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Aristides Aquino

9/27 DFS Hitting Picks & Stacks: Freestyle Friday

5 years ago

written by

A fully-loaded main slate awaits us on the final Friday of the regular season. With the postseason picture developed, the focus of the 9/27 DFS Hitting Picks will be to just have fun.

And get paid.

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9/27 DFS Hitting Picks — Catcher

Jorge Alfaro, MIA at PHI

DK ($3,800), FD ($2,700)

Alfaro has three homers this week and has spent September showing signs of becoming a useful offensive backstop. He’s hit .234/.355/.453 (.808 OPS), with his OBP an encouraging sign that Alfaro will start cutting down his 33.6% strikeout rate. His hard contact rate stands at 44%, and with neither the Fish or Phils having little to play for, Alfaro could be in line for a power display against his former teammates.

9/27 DFS Hitting Picks — First Baseman

Max Muncy, LAD at SF

DK ($4,300), FD ($3,900)

His bat is starting to awaken just in time for the postseason. Muncy has a .952 OPS in the past week and hit his first homer of the month in Tuesday’s win over the Padres. He’s been more potent on the road, sporting a .921 OPS with 21 of his 34 homers hit outside Dodgers Stadium. Despite the drop in Isolated Power from last year’s .319 to this year’s .262, Muncy continues to hammer the ball consistently, as his 45.7 hard contact rate puts oomph in his .282 BABIP.

9/27 DFS Hitting Picks — Second Baseman

Garrett Hampson, COL vs. MIL

DK ($4,300), FD ($3,700)

My choice at 2B on Wednesday, Hampson has since added a pair of steals, three hits and an RBI. He now closes out the season at Coors Field, which should add icing on a September that has seen Hampson go .361/.418/.625. His .330 BABIP offsets his 26.7% strikeout rate, while his 38% fly ball rate has resulted in five homers this month. Hampson has the speed to make his 42.7% ground ball rate work in his favor, and the ability to hit to all fields makes him a good fit tonight.

9/27 DFS Hitting Picks — Third Baseman

Alex Bregman, HOU at LAA

DK ($5,200), FD ($4,500)

Thursday’s homer was Bregman’s seventh against Angels pitching this season, giving him an 1.186 OPS along with 20 RBI and 18 runs scored. Bregman has a 12.1% strikeout rate that’s countered by a 16.8% walk rate and a 45.5% fly ball rate that’s been the driving force behind his 79 extra base hits. In today’s swinging for the fences craze, the fact Bregman has struck out just 82 times while hitting 40 homers is more impressive. It’s also a reason he should be a more serious AL MVP candidate, but that’s just me…

9/27 DFS Hitting Picks — Shortstop

Gleyber Torres, NYY at TEX

DK ($4,900), FD ($3,700)

Nothing like Rangers pitching to help spark a bat before the postseason. Torres hasn’t hit well this month (.775 OPS) yet does have five homers and four doubles among his 16 September hits. His .258 Isolated Power is due for an extended power spike, and a 41.6% fly ball rate projects well in homer-friendly Globe Life Park in Arlington. Texas goes with lefty Joe Palumbo, he of the 9.22 ERA and 2.63 HR/9 rate. You know where this is leading to, right?

9/27 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Aristides Aquino, CIN at PIT

DK ($5,000), FD ($4,000)

Like the aforementioned Torres, Aquino hasn’t hit well this month, but is warming up just in time before the end of the season. Aquino slammed his 18th homer on Thursday and has a .929 OPS over the past week. He’s hit the Pirates well in his brief time in the bigs, going .417/.462/.833 with a homer in 12 at-bats versus Bucs hurling. A 28.8% HR/FB rate pairs well with a 44.7% FB rate, and despite the significant dip in hard contact rate, Aquino still has an above-average 39% total.

9/27 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Ryan Braun, MIL at COL

DK ($5,800), FD ($3,800)

Braun brings a sizzling bat into Coors Field, having gone 8-for-15 with two homers, eight RBI and six runs scored in his past five games. Over the past two weeks, he’s delivered an OPS of 1.210 that has been key toward Milwaukee’s run to the postseason. He’s also boosted his Isolated Power to .221 and brings an exceptional .323 BABIP into tonight. He has hit the ball hard all season, but his 45% hard contact rate has been at its loudest when the Brewers needed it to be.

9/27 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Kyle Tucker, HOU at LAA

DK ($4,700), FD ($3,100)

The power is coming alive for Tucker, who homered on Thursday, his second straight with a dinger and fourth in 62 September at-bats. His BABIP stands at .350 and his hard contact rate has reached 47.7%. Tucker whiffs too much (27.7%), which remains the biggest thing hampering his upside, and even with the Angels going with lefty Patrick Sandoval, the Astros will likely give Tucker the start.

9/27 DFS Hitting Stacks

9/27 Hitting Stack of the Day: Milwaukee Brewers: Start with Braun and add Mike Moustakas ($4000 FD) and Yasmani Grandal ($3800 FD). I’d sacrifice some pitching if it meant adding Keston Hiura and his $4200 salary at FanDuel.

9/27 Hitting Stack Runner-Up: New York Yankees: As usual, it will cost to stack with Pinstripes, but is worth it tonight. You could go with Torres and follow up with Aaron Judge ($5300 DK) and an affordable Austin Romine ($3800) if he is getting the start behind the plate. D.J. LeMahieu comes in at a stiff $5400, but find a solid punt play at pitcher and load up.

9/27 Hitting Stack to Consider: Oakland Athletics: Even with Khris Davis and Mark Canha banged up, there’s still lumber to stack, starting with Matt Chapman ($3600 FD). Marcus Semien ($4100 FD) is a good middle infield choice, and Ramon Laureano ($3300) is an affordable sleeper pick.

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5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

9/4 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks: A Light and Fluffy Wednesday

5 years ago

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A surprisingly light Wednesday awaits, as the 9/4 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks will focus on the eight games that comprise the main slate (five games) and the late schedule (three).

The emphasis will be on those playing the full evening slate, one that lacks elite pitching outside of Shane Bieber of the Indians and Hyun-Jin Ryu of the Dodgers.

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9/4 DFS Hitting Picks – Catcher

Mitch Garver, MIN at BOS

DK ($5,600), FD ($3,400)

Garver (jaw) missed Tuesday’s game, but is a likely go tonight. There’s good reason why he’s expense at DraftKings, as Garver has produced a 1.248 OPS over the past two weeks with three homers, eight runs scored and five RBI. Like most of (with apologies to Ole and Arn Anderson) the Minnesota Wrecking Crew, Garver has a monster Isolated Power total (.345), but he’s at his most dangerous on the road, where Garver has a 1.023 OPS with 15 homers and 35 RBI. You have to also love the combination of his 47.2% fly ball rate and 46.1% hard contact rate, which is why Garver’s a heck of a play.

8/30 DFS Hitting Picks – First Baseman

Rhys Hoskins, PHI at CIN

DK ($4,500), FD ($3,700)

Reds starter Trevor Bauer, he of the 8.40 ERA since arriving in Cincinnati, must face Hoskins, whose bat has come alive at just the right time for the Phillies. Hoskins hit just .161 for the month of August, but he’s hammered pitchers to a 1.015 OPS over the past two weeks and opened September with a pair of homers on Labor Day. With a 17.4% walk rate, Hoskins doesn’t need to go deep to touch base. Like the aforementioned Garver, Hoskins has a (very) strong fly ball rate at 51.5% to go along with a 45% hard contact rate, two very good traits to have at Great American Ball Park.

9/4 DFS Hitting Picks – Second Baseman

Whit Merrifield, KC vs. DET

DK ($4,700), FD ($3,600)

Merrifield has a homer in the three previous times he’s faced Tigers hurler Edwin Jackson. While becoming less of a baserunner, Merrifield’s Isolated Power (.172) took a 34-point jump from 2018 along with a sharp increase in HR/FB% (10.3%). Merrifield had three hits on Tuesday night, and stands to imagine he should be a good 9/4 DFS Hitting Picks member considering he’s going against Tigers pitching.

9/4 DFS Hitting Picks – Shortstop

Kevin Newman, PIT vs. MIA

DK ($4,800), FD ($3,600)

The leg tightness that has kept Newman’s blistering bat on the bench the past two games should be a thing of the past. Newman has five multi-hit games in his last seven starts and was hitting .588/.611/1.176 (1.787 OPS) with three homers over the past week. Where the power he didn’t display in the minors came from is beyond me, but Newman’s 60.9% medium contact rate from last season graduated to 51.1% due in part to an increased 27.8% hard contact rate. Aristides Aquino he’s not, but you’ll take Newman picking up where he left off.

9/4 DFS Hitting Picks – Third Baseman

Yoan Moncada, CWS at CLE

DK ($4,100), FD ($2,900)

No matter how good a pitcher is, there’s always a batter who has his number. In what feels like a 2019 edition of Major League II, Moncada is Jack Parkman to Biber’s Ricky Vaughn, having recorded five hits in nine career at-bats against the Indians ace with a pair of solo homers and a 1.933 OPS. Perhaps this is what Moncada needs. After all, he’s hitting .182 over the past two weeks, but five of those eight hits are for extra bases (three doubles, two homers). For those of the risky nature, this matchup is sneaky good.

9/4 DFS Hitting Picks – Outfielder

Jorge Soler, KC vs. DET

DK ($4,700), FD ($3,800)

Hmmm…a Royals stack (later)? Soler OWNS Detroit to the point where he could run for mayor in the D. Soler has gone .444/.500/1.000 (1.500 OPS) with nine homers among the 17 extra base hits he’s racked up against the Tigers. Oh, yeah: he’s scored 28 runs and driven 25. It’s at this point where I don’t have to give you hard contact rate percentage or fly ball frequency. Of the 9/4 DFS Hitting Picks, Soler is the one bat you must have in your lineup.

9/4 DFS Hitting Picks – Outfielder

Eloy Jimenez, CWS at CLE

DK ($3,600), FD ($2,500)

That picturesque stroke is starting to gain traction, evidenced by a .414 batting average and 1.088 OPS over the past week. Jimenez has a pair of homers in the same span, and why the lack of plate discipline continues to disappoint, the 36.9% hard contact rate continues to rise and offer reason for a strong September. Oddly enough, he’s done well against Cleveland this season, hitting .375/.394/.656 with a pair of dingers among his 12 hits. He’s a cheap play that’s worth adding to the lineup. Few will be bold to take him against Shane Bieber, but I would.

9/4 DFS Hitting Picks – Outfielder

Aristides Aquino, CIN vs. PHI

DK ($5,200), FD ($4,300)

For all of his historic power display, the most impressive thing about Aquino has been his patience at the plate. Over the past two weeks, Aquino has a .361 OBP. His 7.1% walk rate is a sign that he’s realizing he doesn’t have to chase everything while waiting for the right pitch to wallop into the nether reaches of Great American Ball Park. Aquino is still doing damage despite the fact his hard contact rate has dipped to 36.5%. That’s cool, since his HR/BB% remains a devastating 37.5%. He’s becoming an advanced enough hitter to where it’s OK to slot him in the lineup, even against Aaron Nola.

9/4 DFS Hitting Stacks

9/4 Hitting Stack of the Day: Kansas City Royals: Both Merrifield and Soler have gone deep against Jackson. Hunter Dozier ($4,600 DK) has a homer and four RBI in his last three games. Aldalberto Mondesi ($3,700 FD) has four hits and three runs in his first two games off an extended DL stop. Crazy as it sounds, loading up on Royals could lead to the long green.

9/4 Hitting Stack Runner-Up: Philadelphia Phillies: Start with Hoskins and consider adding Bryce Harper ($5,300 DK), who has seven runs scored and seven RBI to go along with a pair of homers over the past week. J.T. Realmuto ($3,600) is a solid play, and Corey Dickerson ($4,700) has the edge in a lefty-righty matchup against the slumping Trevor Bauer.

8/30 Hitting Stack to Consider: New York Yankees: The Yankees are playing in an early slate, but if you’re playing a full slate, keep in mind that it’s Rangers ace Lance Lynn on the mound. Lynn is more effective outside of Texas with a 111-27 K:BB rate in 88 innings on the road. The Yankees options are familiar, but this has Buyer Beware written all over it.

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5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

9/2 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks

Joel Bartilotta 5 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Here we are, it’s Labor Day. While most of you were still sleeping, I was sitting here spinning records, and poring over the 9/2 MLB DFS Pitching Picks. One of the things I love about having a Monday holiday is a bevy of MLB games to watch.

On this 9/2 MLB DFS slate we are starting a new format, besides giving you my top pitching picks to play, I will also be giving you some top pitching picks to attack. This all part of our continuing effort to bring you the highest quality analysis in the industry. Speaking of quality analysis, if you did not already know we now have a show on Sirius XM Fantasy Sports Radio on Saturday nights from 11 pm to 1 am EST. Make sure you tune in. So, without further delay, I bring you today’s top plays.

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On theDefense

JakeOdorizzi vs. Detroit Tigers

$9,700 FD / $10,500 DK

The Detroit Tigers are a prime team to attack on any given day, and this 9/2 MLB DFS slate is no different. They are striking out 27.3 percent of the time (1^st in MLB) with a .292 wOBA versus RHPs this season. Meanwhile, Odorizzi has been steady mobbin’ to the tune of RHBs, hitting a whopping .187 off him this season. With the Tigers being extremely right-handed heavy, Jake not from State Farm should dominant this Little League lineup today.

NoahSyndergaard vs Washington Nationals

$9,000 FD / $10,000 DK

In GPP play on this 9/2 MLB DFS slate, even facing a teamthat mashes RHPs like the Nationals, I would seriously consider using Thor. Eventhough the Nats have ugly numbers versus opposing pitchers this season, they donot versus Syndergaard. Over three starts versus Washington this season Thorhas 18 strikeouts over 21 innings with eight earned runs, four of them comingin his first start back in late March. With Syndergaard having a road ERA of 3.49versus his 4.73 ERA at home, everything appears to be a go for him today.

MasahiroTanaka vs. Texas Rangers

$8,000 FD / $8,100 DK

Tanaka, much like Julio Teheran of years past, is much more dominant at home. So far this season he is posting a 3.26 home ERA as opposed to his 5.93 ERA on the road. The Rangers are striking out 24.2 percent of the time versus RHPs with a low wRC+ of 86, while batting a pathetic .202 over the last seven. Despite Masahiro’s ups and downs as of late, in his last start facing Seattle he sent seven to the dugout mad while pitching a seven-inning shutout. On this 9/2 MLB DFS slate Tanaka is one of my favorite plays for the price.

Joe Rossvs. New York Mets

$6.800 FD / $6,600 DK

For the record on this 9/2 MLB DFS slate I prefer this play a lot more on DK over FD. Although the price is still nice on FD, I think the value is better served in the SP2 slot on DK. The Mets can be very dangerous to attack in MLB DFS versus RHPs, they are in the middle of the pack striking out 20 percent of the time with a .319 wOBA. But Ross has looked too good as of late to pass up here. Over his last five starts spanning a little more than 25 innings, he has only allowed three earned runs while striking out 16 batters. My biggest concern is innings here, as he does have a few starts in that span where he failed to reach the five-inning mark.

On theAttack

Drew Smylyvs. Cincinnati Reds

For fantasy owners Drew Smyly has done anything but make you smile. Over his last five starts he has allowed 20 earned runs over his last 26 innings, making the Reds a prime stack on this 9/2 MLB DFS slate. Cincinnati has some powerful RHBs, and is posting a .328 wOBA versus LHPs, Smyly is in serious trouble today in the Great American Small Park.

Notable Bats

Aristides Aquino has a .578 wOBA and 261 wRC+ versusLHPs with four straight games without a HR.

Phillip Ervin has .488 wOBA and 202 wRC+ versus LHPswhile batting .333 with two home runs over the last seven days. He also hasfound his way into the three spot.

Eugenio Suarez has .423 wOBA and 160 wRC+ versus LHPs and has seven home runs over his last nine games. He did leave yesterday’s second game of the doubleheader with a hand injury so keep your eyes peeled here.

JordanZimmerman vs. Minnesota Twins

The McRib, Roller skates, and Sandy Koufax are three thingsthat all had to come to an end. Much like Jordan Zimmerman’s good starts as oflate. Although he has three starts in a row allowing two earned runs or less,the last time he faced Minnesota they bombed him for five runs over threeinnings sending the Zim home in dismay. I see serious regression here today andwill stack against this geriatric pitcher on this 9/2 MLB DFS slate facing a Twinsteam posting a .345 wOBA versus RHPs.

Notable Bats

Nelson Cruz is crushing everyone and RHPs are notdifferent. He is posting .411 wOBA and wRC+ of 158 versus RHPs this season.

Mitch Garver currently has a .396 wOBA versus RHPs with a wRC+ of 147. Over the last seven days he is also batting .455 with three home runs.

Luis Arraez, if he gets the start today, which I believe he will, has a .374 wOBA versus RHPs with a complimentary 133 wRC+. With bigger bats, and $4,000 price tag on DK, you can get him at a low ownership today for sure.

Mike Minorvs. New York Yankees

The New York Yankees hit home runs like I eat Beyond Burgers, pretty much every day. I know this, does Mike Minor? If not, he will soon enough. The Yankees are crushing lefties to the tune of .360 wOBA this season with a wRC+ of 121, both which are 4^th in MLB. The magic number is 55, remember that number on this 9/2 MLB DFS slate, it is how many dingers the Yanks have launched this season versus lefties. With Minor allowing 10 earned runs in his last 12 1/3 innings, I suspect the number will be much higher tomorrow. Keep in mind that Minor has reverse splits, so do not be afraid to go lefty on lefty here in GPPs.

Notable Bats

D.J. LeMahieu is posting .476 wOBA and 202 wRC+ versus LHPs this season. Despite the horrible BVP versus Minor I would still rank him at the top batting .400 with two home runs over the last seven days.

Aaron Judge has returned to pass judgement with his .470 wOBA versus LHPs. He is batting .375 with three home runs over the last seven days and I fully see him putting one out today.

Luke Voit has posted a .354 wOBA this season along with a wRC+ of 120 versus LHPs. I like the pricing for him on both sites today and will have a lot of exposure to him. If Mike Ford somehow draws the start, that will certainly be my pivot.

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Monkey Knife Fight Prop Pick

With the Tigers striking out 27.2 percent of the time versus RHPs, and Odorizzi striking out six batters or more in four out of his last five starts the over here seems to easy.

Zimmerman more-than-likely will not see enough innings after the Twins bats get a hold of him today, so the under here is where I am looking.

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5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

8/30 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks: Bombs Over the Bronx

5 years ago

written by

For the record, I go into Texas high school football mode tonight, but since Friday Night Lights doesn’t make me (or you) copious amounts of the long green, then the 8/30 DFS Hitting Picks is a nice consolation.

All but one game is played in the lights and there’s plenty of nifty stack plays awaiting.

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8/30 DFS Hitting Picks – Catcher

Jorge Alfaro, MIA at WAS

DK ($3,700), FD ($2,700)

Sometime in the past week, Alfaro tapped into his inner Joe Mauer, circa 2009. As a result, he’s ripped off five straight multi-hit games and has averaged better than 27 FanDuel points in that span. Alfaro homered in three straight games this week, helping to elevate his HR/BB% to 28% along with a fast-rising 43.8% line drive rate.

With an OPS over 1.100 over the past two weeks, I think Alfaro continues his hitting tear on the road against Nats hurler Anibal Sanchez, who has pitched well of late but has struggled when his line drive rate (24%) looks a lot less like his 2018 total (18%).

8/30 DFS Hitting Picks – First Baseman

Mark Canha, OAK at NYY

DK ($5,300), FD ($3,400)

This won’t be the last time this game is mentioned. Canha has been a bargain banger, recording hits in 10 of his last 11 with four homers and 12 RBI. He’s been a blessing for FanDuel users, having recorded four games of at least 24.70 points during the same span. Canha walks at a 13.3% rate, somewhat understandable considering the amount of lumber in the A’s offense. His .271 Isolated Power is almost even with his .277 batting average.

A weekend at Yankee Stadium awaits Canha, who has a 23.2% HR/FB% and 42.7% fly ball rate and faces CC Sabathia. The Yankees starter has allowed right-handed hitters to tag him for 19 homers and a .287/.343/.543 (.892 OPS). Indeed, a solid 8/28 DFS Hitting and Stacks play.

8/30 DFS Hitting Picks – Second Baseman

Jose Altuve, HOU at TOR

DK ($5,100), FD ($4,200)

In 161 fewer at-bats from last season, Altuve has already equaled his career-best with 24 homers. That number could be eclipsed tonight as Altuve and the Astros head up north for a weekend set against the Blue Jays. His Isolated Power (.251) is .116 better than last year as he’s exchanged a career-high 39.4% hard contact rate and a slight bump in fly ball rate (30.7%) while watching his line drive rate dip to 18.3%.

What’s insane is that Altuve went .321/.384/.634 (1.018 OPS) with eight homers, 19 RBI and 32 runs scored this month and may not have been the best player in his lineup. Ponder that one for a second.

8/30 DFS Hitting Picks – Shortstop

Francisco Lindor, CLE at TB

DK ($4,800), FD ($4,500)

Lindor launched his fourth homer in his last six games during Thursday’s win over the Tigers and remains worth the price to add to any 8/30 DFS Hitting Picks lineup. He’s put up at least 15.50 FanDuel points in five of his last six games and has produced an OPS over 1.200 in the past week.

If you look at his hard contact rate, you’ll see it’s increased with each passing season, going from 25.5% in his rookie season in 2015 to his current 43.7%. While his Isolated Power has dipped to “just” .231, Lindor’s second half run has been fueled by an increased BABIP that has gone from .279 in 2018 to .313 this season.

8/30 DFS Hitting Picks – Third Baseman

Nolan Arenado, COL vs. PIT

DK ($5,700), FD ($4,700)

Including Thursday night’s effort against the Pirates, six of Arenado’s last 13 hits have been of the extra base persuasion, making him platinum-locked as a 8/30 DFS Hitting Picks member. When is it a bad thing to see a hitter of Arenado’s caliber delivering a 44.1% fly ball rate in Coors Field, where he also has an OPS over 1.000? I’ll wait.

Even with a slight dip in hard contact rate (41.6% compared to last season’s 42.9%) and HR/FB% (17.8%, 20.7% in 2018), Arenado at home against a pitcher (Dario Agrazal) who has a 1.84 HR/9 rate and 43.2% fly ball rate is money.

8/30 DFS Hitting Picks – Outfielder

Aaron Judge, NYY vs. OAK

DK ($5,300), FD ($4,500)

A week ago, Judge had just two homers in the month of August to go along with an OPS that barely hovered over .700. Five homers and 1.485 OPS later, Judge comes into tonight’s game with a .921 OPS this month with 15 of his 28 hits going for extra bases. The recent tear has pushed Judge’s Isolated Power to .236, putting him on par with last year’s .249. He’s dirty after dark, as Judge sports a .934 OPS in night games.

Judge is putting together a solid 29.6% line drive rate, yet isn’t getting enough lift (29% fly ball rate) to justify a vicious 55.4% hard contact rate. Take him into the lineup as Judge’s 1.179 OPS against lefties won’t be good news for A’s starter Brett Anderson, who has a lifetime 6.86 ERA against the Yankees in eight career starts.

8/30 DFS Hitting Picks – Outfielder

Sam Hillard, COL vs. PIT

DK ($4,000), FD ($2,900)

(Yet) another rookie who has debuted swinging like a first-ballot Hall of Famer, Hillard has wallopped a pair of homers among his first three big league hits. In only eight at-bats, Hillard has given DFSers a sample of his work in Triple-A, where he hammered 35 homers. He also stole 22 bases en route to producing a freakish 1.569 OPS.

Hilliard had a 41% fly ball rate and a 41.5% pull rate in the minors this season, traits that should allow him to thrive in Coors Field against hapless Pirates pitchers this weekend, including the aforementioned Agrazal. If he’s in the lineup, Hillard is a bargain.

8/30 DFS Hitting Picks – Outfielder

Aristides Aquino, CIN at STL

DK ($4,900), FD ($4,100)

Aquino has shook off a brief slump and has returned to mauling hurlers at a historic pace. He comes to the Gateway to the West with three homers and an 1.173 OPS in the past week, continuing a month that has seen Aquino go .330/.393/.804 (1.197 OPS). As far as first months go, Aquino has made a hell of an impression.

Aquino came into the majors with a .337 Isolated Power in Triple-A, only to destroy that mark, raising it to .474. His hard contact rate has come down to 38.9%. However, his fly ball rate is a strong 47.2% and you certainly live with his 23.4% strikeout rate. Something will give between him and Cards hurler Dakota Hudson. Bet on the Red.

8/30 DFS Hitting Stacks

8/30 Hitting Stack of the Day: New York Yankees: Build with Judge as the foundation and add Gleyber Torres ($4,900 DK) and Gary Sanchez ($4,700 DK). Attempting to go all-in toward a hard out Yankees stack will cost you when it comes to pitching, so look after Luke Voit ($5,100 DK) or D.J. LeMahieu ($5,300 DK)

8/30 Hitting Stack Runner-Up: Oakland A’s: Wheel out the right-handed bats, starting with Canha, who is enough of a bargain to allow you to add Matt Chapman ($4,700 DK). Josh Phegley ($3,800 DK) has a homer and 1.182 OPS in 11 at-bats against Sabathia. Even in a lefty-lefty scenario, Matt Olson ($4,600 DK) is a good play.

8/30 Hitting Stack to Consider: Pittsburgh Pirates: Rockies starter Antonio Senzatela has a 6.80 ERA at Coors Field and allows hitters to batter him to the tune of a .310 batting average. Bryan Reynolds ($5,600 DK) is a good start, but Kevin Newman ($5,200 DK), Collin Moran ($4,600 DK), Melky Cabrera ($3,900 DK) and Josh Bell ($5,700) are strong options.

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5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

8/29 DFS Hitting and Stacks

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

I was excited to get you all some dingers from three out of my featured eight hitters for the 15-game Tuesday slate, but we’re aiming even higher for my second piece here at Win Daily Sports. Were building GPP stacks for the Thursday 8/29 DFS main slate, and we’ve only got six games on tap. While there’s an obvious game we want to use some hitters from, I’ll try to identify a few value plays so we can throw a potent stack or two in our GPP builds so your bankroll gets a boost.

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8/29DFS Hitting Catcher

JorgeAlfaro, MIA vs. CIN

DK($3,800), FD ($2,800)

We can only hope that Alfaro’s day off on Wednesday hasn’t cooled off one of the hottest hitters in baseball over the past week. Not only is he in the midst of a five-game hitting streak, slashing .524/.424/1.000 with three homers and four RBI during that stretch, but he’s got an excellent matchup in his home park, where he sports a 117 RC+ and .339 wOBA. You can use whomever is catching for the Pirates (Elias Diaz $3,400 DK or Jacob Stallings $3,300 DK) for a few bucks cheaper, but Alfaro should still be low-owned and has solid upside in this 8/29 DFS spot.

8/29DFS Hitting First Baseman

JoshBell, PIT at COL

DK($5,400), FD ($4,300)

Bell’s price is steep, and I wouldn’t dare belittlethe benefit of Clay Bellinger (who’s also OF-eligible on DK) here, but theallure of Coors is what’s drawing me in – along with a .426 xwOBA againstright-handers. The eminently hittable Chi Chi Gonzalez is on the bump for theRockies, and while he’s had more success at home than on the road, it’s a smallenough sample that I feel a market correction and stackable situation buildingfor the Pirates mashers. There’s plenty of 1B/2B/OF combos available if you mixin Bell with the Dodgers bats, so explore them.

8/29DFS Hitting Second Baseman

StarlinCastro, MIA vs. CIN

DK($3,600), FD (3B – $2,400)

On Tuesday we scored bigwith Jason Kipnis in a pitcher’s park here, and I’m looking for hidden valueagain with Castro, a classic variance-positive hero whose price never seems toelevate despite his wide range of DFS outcomes. He had a hand in winning me aGPP and $20K in the past, and I usually fare well by using him at home facingleft-handers. With Alex Wood on the mound and our fearless veteran infielder checkingin with a .405 xwOBA against LHP the past two seasons, I feel comfortable notingan additional BvP tidbit: Castro is 5-for-10 career off Wood. He’s cheap onFanDuel too, but he’s a 3B on that site so you can look to Adam Frazier ($3,600FD) at 2B there.

8/29DFS Hitting Shortstop

TrevorStory, COL vs. PIT

DK($5,600), FD ($4,300)

Story is the top shortstop on the slate, much like Xander Bogaerts was the top SS on Tuesday (ding-dong!!). You can save a few bucks by taking Kevin Newman ($5,100 DK, $4,000 FD) but that seems counterproductive when there’s enough value elsewhere to use the best. Sure, Story is better facing southpaws, but he’s carrying a .446 xwOBA against righties and a .434 wOBA at home over the past two seasons. He’s facing a good contact manager in Trevor Williams (87.5 aEV), but a lot of that goes out the door in Coors, where sinkers and sliders go to die. If you absolutely, positively can’t fit him, Manny Machado (3B/SS $4,100 DK) makes for a bargain upside option.

8/29DFS Hitting Third Baseman

ColinMoran, PIT at COL

DK($4,800), FD ($3,700)

Moran’s aggressive approach could fare well in this hitting environment, and he’s not necessarily going to attract too much ownership with a slew of other priority plays in Pirates stacks. The .405 xwOBA vs. LHPs is an appealing metric, and while he doesn’t have the raw power of some of the other 3B on the slate, including counterpart Nolan Arenado (.309 home ISO), he’s likely to be batting fifth after Bell and looks like the finishing touch on a full 1-5 DK stack. Again, Machado is an option on DK and on FD, where he’s just $3,500.

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8/29DFS Hitting Outfielder

JocPederson, LAD at ARI

DK($4,400), FD ($3,300)

Joc went deep a couple nights ago, and while I mentioned him as an option in my Jackie Bradley Jr. writeup, I didn’t dedicate a unique space for this inconsistent-but-exciting millennial masher. I love the matchup against Merrill Kelly (.413 xwOBA vs. LHBs), who’s shown marginal effectiveness but yields a lot of long balls. Pederson is leading off once again and that’s always nice on a team with an implied total over five runs.

8/29DFS Hitting Outfielder

Aristides Aquino, CIN at MIA

DK($5,000), FD ($4,100)

I know – I’m clicking onway too hitters for a game in a pitcher’s park. But there’s not a ballyard thatcan hold the meteoric Aquino (.426 xwOBA vs. RHP) and he’s facing righty RobertDugger, who go rocked in his only Major League appearance on Aug. 5 in CitiField. We’d prefer Aquino face a lefty (.668 xwOBA against southpaws in 19 AB),but he might do that in the later innings after the Reds dispatch Dugger. Thereare loads of cheaper hitting options in friendlier confines, but I’m low-keyliking this Reds team facing the doe-eyed Dugger.

8/29DFS Hitting Outfielder

J.D. Davis, NYM vs. CHC

DK ($4,200), FD ($2,900)

Davis is batting thirdand gets a left-hander in Jon Lester, and that’s ideal considering his .476xwOBA and .359 OBP against southpaws. He’s also got a .308 ISO at home thisseason and could be entering another hot patch (3-for-8, HR in his last twogames). He’ll save you some salary and makes for a fine one-off or part of amini-Mets stack that includes Pete Alonso ($5,200 DK, $4,100 FD) and MichaelConforto ($4,500 DK, $3,300 FD).

8/29DFS Hitting Stacks

8/29 DFS Hitting Stack of the Day: Pittsburgh Pirates: No surprise here. The trick will be finding the right combination of Newman, Starling Marte ($5,800 DK, $4,200 FD), Bryan Reynolds ($5,300 DK, $4,100 FD), Moran, Jose Osuna (1B/3B $5,000 DK, $3,200 FD), Adam Frazier ($4,800 DK, $3,600 FD) and the starting catcher.

8/29 DFS Hitting Stack Runner-Up: Colorado Rockies: It’s possible to fit in a nearly full game stack in Coors without compromising pitching if we take advantage of the SD-SF game, so I’m bullish on using as many hitters from this 14-run total as we can. Charlie Blackmon ($5.700 DK, $4,400 FD), Ryan McMahon ($4,700 DK, $3,500 FD), Story and Arenado ($5,700 DK, $4,700 FD) are my preferred four in a matchup against Williams and his 5.22 xFIP. If Williams scares you that much, you can lean more heavily toward Dodgers bats or take a gander at the group below.

8/29 DFS Hitting Stack to Consider: Cincinnati Reds: Despite the tasty matchup against a rookie hurler, I don’t expect too many Reds stacks. Let’s look at the projected top five hitters here, including Aquino, Josh VanMeter ($4,200 DK, $3,000 FD), Joey Votto ($3,900 DK, $2,800 FD), Eugenio Suarez ($4,500 DK, $4,000 FD) and Freddy Galvis (SS $4,100 DK, 2B $2,700 FD). Nick Senzel ($4,400 DK, $3,200 FD) could be sneaky as well, since he’s solid (.359 xwOBA) vs. RHP.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

8/23 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks

Joel Bartilotta 5 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Stay focused!!! I know we’re all giddy to eventually dive into NFL DFS and various Fantasy football drafts, but the 8/23 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks are set for you to make plenty of the long green.

There are 14 games awaiting, with all but Nationals-Cubs being played under the lights, highlighted by a Yankees-Dodgers series that will feel like an October tease. There’s not a monster stack here, but there’s a couple worth considering.

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8/22 DFS Hitting Catcher

Christian Vazquez, BOS at SD

DK ($3,800), FD ($2,700)

Vazquez brings a 1.007 OPS over the past week to Petco Park. While his plate discipline is questionable on the road (.309 OBP), it’s more than made up for by Vazquez’s .509 slugging percentage and .818 OPS in away games, as Vazquez has swatted 10 of his 18 homers away from Fenway. The .202 Isolated Power and 33.9% hard contact rate — both career highs — are continuing to hold up, as his .862 OPS this month is marked improvement over the .778 OPS he produced in July. He gets a good matchup in rookie hurler Chris Paddack, who leads the league with a 70.1 strikeout rate, but has a 43.1% hard contact rate that has made him suspect to brutality at times.

8/23 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Carlos Santana, CLE vs. KC

DK ($4,600), FD ($3,700)

Few have mauled pitchers in the manner Santana has over the past two weeks, as he’s gone on a .364/.485/.745 (1.230 OPS) with six homers, 16 RBI and 17 runs scored. He borders on Must-Start as he’s worn out Royals pitching to the tune of .292/.460/.542 (1.002 OPS) with three homers, 10 runs scored and 15 walks. Santana’s 17% walk rate and 14.8% strikeout rate pairs well against the Royals’ pitching staff, which is 23rd in walks allowed and 27th in Ks from their hurlers.

Santana’s damage to pitchers is more impressive considering he has just a 16.1% line drive rate and a modest 36.8% fly ball rate. The 43.8% hard contact rate is loud when adding his patience at the plate.

8/23 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Keston Hiura, MIL vs. ARI

DK ($4,800), FD ($3,600)

Yeesh, that 30.5% strikeout rate. Yet if you can live with the whiffs, you’ll take the upside of Hiura, who has scored seven runs and produced five extra base hits (all doubles) in the past week. Hiura has shaken off the lack of plate discipline with a .414 BABIP along with a .267 Isolated Power that is better than expected at this stage. You have to like the balance that comes from his batted ball rates, as he’s spraying line drives (24.5%) and getting the ball in the air (40.3%) while delivering a solid 43.4% hard contact rate and a 40.9% medium contact rate.

Hiura has thrived well against Diamondbacks pitching, going .389/.389/.667 in 18 at-bats. He’ll get the inconsistent Merrill Kelly on the mound for Arizona, which should translate into a good Friday for Hiura.

8/23 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Mike Moustakas, MIL vs. ARI

DK ($4,100), FD ($3,800)

Bah Gawd! Are we playing our hand when it comes to an 8/23 DFS Hitting and Stacks Stack? Well…um….maybe. Moustakas has hit the D’Backs well this season, going .313/.389/.688 (1.077 OPS) with a homer and five RBI in 16 at-bats. He’s also coming into Friday having homered four times in the past week along with 11 RBI and a 1.550 OPS. Moustakas is riding the wave of a career year in Isolated Power (.269) with a 19.3% HR/FB rate that has bolstered those totals.

Both he and Hiura should thrive against Merrill Kelly, who has a .329 OBA this month. Kelly has a 5.40 ERA in August despite allowing just one run in his last outing.

8/23 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Tim Anderson, CWS vs. TEX

DK ($4,800), FD ($3,100)

Anderson has quietly produced a heck of a breakout season, one that has seen him hit .433 over the past week along with scoring at least one run in seven of his last eight games. That he’s competing for the A.L. batting title despite a 2.6% walk rate is one of the more befuddling things you’ll see this season, but Anderson is living large due in part to a .391 BABIP and the ability to spray the hell of out the ball throughout the field.

He’s still a good play against Rangers ace Lance Lynn, as Anderson has hit Texas pitching to a .462/.462/.779 slash with a homer and five ribbies this season.

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8/23 DFS Hitting Outfielder

Michael Brantley, HOU vs. LAA

DK ($5,300), FD ($4,000)

Let’s try to forget the fact he’s hitting .440-2-4 over the past week. Instead, look at how he’s owned Angels pitching this season. The 8/23 DFS Hitting and Stacks MVP, Brantley has a .484/.515/1.000 (1.515 OPS) with four homers, nine RBI and 12 runs scored. Career year? Damn straight it is, as Brantley sports a .206 Isolated Power and .345 BABIP along with a 14% HR/FB%. The Angels have yet to decide who will get the start, but seriously, is it going to matter to Brantley?

8/23 DFS Hitting Outfielder

Aristides Aquino, CIN at PIT

DK ($5,400), FD ($4,300)

He’s looked human over the past week, hitting just .174, but he’s quietly improved his plate discipline to a 9.3% walk rate. The freakish .507 Isolated Power is still there, while his 44.9% hard contact rate has cooled off. For all the uncertainty about using him, Pirates starter Mitch Keller’s 4.22 BB/9 and 8.86 ERA are tempting enough to use Aquino with the bet that Keller will continue to let hitters pound him with a .977 OPS and 29% line drive rate. It’s an expensive play, but I’m willing to suggest rolling the dice on Aquino paying off.

8/23 DFS Hitting Outfielder

Willie Calhoun, TEX vs. CWS

DK ($4,800), FD ($3,700)

Don’t count on Calhoun going hitless against White Sox hurler Dylan Cease tonight. Calhoun has three homers over the past week, which makes his bat attractive to Cease’s pitching, as the rookie has allowed 10 homers over 44 innings. Calhoun’s 43.6% fly ball rate will play well in gopher-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field. as will a 52.3% pull rate when it comes to assaulting the foul pole in right field. He is also a more potent away hitter, producing a .939 OPS outside of Arlington.

8/23 DFS Hitting Stacks

8/23 Hitting Stack of the Night: Houston Astros: Brantley is the anchor of an H-Town stack, with Yordan Alvarez and Alex Bregman (1.253 OPS, four homers, 12 RBI versus the Angels) a pair of monster options. You’d have to choose between two of the three, but Jake Marisnick, who is hitting .455 with an 1.174 OPS against the Angels, is cheap enough to add in the outfield, allowing you to spend elsewhere.

8/23 Hitting Stack Runner-Up: Milwaukee Brewers: Hiura and Moustakas are the beginning of a stack that would include Ryan Braun, who has a pair of homers over the past week with a suddenly revived Lorenzo Cain (.462 over the last week). The makings are there for a very potent stack that appears ready to make some serious cake.

8/23 Hitting Stack to Consider: Cincinnati Reds: Aquino is expensive but utility man Josh VanMeter (.364 the past week) should be a good add at a reasonable price. Eugenio Suarez has gone deep against the Pirates, while Nick Senzel has hit .462 versus the Bucs. Had Joey Votto not gone on the DL, the Reds might have been Stack of the Night.

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5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

8/15 DFS Hitting: A Hot Summer Night

5 years ago

written by

Welcome, welcome welcome to the 8/15 DFS Hitting lineup. Don’t ask why the theme of this show became stuck in my head, but my misery is now your misery as we load up on what should be an offensive-friendly schedule.

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8/14 DFS Hitting Catcher

Jonathan Lucroy, CHC at PHI

DK ($3,700) FD ($2,300)

To no shock, there’s little quality behind the plate when searching for bargains, so we settle on Lucroy, who has hit .375/.444/.500 with a .944 OPS in his first 16 at-bats with the Cubbies. The small sample size keeps me from getting too deep into his secondary numbers, so let’s just run with Lucroy and take advantage of Smyly’s 6.65 ERA under the lights. Smyly has also allowed 15 of his 23 homers at night and Lucroy still has enough in his bat to jack one out of Citizens Bank Park.

8/14 DFS Hitting First Basemen

J.D. Davis, NYM at ATL

DK ($4,500) FD ($2,900)

Davis has five multi-hit games over his past 10 starts and has spent the month mauling hurlers to the tune of .381/.429/.762 (1.191 OPS) with four homers and 11 RBI. His 41.7% hard contact rate and ability to wear out the left side of the field (37.2% hit rate both pulling and to center) is good reason to plug him into your lineup in a hitter-friendly park against Atlanta starter Julio Teheran, who has a 6.08 ERA in three starts against the Mets this season while allowing a .322 OBA with three homers allowed.

8/14 DFS Hitting Second Basemen

Jason Kipnis, CLE at NYY

DK ($4,000) FD ($2,900)

His bat has cooled over the past week, but Kipnis is a good play in what could be a high-scoring affair at The Stadium. Kipnis has hit the Yankees well, going .444 (4-for-9) with a couple of ribbies and an .844 OPS. You have to feel good about Kipnis’ 39.3% fly ball rate, especially in such a homer-friendly ballpark. Much of his strong August numbers have been in part of his ability to use the entire field, but the recent dip in production stems from an addiction to pulling the ball (43%). That could work well, however, considering the short porch in right field that he’ll get three more stabs at before the end of the weekend.

8/14 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Evan Longoria, SF at ARI

DK ($4,000) FD ($2,900)

As long as he’s on the road, Longoria makes for a solid DFS value play. Away from San Francisco, Longoria has a .954 OPS with 11 of his 14 homers coming outside his playing residence. He’s regained his line drive stroke, putting together a 23.6% rate in liners after hitting just 18.5% last season. The hard contact rate (44.2%) is emphatic on the road but Longoria gets the edge in the lefty-righty matchup against D’Backs rookie southpaw Alex Young, who comes off a 3.1 inning outing against the Dodgers in his last start, allowing four runs.

8/14 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Nick Ahmed, ARI vs. SF

DK ($4,200) FD ($3,400)

You could pay more for one of the elite shortstops in action tonight, but the choice here is the underrated Ahmed, who has been locked in over the past week with three homers, nine RBI and an 1.182 OPS. He’s boosted his BABIP to .296, and his improved plate discipline (8.5% walk rate) comes in handy against Giants starter Dereck Rodriguez, who returns from the minors to make his first appearance since August 1. Rodriguez is getting hammered at at 45.4% hard contact rate while also experiencing control issues that were a non-subject last season.

8/14 DFS Hitting Outfielder

Aristides Aquino, CIN vs. STL

DK ($4,900) FD ($4,100)

Seriously, we should find someone who loves us the way Aquino loves torching baseballs over the past three weeks. Aquino and his 1.448 OPS bid for his 10th homer in only his 14th game at the expense of Cards starter Michael Wacha, whose 2.12 HR/9 will make Aquino’s at-bats Must Watch viewing (praise the MLB package on my iPhone). What is making Aquino more scary is that his walk rate is slowly rising while the strikeout rate dips. You can’t go wrong with a batter sporting a .636 Isolated Slugging total with a 50% hard contact rate who also happens to have a 46.9% fly ball rate. If Aquino isn’t in your lineup, hang your head in shame.

8/14 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Ender Inciarte, ATL vs. NYM

DK ($3,600) FD ($2,700)

Inciarte has flown under the radar since the All-Star Break, batting .290/.417/.522 (.939 OPS) and has seen three of his last six hits go for extra bases, hence the 1.271 OPS in the last week. He’s raised his walk rate to 11.6% and is using his speed to make the most of his 23.8% line drive rate. His value increases if the Braves bat him seventh; Inciarte has a .333/.500/.639 (1.139 OPS) with two homers, 11 RBI and six runs scored in 36 at-bats in that spot in the order.

8/14 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Eloy Jimenez, CWS at LAA

DK ($3,400) FD ($3,000)

It hasn’t come as easy for Jimenez as some of the other members of the 2019 rookie class, but he’s still on pace for 27-30 homers despite a 14.9% line drive rate and a 44.3% medium contact rate. Jimenez homered against the Astros on Wednesday and it stands to reason that if his 35.7% fly ball rate is on line with his minor league rates, he’s going to figure it out. There’s also playing a hunch here, which is why he’s worth taking a low-risk shot, perhaps the lowest of the 8/15 DFS Hitting lineup.

8/15 DFS Hitting Stacks

Top 8/15 DFS Hitting Stack: New York Yankees: Gleyber Torres ($5,200 Draft Kings/$4,000 FanDuel) has three homers and seven ribbies over the past week and would be the best choice if you can’t make a Yankees stack work. Cameron Maybin ($4,800/$3,100) is a good fit and you’ll want to get lefty hitters Didi Gregorius ($4,400/$3,200) and Brett Gardner ($4,700/$3,300) in there against right-hander Adam Plutko and his 4.68 ERA.

8/15 DFS Hitting Stack: Cincinnati Reds: Aquino is the first wave of what could be a short and brutal assault on Wacha. Joey Votto ($4,000/$3,300) should fare well in the lefty v. righty matchup, and I’d consider Phillip Ervin ($4,000/$2,500), especially in FanDuel. You could try and add Eugenio Suarez ($4,600/$3,900), but with the lack of reliable cash game pitchers on the docket, it’s a task that could be done if you’re willing to play a long shot on the mound for the 8/15 DFS Hitting.

Sleeper 8/15 DFS Hitting Stack: San Francisco Giants: A much better-hitting team on the road, you could start with Longoria and follow with Kevin Pillar ($4,300/$3,500), who has gone .435-2-6 in the past week. Mike Yastrzemski ($4,500/$3,100) has added three homers and seven RBI in the same span, and you could do worse than bringing Buster Posey ($3,500/$2,700) into the fray. Of the 8/15 DFS Hitting stacks, this one could be sneaky good.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

8/10 MLB DFS Winners

Vincent Pensabene 5 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

Here is a look on how some of our staff predicted winners on the Friday August 9 slate for MLB.

8/10 MLB DFS Winner: Cal Quantrill

This was a snippet of what Joel Bartilotta had on the DFS Pitching Plays and Quantrill continued his career stretch. He picked up the victory and went seven scoreless innings with five hits and five strikeouts against the Colorado Rockies. Quantrill has been lighting it up this season as a long-term option for the Padres’ rotation in the future as they continue to build into a contender with Manny Machado and their young core.DFS Outlook: Quantrill is scheduled to start on Wednesday against the Tampa Bay Rays. Look for him to continue having success on the mound as the Rays are simply a middle-of-the-pack offensive team. Expect Quantrill to remain a value pitcher in his next outing.

8/10 MLB DFS Winner: Jose Ramirez

Jose Ramirez was highlighted in Brandon C. Williams’ Hitting Stacks & Picks. Ramirez went 3-for-4 with a walk, double, RBI and a stolen base against the Minnesota Twins. He is now batting .355 with nine homers and 29 RBI since the All-Star break. Ramirez is beginning to look like his 2017 self.DFS Outlook: Jose Ramirez is one of, if not, the hottest hitters in baseball. Facing Jake Odorizzi in today’s game while the Indians climbed back in the division race, momentum is on Cleveland’s side and Ramirez could have a huge day at the plate.

8/10 MLB DFS Winner: Mike Tauchman

Mike Tauchman continued his hot streak as another pick on the Hitting Stacks & Picks. Tauchman went 2-for-4 with a home run, RBI and a run scored. It is incredible how Mike Tauchman is the guy you cannot take of the lineup if the season was on the line.DFS Outlook: Who could’ve guessed all Tauchman needed was to leave Coors Field to become an incredible hitter? Mike Tauchman could win the A.L. Rookie of the Year and is arguably the second-best hitter since July 1. He is slugging .825 in his last 15 games and has made the argument to be starting on the Yankees with everyone back and healthy. Keep letting “the Sockman” ride this incredible high and continue to make you money.

8/10 MLB DFS Winner: Aristides Aquino

Brandon was on fire with his selections last night! Aristides Aquino went 1-for-4 with a home run, two RBI and a run. He is making the most of his time in the Majors right now as he is at .417 with four homers and 10 RBI in seven games.DFS Outlook: Aquino is prone to the strikeout, but is also prone to the long ball. He isn’t hitting cheap ones off of no-name guys either. He homered off of Cole Hamels and Yu Darvish on consecutive nights. Aquino hasn’t shown any signs of slowing down any time soon and you should take advantage of one of the hottest hitters in the National League for the past week.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Hitting Stacks & Picks for August 9

David Jones 5 years ago

written by David Jones

Yes, there is preseason football on tonight, but it’s the kind of football that will impact your Fantasy draft. In other words, stay focused on the diamond, follow the words and numbers below and be ready to make DFS money off the usual 15-game slate. Caring isn’t sharing here, so if there’s a sore pooh or two upset about not getting all 30 teams equally covered, well…um…tough. Them’s the breaks.Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!Opposite Day rules apply: we’ll find our bargains at each position before the glorious task of stacking (mmm…stacking) lineups.8/9 DFS Hitting CFrancisco Mejia, SD vs. COLDK ($3,200), FD ($2,300)Hey, if he keeps hitting, then why not keep him in the lineup? Mejia had his third straight multi-hit game on Thursday night and fourth in his last five, pushing his batting average above .260. His slugging percentage barely hovers above .400, but if there’s anything you need to know about catchers is that the pop sometimes is the last thing that develops. What will make Mejia — and his DFS users — smile in glee is that the Rockies are throwing the extended batting practice pitcher that is known as Kyle Freeland, who has given up as many homers as the number of batters he’s struck out (five) in his last two starts (Bonus smile: Right-handed hitters have gone .292/.362/.603 this season against Freeland).8/9 DFS Hitting 1BJose Abreu, CWS vs. OAKDK ($4,000), FD ($3,800)Abreu has rewarded FanDuel users with games of 37.70 and 25.40 points this week as his August OPS of 1.008 is light years from July’s tepid mark of .608. He’s cheap in either format and you’ll also take comfort in knowing his .804 OPS at Guaranteed Rate Field is better than his .782 away from ChiTown. Abreu’s .211 Isolated Power is slightly higher than last season’s, and his current stretch gives him a better than outside chance to finish with 35+ homers. Mike Fiers isn’t pitching in Oakland, which is a very good thing considering his ERA away from the City that M.C. Hammer Built is 4.62. Don’t hurt ’em, Jose (at least not too much).8/9 DFS Hitting 2BJason Kipnis, CLE at MINDK ($4,300), FD ($3,300)Since July 31, Kipnis has five multi-hit games along with three homers and 11 RBI. He’s been banging it over the past two weeks to the tune of .348./.423/.696, harkening back to the good ‘ol days when he was actually a must-own player in that other kind of Fantasy baseball. After a pair of dogs in 2017-18, Kipnis has found some fortune with his BABIP, which stands at .284. His current run is keyed by his hard contact rate of 38.7%, the best of his career. Rookie hurler Devin Smeltzer has been a revelation of sorts for the Twins’ staff, but Indians batters showed him hellfire and brimstone when they jacked four homers off him in a win on June 4.8/9 DFS Hitting SSBo Bichette, TOR vs. NYYDK ($4,300), FD ($3,900)Like the aforementioned Mejia, if it ain’t broke… Bichette made big league history on Thursday when he doubled for a ninth straight game along with taking Domingo German deep in the 12-6 loss to the Yankees. No one should pull Bichette aside and tell him it can’t be that easy, especially when he’s gone .408/.453/.837 in his first 11 games. Obviously, he’s not getting cheated out of his at-bats as Bichette has made either medium or hard contact 91.2% of the time. And yes, please throw lefty J.A. Happ in front of Bichette, who has hit lefties with a 1.476 OPS.8/9 DFS Hitting 3BJose Ramirez, CLE at MINDK ($4,300), FD ($3,300)Uh, oh. Perhaps I’ve tipped my hand on a stack? Maybe, but Ramirez has been a one-man stack over the past week by hitting .400 with a pair of homers, seven RBI and six runs scored. As bad as his numbers looked earlier in the season, this newfound version of Ramirez is well on his way to another 20-20 season. Ramirez has a 47.8% fly ball rate to go along with a 39.1% hard contact rate. You’ll take that combination to the bank against a hurler like Smeltzer.8/9 DFS Hitting OFYordan Alvarez, HOU at BALDK ($5,700), FD ($4,300)Hell yes, I’m paying steep for the right to have Alvarez in my lineup. A longtime friend of mine was witness to Alvarez’s homer on Wednesday and told me he had never heard the ball come off a bat the way that blast did. Considering I’ve known this guy since first grade, I’ll trust him. You really, really want him in FanDuel, where he’s recorded at least 12.50 points in five of his last six games, including a 27.90 and 22.20 performances. Any hitter with a .404 BABIP and 50.4% hard contact rate going against Orioles pitching, in tonight’s case Dylan “Me and 24 homers Allowed and 5.89 ERA at Home” Bundy, is worth every penny.8/9 DFS Hitting OFMike Tauchman, NYY at TORDK ($4,900), FD ($3,400)With a homer on Thursday, Tauchman has four dingers and 13 RBI this month. He’s not an all or nothing hitter, having recorded four multi-hit games in the same span. One would think Tauchman would have a blistering hard contact rate like Alvarez, but his is a surprising 31.7%. Couple that with a 32% fly ball rate, and you’re seeing a hitter making the most of his opportunities. The Blue Jays are starting Sean Reid-Foley, who is beginning to be stretched out as a starter. Reid-Foley has held opponents to a .229 batting average but has walked 14 in 21.2 innings. Seriously, do you really want that kind of a walk rate when facing the Yankees?8/9 DFS Hitting OFAristides Aquino, CIN vs. CHCDK ($3,700), FD ($3,000)Aquino’s homer off Cole Hamels on Thursday night jumped the fence at 118.3 mph, tying him with Pete Alonso and Gary Sanchez for the hardest-hit homer this season. He’s fanned once every three at-bats, but Aquino has produced a .905 OPS in his first 21 at-bats to go along with three homers (and a throw on Thursday that looked Jose Guillen-like with its velocity). Yu Darvish gets the opportunity to deal against the freakish Aquino and while his 71 strikeouts over his past 59.2 innings is a sign the old Darvish is back, all he has to do is ask Hamels what’s it like when you leave one up there for Aquino to lean into.Let’s take it home and stack ’em up, shall we?Top 8/9 MLB DFS Stack: Houston Astros: We touched on Dylan Bundy and his hitter-friendly numbers, which means get your Astros in where you can fit them it. Obviously, Yordan Alvarez will take a good grip of your salary, but that could be countered by going cheap on a speculative pitcher. George Springer ($4,400 at FanDuel) is hitting .368 with a homer and four RBI over the past week, while Yuli Gurriel ($3,500) scored a combined 102.30 FanDuel points in two games against the Rockies on Tuesday and Wednesday. Michael Brantley ($4,100) hasn’t homered in the past week but still hit .348 with nine RBI. As hot as Houston’s bats have been, you’ll sacrifice at a position or two in order to make this stack work.Chicago White Sox 8/9 MLB DFS Stack: As mentioned earlier, A’s starter Mike Fiers is suspect on the road, and the White Sox have enough hot bats to strongly consider stacking against him. Start with Jose Abreu (see his work at 1B) and follow up with Eloy Jimenez ($3,100 FanDuel) who looks overdue for a breakout since his return from the DL. James McCann ($2,800) has had a good week with 21.90 and 22.50 points sandwiched between a 15.70 outing. Tim Anderson ($3,000) comes into Friday having put up at least 15.20 points in four of his last six games.New York Yankees 8/9 MLB DFS Stack: The Yankees have hit 19 homers in four games this week and I’d bet on world peace coming before betting against the Yankees going homerless on Friday. Go with Mike Tauchman (see OF) and make room for Gio Urshela ($4,600 Draft Kings), who had two homers and four RBI on Thursday night. If you want to spend a bit more, then go with D.J. LeMahieu ($5,100), who has gone .370-2-6 in the past week. Even Cameron Maybin ($4,600), who racked up three hits on Thursday, is worth throwing into the fray.THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

8/9 MLB DFS Winners

Mark Paquette 5 years ago

written by Mark Paquette

A look at some of the winners on the MLB DFS slate last night and how members and staff of Win Daily took advantage of them. Here is our 8/9 MLB DFS Winners report.

8/9 MLB DFS Winners: Marlins

Maybe I will take advantage of this the next time we see a lefty starting in Miami! When that happens, use Marlins bats! Here is our own MLB Moving Averages and what he said about them on Twitter and in our Premium Gold slack chat room: DFS Outlook: Can’t say we will or can recommend Marlins much the rest of the season. But against a lefty at home go for it! You can get winning picks from MLB Moving Avg. regularly as part of the betting section. It’s all included with your Premium Gold upgrade.

8/9 MLB DFS Winners: Chris Sale

Sale delivered a performance that the Red Sox sorely needed. Even though the Angels are not a team that generally strikes out a lot, Fenway Park and Sale proved to be the exception. He reached 200 strikeouts for the seventh consecutive season when he struck out the side in top of the seventh.DFS Outlook: The Red Sox wild-card playoff hopes rest squarely on Sale’s left arm. He should be able to prove himself more as the Red Sox have a favorable schedule the rest of the season.

8/9 MLB DFS Winners: Yankees

In our hitting and stacks article found here, the Yankees were highlighted as our favorite stack of the night. Well they came through again, as so often has been the case in 2019.DFS Outlook: For the rest of the season, the Yankees will be a DFS stack option as the deep and powerful lineup takes aim at history as one of the best hitting baseball teams of all-time.

8/9 MLB DFS Winners: Aristides Aquino

In the same article mentioned above, Aquino was written up:DFS Outlook: Aquino has shown a potent bat in the short time he has been in the Majors. He and Josh VanMeter will be seeing plenty of at-bats the rest of the season to prove they belong on the team in 2020. Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

5 years ago 0 comments