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DFS

Week 5 DFS TE and DST NFL Picks: Ertz So Good

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

It’s Week 5 DFS for the NFL, and there are plenty of viable TE and DST plays to get us in the money for cash games and GPPs. Let’s fire up the DFS engines and get you the picks you need to take down the tourneys and better your opponents.

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Week 5 DFS Tight End NFL — Cash Game Plays

Zach Ertz, PHI vs. NYJ

FD ($6,600) DK ($6,000)

While the Eagles receiving corps is getting healthier, Ertz remains a much-utilized target within Philly’s offense. Through four games, he’s seen the most targets among TEs (38) and racked up 24-255-0, the glaring lack of a TD the only thing that ‘s keeping him from fantasy glory. Against the Jets in Week 5, he stands a good chance to remedy that. Zach Ertz is reasonably priced, the number one cash game play of the main slate and makes for a fine lock-and-load in all formats.

Evan Engram, NYG vs. MIN

FD ($6,300) DK ($5,800)

If Wertz is first, who do you think is second? Engram has only one fewer target (37) than Ertz and is averaging 6.75 receptions, 82.75 yards and a 0.5 TDs per game. If we round those numbers up to 7-83-1, we’re looking at a solid cash game play in a game that should feature a lot of the Giants TE. He comes at a small discount from Ertz, and even with WR Golden Tate back and slot man Sterling Shepard clicking with Rookie QB Daniel Jones, Engram projects to see around 8-10 targets on a weekly basis.

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Week 5 DFS Tight End NFL — GPP Plays

Austin Hooper, ATL at HOU

FD ($6,700) DK ($4,500)

We’ve got some huge disparity with the pricing on Hoper, who’s themost expensive TE on FD at $6,700, and only the fifth priciest on DK. That’s somethingwe can take advantage of in GPPs on FD, where his ownership should be slightlylower. Hooper saw 11 targets in Week 4, the most among NFL tight ends, and bustedout for 9-130-0. The Texans have been stingy vs. TEs, but with this game projectedto be a boon for all the skill position players, I’ll be utilizing Hooper in game/teamstacks with Matt Ryan and Julio Jones, and running back some of the Texans (DeAndreHopkins, Will Fuller).

Darren Waller, OAK vs. CHI

FD ($6,400) DK ($5,000)

At this point, it’s safeto call Waller matchup-proof, and while his upside is somewhat limited againstthe Bears, I can’t keep him completely off my builds for Week 5 NFL DFS. He’stied with Engram for second most targets among TEs (37) and he’ll be utilizedoften as a check down with the Raiders likely struggling to move the ball verticallyup the field. Ownership on both sites will be low and there’s no reason we shouldn’tlook to Derek Carr’s most reliable pass catcher as a contrarian GPP option here.

Greg Olsen, CAR vs. JAC

FD ($5,700) DK ($4,000)

In Week 3, Kyle Allen looked absolutely smitten with hisveteran TE, but Olsen had a quiet week last Sunday when he hauled in just twoof his four targets for 5 yards. That performance was against the aforementionedTexans, and game log followers with recency bias may steer clear of Olsen thisweek. That’s fine – because when healthy, we need reliable red zone targets withupside like Olsen in our GPPs. The Jaguars aren’t the big bad scary predatorycats they were in 2018, so plug in the Panthers TE with confidence.

Ben Watson, NE at WAS

FD ($5,200) DK ($3,700)

Doyou like risk? How about when it comes with oodles of upside in a matchup thatportends many scoring opportunities for a potent offense? Tom Brady has been desperatelylooking for a TE to lock onto since Rob Gronkowski retired, and Watson – in his15^th NFL season and his second turn with the Patriots – is comingoff a four-game suspension that’s kept him off the field thus far. In his triumphantreturn to New England, we could see a few extra targets go his way. I won’t havetons of exposure to Watson, who’s probably going to be limited to red zonechances and about half of the Pats’ total offensive snaps, but he’s anoff-the-wall play for GPPs.

Week 5 DFS Tight End NFL — Value and Punt Plays

Tyler Eifert, CIN vs. ARI

FD (4,600) DK ($3,300)

Eifertis crazy cheap on both sites and gets a gigantic boost against the Cardinals,who yield 163.7% of the average fantasy points to TEs. He’s been quiet thisseason and he might get chalky, but the Bengals offense is missing some oftheir WRs and Eifert is an attractive value play in Week 5.

Jared Cook, NO vs. TB

FD($4,500) DK ($3,400)

Game manager Teddy Bridgewater doesn’t necessarily get the bloodpumping and inspire confidence in the New Orleans offense, but the QB should belooking more to Jared Cook in Week 5 against the Bucs, who provide a favorablematchup for the athletic Cook. His 18 targets through four games is arelatively low number, but this is a good game for him to spike a Top 10 TEfinish and find some good, old-fashioned NFL paydirt.

Additional GPP options:

O.J. Howard, TB at NO (FD $5,800, DK $3,900)

Jimmy Graham, GB at DAL (FD $5,700, DK $4,300)

Dawson Knox, BUF at TEN (FD$4,800, DK $3,100)

Trey Burton, CHI at OAK (FD $4,800, DK $3,300)

Week 5 DFS DST NFL — Cash Game Plays

Chicago Bears (CHI at OAK)

FD ($5,000) DK ($3,800)

The Bears are slightly cheaper than the Pats on both sites and rank as my top cash game DST for Week 5. They’re just as likely as New England to notch multiple sacks and grab a few turnovers, and they probably have a little more upside based on some of their standouts defensive talents like sack specialist Khalil Mack, DB Kyle Fuller (23 solos, two INTs) and linebacker Roquan Smith, who’s back with the team after missing Week 4 for personal reasons. I’m buying in both cash and GPP contests.

New England Patriots (NE at WAS)

FD ($5,500) DK ($4,300)

The Redskins are having some difficulty settling on a QB for Week5, and the Pats defensive players must be licking their collective chops at theprospect of haranguing either journeyman Case Keenum, Colty McCoy (who’s yet tosee the field for Washington this season), or rookie Dwayne Haskins, who was9-for-17 in Week 4 with three INTs. New England comes in as my second-best cashgame play, but they’re usable in all formats.

Week 5 DFS DST NFL — GPP Plays

Minnesota Vikings (MIN at NYG)

FD ($4,500) DK ($3,200)

The Giants aren’t quite as terrible as they were during the firstcouple of weeks, but they’re prone to turnovers and providing scoring opportunitiesfor opposing defenses with a substandard offensive line and a rookie QB. TheVikings are affordable on both sites and could get lost in the shuffle ofviable DST options.

Philadelphia Eagles (PHI vs. NYJ)

FD ($4,900) DK ($3,700)

We’ll be seeing a lot of green-on-green violence in this Sunday tilt, and there’s as much upside to this Philly unit (which has yet to break out with a double-digit performance) as any other DST on the slate.

Tennessee Titans (TEN vs. BUF)

FD ($4,800) DK ($3,000)

I’m not trying to pick on the New York teams this week, even if it feels like it, but the Bills could be the third squad form the Empire State who’s not entering Week 5 with the same starting QB they rolled out in Week 1. The Bills are not a bad team, but the Titans have been watching the tape on Matt Barkley and planning accordingly.

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Week 5 DFS DST NFL — Punt Plays

Green Bay Packers (GB at DAL)

FD ($3,700) DK ($2,400)

The Packers are another team that’s super risky heading into Week5 but make sense an off-the-board GPP play in Dallas. I’m a Cowboys fan and I knowthat the offensive lien issues they’re having are much more of a problem than anyonewants to let on. Pairing them with Aaron Jones and fading Ezekiel Elliott on afew lineups could allow you to find some leverage and load up withTexans-Falcons, my favorite game stack on the slate.

Cincinnati Bengals (CIN vs. ARI)

FD($3,400) DK ($2,500)

The Bengals are once again viable in GPPs (they’re at home and facing a rookie QB) but they’re not going to make any of my cash game builds. Use them as a contrarian GPP defense with plenty of upside and just as much risk.

Photo of Zach Ertz by Keith Allison

5 years ago 0 comments

NFL DFS Week 4 Reactions and Outlooks: Win Daily Dozen

adam.sardinha1@gmail.com 5 years ago

written by adam.sardinha1@gmail.com

NFL Week 4 DFS is almost complete. Let’s take a look at the biggest takeaways from all of Sunday’s Week 4 DFS action. I have compiled 12 major observations from the games played on Sunday. Above all, we also will look ahead to Week 5. Prices discussed are for DraftKings.

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The Dome Is Patrick Mahomes’ Kryptonite

The stage was set for the Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes to blow up against a Detroit Lions defense that was missing their top cornerback in Darius Slay. However, Mahomes failed to throw or rush for a touchdown for the first time. Yet, he still scored 21.7 DraftKings points which just shows the type of floor he possesses in both GPPs and cash games. Mahomes saw 22.5% ownership in the NFL MASSIVE $25 DOUBLE UP. You will have to go without Patrick Mahomes in Week 5, though, because the Chiefs are playing on Sunday night.

Chris Godwin Unstoppable

Chris Godwin is producing more than Mike Evans despite seeing fewer targets through four weeks of the season. Whether it is due to the fact that Evans sees more coverage every single week or not, the top Buccaneers receiver has scored the following: 14.3, 29.1, 48.1, and 44.2. If you can identify which one is likely to have the big game, their ceiling is sky-high. In Week 5, the Buccaneers are playing the Saints. Evans is priced at $7,100 and Godwin is at $6,900. Historically, Evans has played better versus the Saints and will most likely face Marshon Lattimore. It’s worth noting as well that Godwin was owned in less than 0.4% of lineups in the NFL $300K FAIR CATCH despite just being at $6,00 salary.

https://twitter.com/adamlevitan/status/1178484332312305664

Full-On Nick Chubb

There were not many people high on Nick Chubb in Week 4 DFS. In the WEEK 4 DFS GPP NFL $300K FAIR CATCH contest Chubb was owned in just 2.3% of lineups. His price was not absurd at $6,400, but the buzz around the Browns was low and the matchup was perceived to be tough on the road versus Baltimore. This tended to not be the case, and goes back to the idea that in GPPs you want to target running backs that are game flow independent in matchups that do not look great on paper. Sometimes the amount of volume and opportunities will come through as the determining factor. Also, consider that the Ravens gave up a lot of points to the running back position in Week 3; more players should have been on Chubb. Chubb scored 42.3 fantasy points in Week 4.

Lamar Jackson Still Underrated

It seems like Lamar Jackson still is not played enough. In the Week 4 DFS NFL MASSIVE $50 DOUBLE UP contest, Jackson had just 2.1% ownership. He had 5.6% ownership in the WEEK 4 DFS GPP NFL $300K FAIR CATCH. This tells me that players are still not viewing Jackson as a trustworthy quarterback or are scared off his high price tag. After two down weeks, Jackson is likely to be under-owned in Week 5 as the highest priced quarterback on the main slate at $7,100. Keep in mind that Jackson is going to be facing a weak Steelers’ defense in Week 5. Jackson has also yet to score less than 21 fantasy points this season.

Russell Wilson Was A Huge Bust

Everybody was on Wilson in Week 4 DFS. And of course, he busted. He scored just 14.3 fantasy points because he attempted just a total of 28 passes. Those were similar to the total passing attempts he had in just the fourth quarter from LAST WEEK. That is why is it is crucial that context is put behind these performances. For the Seahawks to unleash Wilson he needs to be put in a negative game script or the Seahawks will just run. Wilson was highly owned in the Week 4 DFS NFL $300K FAIR CATCH contest at 20.7%. He was even higher owned in the NFL MASSIVE $50 DOUBLE UP at 29.7%. In the end, he was a trap play in Week 4 with the Seahawks as favorites on the road against the Cardinals. The Seahawks take on the Rams in Week 5 on Thursday night.

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Denver Broncos Late Game Swap

Are you using the late-game swap for DFS? If you are not aware of it go read one of my past articles titled DFS DraftKings: Fantasy Football Winning Tips. It can give you a huge edge in DFS. Here is why: In the late games, it was announced that Jalen Ramsey was going to be inactive. Despite this, Emmanuel Sanders was at just 2.6% ownership and Courtland Sutton at just 1.1% ownership even though both were under 5K. They both went under-owned because people were not sure about Ramsey and thus avoided them altogether. Take advantage of these late-game inactives and build lineups with the flexibility that you can swap in guys if inactives pop up. Both Sanders and Sutton were value plays and should have been higher owned. In Week 5, Sanders is $5,100 and Sutton is $4,900.

The Will Dissly Chalk Hits

The trend against the Arizona Cardinals’ defense continues. Tight ends cannot be contained versus this defense and you should just continue to play tight ends until something else tells you otherwise. In Week 4 DFS, Will Dissly was massive chalk with 40.3% ownership at tight end and he hit by scoring 18.7 fantasy points. In Week 5, the Bengals will play Arizona, setting the stage for an extremely cheap Tyler Eifert at $3,300 and C.J. Uzomah at $2,600.

The Keenan Allen Wide Receiver Trap

A tip for DFS players is that paying up for the expensive chalk wide receivers do not usually pan out. That was the whole idea surrounding Allen this week, who was priced up at $7,600. He scored just 9.8 fantasy points and had a whopping 60.9% ownership in the NFL MASSIVE $50 DOUBLE UP and a 39.6% ownership in the NFL $300K FAIR CATCH GPP contest. When looking for exposure to teams with high implied totals always aim for the receivers that are cheaper. In this scenario, it should have been a no-brainer to play Dontrelle Inman at $3,000, who was at 13.6% in the NFL MASSIVE $50 DOUBLE UP. Always eat the low-priced value wide receiver chalk and never on high-priced WRs.

Wayne Gallman Jr. Delivers As Chalk Running Back

We all wondered if Gallman would see a full snap share in Week 4 DFS and he delivered. He scored 28.8 fantasy points and at 4,600 was a great value play for anyone who used him. When you get a running back with a three-down skill set under 5K they need to be rostered. He was at 18.1% ownership in the NFL $300K FAIR CATCH GPP contest and was at a whopping 44.7% ownership in the NFL MASSIVE $50 DOUBLE UP. But will he continue to be a value play in Week 5? Considering his new price of $5,400 and a date with the Vikings defense, I am hesitant on Gallman for Week 5.

Kerryon Johnson Delivers

I was very high on Johnson entering this week and he came up big. He rushed for 125 yards and had two receptions. However, he was unable to find the end zone and actually fumbled at the goal line, which resulted in a touchdown for the Chiefs. He was highly owned at 25.7% ownership in the NFL MASSIVE $50 DOUBLE UP and 16.2% ownership in the NFL $300K FAIR CATCH. It could have been a bigger game for Johnson, but it is worth noting that game flow favored the Lions, allowing Johnson to get 26 carries. He will be heavily owned when the Lions play the Packers weak run defense in Week 6 following the Lions’ bye week.

Austin Hooper Price Break

The people at DraftKings do not like Hooper. After another 25-point performance in Week 4 DFS, Hooper’s salary has increased by just $200 to $4,500. Through the first four weeks of the season, Hooper has at least six targets and four receptions in each game. At the tight end position, he ranks fourth in the NFL in receptions, second in touchdowns and seventh in targets. Via DraftKings, he has caught 81.8 percent of the passes thrown his way since the start of last season. He will continue to be a value at his price into Week 5.

Leonard Fournette: It’s All About Touches

Leonard Fournette still has not scored a touchdown yet this season and that trend is going to end very soon. The amount of touches Fournette is seeing is absurd. He is seeing over 90% of the running workload and 20% in the passing game. That trend continued on Sunday with 29 rushing attempts for 225 rushing yards along with two receptions for 20 receiving yards. On the season Fournette has 96 total touches which is 24 per game. At this rate, it is just a matter of time until Fournette finds the end zone. His price is at $6,500 in Week 5. He is an ideal cash game play.

https://twitter.com/DerekCarty/status/1177587481446879232

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS, AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE.

Image via: Erik Drost

5 years ago 0 comments

NFL

Week 4 NFL DFS Podcast and Full Gameday Guide

5 years ago

written by

Our Founder, the “The Half a Million Dollar Man”, Jason Mezrahi and DFS PRO Dan Wehr welcome you in for NFL DFS Week 4. These two major tournament winners break down each position and game for Week 4 from their DFS perspectives. They discuss a solid GPP approach and go through their favorite plays and game stacks.

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Listen to DFS Pro Jason Mezrahi and Former WWE Star Matt Striker on the WIN DAILY SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio Show Saturday Nights from 11 pm to 1 am ET and always available on demand!

Week 4 NFL DFS Podcast: Game Previews and Picks for Week 4

Jason and Dan look through the full field of Week Four plays on FanDuel and DraftKings. They lay out their favorite stacks and they both like paying up at RB and have several options for you. Our DFS Pros discuss player ownership and which stacks will be over-owned and under-owned. Listen below and get ready to win big.

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WEEK FOUR NFL DFS GAMEDAY GUIDE: ALL YOU NEED TO PREPARE

–Join our Sunday Freeroll!

-Week Four NFL DFS DraftKings Cheatsheet

-Week Four NFL DFS FanDuel Cheatsheet

-Week Four NFL DFS FanDuel Projection Model

-Week Four NFL DFS DraftKings Projection Model

-VIDEO: Picks of the Week from Jason Mezrahi and Scott Engel

-VIDEO: More Week 4 Picks

-The King’s NEW Fantasy/DFS NFL Coach Translator

-The Complete Week 4 Main Slate Breakdown

The King’s Week 4 Featured DFS Picks

-Week Four Touches and Targets Outlooks

-The Week Four Injury Breakdown

-Your Week 4 Stacks

-DFS Pro David Jones’ GPP Picks of Destiny

-Top Cash Game Plays

-Week Four RB Picks

-Week Four WR Picks

-Week Four QB Picks

-Week 4 Four TE/DST Picks

-Week Four Seasonal Start ‘Em and Sit ‘Em

Thank you for listening to the Week One NFL DFS Podcast. Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily Sports has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms. There are channels set up for MLB, PGA, NASCAR, WNBA, CFL, NBA, and NFL. We also have a channel dedicated to sports betting and one dedicated to Monkey Knife Fight where we provide winners to cash in on daily. We have a special promo for a limited time only to sign up for a full 12 months at only $199.99 or a monthly plan at $19.99 which are both 50% off our regular price.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB Premium

DFS: Win Daily MLB Cheat Sheet Projections Sept. 28th

Jason Mezrahi 5 years ago

written by Jason Mezrahi

Thank you for checking out the Win Daily DFS MLB cheat sheet. Here you will find the top plays from our top DFS experts: Each day our team goes around the horn and lists their favorite plays at each position. They also will be providing some value and punt options for each position to help you opti...

5 years ago 0 comments

NFL

NFL DFS Week 3 Fantasy Football Game Previews – Win Daily VIDEO

Andrew Erickson 5 years ago

written by Andrew Erickson

Watch below to find out How to Build Your Lineup for NFL DFS Week 3!

https://youtu.be/3G_K1hM-al0

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Get Ready To Win This Sunday

Week 3 sets up for an epic contest for all DFS Week 3 players across the nation. Whether you are playing cash games or GPPs, there is value all across the board so make sure you focus your play on playing the best players with the highest projected ceilings especially in GPPs. You will find all the best picks for Week 3 here.

I review them in the video above, but if you need a quick hitter here are the lists of some players that I am buying for my DFS Week 3 lineups. They include Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, John Brown, Joe Mixon, Ito Smith, Cole Beasley, Tyler Boyd, Zach Ertz, Marvin Jones, Nelson Agholor, Sony Michel, Dalvin Cook, Hunter Renfrow, LeSean McCoy, Marlon Mack, Ezekiel Elliott, Dak Prescott, Randall Cobb, Preston Williams, and Jason Witten.

The fade players include Cowboys D/ST, Chiefs’ wide receivers, Matt Ryan, and Evan Engram. Also, do not forget to buy into the Cardinals’ wide receivers. Larry Fitzgerald ($5,100), Damiere Byrd ($3,000), and Christian Kirk ($5,000) are three of the top five leaders in routes run so far in 2019. Are you ready for NFL DFS Week 3?

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS, AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE.

5 years ago 0 comments

NFL

Week 3 NFL DFS Podcast and Full Gameday Guide

5 years ago

written by

Our Founder, the “The Half a Million Dollar Man”, Jason Mezrahi and DFS PROS Dan Wehr and David Jones welcome you in for NFL DFS Week 3. These three major tournament winners break down each position for Week 3 from their DFS perspectives. They discuss a solid GPP approach and go through their favorite plays and game stacks.

REGISTER FOR PREMIUM GOLD AND GET ONE ON ONE GAMEDAY ADVICE FROM OUR TOP EXPERTS!

Listen to DFS Pro Jason Mezrahi and Former WWE Star Matt Striker on the WIN DAILY SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio Show Saturday Nights from 11 pm to 1 am ET and always available on demand!

Week 3 NFL DFS Podcast: Game Previews and Picks for Week 3

Jason, David and Dan look through the full field of Week Two plays on FanDuel and DraftKings. They lay out their favorite stacks and they all like paying down at QB and have several options for you. Our DFS Pros discuss player ownership and which stacks will be over-owned and under-owned. Listen below and get ready to win big.

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WEEK THREE NFL DFS GAMEDAY GUIDE: ALL YOU NEED TO PREPARE

–Join our Sunday Freeroll!

-Week Three NFL DFS DraftKings Cheatsheet

-Week Three NFL DFS FanDuel Cheatsheet

-Week Three NFL DFS FanDuel Projection Model

-Week Three NFL DFS DraftKings Projection Model

VIDEO: Picks of the Week from Jason Mezrahi and Scott Engel

VIDEO: Sunday Main Slate Preview

-The King’s Top DFS Picks for Week 3

-The Complete Main Slate Preview

-Targets and Touches Outlooks

-Our Favorite Stacks

-The Best GPP Plays

-The Best Cash Game Plays

-The Injury Report with Medical Analysis

-RB Picks and Rundown

-WR Picks and Rundown

-QB Picks and Rundown

-TE and DST Picks and Rundown

-Seasonal Start ‘Em and Sit ‘Em

5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports

9/16 Fantasy Podcast: The King and Our DFS Pro on QB Trades, Waivers and MNF Showdown

Scott Engel 5 years ago

written by Scott Engel

Scott Engel and Dan Wehr look at how to replace Drew Brees in seasonal leagues, talk waiver priorities and FAAB bids, plus they preview MNF DFS. They provide lineup recommendations for the Monday Showdown slate on the 9/16 Fantasy Podcast.

9/16 Fantasy Podcast: Replacing Drew Brees and Top Waiver Adds

Scott and Dan look at possible waiver and trade targets if you suddenly find yourself needing QB help. Plus, they also rank the priority adds at WR and RB and tell you how much to spend in FAAB.

9/16 Fantasy Podcast – Monday Showdown Picks

You just cannot get around using Odell Beckham Jr. tonight, and after pairing him with Baker Mayfield, that will drain a lot of your salary. But we have some good value plays for you,

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Thank you for listening to the 9/16 Fantasy Podcast. Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily Sports has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms. There are channels set up for MLB, PGA, NASCAR, WNBA, CFL, NBA, and NFL. We also have a channel dedicated to sports betting and one dedicated to Monkey Knife Fight where we provide winners to cash in on daily. We have a special promo for a limited time only to sign up for a full 12 months at only $199.99 or a monthly plan at $19.99 which are both 50% off our regular price.

5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports

Week 2 NFL DFS Podcast and Full Gameday Guide

Jason Mezrahi 5 years ago

written by Jason Mezrahi

Our Founder “The Half a Million Dollar Man” Jason Mezrahi and DFS PROs Dan Wehr welcome you in for NFL DFS Week 2. These three major tournament winners break down each position for Week 2 from their DFS perspectives. They discuss a solid GPP approach and go through their favorite plays and game stacks.

REGISTER FOR PREMIUM GOLD AND GET ONE ON ONE GAMEDAY ADVICE FROM OUR TOP EXPERTS!

Listen to Jason Mezrahi and Matt Striker on the WIN DAILY SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio Show Saturday Nights from 11 pm to 1 am ET and always available on demand!

Week Two NFL DFS Podcast: Game Previews and Picks for Week Two

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

WEEK TWO NFL DFS GAMEDAY GUIDE: ALL YOU NEED TO PREPARE

–Join our Sunday Freeroll!

-Week Two NFL DFS DraftKings Cheatsheet

-Full NFL DFS Week Two Sunday Slate Preview and Game Breakdowns

-Recommended Week Two Stacks

–Lock In Your Prop Plays

-Week Two Injury Insider

-Week Two Touches and Targets Outlooks

-Wide Receiver Picks and Breakdown

-Running Back Picks and Breakdown

-GPP Picks and Strategies

-Cash Games Picks and Breakdown

-The Week Two seasonal Start ‘Em and Sit “Em

-Quarterback Picks and Breakdown

-Tight End and Defense Picks and Breakdown

5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL

Week 2 NFL DFS TE and DST Picks: Waller Pads Wallets

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

It’s already Week 2 NFL DFS time, and your wallets are gonna love Darren Waller — my favorite GPP play at TE this week. I’m also looking for some cash game TEs for your NFL DFS lineups – and some upside-laden defenses (DSTs) who could give you that essential edge.

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Week 2 Tight End NFL DFS Cash Game Plays

Travis Kelce, KC at OAK

FD ($8,000) DK ($7,300)

With Tyreek Hill out for an extended period of time and the Chiefs searching for reliable receiving options, Kelce will be looking at possibly 12-15 targets on a weekly basis. He’s a difficult matchup even for a decent defense with a good game plan, and he’s got both a solid floor and soaring upside. This week could feature a lot of the TEs from both teams (Darren Waller being the other). Kelce caught three of eight targets for 88 yards during last Sunday’s 40-26 win over the Jaguars and will be more heavily involved in this game plan with the Raiders losing safety Jonathan Abram.

Evan Engram, NYG vs. BUF

FD ($6,400) DK ($5,200)

Not to sound too much like last week, but Engram is STILL the best receiver available on the Giants and they will continue to throw him the ball without a corps of dependable wideouts. Sterling Shepard is questionable and Engram is essentially matchup-proof with how he’s deployed by the Giants. His 14 targets last week and 11-116-1 were more than even I anticipated, and he could top those numbers this week despite a tougher matchup against the Bills.

Week 2 Tight End NFL DFS GPP Plays

Darren Waller, OAK vs. KC

FD (5,400) DK ($3,300)

Waller played on every one of Oakland’s 55 offensive snaps in Week 1 in the Jared Cook role, hauling in 7-of-8 targets for 70 yards on MNF, leading the team in targets and appearing to be every bit as good as we’ve heard. That type of volume and his storied athleticism means he’ll be one of Derek Carr’s go-to players in a matchup that could see the Raiders throwing a lot in the second half.

George Kittle, SF at CIN

FD ($7,100) DK ($6,800)

I’m going back to the well this week with Kittle, who pulled down eight catches for 54 yards (no score) on a team-high 10 targets last week on an offense that didn’t have anybody else over three targets. With Matt Breida locked into the lead RB role and a lack of viable offensive ball control options, expect more of the same from the 49ers. That means plenty of looks for Kittle, who has the requisite upside for both GPPs and cash games. Plus, the Bengals were one of the weaker teams at defending tight ends a year ago, and that’s a good guideline for trusting George in the Jungle against the Big Cats this week.

Mark Andrews, BAL vs. ARI

FD ($6,100) DK (3,800)

Andrews caught all eight of his targets for 8-108-1 and essentially tripled his output projections for Week 1 — even if we expected a big game from him. He’s a bona fide TE1 with a decent floor and more upside than we imagined in last week’s write-up. I know the Dolphins defense was bad, but Andrews is still affordable on DK and should be an excellent FD GPP play.

Week 2 Tight End NFL DFS Value and Punt Plays

Blake Jarwin, DAL at WAS

FD ($4,500) DK ($2,900)

We know from last season that Jarwin has upside (his 12/30/18 game vs. the Giants saw him collect 7-119-3 on eight targets), and we know he’s involved in the Cowboys offensive plans for 2019 (3-39-1 on three targets in Week 1 against the Giants). I know — the Cowboys are in Washington, and don’t get to face the Giants again until later this season. But there’s still plenty of value here and Jarwin won’t make it onto too many rosters with all the viable TE plays this week — making him a solid GPP punt if you don’t have much more than the minimum to spend on your final spot.

T.J. Hockensen, DET vs. LAC

FD ($6,000) DK ($3,000)

Hockensen also shattered expectations in his remarkable debut for the Lions with 6-131-1 in the Week 1 tie against the Cards. We saw a pronounced skill set with oodles of athleticism and upside, and the Rob Gronkowski comparisons may be premature — that just doesn;t necessarily make them wrong. He’s projecting as a weekly option in all formats and makes for a fine flex play if you’re looking to use a couple of TEs.

Additional GPP/Punt options:

Will Dissly, SEA vs CIN (FD $4,000, DK $2,800)

Delanie Walker, TEN vs. IND (FD $5,900, DK $3,500)

Tyler Eifert, CIN vs. SF (FD $4,900, DK $2,900)

Week 2 NFL DFS DST Cash Game Plays

Baltimore Ravens (BAL at ARZ)

FD ($5,400) DK ($3,800)

The Ravens were the top consensus unit heading into last week, and the most expensive. This week, they’re once again the highest-priced DST on both sites, and that doesn’t dissuade me from locking them into any lineup in any format. The upside is still there, and they could force a bunch of turnovers facing a rookie QB. As one of the premier aggressive, ball-hawking defenses in an excellent matchup, they’re also as safe as any other DST on the docket.

New England Patriots (NE at MIA)

FD ($4,600) DK ($3,700)

The Pats get the Dolphins and come in a little bit cheaper on both sites. This is a pretty easy decision. In cash games, you’re going with the Pats or the Ravens and either unit makes sense in GPPs as well, especially since there’s plenty of opportunity to differentiate lineups at the skill positions. Still, the lack of counting stats in Week 1 (just one sack and one TO) could push some DFS competitors toward the Ravens.

Week 2 DST GPP Plays

Buffalo Bills (BUF at NYG)

FD ($4,400) DK ($3,400)

Like last week, there’s a precipitous drop following the top two defenses heading into Week 2. And while I dug the Rams here in Week 1, I’m looking for more exposure to the Bills in GPPS this week. Facing an exploitable New York Giants team with its questionable QBs, we could see another big outing from the Bills. They racked up four sacks and one takeaway while allowing just eight points to the Jets, and now get their in-state NFC analogs.

Houston Texans (HOU vs. JAX)

FD ($4,500) DK ($2,800)

The Texans defense had a tough time containing the Saints in Week 1, but get a much less potent offense to contend with in Week 2. Jaguars QB Gardner Minshew was solid in relief of Nick Foles (shoulder) last week, but Houston will watch the tapes and plot some new looks and impending disaster for the rookie. They’re a below-the-radar GPP/punt option that won’t cost you much on either site.

Chicago Bears (CHI vs. DEN)

FD ($4,200) DK ($3,900)

The Bears make it on the main slate after being confined to TNF showdowns and all-week slates in Week 1, and Broncos QB Joe Flacco couldn’t be more scared. I’m kidding, but the gist is that this is a defense to fear — and because of that, one to utilize in all fantasy formats. The effort against the Packers was maybe even a little better than expected: they limited the Packers to only 10 points while picking up five sacks — figures they could rocket past in Week 2.

Week 2 DST Punt Plays

Los Angeles Rams (LAR vs. NO — GPP)

FD ($3,600) DK ($2,700)

This is not a play for the faint of heart. The Saints are really good, but the Rams have Aaron Donald anchoring their defensive line and play at home. Nobody will be on them, and they are dirt cheap on both sits.

Seattle Seahawks (SEA at PIT — GPP)

FD ($3,700) DK ($2,900)

The Seahawks aren’t as great a play as last week, but this unit is still having some growing pains, and they’ll only get better as the season progresses. Still — they recovered three fumbles in Week 1 and totaled four sacks as a team, and they’re facing a Steelers offense that scored three points in the opener.

Denver Broncos (DEN vs. CHI — DK Cash/FD GPP)

FD ($4,500) DK ($2,700)

The Broncos make for a solid GPP play at their elevated price on FD and a relatively safe cash game play on DK. The Monday night game can be viewed as an anomaly, since negative fantasy production against a seemingly innocuous Oakland offense was more than bizarre. The Broncos have the pieces for maximum disruption, including an elite pass rush, and they’re worth a look in Week 2.

Evan Engram Featured Image via Keith Allison

5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL

NFL Season Week 2 DFS: Main Slate Preview

Antonio D'Arcangelis 5 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

It is time to move on to Week 2 DFS. Now we finally have some data to build off of! We will go through each matchup game by game, and I will give my best buys and fades.

WEEK TWO VIDEO PREVIEW with Matt Striker, The King and Jason Mezrahi

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MINNESOTA AT GREEN BAY

Talk about a potential snoozefest for Week 2 DFS. According to FanDuel Sportsbook, this game is slated for a total of 44 points with the Packers -3. Neither quarterback is in a desirable spot for cash games, but Aaron Rodgers ($6,500) is in an interesting spot as a GPP play because he will garner low-ownership percentage. In Rodgers’ last two starts at home against the Vikings, he’s thrown five touchdowns and averaged 314 passing yards. In those two games, both Davante Adams ($7,700) and Geronimo Allison ($4,400) had 60+ yards receiving or caught a touchdown. Lock Dalvin Cook ($7,200) in as well. The Packers allowed 15 receptions on 18 targets to running backs in the passing game last week. And the Vikings are high on team #EstablishTheRun.

The one thing to note is that there is a chance that this game is a sneaky shootout. It’s easy to stack receivers with Kirk Cousins at $5,300 because of the consolidated target share. The Vikings are so run so heavy in two-receiver sets (52% of plays last week). Adam Thielen ($7,100) and Stefon Diggs ($6,300) should dominate against the Packers, who ranked last in defensive efficiency against two-receiver sets. Thielen has gone over 96 yards in four of his last five against Green Bay. Diggs has gone over 60 yards in four of his last five games against Green Bay.

ARIZONA AT BALTIMORE

You should probably play Lamar Jackson ($6,700) across all formats in Week 2 DFS. Even at his expensive price the matchup against the Cardinals is too juicy. They allowed Matthew Stafford to absolutely explode in Week 1 for 31.6 fantasy points. Marquise Brown ($5,000) and Mark Andrews ($3,800) will be the two chalky receivers for Jackson. Brown is the easier fade, but Andrews is tough not to buy into considering what rookie T.J. Hockenson did to this Cardinals defense in Week 1. If you are looking to pivot off the chalkier Brown consider Seth Roberts, who led the team in snaps at the receiver position (52) and routes run (18). Mark Ingram might be heavily owned, especially this week in cash, but with no involvement in the passing game, that could make him more of a fade even against the porous Cardinals run defense if he does not score.

Arizona,ran 10-personnel on over 65% of their snaps. There is going to be opportunities for these receivers, especially if the Cardinals fall behind. You have Michael Crabtree ($3,300) with his #revengegame narrative, along with Christian Kirk ($4,500) and KeeSean Johnson ($3,100) as other options. Larry Fitzgerald ($4,600) traditionally plays better at home, making Kirk the better option this week.

JACKSONVILLE AT HOUSTON

It’s Gardner Minshew season in GPPs! Seriously though, at his price point at $4,800 as the starting quarterback of the Jaguars he can return on the investment. He scored 18.6 fantasy points last week against the Chiefs and in Week 2 DFS is playing an equally bad defense, The key for Minshew to be successful is that he will need to have time to throw the ball. Luckily for him, the Texans ranked sixth-worst in pass-rush grade in Week 1. Stack him with Dede Westbrook ($5,400) and Leonard Fournette ($6,300). Those guys could see a ton of short-area targets based on Minshew’s preseason yards/attempt at 4.9. Lower ownership as well. Also, the Texans just released Aaron Colvin, who was their primary slot cornerback.

As for the Texans, we saw the Chiefs made big plays against this secondary. This makes Will Fuller at ($5,300) an absolute screaming value play. In three career games against Jacksonville, Fuller has seen at least eight targets or totaled five receptions.

DALLAS AT WASHINGTON

Ezekiel Elliott ($8,700) in cash games. In GPPs, Adrian Peterson ($3,400) is getting the start and is running against the defense that allowed 10 yards/attempt last week to the Giants’ Saquon Barkley. Peterson is fresh and coming off a healthy inactive scratch. He’ll be ready to roll. Dak Prescott ($6,300) is another consideration in cash and can be stacked with any number of his receivers. Vernon Davis ($3,200) / Jordan Reed ($3,400) are two more punt plays at tight end. Reed will have very low ownership even if he does play.

INDIANAPOLIS AT TENNESSE

The Colts allowed the second-most fantasy points to the running back position in Week 2 DFS. Sets the stage nicely for Derrick Henry ($6,000). However, the contrarian play is Marlon Mack ($5,900). The Colts have historically dominated the Titans. Mack rushed for 180 yards in two games last year with two touchdowns against the Titans.

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS AT DETROIT

Austin Ekeler ($6,100) in cash games. He was the true workhorse in the Chargers’ backfield. It was 75-25% split between him and Justin Jackson in snaps, 12-6 in rushing attempts, and seven-three in targets. His price went up just $600 from Week 1. Also, there are a ton of injuries with Hunter Henry out and Mike Williams ($5,500) just funneling more targets to Ekeler and Keenan Allen ($7,600). Should Williams completely miss the game, wide receiver Travis Benjamin ($3,200) gets a significant bump.

SAN FRANCISCO AT CINCINNATI

Tyler Boyd ($6,500) is still the option to target heavily at the receiver position. His ownership will probably be suppressed because of the hype on John Ross. Boyd received 11 targets and still definitely emerged as Andy Dalton’s safety net. If Joe Mixon ($6,500) is out, prepare to eat chalk and get a lot of exposure on Giovani Bernard ($5,300).

NEW ENGLAND AT MIAMI

Buy into Sony Michel ($6,200) in GPPs. Michel flopped big time in Week 1, but the game script narrative absolutely screams Michel as the dominant runner. But if the Patriots decide to make Damien Harris ($3,500) active I would pivot off Michel immediately. Harris profiles as a more in-between the tackles grinder so he could end up eating into touches if the game gets out of hand. Tom Brady ($6,400) is a safe cash play at the quarterback position. Too many weapons and he averaged 316 yards passing and three touchdowns in his last two games versus Miami.

SEATTLE AT PITTSBURGH

The Seahawks allowed 418 passing yards last week, which was a career-high for Andy Dalton. Ben Roethlisberger is definitely set to have a bounce-back effort against Seattle in Week 2 DFS. He is back home where his TD-INT ratio was 19-7 versus 15-9 on the road. A GPP receiver that could see some potential boom potential for Pittsburgh is James Washington. He led all players in air yards last Sunday (169) and Donte Moncrief has feet for hands. Chris Carson ($6,400) is a fade for me in an offense that does not necessarily project to see a lot of plays run. The Steelers run defense also played pretty well last week. They limited the Patriots to 3.4 yards per carry. The Seahawks averaged just 2.9 yards per carry last week against a sub-par Bengals defensive unit.

BUFFALO AT NEW YORK GIANTS

Josh Allen ($5,300) is one of the quarterbacks to target in GPPs. Despite four awful turnovers, Allen still managed to score 17+ fantasy points. With the Giants next up on the schedule (allowed 100+ receiving yards to both Michael Gallup and Amari Cooper and over 180 air yards last week) there’s upside with Allen. Three of Allen’s receivers surpassed over 70 air yards last week. Most will stack John Brown, but for a sneaky play look for Cole Beasley ($3,800) and Zay Jones ($3,500). As always the Giants have a two-man show in Evan Engram ($5,200) and Saqoun Barkley ($9,200). Engram is just $400 more than last week. They both see so much work and are viable options in both cash and GPPs. Especially with the chance that Sterling Shepard misses the game with a concussion.

KANSAS CITY AT OAKLAND

The highest over/under in Week 2 DFS this game should be heavily targeted by DFS players. Tyrell Williams ($4,400) is the stone-cold lock as a value wide receiver who has a great chance of leading the team in targets. Darren Waller ($3,300) is also the perfect punt play at tight end to get great value paying down for tight end. Running back Josh Jacobs at ($4,700) is also absolutely absurdly priced as a running back that could easily see 20+ touches. Tons of value on the Raiders side of things with the Chiefs creating an offensive atmosphere.

For the Chiefs, there’s a lot of value behind Mecole Hardman ($4,800) to be the Tyreek Hill replacement. If we learned anything from Week 1 is that speed kills. Hardman can fly and if he sees his role expanded he can deliver big-time.

NEW ORLEANS AT LOS ANGELES RAMS

Fade Drew Brees ($6,200). Brees’ 2018 home-road splits are absolutely astonishing. 21-1 TD – INT ratio at home, versus 11-4 ratio on the road. Yards per pass attempt fall from 9.54 all the way down to 6.88. Averaged 321 passing yards/game at home versus 217 passing yards/game on the road. But the quarterback on the other side of the field, Jared Goff ($5,900), is a BUY. His home TD-INT ratio last season was 22-3 with a yards/attempt at 9. You also need to make sure that Alvin Kamara ($8,200) is literally in every single one of your lineups. Then you need to bring it back with Brandin Cooks ($6,300) who like Goff, smashes at home. His numbers increase at home, going to 6.6 receptions and 95 receiving yards from 3.4 receptions and 55 receiving yards. Also…#revengegame.

With Brees projected to struggle, that is also why Michael Thomas is not someone you should be targeting at $8,000. The Rams secondary is much better with Aqib Talib on the field. In the NFC Championship Game, Thomas was held to just four receptions for 36 receiving yards. The better pass-catching option to utilize is Jared Cook at $4,700. Cook has played against the Wade Phillips led Rams’ defense just once and he absolutely smashed. Nine receptions for 180 yards.

https://twitter.com/AndrewErickson_/status/1171773582709592064

CHICAGO AT DENVER

You need to play a Week 2 DFS DST from some game correct? The Broncos DST ($2,700) was absolutely terrible last week against Oakland, but their track record in September at home is great. According to BradOTC on Twitter, the Broncos are 53-8-1 at Home in Weeks 1-2 since the AFL-NFL merger. 21-1 at home Weeks 1-2 since 2001. Also Mitchell Trubisky had three interceptions and five fumbles on the road last season. This game has the lowest total on FanDuel Sportsbooks at 40.5 with the Bears road favorites at -2.5.

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