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St. Louis Cardinals

MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (May 29)

Welcome to Monday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.

We at Win Daily Sports want to wish everyone a safe and happy memorial day weekend. Today we have 2 separate slates, but this article will be focusing solely on the 6-game early slate of MLB DFS since that’s the larger slate. For it being a smaller slate, this slate is packed with good pitching and good stacking. There will be options on both ends of the aisle for us.

Let’s dig and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Nate Eovaldi vs. Detroit Tigers

When the Rangers picked up Jacob deGrom this offseason, the notion was that he’d be the ace of the pitching staff. With how much time he’s already missed due to injury, it’s actually been Nate Eovaldi who’s been the true ace of this staff. He’s followed up a brilliant outing with a brilliant outing this season. Over the last month, Eovaldi has had a .86 ERA and a 24% k rate.

He’s been doing a phenomenal job of keeping the ball on the ground as evidenced by his 53% groundball rate. Although the Tigers have shown at times that they can get to pitchers, I just don’t see it today vs. one of the best pitchers in the game this season. Eovaldi should be able to put together another dominant outing today.

Ryne Nelson vs. Colorado Rockies

After spending up on Eovaldi today, I’m going to spend down on my SP2. That brings Ryne Nelson into play. He’s coming off 2 straight solid outings. 1 vs. the lowly A’s and the other vs. a solid but disappointing Phillies lineup. In each start, he had at least 17 DK points.

Today he’ll get a tasty matchup vs. a Rockies team that is leaving the friendly confines of Coors and will no longer have the thin air to help them with their bats. I’m looking for them to struggle today with going back on the road. A pitcher at this price point is never safe, but he’s pitching better and gets a nice matchup today.

Alex Wood vs. Milwaukee Brewers

This is a wild card pick for me tonight. Alex Wood hasn’t pitched overly well this season, but he also hasn’t pitched much as he’s made just 6 starts. This is more matchup based for me tonight. The Brewers have been dreadful vs. lefties this season. The projected lineup tonight has just a .293 wOBA and a .147 ISO vs. lefties. They also have a 26% k rate.

They’ve been attacked against lefties all season and tonight will be no different, even though it’s Alex Wood. He’s far from safe, but there’s definitely some upside tonight with Alex Wood and his $6.3k salary.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Karl Kaufmann

Karl Kaufmann has just 2 major league starts under his belt but each has been atrocious. Through the 2 starts, he’s pitched to an ERA over 9 and an xFIP over 6. He’s giving up a hard-hit rate of 63% and has a WHIP over 2. Nearly every metric for him is extremely bad. The only saving grace for him so far has been that he’s been able to keep the ball in the ballpark as he’s only allowed 1 dinger in his 8 innings of work.

That probably changes today as he’ll face a really strong Diamondbacks lineup. So far it’s been the righties that have been doing him in. They have a wOBA over .500 and an ISO of .263. That said, we don’t necessarily want to write off the lefties, they’ll 100% be in play.

Knowing how bad he’s been against righties, I’m going to target both Christian Walker and Lourdes Gurriel today. Of the 2, Gurriel has been the better one against righties this season so I will make it a point to force him in there today. Against righties this season, he has a .311 ISO and a wOBA of .380. The saving grace for Walker here is that he lines up extremely well with Kaufmann.

Kaufmann’s main pitch to righties is his sinker and he’s fared extremely well vs. righty sinkers since he’s broken into the league. Gurriel also has strong numbers vs. sinkers. Other bats I’ll look to get in here today will be Ketel Marte and Corbin Carroll. This lineup today has a ton of run potential.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Royals Bullpen

This is essentially going to be a bullpen game today for the Royals. They’ll start out with Josh Staumont, then turn the ball over to Mike Mayers for a few innings, and then we’ll get the Royals bullpen for a handful of innings. The Royals bullpen has been really bad this season and over the last couple of weeks.

Over the last couple of weeks, this bullpen has an xFIP of 5.12 and an ERA over 4. That 5.12 is the second-worst number of any bullpen over the last couple of weeks. Although the Cardinals have been disappointing this season, they have started to right the ship a bit and have started to play some better baseball, at least offensively.

The main guys I’m looking at with this stack today will be Paul Goldschmidt, Lars Nootbar, and Brendan Donovan. These are really the 3 guys in this lineup hitting the ball the best right now. Nootbar is 9 for his last 29 and has driven in 6 runs over the last week. The World Baseball Classic winner has put together a decent season so far, with a .270 AVG and a .383 OBP.

Donovan is also coming off a solid week, with 6 runs scored and a 1.184 OPS. He’s also extremely cheap today at just $3k. The spend-up will be Goldy. His numbers this season haven’t quite been where we’ve been used to them, but he’s still putting together a nice campaign. Other bats I like here will be Nolan Gorman and Tommy Edman.

I’m off Arenado right now. He’s been lost at the plate, for the most part, this season. That said, he did have 2 hits yesterday, including a double. Could that be the spark plug for him? We’ll have to wait and see.

Other stacks I like today are the Royals vs. Waino and Rangers vs. Boyd. With the Royals, a complete game stack is 100% in play. Waino has been hot trash this season and the Royals lineup has been hitting. They could absolutely get to the aging veteran today.

MLB DFS Summary

We have day baseball on this Memorial Day. Make sure to stay safe and make some money today!

Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

2 years ago 0 comments

MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (Apr. 19)

Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to Wednesday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.

It’s Wednesday and that means we have day baseball! Today we have a 10-game slate of MLB DFS. At first glance, pitching is pretty brutal this afternoon. Most teams are on the back end of their rotations. While that makes for a struggle to pick pitchers, it does make things a bit easier picking bits. There will be plenty of options for our MLB DFS stacks today.

Let’s dig and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Justin Steele vs. Oakland Athletics

Picking on the A’s with pitchers this season will be a thing. While they’ll occasionally show some glimpses of offense, they are bad. Maybe even historically bad. Against southpaws this season, they have an ISO under .100 and an OPS under .700.

With Steele, we have someone pitching very well in 2023. In his first 19 innings of work this season, he has a 26% k rate, a 1.42 ERA, and has done an excellent job of limiting any type of hard contact. Hitters have just a 23% hard-hit rate vs. him this season. This is a solid spot for Steele today.

Alex Cobb vs. Miami Marlins

As I said above, our options are pretty limited today. That brings me to Alex Cobb. The Marlins just aren’t a good lineup. Outside of Luis Arraez, they have little to no talent here. If Cobb can navigate around Arraez today, he should do pretty well. This is a Marlins lineup that has been below average vs. righties season. They have a 25% K rate vs. them and an OPS under .700. Nothing is a sure thing, but I do like Cobb’s chances of being able to do well here.

Trevor Rogers vs. San Francisco Giants

I said pitching was bad today and I meant it. The Giants have not been good vs. lefties this season. The projected lineup today has a 26% k rate vs. lefties this season and has hit for almost no power. They have a combined .078 ISO and a .257 wOBA. All extremely poor numbers.

Rogers hasn’t been that bad this season. His xFIP is just 2.76 and has done his usual job of keeping the ball on the ground. Hitters have a nearly 62% ground ball rate vs. him this season. If he can continue to keep the ball on the ground today, there’s no reason to think he can’t be one of the top-scoring pitchers.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Madison Bumgarner

The Cardinals haven’t been the Cardinals of old so far this season, but oh what a matchup they get today. Madbum is well on the tail end of his career. The last few seasons have been brutal for the big fella and this season has been no different for him either. Through his first 3 starts of the year, he’s given up 5 ER twice. He’s statistically one of the worst pitchers in the game these days. I’m not going to be overly concerned with splits here as he’s been bad vs. both sides of the plate.

My Cardinals stack today will start with both Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado. They’re both extremely expensive and if I had to pick between the two, I’d go with Arenado. That said, I’m going to try my hardest to find value today because both guys are in smash spots today. Goldy hasn’t hit for much power yet vs. lefties this season, but his wOBA is pushing .400. Arenado has an ISO of .273 vs. lefties so far in 2023.

I’m also interested in guys like Tommy Edman, Wilson Contreras, and Tyler O’Neill. All 3 will have the platoon advantage and have shown in the past that they can easily handle left-handed pitching. While my lean so far has been the righties, every Cardinal is in play today. This is as good of a spot for offense as we’ve seen for them this season.

Cleveland Guardians vs. Spencer Turnbull

So far this season Spencer Turnbull has had some mixed results. His first 2 outings of the year were a complete disaster, allowing a combined 12 ER. He brought his A game in his last outing, allowing just 1 ER in 5 innings of work against a very inconsistent Toronto Blue Jays lineup. Until he shows some consistency, I’m going to attack him with bats. Lefties have so far been his weakness as they have a nearly .500 wOBA vs. him and a .276 ISO.

I’m going to build my Guardians stack today around Jose Ramirez, Steven Kwan, Josh Bell, and Will Brennan today. With Ramirez, the power has yet to really show up for him this season. Through the first 3 weeks of the season, he’s at just 1 homer. They’ll flow soon for him and today could be the day against a pitcher that gives up a decent amount of flyballs.

I also really like Josh Bell here. He’s been arguably their best hitter so far this year. Over the last week, he leads the team with 7 wRC. His 9 hits and 5 RBI also lead the team. For value, we’ll look to Brennan. His price is under $3k and will free up a lot of salary for us today and he should still be able to produce. Andres Gimenez is also a bat I like here. He’s got a plethora of talent and could be one of the top bats on the slate.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Austin Gomber

Austin Gomber is coming off back-to-back brutal starts. Over those 2 starts, he’s allowed a combined 10 ER, one of which was against the lowly Washington Nationals. While he hasn’t been getting hit too hard, he’s been giving up way too many flyballs. His flyball rate in 2023 is pushing 50%. Playing in Coors, giving up that many flyballs is asking for trouble. I’m going to focus mostly on the righties here. His flyball rate climbs from 36% against lefties to 50% vs. righties. He also gives up more hard contact vs. righties.

I’ll start my Pirates stack today with Brian Reynolds, Andrew McCutchen, and Carlos Santana. These 3 hit at the top of the lineup and have historically done well against southpaws. The top bat here is obviously Reynolds as he’s one of the top young bats in all of baseball. Santana has been a big producer for this team. Over the last week, he leads the team in RBI and should continue to produce today in a smash spot.

I also like Connor Joe and Ke’Bryan Hayes here. Joe, playing against his former team, has done very well vs. lefties so far this season. He has a .308 ISO vs. them and a .463 wOBA. He’s also very affordable at $3.8k today.

MLB DFS Summary

We’ll want to be careful today navigating our pitching. It’s tough sledding out there and most pitchers have a ton of risk. There’s no shortage of bats though as we have some really bad pitchers throwing today. I’ll be loading up on Cards and Pirates today.

Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.

2 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (Apr. 12)

Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to Wednesday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.

It’s Wednesday and that means we have day baseball as it’s getaway day for most teams. We have an 8 game early slate of MLB DFS today. This is going to be a slate packed with offense. We have a Coors game and we also have a warm and windy game in Wrigley. At first glance, pitching is limited on this slate.

Let’s dig and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Zack Wheeler vs. Miami Marlins

With a lack of solid arms this afternoon, I suspect that Wheeler will be extremely popular tonight. He gets a nice matchup vs. a below-average Marlins lineup. Yes, they put an 8 spot vs. the Phillies last night. Aaron Nola has been mostly ineffective this season. Wheeler on the other hand has been pretty good.

After a questionable start to open the year vs. the Rangers, he settled down nicely against the Reds. This is a Marlins lineup that has essentially been terrible vs. righties this season. The projected lineup this afternoon has a K rate over 28% and a wOBA below .290. It’s baseball and anything can happen, but this has ceiling game written all over it for Wheels.

Sonny Gray vs. Chicago White Sox

This is where things start to get a little dicey. After Wheeler, there’s a ton of risk with all pitchers. Sonny Gray has been really solid to start the year. In his last outing, he was absolutely dominant. In 7 innings of work, he struck out 13 Astros. Yes, the lineup is missing Jose Altuve but it’s still a mighty lineup that he was able to beat.

The White Sox also possess a strong lineup, but that is much better against lefties. I tend to only attack them with righties and that’s what we’ll do today with Gray. He’s a slight risk, but he’s been really good to start the year. Look for him to have another really strong outing this afternoon at just $8.3k.

Blake Snell vs. New York Mets

This is also a risky pick, but the New York Mets just haven’t looked good vs. lefties for the past couple of seasons. As a Mets fan, I hope I’m wrong about this one, but I can really see Snell walking through this lineup this afternoon.

Outside of some control issues, Snell was able to do well against mostly the same lineup in the Wild Card Series last year. I’ll more than likely stick with Gray and Wheeler this afternoon, but if you can stomach it, Snell should do well today.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Jose Urena

I normally try to avoid this, but I’m going to a Coors team as my top stack today. The Cardinals get just a monster matchup today vs. an awful pitcher in Jose Urena. In 2 starts this year, Urena hasn’t made it past 2 innings of work. In each game, he’s given 4 ER and at least 1 homer. That trend should continue today vs. one of the better lineups in all of baseball.

Against Urena, I’m going to slightly favor lefties here. Since the start of the 2022 season, lefties have a wOBA of nearly .400 vs. him compared to just .300 for righties. That said, righties are still very much in play here.

I’m going to prioritize getting guys like Nolan Gorman, Brendan Donovan, and Alec Burleson into my stack. Both Gorman and Burleson are priced under $4k today in what should be a splendid environment for baseball in Colorado today. They’ll each have the platoon advantage as well.

With the 2 of them being on the cheaper end, it will make paying up for Nolan Arenado and Paul Goldschmidt a smidge easier. If you can only afford one of the expensive pieces here, my lean would be Arenado as he’s swinging a better bat right now. We also can’t forget about rookie phenom Jordan Walker at just $3.4k today. Walker has so far hit safely in every game that he’s played. While he hasn’t full stat lines, the Cardinals should go ham today and Walker very well could be in the middle of it. And he’s dirt cheap.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Edward Cabrera

It’s going to be warm in Philly today and when it is, the ball travels in good ole Citizens Bank Ball Park. Cabrera has been shaky to start the season. In his 2 starts, he’s faced the Mets both times. He’s walked at least 6 in each of those outings. Against a strong Phillies lineup, you can’t put that many guys on and expect to survive very long.

If his control is off, he’s going to get pounded by this Phillies team. We’re going to want to actually prioritize the righties for the Phillies today. Righties have much better offensive metrics vs. him since the start of the last year.

Knowing that I’ll want to get Trea Turner, JT Realmuto, and Nick Castellanos into my stack. Castle is my favorite of the 3 as he’s the one really hitting the ball well right now. Over his last 3 games, he has 6 hits and has scored or driven in 8 runs. At just $4.2k in this matchup, he’ll be a lock in my stack today.

Just because we like the righties here, doesn’t take away from my love for Kyle Schwarber today. I love targeting him when he faces pitch to contact pitchers. This is the type of matchup where Schwarber can take one very deep into the right-field seats today. With Cabrera’s walk tendencies this season, the Phillies are a full stack for me today. He’ll be putting lots of men on and we’ll want to secure that correlation.

Seattle Mariners vs. Marcus Stroman

I want at least a piece of this game today in Wrigley. It’s supposed to be 80 degrees and the wind blowing 20 mph out to dead center. When the weather is like this, regardless of who is on the mound, the stadium plays like Coors. The ball just absolutely flies and runs get scored. Vegas currently has both teams with an expected run total over 5.

Stroman has yet to yield a run this season, blanking both the Brewers and the Rangers. I just don’t see that happening again today with how the weather is expected to be. These 2 teams combined for 23 runs last night and the weather will be even better today. The pitching will be better, but again, when the weather is like this it doesn’t matter much.

My core with the Mariners today is going to be Julio Rodriguez, Eugenio Suarez, Ty France, and Jarred Kelenic. Let’s get to Kelenic. After struggling mightily in his Major League stints prior to this season, he finally appears to be putting it together. With Edwin Diaz out for the season, it’s making that trade look even worse for the New York Mets. It’s still very early in the season, but Kelenic’s average is up to .330 and most importantly his OBP is over .400. The kid has all the talent in the world and appears to finally be comfortable facing major league pitching. He’s also only $3k today. He’s a lock for me.

Cal Raleigh isn’t in my core, but he’s also in play. He’s crushing the ball right now, with 5 barrels over the last week. At $3.8k, he’s a cheap way to get a piece of an offense with a 5 projected total.

MLB DFS Summary

There’s going to be a lot of offense today. It’s one of the warmer days to start the season and pitching is suspect today. Two of the better pitchers on the slate will be pitching in an environment primed for offense.

Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.

2 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS Stack City (Apr. 10)

Joel Bartilotta 3 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to the Sunday Funday edition of the Stack City, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.

It’s finally happened! We finally have a full slate of baseball. A full slate means more opportunities to stack! Last night was one of the weirder nights in baseball as only 2 teams scored more than 3 runs. Hopefully today we’ll see more runs because let’s be real, baseball is way more fun when teams are crossing the plate!

Always make sure to read Adam’s Starting Rotation when setting your lineup. It’s hands down the best pitching article in the MLB DFS business.

Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today!

MLB DFS Stacks – Main Slate

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Daulton Jefferies

It pains me to do this, but the Phillies will be a regular of this article this year. They just have too potent of a lineup to ignore. There will be days, like when they face a Max Scherzer type, that they will be unplayable. But against a guy like Daulton Jefferies, they will always be in play.

Jefferies hasn’t pitched much at the major league level, just 17 innings to be exact. What he’s shown so far has not been great as he has a 5.36 xFIP. Even in AAA last year, Jefferies struggled. In 77 innings at AAA last year, Jefferies had a 4.94 xFIP and gave up 13 homers. This is going to be a tough task for him today. No other way to put it.

Jefferies main pitch is a sinker ball. We said it the other day and I’ll say it again today, the Phillies have two of the best in baseball in their lineup against sinkers. Both Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber absolutely obliterate sinkers. If you can only afford 2 heavy hitters today, those are the guys you want.

Another important bat to this stack is Rhys Hoskins. After a down year in 2021, Hoskins has really started out strong this season. He’s already up to 4 hits in just 6 AB and has 3 RBI and 3 runs. Those three would be my core and then adding in Bryson Stott (check the lineup to make sure he plays) will help to stomach the amount of money you just shelled out for them. The A’s will be a team we pick on frequently, with both hitters and pitchers. Today we’ll certainly be picking on them with bats.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Bryse Wilson

Another team that will frequent this article is the St. Louis Cardinals. They have a stacked lineup again this season and with some of their youngsters having some more experience under their belt, they’ll be even scarier than last. The matchup for them today is another great one.

Bryse Wilson is not an intimidating pitcher, at all. Last season he pitched to an awful 5.10 xFIP, a number that is in line with his other chances in the big leagues. Lefties tend to get more loft against him, but he’s been pretty bad to both sides of the plate so we don’t need to shy away from anyone.

My core with the Cardinals starts with Nolan Arenado. He is off to a piping hot start to the year. Through his first 8 at bats, he has 5 hits and 5 RBI. His fly ball rate is also pushing 60%. He’s hitting the ball hard an in the air. There’s nothing with today’s matchup that indicates a slow down is about to happen.

Another important piece here is Dylan Carson leading off. While he hasn’t really broken out yet this year (it’s so early, I know), he’s been on base 3 times and has scored each time. Other people I’d look to here are Tyler O’Neill, Tommy Edman, and Corey Dickerson. Honestly, this whole entire lineup is in play today so don’t shy away from anyone here when setting your MLB DFS lineups.

New York Mets vs. Erick Fedde

The Mets have started out 3-0 and there’s an excellent chance they make it a 4 game sweep of the Nationals today. They get a solid matchup with Fedde on the mound for the Nats. He was below average last season with a 4.42 xFIP. Batters had a 41% hard-hit rate against him so he’s going to give up some hard contact. While he doesn’t give up many flyballs, the flyballs that he does give up tend to leave the park. Of all the pitchers throwing today, he had one of the highest HR/FB ratios last season at 18.5%.

The two important pieces to me here are Brandon Nimmo and Jeff McNeil. Let’s start with McNeil who is criminally underpriced today at just $3k on DK. He has started out the year extremely strong with 6 hits in his first 13 AB’s. He currently leads the Mets with a 4 wRC. His pricing hasn’t caught up to his production yet and we’ll need to take advantage of it as much as we can until it does.

Nimmo is also off to a solid start, with 4 hits in his first 9 AB’s. He’s still under $4k which makes the 2 of them an extremely cheap way to get some solid production. Outside of those 2, I’d also Cano, Alonso, and Canha. Marte is useable, but he’s the most expensive Mets player today and he’s shown the least production so far. Could today be the day he breaks out?

MLB DFS Summary

At long last, we finally have a full slate of games and I for one could not be more thankful. This is a fun slate today. Teams I didn’t write up that I also like are the Blue Jays vs. Howard and Rays vs. Wells. I’m hesitant to play the White Sox today vs. Skubal. He was a hit-or-miss pitcher last year who at times looked like he belonged in AA, but also at times looked like he could vie for the Cy Young. He’s a good pitcher and before i start stacking against him again this season, I want to see how he looks.

Good luck today and hope to see some green tonight!

3 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Thursday, August 12

Joel Bartilotta 4 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to the Thursday edition of Picks and Pivots. Today we have an 8 game day slate of MLB DFS on Draftkings to navigate through.

Main Slate Breakdown

It’s Jared and I’ll be filling in Brian over the next 2 weeks when I’m not writing Aces and Bases as he takes a much needed and well deserved vacation.

On this fine Thursday we have an 8 game slate during the day that I’ll be focusing on . One thing is clear. Brandon Woodruff ($10.2k) is a must play. He’s certain to be chalk, but I just don’t see how it’s chalk we can avoid.

Burnes struck out 15 Cubs last night. Over the past week the Cubs are striking out 40% of the time. That is just an insane mark. Woodruff doesn’t have the same level of strike out ability as Burnes, but he’s still someone that can dial up some strikeouts. In his last 24 innings of work he has a 31% K rate. He has more upside than anyone else on the slate tonight and I’ll be ok eating the chalk on this one. Fade at your own risk.

SP2 is where it gets tricky today. My lean right now is to use Tanner Houck ($8.7k) vs. the Tampa Bay Rays. Houck has been pretty dominant over the past month. He has a 40% K rate in 15 innings of work and a near 12% swinging strike rate. He gets a tough match up vs. the Tampa Bay rays but if we dive into pitch data he matches up pretty well.

Houck is going to throw his slider around 37% of the time. Outside of Austin Meadows, this is a pitch that the Rays struggle with. As a whole, they have a high K rate and limited power vs. the pitch. Houck’s slider has been great with a 42% whiff rate. If it is on today, he should have some serious upside.

The other pitcher I’m considering is John Means ($9.2k). Means now has 4 starts behind him since his DL stint. The first 2 weren’t very encouraging as they had a combined 4 strike outs. His last 2 starts have been much better with a K% greater than 20 in each. One of those starts was against the Tigers and he struck out 6 in 6 innings.

Before his injury Means was pitching like an ace and his starts have gotten progressively better since he’s been back. Means bread and butter pitch is his changeup and if it’s on point today, he shouldn’t have any issues with the Tigers as it’s not a pitch they do well with. I would not be shocked if he was the highest scoring pitcher on today’s slate.

The first place I’m looking to for offense today will in Pittsburgh with the St. Louis Cardinals vs. JT Brubaker. Cardinals are poised to have a big day. Over the past month Brubaker has been getting hit extremely hard with a near 42% hard hit rate.

He’s been relying on his fastball a lot more of late and has been throwing it more than 50% of the time. It’s been a pitch that he’s given up the most power to this year with a .559 slugging % and 40% hard hit rate. The guys on the Cardinals that excel the most against the fastball will be my targets.

Tyler O’neill ($3.6k) is one of the best of the bunch with a .594 slugging % and .418 wOBA against fastballs this year. Paul Goldschmidt ($4.9K) and Paul DeJong ($3.7k) also have slugging %’s greater than .475 on the year to fastballs and will be targets of mine today. Dylan Carlson ($3.1k) is the hottest Cardinal right now with a .421 wOBA over the past week. I’ll be sure to squeeze him in as well.

My next stack on DK this afternoon will be the Seattle Mariners vs. Mike Foltynewicz. Folty is a favorite of mine because he just gives up so much hard contact and so many fly balls. His xFIP over the past month is an astounding 7.12.

Any time he is on the hill you should consider taking batters against him. That’s what I plan on doing today. Although Folty is awful to both sides of the plate, he’s really taken it to the next level against lefties this year. Lefties have a .304 ISO against him this year.

Kyle Seager ($4.4k)is locked in right now with 3 homers over the past week and will be sure to be in my lineup. Jarred Kelenic ($2.3k) is finally coming around at the plate with a .905 OPS this week. He’s near min priced and gets a tasty match up against Folty today. Other guys I will like here are Abraham Toro ($3.8k) and J.P. Crawford ($3.6k).

Other teams that are poised to do well today that I will sprinkle in some batters from are the Oakland A’s vs. Eli Morgan and potentially some Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Wade LeBlanc.

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap-Up

My pitching today will be focused on chalky Brandon Woodruff, Tanner Houck, and John Means. With these games being during the day I’ll let opposing lineups determine which SP2 I use. My bats will be focused on both the Cardinals and Mariners. Both teams have the potential to put up very big numbers today as they are facing the worst pitchers on the day and line up very well.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

4 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 5/29 (FanDuel Main Slate)

Antonio D'Arcangelis 4 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s four-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!

It’s another busy day for weather, but initial forecasts project only one game on the main slate that could be impacted: ATL @NYM — which they should be able to get in with a late start and under a light, steady rain.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Julio Urias ($11,500)

Ownership is going to be heavily weighted toward Urias, who’s the obvious choice in cash games. He’s got the most upside of any pitcher on the slate and easily boasts the highest floor because of the matchup. With four 50+ FD point performances among his last seven starts, Urias is coming into his own as a reliable fantasy starter after being brought slowly along by the Dodgers in his first few seasons in the big leagues. The Giants have a team K% of 26.2% — seventh highest in MLB — and the Dodgers are the biggest favorites in this four-game slate. Don’t overthink this one. Urias should be a lock for your cash games and in the majority of your GPP lineups.

Best GPP Value: Ian Anderson ($9,000)

For whatever reason, Ian Anderson’s weekly start for Atlanta almost always lands on a Saturday night, which is just fine with me considering he’s my favorite young pitcher in baseball for selfish reasons: he’s from about a half-hour away in upstate New York’s Capital Region, and is probably the best pitcher to some out of this area in decades. Pitching in a steady rain should be a familiar thing for a guy from just north of Albany, NY. The talented hurler didn’t issue a walk or accumulated any earned runs in his last start en route to 46 FanDuel points — a perfectly viable number given the difficulty this slate presents for pitching options. While the Mets don’t strike out at a particularly high rate, they do have one of the league’s most feeble team wOBA marks — just .291. Compare that to what the Braves lineup offers — a /327 team wOBA — and you’ve got a recipe for another victory and 35-45 FD points.

Contrarian GPP Value: Mike Foltynewicz ($7,100)

This makes two SP options on tonight’s slate with WinDaily narratives. While I don’t know my area’s local product (Anderson) personally, Nick Bretwisch is buddies with Mike Foltynewicz (it’s a Minooka, Illinois thing) and he’s continually come through with the best spots to deploy Folty in our MLB DFS builds. On FanDuel tonight, he’s more of a large-field GPP contrarian play, since his K totals are a little lower this season. The silver lining, however, is in the opponent’s propensity to strike out. The Mariners have a team K% of 26.2% — sixth highest in baseball this season — and they sport the second-lowest team wOBA (.285) against RHP. If you’re hell-bent on jamming in the most expensive bats on the slate and/or want to get a little crazy at SP, Folty has some modest upside vs,. SEA.

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: St. Louis Cardinals vs. ARI RHP Seth Frankoff

Only two teams in yesterday’s slate scored more runs than the Cards, who beat the D-Backs 8-6 and helped secure a lot of green screens for folks that trusted they’d easily handle LHP Madison Bumgarner. Today they face a right-hander, but it’s a guy with considerably less major-league experience in Frankoff, who has just 13.1 IP under his belt in MLB. Frankoff is a 32-year-old journeyman who spent some time in Korea and is with his fifth major-league organization — a sign he’s not missing a whole lot of bats at this level. The Cards should be able to take advantage of his 6.46 FIP with their usual array of potent bats, including Paul Goldschmidt ($3,100), Nolan Arenado ($3,600), Dylan Carlson (underpriced at just $2,200) and Tyler O’Neill ($3,000) — who went deep last night and boasts a .370 wOBA and nine HR vs. RHP over his last 88 big league AB. I also like switch-hitting leadoff hitter Tommy Edman ($2,700) and there’s also an opportunity to do a full game stack here and run back some bats from Arizona: Josh Rojas ($2,300), Carson Kelly ($3,200), Ketel Marte ($3,300), David Peralta ($2,500), Pavin Smith ($2,600) and Eduardo Escobar ($2,700) are all woefully mispriced for this slate.

Value Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. SFG RHP Logan Webb

It’s bizarre to see the Dodgers listed as a value stack, but after you get past the high-priced bats of Mookie Betts ($3,900) and Max Muncy ($3,600), there’s a couple lefty hitters we can target for their value (Gavin Lux at $2,600 and upside-laden Matt Beaty at just $2,100) along with Justin Turner ($2,900), Chris Turner ($3,100) and Will Smith ($2,900). The Dodgers projected team run total is actually right around what the D-Backs are expected, so I’ll probably make a balance four-man stacks of each team (and some 2 LAD +2 ARI builds) against my four-man Cards stacks.

Contrarian Stack: Texas Rangers vs. SEA RHP Justin Dunn

Tonight might be a really good night to experiment with low-stakes multi-entry GPP and leaving some money on the table, which means we can use some combination of Rangers 1-5 hitters in a few stacks with Dunn on the mound for Seattle. Dunn’s 3.40 ERA belies an xFIP of 5.76 — good news for guys like Willie Calhoun ($3,000), Nate Lowe ($2,900), Adolis Garcia ($4,300) and Joey Gallo ($3,200). Brock Holt ($2,500) has excellent numbers vs. RHP as well. The price tag and RHP vs. RHB matchup for Garcia might scare some folks away, but he makes for a great one-off even if you’re not stacking the Rangers, with a .400 wOBA, a .330 ISO and nine HR in less than 100 AB vs. RHP. Whatever you plan on doing, I’d include some of these Rangers bats in my GPP builds at what could be relatively low ownership even on a slate this small.

Good luck, and make sure you utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!

4 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

10/14 DFS MLB NLCS Showdown

Brandon C. Williams 6 years ago

written by Brandon C. Williams

Game 3 of the NLCS heads to Washington, where the Nationals toss Stephen Strasburg against Cardinals hurler Jack Flaherty in a must-win for the Redbirds (8:38 PM Eastern, TBS). The 10/14 DFS MLB Showdown could be a challenge in finding runs as both pitchers have mostly had their A-game stuff in the postseason.

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10/14 DFS Showdown: STL @ WAS

MVP/Captain (2X)

Anthony Rendon, 3B, WAS (DK $15,300, FD $9500)

Our 10/14 DFS MLB NLCS Showdown play. With Flaherty and Strasburg on the bump, chances are one decisive swing is all that will be needed. If so, I’m running with Rendon and his .346/.457/.577 with a 1.034 OPS. Keep in mind, Rendon was dominant at home in the regular season, where he hit 20 of his 34 homers along with a 1.042 OPS.

All-Star (1.5X FanDuel Only)

Marcell Ozuna, OF, STL (DK $12,900, FD $8000)

Right now, Ozuna may be the only bat worth trusting in the Cards lineup. He can do damage with runners on base, but Dexter Fowler (.260 OPS) and Kolten Wong (.608 OPS) have been ineffective in the postseason. If the Cards don’t want Tuesday to be an elimination game, Ozuna and his .818 OPS with runners in scoring position (regular season) had better be used.

Dial U for Utility

Utility

Howie Kendrick, 1B/2B, WAS (DK $13,200, FD $5500)

Kendrick: For Hire is a must in either Showdown format. He went .500 (11-for-22) versus the Cardinals during the regular season and has two hits and a run scored in the first two games of the NLCS. Keep in mind that Kendrick also recorded a career-best .228 Isolated Power and 45.5% hard contact rate.

Utility

Paul Goldschmidt, 1B, STL (DK $12,300, FD $7500)

On the surface, his numbers looked OK, but Goldschmidt did fall from 5.2 WAR to 2.9 while watching both his Isolated Power and BABIP take significant hits. He’s here because he’s still capable of changing the complexion of a game (or series) if his 47.5 hard contact rate can merge with his 39.4% fly ball rate at the opportune time. If theres a 10/14 DFS MLB NLCS Showdown difference maker, he is it.

Utility

Kirk Suzuki, C, WAS (DK $11,100, FD $4500)

I wouldn’t be surprised if Yan Gomes gets the start behind the plate for the Nats, but Suzuki is there for defense. Sleeper play for the 10/14 DFS MLB Showdown sleeper? Yup. He’s hitless in the postseason (0-for-16), a strange reason why I find him appealing. Sooner or later, a lagging bat will make up for lost time, so don’t be shocked if Suzuki rises up.

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6 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

10/12 DFS MLB Two-Game Slate & Showdown Picks

6 years ago

written by

The 10/12 DFS MLB Two-Game Slate is about the Nationals seeking to move one step closer to really loving Life After Bryce (WAS @ STL, 4:08 ET, FS1) while Act 1 of Clash of the Titans goes down in H-Town (NYY @ HOU, 8:08 ET, FOX).

Showdown and Hitting picks follow, and I’m pretty sure we won’t forget the four starting hurlers in question.

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10/12 DFS Showdown: WAS @ STL

MVP/Captain (2X)

Trea Turner, SS, WAS (DK $14700, FD $9500)

Runs will be at a premium today, so I’ll go with the one player capable of creating runs on his own. Four of Turner’s eight postseason hits are for extra bases, and I feel today’s the day he becomes aggressive on the basepaths.

All-Star (1.5X)

Adam Eaton, OF, WAS (DK $7600, FD $7000)

Eaton has a great track record against Cards starter Adam Wainright, having recorded a .545 batting average (6-for-11) with a homer and a 1.455 OPS. Yes, he’s scuffling thus far in the postseason (.167 batting average, .560 OPS), but the thought of hitting Wainright is the wake-up call his bat needs.

Utility

Ryan Zimmerman, 3B, WAS (DK $7000, FD $6500)

Like Eaton, Zimmerman has a strong record against Wainright. In 34 career at-bats, Zimmerman has hit .353 with a pair of homers and a 1.048 OPS. He’s facing Wainright at a time where Zimmerman has five hits in his last three games while showing there’s still some pop left in his bat with a homer and a double among his hits.

Utility

Tommy Edman, 3B, STL (DK $9000, FD $7000)

You’re going to be hard-pressed to find anyone in the Cards lineup with success against Max Scherzer, but Edman — albeit a brief sample — is an exception, having gone 2-for-3 with a homer off the Nats ace. He was hitless in Game 1 yet had four hits in the previous two games. Edman is more dominant at home, where he’s posted a .959 OPS with four homers and 26 runs scored at Busch Stadium.

Utility

Yadier Molina, C, STL (DK $4400, FD $5000)

I’ve had a decent rate of success with catchers in the postseason, so consider Molina a roll of the dice. Molina is hitting just .130 thus far in the playoffs but there’s a feeling he can pay off here this afternoon. Sometimes, you have to play a hunch, and at this low a salary, I’ll take my chances.

10/12 DFS Showdown: NYY @ HOU

MVP/Captain (2X)

George Springer, OF, HOU (DK $15,000, FD $8000)

One of a handful of Astros who have hit well against Yankees starter Masahiro Tanaka, Springer has two homers and a 1.126 OPS in 14 at-bats against him. He also had three hits in Games 4 and 5 in the ALDS, a good sign that his postseason woes have moved past. Springer has a .931 OPS at home and a .998 OPS versus righties. Run with him tonight.

All-Star

D.J. LeMahieu, 3B, NYY (DK $9600, FD $7500)

LeMahieu knows a thing or two about Astros starter Zack Greinke, having faced him 58 times as a member of the Rockies while Greinke was bouncing around the National League. He’s hit Greinke with a .293 average with a homer among his six extra base hits against him. LeMahieu has tagged Astros pitching with a .429/.480/.905 with a pair of dingers and six runs scored.

Utility

Gleyber Torres, 2B, NYY (DK $8200, FD $6500)

Youth be damned, Torres hit a sizzling .417 in the ALDS with four of his five hits going for extra bases. He hasn’t fared well against the Astros this season (.708 OPS) but does have a pair of homers against them. He’d be my early choice for ALCS MVP. Clip and save that last sentence.

Utility

Yuli Gurriel 1B, HOU (DK $7800, FD $5500)

One of the most impressive LDS facts was Gurriel not striking out in 19 at-bats. He’s lethal at Minute Maid Park, where he’s gone .311/.351/.615 with 19 homers. While he owns just one hit in eight at-bats against Tanaka, Gurriel has the look of a silent assassin waiting to strike big time for us DFSers.

Utility

Carlos Correa, SS, HOU (DK $8000, FD $7000)

C-Squared has struggled in the postseason, but the sight of facing Tanaka should make his bat happy. Correa has two homers and an 1.108 OPS in 15 at-bats against Tanaka. He thrives at home (1.034 OPS) and is the one overdue bat in the Astros’ lineup that could change the complexion of this series if he gets hot.

10/6 DFS Pitching Picks

1) Max Scherzer, WAS @ STL (DK $10,200, FD $11,400)

The easy lay-up among today’s pitchers, I really don’t have to explain why, but here goes: 12.69 K/9, 1.72 BB/9 and an 0.94 HR/9. We’re done here.

2) Zack Greinke, HOU vs. NYY (DK $7,500, FD $8,700)

There’s reason to be hesitant about Greinke after he was lit up for three homers by the Rays in Game 3 of the ALDS. His season total of 0.91 HR/9 suggests it was a blip on the radar, along with his 36.2% hard contact rate.

3) Adam Wainwright, STL vs. WAS (DK $6,100, FD $8,000)

A solid September has carried into October for Wainwright, who has an ERA of 3.06 at home since the start of the 2015 season. There’s risk with a hurler who has allowed opponents to record a .286 batting average against him since the All-Star break, but Wainwright’s postseason experience will help attract users.

4) Masahiro Tanaka (DK $7,300, FD $8,000)

Tanaka has a 2.25 ERA against the Astros this season, yet it was the only time he saw them. I’m not sure I’d want to risk him, even with the friendly salary.

10/12 DFS Hitters

10/12 DFS C: Robinson Chirinos, HOU vs. NYY (DK $3600, FD $2500)

Plug him into the eighth spot, A.J. Hinch. After all, Chirinos does have an .887 OPS with nine homers when placed there.

10/12 DFS 1B: Ryan Zimmerman, WAS at STL (DK $3700, FD $3000)

Going strictly on the track record he has against Adam Wainwright. He’ll be a value play that allows you spend big elsewhere.

10/12 DFS 2B: Jose Altuve, HOU vs. NYY (DK $4700, FD $4300)

Crushed it with a 1.281 OPS in the ALDS. Increased hard contact rate makes Altuve a dangerous presence. If you’re looking at an Astros stack, make sure Altuve is in it.

10/12 DFS 3B: Alex Bregman, HOU vs. NYY (DK $5100, FD $4100)

Damned if his 17.2% walk rate and 12% strikeout rate isn’t the most impressive things of the 2019 season. That 44.7% hard contact rate is lethal.

10/12 DFS SS: Carlos Correa, HOU vs. NYY (DK $4100, FD $3700)

Career-best .289 Isolated Power falls under the radar due to his injuries. Correa also had a career-high 36.9% fly ball rate and a scary good 25.6 HR/FB rate.

10/12 DFS OF: Aaron Judge, NYY at HOU (DK $9000, FD $8500)

Somewhat quiet in the ALDS, Judge had four hits in 10 at-bats in Minute Maid Park. He’s another overdue bat that will pay off.

10/12 DFS OF: Juan Soto, WAS at STL

He’s homered twice in the postseason despite a tepid .259 batting average.

10/12 DFS OF: Marcell Ozuna, STL vs. WAS

Friday night aside, Ozuna has mashed it in the postseason, going .360/.407/.727.

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6 years ago 0 comments

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

10/9 MLB DFS Two-Game Postseason Slate and Showdown Picks

jason mezrahi 6 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

We’ve reached the decisive Game 5 for both NLDS matchups on 10/9 DFS — here are my picks for the two-game slate and the featured Showdown.

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10/9 DFS Two-Game Slate (DK& FD)

The games: St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves (5:02 p.m.), Washington Nationals atLos Angeles Dodgers (8:37 p.m.)

10/9 DFS SP Strategy and Picks

I’m focused on the home favorite for SP1 here – since home-fieldadvantage in the MLB playoffs is a real and palpable thing. The DK pricing is,thankfully, soft enough for us to find plenty of big bats. For SP2, I’ll have alittle of both Jack Flaherty (consistent value at his price) and MikeFoltynewicz, who was excellent in his start on Oct. 4. Startingpitching has been really great in the postseason thus far, so youreally can’t go wrong with any combo.

SP1: Walker Buehler (DK $9,000, FD $10,300)

Buehler has the highest upside of any pitcher on the slate, evenif his leash is a little shorter than Strasburg’s. For the $400 discount, he’smy SP1 – and I’m fine with him being chalky.

SP2: Jack Flaherty (DK $7,400, FD $9,600)

Flahery has been one of the best pitchers in baseball since the All-star break (his .189 wOBA in the second half is almost beyond belief) and he went 117 pitches in his last start, which tells me the Cards are going to let him win or lose this thing.

10/9 DFS Hitters

10/9DFS C: Yadier Molina, STL (DK $3,900, FD $2,800)

Molina was thehero on Monday for the Cards, and while he’s back on the road for decuisiveGame 5, this veteran has had success against Folty in a limited sample (7-for-18,.432 wOBA with a HR) Pivot: Brian McCann (DK $3,200)

10/9DFS 1B: Paul Goldschmidt, STL (DK $4,900, FD $3,800)

He came through for us on Monday so I’m going back to the well inGame 5. Goldy is one of the best fantasy assets in baseball over the past fiveyears and he’s a complete offensive player who can rack up the XBH. The pricehas come up a bit but he’s worth the extra expense. Pivot: Freddie Freeman

10/9DFS 2B: Max Muncy, LAD (DK $4,500, 3B on FD $3,800)

Muncy is having an electric postseason with a couple homers andthree games scoring over 20 DK points. He’s eligible at 1B if you’re stacking Dodgersand want to use Gavin Lux at second base for the discount. Pivot: Gavin Lux

10/9DFS 3B: Justin Turner, LAD (DK $4,200, FD $3300)

I’m not a hugebeliever in BvP, but a small sample analysis within the small sample frameworkof the playoffs makes some sense. The track record against Strasburg and RHPsin general is a good one, and Turner((142 wRC+ and .294 ISO this season) has homered in his last twogames this postseason. Pivot: Anthony Rendon/Tommy Edman

10/9DFS SS: Corey Seager, LAD (DK $3,900, FD $2,900)

There’s plenty of risk starting Seageragainst Strasburg, but he’s an exciting young player who came alive in Septemberwith a .304/.337/.646 slash line, seven homersand 23 RBI during the final month, and he has a clear affinity for playoffbaseball. He’s been getting hits but hasn’t posted the big lien yet. Today couldbe the day he breaks through with some XBH. Pivot: Paul DeJong

10/9DFS OF: Juan Soto, WAS (DK $4,500, FD $3,700)

I won’t have to much exposure to the Nationals in this game, butone player who’s worth the risk is Soto – who had a monster Game 3 and appearsready for the big stage of a Game 5. If the Nats pull this out, he’s going tohave a lot to do with it. Pivot: Clay Bellinger

10/9DFS OF: Marcell Ozuna, STL (DK $4,900, FD $3,900)

There isn’t a hotter hitter in the NL postseason than Ozuna, whohas multi-hit games in all of the NLDS tilts thus far and is coming off atwo-homer game in Game 4. He’ll be extremely chalky on this two-game slate becausehis game logs will attract plenty of attention from the masses – but you shouldhave some exposure to this slugger who hit 31 homers in 2019 and now has a.275/.341/.650 slash line against the Braves in 2019 if you count thepostseason. Pivot: Ronald Acuna

10/9DFS OF: Matt Joyce, ATL (DK $3,200, FD $2,300)

We need to find some value somewhere, so Joyce fits the bill if he’sin the starting lineup. If he’s not, you’ll have a difficult decision to make –since it could be difficult to find a viable DK OF under $3,500. Pivot: DexterFowler (DK $3,900)

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10/9DFS Featured Single-Game (8:37 ESTon FD)

Hitters only – so we can focus on the Dodgers bats we like andplay one or two Nats hitters with upside. We’ll slap the modestly priced JustinTurner in the MVP spot, since many will be drawn to the higher priced bats at 2x.

SampleFD lineup:

MVP (2x) – J. Turner ($7,000) – If he homers, he’ll pay off

All-Star (1.5x) – T. Turner ($8,500) – His ability to steal basesat will could be huge today.

UTIL – M. Muncy ($8,000)

UTIL – C. Seager ($6,500)

UTIL – G. Lux ($5,000)

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10/9DFS Featured Showdown (8:37 p.m.on DK)

It may be beneficial to play one or two Dodgers and/or Nats batswe like, somehow fit in Buehler and pick an off-the-wall bench player on eitherteam to come through with a big hit late in the game.

Sample DK Showdown Lineup:

Captain (1.5x) – J. Turner ($12,000)

UTIL – W. Buehler ($11,000)

UTIL – G. Lux ($4,200)

UTIL – M. Muncy ($9,000)

UTIL – J. Soto ($8,800)

UTIL – B. Dozier ($5,000)

6 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

10/6 DFS MLB Picks: Two-Game N.L. Slate

6 years ago

written by

The 10/6 DFS MLB Picks is all about the National League Divisional Series. Get your Fantasy football lineups in and let’s focus on making the long green, diamond style.

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10/6 DFS Showdown

Using the FanDuel template, it’s 2x the points for MVP, 1.5x the points for All-Star and regular production for the three Utility spots. October is filled with unsung efforts, something to keep in mind when filling out the Utility roles. Look for players who’ve had success this season against a particular team, along with taking a gander of recent production. I’m a strong believer in OPS, more so if a strong OPS is bolstered with stolen bases.

Atlanta at St. Louis Showdown Picks

MVP (2x): Freddie Freeman, 1B, ATL, $9500: Slow start in the first two games, but he’s a .381/.458/.714 hitter versus the Cards this season with a pair of homers and six runs scored.

All-Star (1.5x): Marcell Ozuna, OF, STL, $8000: Went 4-for-8 in first two games of NLDS. Does have a pair of regular season homers off Atlanta pitching.

Utility: Brian McCann, C, ATL: Has produced 12.2 FanDuel points in the first two games. No homers but did have a .357/.412/.357 slash line against the Cards in the regular season.

Utility: Tommy Edman, 3B, STL, $7000: Scoreless in Game 2 yet had produced 43.9 FD points in his previous three games. Has a .929 OPS when batting second in the order.

Utility: Yadier Molina, C, STL, $5500: The pop may be waning, but Molina was an effective .284 when batting sixth with seven of his 10 homers coming from that spot in the order.

LA Dodgers at Washington Showdown Picks

MVP (2x): Trea Turner, SS, WAS, $9000: Three of his first four postseason hits have been for extra bases. Has a .511 slugging percentage at home and is 15-for-16 (93.7%) in stolen bases at Nationals Park.

All-Star (1.5x): Max Muncy, 2B, LAD, $8000: Owns a career homer off Nats starter Anibal Sanchez. Is more effective on the road, sporting a .939 OPS with 22 homers and 56 RBI outside of Dodger Stadium.

Utility: Howie Kendrick, 1B, WAS, $5500: Like Turner, Kendrick will be more valuable when at home. Went .374/.430/.638 (1.068 OPS) with 10 homers at Nationals Park.

Utility: Corey Seager, SS, LAD, $6000: Homered at Nationals Park this season. The pop was there in September (.938 OPS, seven homers). Is overdue for a breakout, so roll the dice and run with him.

Utility: Will Smith, C, LAD, $6500: Mashed righties to a 1.019 OPS with 12 of his 15 homers coming off them. Had four hits in six at-bats with a homer and two doubles at Nationals Park.

10/6 DFS Pitching Picks

1) Mike Soroka, ATL at STL (DK $7,500, FD $8,700)

The best of a pretty uninspiring quartet of pitchers, Sorka should be good for about 27-30 points at FanDuel and 14-17 points at DraftKings. His ability to keep the ball in the yard (0.72 HR/9) is bolstered by his low 2.11 BB/9 rate. Sorka is stingy when it comes to allowing fly balls (25.3%).

2) Hyun-Jin Ryu, LAD at WAS (DK $8,900, FD $10,300)

Road ERA of 2.72 is solid, but it’s not the 1.93 ERA Ryu posted this season at Dodger Stadium. Goes from averaging better than a strikeout per inning at home to just 69 Ks over 89.1 innings on the road. However, Ryu allowed just one run in 14.2 frames of work versus the Nationals this season.

3) Adam Wainright, STL vs. ATL (DK $8,500, FD $5,700)

It’s easy to forget Wainright still averaged 8.06 K/9 and held batters to a 28.7% fly ball rate. The 41.9% hard contact rate is a bit concerning, but I’ll put faith in Wainright’s 3.38 ERA and 1.103 WHIP over 12 previous NLDS outings.

4) Anibal Sanchez, WAS vs. LAD (DK $5,500, FD $7,400)

Sneaky enough to run with. Sanchez has three starts of at least 40 points at FanDuel dating back to August 23, with two of his last three starts producing 40 and 46 FD points, respectively. The Dodgers will be hard-pressed to get solid contact off Sanchez, who limited batters to a 31.6 hard contact rate off him this season.

10/6 DFS Hitters

10/6 DFS C: Will Smith, LAD (DK $4,100, FD $3,400)

Off to a slow start in the NLDS, Smith is the best bet to score the most points at the position. I’d pay a little extra to assure his spot in the lineup. Again, keep in mind he did hit well the previous time he played at Nationals Park.

10/6 DFS 1B: Ryan Zimmerman, WAS (DK $3,600, FD $2,600)

Owns a .966 OPS versus left-handers. He’s going to offer enough value to allow DFSers to spend liberally elsewhere.

10/6 DFS 2B: Ozzie Albies, ATL (DK $4,400, FD $3,400)

I’ll pay just enough to get Albies and his 42.3% hard contact rate against Wainright. Albies also has a 25.5% line drive rate.

10/6 DFS 3B: Matt Carpenter, STL (DK $3,900, FD $2,900)

The oldest son of my high school baseball coach had two homers, five RBI and a 1.096 OPS in 23 at-bats versus Braves pitching this season.

10/6 DFS SS: Corey Seager, LAD (DK $4,000, FD $3,200)

Falls into my “I have a hunch about this guy” section of the 10/6 DFS MLB Picks.

10/6 DFS OF: Ronald Acuna, Jr., ATL (DK $5,500, FD $4,200)

Slightly better OPS (.885) on the road than at home (.880). Acuna did hit 23 of his 41 homers outside of Atlanta.

10/6 DFS OF: Nick Markakis, ATL (DK $3,600, FD $2,800)

Has five hits in nine career at-bats versus Wainright (1.525 OPS).

10/6 DFS OF: Joc Pederson, LAD (DK $4,400, FD $3,300)

Potential to explode: Pederson has four games of at least 22.90 FD points since September 25.

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6 years ago 0 comments

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