soccer

The Betting Game Plan

This will be a tough test for Manchester City but it is a game they need to win, in order to remain in the title race. As for Everton, I think that their good form continues. Therefore, we might as well roll the two team parlay.

12/19 EPL FanDuel Rankings

Forward/Midfield

1. Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $24
2. Aleksander Mitrovic – Fulham – $13
3. Phil Foden – Manchester City – $14 “Not currently projected to start”
4. Dominic Calvert-Lewin – Everton – $21
5. Ferran Torres – Manchester City – $17
6. Gabriel Jesus/Sergio Aguero – Manchester City – $20
7. Callum Wilson – Newcastle – $18
8. Richarlison – Everton – $19
9. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $21 “Not currently projected to start”
10. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang – Arsenal – $19
11. Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $18
12. Danny Ings – Southampton – $17
13. Ilkay Gundogan – Manchester City – $12
14. Alexandre Lacazette – Arsenal – $16
15. Gylfi Sigurdsson – Everton – $14

Defense

1. Matt Ritchie – Newcastle – $6
2. Emil Krath – Newcastle – $7
3. Aymeric Laporte – Manchester City – $8
4. Antonee Robinson – Fulham – $13
5. Yerry Mina – Everton – $11

Goalies

Karl Darlow – Newcastle – $10
Alphonse Areola – Fulham – $8

12/19 EPL DraftKings Rankings

Forward

Sergio Aguero – Manchester City – $6,700 “Not currently projected to start”
Willian – Arsenal – $7,200 “Set pieces”
Dominic Calvert-Lewin – Everton – $7,400
Gabriel Jesus – Manchester City – $7,900
Aleksander Mitrovic – Fulham – $6,800
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang – Arsenal – $7,000
Richarlison – Everton – $8,300
Callum Wilson – Newcastle – $8,100
Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $9,400 “Not currently projected to start”
Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $9,100
Alexandre Lacazette – Arsenal – $6,100
Danny Ings – Southampton – $7,800

Midfield

Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $11,000 “Set pieces”
Gylfi Sigurdsson – Everton – $7,100 “Set pieces”
Willian – Arsenal – $7,200 “Set pieces”
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang – Arsenal – $7,000
Ferran Torres – Manchester City – $6,300
Richarlison – Everton – $8,300
Phil Foden – Manchester City – $7,300 “Not currently projected to start”
Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $9,400 “Not currently projected to start”
Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $9,100
Ryan Fraser – Newcastle – $6,600 “Split set pieces”
Alex Iwobi – Everton – $4,600
Abdoulaye Doucore – Everton – $3,100

Defense

Yerry Mina – Everton – $2,800
Kiernan Tierney – Arsenal – $4,500
PUNT

Goalies

Karl Darlow – Newcastle – $4,900
Alphonse Areola – Fulham- $4,700

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the look out for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-soccer/

4 years ago 0 comments

Thursday 12/17 EPL DFS

Richard Masana 4 years ago

written by Richard Masana

This article focuses on 12/17 EPL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large.

Thursday 12/17 EPL Slate and DFS Gameplan

Well, we’re almost finished with EPL Matchweek 13/38, but we still have two games left.

Lowly Burnley (+375) will be travelling to Villa Park, where Aston Villa is a -137 home favorite. Both Jack Grealish and Ollie Watkins should both be fairly popular here. However, given that it is a two game slate, I don’t mind a little Nick Pope or Chris Wood “DraftKings price preferred”. After all, you’re either first or last.

Afterwards, Manchester United (-225) will look to get right against another bottom feeder in Sheffield United (+600).

Edinson Cavani has been ruled out, making the Manchester United lineup somewhat predictable assuming that Paul Pogba gets to rest up after consecutive starts. Bruno Fernandes will likely surpass Jack Grealish in ownership to be the highest owned player on the slate on both sites.

Bruno Fernandes GIF - BrunoFernandes Fernandes - Discover & Share GIFs

Notable Goal Scoring Odds

Burnley at Aston Villa – Ollie Watkins (+130), Keinan Davis (+185), Chris Wood (+210), Jack Grealish (+220), Bertrand Traore (+250), Anwar El-Ghazi (+250), Ashley Barnes (+280), Trezeguet (+290), Ross Barkley (+290), Jay Rodriguez (+330)

Manchester United at Sheffield United – Bruno Fernandes (+128), Marcus Rashford (+150), Anthony Martial (+160), Mason Greenwood (+195)

EPL Best Odds

*Two Leg Parlay – Manchester United (-225) + Aston Villa (-137) = (+151) total odds “DraftKings Sportsbook”

The Betting Game Plan

This another small EPL slate where the best bet is a straightforward two team parlay.

12/17 EPL FanDuel Rankings

Forward/Midfield

1. Bruno Fernandes – Manchester United – $23
2. Jack Grealish – Aston Villa – $20
3. Ollie Watkins – Aston Villa – $19
4. Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $21
5. Mason Greenwood – Manchester United – $16
6. Dwight McNeil – Burnley – $12

Defense

1. Matthew Lowton – Burnley – $7
2. Ben Mee – Burnley – $14
3. James Tarkowski – Burnley – $13
4. John Egan – Sheffield United – $9
5. Victor Lindelof – Manchester United – $8

Goalies

David De Gea – Manchester United – $14
Emiliano Martinez – Aston Villa – $12

12/17 EPL DraftKings Rankings

Forward

Ollie Watkins – Aston Villa – $8,600
Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $8,200
Anthony Martial – Manchester United – $6,800
Dwight McNeil – Burnley – $6,900 “Split set pieces”
Mason Greenwood – Manchester United – $6,500

Midfield

Bruno Fernandes – Manchester United – $10,600 “Set pieces”
Jack Grealish – Aston Villa – $10,000 “Set pieces”
Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $8,200
Ashley Westwood – Burnley – $5,900 “Split set pieces”
Dwight McNeil – Burnley – $6,900 “Split set pieces”

Defense

Alex Telles – Manchester United – $7,000
PUNT

Goalies

David De Gea – Manchester United – $5,800
Nick Pope – Burnley – $4,100

4 years ago 0 comments

Tuesday 12/15 EPL DFS and Best Bet

Richard Masana 4 years ago

written by Richard Masana

This article focuses on 12/15 EPL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large.

Tuesday 12/15 EPL Slate and DFS Gameplan

We are all the way up to EPL Matchweek 13/38, our first mid week slate of the season.

This slate only has two games, with a 1:00pm ET start time on both sites.

Coming off a disappointing loss this weekend, Chelsea (-143) will be looking to rebound against Wolves (+420). Wolverhampton’s star striker Raul Jimenez unfortunately suffered a recent skull fracture and remains out.

The loss of Jimenez’s presence should make Wolves formation even more defensively oriented than it already has been so far this season. When you combine Chelsea’s strong defense and goaltending, I expect this one to be lower scoring. The tiny 2.4 expected goal total is not surprising.

Following Chelsea at Wolves, we have what the British might call a laugher. Manchester City (-1250) comes in a ridiculously heavy favorite and it is just a matter of who is in the lineup. Particularly given the fact that this is the late game, and Man City tends to have some of the world’s most unpredictable lineups.

Regardless, I will be looking to get as much Man City exposure as possible in this spot. West Brom has absolutely no speed on defense and should get exploited. Given that both Ferran Torres and Phil Foden rested last game, as well as their relative youth, and I would expect to see them back in the starting eleven.

Notable Goal Scoring Odds

Chelsea at Wolves – Timo Werner (+150), Olivier Giroud (+165), Tammy Abraham (+195), Christian Pulisic (+220), Kai Havertz (+300), Fabio Silva (+370), Pedro Neto (+425), Daniel Podence (+440), Mason Mount (+460)

West Brom at Manchester City – Sergio Aguero (-205), Gabriel Jesus (-137), Raheem Sterling (-112), Kevin De Bruyne (+100), Riyad Mahrez (+105), Ferran Torres (+114), Phil Foden (+123), Bernardo Silva (+180)

EPL Best Bet

*Two Leg Parlay – Manchester City (-1250) + Chelsea (-143) = (-121) total odds

The Betting Game Plan

With a two game slate here, the best bet is a fairly straight forward two team parlay, featuring a pair of the EPL’s best teams.

12/15 EPL FanDuel Rankings

Forward/Midfield

1. Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $24
2. Ferran Torres – Manchester City – $16
3. Phil Foden – Manchester City – $15
4. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $19
5. Gabriel Jesus/Sergio Aguero – Manchester City – $21 “Neither currently projected to start”
6. Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $18 “Not currently projected to start”
7. Timo Werner – Chelsea – $20
8. Tammy Abraham – Chelsea – $18
9. Olivier Giroud – Chelsea – $17 “Not currently projected to start”
10. Mason Mount – Chelsea – $16
11. Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $16 “Not currently projected to start”
12. Pedro Neto – Wolves – $18
13. Bernardo Silva – Manchester City – $12
14. Kai Havertz – Chelsea – $15
15. Fabio Silva – Wolves – $10
16. Ilkay Gundogan – Manchester City – $9
17. Matt Phillips – West Brom – $6 “Set pieces”

Defense

1. Reece James – Chelsea – $11
2. Nelson Semedo – Wolves – $8
3. Kyle Walker – Manchester City – $8
4. Conor Coady – Wolves – $8
5. Semi Ajayi – West Brom – $7

Goalies

Ederson – Manchester City – $14
Edouard Mendy – Chelsea – $11

12/15 EPL DraftKings Rankings

Forward

Sergio Aguero – Manchester City – $5,800 “Not currently projected to start”
Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $7,300
Gabriel Jesus – Manchester City – $8,000 “Not currently projected to start”
Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $8,700 “Not currently projected to start”
Tammy Abraham – Chelsea – $6,700
Timo Werner – Chelsea – $8,300
Olivier Giroud – Chelsea – $7,800 “Not currently projected to start”
Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $7,100 “Not currently projected to start”
Pedro Neto – Wolves – $9,200
Bernardo Silva – Manchester City – $6,100 “Not currently projected to start”

Midfield

Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $10,500 “Set pieces”
Mason Mount – Chelsea – $7,000 “Set pieces”
Ferran Torres – Manchester City – $6,200
Phil Foden – Manchester City – $6,800
Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $7,300
Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $8,700 “Not currently projected to start”
Timo Werner – Chelsea – $8,300
Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $7,100 “Not currently projected to start”
Pedro Neto – Wolves – $9,200
Bernardo Silva – Manchester City – $6,100 “Not currently projected to start”
Kai Havertz – Chelsea – $5,100
Ilkay Gundogan – Manchester City – $5,000
Matt Phillips – West Brom – $4,400 “Set pieces”

Defense

Reece James – Chelsea – $5,700
Benjamin Mendy – Manchester City – $4,400
John Stones – Manchester City – $2,900
PUNT

Goalies

Ederson – Manchester City – $5,800
Edouard Mendy – Chelsea – $5,500

4 years ago 0 comments

Saturday 12/12 EPL DFS and Best Bet

Richard Masana 4 years ago

written by Richard Masana

This article focuses on 12/12 EPL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large.

Saturday 12/12 EPL Slate and DFS Gameplan

We are now up to EPL Matchweek 12/38, as get ready for another Saturday morning slate.

This slate can be found with all three games and a 10:00am ET start time on both sites.

We start with the worst game of the three, as West Brom (+195) will be traveling to Newcastle (+148). Perhaps it is a good opportunity to grab some extra sleep!

Matheus Pereira is out, so we might get Matt Phillips West Brom set pieces on DraftKings for $3,400. Of course, defenders and goalies are certainly in play here. If Phillips is not in, then set pieces will likely go to Conor Gallagher. In addition, be on the lookout for any cheap wing defenders when lineups come out here.

From there, the slate dramatically changes with the Manchester Derby. Manchester United (+340) heads across town to face Manchester City (-139). For a second consecutive week, a number of City starters had the opportunity to rest mid week in the Champion’s League.

Last season, Manchester United pulled off a pair of upsets to sweep the season series. This time around they will have to respond after a disappointing mid week elimination at the hands of RB Leipzig in the Champion’s League.

Afterwards, we have an intriguing late game hammer. Everton (+340) will host a surging Chelsea (-139) at Goodison Park. Unfortunately for the Toffees, James Rodriguez will be out.

Notable Goal Scoring Odds

West Brom at Newcastle – Callum Wilson (+138), Karlan Grant (+245), Charlie Austin (+270), Andy Caroll (+275), Callum Robinson (+295), Joelinton (+340)

Manchester United at Manchester City – Sergio Aguero (+108), Gabriel Jesus (+140), Raheem Sterling (+175), Kevin De Bruyne (+188), Riyad Mahrez (+210), Ferran Torres (+225), Phil Foden (+245), Edinson Cavani (+245), Bruno Fernandes (+255), Marcus Rashford (+295), Anthony Martial (+310), Mason Greenwood (+360)

Chelsea at Everton – Olivier Giroud (+120), Timo Werner (+125), Tammy Abraham (+140), Dominic Calvert-Lewin (+175), Christian Pulisic (+185), Kai Havertz (+260), Richarlison (+295), Mason Mount (+400)

EPL Best Bet

*Two Leg Parlay – Manchester City (-139) + Chelsea (-139) = (+196) total odds

The Betting Game Plan

This week, the best bet is a fairly straight forward two team parlay, featuring two of the EPL’s best teams. If looking to go a bit wilder, you can substitute Newcastle over Manchester City in the parlay. Either way, I’d keep Chelsea.

12/12 EPL FanDuel Rankings

Forward/Midfield

1. Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $22 “Set pieces”
2. Olivier Giroud – Chelsea – $12
3. Bruno Fernandes – Manchester United – $20 “Some set pieces”
4. Timo Werner – Chelsea – $21
5. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $17
6. Gabriel Jesus/Sergio Aguero – Manchester City – $19/20
7. Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $18
8. Ferran Torres – Manchester City – $16 “Not currently projected to start”
9. Phil Foden – Manchester City – $15 “Not currently projected to start”
10. Callum Wilson – Newcastle – $18
11. Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $14
12. Mason Mount – Chelsea – $15 “Set pieces”
13. Tammy Abraham – Chelsea – $17 “Not currently projected to start”
14. Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $18
15. Dominic Calvert-Lewin – Everton – $19
16. Edinson Cavani – Manchester United – $16 “Not currently projected to start”
17. Anthony Martial – Manchester United – $17
18. Mason Greenwood – Manchester United – $14
19. Richarlison – Everton – $17
20. Kai Havertz – Chelsea – $15 “Not currently projected to start”
21. Matt Phillips – West Brom – $6 “Set pieces”
22. Karlan Grant – West Brom – $10
23. Jonjo Shelvey – Newcastle – $9
24. Alex Iwobi – Everton – $8
25. Gylfi Sigurdsson – Everton – $12

Defense

1. Reece James – Chelsea – $10
2. Matt Ritchie – Newcastle – $5
3. Javier Manquillo – Newcastle – $7
4. Mason Holgate – Everton – $8
5. Semi Ajayi – West Brom – $7

Goalies

Karl Darlow – Newcastle – $10
Sam Johnstone – West Brom – $8
Edouard Mendy – Chelsea – $14

12/12 EPL DraftKings Rankings

Forward

Sergio Aguero – Manchester City – $5,900 “Not currently projected to start”
Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $7,200
Gabriel Jesus – Manchester City – $7,600
Olivier Giroud – Chelsea – $8,000
Timo Werner – Chelsea – $7,800
Tammy Abraham – Chelsea – $6,800 “Not currently projected to start”
Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $8,500
Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $7,400
Edinson Cavani – Manchester United – $6,700 “Not currently projected to start”
Anthony Martial – Manchester United – $5,800
Mason Greenwood – Manchester United – $5,300
Callum Wilson – Newcastle – $8,800
Dominic Calvert-Lewin – Everton – $8,300
Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $7,500
Richarlison – Everton – $8,100
Karlan Grant – West Brom – $4,500

Midfield

Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $10,700 “Set pieces”
Mason Mount – Chelsea – $7,100 “Set pieces”
Gylfi Sigurdsson – Everton – $5,900 “Set pieces”
Bruno Fernandes – Manchester United – $10,300 “Some set pieces”
Matthew Phillips – West Brom – $3,400 “Set pieces”
Ferran Torres – Manchester City – $6,100 “Not currently projected to start”
Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $7,200
Timo Werner – Chelsea – $7,800
Phil Foden – Manchester City – $7,300 “Not currently projected to start”
Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $8,500
Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $7,400
Mason Greenwood – Manchester United – $5,300
Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $7,500
Kai Havertz – Chelsea – $5,100 “Not currently projected to start”
Richarlison – Everton – $8,100
Alex Iwobi – Everton – $4,100

Defense

Javier Manquillo – Newcastle – $3,400
Semi Ajayi/Kieran Gibbs – West Brom – $2,500
Alex Telles – Manchester United – $6,000
Reece James – Chelsea – $5,500
Darnell Furlong – West Brom – $5,700
PUNT

Goalies

Karl Darlow – Newcastle – $5,100
Edouard Mendy – Chelsea – $5,300
Sam Johnstone – West Brom – $4,500

4 years ago 0 comments

Tuesday 12/8 UCL DFS and Best Bet

Richard Masana 4 years ago

written by Richard Masana

This article focuses on 12/8 UCL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large.

Tuesday 12/8 UCL Slate and DFS Gameplan

It’s time to put an end to the Champion’s League Group Stages with the first half of Matchweek 6/6, beginning at 3:00 p.m. ET.

Note: Projected starters are highlighted in bold. Goal odds of all potential starters are included, but if a player is not in the starting lineup, disregard his scoring odds.

PSG (-1000)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Kylian Mbappe (-245), Neymar (-195), Moise Kean (-137), Angel Di Maria (-104)

PSG finds themselves in a huge game, where they are heavily favored against lowly Istanbul Basaksehir. Collectively, they have the highest goal scoring odds on the slate, in a must win matchup. Their attackers should all be popular.

Chelsea (-345)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Timo Werner (-120), Tammy Abraham (-103), Olivier Giroud (-103), Christian Pulisic (+135), Kai Havertz (+180), Mason Mount (+280), Billy Gilmour (+390)

We will have to see how the lineup shakes out. I doubt that Olivier Giroud would get a third straight start at age 35. So chances are we see Tammy Abraham in the mix. With Hakim Ziyech’s injury, Mason Mount should have control of all the set pieces once again. Finally, young talent Billy Gilmour might be making his first start of the season. That is something to watch for if looking for a cheap flier, particularly on FanDuel for $7.

Dynamo Kyiv (-124)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Viktor Tsyhankov (+140), Vladyslav Supriaha (+160), Benjamin Verbic (+175), Gerson Rodrigues (+190), Clayton (+205), Franck Boli (+260)

Both teams in this game are absolutely terrible. However, the Hungarian team Ferenvcaros is even worse than Dynamo Kyiv. Thus, maybe this is a spot for some savings if you want to pick out a couple bodies from Dynamo to go stars and scrubs.

Manchester United (+200) at RB Leipzig (+120)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Alexander Sorloth (+175), Youssef Poulsen (+195), Bruno Fernandes (+195), Marcus Rashford (+225), Emil Forsberg (+275), Christopher Nkunku (+275), Dani Olmo (+275), Marcel Sabitzer (+275), Mason Greenwood (+280), Donny van de Beek (+450)

This is probably the best game of the day from a raw perspective. Both teams are dead even on nine points, so this is likely an elimination game. Manchester United will be without both Edinson Cavani and Anthony Martial. They will need another huge Champion’s League game from Marcus Rashford and/or Bruno and Mason Greenwood, to help them move on. Meanwhile, Leipzig is favored here and their attackers are certainly in play, as well.

Juventus (+235) at Barcelona (+110)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Leo Messi (+118), Cristiano Ronaldo (+123), Antoine Greizmann (+180), Alvaro Morata (+195), Martin Braithwaite (+205), Federico Chiesa (+235), Paulo Dybala (+240), Phillipe Coutinho (+260), Federico Bernardeschi (+275), Trincao (+375), Pedri (+375)

Messi v. Ronaldo. Barcelona will win this group either way on goal difference, so this one is simply for pride. It might be the last time these two ever face each other again, based on how the future plays out. However, this game might not exactly be the high paced shootout that it would’ve been years ago.

Sevilla (+130) at Rennes (+220)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Lucas Ocampos (+215), M’Baye Niang (+215), Luuk de Jong (+235), Carlos Fernandez (+235), Youssef En-Nesyri (+245), Oussama Idrissi (+275), Oscar Rodriguez (+375), Franco Vazquez (+420)

Sevilla clinched a spot in the Round of Sixteen but cannot win their group. Therefore, they have nothing to play for here and it will be all backups. This is a stayaway spot for me unless it’s last man in.

Best Bet

PSG and Chelsea (-245 total) DraftKings Sportsbook – 2 Units*

The Betting Game Plan

PSG and Chelsea come in as the big favorites on the slate and we should be able to rely on them here. Because the total odds aren’t great, feel free to add on something else from another sport to your parlay as desired.

12/8 UCL FanDuel Rankings

Forward/Midfield

1. Neymar – PSG – $23
2. Kylian Mbappe – PSG – $22
3. Leo Messi – Barcelona – $23
4. Cristiano Ronaldo – Juventus – $21
5. Moise Kean – PSG – $15
6. Bruno Fernandes – Manchester United – $19
7. Angel Di Maria – PSG – $16 “Not currently projected to start”
8. Tammy Abraham – Chelsea – $15
9. Christopher Nkunku – RB Leipzig – $15
10. Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $16
11. Mason Mount – Chelsea – $14
12. Mason Greenwood – Manchester United – $13
13. Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $18
14. Yussuf Poulsen – RB Leipzig – $18
15. Oscar – Sevilla – $11
16. Federico Chiesa – Juventus – $13
17. Alvaro Morata – Juventus – $19
18. Victor Tsygankov – Dynamo Kyiv – $16
19. Martin Braithwaite – Barcelona – $16
20. Antoine Griezmann – Barcelona – $18
21. Phillipe Coutinho – Barcelona – $16
22. Youssef En-Nesyri – Sevilla – $17
23. Marcel Sabitzer – RB Leipzig – $12
24. Oussama Idrissi – Sevilla – $11
25. Billy Gilmour – Chelsea – $7

Defense

1. Emerson – Chelsea – $6
2. Alessandro Florenzi – PSG – $8
3. Antonio Rudiger – Chelsea – $8
4. Kaio – FC Krasnodor – $9
5. PUNT

Goalies

Keylor Navas – PSG – $14
Edouard Mendy – Chelsea – $15 “If Kepa is in, it is a big downgrade”
Kepa – Chelsea – $5 “A big downgrade from Mendy but reflected in price”

12/8 UCL DraftKings Rankings

Forward

Kylian Mbappe – PSG – $9,800
Neymar – PSG – $12,800 “Set pieces if no Di Maria”
Leo Messi – Barcelona – $11,300 “Set pieces”
Moise Kean – PSG – $7,200
Angel Di Maria – PSG – $9,500 “Not currently projected to start, some set pieces if in”
Timo Werner – Chelsea – $9,600 “Not currently projected to start”
Tammy Abraham – Chelsea – $8,000
Cristiano Ronaldo – Juventus – $11,000
Edin Visca – Istanbul Basaksehir – $8,400 “Not currently projected to start, set pieces if in”
Christopher Nkunku – RB Leipzig – $8,900 “Some set pieces”
Yussuf Poulsen – RB Leipzig – $7,800
Alexander Sorloth – RB Leipzig – $6,700 “Not currently projected to start”
Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $7,500
Mason Greenwood – Manchester United – $5,500
Alvaro Morata – Juventus – $8,600
Federico Chiesa – Juventus – $7,400
Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $8,100
Antoine Greizmann – Barcelona – $7,300
Martin Braithwaite – Barcelona – $7,700
Youssef En-Nesyri – Sevilla – $6,500
Oussama Idrissi – Sevilla – $5,400
Oleksandr Zubkov – Ferenvcaros – $4,900 “Some set pieces”

Midfield

1. Neymar – PSG – $12,800 “Set pieces if no Di Maria”
2. Leo Messi – Barcelona – $11,300 “Set pieces”
3. Mason Mount – Chelsea – $6,900 “Set pieces”
4. Angel Di Maria – PSG – $9,500 “Not currently projected to start, some set pieces if in”
5. Timo Werner – Chelsea – $9,600 “Not currently projected to start”
6. Bruno Fernandes – Manchester United – $9,600 “Some set pieces”
7. Viktor Tsygankov – Dynamo Kyiv – $6,600
8. Edin Visca – Istanbul Basaksehir – $8,400 “Not currently projected to start, set pieces if in”
9. Christopher Nkunku – RB Leipzig – $8,900 “Some set pieces”
10. Oscar Rodriguez – Sevilla – $7,600 “Set pieces”
11. Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $7,500
12. Mason Greenwood – Manchester United – $5,500
13. Benjamin Bourigeaud – Rennes – $8,300 “Set pieces”
14. Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $8,100
15. Emil Forsberg – RB Leipzig – $6,200
16. Deniz Turuc – Istanbul Basaksehir – $6,100
17. Oleksandr Zubkov – Ferenvcaros – $4,900 “Some set pieces”
18. Billy Gilmour – Chelsea – $4,200
19. Paul Pogba – Manchester United – $4,000
20. Eduardo Camavinga – Rennes – $4,200

Defense

1. Angelino – RB Leipzig – $7,400 “Very expensive, some set pieces”
2. Alex Telles – Manchester United – $5,900
3. Tomasz Kedziora – Dynamo Kyiv – $4,000
4. Vitali Mykolensko – Dynamo Kyiv – $4,400
5. Artem Shabanov – Dynamo Kyiv – $2,600 “Not currently projected to start”

Goalies

Keylor Navas – PSG – $5,900
Edouard Mendy – Chelsea – $5,700 “Big downgrade if Kepa in goal”

4 years ago 0 comments

Saturday 12/5 EPL DFS and Best Bet

Richard Masana 4 years ago

written by Richard Masana

This article focuses on 12/5 EPL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large.

Saturday 12/5 EPL Slate and DFS Gameplan

We are up to EPL Matchweek 11/38, as it kicks off with the usual Saturday morning slate.

This slate can be found with all three games and a 10:00am ET start time on both sites.

It all begins with Manchester City (-910) hosting Fulham (+1900) as a very heavy favorite. Thankfully, this game is first, as we wouldn’t want to have to wait on the Manchester City lineups after lock. Kevin De Bruyne, Riyad Mahrez, and Gabriel Jesus rested midweek, making them the most likely attack options to start.

Afterwards, West Ham (+265) will be hosting Manchester United (+104). The Red Devils will be looking to rebound from a home loss to PSG mid-week in the Champion’s League.

Finally, Leeds United (+500) will be traveling to Chelsea (-195). The Blues have been rising up the EPL Table. However, Leeds United presents a legitimate challenge with their variety of weapons and unforgivingly open and offensive style of play. Chelsea, much like Manchester City, was able to rest a lot of starters mid-week in the Champion’s League, as backup striker Olivier Giroud stole the show.

Notable Goal Scoring Odds

Fulham at Manchester City – Gabriel Jesus (-141), Raheem Sterling (-114), Kevin De Bruyne (+108), Riyad Mahrez (+108), Ferran Torres (+118), Phil Foden (+128), Bernardo Silva (+205)

Manchester United at West Ham – Edinson Cavani (+155), Bruno Fernandes (+163), Marcus Rashford (+190), Anthony Martial (+200), Mason Greenwood (+240), Sebastian Haller (+250), Jarrod Bowen (+300)

Leeds United at Chelsea – Timo Werner (+105), Olivier Giroud (+110), Tammy Abraham (+130), Christian Pulisic (+160), Kai Havertz (+210), Hakim Ziyech (+210), Patrick Bamford (+235), Callum Hudson-Odoi (+290), Mason Mount (+320)

EPL Best Bet

*Three Leg Parlay – Manchester City (-910) + Chelsea (-190) + Barcelona (-275) = (+131) total odds

The Betting Game Plan

Let’s roll with a cross league parlay. We can start with Manchester City unless you want to leave them off for lack of value. From there, I like the -190 that we’re currently provided on the Chelsea money line. With fans returning to Stamford Bridge, this in form team should get a boost.

Moving to La Liga, with Messi rested once again mid-week, Barcelona can fill out our parlay. Cadiz’s goal differential suggests that some regression is in store for them.

12/5 EPL FanDuel Rankings

Forward/Midfield

1. Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $23 “Set pieces”
2. Bruno Fernandes – Manchester United – $22 “Some set pieces”
3. Gabriel Jesus – Manchester City – $19
4. Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $20
5. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $17 “Not currently projected to start”
6. Ferran Torres – Manchester City – $16 “Not currently projected to start”
7. Phil Foden – Manchester City – $15 “Not currently projected to start”
8. Olivier Giroud – Chelsea – $12 “Not currently projected to start”
9. Timo Werner – Chelsea – $21
10. Hakim Ziyech – Chelsea – $17
11. Tammy Abraham – Chelsea – $17
12. Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $22
13. Edinson Cavani – Manchester United – $17
14. Anthony Martial – Manchester United – $17
15. Mason Mount – Chelsea – $15
16. Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $14 “Not currently projected to start”
17. Patrick Bamford – Leeds United – $17
18. Mason Greenwood – Manchester United “Not currently projected to start”
19. Jack Harrison – Leeds United – $15
20. Raphinha – Leeds United – $12
21. Stuart Dallas – Leeds United – $10
22. Jarrod Bowen – West Ham – $15 “Some set pieces”
23. Kai Havertz – Chelsea – $15 “Not currently projected to start”
24. Callum Hudson-Odoi – Chelsea – $13 “Not currently projected to start”
25. Mateusz Klich – Leeds United – $14
26. Kalvin Phillips – Leeds United – $13

Defense

1. Joachim Andersen – Fulham – $7
2. Victor Lindelof – Manchester United – $8
3. Ruben Dias – Manchester City – $9
4. Robin Koch – Leeds United – $10
5. Angelo Ogbonna – West Ham – $10

Goalies

Ederson – Manchester City – $14
Edouard Mendy – Chelsea – $13

12/5 EPL DraftKings Rankings

Forward

Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $7,000 “Not currently projected to start”
Gabriel Jesus – Manchester City – $9,200
Timo Werner – Chelsea – $7,800
Olivier Giroud – Chelsea – $8,000 “Not currently projected to start”
Tammy Abraham – Chelsea – $6,900
Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $7,500
Edinson Cavani – Manchester United – $7,400
Mason Greenwood – Manchester United – $5,300 “Not currently projected to start”
Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $10,000
Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $7,300 “Not currently projected to start”
Patrick Bamford – Leeds United – $7,300
Ivan Cavaleiro – Fulham – $3,500
Jarrod Bowen – West Ham – $8,200 “Some set pieces”
Raphinha – Leeds United – $6,100
Callum Hudson-Odoi – Chelsea – $6,400 “Not currently projected to start”

Midfield

Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $10,200 “Set pieces”
Bruno Fernandes – Manchester United – $10,500 “Some set pieces”
Hakim Ziyech – Chelsea – $8,500 “Set pieces”
Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $7,000 “Not currently projected to start”
Timo Werner – Chelsea – $7,800
Phil Foden – Manchester City – $7,600 “Not currently projected to start”
Ferran Torres – Manchester City – $6,200 “Not currently projected to start”
Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $7,500
Mason Greenwood – Manchester United – $5,300 “Not currently projected to start”
Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $10,000
Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $7,300 “Not currently projected to start”
Ivan Cavaleiro – Fulham – $3,500
Mason Mount – Chelsea – $6,900
Jarrod Bowen – West Ham – $8,200 “Some set pieces”
Kai Havertz – Chelsea – $6,000
Raphinha – Leeds United – $6,100
Jack Harrison – Leeds United – $6,500
Mateusz Klich – Leeds United – $5,200
Kalvin Phillips – Leeds United – $4,900
Fred/Daniel James/Donny Van de Beek – Manchester United – $3,700/$3,900/$4,200

Defense

Alex Telles – Manchester United – $6,000
Reece James – Chelsea – $5,700
Ben Chilwell – Chelsea – $6,400
Benjamin Mendy – Manchester City – $4,500
PUNT

Goalies

Ederson – Manchester City – $5,900
Edouard Mendy – Chelsea – $5,800

4 years ago 0 comments

Tuesday 12/1 UCL DFS and Best Bet

Richard Masana 4 years ago

written by Richard Masana

This article focuses on 12/1 UCL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large.

Tuesday 12/1 UCL Slate and DFS Gameplan

It’s time for Matchweek 5/6 of the Champion’s League Group Stages with a six game slate beginning at 3:00 p.m. ET.

A couple of teams already have their spots in the Round of Sixteen all locked up. However, at least this week, only Bayern Munich has actually clinched their group’s top spot. As a result, they are the only team with nothing to play for and should be resting starters.

Note: Projected starters are highlighted in bold. Goal odds of all potential starters are included, but if a player is not in the starting lineup, disregard his scoring odds.

Atalanta (-560)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Duvan Zapata (-177), Luis Muriel (-139), Joseph Illicic (-132), Alejandro Gomez (-108), Remo Freuler (+188)

Atalanta is the biggest favorite on the slate by quite a lot. Their attacking players will be cash game staples.

Alejandro Gomez and Duvan Zapata will likely be the chalkiest but be sure not to sleep on Joseph Illicic if in! If not, Luis Muriel has fairly high goal scoring odds as well.

Man City (-162)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Gabriel Jesus (+135), Raheem Sterling (+160), Kevin De Bruyne (+195), Riyad Mahrez (+205), Phil Foden (+220), Fernan Torres (+220), Bernardo Silva (+325)

We will just have to see how the lineup shakes out here. Phil Foden has had the hot hand and Torres has been slowly coming along. Riyad Mahrez is coming off a hat trick this weekend, but is not projected to start. Kevin De Bruyne remains a strong play, as always.

Liverpool (-148)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Mohammed Salah (-110), Sadio Mane (+118), Diego Jota (+125), Divock Origi (+185), Robert Firmino (+195), Dusan Tadic (+240)

Liverpool has been fairly disappointing over the last week. First, losing at home to Atalanta 2-0 in the Champion’s League and then a 1-1 tie over the weekend against Brighton. If Diego Jota is in, he would be my favorite play from this team as he is red hot and scoring all their goals. However, in terms of stacking, they are a fairly hard team to trust at the moment.

Atletico Madrid (-120)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Joao Felix (+160), Angelo Correa (+235), Yannick Carrasco (+285), Marcos Llorente (+360)

Atletico Madrid was probably the most disappointing of any team last week. They were as big as a -560 favorite as of game time against Lokomotiv Moscow, only to put up a scoreless draw.

They have a chance to bounce back here against a Bayern Munich squad likely resting players with nothing to play for. Luis Suarez and Diego Costa are not in the match squad, making the Atletico lineup a bit more predictable.

Inter Milan (+120) at Gladbach (+205)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Romelu Lukaku (+110), Lautaro Martinez (+150), Alexis Sanchez (+170), Marcus Thuram (+200), Alassane Plea (+200), Breel Embolo (+210), Ivan Perisic (+255), Lars Stindl (+260), Patrick Hermann (+275)

I had mentioned how Atletico Madrid was disappointing last week. As for Inter Milan, their game turned out to be a total disaster, as well. First, they allowed an early penalty and then Arturo Vidal got a red card for cursing out the referee, leading to a loss against Real Madrid.

They will have a tough game here against a resilient Gladbach team. The Germans will finally be returning forward Alassane Plea “pronounced like Play-a” and will be at full strength.

Olympiakos (+230) at Marseille (+130)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Dario Benedetto (+175), Florian Thauvin (+180), Dmitri Payet (+265)

This group continues to churn out some bad games. With this one, the trend continues, as outside goaltenders and cheap defenders, there is not a lot to target. It would be amazing if we had diminutive Olympiakos midfielder Mathieu Valbuena, who is all of a sudden half price on DraftKings at $5,400. Unfortunately, he is out injured.

Marseille has a shot at their first win of UCL, but Olympiakos plays slow, grinding defense. Their attackers are really cheap on DraftKings, if looking for a very contrarian large field flyer.

12/1 UCL Best Bet

Atalanta and Man City (-110 total) DraftKings Sportsbook – 1.75 Units*

The Betting Game Plan

With so few huge favorites, this is one of the tougher UCL slates to bet on. However, we can lock in Atalanta and beyond that, since it is hard to trust Liverpool right now, let’s roll with Man City. Perhaps famous last words, but I guess we will find out.

12/1 UCL FanDuel Rankings

Forward/Midfield

1. Duvan Zapata – Atalanta – $19
2. Alejandro Gomez – Atalanta – $17 “Set pieces”
3. Joseph Illicic – Atalanta – $18
4. Luis Muriel – Atalanta – $14 “Not currently projected to start”
5. Kevin De Bruyne – Man City – $23 “Set pieces”
6. Phil Foden – Man City – $15
7. Diego Jota – Liverpool – $18 “Not currently projected to start”
8. Mohammed Salah – Liverpool – $22
9. Romelu Lukaku – Inter Milan – $19
10. Sadio Mane – Liverpool – $20
11. Gabriel Jesus – Man City – $20 “Not currently projected to start”
12. Raheem Sterling – Man City – $21
13. Ferran Torres – Man City – $17
14. Joao Felix – Atletico Madrid – $16
15. Lautaro Martinez – Inter Milan – $18
16. Alassane Plea – Gladbach – $17
17. Marcus Thuram – Gladbach – $15
18. Lars Stindl – Gladbach – $14
19. Dusan Tadic – Ajax – $18 “Some set pieces”
20. Yannick Carrasco – Atletico Madrid – $8
21. Eric Choupo-Moting – $7
22. Stefano Sensi – Inter Milan – $6 “Some set pieces”

Defense “PUNT”

1. Malang Sarr – Porto – $6
2. Rafael Toloi – Atalanta – $7
3. Daniel Hoegh – Midtjylland – $5
4. Alessandro Bastoni – Inter Milan – $7
5. Wilson Manafa – Porto – $7

Goalies

Marco Sportiello – Atalanta – $14
Jose Sa – Olympiakos – $8
Alexander Nubel – Bayern Munich – $5

12/1 UCL DraftKings Rankings

Forward

Duvan Zapata – Atalanta – $9,100
Joseph Illic – Atalanta – $8,600
Luis Muriel – Atalanta – $8,100 “Not currently projected to start”
Diego Jota – Liverpool – $9,200 “Not currently projected to start”
Mohammed Salah – Liverpool – $9,700
Romelu Lukaku – Inter Milan – $8,000
Sadio Mane – Liverpool – $8,900
Gabriel Jesus – Manchester City – $8,700 “Not currently projected to start”
Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $8,100
Joao Felix – Atletico Madrid – $8,000
Lautaro Martinez – Inter Milan – $6,900
Leroy Sane – Bayern Munich – $6,800
Thomas Muller – Bayern Munich – $6,100
Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $7,200 “Not currently projected to start”
Lars Stindl – Gladbach – $9,000 “Set pieces”
Marcus Thuram – Gladbach – $7,900
Alassane Plea – Gladbach – $9,400
Dusan Tadic – Ajax – $8,300 “Some set pieces”
Douglas Costa – Bayern Munich – $5,800 “Some set pieces”
Dario DeBenedetto – Marseille – $4,000
Eric Choupo-Moting – Bayern Munich – $4,700

Midfield

1. Alejandro Gomez – Atalanta – $9,800 “set pieces”
2. Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $10,200 “set pieces”
3. Joseph Illicic – Atalanta – $8,600 “Not currently projected to start”
4. Remo Freuler – Atalanta – $4,200
5. Phil Foden – Manchester City – $8,400
6. Ferran Torres – Manchester City – $6,900
7. Marcelo Brozovic – Inter Milan – $4,000 “Not currently projected to start”
8. Nicolo Barella – Inter Milan – $4,300
9. Diego Jota – Liverpool – $9,200 “Not currently projected to start”
10. Mohammed Salah – Liverpool – $9,700

Defense

1. Benjamin Pavard – Bayern Munich – $3,900
2. Neco Williams – Liverpool – $4,400
3. Tanguy Nianzou – Bayern Munich – $2,600
4. Andy Robertson – Liverpool – $6,200 “Set pieces”
5. Milan Skriniar – Inter Milan – $3,100
6. Any cheap PUNT

Goalies

Marco Sportiello – Atalanta – $5,800
Ederson – Man City – $5,500
Jose Sa – Olympiakos – $4,500

4 years ago 0 comments

Sunday 11/29 EPL DFS and Best Bet

Richard Masana 4 years ago

written by Richard Masana

This article focuses on 11/29 EPL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large.

Sunday 11/29 EPL Slate and DFS Gameplan

EPL Matchweek 10/38 continues on with a Sunday slate.

This slate can be found with a 9:00am ET start time on both sites. However, the DraftKings slate will only include the first two games, whereas FanDuel will include all three.

In the early game, Southampton (+280) hosts Manchester United (+100). Afterwards, Tottenham (+255) travels to Chelsea (+107) for the marquee matchup of the day.

Finally, Wolves (+265) head to Arsenal (+114) for the game which can only be found on FanDuel.

Notable Goal Scoring Odds

Note: Many of these players will not end up starting, but their goal odds are listed just in case. If they do not end up starting, disregard them. All odds listed +300 or below.

Manchester United at Southampton – Bruno Fernandes (+163), Edinson Cavani (+163), Marcus Rashford (+190), Anthony Martial (+190), Che Adams (+210), Mason Greenwood (+240)

Tottenham at Chelsea – Timo Werner (+143), Harry Kane (+162), Tammy Abraham (+165), Olivier Giroud (+165), Son Heung-Min (+225), Christian Pulisic (+225), Gareth Bale (+270), Kai Havertz (+290), Hakim Ziyech (+290)

Wolves at Arsenal – Pierre-Emerick Aubemeyang (+145), Raul Jimenez (+205), Alexandre Lacazette (+205), Eddie Nketiah (+240)

EPL Best Bet

*Two Leg Parlay – Draw No Bet – Manchester United (-220) + FC Barcelona (-420) = (-124) total odds

The Betting Game Plan

This is a tough slate as far as betting goes. As far as EPL, let’s roll with Manchester United to walk away from their game with points. Using the draw/no bet adds a layer of security. However, we will need to turn to La Liga for the rest.

From there, with Messi rested mid-week, Barcelona should be in a good spot against Osasuna at home. The money line on the Spanish side adds a solid second leg to our parlay.

11/29 EPL FanDuel Rankings

Forward/Midfield

1. Bruno Fernandes – Manchester United – $23
2. Harry Kane – Tottenham – $22
3. Son Heung-Min – Tottenham – $20
4. Timo Werner – Chelsea – $22
5. Hakim Ziyech – Chelsea – $16
6. Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $19
7. Anthony Martial – Manchester United – $17
8. Pierre-Emerick Aubemeyang – Arsenal – $20
9. Tammy Abraham – Chelsea – $19 “Not currently projected to start”
10. Raul Jimenez – Wolves – $18
11. Edinson Cavani – Manchester United – $16 “Not currently projected to start”
12. Pedro Neto – Wolves – $16
13. Che Adams – Southampton – $19
14. James Ward-Prowse – Southampton – $16
15. Alexandre Lacazette – Arsenal – $17
16. Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $15 “Not currently projected to start”
17. Mason Mount – Chelsea – $15
18. Mason Greenwood – Manchester United – $15
19. Eddie Nketiah – Arsenal – $14
20. Kai Havertz – Chelsea – $17
21. Gareth Bale – Tottenham – $16

Defense

1. Eric Dier – Tottenham – $10
2. Davinson Sanchez – Tottenham – $7
3. Rob Holding – Arsenal – $9
4. Victor Lindelof – Manchester United – $8
5. Conor Coady – Wolves – $8

Goalies

David De Gea – Manchester United – $14
Rui Patricio – Wolves – $8
Eduard Mendy – Chelsea – $11

11/23 EPL DraftKings Rankings

Forward

Timo Werner – Chelsea – $7,800
Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $6,900
Anthony Martial – Manchester United – $6,300
Harry Kane – Tottenham – $8,900
Son Heung-Min – Tottenham – $8,100
Edinson Cavani – Manchester United – $7,200 “Not currently projected to start”
Tammy Abraham – Chelsea – $7,300 “Not currently projected to start”
Mason Greenwood – Manchester United – $6,000
Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $7,400 “Not currently projected to start”
Che Adams – Southampton – $7,100
Gareth Bale – Tottenham – $6,800

Midfield

1. Bruno Fernandes – Manchester United – $9,800
2. Hakim Ziyech – Chelsea – $8,300
3. Timo Werner – Chelsea – $7,800
4. Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $6,900
5. Son Heung-Min – Tottenham – $8,100
6. James Ward-Prowse – Southampton – $7,500
7. Kai Havertz – Chelsea – $5,900
8. Mason Greenwood – Manchester United – $6,000
9. Fred/Daniel James/Donny Van de Beek – Manchester United – $3,100/$3,200/$3,400
10. Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $7,400 “Not currently projected to start”
11. Mason Mount – Chelsea – $6,700
12. Gareth Bale – Tottenham – $6,800

Defense

Reece James – Chelsea – $6,100
Ben Chilwell – Chelsea – $6,400
Alex Telles – Manchester United – $5,500
Sergio Reguilon – Tottenham – $4,800
PUNT

Goalies

David de Gea – Manchester United – $5,400
Eduard Mendy – Chelsea – $5,200

4 years ago 0 comments

Wednesday 11/25 UCL DFS and Best Bet

Richard Masana 4 years ago

written by Richard Masana

This article focuses on 11/25 UCL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large.

Wednesday 11/25 UCL Slate and DFS Gameplan

It’s time for the second half of Matchweek 4/6 of the Champion’s League Group Stages with a six game slate beginning at 3:00 p.m. ET.

As we already saw all of these teams square off a few weeks ago, there is a lot of existing data to work with.

Note: Projected starters are highlighted in bold. Goal odds of all potential starters are included, but if a player is not in the starting lineup, disregard his scoring odds.

Bayern Munich (-455)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Robert Lewandowski (-400), Serge Gnabry (-130), Leroy Sane (-113), Thomas Muller (+104), Leon Goretzka (+145), Kingsley Coman (+160), Corentin Tolisso (+260)

The defending Champions are coming off a disappointing draw with Werder Bremen over the weekend in the Bundesliga. However, they are the joint biggest favorites on the slate hosting Red Bull Salzburg.

Robert Lewandowski has the highest goal scoring odds on the slate and should be the chalk on both sites.

Joshua Kimmich remains out, my assumption is Thomas Muller will be taking his set pieces for DraftKings purposes.

Serge Gnabry, Leroy Sane, Kingsley Coman, and Muller, are all secondary options. We will just have to see how the lineups shake out.

Atletico Madrid (-455)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Luis Suarez (Goal odds not listed as presumably out with Covid-19), Joao Felix (+100), Diego Costa (+138), Angelo Correa (+160), Yannick Carrasco (+200), Marcus Llorente (+255)

That other team from Madrid comes in a very heavy favorite here at home against Lokomotiv Moscow. They come in with some momentum following a big win over Barcelona this past weekend in La Liga.

Luis Suarez is likely going sit out as he continues to recover from Covid-19, so DraftKings sportsbook did not list goal odds for him. I’d think this is a bump to Joao Felix, who will likely be flanked by Diego Costa and Yannick Carrasco, with Angel Correa an alternate option. I like Felix’s FanDuel price as compared to his hefty DraftKings salary.

As far as other plays, Koke and Kierian Trippier tend to dominate the set pieces. Marcus Llorente can always troll a goal.

Ajax (-335)

Key Scoring Odds: Dusan Tadic (+104), Lassina Traore (+104), Quincy Promes (+110), Zakaria Labyad (+128), Antony (+128), David Neres (+185)

Ajax is favored at home at lowly FC Midtjylland. They beat them 2-1 on the road the first time around and should be able to repeat here. At the time, Ajax was also down a few players due to Covid-19. Going back to the game stats, they were not quite as dominant as you might expect or desire for a -335 favorite.

Among the forwards, Dusan Tadic handles at least half the set pieces “Zakaria Labyad the rest” and would likely take any penalty kicks. Lassina Traore has been a monster in the Dutch league, the Eriedivisie, so his $7 price tag on FanDuel is laughable. The other two in the mix to start in the attack are David Neres, Labyad and Antony.

Real Madrid (+230) at Inter Milan (+110)

Key Scoring Odds: Romelu Lukaku (+102), Lautaro Martinez (+143), Andrea Pinamonti (+150), Alexis Sanchez (+160), Mariano Diaz (+200), Eden Hazard (+230), Ivan Perisic (+240), Arturo Vidal (+275), Vinicius Junior (+290), Marco Asensio (+310)

Real Madrid was able to beat Inter Milan the first time around 3-2 in Madrid. However, both Karim Benzema and Sergio Ramos will be out tomorrow. As a result, I like the Inter Milan side here to take care of business.

Beginning with Real Madrid, on FanDuel, Eden Hazard is back up to $14 so unplayable. Marco Ascensio is cheap but maybe for a reason. The other projected starter in this attack is “Mariano”. He is $6 on FanDuel, and has the highest goal scoring odds of the trio, so the preferred play.

Whichever two Real Madrid wingbacks start, they are in play, but I wouldn’t go wild with a stack here.

Turning to Inter Milan, Romelu Lukaku continues to be a beast in all competitions and is the top play in this game. Lautaro Martinez is the alternate scoring option. I’d focus my exposure there.

Atalanta (+360) at Liverpool (-152)

Key Goal Scoring Odds: Mohammed Salah (-124), Sadio Mane (+106), Diego Jota (+118), Divock Origi (+175), Duvan Zapata (+175), Robert Firmino (+185), Luis Muriel (+210), Joseph Illicic (+220), Alejandro Gomez (+250).

Atalanta’s defensive liabilities puts the forwards Mohammed Salah, Sadio Mane, Diego Jota, and Roberto Firmino in play as pivots off of some of the other high priced options.

Salah is just coming back from Covid-19, Mane has been pretty good, but Jota has been the story lately since joining the Reds.

The two high-flying wing defensemen Andy Robertson and Trent Alexander-Arnold are expensive and I’ll pass.

Porto (+155) at Marseilles (+195)

Key Scoring Odds: Moussa Marega (+188), Dario Benedetto (+195), Florian Thauvin (+205), Luis Diaz (+240), Sergio Oliveira (+240), Joao Mario (+260), Dmitri Payet (+295)

The final game, Porto v. Marseilles, is the least interesting for either DFS or real life. A Moussa Marega one off here/there is fine, but this is not somewhere I would try to go overboard. Porto beat them up 3-0 the first time around and should definitely win at home but I would think more along the lines of 1-0.

UCL Best Bet

Bayern Munich and Inter Milan (+156 total) DraftKings Sportsbook – 1.75 Units*

The Betting Game Plan

Both Atletico Madrid and Ajax at their current odds are a bit too rich for my blood. You could look at Bayern Munich and Liverpool, but as mentioned above, I do like Inter Milan here. Without Real Madrid’s two core veterans, it seems like the rematch will be a very different game.

11/25 UCL FanDuel Rankings

Forward/Midfield

1. Robert Lewandowski – Bayern Munich – $24
2. Lassina Traore – Ajax – $7
3. Mariano – Real Madrid – $6
4. Luis Suarez – Atletico Madrid – $19 “If starting”
5. Joao Felix – Atletico Madrid – $18
6. Serge Gnabry – Bayern Munich – $18
7. Romelu Lukaku – Inter Milan – $19
8. Leroy Sane – Bayern Munich – $17
9. Diego Jota – Liverpool – $19
10. Mohammed Salah – Liverpool – $22
11. Dusan Tadic – Ajax – $20
12. Zakaria Labyad – Ajax – $7
13. Yannick Carrasco – Atletico Madrid – $9
14. Diego Costa – Atletico Madrid – $14 “If starting”
15. Lautaro Martinez – Inter Milan – $18
16. Sadio Mane – Liverpool – $21
17. Kinglsey Coman – Bayern Munich – $20 “If starting”
18. Moussa Marega – Porto – $17
19. Thomas Muller – Bayern Munich – $16
20. Luiz Diaz – Porto – $14
21. Sergio Oliveira – Porto – $14

Defense “PUNT”

1. Fabinho – Liverpool – $8
2. Malang Sarr – Porto – $6
3. Rafael Toloi – Atalanta – $6
4. Alessandro Bastoni – Inter Milan – $7
5. Jordan Amavi – Marseille – $7

Goalies

Jan Oblak – Atletico Madrid – $12
Manuel Neuer – Bayern Munich – $14
Agustin Marchesin – Porto – $10

11/25 UCL DraftKings Rankings

Forward

Robert Lewandowski – Bayern Munich – $11,900
Luis Suarez – Atletico Madrid – $8,200 “If starting”
Romelu Lukaku – Inter Milan – $8,000
Joao Felix – Atletico Madrid – $10,300
Mohammed Salah – Liverpool – $9,300
Lautaro Martinez – Inter Milan – $7,600
Diego Costa – Atletico Madrid – $5,900
Diego Jota – Liverpool – $9,700
Dusan Tadic – Ajax – $10,800
Kinglsey Coman – Bayern Munich – $8,600 “If starting”
Leroy Sane – Bayern Munich – $7,800
Sadio Mane – Liverpool – $8,800
Thomas Muller – Bayern Munich – $7,500
Antony – Ajax – $7,400 “if starting”
Lassina Traore – Ajax – $7,300
David Neres – Ajax – $5,700
Quincy Promes – Ajax – $6,700 “if starting”
Moussa Marega – Porto – $6,900
Duvan Zapata – Atalanta – $8,100
Marco Asensio – Real Madrid – $6,200

Midfield “Only non forward eligible players listed, aside from Gnabry and punts, I’d focus with the dual eligible players”

1. Serge Gnabry – Bayern Munich – $7,600
2. Christian Eriksen – Inter Milan – $6,300 “if starting”
3. Leon Goretzka – Bayern Munich – $6,400
4. Arturo Vidal – Inter Milan – $3,500
5. Nicolo Barela – Inter Milan – $4,400

Defense “PUNT”

1. Milan Skriniar – Inter Milan – $2,500
2. David Alaba – Bayern Munich – $3,000
3. Jerome Boateng – Bayern Munich – $3,100
4. Jose Gimenez – Atletico Madrid – $5,200
5. Boubacar Kamara – Marseille – $2,500
6. Alessandro Bastoni – Inter Milan – $3,200

Goalies

Manuel Neuer – Bayern Munich – $5,900
Jan Oblak – Atletico Madrid – $5,700
Agustin Marchesin – Porto – $4,500

4 years ago 0 comments

Monday 11/23 EPL DFS and Best Bet

Richard Masana 4 years ago

written by Richard Masana

This article focuses on 11/23 EPL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large.

Monday 11/23 EPL Slate and DFS Gameplan

Before we embark on another full week of UCL, first, we have a two game EPL slate to finish off Matchweek 9/38. This slate can be found with a 12:30pm ET start time on both sites.

In the early game, Burnley (+175) hosts Crystal Palace (+180). This one certainly doesn’t sound like the most exciting soccer game ever.

Afterwards, Danny Ings less Southampton (+230) will be traveling to Wolves (+132). This game has even worse goal odds than the one beforehand, so we’re definitely in for a low scoring slate.

Notable Goal Scoring Odds

Note: Many of these players will not end up starting, but their goal odds are listed just in case. If they do not end up starting, disregard them.

Crystal Palace at Burnley – Chris Wood (+180), Ashley Barnes (+215), Wilfried Zaha (+215), Michy Batshuayi (+245), Jordan Ayew (+265), Christian Benteke (+290)

Southampton at Wolves – Raul Jimenez (+145), Che Adams (+265), Daniel Podence (+325), Pedro Neto (+325)

EPL Best Bet

Draw No Bet – Crystal Palace -106