10/12 DFS MLB Two-Game Slate & Showdown Picks

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The 10/12 DFS MLB Two-Game Slate is about the Nationals seeking to move one step closer to really loving Life After Bryce (WAS @ STL, 4:08 ET, FS1) while Act 1 of Clash of the Titans goes down in H-Town (NYY @ HOU, 8:08 ET, FOX).

Showdown and Hitting picks follow, and I’m pretty sure we won’t forget the four starting hurlers in question.

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10/12 DFS Showdown: WAS @ STL

MVP/Captain (2X)

Trea Turner, SS, WAS (DK $14700, FD $9500)

Runs will be at a premium today, so I’ll go with the one player capable of creating runs on his own. Four of Turner’s eight postseason hits are for extra bases, and I feel today’s the day he becomes aggressive on the basepaths.

All-Star (1.5X)

Adam Eaton, OF, WAS (DK $7600, FD $7000)

Eaton has a great track record against Cards starter Adam Wainright, having recorded a .545 batting average (6-for-11) with a homer and a 1.455 OPS. Yes, he’s scuffling thus far in the postseason (.167 batting average, .560 OPS), but the thought of hitting Wainright is the wake-up call his bat needs.

Utility

Ryan Zimmerman, 3B, WAS (DK $7000, FD $6500)

Like Eaton, Zimmerman has a strong record against Wainright. In 34 career at-bats, Zimmerman has hit .353 with a pair of homers and a 1.048 OPS. He’s facing Wainright at a time where Zimmerman has five hits in his last three games while showing there’s still some pop left in his bat with a homer and a double among his hits.

Utility

Tommy Edman, 3B, STL (DK $9000, FD $7000)

You’re going to be hard-pressed to find anyone in the Cards lineup with success against Max Scherzer, but Edman — albeit a brief sample — is an exception, having gone 2-for-3 with a homer off the Nats ace. He was hitless in Game 1 yet had four hits in the previous two games. Edman is more dominant at home, where he’s posted a .959 OPS with four homers and 26 runs scored at Busch Stadium.

Utility

Yadier Molina, C, STL (DK $4400, FD $5000)

I’ve had a decent rate of success with catchers in the postseason, so consider Molina a roll of the dice. Molina is hitting just .130 thus far in the playoffs but there’s a feeling he can pay off here this afternoon. Sometimes, you have to play a hunch, and at this low a salary, I’ll take my chances.

10/12 DFS Showdown: NYY @ HOU

MVP/Captain (2X)

George Springer, OF, HOU (DK $15,000, FD $8000)

One of a handful of Astros who have hit well against Yankees starter Masahiro Tanaka, Springer has two homers and a 1.126 OPS in 14 at-bats against him. He also had three hits in Games 4 and 5 in the ALDS, a good sign that his postseason woes have moved past. Springer has a .931 OPS at home and a .998 OPS versus righties. Run with him tonight.

All-Star

D.J. LeMahieu, 3B, NYY (DK $9600, FD $7500)

LeMahieu knows a thing or two about Astros starter Zack Greinke, having faced him 58 times as a member of the Rockies while Greinke was bouncing around the National League. He’s hit Greinke with a .293 average with a homer among his six extra base hits against him. LeMahieu has tagged Astros pitching with a .429/.480/.905 with a pair of dingers and six runs scored.

Utility

Gleyber Torres, 2B, NYY (DK $8200, FD $6500)

Youth be damned, Torres hit a sizzling .417 in the ALDS with four of his five hits going for extra bases. He hasn’t fared well against the Astros this season (.708 OPS) but does have a pair of homers against them. He’d be my early choice for ALCS MVP. Clip and save that last sentence.

Utility

Yuli Gurriel 1B, HOU (DK $7800, FD $5500)

One of the most impressive LDS facts was Gurriel not striking out in 19 at-bats. He’s lethal at Minute Maid Park, where he’s gone .311/.351/.615 with 19 homers. While he owns just one hit in eight at-bats against Tanaka, Gurriel has the look of a silent assassin waiting to strike big time for us DFSers.

Utility

Carlos Correa, SS, HOU (DK $8000, FD $7000)

C-Squared has struggled in the postseason, but the sight of facing Tanaka should make his bat happy. Correa has two homers and an 1.108 OPS in 15 at-bats against Tanaka. He thrives at home (1.034 OPS) and is the one overdue bat in the Astros’ lineup that could change the complexion of this series if he gets hot.

10/6 DFS Pitching Picks

1) Max Scherzer, WAS @ STL (DK $10,200, FD $11,400)

The easy lay-up among today’s pitchers, I really don’t have to explain why, but here goes: 12.69 K/9, 1.72 BB/9 and an 0.94 HR/9. We’re done here.

2) Zack Greinke, HOU vs. NYY (DK $7,500, FD $8,700)

There’s reason to be hesitant about Greinke after he was lit up for three homers by the Rays in Game 3 of the ALDS. His season total of 0.91 HR/9 suggests it was a blip on the radar, along with his 36.2% hard contact rate.

3) Adam Wainwright, STL vs. WAS (DK $6,100, FD $8,000)

A solid September has carried into October for Wainwright, who has an ERA of 3.06 at home since the start of the 2015 season. There’s risk with a hurler who has allowed opponents to record a .286 batting average against him since the All-Star break, but Wainwright’s postseason experience will help attract users.

4) Masahiro Tanaka (DK $7,300, FD $8,000)

Tanaka has a 2.25 ERA against the Astros this season, yet it was the only time he saw them. I’m not sure I’d want to risk him, even with the friendly salary.

10/12 DFS Hitters

10/12 DFS C: Robinson Chirinos, HOU vs. NYY (DK $3600, FD $2500)

Plug him into the eighth spot, A.J. Hinch. After all, Chirinos does have an .887 OPS with nine homers when placed there.

10/12 DFS 1B: Ryan Zimmerman, WAS at STL (DK $3700, FD $3000)

Going strictly on the track record he has against Adam Wainwright. He’ll be a value play that allows you spend big elsewhere.

10/12 DFS 2B: Jose Altuve, HOU vs. NYY (DK $4700, FD $4300)

Crushed it with a 1.281 OPS in the ALDS. Increased hard contact rate makes Altuve a dangerous presence. If you’re looking at an Astros stack, make sure Altuve is in it.

10/12 DFS 3B: Alex Bregman, HOU vs. NYY (DK $5100, FD $4100)

Damned if his 17.2% walk rate and 12% strikeout rate isn’t the most impressive things of the 2019 season. That 44.7% hard contact rate is lethal.

10/12 DFS SS: Carlos Correa, HOU vs. NYY (DK $4100, FD $3700)

Career-best .289 Isolated Power falls under the radar due to his injuries. Correa also had a career-high 36.9% fly ball rate and a scary good 25.6 HR/FB rate.

10/12 DFS OF: Aaron Judge, NYY at HOU (DK $9000, FD $8500)

Somewhat quiet in the ALDS, Judge had four hits in 10 at-bats in Minute Maid Park. He’s another overdue bat that will pay off.

10/12 DFS OF: Juan Soto, WAS at STL

He’s homered twice in the postseason despite a tepid .259 batting average.

10/12 DFS OF: Marcell Ozuna, STL vs. WAS

Friday night aside, Ozuna has mashed it in the postseason, going .360/.407/.727.

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