It has been quite a while since we had a normal EPL Saturday. There were multiple slates canceled following the death of Queen Elizabeth II, followed by an international break. However, the Premier League has finally returned and we have you covered for what should be at least a thorough if not truly exciting DFS slate.
Saturday 10/1 EPL
Brentford (+120) at Bournemouth (+235)
Chelsea (-120) at Crystal Palace (+340)
Newcastle (+135) at Fulham (+205)
Brighton (+750) at Liverpool (-280)
Everton (+250) at Southampton (+115)
Wolves (+310) at West Ham (-105) – FANDUEL Only
10/1 EPL Top Plays
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang – Chelsea – $4,900 – Some of these Chelsea guys are just too cheap so I’ll start off on the low end. I think at that price you just jam in what should be chalk Aubameyang. If looking elsewhere, Luis Diaz is the cheapest of the three projected Liverpool favorites who really are all about the same. Elsewhere, it’s definitely strange taking a forward playing for the biggest underdog on the slate, with little goal-scoring upside “despite a very rare brace early in the season”. However, if looking for safe points, Brighton’s Pascal Gros is certainly in play.
Mohammed Salah – Liverpool – $22 – Over on FanDuel, all of the Liverpool forwards are within a dollar or two in regards to price. With precious little to spend up on, this is where we can get some exposure to Mo Salah without comprising our lineup as much.
DraftKings – Neal Maupay – Everton – $5,700 “low-end”, Luis Diaz – Liverpool – $7,900 “mid-range”,Mohammed Salah – Liverpool – $9,300 “high-end”, Pascal Gros – Brighton – $9,100“high-end”
FanDuel – Pascal Gros – Brighton – $16 “low-end”, Mattias Jensen – Brentford – $14 “low-end”, Luis Diaz – Liverpool “mid-range”, Ivan Toney – Brentford – $20 “mid-range”, Darwin Nunez – Liverpool – $21 “high-end”, Alex Mitrovic – Fulham – $21 “high-end”
Midfielder “DraftKings Only”
Demarai Gray – Everton – $6,800 – This is a solid matchup for Everton in a game that should feature goals. Given Grays’s floor relative to price, he is my first man in here. Looking at the game logs he has likely been a bit unfortunate in the goal/assist columns as well. Perhaps some positive regression will be in store on Saturday.
DraftKings – Kai Havertz – Chelsea – $5,100 “low-end”, Mathias Jensen – Brentford – $5,600 “mid-range”, James Ward-Prowse – Southampton – $9,400 “high-end”
Trent Alexander-Arnold – Liverpool– $6,100 – At this price, Trent Alexander-Arnold is a lock. He’s playing for the slate’s largest favorite with a considerable price drop from his salary range for at least the past year or so. Aside from one match against Everton where he was subbed out early, he has had double-digit DraftKings points in every match this season.
Aaron Hickey – Brentford – $7 – There is no one else projected to start under $8 and we get great value with Hickey. Not only is he the cheapest option but has had double-digits FanDuel points or close in his last three matches. Now he gets to draw a decent matchup away at Bournemouth.
Pivots: Anyone cheap, punt position
Allison – Liverpool – $5,800/$14 – Liverpool’s defense has looked really shaky at times. Nevertheless, Allison has clean sheets in two of his last three matches, including a four-save effort against Everton. If you need additional DraftKings or FanDuel salary, he isn’t a must roster by any means. Just make sure your goalie correlates with your lineup.
Pivot: Bernd Leno – Fulham -$4,700/$9
EPL Top Bets
Bet One: Liverpool/Brighton – Both Teams to Score – (-110) – 0.75 Units
Bet Two: Fulham Draw No Bet (+123 Bet Rivers/+115 ) – 0.5 Units
Bet Three: Fulham ML (+215 Bet Rivers/+205 ) – 0.25 Units
Bet Four: Everton Draw No Bet (+155 Bet Rivers/+140 ) – 0.33 Units
Bet Five: Double Chance – Everton or Tie (-134 Bet Rivers/-150 ) – 0.66 Units
Rich Masana is a real money daily fantasy player and sports bettor who plays DFS on DraftKings under the username “JetsFan303” and on FanDuel under the username “JetsFan3032”. Rich has been ranked as high as in the top 3% of all DFS players according to Rotogrinders.com and has lifetime profitability across all of the applicable betting sites since legalization in Colorado in 2020. Rich does not guarantee the accuracy of all advice and reserves the right to use different players on occasion as necessary to fit roster builds. You can reach him on Twitter @JFan303 or on Discord at @RichMasana