over their last five. Allen’s numbers aren’t pretty, but this is more about the matchup.

Jonathan Quick – Los Angeles Kings: Quick has been very inconsistent of late. He has a whopping 4.67 GAA over his last five, and those types of numbers are scary when you think of him facing the Rangers. We know the Rangers can score, and they should be able to take advantage of Quick tonight. However, from a risk/reward standpoint, Quick can be a solid deep GPP option, since the volume will be there.

Craig Anderson – Buffalo Sabres: Anderson’s numbers actually aren’t terrible. However, this is an unfavorable matchup for him and the Sabres tonight. Montreal looks to be in a prime spot tonight. We aren’t saying don’t use him at all, but he should be reserved for MME style play for tonight.

Lines to Build Around

These NHL DFS lines are considered top plays for the night and can be considered the focal point of your builds. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).

Stacking Notes: Before we get into plays, we want to cover a quick note about stacking on a 2-game slate. In general, on DraftKings especially, a preferred build on a bigger slate is 3-3-2, covering your bases with D-men and dropping a forward off of a stack. On a two game slate, stacking a full forward line makes a lot of sense from a leverage standpoint. For example, if a common build is to play Zibanejad with Kreider and Fox, you can get different by playing Zibanejad with Kreider and Vesey instead. As most people will leave Vesey off, if he benefits from that line scoring, you will have an advantage on the field.

In our example above (Zib/Kreider/Vesey), add your second full forward line stack, and then fill in your D spots with floor. If they correlate with the two stacks, great, but if not, that’s ok. Chase blocked shots and shots on goal as much as possible so that you get the most out of those two D spots.

Montreal Canadiens 1 – Nick Suzuki/Cole Caufield/Kirby Dach/Michael Matheson: Based on the line matching for Montreal, this line tends to find itself against the better or best lines for the opposition. That means that this line should see a majority of the Thompson line for Buffalo tonight, who is giving up a massive 34.83 SCA/60 and 17.94 HDCA/60. It helps that this line has been on fire recently, so definitely get some Canadiens in your lineups tonight.

New York Rangers 2 – Vincent Trocheck/Artemi Panarin/Barclay Goodrow/Adam Fox: This line has a date with the Kings’ top line tonight, who are giving up 38.46 SCA/60 and 21.64 HDCA/60, which means that this line could absolutely break the slate. The matchup should be pretty wide open, as this line is not a stellar defensive line themselves. A game stack with this line and the Kings’ top line is certainly a possibility tonight.

High Risk Lines

These are NHL DFS plays that carry significantly more risk, but could pay off at low ownership. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).

Buffalo Sabres 1 – Tage Thompson/Jeff Skinner/Alex Tuch/Rasmus Dahlin: The Sabres have gone cold recently, but this top line is in play on a two game slate. They have to break out of that slump at some point, and there is a possibility that tonight could be the time to do so. The Canadiens are giving up goals, so there should be chances, but the worry here is that Buffalo just cannot convert. Their matchup with the top Canadiens’ line could be limiting, which is the risky part of this play, but on two games, anything can happen.

Los Angeles Kings 1 – Anze Kopitar/Kevin Fiala/Adrian Kempe/Drew Doughty: Fiala moves back to the top line, and, as mentioned above, this line should see the second line for the Rangers tonight. This sets the top line up for an interesting look, and this line could be a little sneaky tonight. The field will likely be on Shesterkin, so they may be a leverage play.

NHL DFS Honorable Mentions: LAK2, NYR1, MON2

Value Options – DraftKings

Consider these NHL DFS plays to help save you some salary in your lineups on DraftKings. Be sure to stack!

Center: Christian Dvorak ($3500) – Montreal Canadiens

Wing: Barclay Goodrow ($2900) – New York Rangers

Defense: Alexander Edler ($2800) – Los Angeles Kings

Value Options – FanDuel

Consider these NHL DFS plays to help save you some salary in your lineups on FanDuel. Be sure to stack!

Center: Christian Dvorak ($4900) – Montreal Canadiens

Wing: Jimmy Vesey ($4200) – New York Rangers

Defense: Sean Walker ($3900) – Los Angeles Kings

Player Props

In this section, we will highlight some NHL player props that we like for the upcoming NHL slate.

Cole Caufield (MTL): over 0.5 power play points (+205 on DK Sportsbook)

Artemi Panarin (NYR): anytime goal scorer (+250 on DK Sportsbook)

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Jon and the NHL team will be there answering questions right up until lock! Be sure to be on the look out for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/

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Welcome to the Week 11 edition of The Inside Look for the 2022 NFL season.  This will be a data driven article and will go under the hood to see if the box scores tell the whole story about what transpired during the weekend.   My goal here will be to either calm your nerves about a player that may have underperformed or cause you to rethink some of the spots you may have taken.

With Thanksgiving upon us, we’re officially in the home stretch folks.  Teams are going to start jockeying for playoff position in the coming weeks and the contenders and pretenders are both starting to show their true colors.  The Vikings were completely embarrassed this weekend and the Eagles eeked out another one.  The Ravens are starting to look like the real deal as well. 

Let’s dig in to the data!

Wide Receiver Targets

Before we dig in to individual player performances I wanted to take a moment to talk about why we focus so heavily on Targets.  Targets equal opportunities and in fantasy opportunity more often than creates production.  The more targets that a player gets the better chance there is that the player will return on value. 

With Chase out in Week 11, Tee Higgins was primed for a breakout performance.  Boy did he deliver.  Higgins was tied for the league lead in targets in Week 11 with 13 of them.  His 13 targets were the most he’s had this season, as were the 9 catches and 148 receiving yards.  The only thing he didn’t do right this weekend was finding the end zone.  He’ll look to continue with the good ways in Week 12 against the Titans. 

Davante Adams is heating up!  Adams was targeted 13 times in Week 11 and made the most out of them.  He finished the game with 7 catches for 141 yards and 2 touchdowns.  He’s now broken the century mark in 3 straight and has 5 touchdowns over those games.  He’s on an absolute heater right now and his fantasy owners are finally reaping the benefits of drafting him early. 

This one is bittersweet.  Wan’Dale Robinson had the game of his young career, but it ended in misery.  He set career-highs in targets with 13, receptions with 9, and yards with 100.  When all was said and done though his season came to an end as he tore his ACL.  His future is bright though.  We’ll miss you kid!

Running Back Targets

Another week where the running backs were essentially MIA in the receiving game.  No running back was targeted more than 7 times this week.  We’ll focus on Tony Pollard here though.  Pollard was targeted just 6 times but he caught all 6 for 109 receiving yards and 2 receiving touchdowns.  He was a huge reason the Cowboys were able to thoroughly dominate the Vikings this weekend.  Up next for him will be a date with the Giants on Turkey day. 

Tight End Targets

For just the second time this season, Pat Freiermuth had double-digit targets.  His 12 targets this weekend were a season-high and his 8 receptions tied a season-high.  With all that being said, the damage that he did was minimal as he only finished with 79 yards and no touchdowns. 

Is there a more fun tandem to watch than Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce?  Kelce had yet another monster game this weekend.  He turned his 10 targets into 6 catches, 115 yards, and 3 touchdowns!  His 3 touchdowns now give him 11 on the year.  Kelce continues to be one of the most dominant pass catchers in the game. 

Quarterback Target Share

Dak Prescott and the Cowboys had as dominant of a game as we’ve seen this season.  A lot of it had to do with how he used his pass-catchers. Nearly a third of all of his 30 passes went to his running backs.  With how well Pollard played, a bulk of those went to him. 

With the majority of his receiving corps out or getting injured mid-game, Patrick Mahomes went to old reliable often.  Nearly 50% of Patrick Mahomes passes went to his tight ends.  While Kelce got the majority of them, Jody Fortson and Noah Gray also got a handful of targets this weekend. 

Jalen Hurts only threw the ball 23 times this weekend, but 80% of those went to his wide receivers.  While Davonta Smith and A.J. Brown were the most heavily targeted, it was Quez Watkins that had arguably the most important catch as his went for a TD. 

Running Back Touches

After a couple of down weeks in regards to carries, the workhorse known as Derrick Henry returned in Week 11.  His 28 carries led all running backs this week.  He didn’t break 100 yards, but most importantly he found the end zone.  His TD game him 10 for the season, the fifth straight season he’s had double-digit rushing touchdowns.  Up next for the Titans will be the Bengals in what is essentially a neutral matchup for Henry. 

For the second consecutive week, Josh Jacobs had at least 20 carries. His 24 carries were the second most he’s had this season and the fifth time he’s had at least 20 this season.  He also broke the century mark with 109 yards on the ground.  He’s now had at least 100 rushing yards 4 times this season. 

Playbook

The ‘Playbook’ as I like to call it shows a breakdown of the play splits that teams used this past weekend.

Between David Montgomery and Justin Fields, the Bears ran a mostly run-type offense this week.  41 of their 60 plays were run plays and the bulk of those runs were Fields and Montgomery.  They combined for 35 carries in Week 11.

With Dameon Pierce having a down game and the Texans went with a pass-heavy offense.  They threw the ball more than 66% of the time this weekend.  The passing game didn’t do much better than the run game as the Texans lost pretty badly to the Commanders. 

Make sure to check out all of our NFL articles here.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

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