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Happy Thanksgiving everyone and welcome to one of my favorite DFS days of the year. With just 3 games on the slate, excitement rises and falls so quickly. It makes for great entertainment as you gather with family and friends.

Please be sure to check out Stix’s projections each week when evaluating NFL DFS using the NFL Projection Model. It’s the best predictive tool on the market and will give you a competitive advantage against the competition! Also don’t forget to check out our NFL DraftCast we did earlier this week here at WinDaily, which breaks down our favorite plays on the entire slate.

Different than the normal report, I’m giving out my Core (Main Dish) RBs, Value (Appetizing) RBs, and Tempting (Dessert) RBs


TONY POLLARD $6600 DraftKings

Everyone sees it as it’s clear as day. Tony Pollard is a better football player than Zeke Elliott. But in typical Cowboys stubbornness, they continue to teot out the crop top more than they should. Good news from last week is that Pollard outsnapped Zeke 2 to 1. With it being a short week and Elliott still “rounding” into shape, I expect the same today. Which makes this a great spot for the speedster from Texas Tech. The Giants have the worst rush defense on the card today (28th DVOA and 25th in rushing yards allowed per game). Pollard is the guy today….don’t let me down Mike McCarthy.


We have some good correlation from last week as Tony Pollard, our 1st RB on the board today, just faced the Vikings who are the Patriots opponent tonight. And we all recall Pollard’s huge game against Minnesota which resulted in 38.9 DK points.

We’re not expecting or predicting the same game from Rhamondre Stevenson tonight but I am excited about this matchup. Stevenson saw 78% of the snap count last week and received 22% of Mac Jones targets. In fact, he’s averaged just over 4 catches a game which adds value to his predicted performance. Add in the fact the Vikings allow the 9th most fantasy points to RBs and we have a really good game environment for the Pat’s RB to feast on Turkey Day.


DE’ANDRE SWIFT $5600 DraftKings

If the game script goes as expected, Swift will be heavily involved in the passing game as Detroit tries to scramble back into the game against the Bills today. His snap count is somewhat concerning but it’s clear the Lions are only using him in obvious passing downs and mixing in a carry to spell the other backs. But again, this could be a good spot if the Lions get down early.


The Bills RB popped for his best rushing game of the season last week against the Browns as he posted 86 yards on 18 carries. He’s been a steady force for the Bills putting up an average of 12.2 DK points per game. The Lions have the 27th ranked rushing defense according to DVOA. So there will be opportunities here and Singletary will produce. The question is will he outperform our top 2. There’s definitely a chance but he’s my 3rd rated RB today with the potential to break the slate.


DALVIN COOK $7400 DraftKings

The Patriots have fixed their rushing defense in the past few weeks and moved up to 12th in rush defense DVOA. But that’s primarily because they’ve faced Zach Wilson (twice) and Sam Ehlinger in the past 3 weeks. You have to go back to week 4 to find the last time they faced a quality QB in Aaron Rodgers. And they allowed 199 yards rushing in that game. Bellichick will try to take JJ out of the game which will open up holes for Cook. Don’t sleep on Dalvin this week. Stay up for the dessert and get some shares of the Vikings RB.

SAQUON BARKLEY $8000 DraftKings

This price point is too huge for me in lineups where I get Bills/Lions heavy. But in scripts where I go light on the early game, I will find ways to roster the Giants RB. He posted 126 total yards in the first matchup between the teams this year. And he has a 5.1 career yards per carry against the Boys. The GMen won’t let the Cowboys pash rush dominate like they did in Minnesota and he’ll try to do what Green Bay did who ran 65% of the time for 207 yards against Dallas just 2 weeks ago.

picture courtesy of


My bonus pick this week is JAMAL WILLIAMS ($5900 DK). This is a tough spot as the Bills rank in the top 5 in most defensive categories. But Williams is always in play necause of his touchdown potential. He leads the NFL with 12 rushing TDs this year and could punch 1-2 in today to help propel him to the top of the RB list. My gut says he won’t but I’ll play him lightly on some of my Lions stacks.


DALVIN COOK over 71.5 yards rushing (-120)

RHAMONDRE STEVENSON over 58.5 yards rushing

Now that you finished reading the NFL RUNNING BACK REPORT article make sure to check out our YouTube Channel for constant content for every game and slate in the NFL this season and hop in our Discord Expert Chat.

Also, be sure to follow me on Twitter (@dgloeck) and my other content that is part of the WinDailySports family.

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