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Atlanta Hawks

NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 01/04

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Despite there being plenty of games on the NBA schedule tonight, a few spots stand above the rest. Many teams are dealing with a multitude of injuries to begin the new year, while one of the opening games features two of the slimmest rotations of the slate. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Orlando Magic (-2.5)

Oklahoma City Thunder (+2.5)

On the second half of a back-to-back, the Thunder will be an interesting rotation tonight. Last night saw a surprising blowout victory versus Boston, despite missing Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. On tonight’s NBA slate, both of these teams will be popular should the Thunder star miss a second straight contest. In his absence, look for a backcourt of Josh Giddey and Tre Mann to shoulder the load on offense, while both Lu Dort and Jalen Williams get a friendly matchup versus a Magic defense that ranks 25th in the NBA versus wings. If SGA makes his return, look for updates in Discord.

Orlando Magic (-2.5)

The Magic will be awfully thin tonight. They have the second bulk of players serving their suspensions from a previous incident versus the Pistons, while others have been added to the injury report. Franz Wagner, Mo Wagner, Kevon Harris, and Admiral Schofield will all be serving their one-game suspensions tonight. Moreover, Bol Bol was recently placed in health and safety protocols, while Jalen Suggs figures to be on a strict minutes limit after missing the previous 17 games. Barring a minutes restriction, this is a phenomenal matchup for Wendell Carter Jr., who faces a Thunder interior defense that ranks 29th in the NBA versus small-ball centers and ranks 25th in points allowed in the paint per game. If Carter Jr. remains limited and Bol Bol is ultimately ruled out, Mo Bamba is a must-play.

Houston Rockets @ New Orleans Pelicans (-7.5)

Houston Rockets (+7.5)

In one of the best game environments of the NBA slate, exposure to both sides of this game is imperative. With key injuries to the Pelicans’ frontcourt, Alperen Sengun will be needed to match the size of Jonas Valanciunas, Jaxson Hayes, and Guillermo Hernangomez. Sporting a 22.3% usage rate on the season, Sengun leads the Rockets with a 1.18 fantasy points per minute. Moreover, Jalen Green has immense upside in a high-scoring affair. Over his seven games, Green has scored 20 or more points in six appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 22.1/5.4/3 on 43.5% shooting during that stretch while attempting eight three-pointers per contest.

New Orleans Pelicans (-7.5)

The Pelicans will be severely shorthanded tonight. Not only is Brandon Ingram still recovering from a toe injury, but Zion Williamson now joins him on the sidelines with a hamstring injury. Thus, CJ McCollum will be tasked with shouldering the offense. On the season, McCollum currently sports a 26.1% usage rate and 1.09 fantasy points per minute. However, with both Ingram and Williamson off the court, McCollum sees drastic increases to a 31.5% usage rate and a team-leading 1.24 fantasy points per minute. Moreover, Houston currently ranks last in the NBA versus primary ball handlers. Look for McCollum to score with ease and see a notable uptick in assist opportunity with Valanciunas, Hayes, and Hernangomez being the benefactors in the pick-and-roll.

Atlanta Hawks @ Sacramento Kings (-1.5)

Atlanta Hawks (+1.5)

In the best game environment of the NBA slate, there is plenty of intrigue across the pricing grid. Trae Young offers the most upside in this matchup, leading the team with a 33.5% usage rate. However, both Dejounte Murray and Bogdan Bogdanovic are enticing as well. With a troubling frontcourt of Onyeka Okongwu and John Collins facing Domantas Sabonis in the paint, the Hawks will look to roll out a smaller lineup and push the pace. In 14 games this season, Bogdanovic has come off the bench in 11 appearances. Moreover, he is one of the league’s best off the bench, averaging 17.4/3.2/2.5 in over 30 minutes per contest. Meanwhile, Dejounte Murray will be tasked with guarding De’Aaron Fox on the other side of the ball and logging heavy minutes in a fast matchup versus a Kings team that ranks fourth in the league in pace.

Sacramento Kings (-1.5)

While the duo of Domantas Sabonis and De’Aaron Fox is at the forefront of a fantasy goldmine, there is another spot to target as well. Facing his former team, Kevin Huerter will get plenty of shooting opportunities tonight. As a result of Murray guarding Fox, Huerter gets a phenomenal matchup versus a poor defender in Trae Young. Atlanta ranks 26th in the NBA versus off-ball guards and have struggled mightily to shift to the corners. With Domantas Sabonis’ elite playmaking on the inside, he has triple-double upside in this matchup, but he won’t get there without Huerter being the benefactor of open three-point attempts.

Honorable Mentions:

San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks (-9.5)
Detroit Pistons @ Golden State Warriors (-6.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/19

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

As we approach the holiday period, many players will be sitting out games. It is common for NBA teams to make sure their key contributors are rested heading into the new year. Thus, new rotations will be key in elite game environments. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Orlando Magic @ Atlanta Hawks (-6.5)

Orlando Magic (+6.5)

Despite numerous injuries, the Magic have reeled off six straight wins. No Orlando player has been as impressive as the #1 overall pick in this year’s NBA Draft, Paolo Banchero. Over his last seven games, Banchero has scored 20 or more points in each one. Moreover, he has averaged 22.4/7.4/4.6 on 41.3% shooting. During that same stretch, he has also led the team in both usage rate and minutes played per game. With the Hawks currently ranked 26th in the league against power forwards and 27th in points allowed in the paint, Banchero has massive upside in this matchup.

Atlanta Hawks (-6.5)

Exposure to the Hawks offense remains to be seen, depending on their final injury report. After missing multiple weeks, both John Collins (ankle) and Dejounte Murray (ankle) are questionable to make their returns to the lineup. Should both miss this game, there are options all over the pricing grid. At the top, Trae Young gets a friendly matchup versus a Magic defense that ranks 24th in the NBA in defensive rating, while also ranking 20th against primary ball handlers. Moreover, the duo of Bogdan Bogdanovic and Onyeka Okongwu figure to be popular options if both Collins and Murray miss another game. Over his last four games, Bogdanovic has averaged 26/5.8/2.8 on 54.4% shooting, including 54.8% from deep on over ten attempts per night. On the other hand, Okongwu will continue to fill in at the ‘5’ for Clint Capela, who remains out.

Portland Trail Blazers @ Oklahoma City Thunder (OTB)

Portland Trail Blazers (OTB)

While most will avoid the Blazers tonight versus a shorthanded Thunder roster, it’s the wrong approach. There is certainly a possibility that this game gets out of hand given the injuries to OKC’s two best players. However, they just pulled off a victory against the Grizzlies with this same rotation. Even with Morant getting tossed after 16 minutes of that game, it’s an impressive victory nonetheless. If you want to play Lillard at the top of the pricing grid tonight, I won’t talk you off of it. But with Lu Dort lining up on him, Simons and Nurkic are in better spots. The Thunder rank 27th in the NBA against true centers, while struggling versus off-ball guards as well. This rotation is risky but makes for an intriguing tournament play.

Oklahoma City Thunder (OTB)

This rotation will be one of, if not the most popular one on the entire NBA slate. Both Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Josh Giddey have been ruled out for a second straight game. Thus, there are plenty of viable options. Of the players of interest, pick your poison with any combination of Lu Dort, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins, and/or Aleksej Pokusevski. The four not only figure to play the bulk of minutes, but are in one of the best game environments on the slate.

Charlotte Hornets @ Sacramento Kings (-8.5)

Charlotte Hornets (+8.5)

Since making his return to the lineup, LaMelo Ball has looked great. Despite the concerns around his efficiency, he has still shot 50% from the field in his two games played since returning. During that span, Ball has logged 33 and 34 minutes, leaving no concern for any restrictions. Moreover, he has averaged 25/1.5/7 on 50% shooting, including 46.2% from deep on a whopping 13 attempts per night. With the Kings ranked 6th in the NBA in pace, this game environment is meant for Ball.

Sacramento Kings (-8.5)

Despite a lofty spread on this game, the Kings offense is in the best spot on the NBA slate. The Hornets currently rank 13th in pace, while being 27th in defensive rating. As expected, the main contributors of interest are De’Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis. However, the latter figures to be one of, if not my favorite play of the slate at the top of the pricing grid. In his last six games, Sabonis has scored 20 or more points in five appearances. Moreover, he has averaged 21.2/14.2/6 on 71.2% shooting during that stretch. The Hornets have always been a frontcourt to pick on, and they currently rank last in the league against centers, allowing over 60 fantasy points per game to the position.

Honorable Mentions:

Milwaukee Bucks @ New Orleans Pelicans (OTB)
San Antonio Spurs @ Houston Rockets (-3.5)
Los Angeles Lakers @ Phoenix Suns (OTB)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/09

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Tonight’s NBA slate is one of the most interesting ones of the season. There are plenty of studs going head to head, while many will fly under the radar despite elite performances lately. It’s a Fajita Friday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Many key players are currently listed as questionable. Should they sit out, the slate can be altered in a drastic way. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Washington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers (-5.5)

Washington Wizards (+5.5)

Kristaps Porzingis will be completely overlooked on this NBA slate. However, he shouldn’t be. Over his last five games, KP has been on an absolute tear. The Wizards big man has averaged 28.8/10.4/2.6 on 50% shooting during that span, while scoring 20 or more points in every appearance. Moreover, he leads the team with a 30.3% usage rate. A tough matchup looms against Myles Turner, but he is listed as questionable. Should he miss this game, Porzingis is set to dominate the paint on both ends of the court. However, Porzingis himself is also questionable, making Kyle Kuzma one of the most popular plays on the slate if the former sits out.

Indiana Pacers (-5.5)

Without hesitation, Tyrese Haliburton is an elite play on this NBA slate. Similarly to Kristaps Porzingis, Haliburton will be overlooked considering the number of studs on this slate. Over his last 14 games, Haliburton has posted double digit assists in 12 appearances with ten double-doubles. However, I also want to highlight Buddy Hield in the midrange of the pricing grid. Over his last three appearances, Hield has averaged 21.7/7.7/3 on 45.1% shooting, including 45.5% from deep. The Wizards currently rank 24th in the NBA in three-point percentage allowed on over 12 makes allowed per night.

Atlanta Hawks @ Brooklyn Nets (-6.5)

Atlanta Hawks (+6.5)

Despite the letdown at the Garden, Trae Young will be one of the most popular studs on this NBA slate. Not only is John Collins still out, but Dejounte Murray has been ruled out for the next two weeks and De’Andre Hunter is questionable to return to the lineup after a three game absence. On the season, Young leads the team with a 34.1% usage rate and has posted 1.31 fantasy points per minute. However, with Murray off the floor, Young sees increases to an outrageous 43.7% usage rate and 1.60 fantasy points per minute. A short memory is key in NBA DFS after poor performances and it certainly applies to Trae Young here tonight.

Brooklyn Nets (-6.5)

Exposure to the Nets offense is far from a must on tonight’s NBA slate. However, Kyrie Irving has massive upside in the midrange of the pricing grid. With the field likely flocking to a player in the same range as Irving in the next game, the Nets point guard will essentially go unrostered. In his last appearance, Kyrie turned in his first 30-point performance since October 29th. The sheer presence of Kevin Durant limits his ceiling, and with the return of Ben Simmons to the lineup, this is a pure tournament play only.

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Utah Jazz (-2.5)

Minnesota Timberwolves (+2.5)

The player referred to above is Anthony Edwards. Likely to be one of the most popular options on the NBA slate, be wary in this one. While Edwards has posted phenomenal statistics with Karl-Anthony Towns out over his last three games, the majority has come in unsustainable practice. Edwards has three straight games with 26 or more points while Towns has been out, averaging 27/4.7/5.7 on 48.3% shooting. However, he has topped 50 fantasy points in two of three games, large in part to his ridiculous 5.67 steals per game during that span. Moreover, Utah ranks 6th in the NBA in turnover percentage, taking care of the ball nearly every possession they can.

Utah Jazz (-2.5)

Exposure to the Jazz is already interesting with Collin Sexton ruled out. However, should Lauri Markkanen miss a second straight game, Jordan Clarkson and Malik Beasley will shoulder the load on offense. We need to take a wait-and-see approach here, but Utah is one of the most key injury reports to monitor on this NBA slate. Look for updates in Discord once we get confirmation on Markkanen and Mike Conley.

Honorable Mentions:

Sacramento Kings @ Cleveland Cavaliers (-5.5)
Los Angeles Lakers @ Philadelphia 76ers (-3.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/07

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Some teams are on back-to-backs, while a key rotation is sitting out the majority of their starters. The NBA fantasy landscape changes drastically leading up to lock, and tonight will be no different. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks (-1.5)

Atlanta Hawks (+1.5)

Trae Young has been inconsistent on offense lately, but whenever he’s playing in the Garden, you have to take notice. By now, everyone knows the history that lies between Young and the city of New York, dating back to the 2021 NBA Playoffs. Additionally to the narrative, the Knicks currently rank 29th in the NBA to primary ball handlers. Moreover, they rank 28th in three-pointers allowed per game. He’s in a tremendous spot, but can’t fault you for being concerned about his recent output. Should you not go to the top of the pricing grid with Young, do not hesitate to go right back to the well with the trio of AJ Griffin, Jalen Johnson, and Jarrett Culver without both John Collins and De’Andre Hunter still out.

New York Knicks (-1.5)

Tom Thibodeau continues to search for answers in his rotation and cannot find any. Recently, Cam Reddish has fallen out of the rotation, similarly to how Evan Fournier has for quite some time. Thus, there are few options of interest here. The trio of Julius Randle, Jalen Brunson, and RJ Barrett are in for a heavy workload on offense tonight. However, I also want to mention Quentin Grimes and Immanuel Quickley. The Hawks currently rank 27th in the NBA versus off-ball guards. Grimes has a low floor, but has logged 26 or more minutes in eight straight appearances. Meanwhile, Quickley has only seen 20 or more minutes in three of his last five. Don’t force exposure to the Knicks tonight.

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Memphis Grizzlies (-6.5)

Oklahoma City Thunder (+6.5)

If you’re looking for a back and forth between two elite guards, this is the game for you. Over his last seven appearances, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has topped 30 points in every one. Moreover, he has averaged 31.7/5.1/6.1 on 44.4% shooting during that span. While the field will see his lackluster performance against Memphis in their last game, I’m counting on the fact that this keep him rostered at a lower number than he should be. With a certain stud point guard in the next game ruled out, there is arguably to better option at the position on this NBA slate than SGA.

Memphis Grizzlies (-6.5)

Ja Morant has been removed from the injury report, and the Memphis value from their last NBA slate is gone. However, there are different ways to get exposure to this offense in an elite game environment. Morant is the obvious choice, but by doing so, you’re committing the primary contributions of your lineup to a single game. This is more than fine given the studs in this matchup, but if not, use the Memphis frontcourt. With OKC running a much smaller lineup than Memphis, Steven Adams will likely see less than 30 minutes in this game. Thus, things open up for Jaren Jackson Jr., Brandon Clarke, and Santi Aldama. OKC currently ranks 26th in the league versus centers while allowing over 54 points in the paint per game, ranking 27th in the NBA.

Golden State Warriors @ Utah Jazz (+1.5)

Golden State Warriors (-1.5)

The field will flock to this game and rightfully so. Golden State is sitting out three of their five starters with Steph Curry, Andrew Wiggins, and Draymond Green all ruled out. Thus, Jordan Poole instantly becomes the most popular option on the NBA slate. On the season, Poole is sporting a 27.5% usage rate and 1.03 fantasy points per minutes. However, his usage jumps to 32.6% in six starts this season. Moreover, with Curry off the floor, Poole carries a whopping 35.2% usage rate and sees his fantasy points per minute increase to 1.15. Utah currently ranks 20th in the NBA against primary ball handlers, while also sitting 25th in defensive rating.

Utah Jazz (+1.5)

The potential return of Mike Conley complicates a backcourt that is already riddled with talent in Jordan Clarkson, Collin Sexton, and Malik Beasley. However, he will almost certainly be on a minutes limit, if he makes his return. While both Sexton and Beasley are going to see the biggest decrease in volume of the trio, both Jordan Clarkson and Lauri Markkanen will still carry this offense. Golden State has struggled with its perimeter defense this season, most notably versus combo guards. This bodes well for Clarkson, who has scored 20 or more points in eight of his last ten games. Over that span, Clarkson has averaged 22.5/3.6/4.8 on 44.8% shooting, leading the team in usage rate at 28.1%.

Honorable Mentions:

Los Angeles Lakers @ Toronto Raptors (OTB)
Indiana Pacers @ Minnesota Timberwolves (-4.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/05

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

There are plenty of elite options on this NBA slate. Thankfully, there are a few game environments and matchups that stand above the others. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

A few players are making their returns from injury tonight while others remain out. Moreover, there will be injury reports to be monitored since some teams are on back-to-backs. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

OKC Thunder @ Atlanta Hawks (OTB)

OKC Thunder (OTB)

Josh Giddey is resembling a fellow combo guard in this game. While his style of play translates to that of Dejounte Murray, it won’t be Giddey seeing him on defense, but rather Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Thus, this is a tremendous spot for the former. Because Murray guards primary ball handlers, Atlanta currently ranks 24th in the NBA against off-ball guards. As a result, Trae Young is currently ranked 15th-worst in the league as a qualified defender. Through his last 13 games, Giddey has scored ten or more points in 12 of them. In that same span, he has averaged 15.7/8.8/5.9 on 47.6% shooting and is second on the team in usage, minutes, scoring, and assists, while leading the team in rebounding.

Atlanta Hawks (OTB)

Although Trae Young is expected to be returning to the lineup tonight, there is still plenty of value with both John Collins and De’Andre Hunter out. On their last slate, the trio of AJ Griffin, Jarrett Culver, and Jalen Johnson were crucial to our subcribers. Not only were they ignored by the field, but they combined for over 90 fantasy points for a little over $11,000 in salary. Tonight, on an NBA slate where value will be needed to roster multiple studs, this is the spot to be.

Phoenix Suns @ Dallas Mavericks (-4.5)

Phoenix Suns (+4.5)

If you’re looking for a back and forth between two of the league’s best, this is the game for you. I’d spend time talking about the history between Devin Booker and Luka Doncic, but there’s only so many hours in a day. If you’re unfamiliar with what has happened between these two, start at last season’s Conference Finals and you’ll find out soon enough. Over his last three games, Booker has led the Suns to a 2-1 record, at the time of writing. One win by blowout, one tight win, and one tight loss. During that span, Booker has posted 40 or more points in all three affairs, averaging 45.3/5.3/6 on 66.7% shooting, including 57.9% from deep.

Dallas Mavericks (-4.5)

I mentioned it briefly above, but seriously, look into the history between Doncic, Booker, and these two franchises over the last season. Also mentioned is the fact that, at the time of writing, the Suns are 2-1 in their last 3: one win by blowout, one tight win, and one tight loss. Well look no further, but the Mavericks are also 2-1 in their last 3 with, you guessed it, one win by blowout, one tight win, and one tight loss. Doncic didn’t quite match Booker’s three 40-point efforts, but the former does have 30 or more in three straight. Over that same span, Doncic averaged 35.3/8.3/9.7 on 52.1% shooting. The writing is on the wall for this one – enjoy the show.

Indiana Pacers @ Golden State Warriors (-8.5)

Indiana Pacers (+8.5)

Both of these teams have injury reports to monitor in one of the best game environments on the NBA slate. The Pacers find themselves on the second half of a back-to-back, meaning some players may sit. Most notably, Tyrese Haliburton has been nursing a groin injury. We’ll have the see how things shake out with their final injury report, but I’m certainly keeping an empty spot for a late swap in the event players are ruled out for the Pacers.

Golden State Warriors (-8.5)

The Warriors are dealing with injuries of their own in this one. Both Andrew Wiggins and Jordan Poole are questionable to play. However, Klay Thompson is back in the lineup and he is the main interest on offense, aside from Curry. The Pacers currenly rank 23rd in the NBA in three-pointers allowed per game and three-point shooting percentage allowed. This bodes well for Thompson, who is arguably one of the best shooters to ever take an NBA court. Dating back to November 1st, Thompson has made two or more three-pointers in 12 of 13 appearances. Moreover, he has posted 19.8 points per game during that span with an average of 4.3 three-pointers made per contest, shooting 41.5% from deep.

Honorable Mentions:

Boston Celtics @ Toronto Raptors (+1.5)
Miami Heat @ Memphis Grizzlies (-2.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 12/02

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

The majority of the NBA was off yesterday but we have a loaded slate in its return. Multiple teams are dealing with the injury bug, while others are struggling to overcome early season woes. It’s a Fajita Friday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Despite the day off yesterday, many players have already been ruled out tonight. Moreover, there are lengthly injury reports heading into tonight’s action. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Denver Nuggets @ Atlanta Hawks (-2.5)

Denver Nuggets (+2.5)

We already knew the Nuggets were banged up heading into the season. Jamal Murray was recovering from an ACL tear, while Michael Porter Jr. was healing from a recurring back injury. Now, the latter is out for tonight’s game with a heel injury, which marks his sixth absence this season. In their absence, Nikola Jokic will shoulder the load on offense. Moreover, his support case of Bruce Brown and Aaron Gordon have been playing at high levels this season. However, the interest here lies in Jokic. His opponent currently rank 23rd in the NBA against true centers. Additionally, Jokic has posted a 26.8/11/8.8 scoring line on 66.7% shooting across his last four games, sporting a 28.3% usage rate.

Atlanta Hawks (-2.5)

We hit big on a Trae Young masterclass the other night versus Orlando, but the Hawks rotation is riddled with value tonight. Both John Collins (ankle) and De’Andre Hunter (hip) left last game and did not return. Additionally, the two have already been ruled out for tonight’s game. Thus, we are going to see a heavy dose of AJ Griffin and Jarrett Culver tonight, in addition to Onyeka Okongwu if Clint Capela (ankle) is ultimately ruled out. Although the usage will be modest, the Hawks duo represent some of the best value plays on the NBA slate.

New Orleans Pelicans @ San Antonio Spurs (+7.5)

New Orleans Pelicans (-7.5)

Even with CJ McCollum likely to return tonight, Zion Williamson is an elite target on tonight’s NBA slate. In the absence of Brandon Ingram, it’s been Williamson who has carried the Pelicans to a 3-1 record over their last four games. Moreover, Zion has posted two 30-point efforts during that span, averaging 25.5/8.5/4.5 on 68.3% shooting. The Spurs currently rank 28th in the NBA in points in the paint allowed per game and will be without their best defender in Jakob Poeltl.

San Antonio Spurs (+7.5)

The Spurs are heavy underdogs in this game but if they want to keep it close, it will be because of Devin Vassell and Keldon Johnson. The latter gets the more favorable matchup on the wing, but the former has been performing exceptionally well as of late. Keldon Johnson faces a Pelicans defense that currently ranks 29th in the NBA against wings, in addition to avoiding a matchup against Herbert Jones since he has been ruled out. However, it is Vassell that is the better of the two targets for tournaments. Across his last seven games, Vassell has posted a 22.3/4.3/3.7 scoring line on 47.4% shooting, including 44% from deep.

Indiana Pacers @ Utah Jazz (-4.5)

Indiana Pacers (+4.5)

Look out for Myles Turner on tonight’s NBA slate. Not only has the Pacers center been playing at an elite level on both ends of the floor, but he gets a phenomenal matchup as well. On the season, Turner has averaged 17.1/8.3/1.5 on 52.8% shooting. Moreover, he has chipped in nearly 1.5 three-pointers per game, shooting 37.7% from behind the arc. On the defensive side of the ball, Turner is second in the league with 2.6 blocks per game. Utah currently ranks 29th in the NBA against true centers, making this matchup appealing as ever. Be sure to keep an eye on the status of Tyrese Haliburton, who is questionable to play with a groin injury. Should he be ruled out, there is plenty of value to be had with Bennedict Mathurin and TJ McConnell.

Utah Jazz (-4.5)

Exposure to the Jazz offense is enticing tonight. There is only one spot to avoid against the Pacers defense: Myles Turner. The big man is quite the disadvantage for the duo of Kelly Olynyk and Jarred Vanderbilt. Thus, the trio of Lauri Markkenen, Jordan Clarkson, and Collin Sexton are the desired options. By now, you know the kind of season Markkanen has been having and he has the safest floor of the three. However, the guard duo has tremendous upside in this matchup. Indiana struggles mightily against primary ball handlers, off-ball guards, and combo guards. Clarkson has 20 or more points in seven of his last eight games, while Sexton has averaged 17.6/2.6/7.2 on 60% shooting over his last five games.

Honorable Mentions:

Los Angeles Lakers @ Milwaukee Bucks (-8.5)
Orlando Magic @ Cleveland Cavaliers (-9.5)
Chicago Bulls @ Golden State Warriors (-6.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 11/30

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Elite game environments and head-to-head matchups amongst some of the league’s best headlines tonight’s NBA slate. Some teams are playing on short rotations, while others scramble to find new rotations to avoid falling in the standings. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

There have already been multiple players ruled out ahead of tonight’s slate with more to come. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Atlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic (+5.5)

Atlanta Hawks (-5.5)

If you think Orlando can keep this game relatively close, than Trae Young is someone to monitor at the top of the pricing grid. The Magic currently rank 25th in the NBA versus primary ball handlers and have poor perimeter defenders. Before failing to miss the 20-point mark in his last game, Young has scored 20 or more in eleven straight. Moreover, he leads the team in usage rate, scoring, assists, and field goal attempts per game. It’s a hefty price to pay and by no means necessary, but the ceiling is there in an elite game environment.

Orlando Magic (+5.5)

Many players in this rotation are out, while a few make their return after long absences. Wendell Carter Jr., Jalen Suggs, and Chuma Okeke are all out, while Mo Bamba is questionable. Meanwhile, Markelle Fultz and Cole Anthony will be on minutes limits in their first action in quite some time. The key player to monitor here is Mo Bamba. Should he be ruled out, Bol Bol shifts to the power forward spot in a phenomenal matchup against John Collins. His scoring output has been inconsistent, but with 10 or more points in three of his last five games, he makes for an intriguing tournament play given all the injuries to this roster.

San Antonio Spurs @ OKC Thunder (-5.5)

San Antonio Spurs (+5.5)

One of the best spots for value on the entire NBA slate. Both Jakob Poeltl and Jeremy Sochan have been ruled out for this game, leaving plenty of opportunity in the frontcourt. Additionally, Keita Bates-Diop is listed as questionable, as is Josh Richardson. Should the two miss this game as well, plenty of minutes will be there for Zach Collins, Charles Bassey, and Doug McDermott. Since returning to the lineup, Collins has posted an 8/7.5/1 scoring line on 50% shooting, while McDermott has averaged 15 points per game in those two games.

OKC Thunder (-5.5)

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (ankle) is currently questionable to play. Should he miss this game, Josh Giddey will be one of the most popular plays on the NBA slate and rightfully so. The Spurs currently rank 27th against combo guards. Moreover, Giddey has tremendous upside on the glass with the Spurs frontcourt missing two of the best rebounders. The only interest I have in this offense is if Gilgeous-Alexander misses this game, so keep an eye on the final injury report.

Toronto Raptors @ New Orleans Pelicans (-2.5)

Toronto Raptors (+2.5)

With Pascal Siakam making his return to the lineup, do not feel forced to get exposure to this offense. However, if there is a spot for OG Anunoby to make his mark, it’s in this matchup. The Pelicans currently rank 29th in the NBA versus wings. Moreover, Anunoby has scored 20 or more points in four of his last five games, posting a 24/5.6/3.2 scoring line on 50% shooting. The usage rate will always fall behind Fred VanVleet and Pascal Siakam, but Anunoby has the best matchup of the three.

New Orleans Pelicans (-2.5)

With Brandon Ingram (toe) ruled out for a second straight game, the value is there once again with the Pelicans on this NBA slate. CJ McCollum (health and safety protocols) has been cleared to play, but his conditioning may not be there after missing three games. Thus, it looks as though Zion Williamson is set to lead the offense once again. Moreover, the backcourt will pick up the slack in the absence of Ingram and potentially McCollum. Jose Alvarado is set to see heavy minutes in this one once again, while Dyson Daniels makes for an intriguing option off the bench should McClollum sit out.

Honorable Mentions:

Indiana Pacers @ Sacramento Kings (-4.5)
Portland Trail Blazers @ Los Angeles Lakers (-5.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 11/23

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

There are many elite game environments and plenty of stars on this NBA slate. Unfortunately, some have already been ruled out and will be missing in action. Injuries have derailed slates over the last few weeks, and tonight is no different. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

A single injury can alter an NBA slate. As has been the theme of the past few weeks, there hasn’t just been one, but many major injuries to monitor. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Philadelphia 76ers @ Charlotte Hornets (-4.5)

Philadelphia 76ers (+4.5)

I wrote up Shake Milton for yesterday’s NBA and the same applies on the second half of a back-to-back: “Although he figures to be one of, if not the most rostered player on the slate, it will be hard to avoid Shake Milton tonight. Over his last two games, Milton has a 25.5% usage rate. Moreover, he has posted a 21/4.5/4 scoring line on 59.3% shooting, including 44.4% from deep.” With Joel Embiid, James Harden, and Tyrese Maxey still out for the 76ers, Milton is as close to a free square as it gets.

Charlotte Hornets (-4.5)

In the absence of LaMelo Ball, Terry Rozier will carry this offense. However, with stronger intrigue for other guards on the NBA slate, I cannot find a spot for him in my NBA lineups. Thus, I’ll be looking at Kelly Oubre Jr. and PJ Washington. Now, you don’t have to force exposure to this offense. Rather, the two make for low rostered plays to get different. In their last two games since Ball reaggravated his injury, it is Oubre Jr., not Rozier, who leads the team in usage rate at 27.8%. Moreover, Oubre Jr. has posted a remarkable 28.5 points per game on 53.7% shooting in his last two appearances. Not only has Oubre Jr. been outperforming Rozier, but it is PJ Washington, not Rozier, who is second on the team in scoring in their last two. With the 76ers being forced to roll out a small lineup in the absence of Embiid, Washington will have ample opportunity in the paint.

Sacramento Kings @ Atlanta Hawks (-6.5)

Sacramento Kings (+6.5)

If you are looking for a back and forth between two elite offenses, this is the game for you. Turning heads in November, the Kings have been one of, if not the best team in the NBA lately. Not only do they currently have the #1 ranked offense, but they have a formidable duo in De’Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis complemented with elite shooting. If you have been following over the past few years, you already know how I feel about both Fox and Sabonis. Rather than writing them both up once again, I’ll emphasize what Kevin Huerter brings to this offense. Sporting an 18.6% usage rate on the season, Huerter has posted a 16.6/2.9/3.5 scoring line on 50% shooting. Moreover, he has the seventh best three-point shooting percentage in the NBA at 49.5%. A tough matchup looms on the perimeter, but this offense is scorching.

Atlanta Hawks (-6.5)

Despite the Hawks cooling off after starting their season with a 4-1 record, Trae Young has been heating up. For the eighth consecutive contest, Young posted 20 or more points versus the Cavaliers. During that span, Young has a team-leading 33.3% usage rate and has posted a 25.9/3/9.6 scoring line on 42.1% shooting. While the Kings have greatly improved their team defense, they can still be beaten by primary ball handlers, allowing over 26 points and 8 assists per 36 minutes. Enter Young, who is one of the best to do it in today’s NBA.

Los Angeles Clippers @ Golden State Warriors (-6.5)

Los Angeles Clippers (+6.5)

Lengthly injuries is once again costing the Clippers. It only gets worse, as both Kawhi Leonard (ankle) and Paul George (hamstring) are set to miss tonight’s game. As a result, this is going to be one of the most interesting rotations on the NBA slate. There are different ways to get exposure here, depending on how the rest of your lineup shakes out. Reggie Jackson and Ivica Zubac figure to carry the bulk of the offensive looks in the starting lineup. The two are both averaging approximately 33 minutes per game over their last three. Moreover, Jackson has posted a 23.3/3/3.7 scoring line on 58.1% shooting during that span, while Zubac has the better matchup of the two with Golden State ranked 26th versus centers. If you want scoring power off the bench, both John Wall and Norman Powell are elite options on the slate as well.

Golden State Warriors (-6.5)

Amidst early season troubles, the Warriors seem to have their groove on offense. With the majority of their starters having rested last game, Golden State figures to be back at full strength tonight. Thus, there is a lot of firepower here between two Western Conference title contenders. In a matchup against the Clippers, the Splash Brothers will once again be at the focal point of the offense. Klay Thompson is coming off a season-high 41 points, making 10 of 13 three-pointers against the Rockets. Moreover, Steph Curry made seven three-pointers of his own, posting a 33/6/15 scoring line on 55% shooting. Sporting a 31.2% usage rate on the season, Curry has been posting better numbers than his unanimous MVP season, making him one of the best plays on the NBA slate.

Honorable Mentions:

Portland Trail Blazers @ Cleveland Cavaliers (-8.5)
Brooklyn Nets @ Toronto Raptors (-1.5)
New Orleans Pelicans @ San Antonio Spurs (+6.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 11/21

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

This last week in the NBA resembles April basketball. Rotations have been depleted because of health and safety protocols, injuries, and load management. Tonight, multiple key players have already been ruled out, while others will surely join them by lock. It’s a Mojito Monday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Lately, injury reports are lengthly. Tonight, there are many stars missing in action with others questionable to play. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

New York Knicks @ OKC Thunder (-3)

New York Knicks (+3)

Things are not looking good for the Knicks. Despite being 8-9, this team looks to be in shambles on both sides of the ball. Now, on the second half of a back-to-back, they’re 3-point underdogs to the rebuilding Thunder. Despite their lack of success, this team has a ton of fantasy appeal tonight. No one is priced out of range, and the rotation’s inconsistent minutes makes for a high-risk, high-reward scenario. The duo of Jalen Brunson and Julius Randle figure to be relied upon heavily tonight. The Thunder currently rank 27th in the NBA versus big men, while Brunson gets a friendly matchup versus a backcourt that struggles to guard primary ball handlers. Moreover, with the inconsistent play of Isaiah Hartenstein and the return from injury of Mitchell Robinson, the Knicks will go smaller with Randle at the ‘5’, resulting in more minutes of Immanuel Quickley alongside Brunson.

OKC Thunder (-3)

Riddled with injuries, the Thunder are a rotation of interest on tonight’s NBA slate. With Tre Mann, Darius Bazley, and Aleksej Pokusevski all out, there is plenty to like in an elite game environment. First, the duo of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Josh Giddey are both firmly in play. Averaging 1.44 and 1.1 points per minute, respectively, the young backcourt offer immense upside against a Knicks defense that ranks 24th in the NBA. However, I also want to highlight Jeremiah Robinson-Earl. In the absences of both Bazley and Pokusevski, the young center will see the bulk of the minutes at the ‘5’. Moreover, he is averaging 16.54/8.27/1.44 per 36 minutes. If you cannot get exposure in the form of SGA or Giddey, there are multiple value options you should be considering.

Miami Heat @ Minnesota Timberwolves (-7)

Miami Heat (+7)

This is an injury report worth monitoring. In the last week, the Heat have been decimated with absences, requiring players on two-way contracts to meet the minimum eight players per game. Thus, Miami’s rotation will be a focal point until they get back to full health. Jimmy Butler remains out, while Gabe Vincent and Tyler Herro both missed last night’s game. Should this still be the case, a player to consider is Duncan Robinson. While both Kyle Lowry and Bam Adebayo will have higher usage rates and more looks on offense, their respective matchups are far from ideal. Minnesota currently ranks 23rd in the NBA in three-point percentage allowed and 29th in three-pointers made per game. With Robinson being one of the best pure shooters in the league, his ceiling is worth a look considering he is close to minimum salary.

Minnesota Timberwolves (-7)

Exposure to this offense will be tricky, but it’s a good spot. With Miami playing on a short rotation, Minnesota will be forced to tighten up their own. Thus, the trio of Towns, Gobert, and Edwards are enticing. Gobert has massive point/dollar upside, but his limited touches on offense keeps his production intact. Karl-Anthony Towns can put up a 30-point double-double at any given time, but his floor is simply too low. Consequently, Anthony Edwards is the priority. Sporting a team-leading 31.3% usage rate over his last two games, Edwards has posted a 30/6.5/5.5 scoring line on 46.3% shooting. Additionally, he has shot 39.1% from deep while taking 23 three-point attempts in the last two games. With Miami ranked 21st in the NBA in three-point percentage allowed and 28th in three-pointers made per game, Edwards has the potential to break the slate.

Honorable Mentions:

Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers (-2.5)
Orlando Magic @ Indiana Pacers (-6.5)
Portland Trail Blazers @ Milwaukee Bucks (-8.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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NBA DFS: Ghost’s Gems 11/16

DFSGhost 2 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Back to a set of full of games tonight in the NBA and there has already been plenty of news. Key players in some of the best game environments have already been ruled out, with surely more to come as we approach lock. It’s a Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

As mentioned above, many key players have already been ruled out. Certainly, there will be a flurry of updates to each injury report throughout the day. Thus, be sure to use our proprietary NBA projections and cheat sheet to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Boston Celtics @ Atlanta Hawks (+2)

Boston Celtics (-2)

Make no mistake about it, Jayson Tatum has been playing at an MVP level this season. Since the mid range of the pricing grid tonight will be a priority for most, many stars in elite game environments will be overlooked at the top of the pricing grid. Tatum currently sits 3rd in the NBA in scoring with 31.9 points per game. Moreover, the former Duke Blue Devil has scored 20 or more points in every game this season. Tatum comes into tonight’s matchup sporting a 31.9% usage rate, resulting in a 31.9/7.4/3.9 scoring line on 49.1% shooting. Should Malcolm Brogdon (hamstring) miss a fourth consecutive game, the Celtics are down to what is essentially an 8-man rotation in one of the best game environments on the slate.

Atlanta Hawks (+2)

The Celtics are widely recognized for their talent on the defensive side of the ball. However, the statistics tell another story. Boston currently sits 21st in the NBA in defensive rating and have been struggling to keep teams at bay, allowing 113.5 points per game over their last four. Dejounte Murray is an intriguing target at the top of the pricing grid given the Celtics’ lack of defense versus secondary ball handlers. Moreover, the duo of Clint Capela and Onyeka Okongwu hold an advantage on the inside over Al Horford. I won’t recommend forcing exposure to this offense, but this is a sneaky game for tournaments that can turn into an offensive spotlight.

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks (-4.5)

Cleveland Cavaliers (+4.5)

The Cavaliers will get reinforcements with Donovan Mitchell (ankle) back in the lineup, but will also be without Jarrett Allen (ankle) against the Bucks. Thus, both Evan Mobley and Kevin Love will see a sizeable bump in playing time. However, the backcourt duo of Garland and Mitchell will continue to carry the 3rd best offense in the NBA. In a matchup against the Bucks, who are the league’s best defensive team, it won’t be easy to put up a ton of points against the likes of Jrue Holiday and Giannis Antetokounmpo. However, Mitchell has now scored 20 or more points in seven straight games, posting a 33.4/4.6/5.4 scoring line on 55.3% shooting. I encourage exposure to this offense either way, whether it comes in the form of Mitchell/Garland or Mobley/Love, but prefer the former, since the latter will be more popular.

Milwaukee Bucks (-4.5)

Since the mid range of the pricing grid offers much intrigue, Giannis Antetokounmpo will not be overly popular. Despite the lofty price tag, Giannis is one of a handful of players that can alter an NBA slate at any time. Sophomore Evan Mobley is already one of the league’s best defenders, but slowing Giannis down tonight will be a challenge like no other. Sporting a 38.6% usage rate on the season, Giannis returned to the lineup last game with a 27/8/4 scoring line in only 31 minutes and now carries a 31.3/11.8/5.2 scoring line on 52.6% shooting into tonight’s matchup.

New York Knicks @ Denver Nuggets (-9)

New York Knicks (+9)

With the Knicks on the second half of a back-to-back, this is one of many injury reports to monitor. Moreover, New York plays five games over a span of seven days, with this being their second of five. Denver ranks 23rd in defensive rating. Thus, I have interest in rostering Jalen Brunson, RJ Barrett, or one of Isaiah Hartenstein or Obi Toppin, depending on what our NBA projections display. The trio find themselves in tremendous matchups against Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., and DeAndre Jordan, respectively. Look for updates in Discord to see where we land exactly, but the Knicks are going to be of interest.

Denver Nuggets (-9)

Welcome to the team of choice on this NBA slate. The field will surely flock to the Nuggets offense with Nikola Jokic (health and safety protocols) ruled out, and rightfully so. In addition, Bones Hyland ((health and safety protocols) will miss a third consecutive game, while Aaron Gordon is questionable with an illness as well. The quartet of Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Bruce Brown, and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope are set to see heavy minutes and offensive looks.

Of the four, Jamal Murray looks to be in for a big night. Sporting a 26.7% usage rate on the season, Murray sees a drastic increase to 38.6% with Jokic off the floor this year in a small sample. Moreover, his fantasy points per minute (FPPG) increases from 1.01 to 1.13 while seeing a notable uptick in scoring and field goal attempts. With the Knicks ranked 26th in the NBA to primary ball handlers, Murray is the preferred target, but the quartet listed above are all in play.

Honorable Mentions:

Indiana Pacers @ Charlotte Hornets (-2.5)
Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns (-1.5)

You can find me on Twitter @BetsByGhost and in the Win Daily Discord

2 years ago 0 comments

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