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Last week saw Hayden Hurst go down early with an injury, and Travis Kelce fumble away a key opportunity. Tight End continues to be a tough position to fill, but I’m here to help! Let’s find ourselves some value and upside as we move along to Week 14. Playoff races are heating up, and I’ll be focusing more and more on games with playoff implications. Let’s make some cash!

Be sure to jump into the WinDailySports Discord. Take advantage of our cheat sheets and projections while you build your lineups for Week 14 on FanDuel and DraftKings! Let’s continue to finish strong this season!

TJ Hockenson, Vikings ($5,100 DraftKings, $6,500 FanDuel)

Hockenson is my favorite TE play of the week for so many reasons. First off, returning to his old stomping grounds in Detroit. Second, the fact that the Lions rank 28th against opposing TE in terms of fantasy points allowed. Only the Cardinals (9) have allowed more TD to the position than the Lions (8).

Kirk Cousins and company are still fighting for the top spot in the NFC, and this is another solid matchup they should be able to exploit. I’ll give Hock a pass for his 7.3 DraftKings points last week, the Jets are a tough matchup for anyone right now.

It’s crazy to say for a 10-2 team, but this is a must-win for the Purple and Gold if they want any shot at securing the first-round bye in the NFC. Would help if the Eagles ever lost also, but you control what you can control. Get yourself some Hock shares!

Pat Freiermuth, Steelers ($4,500 DraftKings, $5,800 FanDuel)

Don’t look now, but the Steelers are still (barely) alive in the playoff hunt. A win over the Ravens this week would keep their hopes alive. Tight End has mostly been a wasteland this season, but Freiermuth has been one of the most consistent in the NFL.

He has only found paydirt a single time in 2022, but has totaled 50 catches for 597 yards. The Steelers have been inconsistent on offense, and will need everything they can get out of their big TE. George Pickens is throwing a temper tantrum, Diontae Johnson has been invisible…you get the picture.

The Ravens have been middle of the pack against TE, I expect this one to be a tough, low-scoring game. Pat should see plenty of opportunities here.

Greg Dulcich, Broncos ($3,400 DraftKings, $5,400 FanDuel)

Dulcich has been a frustrating player to roster this season, but he is coming off his best game of the season. Russell Wilson and the Broncos offense have been an elite level of comedy this season, but that matters little here.

His 6/85 line last week eclipsed his total from the last three games. Denver will undoubtedly be playing from behind here against the Chiefs, and will need all the help they can get. The offense has scored 10 points or less in three of their last four games. Yes, you read that correctly. Less than TEN.

Make fun of this team all you want, but Dulcich seems like a diamond in the rough at this price, and I’ll have some shares in Week 14.

George Kittle, 49ers ($4,300 DraftKings, $5,900 FanDuel)

Looking at pricing this weekend, I had to do a double-take on Kittle. I know he has been very all-or-nothing this season and that Brock Purdy is under center. Regardless, seeing a player of Kittle’s talent and upside at this price is incredibly enticing.

Tampa Bay has been very vulnerable to opposing TE this season, serving up the 4th-most fantasy points to the position. Last time Kittle saw an elite matchup was three weeks ago against the Cardinals. All he did was respond with a 4/84/2 line and 24.4 DraftKings points. While that lofty goal seems unlikely here, I do expect Kittle to bounce back from a few lackluster performances.

Tampa Bay is one of the toughest draws for opposing RB in the NFL. I expect a few extra looks to go Kittle’s way here as the 49ers continue to jockey for playoff positioning.

I’ll never tell you not to play Travis Kelce. He may have some extra motivation after Germaine Pratt stole his lunch money (and the ball) from him early in the 4th last week. He is pricey, and hasn’t had a ton of success against Denver recently (34 yards or less in three of his last four).

I tweeted earlier about how Mark Andrews inexplicably has scored ZERO times against the Steelers in six career games. That seems completely unreal, but facts are facts. He hasn’t shown much of late, and Lamar Jackson may miss this week. I’m not prioritizing him here.

Come find me on Twitter and let’s chat some football! Good luck in Week 14, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

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Last week saw Hayden Hurst go down early with an injury, and Travis Kelce fumble away a key opportunity. Tight End continues to be a tough position to fill, but I’m here to help! Let’s find ourselves some value and upside as we move along to Week 14. Playoff races are heating up, and I’ll be focusing more and more on games with playoff implications. Let’s make some cash!

Be sure to jump into the WinDailySports Discord. Take advantage of our cheat sheets and projections while you build your lineups for Week 14 on FanDuel and DraftKings! Let’s continue to finish strong this season!

TJ Hockenson, Vikings ($5,100 DraftKings, $6,500 FanDuel)

Hockenson is my favorite TE play of the week for so many reasons. First off, returning to his old stomping grounds in Detroit. Second, the fact that the Lions rank 28th against opposing TE in terms of fantasy points allowed. Only the Cardinals (9) have allowed more TD to the position than the Lions (8).

Kirk Cousins and company are still fighting for the top spot in the NFC, and this is another solid matchup they should be able to exploit. I’ll give Hock a pass for his 7.3 DraftKings points last week, the Jets are a tough matchup for anyone right now.

It’s crazy to say for a 10-2 team, but this is a must-win for the Purple and Gold if they want any shot at securing the first-round bye in the NFC. Would help if the Eagles ever lost also, but you control what you can control. Get yourself some Hock shares!

Pat Freiermuth, Steelers ($4,500 DraftKings, $5,800 FanDuel)

Don’t look now, but the Steelers are still (barely) alive in the playoff hunt. A win over the Ravens this week would keep their hopes alive. Tight End has mostly been a wasteland this season, but Freiermuth has been one of the most consistent in the NFL.

He has only found paydirt a single time in 2022, but has totaled 50 catches for 597 yards. The Steelers have been inconsistent on offense, and will need everything they can get out of their big TE. George Pickens is throwing a temper tantrum, Diontae Johnson has been invisible…you get the picture.

The Ravens have been middle of the pack against TE, I expect this one to be a tough, low-scoring game. Pat should see plenty of opportunities here.

Greg Dulcich, Broncos ($3,400 DraftKings, $5,400 FanDuel)

Dulcich has been a frustrating player to roster this season, but he is coming off his best game of the season. Russell Wilson and the Broncos offense have been an elite level of comedy this season, but that matters little here.

His 6/85 line last week eclipsed his total from the last three games. Denver will undoubtedly be playing from behind here against the Chiefs, and will need all the help they can get. The offense has scored 10 points or less in three of their last four games. Yes, you read that correctly. Less than TEN.

Make fun of this team all you want, but Dulcich seems like a diamond in the rough at this price, and I’ll have some shares in Week 14.

George Kittle, 49ers ($4,300 DraftKings, $5,900 FanDuel)

Looking at pricing this weekend, I had to do a double-take on Kittle. I know he has been very all-or-nothing this season and that Brock Purdy is under center. Regardless, seeing a player of Kittle’s talent and upside at this price is incredibly enticing.

Tampa Bay has been very vulnerable to opposing TE this season, serving up the 4th-most fantasy points to the position. Last time Kittle saw an elite matchup was three weeks ago against the Cardinals. All he did was respond with a 4/84/2 line and 24.4 DraftKings points. While that lofty goal seems unlikely here, I do expect Kittle to bounce back from a few lackluster performances.

Tampa Bay is one of the toughest draws for opposing RB in the NFL. I expect a few extra looks to go Kittle’s way here as the 49ers continue to jockey for playoff positioning.

I’ll never tell you not to play Travis Kelce. He may have some extra motivation after Germaine Pratt stole his lunch money (and the ball) from him early in the 4th last week. He is pricey, and hasn’t had a ton of success against Denver recently (34 yards or less in three of his last four).

I tweeted earlier about how Mark Andrews inexplicably has scored ZERO times against the Steelers in six career games. That seems completely unreal, but facts are facts. He hasn’t shown much of late, and Lamar Jackson may miss this week. I’m not prioritizing him here.

Come find me on Twitter and let’s chat some football! Good luck in Week 14, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

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At the beginning of the 2022 season, this game looked like it would be a great matchup. Instead, we have the 5-7 Raiders who are fighting for their playoff lives. On the other side, we see the results of a team selling its future for one playoff run. The Rams have been hit with injuries, but have also taken a nosedive with some poor front office decisions. I hope it was worth it! The Raiders are favored by six in this one, with a total around 44.5 points. Let’s get into it!

DraftKings and FanDuel each have a slightly different setup for Showdown slates, with DraftKings using a “Captain” spot. Captain earns you 1.5X points, BUT also costs you 1.5X in salary. FanDuel uses an “MVP”, which is ALSO 1.5X points, but salaries are the same, regardless of position. DraftKings uses 5 FLEX spots, and FanDuel uses 4 “AnyFLEX” spots to fill out your roster.

Captain/MVP Plays

Davante Adams, Raiders ($19,200 DraftKings, $16,000 FanDuel)

Man, Davante is pricy here, but I don’t care. It is very difficult to argue that he hasn’t been the top WR in the NFL recently. Check out these stats:

8-177-2 (12 targets) – 40.7 DraftKings points

7-74 (11) – 14.4 DraftKings

7-141-2 (13) – 36.1 DraftKings

9-126-1 (14) – 30.6 DraftKings

10-146-2 (17) – 39.6 DraftKings

He will see Jalen Ramsey in this one, but that doesn’t scare me at all. Ramsey just got cooked for a game-winner by DK Metcalf in the final minute last week. He still ranks among the elite, per PFF, but I’ll side with Adams every time. The Raiders went from being in line for the #2 pick a few weeks back to still having hope for the postseason. I expect another big game from Davante, and I cannot even fathom a fade.

Cam Akers, Rams ($11,700 DraftKings, $12,000 FanDuel)

With no Cooper Kupp, I have very little confidence in most players on this team. Even less so now that they signed Baker Mayfield. Regardless, Akers saw 18 touches last week, and parlayed that into 60 yards and a pair of scores. We all know the Raiders issues with opposing RB, as they rank 30th in the NFL in fantasy points allowed.

The Rams’ QB situation is an absolute mess right now. Matt Stafford is on the IR, John Wolford is banged up, and we may see Bryce Perkins and Baker Mayfield as the only healthy options. W-O-O-F. I expect a heavy dose of Akers in this one, as the Rams look to alleviate pressure from whichever replacement-level QB they throw under center in this one.

Josh Jacobs, Raiders ($18,600 DraftKings, $16,500 FanDuel)

If you’re not going the Davante route in this one, Jacobs makes the most sense as a pivot in the bonus spot. He has been a machine himself of late, totaling 160, 303 (yes, 303), and 150 scrimmage yards in his last three games.

He has been a limited participant in practice all week, but I’m not overly concerned. Monitor the situation as we get closer to the game on Thursday, but there doesn’t seem to be major concern that he will sit out.

The Rams have been decent against the run, but Jacobs is a man on a mission right now. I don’t think anyone wants to face this offense in its current form. If the Raiders can recover from a 2-7 start to make the playoffs, they could be a force to be reckoned with. Jacobs looks like an elite play once again. VOLUME IS KING!

FLEX/AnyFLEX Plays

Derek Carr, Raiders ($10,200 DraftKings, $15,000 FanDuel)

The Raiders’ rise from the cellar has directly coincided with better play from Mr. Carr. He has been solid of late, and makes for a great pairing with Adams in this one. He has attempted 36 or more passes in four of his last five games, and 30+ in all five.

The Rams are 24th in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to opposing QB, and the Raiders are on a roll right now. They have plenty to play for still, and the Rams do not. Carr has an 11/3 TD/INT over that same five-game span, and has a solid floor with a bit of upside here. Fire him up!

Tutu Atwell, Rams ($4,400 DraftKings, $6,500 FanDuel)

The Rams’ leader in targets last week was none other than Tutu Atwell. Now, five targets isn’t exactly an elite level, but opportunity is all we need. Even better, he saw four rushing attempts as well. None of these Rams players seem to have a ton of upside, but we play with the options we have. I love Atwell here due to his ability to stretch the field. Doesn’t hurt that his price tag is dirt cheap also.

Foster Moreau, Raiders ($6,600 DraftKings, $8,500 FanDuel)

Over the last four weeks, only the Jacksonville Jaguars have allowed more fantasy points to TE than the Rams. Moreau has had a roller-coaster of a season, and hasn’t quite lived up to expectations with Darren Waller on the shelf. A good amount of that is due to the breakouts by Adams and Jacobs, so his ceiling is capped. Regardless, he has still found ways to be productive. He has two games in his last four with 12+ DraftKings points.

Other Options

The Raiders defense looks like a decent option here. With the potential that we see Mayfield or Perkins under center, Maxx Crosby and company are licking their chops.

Daniel Carlson remains one of the best kickers in the NFL. Although he has missed a kick in three straight games, he has still posted double-digit scores in each game. Matt Gay is 18/19 on the season…the Rams haven’t given him a ton of opportunities, but he has been solid when his number is called.

I’m not expecting the Rams to have a ton of success throwing the football, but Van Jefferson is always a threat to make a big play. He’s priced a bit higher than I like here, but the upside exists.

I’d rather go with Brandon Powell, who is just $2,400 on DraftKings. He saw seven touches last week, and took on a similar hybrid role to Atwell. With both Cooper Kupp and Allen Robinson on IR, SOMEONE has to catch the ball, right? RIGHT?

Make sure to join our Discord to jump into our conversations with the team and share your successes (I am “Myrtle Beach Mermen”, if you understand the reference, we will get along right away! We have a TON of great tools for you to check out, make sure you’re taking advantage! You can find projections here and try out the optimizer here.

Good luck on Thursday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

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Last week we could not miss at quarterback and it may go down as one of the most optimistic positions to draft with all the favorable matchups. We cashed in tickets from heavy hitters like Jalen Hurts, all the way down to punts like Kenny Pickett. But here in Week 14 with six teams on bye, we may not want to get fancy and keep it simple at quarterback. Most of the field could be playing it safe at QB as well, so we’ll need to get different in other spots. I actually prefer weeks like these, set it and forget it at quarterback. So let’s get right into it, always check in on our Discord chat rooms and stay up to speed on NFL news and notes.

Check out our NFL Week 14 DFS Quarterbacks!

Josh Allen ($8,300 DraftKings/$8,700 FanDuel)

Allen will see the Jets again for the second time this season hoping to even the score. New York entered the game as double-digit dogs and pulled off the upset against the Bills back in Week 9. But even in a tough loss throwing two interceptions, he made up for his mistakes on the ground to score nearly 27 fantasy points. We can’t go wrong no matter how tough of a matchup for Josh Allen in DFS.

Jalen Hurts ($8,100 DraftKings/$8,700 FanDuel)

No matter how opposing defenses line up to defend against Jalen Hurts, he wins every time. Whether through the air (380 YDS/3TDS against TEN) or with his legs (157 RuYDS/(9.2 YPC) the Eagles have the cheat code at quarterback. Although the Giants will try to slow down the game flow and eat up as much of the clock as possible, Hurts will feast on a New York secondary loaded with injuries.

Patrick Mahomes ($8,000 DraftKings/$8,800 FanDuel)

He isn’t in the best spot to bounce back from a 19 fantasy point game last week against the Broncos, but we can’t fade the volume of Mahomes. As good as the Denver defense is, the offense has been absolute trash and has not scored over 20 points since Week 8. Give me the Chiefs and Mahomes who will continue to put the ball in the air 40-plus times a game any day of the week. Super sneaky GPP quarterback this week given the matchup and bust against the Bengals.

Joe Burrow ($7,000 DraftKings/$8,300 FanDuel)

Burrow exploded on the Chiefs for 30 DK Points in a primetime afternoon contest and crushed his underpriced salary. He’s at market value on FanDuel, but still a bargain on DraftKings where he may hit 4 times his value again. The Browns’ defense has had his number and in their first meeting this season, Burrow took five sacks and coughed up two turnovers in Week 8. Which is why I like him in a GPP. The Bengals having Chase, Higgins, and most likely Mixon on the field keeps Burrow at his ceiling and defenses on their toes.

Kirk Cousins ($6,100 DraftKings/$7,500 FanDuel)

In what may be the best game to target in DFS on the slate, Kirk Cousins could give you back a decent ROI and at the same time provide a discount at quarterback this week. On the road in the Motor City with a game total already at 53, he may be a little chalky but will be a safe salary saver against a Lions’ defense that has allowed the most yardage (402.2/game) and points (25.3/game) all year.

Jared Goff ($5,600 DraftKings/$7,100 FanDuel)

Goff should also see plenty of ownership this weekend in DFS. He has an even bigger ROI than Cousins in the same matchup that could end up becoming a back-and-forth shootout at home. If you like Justin Jefferson and Amon-Ra St. Brown this week, Jared Goff will make it happen against a Vikings team that has allowed the most passing yards per game (283.6/game) and second-most total yards (398.7/game).

Thanks for reading our NFL Week DFS Quarterbacks article for Week 14. There will be tons of content covering each position all week, cash games and tournaments, and plenty of articles, videos, and podcasts so check in with us whichever way you like to consume your content. Don’t forget to check out our projection models and cheat sheets which will be updated throughout the week. Livestreams will be up on our Video Hub and make sure you lock into our Sunday morning live stream to keep up to date with all the last-minute news. Tag me @Jdicarlo78 on our Discord chat or on Twitter @JoeDiCarlo78. Fellas let’s keep the green screens coming!

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Tom Brady and Tampa Bay host their kryptonite on MNF with the New Orleans saints coming to town. Brady has had a hell of a time against this defense since his arrival in the NFC South. Regardless, the 5-6 Buccaneers are listed as 3.5-points favorites with a total of just 41 points. Let’s cash in on MNF showdown!

DraftKings and FanDuel each have a slightly different setup for Showdown slates, with DraftKings using a “Captain” spot. Captain earns you 1.5X points, BUT also costs you 1.5X in salary. FanDuel uses an “MVP”, which is ALSO 1.5X points, but salaries are the same, regardless of position. DraftKings uses 5 FLEX spots, and FanDuel uses 4 “AnyFLEX” spots to fill out your roster.

Captain/MVP Plays

Chris Olave, Saints ($12,600 DraftKings, $13,500 FanDuel)

The Saints will need to make plays down the field if they are going to stay competitive in this one. Miraculously, they still have a window to win the South, but this win would be an absolute must if they are going to have a shot. Regardless, Olave has been a revelation for the Saints this season, especially with Michael Thomas out for the season.

Olave saw 13 targets in the first meeting, and hauled in five passes for 80 yards. He has caught 10 of 15 targets over the last two weeks for 164 yards and a score. I’m not expecting a ton of offense in this one overall, but I’m banking on Olave being busy all night long.

Chris Godwin, Bucs ($15,900 DraftKings, $12,500 FanDuel)

I’m not overly excited about paying top salary for Godwin on DraftKings, but he is the 6th-highest priced player on FanDuel. He has kept Tom Brady and the offense alive the last two weeks, catching 18 of 21 targets for 181 yards and a pair of scores.

Fellow wideout Mike Evans has done very little with his opportunities of late. The offense overall has been a travesty recently, so I’m rolling with Godwin again. His volume is elite here, and Brady will need every bit of yardage he can get out of his favorite target.

FLEX/AnyFLEX Plays

Leonard Fournette, Bucs ($7,400 DraftKings, $12,000 FanDuel)

Lenny may not be 100% coming into this one, but he is expected to suit up. Both defenses have been solid against the run, and both rushing attacks have struggled. That said, Fournette’s work in the passing game puts him firmly in play here for me. He will undoubtedly cede some work to Rachaad White, but White wasted an opportunity to seize the job.

The Bucs absolutely need this win, and I’m expecting Brady and company to stick with what they know works. I’m willing to be dead wrong here, but I’m expecting Fournette to see more work than White.

Taysom Hill, Saints ($6,400 DraftKings, $10,000 FanDuel)

Tread lightly here, because I never seem to get Taysom right. However, we all know how well Andy Dalton performs under the bright lights of Primetime. Hill has seen 15 carries and attempted four passes over the last two weeks. He is reasonably priced, and I’m considering a full fade of Alvin Kamara here. Kamara has been remarkably inconsistent, and his usage in the passing game hasn’t paid off. Factor in his salary, and I’m all aboard the Hill train.

Kickers!

Like I mentioned above, I don’t expect this one to be high-scoring, and Vegas agrees. This is a perfect storm for both Willie Lutz and Ryan Succop. The weather looks to be tame in this one, and stay nice and warm down in Tampa. I will be forcing in some legs over arms for this showdown slate.

Other Options

Mike Evans always has elite upside, and now his enemy #1 Marshon Lattimore seems unlikely to play. Brady needs every break he can get in his old age, and his absence would be huge (monitor this leading up to lock). I still prefer Godwin, but Evans could pay off nicely for those who focus on his recent lackluster performances.

Adam Trautman is in play here with Juwan Johnson on the shelf. He is a solid play at near minimum on DraftKings ($1,200). His floor is low, of course, but the risk is almost non-existent.

Rachaad White could be a solid play here as well. The Saints are tough against the run, and he will be splitting work with Fournette. That said, he has 100+ yards in each of his last two games, so he is building some momentum.

If you’re a believer in Brady’s struggles against the Saints (0 or 1 TD in three of his last four vs the Saints), then you need to grab a few shares of the Saints defense. They have had their ups and downs, but may just have a mental arrogance about them in this one.

Julio Jones has 18 targets over his last four games. I like him as a low-mid range option here with a decent floor.

Rashid Shaheed always seems to show out on showdown slates, and he is dirt cheap here. At $1,400 on DraftKings, I’ll take a shot on a trick play or two going for big yardage.

Make sure to join our Discord to jump into our conversations with the team and share your successes (I am “Myrtle Beach Mermen”, if you understand the reference, we will get along right away! We have a TON of great tools for you to check out, make sure you’re taking advantage! You can find projections here and try out the optimizer here.

Good luck on Monday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

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We had another banger in Week 13 as an RB that I’ve touted all year, Josh Jacobs, popped for 50 DK points. I was also on James Conner and Austin Ekeler who provided great returns in a solid game environment. But now it’s onto Week 13 where we have a full slate and a lot of good options at the ball carrier position.

Please be sure to check out Stix’s projections each week when evaluating NFL DFS using the NFL Projection Model. It’s the best predictive tool on the market and will give you a competitive advantage against the competition! Also don’t forget to check out the NFL Pre Lock Show on Sunday at 11am on YouTube.

As with the past weeks I highlight my favorite 10 RB’s below and break them up into Tiers (Tier 1 = $7K above, Tier 2 = $6K to $7K, Tier 3 = below $6K).

TIER 1 DFS RUNNING BACKS

AUSTIN EKELER $8500 DraftKings $8800 FanDuel

Ekeler is back on the top of my list for many reasons. First is his opponent, the Las Vegas Raiders. They all the 4th most fantasy points to RB’s this season. The Raiders have allowed a rushing TD in 5 straight games and 8 of 11 this year. Second reason is that Ekeler averages the most points for RB’s this year. He leads the league in targets for RB’s with 98 (~9 per game). Even if the Chargers get off script and abandon the running game, he’s a threat to pop based on his extensive use in their passing game. This shouldn’t slow down against the Raiders and I expect another big game from #30 on Sunday.

DERRICK HENRY $8100 DraftKings $9500 FanDuel

I’m an Eagles fan. And you probably know that by now. And you likely know that the Eagles cannot stop the run. They allow the 10th most points to RB’s and are 24th in run defense DVOA. Yes, Jordan Davis is returning this week. But that won’t immediately solve the problem as they have issues on the back end of their defense now with CJ Gardner Johnson hurt. Derrick Henry let us down last week but he won’t do that two games in a row. Henry has 1048 yards rushing already this year which is good for 2nd in the NFL. He has a great matchup with quality weather in Philly tomorrow. Henry looks like a smash play.

NICK CHUBB $8000 DraftKings $8700 FanDuel

Tier 1 is packed with great matchups this week and Nick Chubb is our next one to make the list. The Browns are rolling out Deshaun Watson at QB as he is eligible to play for the first time in 2 years. This should result in a conservative game plan to allow Watson to get his timing and rhythm back. Which should mean Chubb and more Chubb against the 32nd ranked rushing defense of the Houston Texans. Last week the Texans D held solid against Jeff Wilson but that was because the Dolphins threw 70% of the time. Kevin Stefanski won’t let them off the hook that easy as I expect a 55/45 split this week. Play Chubb with confidence.

JOSH JACOBS $7900 DraftKings $8700 FanDuel

This is where the Josh Jacobs fan club originated and we’re not gonna stop just because people are now all in on the Raiders RB. His 51.3 DK point output was the highest for a RB this year as he totaled 303 yards of offense against the Seahawks in Week 12. Now he gets to face the Chargers who are 29th in rushing defense DVOA. They also allowed the 3rd most points to RB’s in 2022. Add in the fact that Jacobs has averaged 26 carries in the last 3 games and you see the Raiders commitment to the run. After all, they are 4-2 in games in which he’s received 20+ carries and 0-5 when he hasn’t. It would be kind of smart to run him 20+ times if you were a coach that likes winning.

DALVIN COOK $7200 DraftKings $8700 FanDuel

Here’s one that is somewhat off the radar. The Jets are a good rushing defense that ranks 6th in DVOA and 12th in yards allowed. But they are better against the pass ranking 5th in DVOA and 8th in yards allowed through the air. I believe the Vikings will try to run the ball this week to keep the aggressive D line off QB Kirk Cousins. Dalvin Cook is known for breaking tackles (7th in NFL) and being able to win in a physical game (he ran for 119 against the Bills) which is exactly what this game should be. Vikings will play tough and it will be because of their success in the run game.

TIER 2 DFS RUNNING BACKS

TRAVIS ETIENNE $6400 DraftKings $8400 FanDuel

Etienne let down owners last week because he was forced out of the game in the 2nd quarter with an injury. And what was even more unfortunate is that his backup, JayMichael Hasty, scored 20.5 DK points in Etienne’s absence. So the game script was there but the availability wasn’t. However, Head Coach Doug Pederson said that Etienne is healthy and will suit up this week against the Lions. Which means it’s time to seriously consider the Jags RB this week as Detroit ranks 30th in rush defense. And when Etienne is healthy, he’s had snap counts of 78%, 80%, 79%, and 80% in the last 4 games. Give me 80% Etienne snap counts against Detroit and I can guarantee a game of 18+ fantasy points.

DAVID MONTGOMERY $6200 DraftKings $7000 FanDuel

Montgomery concerns many fantasy owners as he never seems to live up to his potential. And once again in 2022, he’s been a disappointment with just 580 yards and a 3.9 ypc. But with the Khalil Herbert injury, he’s the main back and will get the primary workload against an awful Packers run defense as shown with a 69% snap count last week. This Packers D allowed 363 rushing yards to the Eagles last Sunday Night. They are 31st in the league in rushing yards allowed at 155 per game. It’s looking like QB Justin Fields will play this week which should open up holes for Montgomery in the RPO game. I’m not in love with the Bears RB, but I do think he’s a safe play with potential to pop for 20+.

TIER 3 DFS RUNNING BACKS (VALUE TIER)

DAMEON PIERCE DraftKings $5900 FanDuel $7700

The NFL season is a long one. And Dameon Pierce is learning that the hard way as he’s rushed for just 16 yards total in the past 2 games. However, he gets the benefit of facing the Browns this week who own the 31st rated run defense according to DVOA. Even the hapless Bucs rushed for 96 yards against the Browns defense. So while the struggles are real, I’m willing to take a chance on an RB under $6K who has talent and is facing the 2nd worst run defense in the league.

ISIAH PACHECO DraftKings $5600 FanDuel $6600

The Chiefs rookie RB is averaging 17.5 carries per game over the past 3 weeks. He’s trending in the opposite direction of his fellow rookie RB Dameon Pierce. And that’s because Pacheco took his time to learn the offense and was slowly phased in. And as of today, it’s definitely Pacheco’s job to lose as the primary RB as he’s averaged 53% snap count over the past 3 games. This week is a tough matchup, but the Bengals will need to respect Travis Kelce and the Chiefs passing game which should open up holes for Pacheco. I’m confident he’ll get 15+ touches and in this offense this should lead towards a solid amount of points. It’s a good price and a good game environment for the Chiefs RB this week.

ZONOVAN KNIGHT DraftKings $4600 FanDuel $6400

If you watched the WinDaily Draft Cast this week, then you know my affinity for Zonovan Knight. He burst on the scene out of nowhere last week and led the Jets backfield in rushing and receiving. Knight scored 13.3 fantasy points by posting 103 total yards. It looks like Michael Carter will be out this week which opens the door for Knight. He faces the Vikings who are 20th in points allowed to RB’s. Play this one lightly as there is always potential for Tyler Johnson or James Robinson to carry the load. But at $4600, Knight is worth a flier in GPP’s.

NFL DFS BONUS PICKS

My bonus pick this week is AARON JONES ($6900 DK). Things haven’t gone right for the Packers all year but Jones has been a steady option in fantasy despite his teams’ struggles. Jones averages 17 DK points per game and has only had 3 games under 10 points. He faces the 6th worst rush defense in the league in the Bears and with Aaron Rodgers under center he should be able to be an effective part in both the running and passing game.

RB PROP BETS

We were 2-0 in this spot in Week 12. Let’s see if we can keep this streak going with the below plays for Week 13.

AUSTIN EKELER Anytime TD (-155 DK)

NICK CHUBB over 93.5 yards (-110 DK)

Now that you finished reading the NFL DFS RUNNING BACK REPORT article make sure to check out our YouTube Channel for constant content for every game and slate in the NFL this season and hop in our Discord Expert Chat.

Also, be sure to follow me on Twitter (@dgloeck) and my other content that is part of the WinDailySports family.

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We had another banger in Week 13 as an RB that I’ve touted all year, Josh Jacobs, popped for 50 DK points. I was also on James Conner and Austin Ekeler who provided great returns in a solid game environment. But now it’s onto Week 13 where we have a full slate and a lot of good options at the ball carrier position.

Please be sure to check out Stix’s projections each week when evaluating NFL DFS using the NFL Projection Model. It’s the best predictive tool on the market and will give you a competitive advantage against the competition! Also don’t forget to check out the NFL Pre Lock Show on Sunday at 11am on YouTube.

As with the past weeks I highlight my favorite 10 RB’s below and break them up into Tiers (Tier 1 = $7K above, Tier 2 = $6K to $7K, Tier 3 = below $6K).

TIER 1 DFS RUNNING BACKS

AUSTIN EKELER $8500 DraftKings $8800 FanDuel

Ekeler is back on the top of my list for many reasons. First is his opponent, the Las Vegas Raiders. They all the 4th most fantasy points to RB’s this season. The Raiders have allowed a rushing TD in 5 straight games and 8 of 11 this year. Second reason is that Ekeler averages the most points for RB’s this year. He leads the league in targets for RB’s with 98 (~9 per game). Even if the Chargers get off script and abandon the running game, he’s a threat to pop based on his extensive use in their passing game. This shouldn’t slow down against the Raiders and I expect another big game from #30 on Sunday.

DERRICK HENRY $8100 DraftKings $9500 FanDuel

I’m an Eagles fan. And you probably know that by now. And you likely know that the Eagles cannot stop the run. They allow the 10th most points to RB’s and are 24th in run defense DVOA. Yes, Jordan Davis is returning this week. But that won’t immediately solve the problem as they have issues on the back end of their defense now with CJ Gardner Johnson hurt. Derrick Henry let us down last week but he won’t do that two games in a row. Henry has 1048 yards rushing already this year which is good for 2nd in the NFL. He has a great matchup with quality weather in Philly tomorrow. Henry looks like a smash play.

NICK CHUBB $8000 DraftKings $8700 FanDuel

Tier 1 is packed with great matchups this week and Nick Chubb is our next one to make the list. The Browns are rolling out Deshaun Watson at QB as he is eligible to play for the first time in 2 years. This should result in a conservative game plan to allow Watson to get his timing and rhythm back. Which should mean Chubb and more Chubb against the 32nd ranked rushing defense of the Houston Texans. Last week the Texans D held solid against Jeff Wilson but that was because the Dolphins threw 70% of the time. Kevin Stefanski won’t let them off the hook that easy as I expect a 55/45 split this week. Play Chubb with confidence.

JOSH JACOBS $7900 DraftKings $8700 FanDuel

This is where the Josh Jacobs fan club originated and we’re not gonna stop just because people are now all in on the Raiders RB. His 51.3 DK point output was the highest for a RB this year as he totaled 303 yards of offense against the Seahawks in Week 12. Now he gets to face the Chargers who are 29th in rushing defense DVOA. They also allowed the 3rd most points to RB’s in 2022. Add in the fact that Jacobs has averaged 26 carries in the last 3 games and you see the Raiders commitment to the run. After all, they are 4-2 in games in which he’s received 20+ carries and 0-5 when he hasn’t. It would be kind of smart to run him 20+ times if you were a coach that likes winning.

DALVIN COOK $7200 DraftKings $8700 FanDuel

Here’s one that is somewhat off the radar. The Jets are a good rushing defense that ranks 6th in DVOA and 12th in yards allowed. But they are better against the pass ranking 5th in DVOA and 8th in yards allowed through the air. I believe the Vikings will try to run the ball this week to keep the aggressive D line off QB Kirk Cousins. Dalvin Cook is known for breaking tackles (7th in NFL) and being able to win in a physical game (he ran for 119 against the Bills) which is exactly what this game should be. Vikings will play tough and it will be because of their success in the run game.

TIER 2 DFS RUNNING BACKS

TRAVIS ETIENNE $6400 DraftKings $8400 FanDuel

Etienne let down owners last week because he was forced out of the game in the 2nd quarter with an injury. And what was even more unfortunate is that his backup, JayMichael Hasty, scored 20.5 DK points in Etienne’s absence. So the game script was there but the availability wasn’t. However, Head Coach Doug Pederson said that Etienne is healthy and will suit up this week against the Lions. Which means it’s time to seriously consider the Jags RB this week as Detroit ranks 30th in rush defense. And when Etienne is healthy, he’s had snap counts of 78%, 80%, 79%, and 80% in the last 4 games. Give me 80% Etienne snap counts against Detroit and I can guarantee a game of 18+ fantasy points.

DAVID MONTGOMERY $6200 DraftKings $7000 FanDuel

Montgomery concerns many fantasy owners as he never seems to live up to his potential. And once again in 2022, he’s been a disappointment with just 580 yards and a 3.9 ypc. But with the Khalil Herbert injury, he’s the main back and will get the primary workload against an awful Packers run defense as shown with a 69% snap count last week. This Packers D allowed 363 rushing yards to the Eagles last Sunday Night. They are 31st in the league in rushing yards allowed at 155 per game. It’s looking like QB Justin Fields will play this week which should open up holes for Montgomery in the RPO game. I’m not in love with the Bears RB, but I do think he’s a safe play with potential to pop for 20+.

TIER 3 DFS RUNNING BACKS (VALUE TIER)

DAMEON PIERCE DraftKings $5900 FanDuel $7700

The NFL season is a long one. And Dameon Pierce is learning that the hard way as he’s rushed for just 16 yards total in the past 2 games. However, he gets the benefit of facing the Browns this week who own the 31st rated run defense according to DVOA. Even the hapless Bucs rushed for 96 yards against the Browns defense. So while the struggles are real, I’m willing to take a chance on an RB under $6K who has talent and is facing the 2nd worst run defense in the league.

ISIAH PACHECO DraftKings $5600 FanDuel $6600

The Chiefs rookie RB is averaging 17.5 carries per game over the past 3 weeks. He’s trending in the opposite direction of his fellow rookie RB Dameon Pierce. And that’s because Pacheco took his time to learn the offense and was slowly phased in. And as of today, it’s definitely Pacheco’s job to lose as the primary RB as he’s averaged 53% snap count over the past 3 games. This week is a tough matchup, but the Bengals will need to respect Travis Kelce and the Chiefs passing game which should open up holes for Pacheco. I’m confident he’ll get 15+ touches and in this offense this should lead towards a solid amount of points. It’s a good price and a good game environment for the Chiefs RB this week.

ZONOVAN KNIGHT DraftKings $4600 FanDuel $6400

If you watched the WinDaily Draft Cast this week, then you know my affinity for Zonovan Knight. He burst on the scene out of nowhere last week and led the Jets backfield in rushing and receiving. Knight scored 13.3 fantasy points by posting 103 total yards. It looks like Michael Carter will be out this week which opens the door for Knight. He faces the Vikings who are 20th in points allowed to RB’s. Play this one lightly as there is always potential for Tyler Johnson or James Robinson to carry the load. But at $4600, Knight is worth a flier in GPP’s.

NFL DFS BONUS PICKS

My bonus pick this week is AARON JONES ($6900 DK). Things haven’t gone right for the Packers all year but Jones has been a steady option in fantasy despite his teams’ struggles. Jones averages 17 DK points per game and has only had 3 games under 10 points. He faces the 6th worst rush defense in the league in the Bears and with Aaron Rodgers under center he should be able to be an effective part in both the running and passing game.

RB PROP BETS

We were 2-0 in this spot in Week 12. Let’s see if we can keep this streak going with the below plays for Week 13.

AUSTIN EKELER Anytime TD (-155 DK)

NICK CHUBB over 93.5 yards (-110 DK)

Now that you finished reading the NFL DFS RUNNING BACK REPORT article make sure to check out our YouTube Channel for constant content for every game and slate in the NFL this season and hop in our Discord Expert Chat.

Also, be sure to follow me on Twitter (@dgloeck) and my other content that is part of the WinDailySports family.

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We’ve had some nice wins over the past few weeks, and if you haven’t been reading the articles and hanging out in discord, you are missing out. It looks like a week to pay up at RB this week, so let’s see if we can find some nice plays this week at wide receiver. If you don’t know how I typically play the game, I generally like to build my lineups based on ownership. Bear in mind there will be times when we don’t have a clear picture of what that looks like until game day. With that being said, I do like to wait and see what the field is doing so this article may be a little on the later side than the standard. This way we can stay with the pack, in cash games, and pivot to those high-upside players in GPP-style contests. Don’t forget to look at the bottom of this article for other players I really like as well. Once you’re done scanning this article make sure to hop in our Discord chat to stay up to date with lineup discussions.

Let’s dive into NFL DFS Wide Receivers for this week’s main slate.

DAVANTE ADAMS, LV $8,700 DRAFTKINGS $8,600 FANDUEL

When Adams has had his healthy games, he’s been averaging a nice 12 targets and 27 DK FPG. This week he has a nice matchup again. An interesting stat I want to share with you, each week either one of Adams / Jacobs combo on every single lineup, has taken down slates. He’ll be a little lower owned this week again, and he’s a better GPP play than Cash.

NICO COLLINS, HOU $4,200 DRAFTKINGS $5,800 FANDUEL

Brandin Cooks got hurt in practice and he won’t play this week, and that makes Collins the number one option. Collins has posted 5 or more catches and over 40 receiving yards in three straight games. Last week he was targeted 9 times, which is a really good sign for what i think would can predict a bit of a safe floor this week. Collins should be targeted heavily this week, and the matchup looks really good for him not to have an issue. Lock and load in cash games.

TEE HIGGINS, CIN $7,200 DRAFTKINGS $8,300 FANDUEL

This week we have the return of Ja’Marr Chase and while I do think he is a great play, the salary saver option here, and a nice pivot, can be Tee Higgins. Give me Higgins here, at a lower price tag, and the matchup here is quite good this week for him. Higgins has now posted 5 or more catches in eight of his last nine games. Last time he played the Chiefs he posted 6/103, and I expect him to have a similar game this week.

GARRETT WILSON, NYJ $5,300 DRAFTKINGS $6,600 FANDUEL

Wilson has a tougher matchup this week than in the past, but I honestly don’t think it matters. Wilson is now averaging 5 catches for over 75 yards on over 10 targets per game with 4 TDs in four games without Zach Wilson, where when he played him with him, he just sucked. This week his price tag still doesn’t reflect what he is worth, and he’ll prove to the fans again this week, why he’s the WR1 there in NY.

AMON-RA ST. BROWN, DET $7,100 DRAFTKINGS $8,000 FANDUEL

Excluding games where St. Brown suffered an injury or was hurt, he’s averaging 10 targets and 23 FPG over his last 12 games. He’s hit at least 15 fantasy points in 11 of 12, and double-digit targets in 10 of 12. For perspective, Justin Jefferson has given us around the same numbers as St. Brown, he’s a lot cheaper this week on Draftkings. And as an added bonus, St. Brown also has the more favorable matchup – the Jaguars rank 7th-worst in schedule-adjusted FPG allowed to opposing WRs.

CHRISTIAN KIRK, JAX $6,300 DRAFTKINGS $7,500 FANDUEL

The Lions rank 3rd-worst in schedule-adjusted FPG allowed to opposing slot WRs. With this game looking like a potential shootout, Kirk has a great chance here to put up some big numbers. Lawrence has looked better as the year has gone on, and this looks like the week for Mr. Kirk.

Honorable Mention: Hill, Jefferson, Chase, Waddle, Allen, Cooper, AJ Brown

Value Plays: Pickens, S. Moore, E. Moore, C. Moore, Z Jones, J. Reynolds

ROCKER CORE CASH PLAYS: On the Sheet now in research channel

Thanks for reading our NFL DFS Wide Receivers article as the content is just getting started. There will be a boatload of content rolling in all week covering each position, cash games and tournaments. We will also have articles, videos, and podcasts so be sure to lock in with us in whichever way you like to! Don’t forget to check out our projection models and cheat sheets which will be updated throughout the week. Livestreams will be published each day on our YouTube page and make don’t forget to lock into our Sunday morning livestream to keep up to date with all the last-minute news.

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We’ve had some nice wins over the past few weeks, and if you haven’t been reading the articles and hanging out in discord, you are missing out. It looks like a week to pay up at RB this week, so let’s see if we can find some nice plays this week at wide receiver. If you don’t know how I typically play the game, I generally like to build my lineups based on ownership. Bear in mind there will be times when we don’t have a clear picture of what that looks like until game day. With that being said, I do like to wait and see what the field is doing so this article may be a little on the later side than the standard. This way we can stay with the pack, in cash games, and pivot to those high-upside players in GPP-style contests. Don’t forget to look at the bottom of this article for other players I really like as well. Once you’re done scanning this article make sure to hop in our Discord chat to stay up to date with lineup discussions.

Let’s dive into NFL DFS Wide Receivers for this week’s main slate.

DAVANTE ADAMS, LV $8,700 DRAFTKINGS $8,600 FANDUEL

When Adams has had his healthy games, he’s been averaging a nice 12 targets and 27 DK FPG. This week he has a nice matchup again. An interesting stat I want to share with you, each week either one of Adams / Jacobs combo on every single lineup, has taken down slates. He’ll be a little lower owned this week again, and he’s a better GPP play than Cash.

NICO COLLINS, HOU $4,200 DRAFTKINGS $5,800 FANDUEL

Brandin Cooks got hurt in practice and he won’t play this week, and that makes Collins the number one option. Collins has posted 5 or more catches and over 40 receiving yards in three straight games. Last week he was targeted 9 times, which is a really good sign for what i think would can predict a bit of a safe floor this week. Collins should be targeted heavily this week, and the matchup looks really good for him not to have an issue. Lock and load in cash games.

TEE HIGGINS, CIN $7,200 DRAFTKINGS $8,300 FANDUEL

This week we have the return of Ja’Marr Chase and while I do think he is a great play, the salary saver option here, and a nice pivot, can be Tee Higgins. Give me Higgins here, at a lower price tag, and the matchup here is quite good this week for him. Higgins has now posted 5 or more catches in eight of his last nine games. Last time he played the Chiefs he posted 6/103, and I expect him to have a similar game this week.

GARRETT WILSON, NYJ $5,300 DRAFTKINGS $6,600 FANDUEL

Wilson has a tougher matchup this week than in the past, but I honestly don’t think it matters. Wilson is now averaging 5 catches for over 75 yards on over 10 targets per game with 4 TDs in four games without Zach Wilson, where when he played him with him, he just sucked. This week his price tag still doesn’t reflect what he is worth, and he’ll prove to the fans again this week, why he’s the WR1 there in NY.

AMON-RA ST. BROWN, DET $7,100 DRAFTKINGS $8,000 FANDUEL

Excluding games where St. Brown suffered an injury or was hurt, he’s averaging 10 targets and 23 FPG over his last 12 games. He’s hit at least 15 fantasy points in 11 of 12, and double-digit targets in 10 of 12. For perspective, Justin Jefferson has given us around the same numbers as St. Brown, he’s a lot cheaper this week on Draftkings. And as an added bonus, St. Brown also has the more favorable matchup – the Jaguars rank 7th-worst in schedule-adjusted FPG allowed to opposing WRs.

CHRISTIAN KIRK, JAX $6,300 DRAFTKINGS $7,500 FANDUEL

The Lions rank 3rd-worst in schedule-adjusted FPG allowed to opposing slot WRs. With this game looking like a potential shootout, Kirk has a great chance here to put up some big numbers. Lawrence has looked better as the year has gone on, and this looks like the week for Mr. Kirk.

Honorable Mention: Hill, Jefferson, Chase, Waddle, Allen, Cooper, AJ Brown

Value Plays: Pickens, S. Moore, E. Moore, C. Moore, Z Jones, J. Reynolds

ROCKER CORE CASH PLAYS: On the Sheet now in research channel

Thanks for reading our NFL DFS Wide Receivers article as the content is just getting started. There will be a boatload of content rolling in all week covering each position, cash games and tournaments. We will also have articles, videos, and podcasts so be sure to lock in with us in whichever way you like to! Don’t forget to check out our projection models and cheat sheets which will be updated throughout the week. Livestreams will be published each day on our YouTube page and make don’t forget to lock into our Sunday morning livestream to keep up to date with all the last-minute news.

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Welcome back to the Week 13 NFL DFS cash game and GPP breakdown. As always, we can focus more on lineup construction in Discord. The purpose of this article is to identify my top plays for a NFL DFS cash game lineup on DraftKings and FanDuel Sunday Main Slates (also known as a double-up) in addition to my favorite NFL DFS GPP tournament plays. Good luck this week!

This slate is absolutely loaded with studs and multiple games with game totals over 50 points (game-stacks are certainly encouraged by me). I’ll probably keep out some star players just for the sake of showing you who I’m more focused on investing in, but this article is not meant to identify obvious studs you know are fantastic plays. I may mention them, but guys like Tyreek Hill and Christian McCaffrey are always in play and you don’t need me to tell you they’re likely to have a nice fantasy output.

NFL DFS Quarterbacks:

  • Patrick Mahomes ($8,300 DK / $9,000 FD) – The clear top-option in terms of both expected fantasy output and salary on both NFL DFS outlets. This game is going to be a fantastic watch and running out a sub-10% Mahomes is always something I would advise. He’s in play for both cash and GPP lineups.

    Stack Options: Travis Kelce, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Skyy Moore (punt viable)
    Run-Back Options: Ja’Maar Chase, Joe Mixon, Tee Higgins
  • Justin Herbert ($7,200 DK / $8,100 FD) – Herbert is probably my favorite QB on this slate, and by a decent margin. I always love rolling with Justin Herbert as this Chargers’ offense almost refuses to run the football. The Chargers and the Chiefs are the only offenses on this slate that average over 40 pass attempts per game. Pair that with the Las Vegas Raiders grading dead-last in pass defense DVOA… yea. Cash game and GPP viable at sub-5% ownership? Sign me up.

    *Keep an eye on their offensive line, it’s quite possible they’re down two linemen… not great if so.

    Stack Options: Austin Ekeler, Keenan Allen, Josh Palmer, Gerald Everett
    Run-Back Options: Davante Adams, Josh Jacobs, Foster Moreau
  • Trevor Lawrence ($5,900 DK / $7,500 FD) – On DraftKings, Trevor Lawrence is going to be over 15% owned which makes him a perfect cash game quarterback against the Lions’ defense in a 51-point game total. I usually LOVE to play Trevor Lawrence in GPP lineups, but only when he’s 1-2% owned. The Lions blitz a lot and have continuously improved their pressure-rate to opposing quarterbacks and that is where Lawrence still struggles. This Detroit defense is not nearly as bad as the general public thinks it is, and Trevor Lawrence does not warrant 15% or higher ownership at any price. I’ll be fading in GPP but giving him a serious look for my cash game quarterback.

    Stack Options: Christian Kirk, Zay Jones, Marvin Jones (punt viable), Evan Engram (punt viable)
    Run-Back Options: Amon-Ra St. Brown, DJ Chark
  • Kenny Pickett ($5,200 DK / $6,700 FD) – My second favorite QB on this slate (in terms of overall value and ownership) is Mr. Pickett, but mainly on DraftKings. At $5,200, I absolutely love what my lineups look like when I start with Kenny Pickett as a value “punt” quarterback. Having said that, I truly don’t look at Kenny Pickett as a punt quarterback. Pickett is quietly averaging over 30 rushing yards per game (against rather quality defenses) over the past four games and that alone is enough for me to sign off for his NFL DFS cash game floor.

    On the GPP side of things, he’s certainly risky as hell on this slate that is loaded with high-upside, high-total game quarterbacks, but if Pickett and the Steelers can be a bit more efficient in the red-zone and we get a passing touchdown or two, Pickett may be in line for a ceiling game here in the dome against the Falcons and their 29th ranked pass defense (DVOA).

    Stack Options: George Pickens, Pat Freiermuth, Diontae Johnson
    Run-Back Options: Drake London (I wouldn’t make it a priority to have a run-back if I’m playing Pickett. Pickett is solely a salary relief play to give us more quality exposure to those higher total games)

Honorable Mention: Joe Burrow, Tua Tagovailoa, Jalen Hurts

NFL DFS Running Backs:

  • Nick Chubb ($8,000 DK / $9,600 FD) – The best offensive line in the NFL against the worst run defense in the NFL. At his projected ownership of 5% on both sites, Chubb is better off as a GPP play with the expectation that this is absolutely a slate-breaking opportunity if you trust the DeShaun Watson debut.
  • Josh Jacobs ($7,900 DK / $9,500 FD) – Jacobs pretty much ruined my GPP upside last weekend with his late game heroics (I did not play him) despite battling a calf injury all week. He’s still apparently battling that calf injury, but if he’s ruled good to go, this is the best matchup Jacobs has had in quite some time. It’ll be hard to fade the hottest hand at the running back position. He’s a quality option in all formats.
  • Joe Mixon ($7,100 DK / $8,500 FD) – Assuming he clears the concussion protocol, Joe Mixon is likely a core-play for me in all formats of NFL DFS in Week 13. This Chiefs @ Bengals game has the highest game total on the slate and I want to ensure I get exposure to key contributors in that game. The Chiefs’ run defense is not nearly as bad as it has been in years past, but they absolutely bleed production to pass-catching running backs which is where Mixon has excelled this season. He’s one of the few “two and a half down” running backs left in the NFL. If he’s ruled out, Samaje Perine is a lock-button.
  • Aaron Jones ($6,900 DK / $7,400 FD) – Finally a sub-$7K price-tag in the best matchup he’s had in some time. AJ Dillon is slightly banged up with a quad injury and this is the nut-matchup against the Bears for Aaron Jones’ expected dual-threat utilization. He’s likely best left as a GPP play at sub-10% ownership.
  • Dameon Pierce ($5,900 DK / $6,500 FD) – He’s been a complete bummer lately, but in NFL DFS cash games, he’s a chalky value in a great matchup against a bottom-three run defense. I don’t expect a whole lot, but if you need the savings, just take the ownership free-square in your cash games and you can consider him as a risky value in GPP lineups, but the matchup upside is there.
  • Isiah Pacheco ($5,700 DK / $7,000 FD) – I’m prioritizing getting key pieces to these higher total games with Kansas City @ Cincinnati being at the top of that list. Pachecho is nowhere near cash viable, but in tournaments, the multiple touchdown upside is what I’ll be shooting for when rostering Pachecho. With all of the ownership in that high $5K range going to Dameon Pierce, Pachecho makes for an excellent tournament pivot in a fantastic fantasy environment. If he can get a reception or two, that’s just icing on the cake.

Honorable Mention: Austin Ekeler, Derrick Henry, David Montgomery, Gus Edwards, Kyren Williams, Zonovan Knight (going to likely be a committee)

NFL DFS Wide Receivers:

  • Davante Adams ($8,700 DK / $8,600 FD) – Ridiculously cheap on FanDuel this week but an elite play on all formats against the Chargers secondary who simply cannot contain Davante Adams. At his price, there are certainly concerns of heavy double-coverage limiting his upside (as Adams went for 10 receptions and over 140 yards in their previous matchup), but I’ll roll out Davante Adams with confidence as he’s received 10 more targets over the past four games than any other pass catcher in the NFL.
  • AJ Brown ($7,800 DK / $8,100 FD) – I’m not a revenge game narrative guy so I’ll spare you reading the same statement about Brown’s time with the Titans that you’ll read literally everywhere. That means absolutely nothing to me. What matters to me is that this is a pass-funnel defense that runs a ton of Cover-1 and Cover-3 defense… that is where AJ Brown absolutely smashes. This is one of the best matchups on paper for any wide receiver in the NFL this week. I could not care less about NFL DFS writers talking about revenge, lol.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown ($7,100 DK / $8,000 FD) – St. Brown will likely be the highest owned wide receiver on this slate and I have no issues with that against Jacksonville here. Roll him out in all formats with confidence.
  • Keenan Allen ($6,500 DK / $7,700 FD) – Great price for a WR1 and a key exposure piece to what should be an absolute slugfest in Las Vegas. The Raiders’ have arguably the worst secondary in football. Josh Palmer is also a fine play at a cheaper price-tag.
  • Christian Kirk ($6,300 DK / $7,500 FD) – Everyone will be chasing the value in Zay Jones and I’ll be going directly to Christian Kirk in this matchup against the Lions’ slot cornerback, Will Harris. The Lions blitz a ton and that should force Lawrence into getting the ball out of his hands early to his shorter ADOT pass-catchers, like Kirk, or this game will turn in favor of Detroit quickly.
  • Garrett Wilson ($5,300 DK / $6,600 FD) – The Vikings’ secondary is in shambles and they are a pass-funnel defense. Wilson is going to be a top-three wide receiver in terms of ownership and like we stated last week, that is likely something we likely cannot fade in NFL DFS cash game lineups.
  • Nico Collins ($4,200 DK / $5,800 FD) – Your cash game “free-square” value wide receiver now that Brandin Cooks is out. I don’t love it, but I get it.
  • Trent Sherfield ($3,300 DK / $5,100 FD) – HERE IT IS… the Discord Diamond. I’m 99.9% sure I’ve never written his name in my life, but here we are.

    Disclaimer: he has 0% of the upside that Christian Watson had when I made that call of the year a few weeks back, but Trent Sherfield offers us a cheap piece of another higher total game in San Francisco (for one of the most pass-happy teams in the NFL).

    As mentioned in the Kenny Pickett write-up, I need some key value in my main lineup and that lineup indeed calls for a player in the low $3,000 range (DraftKings). When really looking at prospective value players and their matchups, I focused on the following “value punts”…

    – DJ Chark
    – Chase Claypool
    – Olamide Zaccheaus (bring-back with my Pickett and Steeler pass-catcher stack, but we don’t want to invest in Atlanta’s passing offense)
    – Skyy Moore (he was very close to taking Sherfield’s spot in this write-up… I do like him, but don’t love the snap counts and randomness of the Chiefs’ offense. It seems like when he does run routes, he gets targeted at a significant clip. Having said that, Juju is finally back at 100% health. I don’t trust Skyy Moore).
    – Trent Sherfield

    Trent Sherfield is the only one on that list who runs well over 25 routes per game. In addition, Sherfield’s expected target share takes a significant jump over his baseline when facing Cover-4 and Cover-3 zone coverage. Guess what coverages the 49ers run the most? Yea, Cover-4 and Cover-3 zone. It’s disgusting, but if the rest of your lineup is loaded with upper-tier studs, I am quite confident that this is a plus-matchup for Trent Sherfield against the 49ers defense that grades 31st in pass defense DVOA to their opposition’s tertiary pass-catchers. If he can find a way to sneak into the end-zone (doubtful), we may have a massive week on our hands with a legit 0% owned, Trent Sherfield. Pray for us!

Honorable Mention: Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, Ja’Maar Chase, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Allen Lazard, Diontae Johnson, George Pickens

NFL DFS Tight-Ends

  • Travis Kelce ($7,900 DK / $8,400 FD)
  • Pat Freiermuth ($4,300 DK / $5,900 FD) – Way too cheap on DraftKings and likely my play for NFL DFS cash games if I cannot afford the obvious Travis Kelce. Atlanta will play a ton of Cover-3 zone coverage and that’s where Freiermuth should have a field day.

Honorable Mention: Mark Andrews, Foster Moreau, Chig Okonkwo (GPP punt only)

NFL DFS Defense/Special Teams:

  • Cleveland Browns
  • New York Giants
  • New York Jets
  • Pittsburgh Steelers
  • Denver Broncos
  • Houston Texans

NFL DFS: The Fab Five (DK Cash Games)

  • Amon-Ra St. Brown
  • Josh Jacobs
  • Nico Collins
  • Pat Freiermuth
  • Samaje Perine

Be sure to follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and DFS slate.

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