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NFL Season Week 2 DFS: Main Slate Preview

It is time to move on to Week 2 DFS. Now we finally have some data to build off of! We will go through each matchup game by game, and I will give my best buys and fades.

WEEK TWO VIDEO PREVIEW with Matt Striker, The King and Jason Mezrahi

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MINNESOTA AT GREEN BAY

Talk about a potential snoozefest for Week 2 DFS. According to FanDuel Sportsbook, this game is slated for a total of 44 points with the Packers -3. Neither quarterback is in a desirable spot for cash games, but Aaron Rodgers ($6,500) is in an interesting spot as a GPP play because he will garner low-ownership percentage. In Rodgers’ last two starts at home against the Vikings, he’s thrown five touchdowns and averaged 314 passing yards. In those two games, both Davante Adams ($7,700) and Geronimo Allison ($4,400) had 60+ yards receiving or caught a touchdown. Lock Dalvin Cook ($7,200) in as well. The Packers allowed 15 receptions on 18 targets to running backs in the passing game last week. And the Vikings are high on team #EstablishTheRun.

The one thing to note is that there is a chance that this game is a sneaky shootout. It’s easy to stack receivers with Kirk Cousins at $5,300 because of the consolidated target share. The Vikings are so run so heavy in two-receiver sets (52% of plays last week). Adam Thielen ($7,100) and Stefon Diggs ($6,300) should dominate against the Packers, who ranked last in defensive efficiency against two-receiver sets. Thielen has gone over 96 yards in four of his last five against Green Bay. Diggs has gone over 60 yards in four of his last five games against Green Bay.

ARIZONA AT BALTIMORE

You should probably play Lamar Jackson ($6,700) across all formats in Week 2 DFS. Even at his expensive price the matchup against the Cardinals is too juicy. They allowed Matthew Stafford to absolutely explode in Week 1 for 31.6 fantasy points. Marquise Brown ($5,000) and Mark Andrews ($3,800) will be the two chalky receivers for Jackson. Brown is the easier fade, but Andrews is tough not to buy into considering what rookie T.J. Hockenson did to this Cardinals defense in Week 1. If you are looking to pivot off the chalkier Brown consider Seth Roberts, who led the team in snaps at the receiver position (52) and routes run (18). Mark Ingram might be heavily owned, especially this week in cash, but with no involvement in the passing game, that could make him more of a fade even against the porous Cardinals run defense if he does not score.

Arizona,ran 10-personnel on over 65% of their snaps. There is going to be opportunities for these receivers, especially if the Cardinals fall behind. You have Michael Crabtree ($3,300) with his #revengegame narrative, along with Christian Kirk ($4,500) and KeeSean Johnson ($3,100) as other options. Larry Fitzgerald ($4,600) traditionally plays better at home, making Kirk the better option this week.

JACKSONVILLE AT HOUSTON

It’s Gardner Minshew season in GPPs! Seriously though, at his price point at $4,800 as the starting quarterback of the Jaguars he can return on the investment. He scored 18.6 fantasy points last week against the Chiefs and in Week 2 DFS is playing an equally bad defense, The key for Minshew to be successful is that he will need to have time to throw the ball. Luckily for him, the Texans ranked sixth-worst in pass-rush grade in Week 1. Stack him with Dede Westbrook ($5,400) and Leonard Fournette ($6,300). Those guys could see a ton of short-area targets based on Minshew’s preseason yards/attempt at 4.9. Lower ownership as well. Also, the Texans just released Aaron Colvin, who was their primary slot cornerback.

As for the Texans, we saw the Chiefs made big plays against this secondary. This makes Will Fuller at ($5,300) an absolute screaming value play. In three career games against Jacksonville, Fuller has seen at least eight targets or totaled five receptions.

DALLAS AT WASHINGTON

Ezekiel Elliott ($8,700) in cash games. In GPPs, Adrian Peterson ($3,400) is getting the start and is running against the defense that allowed 10 yards/attempt last week to the Giants’ Saquon Barkley. Peterson is fresh and coming off a healthy inactive scratch. He’ll be ready to roll. Dak Prescott ($6,300) is another consideration in cash and can be stacked with any number of his receivers. Vernon Davis ($3,200) / Jordan Reed ($3,400) are two more punt plays at tight end. Reed will have very low ownership even if he does play.

INDIANAPOLIS AT TENNESSE

The Colts allowed the second-most fantasy points to the running back position in Week 2 DFS. Sets the stage nicely for Derrick Henry ($6,000). However, the contrarian play is Marlon Mack ($5,900). The Colts have historically dominated the Titans. Mack rushed for 180 yards in two games last year with two touchdowns against the Titans.

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS AT DETROIT

Austin Ekeler ($6,100) in cash games. He was the true workhorse in the Chargers’ backfield. It was 75-25% split between him and Justin Jackson in snaps, 12-6 in rushing attempts, and seven-three in targets. His price went up just $600 from Week 1. Also, there are a ton of injuries with Hunter Henry out and Mike Williams ($5,500) just funneling more targets to Ekeler and Keenan Allen ($7,600). Should Williams completely miss the game, wide receiver Travis Benjamin ($3,200) gets a significant bump.

SAN FRANCISCO AT CINCINNATI

Tyler Boyd ($6,500) is still the option to target heavily at the receiver position. His ownership will probably be suppressed because of the hype on John Ross. Boyd received 11 targets and still definitely emerged as Andy Dalton’s safety net. If Joe Mixon ($6,500) is out, prepare to eat chalk and get a lot of exposure on Giovani Bernard ($5,300).

NEW ENGLAND AT MIAMI

Buy into Sony Michel ($6,200) in GPPs. Michel flopped big time in Week 1, but the game script narrative absolutely screams Michel as the dominant runner. But if the Patriots decide to make Damien Harris ($3,500) active I would pivot off Michel immediately. Harris profiles as a more in-between the tackles grinder so he could end up eating into touches if the game gets out of hand. Tom Brady ($6,400) is a safe cash play at the quarterback position. Too many weapons and he averaged 316 yards passing and three touchdowns in his last two games versus Miami.

SEATTLE AT PITTSBURGH

The Seahawks allowed 418 passing yards last week, which was a career-high for Andy Dalton. Ben Roethlisberger is definitely set to have a bounce-back effort against Seattle in Week 2 DFS. He is back home where his TD-INT ratio was 19-7 versus 15-9 on the road. A GPP receiver that could see some potential boom potential for Pittsburgh is James Washington. He led all players in air yards last Sunday (169) and Donte Moncrief has feet for hands. Chris Carson ($6,400) is a fade for me in an offense that does not necessarily project to see a lot of plays run. The Steelers run defense also played pretty well last week. They limited the Patriots to 3.4 yards per carry. The Seahawks averaged just 2.9 yards per carry last week against a sub-par Bengals defensive unit.

BUFFALO AT NEW YORK GIANTS

Josh Allen ($5,300) is one of the quarterbacks to target in GPPs. Despite four awful turnovers, Allen still managed to score 17+ fantasy points. With the Giants next up on the schedule (allowed 100+ receiving yards to both Michael Gallup and Amari Cooper and over 180 air yards last week) there’s upside with Allen. Three of Allen’s receivers surpassed over 70 air yards last week. Most will stack John Brown, but for a sneaky play look for Cole Beasley ($3,800) and Zay Jones ($3,500). As always the Giants have a two-man show in Evan Engram ($5,200) and Saqoun Barkley ($9,200). Engram is just $400 more than last week. They both see so much work and are viable options in both cash and GPPs. Especially with the chance that Sterling Shepard misses the game with a concussion.

KANSAS CITY AT OAKLAND

The highest over/under in Week 2 DFS this game should be heavily targeted by DFS players. Tyrell Williams ($4,400) is the stone-cold lock as a value wide receiver who has a great chance of leading the team in targets. Darren Waller ($3,300) is also the perfect punt play at tight end to get great value paying down for tight end. Running back Josh Jacobs at ($4,700) is also absolutely absurdly priced as a running back that could easily see 20+ touches. Tons of value on the Raiders side of things with the Chiefs creating an offensive atmosphere.

For the Chiefs, there’s a lot of value behind Mecole Hardman ($4,800) to be the Tyreek Hill replacement. If we learned anything from Week 1 is that speed kills. Hardman can fly and if he sees his role expanded he can deliver big-time.

NEW ORLEANS AT LOS ANGELES RAMS

Fade Drew Brees ($6,200). Brees’ 2018 home-road splits are absolutely astonishing. 21-1 TD – INT ratio at home, versus 11-4 ratio on the road. Yards per pass attempt fall from 9.54 all the way down to 6.88. Averaged 321 passing yards/game at home versus 217 passing yards/game on the road. But the quarterback on the other side of the field, Jared Goff ($5,900), is a BUY. His home TD-INT ratio last season was 22-3 with a yards/attempt at 9. You also need to make sure that Alvin Kamara ($8,200) is literally in every single one of your lineups. Then you need to bring it back with Brandin Cooks ($6,300) who like Goff, smashes at home. His numbers increase at home, going to 6.6 receptions and 95 receiving yards from 3.4 receptions and 55 receiving yards. Also…#revengegame.

With Brees projected to struggle, that is also why Michael Thomas is not someone you should be targeting at $8,000. The Rams secondary is much better with Aqib Talib on the field. In the NFC Championship Game, Thomas was held to just four receptions for 36 receiving yards. The better pass-catching option to utilize is Jared Cook at $4,700. Cook has played against the Wade Phillips led Rams’ defense just once and he absolutely smashed. Nine receptions for 180 yards.

https://twitter.com/AndrewErickson_/status/1171773582709592064

CHICAGO AT DENVER

You need to play a Week 2 DFS DST from some game correct? The Broncos DST ($2,700) was absolutely terrible last week against Oakland, but their track record in September at home is great. According to BradOTC on Twitter, the Broncos are 53-8-1 at Home in Weeks 1-2 since the AFL-NFL merger. 21-1 at home Weeks 1-2 since 2001. Also Mitchell Trubisky had three interceptions and five fumbles on the road last season. This game has the lowest total on FanDuel Sportsbooks at 40.5 with the Bears road favorites at -2.5.

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