Tag:

Chase Elliott

DraftKings NASCAR post-qualifying analysis for Phoenix

Chris Bouchard 5 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

The practices and qualifying at ISM Raceway have put me in a quandary as I consider the post-qualifying analysis for Phoenix. The big question for me is to play Chase Elliott or not. He dominated the 2nd practice and qualified 6th. His only chance to make the final 4 next week in Miami is to win, and I think he will take any chance to make it happen, He definitely has the talent to do so. Below is our post-qualifying analysis for Phoenix.

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Blaney, Harvick, Hamlin, Logano, DiBenedetto, and Kyle Busch all finished in the top 10 of both practice sessions and look to have good speed. Kyle Busch, Logano, and Hamlin also took the top 3 spots in qualifying and must be part of a large percentage of DFS lineups. Truex Jr. qualified 4th followed by Larson, Elliott, and Harvick, so as I anticipated the leader board is going to be filled with the top talent all day Sunday. Blaney who qualified 10th was the lowest qualifier of the 8 still in the playoff.

I Identified 5 value drivers yesterday that I thought would play a big role in DFS lineups on Sunday. They qualified about where I thought they might except for Dillon who was lower than expected on 28th. I am a little worried that they will not have the speed to compete for a top 5 finish, and I leaned on experience with Johnson and Newman as I build my lineups.

Ryan Newman – 20th
Jimmie Johnson – 22nd
Aric Almirola – 11th
Austin Dillon – 28th
Daniel Suarez – 15th

Some other drivers who intrigued me included Bowman who qualified 14th, DiBenedetto who qualified 16th, and John Nemechek who qualified 26th. I also still like the 4 plays I made yesterday using Almirola 42/1, Johnson and Suarez at 70/1, and the value play of the day Newman at 180/1 to win. The new post-qualifying odds have not come out yet, but it will be dominated I am sure by the top qualifiers and I do not believe there will be enough value on any of them so I will pass.

I ended up with 40 lineups this week on DraftKings. Pricing made it difficult to get as many of the top drivers as I wanted. I also really wanted to avoid too many deep values plays. My driver’s usages are below. Good Luck!!!

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I am leaning towards the under on both drivers here, but I think Blaney has the best chance to hit that number as he goes all in for a playoff spot.

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5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR DFS: DraftKings DFS analysis for Phoenix

Chris Bouchard 5 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

Finally had a good week of DFS in Texas as Kevin Harvick took care of business and punched his ticket to the final 4 in Miami. This week we head to the ISM Raceway in Phoenix to fill the last 2 spots in the playoff chase. Kyle Busch and Joey Logano have the advantage, but one wrong move on the track or in the pits can change that. Chase Elliott is in a major slump and is in a must win situation. I am interested to see how he practices and qualifies, because he could be an interesting DFS play.

Phoenix is a 1 mile track that opened in 1964. Since 2005 they have held 2 races a year which are currently the TicketGuardian500 and Bluegreen Vacations500. Harvick is the dominator here with 9 wins and 16 top 5 finishes. He will nearly be impossible to fade if he qualifies on top. Other drivers have also had success here like Jimmie Johnson (4 wins – None since 2009), Kyle Busch (3 wins – Including the last two at this track), and Ryan Newman (2 wins)

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DFS this week will be very specific for me with the 5 drivers racing for the last 2 spots dominating my lineups. The cream will rise to the top and I can’t imagine any of those five not being in the top 10 unless they get caught up in a wreck. For me, Elliott will be the wild card. I will be over owned on him if he qualifies and practices well, and under owned or will fade him completely if he does not.

Regarding Harvick and Truex Jr. if they get the pole I will probably be 50% or more, otherwise I most likely will play them more as a GPP pivot. Contests will be won based on how the value performs. I have five drivers I will be focusing on.

Ryan Newman – I love the fact that he has won here before and has driven very well the last 2 weeks. Outside of the Hollywood Casino 500 disaster, he has averaged 54 DK points over his last 3 finishes and is only $7,600 this week.
Jimmie Johnson – He is a legend and at $7,900 I always have to give him a look. He has finished 34th or worse the last 3 weeks, but outside of those, he has finished 10th, 8th 9th, 11th, and 11th. He has a top 10 in him and possibly a top 5 if he gets some breaks.
Aric Almirola – He has back to back 4th place finishes at this track his last 2 races, and he has proven week after week he is a top driver qualifying well and always in the mix including last week’s 2nd place finish. He just has to stay out of trouble and another top 5 is very possible.
Austin Dillon – At $6,800 he is a tremendous value. He has been consistent and if everything goes right, he has serious top 10 potential. His value goes up if he qualifies outside the top 20 as long as he practices ok. He finished 8th in this race last year.
Daniel Suarez – After a rough go of it lately, he finished 3rd last week and I think he can bring that momentum to Phoenix. I assume he will qualify in the 10-15 range and I love his top 5 potential. His last 3 finishes of 19th, 21st, and 36th here may also keep his ownership down.

***2019 TicketGuardian500 at Phoenix Results***

***2018 Can Am 500 at Phoenix Results***

Below are my pre Practice/Qualifying rankings. I will update my rankings and give my driver usage for DFS once qualifying is official.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

Kevin Harvick $11,500
Kyle Busch $11,900
Kyle Larson $9,600

Mid-Tier

Ryan Newman $7,600
Jimmie Johnson $7,900
Aric Almirola $8,100

Value Plays

Daniel Suarez $7,200
Austin Dillon $6,800
Rickie Stenhouse Jr. $6,600

I was also looking at DraftKings’ and FanDuel’s sportsbooks and FanDuel has the best odd by far. There are 4 plays that I think have great value with Ryan Newman at 180/1 being ridiculous.

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5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR Daily Fantasy Sports

NASCAR DFS: DraftKings DFS analysis for Texas

Chris Bouchard 5 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

Martinsville did not turn out like I has hoped as Martin Truex Jr. did exactly what I expected Denny Hamlin to do by dominating the race. Those short tracks are tricky and you have to throw your dart. This week we get back to a 1.5 mile track at the Texas Motor Speedway. There are only 2 races left for those 8 finalists still left in the playoffs to make the final four in Miami. For those below the cut line, this week in crucial as a DNF could force a must-win situation at Phoenix next week. Truex is currently on top followed by Hamlin, Kyle Busch, and Joey Logano in the top 4.

***Playoff Standing thru Martinsville***

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The Texas Motor Speedway is a newer track opening in 1996. It hosts 2 races yearly with the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 in the Spring and the AAA Texas 500 in the fall. Jimmie Johnson has dominated at this track with 7 wins, but many others in the race Sunday have also had success including Kyle Busch and Hamlin with 3 wins, Harvick with 2, and Logano and Newman with one. Hamlin took the race earlier this season with some longer shots in the next three spots including Bowyer, Suarez, and Jones. I will have to spread a bit more in this race, to make sure I have proper DFS coverage.

***2019 O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 Results***

Below are my pre-qualifying NASCAR DFS rankings for DraftKings. I am a little more comfortable on this type of track, but I still prefer the super speedways. I always like drivers who will go for the win and take the risks necessary to make it happen.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

Denny Hamlin $10,800
Kevin Harvick $10,400
Kyle Busch $11,200

Mid-Tier

Jimmie Johnson $8,600
Erik Jones $8,400
William Byron $8,000

Value Plays

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $6,800
Daniel Suarez $7,200
Paul Menard $7,300

Kevin Harvick led qualifying which was no surprise. Erik Jones and Denny Hamlin were close behind followed by Kurt Busch to complete the first two rows. The other playoff drivers qualified 11th (Logano), 12th (Kyle Busch), 13th (Larson), 14th (Elliott), 15th (Larson), and 17th (Truex Jr.) so all are in decent position to make a run to the top.

It was very hard to decide who I wanted to back in this race on DraftKings. I decided to lean on the big three of Harvick, Hamlin, and Kyle Busch and wheel a bunch of value around them. It was hard to ignore Johnson who qualified 25th, but I was cautious only using him 4 times. I also thought Bowyer (24th), Newman (25th), and Menard (31st) had top 10-15 potential which would score well in DFS. I had to throw in some deep value in some lineups, but no one under $6K stood out. Below is my driver usage over 23 lineups. Good Luck!

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I am a bit leery about Logano in this spot, so I would lean under with him, but I think Jones could lead some laps and get a top 5 finish, thus, I am on the over with him.

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5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR Daily Fantasy Sports

NASCAR DFS: DraftKings DFS analysis for Martinsville

Chris Bouchard 5 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

Just 4 events left after a crazy finish in Kansas that saw Joey Logano edge out Brad Keselowski for the last of the 8 playoff spots. Now we head to Martinsville in NASCAR DFS to start the final-four playoff push for Miami. Kyle Busch leads the playoff standings with 46 points followed closely by Martin Truex Jr. and Denny Hamlin.

***Current Playoff Standings. The top 4 after Martinsville, Texas, and Phoenix race for the title in Miami on November 17th***

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The Martinsville Speedway is a 0.52 mile track that opened in 1947. The STP 500 is ran in the Spring and this race, the First Data 500, is always in the Fall. Jimmie Johnson and Hendrick Motorsports have dominated this event in the past as Johnson has 6 wins, with the last in 2016, and Hendrick Motorsports has 16 wins since 1987. Chevrolet dominated with 6 straight wins from 2011 to 2016, but Toyota and Ford have won the last two with Kyle Busch and Joey Logano. Denny Hamlin is the only other multiple winner of this event, winning back to back in 2009-2010. Johnson and Hamlin also have won the Spring STP 500 3 times each with Brad Keselowski winning it twice.

Here were my pre-qualifying NASCAR DFS rankings. This is a race where the cream usually rises to the top, and I like to choose drivers that qualify well. Sometimes you are forced to go outside the top 10 for value, but otherwise the top is best. You will also see the best drivers are slightly more expensive this week.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

Denny Hamlin $11,000
Joey Logano $10,100
Kyle Busch $11,800

Mid-Tier

Alex Bowman $8,300
William Byron $8,000
Jimmie Johnson $8,100

Value Plays

Ty Dillon $6,200
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $7,000
Paul Menard $7,100

Qualifying was not too surprising. Denny Hamlin took the pole and will be my main play for the race. Chase Elliott qualified 2nd, but due to a blown engine in practice, he will be starting at the rear of the field. The other playoff drivers were all over the grid with Truex Jr. 3rd, Blaney 6th, Joey Logano 10th, Kyle Busch 13th, Larson 14th, and Kevin Harvick a disappointing 22nd.

I decided to play only 3 lineups this weekend. Hamlin is in all three of them, then I mixed in the rest of my favorite plays. I was planning on playing deeper, but I decided to go with less lineups in more contests. My best week ever in NASCAR DFS was using one lineup that pushed over 600 points, so lets hope this strategy works again. My driver usage is below. Good Luck!

***DraftKings DFS Picks for Martinsville***

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I am going with the under for both drivers in this play. Elliott is at the back of the pack to start and I do not see Busch contending. Neither will lead enough laps to get the needed Fantasy Points.

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5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR Daily Fantasy Sports

NASCAR DFS: DraftKings analysis for Talladega

Chris Bouchard 5 years ago

written by Chris Bouchard

There are just 6 races left in the NASCAR season, and 12 drivers left in the race for the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Championship. The 1000Bulbs.com 500 at Talladega Sunday will go a long way in determining the top 8 that will move on to stage 3 of the playoffs.

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This 2.66 mile track is in my opinion the hardest one to handicap as “The Big One” is always looming. I like to lean on those drivers who will be as close to the front as possible in case a pileup happens. This race is also a bit different than the earlier one in the season due to the playoffs. Those comfortably in the top of the standings will be more cautious, and those below the cut line of 8 will be more aggressive trying to get a win that gives them an automatic spot in the next round.

***The Playoff Rankings – The top 8 after the race next week in Kansas move on.***

Chase Elliott in the No. 9 won for Hendrick Motorsports in the GEICO 500 at Talladega earlier this season. Kyle Larson was in a spectacular multi-car crash on the last lap. This was the first time since 1987 they ran here without a restrictor plate. The final results were littered with low price DFS longshots including Preece, Hemric, and Gaughan. I expect some of the same this Sunday. Having the right mix of lap leading dominators and value plays will be key in winning DFS GPPs.

***Final Results of the 2019 GEICO 500 at Talladega***

My pre-qualifying DFS rankings were as follows, but I think there are 10-12 drivers who could come away with the win including some below $8K.

High Priced

Kyle Busch $10,900
Brad Keselowski $9,600
Chase Elliott $10,100

Mid-Tier

Matt DiBenedetto $7,900
Jimmie Johnson $8,200
Alex Bowman $8,400

Value Plays

Ty Dillon $6,800
Bubba Wallace $6,200
Daniel Hemric $6,400

While I like to get an early feel for my lineups, qualifying position is crucial in DFS, especially at Talladega. The High/Low stacking process is most popular, but I think finding those in the 10-20 range that can win are golden.

Qualifying was a Hendrick Motorsports domination show as they took the top 4 qualifying spots. Only Almirola was able to join that foursome under 50 seconds. Two of my favorites this week Kyle Busch (26th) and DiBenedetto (31st) disappointed in qualifying, but I will still be on them in DFS. Denny Hamlin will have a lot to work to do from the back of the pack as he cut short his qualifying run due to an engine issue.

After readjusting some of my percentages, I came up with 42 lineups for DraftKings that I think can compete well for GPP wins. I am a bit heavier on the Hendrick drivers than I like, but you cannot ignore how well they did. I think Chase Elliott has to be considered the huge favorite to lead DFS in points. Others I have given a strong look to beyond Kyle Busch, DiBenedetto, and Hamlin, that did not qualify well, include both Dillons at 20th and 21st, Harvick in 15th, and Suarez in 19th.

I have included my driver percentages below, but for an “OPTIMAL” lineup I would have to include Elliott, Hamlin, Bowman, and DiBenedetto. I am using them in a single entry event. Good Luck Sunday!

***DFS Driver Usage for Talladega 10/13/19***

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5 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR DFS at Daytona: Picks and Preview

Emely Sharman 6 years ago

written by Emely Sharman

The NASCAR Monster Cup Series heads to Daytona for the second time this season after an exciting Camping World 400. Alex Bowman held off a late charging Kyle Larson to get his first career win in the Cup Series last weekend. NASCAR DFS players need to be aware that the Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona will be on Saturday night.

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Outlook

The strategies for races at Daytona and Talladega are completely different than for any other race tracks. Place Differential is the most important stat for these two tracks. Starting in the back does not signify a slow car in these races and provides upside compared to someone starting near the front. There is a some luck that goes into picking the drivers who will stay out of the wrecks but we can minimize that chance by rostering the ones who will get up front and stay there. It will be very important to check back after qualifying is done to see the high upside and low upside NASCAR DFS plays. These are guys I expect to run well but the picks can take a 180 degree turn depending on qualifying.

High Salary ($9,000+ on DraftKings)

I tend to stay away from the ultra high priced drivers at Restrictor Plate tracks because of the uncertainty that comes with these races. There are still a lot of good options here, especially in the lower range.

Joey Logano ($10,200)

Logano is priced as the fifth highest NASCAR DFS driver this week. In Logano’s last seven races at Daytona he has two DNFs. If you exclude those two races, Logano has not finished worse than sixth. His teammate Brad Keselowski is often referred to as the top Restrictor Plate driver, but I would take Logano over him. Keselowski has failed to finish in four of the last five races at Daytona since winning in 2016. Logano has a good Driver Rating of 82.3 at Daytona since February 2017. One thing that tends to cap Logano’s NASCAR DFS upside is that he qualifies well at Daytona, starting no worse than 15th since 2015. If he slips a little in qualifying he will be my top pick.

Chase Elliott ($9,900)

Although Elliott has had similar luck to Keselowski at Daytona, he has finished much better at Talladega. Elliott won at Talladega earlier this year and finished third there once last year. Elliott will be highly owned in NASCAR DFS but will most likely be less owned than the two right above him, Keselowski and Logano. He also qualifies well at the site but if he starts outside the Top 15 he will be a very popular NASCAR DFS choice.

Denny Hamlin ($9,000)

Denny Hamlin has been great at Daytona and is arguably the best driver at the site. Hamlin had a Driver Rating of over 100 eight times since 2012, which is really impressive for this type of track. He had one DNF in 2018 and one in 2017 but those are his only two DNFs since 2013. Since 2013, Hamlin has seven Top 6 finishes and two wins. He has been one of the most consistent drivers there and has shown a great ability to avoid wrecks. Hamlin is a bargain at $9,000 and should be considered for all lineups. He also qualified 10th or worse seven of the last 10 races at Daytona and started 35th or worse three times. He has a great feel for passing at Daytona and should provide huge upside.

Mid Salary ($8,900 – $7,000)

This is normally the salary range you need to nail if you want to be in the money in NASCAR DFS come race day. There are a lot of great Restrictor Plate options in this range.

Aric Almirola ($8,400)

Almirola, like many other big names, has crashed at Daytona in the past couple years. The last two races at Daytona, Almirola finished 32nd and 27th. That said, he has ran well until trouble came his way. He has a Top 10 Driver Rating at Daytona since February of 2017 and has been good going all the way back to his days in the 43 car. In Almirola’s last nine races at Restrictor Plate Tracks (including Daytona 500 qualifying races), he has an Average Finish of 11.11 and a Driver Rating of 85.8, which is eighth best in the series in that span.

Ryan Blaney ($9,300)

Blaney has been one of the best under the radar Restrictor Plate drivers since he joined the Cup Series. Since February of 2017, Blaney has the third best Driver Rating in the series at Restrictor Plate tracks and is tops at Daytona (96.2). He has led the most Daytona laps over that same span with 142. Blaney’s Average Starting Position is 14.8, which shows he can race up to the front in a hurry and stay there to avoid trouble. Blaney is my top NASCAR DFS value pick pre-qualifying and should provide value as long as he does not qualify in the Top 5.

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. ($7,400)

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. is widely known as a good Super Speedway driver and the numbers back it up. Stenhouse Jr. ranks fourth in Driver Rating at Daytona since February of 2017 and he has an Average Finish of 18.2. In that same span, he has led the second most laps behind only Blaney with 95. Stenhouse Jr. won this race in 2017 when he had a Driver Rating of over 100.

Low Salary ($6,900 and Lower)

There are a lot of very intriguing options in this range this week. Rostering one or even two of these guys will open up a lot of room for higher priced drivers.

Ryan Preece ($6,000)

Although his experience at Restrictor Plate tracks is limited, Preece has been good early in his Cup Career. He has raced once at each Daytona and Talladega and has finishes of third and eighth to show for it. He has ran all the laps and combined for a plus 40 place differential.

Michael McDowell ($5,700)

McDowell has always shown up ready to go at Daytona and has finished all but one race there since 2013. The race where he did crash (July 2018) was his best showing ever there, in which he led 20 laps and had a Driver Rating of 101.8. Six of his last seven races at Daytona ended with a Top 15 finish and four of those were Top 10s. McDowell is my favorite bargain NASCAR DFS driver pre-qualifying.

David Ragan ($5,600)

David Ragan has always been one of my favorite sleeper Restrictor Plate drivers. He seems to have a knack for running up front and even has a win to his credit in 2011. He finished sixth in 2017 in a race that he ran in the Top 10 the entire way and he was able to lead four laps.

Cornerstones

This is a tough week to find two guys to use here as qualifying means so much. We will try and find two guys who I don’t expect to be on the front row.

Ryan Blaney and Michael McDowell are both way underpriced and both struggle to qualify at Daytona. Blaney’s Average Starting Position of 14.8 and McDowell’s of 21.8 both leave a lot of room for positive Place Differential. Their recent Daytona Driver Ratings of first and seventh show they are gruesomely underpriced. These two should allow you to roster any big name you want in the high salary range as well.

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6 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR DFS at Chicagoland: Picks and Preview

Emely Sharman 6 years ago

written by Emely Sharman

Chicagoland Speedway hosts the NASCAR Cup Series this upcoming weekend after a dominating performance from Martin Truex Jr. at Sonoma. Truex Jr. led 59 of the 90 laps and held off a late charging Kyle Busch for the win. Those two were way in front of the third place finisher, Ryan Blaney, who was over 30 seconds behind. Truex Jr. ,has a great chance to get a repeat win as he won two of the last three races at Chicagoland to go with a fourth place finish last year.

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Outlook

Chicagoland is a 1.5 mile track, with 267 laps, where starting up front does not always mean a driver will finish up front. Only one time since 2005 has the winner came from the front row. This shows that we could have some huge upside drivers who will be starting farther back in the pack. Checking back for our post-qualifying update will be key to putting together a good lineup. Let’s take a look at some of the best values on the slate before qualifying. Salaries are based on DraftKings.

High Salary ($9,000+)

Martin Truex Jr. ($10,900)

Coming off a dominating performance at Sonoma, Truex Jr. should again be the top play this week. He comes in as the third highest priced driver and I believe he should be the top priced. Kyle Busch, the highest priced driver, did win at the site last year but his recent history is not as good as Truex’s. That win was Busch’s only Top 5 since 2013. Truex Jr. has three straight Top 5s and comes in with more confidence and momentum than any other driver in the series. He has not had a Driver Rating under 108 in his last four races at Chicagoland and was over 126 twice. Truex Jr. will be my main target among the high salary drivers.

Chase Elliott ($9,700)

Elliott has a great history at Chicagoland and comes in at his most affordable price since April. He has raced at this site three times in the Cup series with finishes of third, second, and 19th. Even in the 19th place finish, he was second and fourth in the two stages, showing he ran better than he finished. Elliott was the third best car at Sonoma last week before blowing his engine and he should have some confidence coming in. Elliott had 13 straight Top 15s, and five Top 5s in his last six races before the past two down weeks. He should be able to get back to that form at one of his best tracks. Elliott has the top Driver Rating at this track with a 111.4, and the best Average Running Position by a decent margin at 5.064. Elliott should run in the Top 5 most of the day and will be in a great position late in the day.

Kyle Larson ($9,500)

Larson has finished no worse than seventh in all but one of his career starts at Chicagoland. His career Driver Rating of 101.9 ranks fourth in the series and his Average Running Position of 8.848 ranks third. He is behind Jimmie Johnson in both stats and most of Johnson’s excellence at this track came back in the early 2000s, so you can bump him up in those stats in recent years. Larson has yet to put it all together in a points race this year but this is a great track for him and he should be able to contend.

Mid Salary ($8,900 – $7,000)

Denny Hamlin ($8,500)

Denny Hamlin has a really good track history at Chicagoland and has not finished worse than seventh since 2013. His DR over the past five years averaged over 102. He has also ran pretty well recently and led at least one lap in each of the Cup Series’ last four races. Hamlin should be priced above $9,000 at one of his best tracks and he provides great value at Chicagoland.

Ryan Blaney ($8,300)

Blaney is coming into this weekend at Chicagoland with some momentum after finishing third at Sonoma. He has two Top 10s in a row and four straight Top 15s. Blaney’s career at Chicagoland doesn’t really stand out, as he has an Average Finish of 11th and a DR of 86.7. He also comes in at his lowest price in any points race this year and $2,800 under where he peaked. Blaney has shown the ability to get on some hot streaks and I believe he can use his recent momentum to better his career Chicagoland numbers. He seems underpriced here and should return really good value.

Aric Almirola ($8,200)

We are working off of only one race to show us Almirola’s potential at Chicagoland. When he ran with the 43 car, he didn’t show much and only had one Top 10 in his six starts. Last year, driving for Stewart-Haas, although the finish doesn’t show it, Almirola ran really well. His Driver Rating was very high at 109.8 and he led 70 laps but finished 25th. This is a price where we can invest in Almirola.

Jimmie Johnson ($8,000)

This is another track, like Sonoma, where Johnson used to dominate and has fell off a bit lately but has still been serviceable. He has finished no worse than 14th since 2010 and although he doesn’t have a win at the site he has been very good. His career DR of 110.2 is second best in the series since ’05. As said, this number has dropped lately but not plummeted and his DR is at 97.7 over his last five races at Chicagoland. Johnson should once again return good DFS value at this low of a price.

Low Salary ($6,900 and lower)

Austin Dillon ($6,900)

If Dillon continues to be priced this low I will continue to roster him. His career at Chicagoland is not too bad other than a few outlier DNFs. He has finished 16th or better in the three races other than his DNFs. His DR (74.6) is far superior at Chicagoland than that of the other drivers in this salary range. Dillon should again be able to be counted on for a Top 15-20 finish with some upside.

Cornerstones

The two cornerstones are the two drivers who I think provide the best values this week.

Martin Truex Jr. and Denny Hamlin both seemed to be underpriced and provide great DFS value this weekend. I think Truex Jr. will again compete for this win this week and Denny Hamlin should run in the Top 5 for a majority of this race and could also get his first win of the year here.

*Check back after qualifying for the post qualifying report. This will be very important this week as Chicagoland has proven to be an easy place to pass and pick up spots gained points.

6 years ago 0 comments

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Outlook

High Salary ($9,000+ on DraftKings)

Joey Logano ($10,200)

Chase Elliott ($9,900)

Denny Hamlin ($9,000)

Mid Salary ($8,900 – $7,000)

Aric Almirola ($8,400)

Ryan Blaney ($9,300)

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. ($7,400)

Low Salary ($6,900 and Lower)

Ryan Preece ($6,000)

Michael McDowell ($5,700)

David Ragan ($5,600)

Cornerstones

Outlook

High Salary ($9,000+)

Martin Truex Jr. ($10,900)

Chase Elliott ($9,700)

Kyle Larson ($9,500)

Mid Salary ($8,900 – $7,000)

Denny Hamlin ($8,500)

Ryan Blaney ($8,300)

Aric Almirola ($8,200)

Jimmie Johnson ($8,000)

Low Salary ($6,900 and lower)

Austin Dillon ($6,900)

Cornerstones

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