There is no hangover from The Masters here, as we are back to talk all things golf DFS!
The crew is back this week as they deliver their favorite DFS picks, classic banter, and their famous Win Daily RBC Heritage First Round Leader picks!
Welcome to the International Break!
With any nations in action I will breakdown the best bets from around the world as well as touch on any DFS slate available for the international break. For Tuesday we are looking at early World Cup Qualifying matches in the AFC and UEFA Nation League action.
UEF...
After a four-year hiatus, it is finally time for the return of the World Cup! This year’s World Cup differs from every other World Cup we’ve ever seen as it is normally held during the summer with matches at what we would consider more standard times.
The main lock on these slates will be very early by DFS standards at 8:00 A.M. ET. Every day there will be three matches with the same starting times each following another. Similar to what we see in other competitions, lineups should be out for each team approximately an hour before the lock on each game. It is critical to pay attention and allow our lineups as much flexibility as possible.
Because the lineups may differ from match to match, it makes it incredibly difficult to accurately predict for DFS purposes. Therefore, we will do our best without actual lineups or for any slates beyond Mondays for now, any of the DraftKings or FanDuel pricing.
In addition to the very general breakdowns below, we will be providing more specific advice as lineups drop for each match in the Win Daily Discord, so stay tuned and be on your toes!
England (-270) vs Iran (+950)
Senegal (+550) vs Netherlands (-180)
USA (+135) vs Wales (+210)
England should be the chalk of the slate for a number of reasons. They are the top team and biggest favorite on the slate and their game kicks off the slate so we have the certainty of a lineup. On the high-end, Harry Kane will be popular leading the line. Raheem Sterling and Phil Foden look like they will fill out England’s front three and make great pivots off of Kane. If he were healthy, Netherlands Memphis Depay would be Kane’s primary alternative in the upper price range and has a higher floor due to his role on set pieces “corner kicks, free kicks”. I can’t say I’m an expert on how his absence will shake up the Dutch. However, Vincent Janssen is projected to lead the Netherlands line so at $7,100 I certainly have some interest at anyone in that role at such a relatively low cost.
The next place I’m plugging players in is at the defender position as I look for some wing defenders with high floors. We will have to see how England’s lineup shakes out but the likes of Kieran Trippier or Trent Alexander-Arnold if the latter draws the start, will be popular options. I feel like a traitor to my country suggesting him but Neco Williams has been a monster at the club level. As a result, William’s price seems very fair at $5,800 with him in more of a midfield role. Both anticipated American wing defenders Antonee Robinson and Sergino Dest also help fill out lineups without killing the budget.
Denmark (-270) vs Tunisia (+650)
Mexico (+190) vs Poland (+190)
France (-350) vs Australia (+1100)
I will generally be fading both Australia and Tunisia unless I really need the salary savings somewhere. My favorite play from this group of matches is Denmark’s Christian Eriksen. He truly is the lifeblood of the Danish team, handling all set pieces and penalty kicks. From there, you can pick one of his Denmark running mates up top or turn to the French. Expect any French attackers who start to be popular with Kylian Mbappe the chalkiest and Antoine Greizmann, Kingsley Coman, and Oliver Giroud “we will have to see the price” running behind him.
Perhaps the best contrarian value can be found in the Poland/Mexico matchup. This match is a tossup odds-wise but features some prominent offensive stars on both sides, particularly that of the Polish. If building multiple lines it might be wise to take one high-end build and then weave in Poland and do the same on another with Mexico. Once again we will have to see pricing when it comes out, but I’d expect no bargains to be found anywhere in the other two matches so I will keep my eyes on this one.
Germany (-210) vs Japan (+550)
Spain (-575) vs Costa Rica (+1500)
Belgium (-200) vs Canada (+550)
The only underdog I think has a shot here is Canada so unless I really need some punts, Japan and Costa Rica can be faded. I will probably want to start off with hard looks at Belgium midfielder Kevin De Bruyne and Germany midfielder Joshua Kimmich. I would prioritize the former of the two but he will undoubtedly come at a much higher cost. Both are tremendous sources of set-piece points and assists. KDB also has a little bit of goal-scoring upside as well. As far as the strikers/forwards go, I will probably be eyeing Spain assuming that the prices of guys such as Alvaro Morata, Fernan Torres, and Pablo Sarabia come in a bit cheaper than their Belgian and German counterparts. Costa Rica was a relatively strong defensive team in qualifying. However, this is a whole different ballgame and Spain is a -550 favorite.
Uruguay (-125) vs South Korea (+390)
Portugal (-275) vs Ghana (+800)
Brazil (-230) vs Serbia (+600)
I don’t see myself having much interest in either South Korea or Ghana here but Serbia does have some solid attackers for a +600 favorite. In very large field tournaments, a mini Serbia stack might be in play for a shot at a takedown “you can probably eat some chalk with this”. Portugal will likely get the highest ownership as the biggest favorite and with some heavy name recognition. However, I could see a higher-scoring affair in the late match, so I don’t mind Brazil pivots in tournaments. Neymar will be popular no matter what but don’t sleep on DFS machine Raphinha.
Qatar (+245) vs Senegal (+120)
England (-170) vs USA (+500)
The Netherlands (-150) vs Ecuador (+450)
This reminds me a bit of the Monday slate in the respect that we’re generally looking at England and the Netherlands again. However, I don’t mind trying to get a little sneaky with Senegal. I expect all of these matches to likely be low-scoring affairs/go under totals. Ideally, Memphis Depay will be back by this match as I think this is the sort of slate you can drop him in as your starting point/anchor and take it from there.
Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-soccer/
It has been quite a while since we had a normal EPL Saturday. There were multiple slates canceled following the death of Queen Elizabeth II, followed by an international break. However, the Premier League has finally returned and we have you covered for what should be at least a thorough if not truly exciting DFS slate.
Brentford (+120) at Bournemouth (+235)
Chelsea (-120) at Crystal Palace (+340)
Newcastle (+135) at Fulham (+205)
Brighton (+750) at Liverpool (-280)
Everton (+250) at Southampton (+115)
Wolves (+310) at West Ham (-105) – FANDUEL Only
DraftKings Forward
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang – Chelsea – $4,900 – Some of these Chelsea guys are just too cheap so I’ll start off on the low end. I think at that price you just jam in what should be chalk Aubameyang. If looking elsewhere, Luis Diaz is the cheapest of the three projected Liverpool favorites who really are all about the same. Elsewhere, it’s definitely strange taking a forward playing for the biggest underdog on the slate, with little goal-scoring upside “despite a very rare brace early in the season”. However, if looking for safe points, Brighton’s Pascal Gros is certainly in play.
FanDuel Forward/Midfielder
Mohammed Salah – Liverpool – $22 – Over on FanDuel, all of the Liverpool forwards are within a dollar or two in regards to price. With precious little to spend up on, this is where we can get some exposure to Mo Salah without comprising our lineup as much.
Pivots:
DraftKings – Neal Maupay – Everton – $5,700 “low-end”, Luis Diaz – Liverpool – $7,900 “mid-range”, Mohammed Salah – Liverpool – $9,300 “high-end”, Pascal Gros – Brighton – $9,100 “high-end”
FanDuel – Pascal Gros – Brighton – $16 “low-end”, Mattias Jensen – Brentford – $14 “low-end”, Luis Diaz – Liverpool “mid-range”, Ivan Toney – Brentford – $20 “mid-range”, Darwin Nunez – Liverpool – $21 “high-end”, Alex Mitrovic – Fulham – $21 “high-end”
DraftKings Midfielder
Demarai Gray – Everton – $6,800 – This is a solid matchup for Everton in a game that should feature goals. Given Grays’s floor relative to price, he is my first man in here. Looking at the game logs he has likely been a bit unfortunate in the goal/assist columns as well. Perhaps some positive regression will be in store on Saturday.
Pivots:
DraftKings – Kai Havertz – Chelsea – $5,100 “low-end”, Mathias Jensen – Brentford – $5,600 “mid-range”, James Ward-Prowse – Southampton – $9,400 “high-end”
Trent Alexander-Arnold – Liverpool– $6,100 – At this price, Trent Alexander-Arnold is a lock. He’s playing for the slate’s largest favorite with a considerable price drop from his salary range for at least the past year or so. Aside from one match against Everton where he was subbed out early, he has had double-digit DraftKings points in every match this season.
Pivots: Kieran Trippier – Newcastle – $6,700 “high-end”, Kenny Tete – Fulham – $5,300 “mid-range”, Aaron Hickey – Brentford – $4,200 “low-end”
Aaron Hickey – Brentford – $7 – There is no one else projected to start under $8 and we get great value with Hickey. Not only is he the cheapest option but has had double-digits FanDuel points or close in his last three matches. Now he gets to draw a decent matchup away at Bournemouth.
Pivots: Anyone cheap, punt position
Allison – Liverpool – $5,800/$14 – Liverpool’s defense has looked really shaky at times. Nevertheless, Allison has clean sheets in two of his last three matches, including a four-save effort against Everton. If you need additional DraftKings or FanDuel salary, he isn’t a must roster by any means. Just make sure your goalie correlates with your lineup.
Pivot: Bernd Leno – Fulham -$4,700/$9
Bet One: Liverpool/Brighton – Both Teams to Score – (-110) – 0.75 Units
Bet Two: Fulham Draw No Bet (+123 Bet Rivers/+115 ) – 0.5 Units
Bet Three: Fulham ML (+215 Bet Rivers/+205 ) – 0.25 Units
Bet Four: Everton Draw No Bet (+155 Bet Rivers/+140 ) – 0.33 Units
Bet Five: Double Chance – Everton or Tie (-134 Bet Rivers/-150 ) – 0.66 Units
Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-soccer/
It is time to once again travel to Europe and enjoy the biggest soccer club tournament in the world.
Welcome to the Second Match Day of the Champion’s League Group Stage! The second slate of the season for these 4 groups sees plenty of close matchups with one heavy favorite in Israel. The DraftKings slate will also see the addition of the Napoli at Rangers game that was moved from Tuesday to Wednesday.
RB Salzburg (+700) at Chelsea (-280)
RB Leipzig (+425) at Real Madrid (-180)
Sevilla (+110) at FC Copenhagen(+260)
Dortmund (+1100) at Manchester City (-525)
Benfica (+225) at Juventus (+125)
PSG (-650) at Maccabi Haifa (+1500)
Napoli (-115) at Rangers (+295)
Kylian Mbappé – PSG – $12,800 – PSG is the biggest favorite of the slate for a reason. Mbappé started off the group stage scoring 2 goals on 6 shots and finishing off the slate with 36.16DK. These numbers were against a powerhouse in Juventus, he should be able to put up even better numbers against an outmatched Maccabi Haifa squad. His teammates Neymar $12,100 and Lionel Messi $10,900 are also in play.
Erling Haaland – Manchester City – $22 – I don’t think Erling Haaland could have written a better start to his career at City. Through 8 official games, Haaland has produced 12 goals and 1 assist including scoring a brace in the opening group stage match against Sevilla. This game will also mark Haaland’s first game against his former team Dortmund.
DraftKings – Arkadiusz Milik – Juventus – $4,800 “low-end”, Eden Hazard – Real Madrid – $5,500 “mid-range”, Erling Haaland- Manchester City – $11,600 “high-end”
FanDuel – Youssef En-Nesyri – Sevilla – $18 “low-end”, Vinicius Junior – Real Madrid – $20 “mid-range”, Neymar – PSG – $21 “high-end”
Piotr Zielinski – Napoli – $8,700 – With the Napoli at Rangers game being moved to Wednesday, we get the pleasure of playing one of the best midfielders on DraftKings. In the opening game against Liverpool, Zielinski proved why he is considered a top-tier Serie A player. He finished the game with 2 goals and an assist while scoring 34DK which was second best on a slate filled with elite talent. He gets a much easier matchup against Rangers, who struggled to keep up with Ajax losing the game 4-0.
Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $20 – De Bruyne might be the best midfielder in the world at the moment. To start the season he is averaging a total of 4 chances created per 90 minutes which leads the team. KDB should have plenty of chances to create opportunities for his teammates in what will surely be a back-and-forth game against Dortmund
DraftKings – Weston McKennie – Juventus – $4000 “low-end”, Phil Foden – Manchester City – $8,500 “mid-range”, Vinicius Junior – Real Madrid- $9,300 “high-end”.
FanDuel – Julian Brandt – Dortmund – $14 “low-end”, Timo Werner – RB Leipzig – $16 “mid-range”, Mason Mount – Chelsea – $19 “high-end”
Sergio Ramos – PSG – $3,100 – With PSG being heavy favorites this is the perfect spot to pay down a bit and take a defender with attacking upside from set pieces and a high chance of a clean sheet bonus. Similarly, his teammate Achraf Hakimi $5,600 has the attacking and clean sheet upside, but at a significantly higher price.
Wesley Fofana – Chelsea – $3,600 “low-end”, Daniel Carvajal – Real Madrid – $4,500 “mid-range”, João Cancelo – Manchester City – $6,100 “high-end”
Reece James – Chelsea – $14– Reece James is a midfielder in a defender’s body. James sits second on the team in chances created only behind their creative midfielder Mason Mount who is only 1 ahead of him. A positive for James is that RB Salzburg is a team that attacks a lot so he will have plenty of space to get in behind the defense and put some crosses in.
Achraf Hakimi – PSG – $14, Antonio Rüdiger – Real Madrid – $10 “low-end”
Gianluigi Donnarumma – PSG – $5,900/$15 – Donnarumma should not face many shots this game, with Maccabi Haifa only managing two shots on goal in their opening group stage match. The upside for the Italian keeper is the clean sheet and win bonuses that should come easy for him this game.
Bet – Parlay – Real Madrid ML/ Napoli ML/ Chelsea ML (+291) DraftKings – 1 Unit
Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Ivan (idrago15) will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Ivan on Twitter @idragol15 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-soccer/
It was a shocking first week as the Champion’s League returned but what will MatchWeek Two have in store? Unlike last week, we do not have many large favorites on the slate.
The largest money line favorite is Porto at -255 followed by a very shaky-looking Liverpool side at -195.
Without further adieu, we will dig into the odds, cover the top DFS plays position-by-position and provide betting analysis.
Atletico Madrid (+145) at Bayer Leverkusen (+195)
Barcelona (+285) at Bayern Munich (-130)
Club Brugge (+700) at FC Porto (-255)
Ajax (+450) at Liverpool (-195)
Eintracht Frankfurt (+275) at Marseille (+100)
Napoli (-120) at Rangers (+320)
Mohammed Salah – Liverpool – $9,000 – We also have the option of Robert Lewandowski in a “revenge” match with his former team Bayern Munich. However, given his $11,900 price tag, I think it is a lot to pay for his role in a match where I doubt he will be scoring as many goals as last week when Barcelona was a -1400 money line favorite. Mohammed Salah much like Liverpool has been off to an awful start this season. Their defense is truly as atrocious as it has looked. However, there should be some offensive regression coming here. I expect this to be a relatively open game and Salah has been contributing enough chances and shots that he is due to find a net a couple of times.
Robert Lewandowski – Barcelona – $21 – With the prices flipped on FanDuel and Mohammed Salah more expensive than Lewandowski, think this is where we play him. It is important to note that Barcelona are underdogs here. However, the Bayern defense has been far from perfect. Furthermore, if there was ever anyone who knew how to exploit Bayerns defense, I’d put money on this man, who spent the better part of the last decade practicing with them.
DraftKings – Evanilson/Toni Martinez -Porto – $4,700/$4,100 “low-end”, Raphinha – Barcelona- $7,600 “mid-range”, Darwin Nunez – Liverpool – $8,800 “high-end”
FanDuel – Sadio Mane – Bayern Munich – $18 “low-end”, Darwin Nunez – Liverpool – $21 “mid-range”, Mohammed Salah – Liverpool – $22 “high-end”
Otavio “Questionable”/Matius Uribe – Porto – $5,200/$3,700 – Porto as mentioned at the very top of the article is the largest favorite on the slate. That said, the forwards are certainly cheap but neither is awe-inspiring. I still think they make for fine punts on this slate, as noted by their inclusion under “low-end” above. However, if healthy Otavio has the majority role on set pieces and serves as the preferred penalty taker. With a very affordable $5,200 price tag, Otavio may be the best Porto play on DraftKings if in. That said, he was badly hurt on Wednesday so may be out although has not been ruled out for the match as of the time of writing. Should he sit, Matius Uribe will likely assume his role. If that is the case we also pocket an extra $1,500 savings but either way both are underpriced.
Joshua Kimmich – Bayern Munich – $16 – This is a lot more affordable than Kimmich’s $10,000 DraftKings price. Given his role as Bayern’s primary set-piece taker along with FanDuel price, Kimmich is a cash game lock and should be very popular in all FanDuel formats.
DraftKings – Raphinha – Barcelona – $7,600 “low-end”, Piotr Zielinski – Napoli – $9,800 “mid-range”, Joshua Kimmich – Bayern Munich – $10,000 “high-end”.
FanDuel – Mateus Uribe – Porto – $15 “low-end”, Joshua Kimmich – Bayern Munich – $16 “mid-range”, Pietr Zielinski – Napoli- $20 “high-end”
Trent Alexander-Arnold – Liverpool – $6,500 – Often seen at a much higher cost on EPL slates, Liverpool’s primary set piece taker seems like a core piece on this slate. Despite Liverpool getting destroyed in MatchWeek One, TAA still managed 18.5 DraftKings points solely off of peripheral stats.
Hector Bellerin/Alejandro Balde – Barcelona – $3,800/$2,800 “low-end”, Alphonso Davies- Bayern Munich – $5,300 “mid-range”, Kostas Tsimakas – Liverpool – $6,200 “high-end”
Trent Alexander-Arnold – Liverpool – $15 – I hate to spend up on defense on FanDuel. However, it makes more sense on this slate than on most. Stars and Scrubs today seems like a losing strategy with so many question marks surrounding some of the spend ups.
Daley Blind – Ajax – $9, Denis Odoi – Club Brugge – $8
Alex Meret – Napoli – $5,500/$12 – Off to a strong start this season and playing behind a much-improved defense.
Bet – Club Brugge or Draw – Double Chance (+200/+180) Bet Rivers/DraftKings – 0.5 Units – The +1.5 is safer but at -160 on DraftKings, it lacks juice. If choosing between the two I think you pop a half unit on the double chance “maybe match it with the +1.5”. A -235 for Porto here just seems a little fishy particularly if down Otavio.
Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-soccer/
At WIN DAILY®, our motto is to “change your game and change your life.” We want to help you win that bet, parlay, and big DFS tournament and have some fun while you do. Our goal is to help you turn your love of sports into a profit center while playing responsibly and enjoying your time with a like-minded community.