We move to Miami this week for the Dixie Vodka 400 at HOMESTEAD-MIAMI SPEEDWAY This is another 1.5 mile track that has been racing since 1995. Denny Hamlin and Kyle Busch are the only active, multiple winners of this event with two each, but several drivers have tasted victory. Roush-Fenway Racing and Joe Gibbs Racing lead all owners with 7 wins each, and Ford leads manufactures with 8 wins as Toyota and Chevrolet each have 5.
Once again we had no qualifying and the starting positions were drawn using owner’s points. I am really getting tired of this format as you can’t get a sense of a driver’s speed with out seeing them on the track. I still think caution is the best plan of attack until we get back to normal, but if your using max lineups, this is not as important.
Denny Hamlin is on the pole this week with Joey Logano also in the front row. The Starting Grid is again littered with dominators due to the qualifying rules. This made it hard to find value this week and you must have the 2 top dominators in your lineup to make real money.
My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I am currently at 20 lineups, but I most likely add a couple as the day goes along using the same core.
NASCAR DFS High-Priced | DraftKings
NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier | DraftKings
NASCAR DFS Value Plays | DraftKings
Here is my Driver Usage for Sunday’s Dixie Vodka 400
I also like 4 plays to win the race. I have Denny Hamlin slightly over Chase Elliott for the WIN, and I am using 2 other value plays.
DraftKings Sportsbook
I am on more plays to finish in the Top 3, Top 10 and three of the driver match ups.
DraftKings Sportsbook
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Join us in the #nascar Discord channel to discuss your DraftKings Baptist Health 200 picks. The following is intended for DraftKings GPP purposes only.
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Updated 6:40 p.m. ET.
The NASCAR Gander RV & Outdoors Truck Series will be in Miami, Florida today at Homestead-Miami Speedway for the Baptist Health 200. The green flag is set to drop at approximately 7:30 p.m. ET.
This race is 201-miles, or 134 laps on this 1.5-mile oval.
Chase Elliott – With Kyle Busch moving to the back and having to serve a pass-through penalty, the pathway for Chase to dominate the early part of this race has been cleared. Start your line-up with Elliott.
Kyle Busch – Busch has the ability to get back to the front (and capture fastest laps points on the way) but it will be a much tougher race. Given the penalties for Busch, look towards the additional options below to pair with Chase Elliott.
Additional options: Austin Hill, Johnny Sauter, Brett Moffitt
Spencer Boyd – Given Tanner Gray’s penalty and being moved to the back, Boyd becomes more attractive as a driver that provides place differential upside and salary relief.
Additional options: Matt Crafton, Ross Chastain, Stewart Friesen, Todd Gilliland, Austin Wayne Self, Ty Majeski, Bryant Barnhill, Tate Fogleman
Sheldon Creed – Creed starts 8th, offers minimal place differential upside, and is priced accordingly.
Additional options: Grant Enfinger, Christian Eckes, Ben Rhodes, Zane Smith
The Finding Value drivers have limited upside starting inside the top-ten and having limited dominator potential running against Busch and Elliott. Play at most two from this group and look towards the Frontrunners and Capture the Upside to complete your lineup.
Cory Roper, Codie Rohrbaugh, TJ Bell, and Tyler Ankrum offer minimal upside given their starting position.
Roster drivers that will finish on the lead lap and avoid rostering Ray Ciccarelli, Angela Ruch, Jennifer Cobb, Timothy Viens, Dawson Cram, Norm Benning, and Clay Greenfield.
“Change your game, and change your life!” #windaily #nascardfs
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NASCAR Cup Series is back today with the Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500 at Martinsville Speedway in Ridgeway, Virginia. Lock for this slate is at 7 p.m ET.
This race is 263-miles, or 500-laps on this 0.526-mile race track.
Leaving more than $200 of salary remaining will increases your chances of creating a unique lineup. Be sure to include the race winner in your lineup, drivers that finish on the lead lap, drivers that have positive place differential, and capture laps led points.
Martin Truex Jr. – Truex won the fall 2019 race at Martinsville while leading 464-laps. Truex has the ability to win this race and capture a significant portion of laps led, if he has a performance similar to last fall.
Brad Keselowski – Keselowski won the spring 2019 race at Martinsville and finished 3rd in the fall race. Starting 6th, Keselowski has the momentum and the ability to battle Truex for the checkered flag.
Additional options: Denny Hamlin, Joey Logano, Chase Elliott, Kyle Busch
Austin Dillon – Dillon provides salary relief at $7,300 and place differential upside starting 22nd. In the last three races, Dillon has finished 11th, 6th, and 8th, and Dillon finished 11th in the spring 2019 race at Martinsville.
Additional options: Bubba Wallace, Cole Custer, Kurt Busch, Jimmie Johnson, Christopher Bell, Chris Buescher, Ricky Stenhouse Jr., Michael McDowell
Avoid rostering any of the following non-lead lappers: Garrett Smithley, JJ Yeley, Reed Sorenson, Timmy Hill, Joey Gase, Brennan Poole, Quinn Houff, and David Starr.
“Change your game, and change your life!” #windaily #nascardfs
Join us in the #nascar Discord channel to discuss your QuikTrip 500 DFS picks. The following is intended for FanDuel GPP purposes only.
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NASCAR Cup Series returns today with the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway in Hampton, Georgia.
This race is 325-laps, or 500.5-miles, on this 1.54-mile track.
The optimal lineup to begin race will be Joey Logano, Chase Elliott, Clint Bowyer, Aric Almirola, and Chris Buescher.
CHASE ELLIOTT – Elliott starts on the pole today and has been one the strongest performing drivers recently. With a victory and four top-five finishes, Elliott offers salary relief from Harvick and Kyle Busch and appears to be in a better position to dominate this race. Starting on the pole does present risk of negative place differential though, so looking for laps led and top-five finish from Chase if he is going to be rostered.
MARTIN TRUEX JR. – Truex had one of the better cars last time out at Atlanta. Starting 11th, Truex provides some place differential upside in comparison to the other top-twelve drivers and is $1,800 less than Harvick.
KEVIN HARVICK – Harvick is the highest-priced driver on this slate and the favorite to win. Starting 9th, Harvick has positive place differential potential and the ability to lead laps in this race. Harvick should garner a considerable amount of ownership today.
BRAD KESELOWSKI – Keselowski is coming off two recent victories and has six top-ten finishes this season. Starting 6th, Keselowski has the potential to lead laps and finish top-five in this race.
JIMMIE JOHNSON – Johnson does not offer the same dominator potential as the other drivers listed above, but starting 15th, and projected to finish 9th, he has the positive place differential upside at a reduced salary. Johnson feels safer than many plays available today, but he’s not a requirement in every line.
CHRISTOPHER BELL – Bell is starting 27th today, provides salary relief, and positive place differential upside. Be careful with punting on FanDuel, so outside of Custer and McDowell, avoid rostering any drivers below Bell.
Additional options: Denny Hamlin, Joey Logano, Alex Bowman, Kyle Busch, Kurt Busch, Ryan Blaney, Clint Bowyer, Aric Almirola, Tyler Reddick, Matt DiBenedetto, Cole Custer, Michael McDowell, Erik Jones, Chris Buescher, and Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
NOTE: Be sure to roster drivers that finish on the lead lap.
The following drivers have not finished on the lead lap during the 2020 Cup Series: Josh Bilicki, Garrett Smithley, BJ McLeod, Timmy Hill (with exception for the Supermarket Heroes 500), Joey Gase, Quinn Houff, JJ Yeley (with exception for the Fan Shield 500), Reed Sorenson, and Brennan Poole (with exception for the Daytona 500).
Timmy Hill finished 19th at the Supermarket Heroes 500, but he does not provide sufficient upside due to the unlikeliness to achieve a top-ten or top-fifteen finish.
The last time out at Atlanta, Brad Keselowski took the checkered flag, followed by Martin Truex Jr., Kurt Busch, Kevin Harvick, Clint Bowyer, Kyle Busch, Erik Jones, Aric Almirola, Chris Buescher, and Daniel Suarez.
Kyle Larson in the number 42 car, now driven by Matt Kenseth recorded the most laps led with 142. Harvick led 45 laps, Ryan Blaney led 41 laps, Almirola led 36 laps, Keselowski led 33 laps, Joey Logano led 22 laps, Truex led four laps, and Kurt Busch and Ricky Stenhouse Jr. each led one lap.
Larson also recorded the most fastest-laps with 54 laps. Harvick and Truex recorded 38 fastest-laps each. Keselowski recorded 28, Kyle Busch recorded 25, Logano recorded 24, Blaney recorded 17, and Almirola recorded 14.
The optimal FanDuel lineup for the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 included Keselowski, Truex, Kurt Busch, Jones, and Buescher with a total of 382.8 points. The driver’s salary ranged from $6,000 to $13,000 and left $100 salary remaining.
The optimal DraftKings lineup for the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 included Keselowski, Truex, Larson, Jones, Buescher, and David Ragan in the number 38 car. The total score was 382.25 points, the driver’s salary ranged from $5,800 to $11,100, and left #-0- salary remaining.
The Cup Series has raced three times at mile-and-a-half tracks during 2020, most recently at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
The optimal lineups for the 2020 Alsco Uniforms 500 were (FD) Elliott, Hamlin, Blaney, Austin Dillon, Stenhouse Jr., and (DK) Elliott, Harvick, Logano, Blaney, Stenhouse Jr., Austin Dillon.
The optimal lineups for the 2020 Coca-Cola 600 were (FD) Elliott, Keselowski, Johnson, Blaney, Custer, and (DK) Truex, Elliott, Bowman, Blaney, Custer, McDowell.
The optimal lines for the 202 Pennzoil 400 were (FD) Logano, DiBenedetto, Austin Dillon, Stenhouse Jr., Wallace Jr., and (DK) Harvick, Logano, Stenhouse Jr., Wallace Jr., Ty Dillon.
The following drivers have taken the checkered flag during the 2020 Cup Series: Keselowski (2), Hamlin (2), Logano (2), Elliott, Harvick, and Bowman.
The following drivers have top-five finishes during the 2020 Cup Series: Harvick (5), Kyle Busch (5), Elliott (4), Keselowski (4), Hamlin (4), Blaney (3), Kurt Busch (3), Logano (2), Bowman (2), Bowyer (2), Jones (2), Johnson (2), Stenhouse Jr. (2), DiBenedetto, Austin Dillon, and Buescher.
The following drivers have top-ten finishes during the 2020 Cup Series: Harvick (8), Keselowski (6), Kurt Busch (6), Kyle Busch (5), Elliott (5), Hamlin (5), Logano (4), Jones (4), Johnson (4), Truex (4), Blaney (3), Bowyer (3), Austin Dillon (3), Almirola (3), Bowman (2), Stenhouse Jr. (2), DiBenedetto (2), Buescher (2), Byron (2), Reddick (2), Wallace (2), Bell (2), Nemechek, Custer, and Newman.
“Change your game, and change your life!” #windaily #nascardfs
We move to the Atlanta Motor Speedway this week for the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500. This is another 1.5 mile track than has held racing since 1960. Jimmie Johnson once again is the active driver who has had the most success here with 4 wins, tied with legends Richard Petty, Dales Earnhardt, and Bobby Labonte. Brad Keselowski is the only other driver with multiple wins, taking down 2 of the last three in 2017 and 2019.
Hendrick Motorsports leads all owners with 9 wins, followed closely by Joe Gibbs Racing with 7 wins in Atlanta. Neither though have won the last 3 years. Chevrolet leads with 23 wins over the 19 for Ford, but the latter has taken the last 3 races.
Hometown Chase Elliott hopes to improve off of his poor Truck Race effort. He is on the Pole with Aric Almirola next to him in the front row. Dominators Joey Logano, Kyle Busch, Brad Keselowski Kevin Harvick and Denny Hamlin are also in the top 10. The early race to the lead could be a big factor in who dominates and wins DFS GPP’s.
My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I decided to just lock it in with 41 lineups and not mess with them Sunday AM.
NASCAR DFS High-Priced | DraftKings
NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier | DraftKings
NASCAR DFS Value Plays | DraftKings
Here is my Driver Usage for Sunday’s Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500.
I also like 5 plays to win the race. I like Clint Bowyer for the WIN, but the 4 other obviously are in the mix.
I am again on some plays to finish in the Top 3, Top 5 and a couple of driver match ups. 3 units on Clint Bowyer and 1 unit on all other plays.
TOP 3 PICKS: Kurt Busch +500; Clint Bowyer +750
TOP 5 PICKS: Kurt Busch +275; Clint Bowyer +375; Austin Dillon +1100
Matchups: Clint Bowyer over Erik Jones -108; Austin Dillon -130 over Ryan Newman
THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE. JOIN US ON DISCORD, TOO!
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Join us in the #nascar Discord channel to discuss your Camping World 200 picks. The following is intended for DraftKings GPP purposes only. Follow Josh on Twitter at @dfs_noshame.
The NASCAR Gander RV & Outdoors Truck Series returns today with the 12th annual Vet Tix Camping World 200 at Atlanta Motor Speedway in Hampton, Georgia.
The Truck Series race is set to drop the flag at 1:17 p.m. ET Saturday.
This race will be 130-laps or 200.2 miles on this 1.54-mile track. The stages will be 30-laps, 30-laps, and 70-laps.
ROSS CHASTAIN – Chastain has the third-highest price on the slate, but starts 27th and is projected to finish 3rd, for 65 points.
CHASE ELLIOTT – Elliott is the second-highest priced driver on the slate, starts 13th, and is projected to finish 2nd for 53 points, before fastest laps and laps led.
KYLE BUSCH – Kyle is the highest-priced driver on the slate, starts 6th, and is projected to finish first for 51 points, before fastest laps and laps led.
BEN RHODES – Rhodes is $7,700, starts 8th, and is projected to finish 7th, for 38 points.
AUSTIN HILL – Hill is $7,200, starts 4th, and is projected to finish 6th, for 36 points.
TY MAJESKI – Majeski is $5,900, starts 18th, and is projected to finish 18th, for 26 points.
Additional options: John Hunter Nemechek, Stewart Friesen, Johnny Sauter, Matt Crafton, Sheldon Creed, Brennan Poole, and Austin Self.
“Change your game, and change your life!” #windaily #nascardfs
NASCAR moves to the Bristol Motor Speedway tomorrow for The Supermarket Heroes 500. This half mile track has given me fits in DFS, but I have had a good run at picking the winners. This week will be very tricky on DrafKings as the pricing and starting lineup is very difficult and true to normal form. Brad Keselowski will be on the pole with Almirola at his side. The top 10 is full of drivers who can take this down and is led by Kyle Busch in the 7th spot who has won at Bristol 8 times.
Joe Gibbs has dominated taking 4 of the last 5 races, and 5 of the last 9 with Toyota. Chevrolet has 3 wins in the last 10 with Jimmie Johnson winning 2 of them. Brad Keselowski and Matt Kenseth are the only other active drivers with a win in the last 10 races.
My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I am all about those who have had success at this track or I believe can be a dominator. My final Driver Usage will be posted on Twitter Sunday, but my top plays are below.
NASCAR DFS High-Priced | DraftKings
NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier | DraftKings
NASCAR DFS Value Plays | DraftKings
I also like 5 plays to win the race. I am riding Kyle Busch as my pick to win his 3rd Food City 500 in a row this week, but I do like 4 other value plays.
I am also on some plays to finish in the Top 3, Top 5, Top 10, and a couple of driver match ups. 2 units on Kyle Busch and 1 unit on all other plays.
TOP 3 PICKS: Kyle Busch +100; Brad Keselowski +300
TOP 5 PICKS: Kyle Busch -152; Brad Keselowski +170
TOP 10 PICKS: Jimmie Johnson -118, Kurt Busch -137, Ryan Blaney -180
Matchups: Kyle Busch over Chase Elliott -136; Christopher Bell over Austin Dillon +135
THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE. JOIN US ON DISCORD, TOO!
Please also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88
The following DraftKings and FanDuel Alsco 500 NASCAR DFS picks are intended for GPP purposes only. Click here to join us in the #nascar Discord channel now! Follow Josh on twitter at @dfs_noshame.
The 2020 Alsco Uniforms 500 is set to drop the green flag at Charlotte Motor Speedway in Concord, North Carolina tonight.
This 500-kilometer (approximately 312-miles) race will consist of 208 laps. The stages will be 55-laps, 60-laps, and 93-laps. This race will be official after 104 laps.
The race will be rescheduled for Thursday if rain prevents the race from occurring Wednesday night.
NO. 19 – MARTIN TRUEX JR. (FD-$14,000; DK-$9,400; +450) – Truex is among the three favorites to take the checkered flag at this race. Truex offers some point differential upside starting 15th and has the speed and ability to win this race and capture laps led points; he finished 6th on Sunday, with 87-laps led and 56-fastest laps.
NO. 9 – CHASE ELLIOTT (FD-$13,000; DK-$9,700; +500) – Chase was well-positioned to take the checkered flag this past Sunday when a late caution led to a second-place finish. Chase finished Sunday’s race with 38-laps led and 50-fastest laps, and took first place in last night’s Truck Series race, the North Carolina Education Lottery 200.
ADDITIONAL OPTIONS: KYLE BUSCH (FD-$13,700; DK-$10,500; +625; starts 12th), KEVIN HARVICK (FD-$12,300; DK-$9,200; +900; starts 16), DENNY HAMLIN (FD-$12,000; DK-$11,200; +1400; starts 29), JOEY LOGANO (FD-$11,000; DK-$8,900; +1000; starts 8), BRAD KESELOWSKI (FD-$11,600; DK-$10,000; +1100, starts 20).
NOTE: Be sure to include the race winner in your Alsco 500 NASCAR DFS lineup, and pass on rostering drivers that finish below their starting position.
NO. 88 – ALEX BOWMAN (FD-$12,200; DK-$8,700; +600) – Bowman led an impressive 164-laps on Sunday, and recorded 52-fastest laps. Starting 12th, Bowman dominated much of the race only to finish 19th. Bowman has the speed and ability to win and dominate this race but faces increased negative place differential risk starting second.
NO. 24 – WILLIAM BYRON (FD-$10,700; DK-$8,500; +1200) – Byron will be starting for the pole tonight after finishing 20th on Sunday with no laps led and 13-fastest laps. He is one of the best young drivers in the Cup Series but his high starting position increases the risk of a negative place differential.
NO. 48 – JIMMIE JOHNSON (FD-$11,200; DK-$12,300; +1000) – Jimmie Johnson finished second on Sunday but failed the post-race tech inspection. resulting in a disqualification. Therefore, he will be starting 40th this evening. With minimal down-side risk and significant positive place differential upside, Johnson should be found in many lineups tonight. Make sure to try at least one build without Jimmie just in case he takes an early exit. Jimmie’s last Cup Series win was in June 2017.
NO. 14 – CLINT BOWYER (FD-$9,000; DK-$11,800; +6600) – Bowyer crashed hard into the wall Sunday, and therefore, will be starting 39th. Bowyer offers significant positive place differential upside and should garner ownership on both FanDuel and DraftKings. Consider getting at least one build without Bowyer just in case he decides to take another hard right turn.
ADDITIONAL OPTIONS: MATT KENSETH (FD-$7,600, DK-$8,100; +3500; starts 26th), BUBBA WALLACE (FD-$5,000; DK-$8,300; +55000; starts 38th).
The following drivers do not have the most attractive starting positions but do have the ability to move up during the race and provide value if they do so: RYAN NEWMAN (FD-$7,000; DK-$7,500; +12500; starts 27th), KURT BUSCH (FD-$10,000; DK-$9,000; +1800; starts 14th), ERIK JONES (FD-$9,500; DK-$7,800; +1500; starts 10th), RYAN BLANEY (FD-$10,400; DK-$7,800; +1500; starts 18th), and TYLER REDDICK (FD-$8,000; DK-$7,600; +3500; starts 13th).
The following drivers may be starting a little too high and face risk of negative place differential: Reed Sorenson, Michael McDowell, John Hunter Nemechek, Cole Custer, Matt Benedetto, Austin Dillon (see note below), and Corey LaJoie.
NOTE: Austin Dillon does have the potential to finish top-6 and have a strong performance. Starting 7th increases his risk of negative place differential though.
The following drivers have not finished on the lead lap during the 2020 NASCAR Cup Series season: Timmy Hill, Quin Houff, Gray Gaulding, Joey Gase, Josh Bilicki, and J.J. Yeley (with exception for the Fan Shield 500).
NOTE: Avoid rostering drivers that will not finish on the lead lap.
Chase Elliott, Martin Truex Jr., Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, Denny Hamlin, Brad Keselowski, Kurt Busch, Matt Kenseth, Ryan Newman, Ryan Blaney, Erik Jones, Tyler Reddick, Bubba Wallace, Jimmie Johnson.
Chase Elliott, Martin Truex Jr., Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, Denny Hamlin, Brad Keselowski, Kurt Busch, Matt Kenseth, Ryan Newman, Ryan Blaney, Erik Jones, Tyler Reddick, Jimmie Johnson.
NOTE: All relevant updates related to these DraftKings and FanDuel Alsco 500 NASCAR DFS picks will be posted in the #nascar-research channel prior to lock.
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