Connect with us
Football Articles Projection Model Cheat Sheets Season Long Rankings Totals Tool Prize Picks Prop Model DraftKings Prop Model Baseball Articles Projection Model Cheat Sheet Stacks Tool Matchups Tool Home Run Model Prize Picks Prop Model DraftKings Prop Model Golf Articles Projection Model Showdown Stats Nascar Articles Hockey Articles Other Sports NCAAF Mixed Martial Arts Soccer League of Legends Off Season Basketball Tools Optimizer Sports Betting Articles Home Run Model About Us Win Daily Team Shop Merch Shop Book Announcements Contact Us Our Community

Become part of our Family in our Expert Chat! This is where all the magic happens. We created a community which we consider a family of DFS players and Sports Bettors like yourself.

Expert Chat
Gold Membership Optimizer Membership Free Membership Sharp App PrizePicks Partners The Sharp App Free Download Prize Picks 100% Deposit Match up to $100 Monkey Knife Fight 100% Instant Deposit Match (up to $100) DraftKings DFS 20% Deposit Up To $500 Bonus DraftKings SportsBook $1,000 Deposit Bonus; Bet $5, Win $280 FanDuel DFS 20% Deposit Bonus Up To $500 FanDuel SportsBook $1,000 Risk Free Bet; Bet $5, Win $280 Points Bet Up To $2,000 in Free Bets BETMGM $1,000 Risk Free 1st Bet Caesars $1,100 First Bet Match OwnersBox Up to $25 Deposit Bonus + Weekly Promo Codes Underdog Fantasy 100% Deposit Match up to $100 BetRivers 100% Deposit Match up to $250 Sugarhouse 100% Deposit Match up to $250 Administrator Quick Links wp-admin Membership Reports Members Subscriptions Transactions Content Access Rules Monster Insights Microsoft BI Administrator Quick Links 2 New Funnel New Page Theme Editor Affiliate Royale ACF Writer Quick Links wp-admin New Post All Posts New Sportsbetting Pick All Sportsbetting Picks Affiliate Quick Links Dashboard Data Analyst Quick Links NBA Proj Dashboard MLB Proj Dashboard NFL Proj Dashboard Golf Proj Dashboard Cheat Sheet Quick links Sign Up Log In Articles

Articles

NFL MLB PGA Soccer Nascar LOL MMA NHL NBA Learn Video Sports Betting NCAAF
Tools

Tools

Top Tools

Optimizer

Projection Models

NFL MLB PGA NBA

Other Tools

NFL Season Long Rankings PrizePicks NFL Prop Model NFL Cheat Sheet NFL Totals Tool MLB Stacks Tool MLB Home Run Model MLB Matchups Tool MLB Cheat Sheet PGA Showdown Stats NBA Cheat Sheet
Community

Community

Expert Chat The Team Shop Merch Shop Book Announcements Contact Us Facebook Twitter Instagram Twitch Youtube Live
Memberships

Memberships

Partners

Partners

SportsBook Reviews

Academy

Academy

Links

Articles Videos Podcasts

Daily Fantasy Baseball Articles

DFS Pitching and Monkey Knife Fight Picks for 6/7

Published

on

This is a very funky slate. While I don’t necessarily love this crop of pitchers, we have some interesting arms in great circumstances. That’s all we can ask for as DFS players and it’s a lesson that needs to be learned. Sometimes, we have to step outside of our comfort zone sand use players we normally wouldn’t consider because you simply can’t have biases in this industry. As always, you need to check in with Mark Paquette before submitting lineups to see if we have any weather issues. 

Cash Game Pitcher of the Day 

Gerrit Cole, HOU vs. BAL 

DK ($12,200)   FD ($11,200) 

I hate to say he is only the best cash-game play of the day because this is undoubtedly the best play on the board no matter what. The simple fact is, you can’t match this guy’s ability to whiff batters. That’s evident by his league-leading 37.4 percent K rate, which is backed up by his 35 percent K rate from last season. That’s simply elite production and it’s clear that his 1.04 WHIP and elite K rate means that he has some positive regression headed his way from his 3.94 ERA. Facing the Orioles is simply the icing on the cake, with Baltimore ranked 24th in runs scored, 25th in OPS and last in xwOBA. That’s why Cole enters this matchup as a –355 favorite.  

Top-Tier Arms 

Mike Soroka, ATL at MIA 

DK ($11,600)   FD ($10,800) 

It feels weird to recommend a rookie above $10,000 but he’s earned every bit of that lofty price tag. In fact, Soroka is pitching to a 1.41 ERA and 0.91 WHIP this season while striking out 51 batters across 57 innings of action. That is elite for anyone and it’s clear that he’s the frontrunner for NL Rookie of the Year with this stellar season. The reason we like him here is because he gets to face Miami in Marlins Park. Not only is that arguably the best pitcher’s park in the Majors, the Marlins also sit at the bottom in nearly every offensive category. So far this season, Miami ranks 28th in wOBA, 29th in runs scored and 30th in both OPS and xwOBA. Vegas agrees with our assessment, as they have Soroka as a –180 favorite in a game with a total of 8, which means the Marlins are projected for about 3.3 runs. 

Clayton Kershaw, LAD at SF 

DK ($11,200)   FD ($10,700) 

Kershaw is always worth considering any time he takes the mound, especially against the Giants. I mean, we’re talking about an offense who just allowed Jason Vargas to throw a complete game shutout against them. C’Mon man, that’s embarrassing! That’s really no surprise when you consider the fact that San Francisco ranks 28th in runs scored, 29th in OPS and 28th in wOBA. That says a lot about this offense and it’s really no surprise hitting in a pitcher’s park like Oracle Park. Kershaw is back to his All-Star ways too, posting a 3.20 ERA and 1.05 WHIP this season while posting a 55:9 K:BB rate. Kershaw completely owns the Giants too, posting a 13-4 record in San Fran while providing a 1.54 ERA and 0.83 WHIP, striking out 156 batters across 164 innings. 

Middle-Tier Arms 

Andrew Heaney, LAA vs. SEA 

DK ($9,200)   FD ($9,400) 

Heaney is generally overlooked in terms of great pitchers but he’s truly established himself as one of the best southpaws in the league. In his first two starts, Heaney has allowed only eight baserunners across 11 innings while striking out 18 batters. That’s simply elite production, as his 4.09 ERA is not indicative of just how good he’s been. His 2.68 xFIP this season and 3.68 xFIP from last season really show how special he’s been and it’s hard to argue with a 25 percent K rate in that span. Facing Seattle right now is quite the treat for any pitcher too, with the Mariners ranking 28th in both runs scored and OBP in May while sitting 27th in K rate for the year. 

Zach Eflin, PHI vs. CIN 

DK ($8,700)   FD ($8,300) 

Eflin has quietly had a breakout year for the Phillies, as his 3.02 ERA and 1.19 WHIP are actually the best numbers in the Philly rotation. While his 51 Ks are lacking a bit, it’s hard to argue with a guy who is producing like this. The reason we really like Eflin today is because he gets to face the Reds. So far this season, Cincinnati ranks 24th in wOBA, 26th in xwOBA and 23rd in OPS. That’s why we have Eflin projected to enter this matchup as a –180 favorite. With all that in mind, Eflin is coming off the IL for this start and its unclear exactly how long he’ll last but he is worth the risk.

Brandon Woodruff, MIL vs. PIT 

DK ($7,800)   FD ($8,600) 

Woodruff is probably my favorite value play of the day, as he’s been the Brewers’ best pitcher since the end of April. Aside from a dud against Pittsburgh in his most recent game, Woodruff was pitching to a 1.42 ERA and 0.82 WHIP over his previous six starts while striking out 43 batters across 38 innings of action. That elite strikeout potential has been there all season long, with Woodruff recording at least five Ks in all 11 starts en route to a 28.3 percent K rate. While he did struggle against the Pirates in his last start, this is a matchup we love. In fact, Pittsburgh currently ranks 23rd in both runs scored and xwOBA while ranking 25th in xSLG. Vegas loves Woodruff too, as they have him as a –250 favorite in this game.  

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Day

While I did miss on our last MKF pick because of a blowup by Aaron Nola, I’m still 7-3 over my last 10 selections. There actually wasn’t a whole lot I like on MKF today but there is one pick that I do really prefer.

Gerrit Cole over 8.5 strikeouts

Honestly, I would almost never pick a pitcher to pick up more than eight Ks but I think Cole is a guarantee for double-digit strikeouts. His 37 percent K rate is a huge reason why, but facing a bad offense like this only adds to his K upside.

Play MLB Player Prop Games and Get 100 Percent Bonus!


I've been playing fantasy sports since I was 12, which means I've been playing for over half of my life. I love DFS and season-long formats and have been writing for nearly a decade. I started my writing career at RotoWire and currently write for FantasyPros, Rotoballer, Razzball and DFSR. I cover NBA, MLB and NFL and follow all major sports. I generally cover primarily DFS but I also do game previews, recaps, player write-ups, injury updates etc.

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

At Win Daily, our motto is to “change your game and change your life.” Sure, we want to help you win that big DFS tournament. But we want you to have a greater enjoyment of Daily Fantasy Sports while you are doing it. Along the way, you also may learn some life lessons and gain some perspectives you may have never considered before.

Join Now

©2020 WIN DAILY. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

DISCLAIMER: This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800 GAMBLER. This service is intended for adult users only.

Published

on