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NFL DFS Week Three: Touches and Targets Outlooks

This report will provide NFL DFS touches and targets for the Week Three 13-game main slate. I will break down players into three tiers: High, mid, and low.

High Tier

NFL DFS WR: Keenan Allen (HOU) ($7800 FD|$8100 DK)

90% Snap Share. 25 Targets (36% share), 16 receptions, 13.8 yards per reception, One TD.

Keenan Allen has eight receptions in each of his starts. Austin Ekeler and Allen make up the majority of the Chargers target share and should continue to be heavily relied on by Philip Rivers. The Texans defense is clearly not the same this season without a consistent and effective pass rush.

NFL DFS WR: Julio Jones (ATL) ($8300 FD|$7300 DK)

75% Snap Share. 21 Targets, 11 Receptions, 12 yards per reception, Three TDs.

I would keep an eye on ownership on the Falcons side as Sunday approaches. If it remains low I think this is a good spot for the Falcons to put out a sneaky offensive performance. Julio Jones has already notched three touchdowns in two games. The Atlanta offensive line is improved and it looks like the Colts will be missing key pieces to their pass rush on Sunday. Julio is matchup proof and if Devonta Freeman can snap out of his 2.2 YPC average it could really open things up and become a big day for Julio.

NFL DFS WR: Amari Cooper (DAL) ($7700 FD|$7500 DK)

87% Snap Share. 14 Targets, 10 Receptions, 15 yards per reception, Two TDs.

Michael Gallup is out and we’ve all seen what happens on Amari Cooper island. I’m fading the Devin Smith hype and fully expect Dak Prescott to target his clear cut number one receiver against possibly the worst defense in the history of the game. Expect the Cowboys to pour it on fast and hard at home in Dallas,

NFL DFS TE: Travis Kelce (KC) ($8000 FD|$7100 DK)

78% Snap Share. 17 Targets, 10 Receptions, 19 yards per reception, One TD.

Travis Kelce is matchup proof and if the weather is as bad as they are predicting on Sunday in the Chiefs home opener, we should see a ton of looks go Kelce’s way. Defending the tight end has always been an issue for the Ravens and now they face the number one tight end in the league.

NFL DFS RB: Saquon Barkley (NYG) ($9200 FD|$9100 DK)

88% Snap Share, 13 Targets, 7 Receptions, 29 carries for 227 yards, 9.3 yards per touch, One TD.

I’m not buying the Tampa defense. I will have a nice chunk of exposure to Saquon Barkley. He is going to be a safety blanket for Daniel Jones. I also think Daniel Jones is not getting enough credit and this is a very good Giants offensive line.

NFL DFS RB: Christian McCaffrey (CAR) ($8900 FD|$8700 DK)

100% Snap Share, 17 Targets, 12 Receptions for 93 yards, 35 carries for 165 yards, 6 yards per touch, Two TDs.

If you listened to our weekly podcast you heard me talk about a possible narrative between Kyle Allen and Kyler Murray. Kyle Allen is drawing the start and honestly I think this is the best situation to increase CMC’s ceiling. Cam Newton has just not been good and now with Allen starting it makes me love CMC and his heavy usage even more.

Week Three Lock:

Ezekiel Elliott ($8800 FD|$8900 DK): 61% Snap Share, 36 carries for 164 rushing yards, 4 targets, 3 receptions, Two TDs.

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Mid Tier

NFL DFS WR: Kenny Golladay (DET) ($7000 FD|$6600 DK)

99% Snap Share. 19 Targets, 12 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Two TDs.

The Philadelphia Eagles are depleted on both sides of the football, namely their secondary and receiving core. Kenny Golladay, among other Detroit receivers I will include in the lower tier, all have great matchups. The Eagles are giving up 340 yards per game through the air in the first two games and somehow made Case Keenum look like a rock star.

NFL DFS RB: Austin Ekeler (LAC) ($7600 FD|$7200 DK)

78% Snap Share. 13 Targets, 12 Receptions, 163 receiving yards, 29 carries, 124 rushing yards, Four TDs.

As I discussed with Keenan Allen above, Ekeler is a crucial part of the offense and I believe Rivers will continue to look his way in the passing game.

NFL DFS WR: Julian Edelman (NEP) ($6900 FD|$6300 DK)

95% Snap Share. 15 Targets, 10 Receptions, 13 yards per reception, Zero TDs.

The Patriots have decided to release Antonio Brown so we are back to our normal pecking order in New England. Julian Edelman is always a favorite for Tom Brady and he draws a great matchup against lowly Jets corner, Brian Poole.

NFL DFS WR: Sammy Watkins (KC) ($7100 FD|$6800 DK)

86% Snap Share. 24 Targets, 15 Receptions, 16 yards per reception, Three TDs.

There are a lot of question marks with the Chiefs receivers and who to target. I think Sammy Watkins is your safest bet, although he will be chalk. I prefer Mecole Hardman in tournaments lining up against Ravens backup corner Anthony Averett.

NFL DFS WR: Mark Andrews (BAL) ($6800 FD|$4600 DK)

47% Snap Share. 17 Targets, 16 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Two TDs.

Mark Andrews is a sure catch if a ball is to come his way. He is Lamar Jackson’s go to guy but continues to deal with a nagging foot injury. I don’t believe he is in jeopardy of sitting, but should be monitored leading up to lock. I like Andrew’s to continue his dominant start to the season against a K.C .linebacker core who hasn’t been tested with an elite tight end, or offense for that matter.

NFL DFS WR: Marquise Brown (BAL) ($6100 FD|$5900 DK)

40% Snap Share. 18 Targets, 12 Receptions, 19 yards per reception, Two TDs.

I honestly believe there is no one on the Kansas City defense that can cover Marquise Brown. They are going to double team Brown but I don’t think it’s going to last long with Lamar Jackson pumping throws to Mark Andrews. As soon as K.C. brings Honey Badger in to defend the middle and relax double coverage on Brown, he will gash them with a huge catch. If the Ravens defend the pass rush effectively this is what I expect will happen.

Low Tier

NFL DFS WR: Larry Fitzgerald (ARI) ($6300 FD|$5200 DK)

100% Snap Share. 24 Targets, 13 Receptions, 17 yards per reception, One TD.

I went to the Ravens game last Sunday cause I had never seen the Cardinals in person and one of my bucket list goals is to see some of these Hall of Fame players before they retire, one of them being Larry Fitzgerald. Kyler Murray was actually really calm in the pocket and I think he handled himself well in Baltimore against a ferocious defense. Fitz is seeing the third most targets in the NFL after two games.

NFL DFS WR: DK Metcalf (SEA) ($5900 FD|$4400 DK)

87% Snap Share. 13 Targets, 7 Receptions, 21 yards per reception, One TD.

Looks to me like there is a new WR star in Seattle, but you know, he had a slow three cone shuttle time so he can’t be an elite NFL receiver (sarcasm).

NFL DFS WR: Marvin Jones Jr. (DET) ($5400 FD|$5000 DK)

89% Snap Share. 10 Targets, 9 Receptions, 11 yards per reception, Zero TDs.

I like Marvin Jones Jr. as a pivot off of Golladay in tournaments. He always has a couple big games a year and this could be one of them against a depleted Eagles secondary.

NFL DFS WR: Nelson Agholor (PHI) ($4800 FD|$3600 DK)

90% Snap Share. 16 Targets, 10 Receptions, 12 yards per reception, One TD.

Nelson Agholor will be highly owned and should be considered for cash games. He is way too cheap on DK and if Alshon Jeffrey plays on Sunday that should draw Darius Slay coverage. I’m not crazy about the play but he should see even more targets with all the injuries to their receivers.

NFL DFS WR: Christian Kirk (ARI) ($5900 FD|$5000 DK)

95% Snap Share. 20 Targets, 10 Receptions, 15 yards per reception, Zero TDs.

NFL DFS TE: Greg Olsen (CAR) ($6100 FD|$3700 DK)

86% Snap Share. 18 Targets, 10 Receptions, 15 yards per reception, Zero TDs.

Kyle Allen looks comfortable throwing the ball anywhere so I don’t believe this is a situation where he will be limited to short/intermediate passes although Olsen and McCaffrey do provide a nice security blanket against a heavy pass rush.

NFL DFS TE: T.J. Hockenson (DET) ($5500 FD|$3500 DK)

76% Snap Share. 12 Targets, 7 Receptions, 20 yards per reception, One TD.

The Eagles got smoked by old man Vernon Davis so I really like the Hockenson play, particularly on DK because he is so cheap. This is my darkhorse sleeper of the week, he is barely attracting any ownership at all and had a monster game week one.

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