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San Francisco Giants

MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Thursday – 7/01

Joel Bartilotta 3 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to the Thursday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have 2 slates of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through. 4 games at 1pm and a 7 game main slate.

Both slates today see some risky pitching options. With risky pitching options comes offenses in some really nice spots. My goal on both slates will be to provide with some aces and some bats to help you get into the green and score a takedown.

Let’s dig in to today’s slates!

MLB DFS: The Early Slate

The early slate today is a very risky slate. 3 of the 4 games have weather concerns, with 2 being serious enough where this could end up being a 2 game.

Pitching wise you should lock inJose Berrios ($10.5k) and move on. He gets a good match-up against a White Sox team that has been struggling over the past couple of weeks. Yes, they put up a big number but it was against 2 pitchers that probably shouldn’t be in the majors in Ober and Shoemaker.

Carlos Rodon ($11k) is the best pitcher on the slate talent wise but he’s taking on a projected Twins lineup that has only a 21% K rate on the year to lefties and a .313 wOBA. I don’t really like the match-up for him.

Hitting wise we need to be a little different than our opponents as it’s such a small slate. I’m going to do that by looking at the Seattle Mariners against Hyun Jin Ryu. Outside of his 1 start against the Orioles, Ryu has been pretty bad over the past month. His swinging strike rate is sitting at 8% and he’s giving up about 20% more hard contact than soft contact. The bats I’d focus on there are Haniger ($3k) and France ($2.7k).

The next spot I’d look at are the Boston Red Sox against Kris Bubic. Bubic has really been struggling. In his last 18 innings of work he’s given up 8 homers. He’s not missing bats and he’s giving up a ton of hard contact. His xFIP over the past 30 days is sitting right around 5. He’s actually been worse this season against lefties so we don’t need to avoid guys like Devers or Verdugo. The 3 guys I’m most focused Bogaerts ($4k), Martinez ($4.3k), and Renfroe ($3.5k). All three of these guys have ISO’s greater than .240 over the past 3 seasons when facing lefties. They smash lefties and Bubic is a smashable lefty.

I have very low confidence the Yankees/Angles game plays today. If it does, both teams would make great stacks as Canning and Montgomery have been pretty bad of late.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Jacob Degrom ($11.5K) vs. Atlanta Braves – Degrom is hands down the best pitcher on the slate. He has a staggering 42% K rate over the past 30 days with a 21% swinging strike rate. I don’t need to sell you on his talent. My only concern with Degrom is that he hasn’t been going deep into the games recently. Due to injuries he’s had several outings cut short.

The good news is that his arm hasn’t been taxed that much. He hasn’t thrown more than 90 pitches in a game since April. With the Mets blowing through their bullpen in games recently do they give him a longer leash than they have? I hope so.

Corbin Burnes ($10.6K) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates – As Adam pointed out in the Starting Rotation today, the spin rate monsters have caught up to Burnes. He’s seen a pretty significant drop in spin rate with his cutter. With that being his main pitch we’ll need to use him with caution. That said, he still has an elite 35% K rate over the past 30 days.

While the Pirates aren’t a high strike out team (their projected lineup today has a 19% K rate vs. righties), they’re also not hitting for much power. Against righties this season they have just a .655 OPS and .121 ISO. Those are pretty bad numbers. Burnes is my clear #2 behind Degrom.

Ian Anderson ($8.4k) vs. New York Mets – While the Mets are getting close to fully healthy on the offensive side, they’ve still been struggling to put up runs. They’ve also been K’ing a bunch. Over the past week they have a 28% K rate. Until they show consistently they are a productive offense, I think we can attack them.

Today we’ll attack them with Anderson who has been solid of late. Over the past 30 days he’s sporting a 3.24 xFIP with a 27% K rate. All signs point to him having a solid outing tonight. He’s not in the same ballpark as Degrom and Burnes, but he’s a whole lot cheaper and provides some upside tonight.

MLB DFS: The Bats

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Will Crowe – I’m going to continue playing the Brewers until FD raises their prices and everyone else decides to join the party. They are one of the hottest offenses in the game right now and tonight they get a match-up against a pitcher in Crowe who has been giving up a ton of hard contact.

In his last 18 innings pitched he’s given up 6 homers to go along with just an 8% swinging strike rate. Crowe’s been getting hit pretty hard by both sides of the plate so we can focus on the entire lineup.

The guys I’m focusing on tonight with Brewers will be Urias ($3k), Adames ($3.1k), Narvaez ($2.6k), and Peterson ($2.4k). Hiura ($3.2k) is also an interchangeable part in this stack. All have been extremely productive during this run the Brewers have been on. As a team they have 18 barrels over the past week in just 176 AB’s.

San Francisco Giants vs. Merrill Kelly – Yes, Kelly has been lights out the last 2 games. Prior to that though he had been brutal. With a match-up against the Giants today we should see Kelly come back down to earth. The Giants have been very strong against righties this year with a near .200 ISO and an OPS sitting at .758. Giants should throw out 5 lefties tonight.

In looking at Kelly’s pitch mix he’ll mostly throw a 91 MPH fastball and mix in his change-up. This is a combo that Giants lefties hit very well. My focus will be on Yastrzemski ($2.9k), Dickerson ($2.2k), and Crawford ($2.8k). They are all cheap and have ISO’s greater than .200 to Kelly’s pitch mix.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Antonio Senzatela – There’s weather risk in this game, but it’s Coors and I do want a piece of it tonight. Over the last month Senzatela has been giving up a ton of hard contact. It’s sitting close to 43%. This is something I’ll want to exploit tonight.

He’s been somewhat of a reverse splits pitcher as the majority of the hard contact is coming from righties as they have a 48% hard hit rate against him this year. Cardinals have a predominantly right handed lineup so this lines up very well for them, and very poorly for Senzatela.

He throws his 94 MPH fastball more than 50% of the time. Carlson ($3.3k) and O’Neill ($3.8k) both have ISO’s greater than .300 against this pitch type. Plugging in Goldschmidt ($4.1k) and Arenado ($4.2k) may prove to be tough because of salary, but if I had to pick between the two, I’d side withArenado.

MLB DFS: The Wrap Up

Between the day slate and the night slate we’re going to need to be prepared to closely monitor weather. There’s rain everywhere today and there are a handful of games that are both at risk of a delay and postponement.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green tonight!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

3 years ago 0 comment

MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 6/26 (FanDuel Main Slate)

Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s four-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:15PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!

Weather is not a huge issue, but this is a risky slate for cash games and I’d highly recommend sticking to GPPs and lower-cost single-entry.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Nathan Eovaldi ($8,200)

The options are not great. We really can’t look to Julio Urias right now with him maxing out at 5 Ks in each of his last five starts (perhaps it’s the Bauer Effect rearing its ugly head) and Frankie Montas cannot be trusted facing a lefty-heavy Giants lineup. I’m a Yankee fan, which makes recommending Eovaldi in this spot especially tough, but the price is reasonable for a guy who has 10K potential against the Bombers and their 24.7% K rate (25.2% against RHP). Facing this lineup can be a dangerous spot for ANY pitcher, so I don’t think this slate portends well for large cash game investments, and there is a stiff wind blowing out toward the monster as well. But given what he did against the Yanks on June 4 in the Bronx (6.0 IP, 0 BB, 7 K, 1 ER and 46 FD points), he’s probably got as much upside as anyone. Adam Strangis makes mention of him as an option in the 6/26 Starting Rotation piece today, so if you need further information, that’s always a good source.

Best GPP Value: Dinelson Lamet ($7,500)

It would be great if he could somehow approach the 100-pitch mark, in which case he could easily pay off this bargain price. Lamet might have a lower floor than some of the other high-dollar options, but the upside is there at his still-discounted price and he’s coming off his first win and 7Ks. Again, I can’t stress enough how risky this entire slate is, but Lamet’s reward could slightly outweigh the downside. He should get the necessary run support for another W, and there’s an outside shot he crests the 5.0 inning mark tonight and possibly gets 6.0 in to qualify him for the QS bonus.

Contrarian GPP Play: Jordan Montgomery ($7,000)

We’re going to have to take some chances on this slate, and rolling out the enigmatic lefty hurler at Fenway might be the key to unlocking the slate. Or, and hear me out, you can stack against the guy in a few GPP lineups to hedge your DFS approach. He’s regained some of the effectiveness his changeup and curveball once had in his early days, and using them to keep these Boston hitters off balance. His 3.62 FIP is among the lowest on the slate, we know he’s got as much upside as anyone in these four games, and the Boston projected total is pretty high, so we know he won’t be popular.

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: San Diego Padres vs. ARI RHP Merrill Kelly

The Dodgers, Red Sox and Yankees are all viable options in the spend-up category, but let’s look a little more closely at the Padres, who are red-hot at the plate. Fernando Tatis, Jr. ($4,700) is destroying baseballs right now (4-5 with 3 HRs and 65.8 FD points last night) and I don’t see any reason to not continue using him with Manny Machado ($4,300), Jake Cronenworth ($3,300) and either Eric Hosmer ($2,700), Tommy Pham ($3,100) or even Trent Grisham ($3,000). This lineup is filled with speed and power — the biggest contributors to offensive success in DFS, so make sure you get exposure to the Friars tonight.

Value Stack: San Francisco Giants vs. OAK RHP Frankie Montas

The Giants match up extremely well against Montas, who’s been struggling a bit lately. The top five hitters include a bevy of cheap bats who have enormous upside tonight: LaMonte Wade ($2,700), Mike Yastrzemski ($3,500), Buster Posey ($3,100) Alex Dickerson ($2,300), Brandon Crawford ($2,800). They could work in conjunction with the more expensive Dodgers or Padres, especially if you’re fading the Yankees-Red Sox.

Contrarian Stack: Boston Red Sox vs. LHP Jordan Montgomery

First of all, don’t freak out. I know I recommended Montgomery, and while there’s no way I’d stack the Sox and use Monty in the SP slot, we’ve got to build lineups assuming more than one narrative today, and it’s possible the Sox can give us what we need in a stack while Montgomery gets us 30-40 FD points behind a barrage of Ks. The hitting conditions seem favorable, and while Monty is generally a ground ball pitcher over the course of his career, the fly balls he gives up tend to go pretty far. If Michael Chavis leads off he’s a great bargain option at $2,300, and while lefty vs. lefty Alex Verdugo ($2,900) doesn’t get me excited, the projected 3-7 hitters are all in play: J.D. Martinez ($4,100), Xander Bogaerts ($3,700), Rafael Devers ($3,900), Kike Hernandez ($3,300) and Hunter Renfroe ($2,700).

Good luck tonight, and make sure you utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!

3 years ago 0 comment

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 5/29 (FanDuel Main Slate)

Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s four-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!

It’s another busy day for weather, but initial forecasts project only one game on the main slate that could be impacted: ATL @NYM — which they should be able to get in with a late start and under a light, steady rain.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Julio Urias ($11,500)

Ownership is going to be heavily weighted toward Urias, who’s the obvious choice in cash games. He’s got the most upside of any pitcher on the slate and easily boasts the highest floor because of the matchup. With four 50+ FD point performances among his last seven starts, Urias is coming into his own as a reliable fantasy starter after being brought slowly along by the Dodgers in his first few seasons in the big leagues. The Giants have a team K% of 26.2% — seventh highest in MLB — and the Dodgers are the biggest favorites in this four-game slate. Don’t overthink this one. Urias should be a lock for your cash games and in the majority of your GPP lineups.

Best GPP Value: Ian Anderson ($9,000)

For whatever reason, Ian Anderson’s weekly start for Atlanta almost always lands on a Saturday night, which is just fine with me considering he’s my favorite young pitcher in baseball for selfish reasons: he’s from about a half-hour away in upstate New York’s Capital Region, and is probably the best pitcher to some out of this area in decades. Pitching in a steady rain should be a familiar thing for a guy from just north of Albany, NY. The talented hurler didn’t issue a walk or accumulated any earned runs in his last start en route to 46 FanDuel points — a perfectly viable number given the difficulty this slate presents for pitching options. While the Mets don’t strike out at a particularly high rate, they do have one of the league’s most feeble team wOBA marks — just .291. Compare that to what the Braves lineup offers — a /327 team wOBA — and you’ve got a recipe for another victory and 35-45 FD points.

Contrarian GPP Value: Mike Foltynewicz ($7,100)

This makes two SP options on tonight’s slate with WinDaily narratives. While I don’t know my area’s local product (Anderson) personally, Nick Bretwisch is buddies with Mike Foltynewicz (it’s a Minooka, Illinois thing) and he’s continually come through with the best spots to deploy Folty in our MLB DFS builds. On FanDuel tonight, he’s more of a large-field GPP contrarian play, since his K totals are a little lower this season. The silver lining, however, is in the opponent’s propensity to strike out. The Mariners have a team K% of 26.2% — sixth highest in baseball this season — and they sport the second-lowest team wOBA (.285) against RHP. If you’re hell-bent on jamming in the most expensive bats on the slate and/or want to get a little crazy at SP, Folty has some modest upside vs,. SEA.

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: St. Louis Cardinals vs. ARI RHP Seth Frankoff

Only two teams in yesterday’s slate scored more runs than the Cards, who beat the D-Backs 8-6 and helped secure a lot of green screens for folks that trusted they’d easily handle LHP Madison Bumgarner. Today they face a right-hander, but it’s a guy with considerably less major-league experience in Frankoff, who has just 13.1 IP under his belt in MLB. Frankoff is a 32-year-old journeyman who spent some time in Korea and is with his fifth major-league organization — a sign he’s not missing a whole lot of bats at this level. The Cards should be able to take advantage of his 6.46 FIP with their usual array of potent bats, including Paul Goldschmidt ($3,100), Nolan Arenado ($3,600), Dylan Carlson (underpriced at just $2,200) and Tyler O’Neill ($3,000) — who went deep last night and boasts a .370 wOBA and nine HR vs. RHP over his last 88 big league AB. I also like switch-hitting leadoff hitter Tommy Edman ($2,700) and there’s also an opportunity to do a full game stack here and run back some bats from Arizona: Josh Rojas ($2,300), Carson Kelly ($3,200), Ketel Marte ($3,300), David Peralta ($2,500), Pavin Smith ($2,600) and Eduardo Escobar ($2,700) are all woefully mispriced for this slate.

Value Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. SFG RHP Logan Webb

It’s bizarre to see the Dodgers listed as a value stack, but after you get past the high-priced bats of Mookie Betts ($3,900) and Max Muncy ($3,600), there’s a couple lefty hitters we can target for their value (Gavin Lux at $2,600 and upside-laden Matt Beaty at just $2,100) along with Justin Turner ($2,900), Chris Turner ($3,100) and Will Smith ($2,900). The Dodgers projected team run total is actually right around what the D-Backs are expected, so I’ll probably make a balance four-man stacks of each team (and some 2 LAD +2 ARI builds) against my four-man Cards stacks.

Contrarian Stack: Texas Rangers vs. SEA RHP Justin Dunn

Tonight might be a really good night to experiment with low-stakes multi-entry GPP and leaving some money on the table, which means we can use some combination of Rangers 1-5 hitters in a few stacks with Dunn on the mound for Seattle. Dunn’s 3.40 ERA belies an xFIP of 5.76 — good news for guys like Willie Calhoun ($3,000), Nate Lowe ($2,900), Adolis Garcia ($4,300) and Joey Gallo ($3,200). Brock Holt ($2,500) has excellent numbers vs. RHP as well. The price tag and RHP vs. RHB matchup for Garcia might scare some folks away, but he makes for a great one-off even if you’re not stacking the Rangers, with a .400 wOBA, a .330 ISO and nine HR in less than 100 AB vs. RHP. Whatever you plan on doing, I’d include some of these Rangers bats in my GPP builds at what could be relatively low ownership even on a slate this small.

Good luck, and make sure you utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!

3 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB GPP Stacks: MLB Winning Edge for August 26

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s seven-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you stay up to date with all our favorite plays on our Premium Gold DFS Cheat Sheet as well.

Teams with Highest IRT

MLB GPP Stack: Milwaukee Brewers

vs. RHP Adam Wainwright (STL): 5.10 Runs

**Low Risk

The Brewers and Yankees will likely be your most popular stacks on this short slate and for good reason. Wainwright struggles a lot with left handed batters on the road. They are slashing to a tune of .414 wOBA, .610 SLG, and .423 OBP over 24.2 innings pitched. He has allowed 24 earned runs and five homers over that span. Wainwright is a big time ground ball pitcher at near a 50% clip of batted balls. He faces a team with three players in the top 15 in terms of flyball percentage and he just gave up five earned runs against the Brewers in his last start. Now the Brewers get him at home and are hitting right around their season averages.

GPP Stack: New York Yankees

vs. LHP Tommy Milone (PLR) (SEA): UPDATE

**Moderate Risk

I actually love this entire game and can see myself stacking it with only seven games on the board. No definitive answer on who is pitching for SEA, but it looks like Tommy Milone gets the nod for projected long reliever. Either way the Yankees get a dream matchup against left handed pitching. They are absolutely destroying lefties, slashing to a .400 wOBA, .300 ISO, and 186 WRC+. All of the LHPs on this SEA staff below Marco Gonzalez are horrendous to righties at home so I’m not going to overthink this one and have plenty of exposure to the Yankees.

Preferred Stack: Aaron Judge (an absolute lock at his salary) ($4100 FD|$4600 DK), DJ LeMahieu ($3900 FD|$4900 DK), Gio Urshula ($3300 FD|$4300 DK), and Gleyber Torres ($4200 FD|5100 DK). Mike Tauchman ($2600 FD|$4100 DK) offers salary relief and correlation batting 9th.

Other Teams I Have Interest in

MLB GPP Stack: Seattle Mariners

vs. LHP J.A. Happ (NYM): 5.30 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Like I said, I’m crazy about this game. J.A. Happ is on the other side and he has had a pretty bad season as we all know. I don’t love the Mariners as a full stack but they offer some great value pieces (particularly on FD) for those expensive NYY/MIL stacks.

Preferred Plays: Austin Nola ($2800 FD|$4500 DK), Tom Murphy ($3000 FD|$5100 DK), Tim Lopes ($2600 FD|$4300 DK), and Kyle Seager ($3700 FD|$4600 DK).

MLB GPP Stack: San Francisco Giants

vs. LHP Alex Young (ARI): UPDATE

**Moderate Risk

Pitching

Sonny Gray RHP (CIN): 3.30 Runs
Pablo Lopez RHP (MIA): 4.20 Runs
Dustin May RHP (LAD): 4.10 Runs

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

The MLB DFS Hitting Picks Of Destiny For August 17

5 years ago

written by

This Saturday August 17th slate is all about landing the right bats. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the MLB DFS Picks of Destiny.

Check out our Data Driven Projections for FanDuel Hitters for Premium Gold Members.

Todays picks are listed in order of preference, not price.

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel this week! Read about it here!

Catcher: Wellington Castillo ($2,600 FD) gets to hit against lefty Jose Suarez tonight in L.A. Castillo has two homers in 59 at bats vs southpaws and hits .220 ISO/ .322 wOBA. He should be batting fifth vs. a pitcher I am not afraid to target. Suarez has a 6.57 ERA and has given up four homers in his last eight innings. We are going to need some extra MLB DFS salary to pay up for bats tonight and Castillo provides the relief.

Catcher: Dom Nunez ($3,000 FD) it’s a long shot but if Nunez plays you can roster him. Hitting in Coors vs. my top pitcher to target against, Hector Noesi (7.11 ERA). Nunez has played in only one MLB game this season, but he homered. In 213 ABs he did it 14 times in the minors.

Honorable Mention: Mitch Garver/Jason Castro

First Base: Albert Pujols ($3,300 FD) Tonight we target the Hectors in MLB DFS. Hector Santiago was used to coming out of the bullpen and only pitching an inning or two. Last start the White Sox tried to stretch him out and he got lit up for four earned runs in 4.2 innings. He has a 7.11 ERA and 1.89 WHIP. The Angels may sneak under the radar tonight. Pujols tends to come alive on weekends, especially at home. So far this season Pujols has nine homers vs. lefties and hits .248 ISO/ .343 wOBA.

First Base: C.J. Cron ($3,200 FD) faces yet another home run prone pitcher in Ariel Jurado in a very hot Globe Life Park. Cron has been cold lately but he has the power and it just takes one swing. The Twins are in a great spot tonight and Cron will have the opportunity to help clear the bases. He has 10 home runs on the season vs righties and I think he makes it 11 by this time tomorrow. He is hitting .188 ISO/.288 wOBA.

Honorable Mentions: Jose Abreu, Daniel Murphy

Second Base: Ryan Goins ($2,400 FD) also gets to face Jose Suarez tonight (6.57 ERA). Goins has two homers in 28 ABs against lefties with a .286 ISO/ .470 wOBA. He is cheap, will be low owned and Suarez is vulnerable. Sounds like a good MLB DFS combination to me.

Second Base Value: Scooter Gennett ($2,500 FD) This is a salary saver play. Gennett looks to be getting comfortable at the plate again. He is batting fifth on a Giants team that should bomb Taylor Clarke (5.46 ERA) who almost has given up a homer in every game he has pitched in this year, sometimes more.

Honorable mentions: Luis Arraez, Ryan McMahon

Third Base Base: Nolan Arenado ($4,500 FD) Play the Rockies today. They are going to destroy Hector Noesi at home. In a small sample size Noesi has a 8.18 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. He has good strikeout stuff but that’s fine. He is going to give up plenty of runs to erase that, then we get the Marlins BP. Arenado has 19 homers vs righties and hits .235 ISO/. 367 wOBA.

Third Base: Matt Thaiss ($2,600) This is another value play vs a pitcher I want to target in Hector Santiago. Thaiss hasn’t done much lately, which has helped suppress his price all the way down to $2,600 on FanDuel. In his 11 ABs vs lefties he has one homer and hits .273 ISO/.393 wOBA. Thaiss will have an even better chance to hit whatever righty pitcher comes in after Santiago has had enough.. He has an additional four home runs on righty pitching since mid July.

Short Stop: Trevor Story ($4,500 FD) is my top shortstop, although I also like the two below. He has 21 homers on the season and has the nuts matchup vs Noesi. Don’t overthink this one.

Short Stop: Evan Longoria ($3,200 FD) and the Giants are hot right now. Longo has 11 home runs with a .207 ISO/.325 wOBA on the season. In his last seven games he is hitting .423/.692. He goes against Taylor Clarke in Arizona tonight.

Shortstop Value: David Fletcher ($3,000 FD) His numbers on the season are average but he can thrive in the leadoff spot. In the last seven days he is batting .423/.654 SLG. He has nine hits in his last four games and gets Hector Santiago.

Outfield: Mike Trout ($4,900 FD) What do I need to say? It’s Mike Trout vs Hector Santiago. If you have the salary use him. Trout has eight homers vs lefties this year and hits .304 ISO/.436 wOBA. If the White Sox aren’t too scared to pitch to him he should hit one, or two, out.

Outfield: Charlie Blackmon ($4,700) I was dreaming about the Rockies vs. Hector Noesi last night. The matchup is perfect, and in Coors?! How do you not play them? Blackmon bats lead and has at least one hit in 13 of his last 15 games. If you are just looking at FanDuel boxscores people may get scared of playing him because he hasn’t hit a homer since August 8th and has been burning people for about a week. Don’t let the price tag scare you off. Blackmon should be in store for a multi-hit night and should be worth the price. We need the back end of the Rockies lineup to get on base so Blackmon gets his RBI. That should not be an issue vs the Marlins pitching.

Outfield: Alex Dickerson ($3,200 FD) LOL at $3,200 for Dickerson tonight vs Clarke. He can absolutely crush the ball and no one ever plays him in MLB DFS. He has six homers on his shortened season vs righties and hits .313 ISO/ .450 wOBA. He didn’t get his homer last night but he will tonight. LOCK.

Honorable Mentions: Eddie Rosario, Kole Calhoun, Mike Yastrzemski, Kevin Pillar, Max Kepler

Rockies, Giants, Twins and Angels are all in GREAT spots. If you like a bat off one of those teams and they are not mentioned above you can still play them. I tried to narrow down my plays here.

I primary used FanDuel when building optimal MLB DFS lineups.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Team Stacks: Winning Edge for August 17

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stack options for today’s nine-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

Teams with Highest IRT

MLB DFS Team Stack: Colorado Rockies

vs. RHP Hector Noesi (MIA): 7.80 Runs

**Low Risk

I hope all of you considered my advice yesterday when I said to fade Coors. Three runs from the Rockies isn’t a good fantasy output but that brings us to today. I am all over the Rockies. They face Hector Noesi, who has struggled with his splits his entire career. He has only pitched 11 innings this season, but owns a 8.18 ERA, 7.58 FIP, and 5.29 SIERA. He struggles where we need him to, allowing right handed batters to slash to a .387 wOBA, .640 SLG, and .321 OBP. Limited sample, but even in years past Noesi has always struggled to righties. The Rockies are slashing to a .338 wOBA, .196 ISO and 92 WRC+, just above their season averages. I will have a nice chunk of exposure to the Rockies tonight.

MLB DFS Team Stack: Boston Red Sox

vs. RHP Asher Wojciechowski (BAL): 7.00 Runs

**Moderate Risk

Last night I faded Coors for Boston and it worked out pretty well. Today I will be doing the exact opposite and will be fading Boston. I’m not saying they aren’t in a good spot, cause it is the Orioles and their bullpen is awful as we all know. I’m not inclined to attack Wojcie with his respectable 27.5% K rate, although he has struggled in recent outings. My hope is the Coors letdown yesterday will drive ownership down and people will gravitate to this game instead. The Red Sox are hovering right around their season averages, slashing to a .349 wOBA, .217 ISO, and 113 WRC+ for the month of August.

Preferred Plays: Xander Bogaerts ($4200 FD|$5100 DK), Rafael Devers ($4400 FD|$5600 DK), and Mookie Betts ($4100 FD|$5200 DK), and Andrew Benintendi ($3700 FD|$4500 DK)

MLB DFS Team Stack: Minnesota Twins**

vs. RHP Ariel Jurado (TEX): 6.50 Runs

**Low Risk

Did somebody say two Coors Fields in one slate? I am all over the Twins tonight. An excellent hitting park, a bad pitcher, and one of the best hitting teams in the league that are slashing to a .349 wOBA, .230 ISO, and 114 WRC+ for the month of August. Ariel Jurado is one of, if not the worst pitcher on tonight’s slate. Jurado owns a 5.31 ERA, 4.80 FIP, and 4.96 SIERA. He has a 44% GB rate coupled with a .314 BABIP. Jurado also has the lowest K rate on the slate at 17% and he is facing the fourth best team in MLB in terms of strikeout percentage. It’s a hot one in Texas today, folks. Load up on the MIN bats.

Other Teams I Have Interest in

MLB DFS Team Stack: San Francisco Giants**

vs. RHP Taylor Clarke (ARI): 4.85 Runs

**Moderate Risk

DFS Team Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers**

vs. RHP Mike Foltynewicz (ATL): 5.50 Runs

**Low Risk

Pitching

Jacob deGrom RHP (NYM): 3.20 Runs
German Marquez RHP (COL): 4.50 Runs
Dinelson Lamet RHP (SDP): 4.75 Runs

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Stacks for 7/16: Fine Night for Fenway

Mark Paquette 5 years ago

written by Mark Paquette

It was a strange night on Monday. In the first game of the doubleheader in Coors the Giants scored 19 runs and the two teams combined for 21 runs in an outburst that was not even part of the mains late for MLB DFS Stacks. In the second game, the Giants also won the game. But they scored two runs and the teams combined to score three. Baseball for you….

MLB DFS Stacks to Use on Tuesday

Boston: The Blue Jays are playing bad baseball and are starting Brad Waguespack. This will be his third Major League appearance this year. With the wind blowing out to left and temperatures and moisture content rising at Fenway, it seems to be a perfect night to use some Red Sox in DFS.

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Rockies/Giants: Go back to the well here with your MLB DFS Stacks. You can play devil’s advocate here and say “we should have seen a 2-1 game coming after 21 runs were scored in the first game.” Well, if you said that, and followed your own advice, you are a far better DFS’er/gambler than I am. And by using that same logic tonight, 25 runs should be scored.

Nationals: A matchup with the fellow team in the mid-Atlantic is just what the doctor ordered for your MLB DFS Stacks. Not only will the Nats get some at-bats against a brutally bad bullpen in a park that greatly favors the batter, you will start off the game against Asher Wojciechowski. I am beginning to understand why the Red Sox, Yankees and Rays all won 90+ games last year and will do so again when they get to play the Jays and Orioles 19 times each. Sort of like knowing the Patriots will go 5-1 (at the absolute worst) in the AFC East each year.

Twins: speaking of bad baseball teams….ladies and gentlemen, your 2019 New York Mets! Seriously though, the Twins crush at home and against lefties and now they get Steven Matz.

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5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

Stack Report for MLB Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 15

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stacks for today’s 10-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer we get to the postseason.

Cleveland Indians Stack

vs. LHP Daniel Norris (DET): 6.30 Runs

Daniel Norris takes the mound in Cleveland this evening. He carries a 4.96 ERA, 4.62 FIP, and 4.71 ERA into tonight’s matchup. We get a nice little recipe here with his reverse splits. Left handed batters are slashing to a .367 wOBA, .540 SLG, and .343 OBP across 16 innings pitched. He has allowed 13 runs in that short span. His 40% hard contact rate and 40% pull rate combined with his shakiness to lefties can make for some easy liners to right field. Norris racked up eight strikeouts but gave up six earned runs in his last meeting with Cleveland. Cleveland batters are hitting below their season averages this month, slashing to a .309 wOBA, .154 ISO, and 88 WRC+. These numbers aren’t typically what we look for but they’re in the worst part of their slump and this is a good opportunity to bust out of it.

Preferred Stack: Roberto Perez ($2700 FD|$4100 DK), Jordan Luplow ($2500 FD|$3900 DK), Carlos Santana ($3800 FD|$5000 DK), and Francisco Lindor ($4000 FD|$4900 DK).

Colorado Rockies Stack

vs. RHP Derek Rodriguez (SFG):

Dereck Rodriguez was called up from AAA as the 26th man ahead of today’s doubleheader. He carries a 5.27 ERA, 5.57 FIP, and 5.46 SIERA across 57 innings pitched into tonight’s game. He has struggled both to righties and lefties, allowing a .338 wOBA, .462 SLG, and 46% hard contact rate. The Rockies batting averages are creeping up again on this home stand and should continue to rise this evening. They are slashing to a .349 wOBA, .193 ISO, and .457 SLG against right handed pitching recently and the studs in this lineup are coming off a rest day.

Every stack report in the industry is going to have the Giants and Rockies. Ownership almost always levitates to Coors, especially when you have Dereck Rodriguez (SFG) and Chi Chi Gonzalez (COL) pitching. Going to be a lot of ownership on both sides here ,so I am not writing up the Giants in detail for that purpose, but I’ve included my preferred stack if you decide to go with the masses tonight.

Los Angeles Dodgers Stack

vs. RHP Zach Eflin (PHI): 5.40 Runs

I imagine ownership here will be higher as well. It’s not very often we get the Dodgers so early in the evening. Zach Eflin carries a 3.78 ERA, 4.66 FIP, and 4.70 SIERA into tonight’s matchup. Left handed batters are slashing to a .357 wOBA, .544 SLG, and .333 OBP. He has allowed 22 earned runs and 11 home runs across 43 innings pitched to lefties as well. The only concern I really have with Dodgers batters here is a possible hangover from last night’s game. The Dodgers are slashing .to a 335 wOBA, .209 ISO, and 109 WRC+ vs. right handed pitching over the last month.

Preferred Stack:Max Muncy ($3800 FD|$4600 DK), Alex Verdugo ($3100 FD|$4100 DK), Cody Bellinger ($4800 FD|$5100 DK), and Joc Pederson ($2600 FD|$4200 DK).

Boston Red Sox Stack

vs. RHP Trent Thornton (TOR): 6.25 Runs

The Red Sox get another cupcake matchup against Thornton. They have faced him twice this season, his first outing in Boston when he allowed only two earned runs and a recent second outing in Toronto in which he allowed seven earned runs. This Red Sox team is hitting very well recently. They are slashing .372 wOBA, .254 ISO, and 129 WRC+. I have the same concern with the Red Sox as with the Dodgers. They played late last night but they do get the benefit at being at home. Trent Thornton has a 4.85 ERA, 4.41 FIP, and 4.75 ERA on the year. He has identical splits, allowing batters to slash to a .332 wOBA, .321 BABIP, and .444 SLG.

Preferred Stack: Rafael Devers ($4100 FD|$5500 DK), Xander Bogaerts ($4400 FD|$5300 DK), Mookie Betts ($4200 FD|$4800 DK), and Christian Vazquez ($2900 FD|$4700 DK).

Honorable Mention

Houston Astros vs. RHP Griffin Canning (LAA): 4.90 Runs

Preferred Stack: Alex Bregman ($4200 FD|$4400 DK), Yordan Alvarez ($4300 FD|$4800 DK), Michael Brantley ($3900 FD|$4000 DK), and Yuli Gurriel ($3800 FD|$4200 DK).

Toronto Blue Jays vs. RHP Rick Porcello (BOS): 4.25 Runs

Preferred Stack: Freddy Galvis ($3200 FD|$4300 DK), Cavan Biggio ($3700 FD|$4500 DK), Eric Sogard ($3300 FD|$4700 DK), and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($3800 FD|$5300 DK).

Pitching

RHP Adam Plutko vs. DET: 4.20 Runs
RHP Lucas Giolito vs. KCR: 4.40 Runs
LHP James Paxton vs. TAM: 4.00 Runs

5 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports

7/15 MLB DFS Podcast with The King and Our Weather/MLB Expert

Scott Engel 5 years ago

written by Scott Engel

Scott Engel and Mark Paquette discuss the Main FanDuel MLB DFS Slate on the 7/15 MLB DFS Podcast. They break down the main slate on DraftKings and FanDuel.

Saving on Monday Pitching

There are some big names to possibly spend up on, such as Luis Castillo, but Scott and Mark offer a pair of arms that can save you some cash and help you stack from the Colorado/San Francisco game. Kyle Hendricks is under $10,000 on DK, and Joe Musgrove is incredibly cheap when you consider how he has been pitching recently.

7/15 MLB DFS Podcast Stacks

There are a few likable options for tonight, and the Blue Jays are one of them. We also have to give strong consideration to the Braves. Of course, the second game of the Rockies/Giants doubleheader offers us some apparent quality options.

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5 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports

7/1 MLB DFS Podcast With The King And the Weatherman

Scott Engel 5 years ago

written by Scott Engel

Scott Engel and Mark Paquette get into the full MLB schedule on the 7/1 MLB DFS Podcast. They break down the Monday slate on DraftKings and FanDuel. Making pitching decisions will not be easy as there are only 10 hurlers to pick from on a short slate and most of them are not appealing.

7/1 MLB DFS Podcast Pitching Notes

The big question is whether to spend up for Mike Minor on a five-game main slate. No other pitcher really provides confidence that he will deliver a quality performance. Logan Allen is the top alternative so far, but we have only seen two starts from him with differing results.

MLB DFS Podcast Hitting Notes

The Padres may be the best stack of the night, as many of their bats have been hot lately and they should provide good offense against Jeff Samardzija. The Brewers-Reds matchup should also provide a lot of offense and you can build stacks from both lineups.

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Thank you for listening to the 7/1 MLB DFS Podcast. Follow Win Daily DFS on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily DFS has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms. We have channels setup for MLB, PGA, NASCAR, WNBA, CFL, NBA, and NFL. We also have a channel dedicate to sports betting and one dedicate to Monkey Knife Fight where we provide winners to cash in on daily. We have a special promo for a limited time only to sign up for a full 12 months at only $199.99 or a monthly plan at $19.99 which are both 50% off our regular price.

5 years ago 0 comment

Newer Posts

Older Posts

San Francisco Giants

MLB DFS: The Early Slate

MLB DFS: The Aces

MLB DFS: The Bats

MLB DFS: The Wrap Up

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Nathan Eovaldi ($8,200)

Best GPP Value: Dinelson Lamet ($7,500)

Contrarian GPP Play: Jordan Montgomery ($7,000)

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: San Diego Padres vs. ARI RHP Merrill Kelly

Value Stack: San Francisco Giants vs. OAK RHP Frankie Montas

Contrarian Stack: Boston Red Sox vs. LHP Jordan Montgomery

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Julio Urias ($11,500)

Best GPP Value: Ian Anderson ($9,000)

Contrarian GPP Value: Mike Foltynewicz ($7,100)

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: St. Louis Cardinals vs. ARI RHP Seth Frankoff

Value Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. SFG RHP Logan Webb

Contrarian Stack: Texas Rangers vs. SEA RHP Justin Dunn

Teams with Highest IRT

MLB GPP Stack: Milwaukee Brewers

vs. RHP Adam Wainwright (STL): 5.10 Runs

GPP Stack: New York Yankees

vs. LHP Tommy Milone (PLR) (SEA): UPDATE

Other Teams I Have Interest in

MLB GPP Stack: Seattle Mariners

MLB GPP Stack: San Francisco Giants

Pitching

All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason. Make sure you are watching the weather as well.

Teams with Highest IRT

MLB DFS Team Stack: Colorado Rockies

vs. RHP Hector Noesi (MIA): 7.80 Runs

MLB DFS Team Stack: Boston Red Sox

vs. RHP Asher Wojciechowski (BAL): 7.00 Runs

MLB DFS Team Stack: Minnesota Twins**

vs. RHP Ariel Jurado (TEX): 6.50 Runs

Other Teams I Have Interest in

MLB DFS Team Stack: San Francisco Giants**

DFS Team Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers**

Pitching

MLB DFS Stacks to Use on Tuesday

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer we get to the postseason.

Cleveland Indians Stack

vs. LHP Daniel Norris (DET): 6.30 Runs

Colorado Rockies Stack

vs. RHP Derek Rodriguez (SFG):

Los Angeles Dodgers Stack

vs. RHP Zach Eflin (PHI): 5.40 Runs

Boston Red Sox Stack

vs. RHP Trent Thornton (TOR): 6.25 Runs

Honorable Mention

Houston Astros vs. RHP Griffin Canning (LAA): 4.90 Runs

Toronto Blue Jays vs. RHP Rick Porcello (BOS): 4.25 Runs

Saving on Monday Pitching

7/15 MLB DFS Podcast Stacks

7/1 MLB DFS Podcast Pitching Notes

MLB DFS Podcast Hitting Notes

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