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9/23 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks

This five-game 9/23 MLB DFS slate is a rather odd duck. Besides the simple fact we have a small player pool to choose from, we also have several matchups that for DFS purposes are a complete fade. The key tonight is going to be variance. Even in cash games the cash line between first place and last place, more-than-likely will be small. So, do not be afraid to take chances.

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On the Defense

PatrickCorbin vs. Philadelphia Phillies

$10,500 FD / $11,800 DK

Warning! The Philadelphia Phillies are a lot less dangerous than they appear in the mirror. Especially facing Patrick Corbin on this 9/23 MLB DFS slate. The Phillies are striking out 23.1 percent of the time versus LHPs with a middle of the pack .329 wOBA. Despite the fact Corbin has had two sub-par starts this year facing Philadelphia they were both on the road. His home ERA is 2.00 versus his 4.18 ERA while traveling. Corbin has the highest upside on the slate by far, and with no Coors Field game, and limited high-priced bats to spend up on, he is at the top of the hill.

BlakeSnell vs. Boston Red Sox

$7,500 FD / $10,300 DK

The algorithm on FD tonight seems to have hit the mark pricing wise with Snell set to pitch only three or four innings on this 9/23 MLB DFS slate. The thing is, if Snell goes four innings allowing one earned run while striking out six, that is a pretty good day in DFS. Especially on this slate, just keep in mind he will not be getting any kind of site bonuses tonight.

Snell has huge K upside while generally being able to keep batters under control. In his only start versus the mighty Red Sox he went six innings with seven strikeouts allowing one earned run. With Boston winding down their season, and the Rays in a dogfight for the Wild Card, I would take a shot here on FD.

ZackEflin vs. Washington Nationals

$8,200 FD / $6,200 DK

It’s a small 9/23 MLB DFS slate which means chances must be taken. Eflin this season facing Washington has a 1.50 ERA with 21 strikeouts over 18 innings. His price on DK is bottom low which makes no sense considering he has not allowed more than two earned runs in his last five starts. This makes for a fine GPP play on FD, and a great pitcher to pair with Corbin on DK, despite facing each other.

NameTeamIPK/9BB/9HR/9GB%HR/FBERAxFIP
Patrick CorbinNationals191.210.523.010.9948.90%13.00%3.13.61
Blake SnellRays10312.233.061.2240.20%16.30%4.193.21
Zach EflinPhillies150.27.232.511.4344.70%15.10%44.67

On theAttack

MikeShawaryn vs. Tampa Bay Rays

With the Red Sox playing at this point just to finish the season, Shawaryn could get stretched out an extra inning or two. His history suggests he will come in tonight, give up a bunch of runs right away, and be pulled. Why pull him now? The Rays offense is going to feast tonight facing a Red Sox team basically just giving guys innings. Stack away on this 9/23 MLB DFS slate.

Tampa BayRays vs. RHPs

NamePABB%K%BB/KSBOBPSLGOPSISOwOBAwRC+
Austin Meadows40010.80%19.00%0.57100.3830.5750.9580.2790.393151
Brandon Lowe2468.50%28.90%0.350.3580.5480.9060.2650.376139
Willy Adames3778.80%24.90%0.3530.3640.4680.8320.1710.353124
Ji-Man Choi38413.50%22.40%0.620.3670.4520.8190.190.347120
Eric Sogard3228.40%12.70%0.6660.3560.4380.7950.1440.338112
Avisail Garcia3425.00%24.30%0.2100.3330.4590.7920.1710.333110
Tommy Pham4379.60%18.80%0.51150.330.4410.7710.190.327106
Jesus Aguilar21711.50%21.20%0.5400.3330.4180.7520.1740.3296
Yandy Diaz2279.30%15.40%0.610.3170.4280.7450.1790.31498
Nathaniel Lowe1316.90%29.00%0.2400.3130.4290.7420.1680.31397
Joey Wendle1924.70%15.10%0.3170.3180.3870.7050.1270.30290
Travis d’Arnaud2288.30%21.90%0.3800.3030.3680.670.1320.28981
Kevin Kiermaier3425.80%20.80%0.28140.2570.390.6470.1890.2768
Daniel Robertson13610.30%23.50%0.4410.2870.2710.5580.0930.25557
Mike Zunino1835.50%33.90%0.1600.2350.3650.60.1880.25457
Guillermo Heredia1039.70%29.10%0.3320.2670.2440.5120.0930.23746

AdamWainwright vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Before you read any further you need to understand the Cardinals are playing at another level right now, and their pitching is no exception. Wainwright has been lights out lately both at home, and on the road. The Arizona Diamondbacks are also 26th in MLB in wOBA versus RHPs. Everything looks to be in order tonight for Adam basically facing Eve. Or is it? If I had a nickel for every time I jumped on a pitcher with a tendency to be horrible on the road, who suddenly is Nolan Ryan, I would have a whole lot of nickels over the last seven years. On a five-game slate, with no one looking here, I am going to take some chances in GPP play on a Wainwright regression for this 9/23 MLB DFS slate.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. RHPs

NamePABB%K%BB/KSBOBPSLGOPSwOBAwRC+
Abraham Almonte2711.10%25.90%0.4300.4070.6671.0740.437171
Ketel Marte45410.10%14.10%0.7280.3960.5770.9730.404150
Christian Walker4118.80%26.80%0.3370.3360.480.8150.341108
Kevin Cron535.70%35.80%0.1600.2640.5710.8360.337106
Eduardo Escobar4788.40%19.00%0.4440.3180.5020.820.336106
Alex Avila15819.60%34.20%0.5710.3670.4490.8160.336105
Wilmer Flores1656.70%10.30%0.6500.3520.3670.7180.31491
Adam Jones3455.20%19.40%0.2720.3140.4180.7320.31189
Tim Locastro1424.90%15.50%0.32150.3620.3080.670.30786
Carson Kelly25112.00%21.50%0.5600.3030.4160.7180.29881
Nick Ahmed4448.10%19.10%0.4270.30.3970.6970.29478
Jarrod Dyson38210.70%18.10%0.59290.3070.3260.6330.2869
Jake Lamb18313.70%23.50%0.5810.3110.2890.6010.27264
Josh Rojas1009.00%24.00%0.3820.280.30.580.25854
Ildemaro Vargas1505.30%14.00%0.3810.2730.3030.5760.25150
Caleb Joseph293.40%20.70%0.1700.2140.2310.4450.19916

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Monkey Knife Fight Prop PickPlay These Picks Now and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Patrick Corbin has had eight strikeouts or more in six of his last eight starts. With the Phillies striking out so heavily versus RHPs, the over is the path here.

Zach Eflin has had great success facing Washington this season easily surpassing 3.5 strikeouts in each start. Why should this change tonight? Over.

Despite Adam Wainwright’s recent success I smell serious regression here tonight. Over his last six starts he only has more than four strikeouts one time. The under is where I am looking on this one.

Although the Cardinals are striking out 22.3 percent of the time versus RHPs, the pitcher in question has a lot of four strikeout games. Facing a hot Cardinals team the under is the answer.

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9/11 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks

On this 9/11 MLB DFS slate I would like us all to take a moment to reflect on the memories of all the lives lost on this day in America. I remember clearly where I was on that fateful day, and what I was doing. The confusion, the fear, the total disbelief. My heart goes out to all the families of the victims, may you find some peace in knowing we are all behind you always.

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On the Defense

This 9/11 MLB DFS slate is rather odd in the sense that for the first time in recent memory I will not be using any bottom of the barrel SP2s on DK. I just do not see any with high enough upside.

Sonny Gray vs. Seattle Mariners

$10,200 FD / $10,600 DK

What do you get when you cross a high strikeout upside pitcher with reverse road splits, who benefits from a positive park shift, facing a team that strikes out over 25 percent of the time versus RHPs? The answer on this 9/11 MLB DFS slate is Sonny Gray, who has allowed four earned runs over his last seven starts.

StephenStrasburg vs. Minnesota Twins

$10,500 FD / $11,400 DK

I know it is hard to swallow taking anyone facing the Twins on this 9/11 MLB DFS slate. After all, they absolutely crush RHPs, and LHPs don’t care for them much either. The thing is, not every pitcher is Strasburg. Over his last 20 innings pitched he has racked up 31 strikeouts. Even if a few runs are allowed here, the Twins still strike out out 21.1 percent of the time versus RHPs, opening the door for huge DFS upside.

AdamPlutko vs. Los Angeles Angels

$7,700 FD / $8,800 DK

The Angels are a very unpredictable to team to attack in DFS, and this 9/11 MLB DFS slate is no different. They are 13th in MLB versus RHPs in wOBA, and 23rd in strikeouts. When you combine these factors, they all spell stay away. Regardless, in Plutko’s last start facing the Angels he went 5 1/3 innings allowing one earned run while sending four batters to the bench in dismay. I expect similar numbers here again tonight.

ReynaldoLopez vs. Kansas City Royals

$8,600 FD / $9,800 DK

Reynaldo Lopez may not be the greatest thing since the grilled cheese sandwich, but he does offer some upside on this 9/11 MLB DFS slate. Although he has had his ups and downs versus the Royals this season, the last time he faced them he had eight strikeouts over six innings, allowing one earned run. In his last start he pitched a complete game, allowing one earned run with 11 strikeouts versus Cleveland.

NameTeamWLIPK/9BB/9HR/9GB%HR/FBERAxFIP
Stephen StrasburgNationals16618510.82.291.0250.10%15.40%3.53.19
Sonny GrayReds106157.110.353.430.8651.40%12.50%2.753.65
Reynaldo LopezWhite Sox9121628.283.331.534.20%12.30%5.175.34
Adam PlutkoIndians6493.16.081.831.9332.00%14.50%4.445.52

On theAttack

There are the obvious stacks pretty much any time there is a Coors Field game, and this 9/11 MLB DFS slate is no different. It is going to be rather difficult to bat load tonight unless you completely fade decent pitching.

ZachEflin vs. Atlanta Braves

With everyone trying to fit Cardinals, Rockies, and Dodgers in their lineups on this 9/11 MLB DFS slate, let’s look elsewhere. Eflin has a 19.06 ERA over 5 2/3 innings vs. Atlanta this year. Despite pitching well in his recent starts I see a major blow up here tonight.

Notable Bats

Freddie Freeman is a top play most nights and tonightis no different. He is posting a .424 wOBA versus RHPs this season with a wRC+of 162.

Josh Donaldson is 6-for-9 with a home run and six RBIversus Eflin. He also is sporting a .393 wOBA versus RHPs on the season.

Matt Joyce is batting .385 with two home runs over the last seven days and carries a .374 wOBA versus RHPs.

Ryan Weber vs. Toronto Blue Jays

In the words of my stepdaughter Hailee, “oof”. Even though the Blue Jays are 26th in MLB versus RHPs, they still offer a bevy of runs on any given night. With Weber returning from Triple-A tonight, I am sprinkling in Jays bats on this 9/11 MLB DFS slate. Keep in mind, this is more of a boom-or-bust GPP play.

Notable Bats

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has the lowest strikeoutpercentage of any daily starter by far at 17.4 percent versus RHP. He also hasa .365 wOBA against as well.

Rowdy Tellez homered in his only AB versus Shawarynthis season, and I see another huge night tonight batting in the five spot.

Randall Grichuk fares better versus LHPs, but he does offer HR upside facing scrub pitchers at a discount.

NameTeamPABB%K%SBOBPSLGOPSwOBA RwOBA L
Freddie FreemanBraves47714.30%16.10%60.4230.6171.0410.4240.324
Josh DonaldsonBraves46014.10%23.00%30.3830.5670.9490.3930.364
Matt JoyceBraves17315.00%19.70%00.3930.4830.8760.3740.377
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.Blue Jays3189.40%17.60%00.3680.4980.8660.3650.329
Randal GrichukBlue Jays3744.80%28.10%10.2650.4320.6970.290.284
Rowdy TellezBlue Jays2456.50%28.20%00.2730.4110.6840.2840.322

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Monkey Knife Fight Prop Pick

The Indians are 19th in MLB in strikeout versus RHPs, I am going under with Peters, failing to reach this number in three of his last four starts.

The last time Plutko faced the Angels he had four strikeouts. I see this easily happening again. Over all the way.

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Clayton Kershaw! Lucas Giolito!

Crickets. Lots of crickets.

The 9/6 DFS Pitching Picks — outside of the two aces — is awful thin, with a handful of maybes, perhaps and goodness no. Four teams are so disjointed that, as of late Thursday night, TBD was listed in their Friday slate. Ouch.

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9/6 DFS Pitching Picks – Cash Game Pitchers

Clayton Kershaw, LAD vs. SF

DK ($11,700), FD ($11,500) 

We all have bad days, and Kershaw sure as heck had one in his last start. After 10 straight starts with at least 30 FanDuel points, Kershaw had just 18 points in a sluggish five-inning stint against the Padres. Not to worry, though: the Giants come to Chavez Ravine, and that’s good news for Kershaw and your wallet.

Kershaw has a 1.29 ERA against the Giants this season, holding them to a .180 batting average. His strikeout rate is less than a batter per inning against them, but he’s at 9.56 K/9 overall this season and is on track for a seventh straight season of less than two walks per nine frames. He’s almost money in the bank considering he’s had just three starts this season with 26 or fewer FanDuel points. It’s also nifty that Kershaw is catching a Giants team hitting a collective .243/.283/.407 over the past week, averaging less than four runs per game. I’m not one to tell grown people what to do with their money and lineups, but…

Lucas Giolito, CWS vs. LAA

DK ($17,700), FD ($10,500) 

Giolito enters tonight bidding for a 10th straight game of at least seven strikeouts. He’s gone exactly six innings in five of those starts, so he’s fanning well over a batter per inning. Post All-Star Break, Giolito has whiffed 90 batters over 63.2 innings, but his 11.55 K/9 overall is probably going to net him no better than third place in the AL Cy Young Award race. I’d be even more enthused if Giolito was pitching on the road, but he’s still making batters miss at a steady clip.

Adding 1.8 mph to your heater can do wonders, as Giolito can attest, having gone from 92.4 mph in 2018 to 94.2 this season. What’s also enhanced his breakout is the huge increase of faith in his change-up, going from 15.9% usage last year to 25.9% currently.

Like Kershaw, Giolito will benefit from facing an Angels team in an extended funk, hitting a composite .219/.312/.373 over the past two weeks. The numbers are worse when the Angels face power pitchers like Giolito, managing a paltry .225/.323/.385 slash. All systems are go if you like Giolito and/or want to go against the grain from those using Kershaw.

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9/6 DFS Pitching Picks – GPP Pitchers

Dinelson Lamet, SD vs. COL

DK ($10,700), FD ($8,200)

The best of a thin crop of arms on the slate of 9/6 DFS Pitching Picks, Lamet is striking out 31.7% of opposing batters and comes off a 10-K effort against the Giants. Lamet struggled after returning from Tommy John surgery, but he’s allowed three runs or fewer in seven of his last eight starts along with allowing just three homers in his last seven outings after giving up five in his first three starts. Colorado’s lineup has seen Lamet’s handiwork firsthand, as he struck out seven Rockies over five innings in an August 11 start.

Lamet has put up at least 30 FanDuel points in three of his last four starts, including a season-best 67 at the Mariners on August 6. Because of his high strikeout rate, Padres infielders are busy just 34.1% of the time when Lamet is on the hill. The strikeouts also bolster Lamet’s modest 35.2% hard contact rate and is somewhat nullified by his 72.7% strand rate. Lamet looks even better when looking at the Rockies’ road numbers, especially the 70-point dip in batting average (.303 at home, .233 away) and a .203 free fall in OPS (.885 home, .603 road). Be it ever so humble…

Patrick Corbin, WAS at ATL

DK ($11,100), FD ($11,100)

I’ll give Corbin the slight edge over mound opponent Dallas Keuchel in what will be the series (sorry Yankees-Red Sox) of the weekend. Corbin has five straight starts of at least 40 points on FanDuel, but the only reason he’s not a cash game pitcher is well…the Braves are bit more productive than the Giants or Angels. Corbin is striking out 10.36 batters per nine innings and his 35% hard contact rate — along with a 33.6% fly ball rate — is a big reason why he’s got a 0.98 HR/9 rate.

Corbin is on a Giolito-like strikeout run, fanning at least seven hitters in eight of his last 10 starts despite going more than six innings just twice in that span. The next Atlanta hitter to take him deep this season will be the first, as he’s kept the ball in the yard against them while striking out 13 over 11 innings versus the NL East leaders. The 28.4% K rate is strong, but it’s too much of a risk to go with Corbin in a cash format.

Robby Ray, ARI at CIN

DK ($8,900), FD ($9,100)

He’s been up and down since a solid July and is risky on the road at Great American Ball Park. Ray is averaging 11.78 K/9 but the 4.14 BB/9 could be the match into the gas can with this Reds lineup. Ray is sporting a 1.48 HR/9 rate this season, which kinda falls as average with the way the ball is flying out. A 42.4% hard contact rate falls into the dangerous category in a hitter-friendly park and a host of lumber capable of chasing Ray to an early exit.

Ray put up a modest 27 FanDuel points in his last start, but he’s been as high as 49 points and as low as nine in his past six outings. Somewhere, the truth lies in between, and I’d consider finding where that middle exists if you’re interested in playing more offense rather than paying for Kershaw or Giolito.

9/6 DFS Pitching Picks – Punt Pick

Zach Eflin, PHI at NYM

DK ($12,000), FD ($6,000)

If you believe in the healing powers of the sinker, then Eflin might be worth your attention among the 9/6 DFS Pitching Picks. He’s started using it more over the past two outings, and wouldn’t ya know? Bah Gawd, it works. Eflin has allowed just two runs over 13 innings but with only five strikeouts to show for his efforts, Eflin’s appeal will be limited. However, he’s put up starts of 28 and 31 FanDuel points, numbers that would climb if he missed a few more bats. He’s still not walking many batters (2.47 BB/9) and his 14/5% HR/FB rate is pretty acceptable.

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With a doubleheader between the Giants and Rockies, we had an 11-game slate on Monday July 15. All DFS MLB points and price values are based off DraftKings.

DFS MLB Winners

Travis d’Arnaud ($3,600)

Travis d’Arnaud had a career night against the New York Yankees. He went 3-for-5 with three home runs, five RBI, three runs and two walks from the leadoff spot in the order. Travis d’Arnaud should be in your lineup today as well.

d’Arnaud’s Outlook

Travis d’Arnaud did something extremely rare last night: he became the fifth player to hit three home runs and reach base five times against the Yankees. The other four were Mo Vaughn (1997), Ken Griffey Jr (1996), Pat Mullin (1949) and Carl Reynolds (1930). In addition to making history, d’Arnaud is hitting an outstanding .480 in his last seven games. Make sure to have him in your lDFS MLB ineup today as the Rays face off against CC Sabathia.

Miles Mikolas ($8,000)

Miles Mikolas was unquestionably the best pitcher on the slate last night against the Pittsburgh Pirates. He finished with a complete game shutout and allowed eight hits while recording three strikeouts and picked up his sixth victory. To say this type of performance was needed would be an understatement.

Mikolas’ Outlook

In his past seven starts, Mikolas has a 2-4 record with a 3.69 ERA with more than a hit per inning. Mikolas hits the mound again on Saturday in Cincinnati against the Reds. With the price tag increasing with a performance like last night’s, you can find someone for better DFS MLB value to put up similar results.

DFS MLB Losers

Zach Eflin ($8,200)

Zach Eflin had a rough outing against the Los Angeles Dodgers as he went six innings and gave up seven runs on nine hits with a walk and five strikeouts in a losing effort. The Dodgers have one of the best lineups in all of baseball, but Eflin should not be in your lineup during his next start.

Eflin’s Outlook

Eflin has been struggling as of late and last night was no different. In his past seven games, he is 2-4 with a 6.02 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP. His next scheduled start is Saturday against the Pittsburgh Pirates. He has been pitching poorly so fade Eflin in that DFS MLB matchup.

Luke Voit ($4,300)

Luke Voit struggled last night against the Tampa Bay Rays as he went hitless in five at-bats with three strikeouts, including the game-ending K. He isn’t providing much at the plate, watching too many pitches inside the zone instead of fouling off a pitcher’s pitch. Until Voit looks more comfortable at the plate, avoid using him in your lineups.

Voit’s Outlook

In his three games since returning from the Injured List, he is 2-for-12 with seven strikeouts. He looks completely lost at the plate and looks like a prime candidate for a day off. The Yankees continue their series with the Tampa Bay Rays and Voit should be avoided in DFS MLB until he looks more comfortable in the batter’s box.

Injury Update

Luis Severino and Dellin Betances both began their throwing programs on Monday with 25 throws from 60 feet each. Neither has appeared in a game this season.

The Los Angeles Dodgers placed outfielder Chris Taylor on the 10-day IL with a fractured left forearm. He was hit by a Heath Hembree fastball in the 11th inning on Sunday night against the Red Sox.

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We had a 12-game DFS slate on Independence Day in MLB. All prices and point values are based on DraftKings.

DFS Winners

Nomar Mazara ($4,500)

Mazara had a big game at the DH spot yesterday in the series finale against the division-rival Los Angeles Angels. He went 4-for-5 with a pair of doubles, two RBI and a run scored. Mazara now has a .271 BA with this performance. He has been hitting well recently and should be in your DFS lineup for today’s action.

Mazara’s DFS Outlook

Mazara has been heating up in his previous 15 games. In that span, he was 16-for-53 (.302) with three homers, 10 RBI and 10 runs. He also struck out less than once per game during that span. He is getting solid contact during his at-bats and driving the ball. The Rangers are in Minnesota to face the Twins and Martin Perez, who has a 1.36 WHIP. Mazara will be a cheaper DFS option to provide a couple of hits in today’s slate.

Marcus Semien ($3,800)

Semien looked locked in at the plate last night against the Minnesota Twins. He was 2-for-4 with both hits leaving the park, five RBI, a walk and two runs scored out of the leadoff spot. He had a very productive game but do not expect him to repeat it in DFS.

Semien’s DFS Outlook

Semien had a great game last night but is not having a strong couple of weeks. He is batting .235 with 3 HRs and 11 RBI in the last 15 games. If you extract yesterday’s game, those numbers look pedestrian. Semien and the Athletics are traveling to Seattle to face Yusei Kikuchi and the Mariners. Expect Semien to cool off a bit and steer clear of him in DFS.

DFS Losers

Zach Eflin ($8,100)

Eflin struggled yesterday against the division-rival Atlanta Braves. He went just three innings and allowed seven runs (six earned) on seven hits with two walks and three strikeouts in a losing effort. Eflin should rebound on the next DFS slate he appears on.

Eflin’s DFS Outlook

Zach Eflin has been struggling recently. In his previous seven starts, he is 2-4 with a 5.45 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP. This season has been difficult for Eflin but he has a weak offensive team to face coming out of the All-Star break. Depending on how the Phillies manage their rotation, he could be facing either the Mets or the Nationals. Both teams shouldn’t pose too big a threat and with an expected DFS price tag of under $8,000 he should be a lock on the slate.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($5,500)

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. had a tough time at the plate against the division-rival Boston Red Sox. He finished hitless in his five at-bats with a strikeout. Gurriel has been on fire lately and a rough day DFS had to be expected eventually. Expect Gurriel Jr.to continue hitting on today’s slate.

Gurriel’s DFS Outlook

Gurriel Jr. has been on a tear lately. He is batting .328 with 11 HRz, 28 RBI and 25 runs in his last 30 games played. That includes two games where he appeared for one at-bat, which makes his performance even more incredible. Toronto continues their homestand into the All-Star break when they host the Baltimore Orioles and Dylan Bundy, who has a 4.91 ERA. Expect Gurriel to continue to swing a hot DFS bat today.

Injury Update

The Tampa Bay Rays placed All-Star Brandon Lowe on the 10-day IL retroactive to July 3 with a right shin bone bruise.

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This report will provide stacks that I recommend for today’s 4 game main slate. I’ve also included my favorite one offs and value plays.

Toronto Blue Jays

vs. RHP Rick Porcello (BOS)

Implied Run Total: 5.25 Runs

The Blue Jays and Red Sox game should receive a good bit of attention this evening. We have Rick Porcello in Toronto, he carries a 5.07 ERA, 4.41 FIP, and 4.98 SIERA coming into tonight’s game. He does struggle a bit more with lefties, but his splits are nearly identical. He holds an average .325 wOBA, .326 OBP, and ,444 SLG. The Blue Jays are hitting extremely well over the last 2 weeks against right handed pitching. They are slashing to a .412 wOBA, .289 ISO, and 162 WRC+. I want to emphasize I do like Toronto a lot this evening and will have a ton of exposure across the board and will be differentiating my builds.

Preferred Stack: (in order of preference) Cavan Biggio $3700 FD|$4700 DK, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. $3700 FD|$5500 DK, Eric Sogard $3100 FD|$4800 DK, Freddy Galvis $2900 FD|$4000 DK, and Rowdy Tellez $2400 FD|$3600 DK. I’ll also have shares of Vlad Guerrero Jr. $3200 FD|$3900 DK and Justin Smoak $2700 FD|$3900 DK.

Los Angeles Angels

vs. RHP Lance Lynn (TEX)

Implied Run Total: 5.10 Runs

Lance Lynn has been somewhat decent this season but I’m going to get behind the narrative that the Angels are going to play their hearts out for their beloved teammate, Lance Lynn carries 4.00 ERA, 2.94 FIP, and 3.84 SIERA into tonights game. He has an xFIP of 3.84 so we expect regression. The Angels are slashing .319 wOBA, .125 ISO, and 102 WRC+. Justin Upton and Shohei Ohtani were not in the lineup both times Lance Lynn faced the Angels this season.

Preferred Stack: Shohei Ohtani $3900 FD|$5200 DK, Mike Trout $4500 FD|$5300 DK, Justin Upton $3800 FD|$3800 DK.

Honorable Mentions

Atlanta Braves

vs. RHP Zach Eflin (PHI): 5.90 Runs

Preferred Stack: Josh Donaldson $3000 FD|$4000 DK, Freddie Freeman $4400 FD|$5000 DK, Ronald Acuna Jr. $4300 FD|$5400 DK, and Brian McCann $2600 FD|$3400 DK.

One-offs and Value Plays

Josh Donaldson (ATL) $3000 FD|$4000 DK, Rowdy Tellez (TOR) $2400 FD|$3600 DK, Justin Bour (LAA) $2800 FD|$4100 DK, Roughned Odor (TEX) $2700 FD|$3900 DK, and Danny Jansen (TOR) $2200 FD|$3100 DK.

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Good afternoon everyone! For those not familiar, my name is Dan Wehr and I am a new author here at WinDailyDFS. This article will cover a game by game breakdown for the seven game main slate on Draftkings and Fanduel.

Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees

Over/Under: 10.5

Implied Run Total – TOR: 3.91 Runs

Implied Run Total – NYY: 6.63 Runs

Weather Concerns – N/A

Toronto Blue JaysAaron Sanchez (RHP) on the mound tonight for the Jays in New York. He is carrying a 5.49 ERA, 5.50 FIP, and 5.43 SIERA on the season. He has identical splits, allowing .354 wOBA, .380 OBP, and .445 SLG on the season. Toronto hitters are slashing .346 wOBA .213 ISO, and 119 WRC+ to left handed pitchers over the last two weeks.

Preferred Plays: Lourdes Gurriel Jr., Teoscar Hernandez, Eric Sogard, Vlad Guerro Jr., and Randal Grichuk.

New York YankeesCC Sabathia (LHP) on the mound tonight for the Yankees at home. He is carrying a 4.14 ERA, 5.66 FIP, and 4.29 SIERA on the season. Sabathia has true splits, allowing .379 wOBA, .561 SLG, and .352 OBP against right handed batters. He is also allowing 2.14 HR/9. New York hitters are slashing .380 wOBA, .232 ISO, .366 BABIP, and 138 WRC+ to right handed pitching over the last two weeks, well above their season average.

Preferred Plays: Luke Voit, Gary Sanchez, Edwin Encarnacion, DJ Lemahieu, and Gleyber Torres.

New York Mets @ Philidelphia Phillies

Over/Under: 10

Implied Run Total – NYM: 4.76 Runs

Implied Run Total – PHI: 5.26 Runs

Weather Concerns – Possible late game shower

New York Mets Steven Matz (LHP) on the mound tonight for the Mets in Philly. Matz is carrying a 4.28 ERA, 5.00 FIP, and 4.37 SIERA on the sesason. Matz has reverse splits, allowing .401 wOBA, .563 SLG, and .397 OBP to left handed batters. He is also allowing 40% hard contact and 1.83 HR/9. Mets batters are slashing .306 wOBA, .182 ISO, .262 BABIP, and .419 SLG. They are hitting close to their season average over their last two weeks.

Preferred Plays: Pete Alonso, Michael Conforto, Jeff McNeil, and Robinson Cano.

Philadelphia PhilliesZach Eflin (RHP) is on the mound at home tonight. He is sporting a 2.83 ERA, 4.02 FIP, and 4.51 SIERA. Eflin is allowing only .221 BABIP on the season. Philly batters are slashing .332 wOBA, .155 ISO, .300 BABIP, and .412 SLG against left handed pitching over the last few weeks, close to their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Zach Eflin, Scott Kingery, Jay Bruce, Rhys Hoskins, Bryce Harper, and JT Realmuto.

Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Indians

Over/Under: 10

Implied Run Total – KCR: 4.34 Runs

Implied Run Total – CLE: 5.72 Runs

Weather Concerns – Possible PPD. 55% Precip. 7pm-10pm (EST)

Kansas City RoyalsBrad Keller (RHP) on the mound for the Royals in Cleveland. He carries a 4.45 ERA, 4.35 FIP, and 5.41 SIERA on the season. Keller has identical splits, allowing .311 wOBA, .343 OBP, and .367 SLG. He has a low HC% and FB% all while only allowing .56 HR/9 this season. Royals batters are slashing .275 wOBA, .115 ISO, and .271 BABIP to right handed pitchers over the last few weeks. They are hitting well below their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Brad Keller

Cleveland IndiansAdam Plutko (RHP) takes the mound at home. He carries a 4.55 ERA, 6.25 FIP, and 4.69 SIERA on the season. Plutko is allowing .391 wOBA, .655 SLG, and .305 OBP on the year. He is also allowing 2.93 HR/9. Despite the inflated numbers, Plutko does offer strike out upside. Indians batters are slashing .341 wOBA, .212 ISO, and .327 BABIP over the last few weeks. They are hitting above their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Adam Plutko, Carlos Santana, Jason Kipnis, Oscar Mercado, Jose Ramirez, and Francisco Lindor.

Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox

Over/Under: 9

Implied Run Total – CHW: 3.88

Implied Run Total – BOS: 5.14

Weather Concerns – N/A

Chicago White Sox Lucas Giolito (RHP) is on the mound in Boston tonight. He is sporting a 2.74 ERA, 3.09 FIP, and 3.62 SIERA on the season. Giolito has excellent splits, allowing .252 wOBA, .267 OBP, and .304 SLG to both hands this season. White Sox batters are slashing .353 wOBA, .192 ISO, and 124 WRC+ over the last two weeks, well above their season avearges.

Preferred Plays: Luery Garcia, Jose Abreu, James McCann, and Eloy Jimenez.

Boston Red SoxEduardo Rodriguez (LHP) is on the mound at home this evening. He is carrying a 4.71 ERA, 4.00, and 3.98 SIERA on the season. Rodriguez is a reverse splits pitcher, allowing .392 wOBA, .610 SLG, and 7 home runs through 18 innings pitched against left handed batters. Red Sox batters are slashing .392 wOBA, .243 ISO, and 139 WRC+ to right handed pitching over the last two weeks. The Red Sox are hitting well above their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Christian Vasquez, Rafael Devers, Xander Bogaerts, Mookie Betts, and Jackie Bradley Jr..

Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs

Over/Under: 11.5

Implied Run Total – ATL: 5.45

Implied Run Total – CHC: 6.12

Weather Concerns – N/A

Atlanta Braves Julio Teheran (RHP) takes the mound at Wrigley this evening. He is sporting a 3.40 ERA, 4.36 FIP, and 5.10 SIERA on the season. Teheran has identical splits, carrying .288 wOBA .311 OBP, and .347 SLG to both hands. I consider Teheran a viable pitching option in GPP’s. Braves hitters are slashing a massive .426 wOBA, .271 ISO, .386 BABIP, and 161 WRC+ over the last two weeks. To put it simply, they are on absolute fire.

Preferred Plays: Freddie Freeman, Josh Donaldson, Ozzie Albies, Austin Riley, and Ronald Acuna Jr..

Chicago CubsJon Lester (LHP) is on the mound at home tonight. He carries a 4.13 ERA, 4.47 FIP, and 4.16 SIERA on the season. Lester has identical splits, allowing .390 wOBA, .329 OBP, and .464 SLG to both hands. He is also allowing 81% contact on his pitches, 41% of that being hard contact. Cubs batters are slashing ,291 wOBA, .163 ISO, .253 BABIP, and 78 WRC+ over the last two weeks. They are hitting well below their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Kyle Schwarber, Wilson Contreras, Anthony Rizzo, and Jason Heyward.

LA Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks

Over/Under: 8

Implied Run Total – LAD: 4.25 Runs

Implied Run Total – ARI: 3.75 Runs

Weather Concerns – Dome

Los Angeles DodgersClayton Kershaw (LHP) takes the mound in Arizona tonight. He is sporting a 2.85 ERA, 3.51 FIP, and 3.76 SIERA on the season. Kershaw has identical splits, carrying .282 wOBA, .269 OBP, and .278 BABIP to both hands. Dodgers batters are slashing .338 wOBA, .209 ISO, and .298 BABIP over the last two weeks. They are hitting close to their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Clayton Kershaw, Max Muncy, Joc Pederson, and Cody Bellinger.

Arizona DiamondbacksZack Greinke (RHP) takes the mound at home tonight. He is sporting a 2.91 ERA, 3.45 FIP, and 3.96 SIERA on the season. Greinke has identical splits, allowing .260 wOBA, .249 OBP, and .252 BABIP to both hands. Arizona batters are slashing .339 wOBA, .218 ISO, and .306 BABIP over the last two weeks, They are hitting above their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Ketel Marte, Eduardo Escobar, Ildemaro Vargas, and Carson Kelly.

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants

Over/Under: 7.5

Implied Run Total – COL: 3.75

Implied Run total – SFG: 3.75

Weather Concerns – N/A

Colorado RockiesJon Gray (RHP) takes the mound tonight in San Francisco. He carries a 4.18 ERA, 4.20 FIP, and 4.19 SIERA on the year. Gray has identical splits, carrying a .338 wOBA, .339 OBP, and .439 SLG to both hands. Rockies batters are slashing a slate high .427 wOBA, .220 ISO, .438 BABIP, and 138 WRC+ over the last two weeks. They are hitting well above their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Jon Gray, Charlie Blackmon, Ian Desmond, David Dahl, and Nolan Arenado.

San Francisco GiantsDrew Pomeranz (LHP) is on the mound at home. He carries a 7.09 ERA, 6.01 FIP, and 4.68 SIERA on the year. Pomeranz has true splits as right handed batters are slashing .412 wOBA, .594 SLG, and .396 OBP against him this season. San Francisco batters are slashing .334 wOBA, .182 ISO, and .321 BABIP recently. They are hitting close to their season averages.

Preferred Plays: Brandon Belt and Alex Dickerson

Dwehrj08’s favorite plays

Top Pitchers:

  • Clayton Kershaw
  • Jon Gray
  • Julio Teheran

Top Stacks:

  • Atlanta Braves
  • New York Yankees
  • Toronto Blue Jays

Home Run Call: Austin Riley (ATL)

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Yonny Chirinos definitely deserves consideration on theearly slate at $10,800 on DraftKings. He has struck out six or more batters ineach of his last three starts and is 4-1 with a 2.75 ERA at home. Oakland isone of the best hitting road teams, but they are just middle of the packoverall and I would use Chirinos as a GPP play.

Zach Plesac should be locked into the day slate againstCincinnati. He displayed length in his last start, going 111 pitches, and hehas a 1.86 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in three starts so far. The Reds are Top 5 in theNational League in team strikeouts vs. RHPs. Lock in Plesac at 7400 onDraftKings.

Mike Soroka is my top play of the night at 10,900, as he isin play against any opponent right now, and especially against the Pirates, whoare Top 5 in road strikeouts. He has allowed one run or less in nine of hispast 10 starts. Soroka is 6-0 with a 1.01 ERA in night games, another notablenumber among the many superlative stats he has posted so far in an incredibleearly-season breakout. He should get some quality run support too, as Atlantahas pasted Pittsburgh pitching for 10 home runs in the first two games of theseries.

Zach Eflin returned from the IL Friday and allowed one runin six innings, striking out six Reds. He is 4-1 with a 2.75 ERA at home. Arizonais third in the league in road strikeouts, so consider Eflin a GPP at 8700. Hehas not become a high regarded name yet overall and may not be widely owned onthe night slate in a pitcher’s park. It’s a daring move, one that could payoff. I’ll want him as my second pitcher on DK tonight.

Brandon Woodruff’s price is very friendly at 7400, butopposing Justin Verlander may make it hard to get the win. Houston is justoutside the Top 10 in team batting in June and won’t be fully easy to navigateeven at less than full strength. Verlander (11,300) is a fine pick against any opponentright now but I’d opt for Soroka at the lesser price against the weaker opponent.

Seattle is fourth in the A.L. in road strikeouts, and JoseBerrios is 5-1 with a 2.72 home ERA. At $10,300 he is the guy to pivot offSoroka and Verlander, who should be the most widely owned choices. After thosetwo, he is my third favorite standout pitcher of the night slate.

The Giants are fourth in the National League in home strikeouts,so Joey Lucchesi (9600) is a top option outside of the Big Three of Soroka,Verlander and Berrios tonight. The Giants did actually rock Lucchesi for sevenruns in four innings at home in April, so look for him to make the adjustmentsthis time out.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

Mike Soroka over 4.5 Pitching Strikeouts

This seems like it’s almost too easy, as Soroka has at least five strikeouts in each of his last four starts. But if there is one guy who may be able to get to Soroka tonight, it could be Starling Marte, who is hitting .301 against righties, so I would take the over on him at 1.5 total bases even while liking Soroka a lot. Play Soroka and Marte now and get 100 percent Bonus!

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This is a very funky slate. While I don’t necessarily love this crop of pitchers, we have some interesting arms in great circumstances. That’s all we can ask for as DFS players and it’s a lesson that needs to be learned. Sometimes, we have to step outside of our comfort zone sand use players we normally wouldn’t consider because you simply can’t have biases in this industry. As always, you need to check in with Mark Paquette before submitting lineups to see if we have any weather issues. 

Cash Game Pitcher of the Day 

Gerrit Cole, HOU vs. BAL 

DK ($12,200)   FD ($11,200) 

I hate to say he is only the best cash-game play of the day because this is undoubtedly the best play on the board no matter what. The simple fact is, you can’t match this guy’s ability to whiff batters. That’s evident by his league-leading 37.4 percent K rate, which is backed up by his 35 percent K rate from last season. That’s simply elite production and it’s clear that his 1.04 WHIP and elite K rate means that he has some positive regression headed his way from his 3.94 ERA. Facing the Orioles is simply the icing on the cake, with Baltimore ranked 24th in runs scored, 25th in OPS and last in xwOBA. That’s why Cole enters this matchup as a –355 favorite.  

Top-Tier Arms 

Mike Soroka, ATL at MIA 

DK ($11,600)   FD ($10,800) 

It feels weird to recommend a rookie above $10,000 but he’s earned every bit of that lofty price tag. In fact, Soroka is pitching to a 1.41 ERA and 0.91 WHIP this season while striking out 51 batters across 57 innings of action. That is elite for anyone and it’s clear that he’s the frontrunner for NL Rookie of the Year with this stellar season. The reason we like him here is because he gets to face Miami in Marlins Park. Not only is that arguably the best pitcher’s park in the Majors, the Marlins also sit at the bottom in nearly every offensive category. So far this season, Miami ranks 28th in wOBA, 29th in runs scored and 30th in both OPS and xwOBA. Vegas agrees with our assessment, as they have Soroka as a –180 favorite in a game with a total of 8, which means the Marlins are projected for about 3.3 runs. 

Clayton Kershaw, LAD at SF 

DK ($11,200)   FD ($10,700) 

Kershaw is always worth considering any time he takes the mound, especially against the Giants. I mean, we’re talking about an offense who just allowed Jason Vargas to throw a complete game shutout against them. C’Mon man, that’s embarrassing! That’s really no surprise when you consider the fact that San Francisco ranks 28th in runs scored, 29th in OPS and 28th in wOBA. That says a lot about this offense and it’s really no surprise hitting in a pitcher’s park like Oracle Park. Kershaw is back to his All-Star ways too, posting a 3.20 ERA and 1.05 WHIP this season while posting a 55:9 K:BB rate. Kershaw completely owns the Giants too, posting a 13-4 record in San Fran while providing a 1.54 ERA and 0.83 WHIP, striking out 156 batters across 164 innings. 

Middle-Tier Arms 

Andrew Heaney, LAA vs. SEA 

DK ($9,200)   FD ($9,400) 

Heaney is generally overlooked in terms of great pitchers but he’s truly established himself as one of the best southpaws in the league. In his first two starts, Heaney has allowed only eight baserunners across 11 innings while striking out 18 batters. That’s simply elite production, as his 4.09 ERA is not indicative of just how good he’s been. His 2.68 xFIP this season and 3.68 xFIP from last season really show how special he’s been and it’s hard to argue with a 25 percent K rate in that span. Facing Seattle right now is quite the treat for any pitcher too, with the Mariners ranking 28th in both runs scored and OBP in May while sitting 27th in K rate for the year. 

Zach Eflin, PHI vs. CIN 

DK ($8,700)   FD ($8,300) 

Eflin has quietly had a breakout year for the Phillies, as his 3.02 ERA and 1.19 WHIP are actually the best numbers in the Philly rotation. While his 51 Ks are lacking a bit, it’s hard to argue with a guy who is producing like this. The reason we really like Eflin today is because he gets to face the Reds. So far this season, Cincinnati ranks 24th in wOBA, 26th in xwOBA and 23rd in OPS. That’s why we have Eflin projected to enter this matchup as a –180 favorite. With all that in mind, Eflin is coming off the IL for this start and its unclear exactly how long he’ll last but he is worth the risk.

Brandon Woodruff, MIL vs. PIT 

DK ($7,800)   FD ($8,600) 

Woodruff is probably my favorite value play of the day, as he’s been the Brewers’ best pitcher since the end of April. Aside from a dud against Pittsburgh in his most recent game, Woodruff was pitching to a 1.42 ERA and 0.82 WHIP over his previous six starts while striking out 43 batters across 38 innings of action. That elite strikeout potential has been there all season long, with Woodruff recording at least five Ks in all 11 starts en route to a 28.3 percent K rate. While he did struggle against the Pirates in his last start, this is a matchup we love. In fact, Pittsburgh currently ranks 23rd in both runs scored and xwOBA while ranking 25th in xSLG. Vegas loves Woodruff too, as they have him as a –250 favorite in this game.  

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Day

While I did miss on our last MKF pick because of a blowup by Aaron Nola, I’m still 7-3 over my last 10 selections. There actually wasn’t a whole lot I like on MKF today but there is one pick that I do really prefer.

Gerrit Cole over 8.5 strikeouts

Honestly, I would almost never pick a pitcher to pick up more than eight Ks but I think Cole is a guarantee for double-digit strikeouts. His 37 percent K rate is a huge reason why, but facing a bad offense like this only adds to his K upside.

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This is a very funky slate. While I don’t necessarily love this crop of pitchers, we have some interesting arms in great circumstances. That’s all we can ask for as DFS players and it’s a lesson that needs to be learned. Sometimes, we have to step outside of our comfort zone sand use players we normally wouldn’t consider because you simply can’t have biases in this industry. As always, you need to check in with Mark Paquette before submitting lineups to see if we have any weather issues. 

Cash Game Pitcher of the Day 

Gerrit Cole, HOU vs. BAL 

DK ($12,200)   FD ($11,200) 

I hate to say he is only the best cash-game play of the day because this is undoubtedly the best play on the board no matter what. The simple fact is, you can’t match this guy’s ability to whiff batters. That’s evident by his league-leading 37.4 percent K rate, which is backed up by his 35 percent K rate from last season. That’s simply elite production and it’s clear that his 1.04 WHIP and elite K rate means that he has some positive regression headed his way from his 3.94 ERA. Facing the Orioles is simply the icing on the cake, with Baltimore ranked 24th in runs scored, 25th in OPS and last in xwOBA. That’s why Cole enters this matchup as a –355 favorite.  

Top-Tier Arms 

Mike Soroka, ATL at MIA 

DK ($11,600)   FD ($10,800) 

It feels weird to recommend a rookie above $10,000 but he’s earned every bit of that lofty price tag. In fact, Soroka is pitching to a 1.41 ERA and 0.91 WHIP this season while striking out 51 batters across 57 innings of action. That is elite for anyone and it’s clear that he’s the frontrunner for NL Rookie of the Year with this stellar season. The reason we like him here is because he gets to face Miami in Marlins Park. Not only is that arguably the best pitcher’s park in the Majors, the Marlins also sit at the bottom in nearly every offensive category. So far this season, Miami ranks 28th in wOBA, 29th in runs scored and 30th in both OPS and xwOBA. Vegas agrees with our assessment, as they have Soroka as a –180 favorite in a game with a total of 8, which means the Marlins are projected for about 3.3 runs. 

Clayton Kershaw, LAD at SF 

DK ($11,200)   FD ($10,700) 

Kershaw is always worth considering any time he takes the mound, especially against the Giants. I mean, we’re talking about an offense who just allowed Jason Vargas to throw a complete game shutout against them. C’Mon man, that’s embarrassing! That’s really no surprise when you consider the fact that San Francisco ranks 28th in runs scored, 29th in OPS and 28th in wOBA. That says a lot about this offense and it’s really no surprise hitting in a pitcher’s park like Oracle Park. Kershaw is back to his All-Star ways too, posting a 3.20 ERA and 1.05 WHIP this season while posting a 55:9 K:BB rate. Kershaw completely owns the Giants too, posting a 13-4 record in San Fran while providing a 1.54 ERA and 0.83 WHIP, striking out 156 batters across 164 innings. 

Middle-Tier Arms 

Andrew Heaney, LAA vs. SEA 

DK ($9,200)   FD ($9,400) 

Heaney is generally overlooked in terms of great pitchers but he’s truly established himself as one of the best southpaws in the league. In his first two starts, Heaney has allowed only eight baserunners across 11 innings while striking out 18 batters. That’s simply elite production, as his 4.09 ERA is not indicative of just how good he’s been. His 2.68 xFIP this season and 3.68 xFIP from last season really show how special he’s been and it’s hard to argue with a 25 percent K rate in that span. Facing Seattle right now is quite the treat for any pitcher too, with the Mariners ranking 28th in both runs scored and OBP in May while sitting 27th in K rate for the year. 

Zach Eflin, PHI vs. CIN 

DK ($8,700)   FD ($8,300) 

Eflin has quietly had a breakout year for the Phillies, as his 3.02 ERA and 1.19 WHIP are actually the best numbers in the Philly rotation. While his 51 Ks are lacking a bit, it’s hard to argue with a guy who is producing like this. The reason we really like Eflin today is because he gets to face the Reds. So far this season, Cincinnati ranks 24th in wOBA, 26th in xwOBA and 23rd in OPS. That’s why we have Eflin projected to enter this matchup as a –180 favorite. With all that in mind, Eflin is coming off the IL for this start and its unclear exactly how long he’ll last but he is worth the risk.

Brandon Woodruff, MIL vs. PIT 

DK ($7,800)   FD ($8,600) 

Woodruff is probably my favorite value play of the day, as he’s been the Brewers’ best pitcher since the end of April. Aside from a dud against Pittsburgh in his most recent game, Woodruff was pitching to a 1.42 ERA and 0.82 WHIP over his previous six starts while striking out 43 batters across 38 innings of action. That elite strikeout potential has been there all season long, with Woodruff recording at least five Ks in all 11 starts en route to a 28.3 percent K rate. While he did struggle against the Pirates in his last start, this is a matchup we love. In fact, Pittsburgh currently ranks 23rd in both runs scored and xwOBA while ranking 25th in xSLG. Vegas loves Woodruff too, as they have him as a –250 favorite in this game.  

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Day

While I did miss on our last MKF pick because of a blowup by Aaron Nola, I’m still 7-3 over my last 10 selections. There actually wasn’t a whole lot I like on MKF today but there is one pick that I do really prefer.

Gerrit Cole over 8.5 strikeouts

Honestly, I would almost never pick a pitcher to pick up more than eight Ks but I think Cole is a guarantee for double-digit strikeouts. His 37 percent K rate is a huge reason why, but facing a bad offense like this only adds to his K upside.

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