Saturday 12/5 EPL DFS and Best Bet

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This article focuses on 12/5 EPL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large.

Saturday 12/5 EPL Slate and DFS Gameplan

We are up to EPL Matchweek 11/38, as it kicks off with the usual Saturday morning slate.

This slate can be found with all three games and a 10:00am ET start time on both sites.

It all begins with Manchester City (-910) hosting Fulham (+1900) as a very heavy favorite. Thankfully, this game is first, as we wouldn’t want to have to wait on the Manchester City lineups after lock. Kevin De Bruyne, Riyad Mahrez, and Gabriel Jesus rested midweek, making them the most likely attack options to start.

Afterwards, West Ham (+265) will be hosting Manchester United (+104). The Red Devils will be looking to rebound from a home loss to PSG mid-week in the Champion’s League.

Finally, Leeds United (+500) will be traveling to Chelsea (-195). The Blues have been rising up the EPL Table. However, Leeds United presents a legitimate challenge with their variety of weapons and unforgivingly open and offensive style of play. Chelsea, much like Manchester City, was able to rest a lot of starters mid-week in the Champion’s League, as backup striker Olivier Giroud stole the show.

Notable Goal Scoring Odds

Note: Many of these players will not end up starting, but their goal odds are listed just in case. If they do not end up starting, disregard them. All odds listed +300 or below and projected starters are listed in bold.

Fulham at Manchester City – Gabriel Jesus (-141), Raheem Sterling (-114), Kevin De Bruyne (+108), Riyad Mahrez (+108), Ferran Torres (+118), Phil Foden (+128), Bernardo Silva (+205)

Manchester United at West Ham – Edinson Cavani (+155), Bruno Fernandes (+163), Marcus Rashford (+190), Anthony Martial (+200), Mason Greenwood (+240), Sebastian Haller (+250), Jarrod Bowen (+300)

Leeds United at Chelsea – Timo Werner (+105), Olivier Giroud (+110), Tammy Abraham (+130), Christian Pulisic (+160), Kai Havertz (+210), Hakim Ziyech (+210), Patrick Bamford (+235), Callum Hudson-Odoi (+290), Mason Mount (+320)

EPL Best Bet

*Three Leg Parlay – Manchester City (-910) + Chelsea (-190) + Barcelona (-275) = (+131) total odds

DraftKings | FanDuel

The Betting Game Plan

Let’s roll with a cross league parlay. We can start with Manchester City unless you want to leave them off for lack of value. From there, I like the -190 that we’re currently provided on the Chelsea money line. With fans returning to Stamford Bridge, this in form team should get a boost.

Moving to La Liga, with Messi rested once again mid-week, Barcelona can fill out our parlay. Cadiz’s goal differential suggests that some regression is in store for them.

12/5 EPL FanDuel Rankings

Forward/Midfield

• 1. Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $23 “Set pieces”
• 2. Bruno Fernandes – Manchester United – $22 “Some set pieces”
• 3. Gabriel Jesus – Manchester City – $19
• 4. Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $20
• 5. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $17 “Not currently projected to start”
• 6. Ferran Torres – Manchester City – $16 “Not currently projected to start”
• 7. Phil Foden – Manchester City – $15 “Not currently projected to start”
• 8. Olivier Giroud – Chelsea – $12 “Not currently projected to start”
• 9. Timo Werner – Chelsea – $21
• 10. Hakim Ziyech – Chelsea – $17
• 11. Tammy Abraham – Chelsea – $17
• 12. Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $22
• 13. Edinson Cavani – Manchester United – $17
• 14. Anthony Martial – Manchester United – $17
• 15. Mason Mount – Chelsea – $15
• 16. Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $14 “Not currently projected to start”
• 17. Patrick Bamford – Leeds United – $17
• 18. Mason Greenwood – Manchester United “Not currently projected to start”
• 19. Jack Harrison – Leeds United – $15
• 20. Raphinha – Leeds United – $12
• 21. Stuart Dallas – Leeds United – $10
• 22. Jarrod Bowen – West Ham – $15 “Some set pieces”
• 23. Kai Havertz – Chelsea – $15 “Not currently projected to start”
• 24. Callum Hudson-Odoi – Chelsea – $13 “Not currently projected to start”
• 25. Mateusz Klich – Leeds United – $14
• 26. Kalvin Phillips – Leeds United – $13

Defense

• 1. Joachim Andersen – Fulham – $7
• 2. Victor Lindelof – Manchester United – $8
• 3. Ruben Dias – Manchester City – $9
• 4. Robin Koch – Leeds United – $10
• 5. Angelo Ogbonna – West Ham – $10

Goalies

1. Ederson – Manchester City – $14
2. Edouard Mendy – Chelsea – $13

12/5 EPL DraftKings Rankings

Forward

1. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $7,000 “Not currently projected to start”
2. Gabriel Jesus – Manchester City – $9,200
3. Timo Werner – Chelsea – $7,800
4. Olivier Giroud – Chelsea – $8,000 “Not currently projected to start”
5. Tammy Abraham – Chelsea – $6,900
6. Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $7,500
7. Edinson Cavani – Manchester United – $7,400
8. Mason Greenwood – Manchester United – $5,300 “Not currently projected to start”
9. Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $10,000
10. Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $7,300 “Not currently projected to start”
11. Patrick Bamford – Leeds United – $7,300
12. Ivan Cavaleiro – Fulham – $3,500
13. Jarrod Bowen – West Ham – $8,200 “Some set pieces”
14. Raphinha – Leeds United – $6,100
15. Callum Hudson-Odoi – Chelsea – $6,400 “Not currently projected to start”

Midfield

1. Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $10,200 “Set pieces”
2. Bruno Fernandes – Manchester United – $10,500 “Some set pieces”
3. Hakim Ziyech – Chelsea – $8,500 “Set pieces”
4. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $7,000 “Not currently projected to start”
5. Timo Werner – Chelsea – $7,800
6. Phil Foden – Manchester City – $7,600 “Not currently projected to start”
7. Ferran Torres – Manchester City – $6,200 “Not currently projected to start”
8. Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $7,500
9. Mason Greenwood – Manchester United – $5,300 “Not currently projected to start”
10. Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $10,000
11. Christian Pulisic – Chelsea – $7,300 “Not currently projected to start”
12. Ivan Cavaleiro – Fulham – $3,500
13. Mason Mount – Chelsea – $6,900
14. Jarrod Bowen – West Ham – $8,200 “Some set pieces”
15. Kai Havertz – Chelsea – $6,000
16. Raphinha – Leeds United – $6,100
17. Jack Harrison – Leeds United – $6,500
18. Mateusz Klich – Leeds United – $5,200
19. Kalvin Phillips – Leeds United – $4,900
20. Fred/Daniel James/Donny Van de Beek – Manchester United – $3,700/$3,900/$4,200

Defense

1. Alex Telles – Manchester United – $6,000
2. Reece James – Chelsea – $5,700
3. Ben Chilwell – Chelsea – $6,400
4. Benjamin Mendy – Manchester City – $4,500
5. PUNT

Goalies

1. Ederson – Manchester City – $5,900
2. Edouard Mendy – Chelsea – $5,800

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