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New York Giants

NFL DFS: Thanksgiving Edition

DFSGhost 5 months ago

written by DFSGhost

As we gear up for Week 13 of the NFL season, one of the best DFS slates of the year has arrived: Thanksgiving. Despite three games being much less than a traditional Sunday, the player pool is filled with enticing options at each position.

Be sure to use our proprietary NFL projections to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Quarterbacks

Jared Goff ($6,500 DK / $8,200 FD)

Pacing the NFL with a whopping 32.7 points per game, Jared Goff has led this Lions offense to new heights this season. Surrounded by a plethora of talent at every position, Goff has entered Most Valuable Player conversations amongst the league’s best. Playing behind a stout offensive line that has only allowed 22 sacks through 11 games, Goff ranks fourth in protection rate amongst qualified quarterbacks, leading to the most efficient season of his career. Goff ranks first in yards per attempt, second in completion percentage, second in deep ball completion percentage, and third in red zone completion percentage. In a matchup against a Chicago Bears defense that has a mere 21.8% blitz rate and the third highest average depth of target allowed, Goff and the Lions offense are poised to have a big day.

Tua Tagovailoa ($6,000 DK / $8,000 FD)

Despite missing half of Miami’s games thus far through 12 weeks, Tua Tagovailoa has been having quite the season. Having won three in a row, Tagovailoa has led the Dolphins back into the playoff hunt. While the matchup is far from appealing on paper with the Packers ranked 4^th DVOA against the pass and the cold weather conditions, Tagovailoa’s ceiling is as high as any quarterback on this NFL slate. While the Packers don’t do anything exceptionally well or notably struggle in a particular area, Miami has an edge in player personnel, especially if Jaire Alexander is unable to play.

Thanks to the offensive play-calling of Mike McDaniel and a supporting cast of Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, and Devon Achane, Tagovailoa has averaged 255.5 yards per game since returning from injury, throwing for an average of 2.2 touchdowns. Moreover, he has averaged 34 passing attempts per game during that stretch, including a whopping 40 attempts last week, despite winning the game by 19 points. Make no mistake about it – this is one of the premier offenses in the NFL when Tagovailoa is under center. In their last three games, Miami is 3-0 and have averaged 30.33 points per game, while averaging 27.5 points per game in the six full games from their starting quarterback, versus 10 points per game with Tyler Huntley, Skylar Thompson, and Tim Boyle under center. Expect Tagovailoa to get the ball out to his playmakers early and often.

Honorable Mentions: Jordan Love, Caleb Williams

Running Backs

Devon Achane ($7,700 DK / $9,000 FD)

Making his mark with an immediate impact in his rookie season, Devon Achane has quickly become a household name amongst the fantasy football community. Known for his big-play ability and exceptional speed, Achane fits this Miami offense like a glove. Despite the Packers’ defense holding rushing attacks to 4.3 yards per carry, 112.7 rushing yards per game, and 10 touchdowns, it is Achane’s work in the passing game that gives him one of, if not the highest ceiling of any player on the slate. Essentially operating as the Dolphins WR2/WR3 this season, Achane ranks second in target share amongst running backs, third in receiving yards, and second in receptions. Sporting an absurd 44.4% route participation rate, Achane is poised for another big game, where he has posted over 20 fantasy points in four of the last five since Tagovailoa has returned, including four or more targets and three or more receptions during that span.

Jahmyr Gibbs ($7,500 DK / $8,400 FD)

If you are looking for a pivot to Achane at the running back position, look no further than Jahmyr Gibbs. Coming into this one as a 10-point home favorite, the Lions’ running back duo most certainly will be of interest. However, their level of importance on this slate relies upon David Montgomery’s health. At the time of writing, Montgomery was a non-participant in practice, leaving his status for Thursday’s game in question. If Montgomery is eventually ruled out, or is limited in any fashion, Gibbs immediately becomes a top priority.

Although he conceives a sizable amount of work to Montgomery in a shared backfield, Gibbs has made a true impact in the NFL’s best offense, despite the lack of opportunity compared to other teams’ featured running backs. Gibbs has only received 12 or more carries in two of the team’s last five games, while having a mere 51.8% snap share on the season, but he makes the most of the chances he gets. Gibbs sits fourth in the NFL in rushing yards and has 11 total touchdowns, 10 of which came on the ground. Moreover, he is third in yards per carry with 5.8, second in breakaway runs with 14, and first in explosive runs rating.

Josh Jacobs ($7,000 DK / $7,800 FD)

While the majority of the field will prioritize the first two running backs listed here, and rightfully so, Josh Jacobs make for an excellent tournament play. With MarShawn Lloyd struggling with injuries and AJ Dillon on injured reserve since the beginning of the year, Jacobs has gotten all the touches he can handle in his first season with Green Bay. Jacobs has already eclipsed 200 carries on the season, ranking fourth in the NFL. Moreover, the Packers are executing over 30 run plays per game, good for sixth in the NFL. This has led to Jacobs being third in total rush yards, while averaging 4.7 yards per carry and posting eight touchdowns. If you are feeling uneasy about the Packers wide receiver carousel, the weather conditions in this one, or a combination of both, then Jacobs is your guy.

Rico Dowdle ($5,500 DK / $6,100 FD)

While he is unlikely to lead the position in scoring when all three games have finished, Rico Dowdle has a ton of upside in this one. Since their bye week, the Cowboys have essentially turned the keys over to Dowdle over Ezekiel Elliott, and the former has certainly outperformed the latter. Despite the negative game scripts the Cowboys are often in due to Dak Prescott’s season-ending injury, Dowdle continues to make the best of a bad situation. He has now had double-digit carries in four straight games, including three or more targets in each appearance during that span. Moreover, the matchup against a Giants defense that has been decimated on the ground makes for an intriguing conversation surrounding the Cowboys lead running back. On the season, New York has allowed the third-most rushing yards per game, including a league-worst 5.2 yards per carry. While he is not in the same category of the top running backs on this slate, Dowdle can make a case to be the best overall play in the mid range of the pricing grid.

Honorable Mentions: David Montgomery, Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Wide Receivers

Amon-Ra St. Brown ($8,000 DK / $9,000 FD)

After a phenomenal season just a year ago, Amon-Ra St. Brown has picked up right where he left off. While there are many skilled players in one of, if not the best offense in the NFL, St. Brown is the heartbeat to it all. Not only does he lead the team in almost every category, but he sits fourth in the league in receptions, eighth in yards, and second in receiving touchdowns. Moreover, he leads the entire NFL with 49 catches resulting in a first down. While Jaylon Johnson has been having an amazing season for the Bears, St. Brown is the clear top option on the slate and is matchup-proof.

Pivot: CeeDee Lamb ($7,300 DK / $8,600 FD)

Jameson Williams ($6,100 DK / $5,700 FD)

If you cannot play St. Brown, there are plenty of other ways to get exposure to the offense with the highest implied team total on the slate. Jameson Williams missed two weeks after being suspended but has not missed a beat since coming back. Across those last three games, Williams has amassed a 12-241-1 line on 18 targets. Moreover, he ranks 4^th in the NFL in receiving yards per target, meaning he does not need a ton of looks to be productive. Williams has an average depth of target of 14.1, a 34.5% air yards share, and ranks third amongst qualified wide receivers with 2.57 fantasy points per target.

Pivot: Tyreek Hill ($6,900 DK / $7,800 FD)

***Keenan Allen ($5,100 DK / $6,500 FD)* and *Rome Odunze ($5,000 DK / $5,500 FD)***

It is no surprise that the Bears offense has improved in the last two weeks versus the early stages of their season. Following the firing of Shane Waldron, Thomas Brown has taken over offensive coordinator duties for one of the most intriguing offensive depth charts in the NFL. Brown, who spent three seasons under Sean McVay in Los Angeles, has yet to get a win in his new role, but this offense passes the eye test. While all three Bears wide receivers have seen an uptick in volume, most notably Rome Odunze, it is Keenan Allen that is a top option for Caleb Williams in this matchup. After a slow start to the season, Allen came alive last week, posting a 9-86-1 line on 15 targets, operating primarily out of the slot. However, Odunze also ran his fair share of routes out of the slot, slightly behind Allen.

With all three wide receivers seeing over 82% of the snaps in back-to-back weeks, there is plenty of opportunity to pick on a matchup against the Lions’ slot coverage. Amik Robertson is Detroit’s primary slot corner, playing nearly 50% of the snaps and 90% of those out of the slot. This season, Robertson has allowed 1.44 fantasy points per target, including a 59.6% catch rate, leading the Lions to rank 26^th in the NFL in fantasy points per game allowed to opposing slot receivers.

Honorable Mentions: Malik Nabers, Jaylen Waddle, DJ Moore, Jayden Reed

Tight Ends

Jonnu Smith ($4,300 DK / $6,300 FD)

While he is far from a top option in an offense boasting the likes of Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, and Devon Achane, Smith has been remarkable since Tagovailoa returned from injury. Over his last five games, Smith has three or more receptions in each appearance, having eclipsed 45 yards in four straight games. Moreover, he has a whopping 15 receptions and 188 yards in his last two, where he also caught three touchdowns. With the Packers having a low 20.3% blitz rate, Miami won’t be forced for extra help on their offensive line, leaving room for Smith to run more routes. The Packers rank 10^th in DVOA against tight ends, giving up a near 20% target rate and 1.67 yards per route ran.

Sam LaPorta ($4,100 DK / $5,700 FD)

Despite the falloff from a remarkable rookie season, it is hard to blame Sam LaPorta for his personal shortcomings, rather than to look at just how good everyone else in this offense has been. When your offense has two elite running backs, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Jameson Williams, you won’t be a top option every single time your team takes the field. However, LaPorta can easily be the highest scoring tight end of the slate, which you’ll need. In Detroit stacks, it will be hard to overlook a player that averages 2.49 fantasy points per target at a scarce position. Moreover, the Bears defense will have their hands full doubling St. Brown on the outside, similarly to how they did to Justin Jefferson last week, leading T.J. Hockenson to explode for seven receptions and 114 yards.

Honorable Mentions: Tucker Kraft, Theo Johnson

DST Rankings

Dallas Cowboys ($3,100 DK / $4,100 FD)
Detroit Lions ($3,500 DK / $4,700 FD)
Green Bay Packers ($2,800 DK / $4,200 FD) and Miami Dolphins ($2,700 DK / $3,900 FD)
New York Giants ($2,800 DK / $3,700 FD)
Chicago Bears ($2,300 DK / $3,500 FD)

5 months ago 0 comments

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Week 12 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown: Giants at Bucs

Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 12 NFL DFS contests!

NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 12 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Week 12 NFL DFS Chalk: Tom Brady (FD $17,000, DK $16,800)

Pivot: Daniel Jones (FD $15,000, DK $14,400)

Contrarian #1: Mike Evans (FD $13,000, DK $15,300)

Contrarian #2: Leonard Fournette (FD $11,500, DK $15,000)

Contrarian #3: Saquon Barkley (FD $12,000, DK $11,700)

Contrarian #3: Rob Gronkowski (FD $10,000, DK $9,300)

Tom Brady should end up being the chalk tonight, as he’s adept at spreading the ball around to his receivers. There’s no Antonio Brown again this week but the absence of safety Logan Ryan for the Giants could mean a massive bounce-back game from the GOAT, who seemed more than annoyed after last week’s loss to another NFC East opponent, the Washington Football Team.

Giants notes: Sterling Shepard will miss another game, which means an upgrade for rookie WR Kadarius Toney and the explosive Kenny Golladay, who only has one big game this season (Week 4 vs. NO: 6-116-0). Darius Slayton will also be in play for the Giants, but the biggest news is the likely return of Saquon Barkley, who is listed as questionable but is expected to see his first game action since Week 5. While the Giants may want to bring along Barkley’ slowly, he may be in line for a huge workload with Devontae Booker also questionable and seemingly at greater risk of missing the contest. Evan Engram may not be busy, but he’s relevant for his use in the red zone, where he’s scored in consecutive weeks and seeing a few targets per game. But QB Daniel Jones, Barkley and Golladay stand out as the primary targets in this showdown. There’s also the possibility that Elijah Penny sees actin if Booker is inactive and Barkley has an in-game setback.

Bucs notes: The usual suspects are in play for the Bucs, including Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and even Rob Gronkowski, who’s listed as questionable with a back injury that’s kept him out Since Week 3, but got in full practices on Thursday and Friday before taking a rest day on Saturday. Leonard Fournette remains the only safe RB option, since both Ronald Jones (one snap last week vs. Washington) and Giovani Bernard don’t real have meaty enough roles to consider in anything but large-field GPP builds that count on fluky narratives and injuries. I’d much rather look to a guy like Tyler Johnson (five targets last week), even though he’s likely to assume a smaller snap count and looks with Gronk back in the mix.

Week 12 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together.

DON’T: Feature many shares of the Giants DST, who will have its hands full with this Bucs offense.

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Forget about Gronk, who could have a monster day against this Giants team.

Now that we’ve established some Week 12 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

Tom Brady
Mike Evans
Chris Godwin
Daniel Jones
Saquon Barkley
Rob Gronkowski
Leonard Fournette
Kenny Golladay
Kadarius Toney
Bucs DST
Evan Engram
Ryan Succop
Darius Slayton
Graham Gano
Giants DST
Tyler Johnson
Kyle Rudolph
Giovani Bernard
Devontae Booker (if he plays)
Ronald Jones
Elijah Penny (if Booker sits)
Cameron Brate
Kaden Smith
Scotty Miller (IR, could be activated)
Collin Johnson

Don’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for next week’s action!

3 years ago 0 comments

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Week 8 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown: Giants at Chiefs

Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 8 NFL DFS contests!

NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 8 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Week 6 NFL DFS Chalk: Patrick Mahomes (FD $17,000, DK $18,000)

Pivot: Daniel Jones (FD $15,000, DK $15,300)

Contrarian #1: Tyreek Hill (FD $14,000, DK $16,000)

Contrarian #2: Travis Kelce (FD $13,500, DK $15,900)

Contrarian #3: Sterling Shepard (FD $11,000, DK $10,500)

While Patrick Mahomes has struggled in recent weeks and looks a far cry from his normal dominant self, he’s the chalk at captain in this week’s showdown and should have little trouble racking up big numbers in this favorable matchup. If the Chiefs establish some sort of effective ground game or just jump out to a big early lead, there may be some leverage in using Daniel Jones at captain and flanking him with some of the Giants pass receivers, including two guys who are both questionable heading into the Monday night battle: Sterling Shepard and Kadarius Toney. Toney is the real wild card this week, as he can be used in myriad ways and the “Q” tag will keep most of the masses off of him in their initial builds.

Chiefs notes: The usual suspects are in play for Kansas City, including Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill, both of whom can you can fit in builds with Mahomes if you adopt the narrative that the ancillary Giants pass receivers are the ones who end up making the most impact. This is a “get right” spot for the Chiefs and I doubt they’ll have little trouble effectively targeting their big guns against a middle-of-the-road NFL defense like this Giants unit. The game script certainly favors more Darrel Williams this week, so picking one of Kelce or Hill and stacking with Mahomes and the Chiefs RB makes a lot of sense. I really think this is another big Tyreek game, so he’s going to be my main focus outside of Mahomes.

Giants notes: Shepard looks like a go, and while I do love me some Darius Slayton, if Shepard plays he’s probably the safer option. Slayton makes for a fine plug-n-play if Toney ends up sitting this out, but the Giants have been finding ways of getting the electric rookie RW the ball, even if it means sacrificing some of the targets that go to TE Evan Engram, who’s also in play tonight. With Saquon Barkley still out, Devontae Booker remains the got-to RB in the Giants backfield and should see plenty of touches, but his upside is a bit capped unless the Giants hang can early and often. Dante Pettis and John Ross could see a big play here or there, but the return of Shepard dings their value a bit.

Week 8 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together.

DON’T: Feature many shares of the Giants DST, who will have its hands full with this Chiefs offense.

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Forget about the fringe Giants WRs, especially if one or more of Shepard or Toney sits.

Now that we’ve established some Week 8 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

Patrick Mahomes
Tyreek Hill
Daniel Jones
Travis Kelce
Sterling Shepard
Darrel Williams
Kadarius Toney (GTD)
Devontae Booker
Chiefs DST
Darius Slayton
Mecole Hardman
Evan Engram
Dante Pettis
Jerick McKinnon
Harrison Butker
Graham Gano
Byron Pringle
Kyle Rudolph
John Ross
DeMarcus Robinson

Don’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for next week’s action!

3 years ago 0 comments

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports

Week 2 NFL DFS Thursday Night Showdown: Giants at Washington

Antonio D'Arcangelis 4 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

The NFL DFS season continues with the Thursday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the first Week 2 NFL DFS contests!

NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see last week’s TNF showdown article.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 2 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Week 2 NFL DFS Chalk: Daniel Jones (FD $15,000, DK $15,600)

Pivot: Antonio Gibson (FD $12,500, DK $14,400)

Contrarian #1: Taylor Heinicke (FD $14,500, DK $15,300)

Contrarian #2: Terry McLaurin (FD $12,000, DK $13,500)

Contrarian #3: Sterling Shepard (FD $11,500, DK $12,000)

We don’t have an obvious chalk play at captain for this week’s showdown, but when the final tallies are in, it’s likely to be one of the two starting QBs. Both Daniel Jones and Taylor Heinicke have high ceilings and low floors, and while it’s rare that we focus on a RB in the top spot in showdowns, this might be the week to give Antonio Gibson the opportunity to carry us to victory. It’s also a week where leaving a large amount of salary on the table shouldn’t concern us too much.

Giants notes: Even against a solid Broncos defense, Jones tallied 22.38 DK points. His 267-1-0 passing line was inefficient but his fantasy total got a boost from a 27 rushing yards and a rushing TD, also tempered by a lost fumble — something that continually plagues the third-year QB. This week, he’ll be without TE Evan Engram again, and reports of a limited Saquon Barkley could further complicate the Giants’ offensive outlook. While a full-strength Barkley is a player I’d be looking to force into my showdown lineups, I have almost no interest in paying full price for the guy in a reduced role. I’ll have some exposure, but I’m a lot more interested in getting shares of top target Sterling Shepard and Darius Slayton, who’s done nothing but exceed expectations since he entered the league, even when he’s playing hurt. I’ll also find ways to get some exposure to a seemingly healthy Kenny Golladay, TE Kyle Rudolph, and backup RB Devontae Booker — especially if we get word he’ll assume a much larger workload. There’s a good chance that we get a negative game script where Booker sees a few extra targets in the passing game.

Washington notes: Some of my builds will immediately start off locking in Heinicke/Gibson with WR Terry McLaurin, and I’ll have a few more that add in TE Logan Thomas, a top 10 fantasy tight end who had just three targets last week but should normally be seeing 6-8 on a weekly basis. I don’t view McLaurin as a must-play in this particular matchup, but he does have a high ceiling. If you’re playing cash games, we can probably finalize an ideal build without spending up for the highest-priced WR in the contest. I’ll have the most shares of Gibson, and there’s an easy path to some formidable lineups that start with Gibson/Thomas and then focus on the Giants passing game. In some large-field GPPs where maximizing salary is less of an issue, it’s a good idea to mix in some Gibson/Thomas/Washington DST with a kicker and a couple Giants pass catchers. Dyami Brown saw four targets in his NFL debut but caught just one pass for -2 yards, and there’s always veteran WR Adam Humphries, who I actually liked better with Ryan Fitzpatrick. Still — Humphries and even WR Cam Sims are relatively cheap and could make for a final piece in your builds.

Week 2 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on an NFL DFS narrative that makes sense.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Worry about spending every dollar. With Saquon Barkley possibly seeing a reduced workload, there’s plenty of value out there (and a wide enough range of outcomes that don’t prominently feature both QBs having huge days) where you can get a little weird

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Tread too much in the sub-$1K range this week. I’ve looked it over and there’s just not a lot there to get excited about.

Now that we’ve established some Week 1 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

Daniel Jones
Antonio Gibson
Taylor Heinicke
Logan Thomas
Sterling Shepard
Terry McLaurin
Darius Slayton
Kenny Golladay
Saquon Barkley (questionable, could be limited)
Washington DST
Devontae Booker
Dustin Hopkins
Adam Humphries
Kyle Rudolph
Graham Gano
Giants DST
J.D. McKissic
Dyami Brown
Cam Sims
Kadarius Toney

Don’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for Week1 action!

4 years ago 0 comments

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports

Week 8 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown Preview: Bucs at Giants

jason mezrahi 4 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

The NFL DFS season continues with this week’s Monday night showdown, and we’re helping you win big money in the final Week 8 NFL DFS contests!

Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

DraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel doesn’t really have a name for them other than “Single-Game Contests,” but whatever we call them they require an understanding of game narratives and game theory – which means we need to target low-ownership players that will give us the best opportunities within the narratives and game outcomes we’re expecting.

My picks will focus almost exclusively on finding GPP-winning combinations that have a chance at taking down the contests you’re entering, be they single-entry or MME. While we can’t cover all the possible combos or provide full lineups for you to deploy, the goal here is to give you the tools to win and highlight some names that will help make for profitable results.

If I enter five lineups in a large-field GPP, at least three of those lineups will focus on the most likely game outcome (based on Vegas odds, props and totals), with one or two contrarian builds. As we know, late-breaking news can have a significant effect on full slates, and that’s just amplified with single-game contests. If you have any questions leading up to lock, please consult our NFL DFS experts in Discord.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 8 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Chalk: Tom Brady (DK $18,000, FD $16,500)

Pivot: Ronald Jones (DK $13,200, FD $13,000)

Contrarian #1: Daniel Jones (DK $13,800, FD $15,000)

Contrarian #2: Darius Slayton (DK $10,500, FD $12,000)

Once again, the chalk – and likely a very heavy chalk – will be Tom Brady, who seems to be making a fine second home for himself among the myriad weapons in Tampa Bay. As much as the philosophies of HCs Bill Belichick and Bruce Arians may differ, he’s finding success with a few of the same ingredients: a fluid but talented group of receivers and backs, a defense that’s providing him with excellent opportunities and the luxury of patience, and an emphasis on protecting the ball and taking what the opposing team gives you. The best way to tackle this showdown may be to find our differentiation in the flex spots rather than get crazy contrarian at captain.

One of the weapons available to Brady this season will be Antonio Brown, but he’s not eligible to play until Week 9. With Chris Godwin (broken finger) out this week, we’re left with the uber-talented Mike Evans, TE Rob Gronkowski and Scotty Miller (hip, groin) as Brady’s main receiving weapons.

But just like in Week 5, my favorite pivot is probably Ronald Jones – who’s a much less risky play these days given how integral he is to the early down running game. In a matchup against the Giants that may get out of hand quickly, he’s the best bet to salt away the game with chunky gains and pile up the yardage.

If the Giants can keep things close, we could see some impactful plays from Leonard Fournette, who Arians recently labeled his “nickel” running back after he led the Bucs backfield with 40 snaps in Week 7 against the Raiders. We could certainly consider using Fournette as a pivot from Jones – or even alongside RJ2 in a few large-field GPPs.

For the Gaints, I’m narrowing my focus to Daniel Jones, WRs Darius Slayton and Sterling Shepard, TE Evan Engram and a smattering of RBs Wayne Gallman and Dion Lewis. Given the effectiveness of the Bucs defense this season (and the viability of the Bucs DST as an option on DraftKings this week) I can’t imagine playing more than two Giants in many of these contests,

Golden Tate isn’t getting enough targets for him to be an essential part of my builds, but he’s certainly an option if you’re making hundreds of lineups.

Week 8 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense, and utilize the WinDaily fantasy toolbox for cheatsheets and projections that can help you tremendously with lineup building.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Play four Giants and just two Bucs. The spread here heavily favors the Bucs and they should be doing most of the scoring tonight.

DO: Consider Leonard Fournette – who’s been seeing more action and has supplanted LeSean McCoy as the go-to passing game RB – and fringe options like rookie WR Tyler Johnson and TE Cameron Brate, even with Gronk on a tear lately.

DON’T: Get too cute and make many lineups without Tom Brady. You don’t have to use him up top, but i’’s hard to imagine a scenario where Brady doesn’t get 20+ fantasy points in this smash spot.

Now that we’ve established some narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

Tom Brady
Ronald Jones
Mike Evans
Daniel Jones
Darius Slayton
Rob Gronkowski
Scotty Miller
Evan Engram
Leonard Fournette
Sterling Shepard
Tyler Johnson
Wayne Gallman
Bucs DST
Justin Watson
Cameron Brate
Dion Lewis
Ryan Succop
Golden Tate
Graham Gano
Giants DST

4 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL

Week 7 NFL DFS Thursday Night Showdown Preview: Giants at Eagles

Antonio D'Arcangelis 4 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

The NFL DFS season continues with this week’s Thursday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big in the first Week 7 NFL DFS contests!

Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Let’s get to the game!

Week 7 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Chalk: Carson Wentz (DK $16,200, FD $15,500)

Pivot: Daniel Jones (DK $15,600, FD $14,500)

Contrarian #1: Darius Slayton (DK $13,800, FD $12,500)

Contrarian #2: DeSean Jackson (DK $8,700, FD $8,000)

While both the Giants and Eagles defenses have not been the teams’ main issues this season, it’s hard not to like both Carson Wentz and Daniel Jones in this showdown, and there are probably a few ways to fit both of them into your lineups – especially if we use one of the defenses in the hopes of a pick six. With all the injuries facing the Eagles, it’s not hard to see a low-salary player for them emerging with a viable fantasy performance and being worth the juice of using in the Captain spot on DraftKings.

On FanDuel, it’s going to be very hard to get away from Boston Scott at the still-depressed price of just $6,500 – although using him at CPT may not be advisable. Scott and Corey Clement are the Philly backs who’ll get the touches this week, with Scott in the starting role and Clement likely handling goal line work and about 8-10 touches. Both are capable of monster days if they get the proverbial “hot hand.”

DeSean Jackson is expected to make his return for the Eagles this week and could be an interesting CPT on DK, where he’s sub-$9K. Jackson headlines a group of capable receivers that has seen the emergence of Travis Fulgham in recent weeks. Fading the popular Fulgham might be one way to get some leverage on the field, especially since we don’t have any idea how much he’ll contribute with D-Jax back in the fold.

The Giants will rely on a slightly hobbled Darius Slayton, TE Evan Engram (great bounce-back candidate this week) and a relatively inexpensive Devonta Freeman (handling most of the touches at RB) to move the ball on offense, with Golden Tate checking in as a solid low-price option – especially if Slayton is rendered less effective because of the lingering foot injury. While Slayton doesn’t have an injury designation ahead of this matchup and has more multi-TD upside than probably any other non-QB on TNF, he’s still a risk. There’s even talk of activating Sterling Shepard (toe, just back from IR) before this game, but he’s still a GTD – so stay tuned.

Week 7 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense, and utilize the WinDaily fantasy toolbox for cheatsheets and projections that can help you tremendously with lineup building.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Be afraid to play the Giants defense, especially since they have some playmakers, Wentz has been erratic, and the Eagles offense is pretty banged up.

DO: Check the injury report and chatter before lock to determine who’s healthy and who’s not. Football is one sport where players below 100 percent can be active and used as decoys.

DON’T: Forget about Eagles TE Richard Rodgers. He’s cheap and will be the starter with both Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert out.

Carson Wentz
Daniel Jones
Darius Slayton
Boston Scott
DeSean Jackson
Evan Engram
Devonta Freeman
Travis Fulgham
Golden Tate
Giants DST
Eagles DST
Richard Rodgers
Corey Clement
Graham Gano
Greg Ward
Jake Elliott
Dion Lewis
Sterling Shepard (GTD)
JJ Arcega-Whiteside
Jason Croom

4 years ago 0 comments

Sports Betting

Teams and their Official Sportsbooks

Michael Rasile 5 years ago

written by Michael Rasile

Teams and their Official Sportsbooks

This was an excited week for a couple NFC East teams! The Giants and Eagles each signed official deals with sportsbooks to become partners in one way or another. Teams are starting to see how lucrative their official sportsbooks can become!

The Eagles, who already have an official partnership with Unibet, entered into a deal with FOX Bet, the online and mobile branding of The Stars Group. Through this new deal, the Eagles will have a FOX Bet branded “interactive lounge” where fans can enjoy the game and bet from. The NFL currently prohibits kiosks at stadiums to bet through, but we all know the NFL loves nothing more than money, so that will be happening in the future. This deal also includes becoming the presenting sponsor of the Eagles Edge, a digital program airing after all Eagles games that will include legends of the team, on air personalities, and more. It will be available on the team’s YouTube page and available in their team app.

Outside of other digital, social, and in stadium assets, FOX Bet will also become the presenting sponsor of the Eagles Tailgating Crew, even though there isn’t too much of that to be had this year unfortunately.

On the other side of New Jersey, the New York Giants are entered into their own exclusive deal with DraftKings. DK is now the Official Sports Betting and Daily Fantasy Sports partner of Big Blue. Similar to the Eagles and their FOX Bet deal, DraftKings will receive digital rights and the opportunity to advertise within their sports lounge. Of course, this also includes exposure throughout Metlife (read: Giants) Stadium.

I believe we’re going to see more and more deals like this, especially seeing how much states like NJ are taking in from wide expansion of mobile sports betting! Why would a team turn something like this down when the sportsbooks are willing to give them the money. I’m excited to see what types of fun deals each of these teams and sportsbooks will be able to run, whether is a boost to the home team in stadium, hammering the over, or some type of insurance for the home teams. The more fun and interesting these partnership can become with engaging the home fans will make for much better opportunities. Of course, most of this can’t be seen until the stadiums have fans once again.

Thanks for reading this article on Teams and their official sportsbooks, make sure to follow me on Twitter @MichaelRasile1 and to sign up for the Win Daily Sports Betting Membership so you can take the sportsbooks money!

Sources: CNBC and the Philadelphia Eagles

5 years ago 0 comments

NFL Sports Betting

2020 New York Giants Bets and Props

Michael Rasile 5 years ago

written by Michael Rasile

2020 New York Giants Bets and Props

Check out our breakdown of our favorite 2020 New York Giants Bets and Props on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Daniel Jones OVER 3800 yards | DraftKings

This one is a little contentious among the Win Daily Family, but when we dive into what Jones did last season and what the potential is this season it’s ripe for the over

He passed for 3,027 yards in 12 starts, with 24 TDs, 12 INTs, with 18 fumbles, losing 11. Outside of the 23 turnovers, these numbers are great. The Giants brought in some offensive line help through the draft in their first, third, and fifth round picks, and also brought in some veteran lineman. This might not sure up the offensive line, but the hope is it will be better. Jones was sacked 38 times last year, averaging over 3 a game.

Jones was also without a healthy Saquon Barkley for most of the season, arguable the most important piece to the Giants offense. He was also without oft injured tight end Evan Engram, who, when on the field, has elite talent.

If we take Jones’s season and push it to a 16 game average, he flies over the 3800 mark with about a game to spare. Jones now will have Jason Garrett as an offensive coordinator, who routinely put up great numbers when he was Dallas’ head coach and OC. In his 3 years as a full time OC in Dallas, all his teams ranked in the top half of the league in points getting as high as 2nd and passing yards within the top 10 each season.

With Saquon fully healthy (700+ yards receiving his rookie year, a better offensive line, and a better offensive coach this 3800 OVER should hit easy. But wait, there’s more! The Giants defense is dreadful and their schedule is very hard per many, many metrics. It is fair to assume that they will be down in most of the games they play and for some a majority of the time. This is another avenue for Jones to gain more pass attempts and more yards.

Lock in the OVER now on DraftKings Sportsbook!

Saquon OVER 1200 rushing yards | DraftKings

In each of Saquon Barkley’s first two seasons he eclipsed 1000 yards rushing the ball. Fully healthy, he was other worldly with over 1300 yards rushing and another 700+ receiving. Last year he missed a few games and really wasn’t himself until a few games into playing again.

This season should be more like the first assuming he is in good health. As said before, the offensive line should be improved, maybe not by leaps and bounds, but by something! Daniel Jones will also be able to extend drives long then Ol’ Eli, potentially leading to more carries for Saquon.

And again, Jason Garrett is great at clapping, but he’s also had some GREAT rushing offenses his years in Dallas. Since 2014, Garrett has had a top 10 rush offense every year and was in the top 5 4 out of 6 years. This bodes very well for Saquon in terms of rushing yards. He will get the attempts and hopefully a scheme that won’t just run him directly up the middle on every 1st & 10. I’m looking at you Pat Shurmur. Garrett has always had great offensive line play in Dallas, so here’s to hoping he can teach the Giants offensive line a thing or two.

I think there is a great shot at this OVER hitting and wouldn’t be surprised if you had a game or two to sit back and count your money. Make sure to lock it in right now on DraftKings Sportsbook!

Giants Total Wins UNDER 6.5 | DraftKings

While we have spent a lot of time here talking about why the offense should be better so Daniel Jones and Saquon Barkley can rack up some yards, that doesn’t mean we think they will be go. One reason we think they will rack up so many yards, Jones in particular, is that the defense is really that bad.

Just a little context on how bad they were: they gave up less than 20 points two times last season, once to the Washington Redskins and once to the Chicago Bears and Mitchell Trubisky. They were 28th in passing yards against, and 30th in points against.

Over they offseason they released Alec Ogletree (addition by subtraction), added James Bradberry, Blake Martinez, and drafted Xavier McKinney. Each of these moves should help the defense, but by how much?

It also should be noted that they have one of the hardest Strength of Schedules based on a few different metrics. The one I like looking at is Warren Sharp’s based on the Vegas Win Totals for the upcoming season, rather than looking back. With this, the Giants have the 2nd hardest schedule in the NFL.

A bad defense, a hard schedule, and a not so great offensive line will lead this team down a dark path. Lock in the UNDER 6.5 win on DraftKings Sportsbook now!

Enjoyed the New York Giants Bets and Props, looking for more #SportsBetting content? Check out our Sports Betting tab on the Win Daily Sports website. Make sure to hop into the FREE Expert Discord Chat to discuss your favorite bets and DFS lineup construction.

5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports

Win Daily Show Interview with Luis Da Silva Jr.

Jason Mezrahi 5 years ago

written by Jason Mezrahi

Win Daily Show Interview with Luis Da Silva Jr.

On this Win Daily Show Interview with Luis “Trikz” Da Silva Jr., he and Jason discuss Luis’s career in sports, media, and movies. Luis started young and became famous unexpectedly at a early age by simply taking a opportunity and seizing it.

Luis and Jason discuss how one decision can change your whole life and open so many doors. That one decision to attend a open casting call for a commercial lead to Luis becoming the lead of one of Nike’s best NBA commercial ever. Known for his ball handling and tricks. He has amazed fans all over the world. Luis is a basketball icon and is often imitated but never duplicated.

He became a global phenomenon as early as 2001. He is Guinness world record holder and youngest athlete to be endorsed by Nike at the age of 18. If you never heard the name Luis Da Silva Jr. you have probably seen his face without even knowing. He has appeared in Fast Five along with a ton of other movie and television shows.

Luis is always up for new challenges. After conquering basketball and movies he decided to change the game again. He is an published author and illustrator of a children’s book called “A Boy named Boo” . He is working on a plenty of new projects and he discusses what he has on tap with Jason.

Listen to Luis’s Interview below!

You can also check out his interview on these platforms
Apple Podcasts
Spotify
Anchor

Make sure to follow Luis!
https://www.instagram.com/luistrikz/
https://twitter.com/luistrikz
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wKtE–Crook

Make sure to follow Win Daily, too!
https://www.instagram.com/windaily/
https://twitter.com/windailysports
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCY2I3VNyf_dtW-2xl5vwv0Q
https://www.twitch.tv/windailysports
https://windailysports.com/

Hop on our Free Expert Discord Chat!
https://discord.com/invite/QsK3HJs

5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports

Win Daily Show Interview with Nate Hamilton

Jason Mezrahi 5 years ago

written by Jason Mezrahi

Win Daily Show Interview with Nate Hamilton

On this Win Daily Show Interview with Nate Hamilton, he and Jason discuss Nate’s Fantasy Sports career as well as balancing his day job and family life.

Nate and Jason discuss how he started in the Fantasy Sports world and why he pivoted! Nate spent part of his career working on the famous Fantasy Footballers team but now is riding solo and leading his own podcast and Fantasy Football media company.

Nate is a student of the game and has dove head first into the Fantasy Football pool. A lot of people try to multi-task and cover all fantasy sports but Nate prefers to be an expert and the very best at football rather than being good or average across all sports.

Nate provides daily commentary on Fantasy Football which ranges on season long fantasy hot takes, daily fantasy plays, and overall NFL news. Make sure you tune into this podcast, follow his live streams on twitter, and also try to take him out in the Win Daily Poker Showdown on Sunday May 31st that he will be participating in.

I’m personally rooting for Nate because he is one of the good guys in the industry and who knows maybe one day you will see him on the Win Daily team. Listen to Nate’s Interview below!

You can also check out his interview on these platforms
Apple Podcasts
Spotify
Anchor

Make sure to follow Nate!
https://twitter.com/DomiNateFF
https://www.instagram.com/dominatefantasyfootball/
https://twitter.com/DomiNateFFShow
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-dominate-fantasy-football-show/id1502561382

Hop on our Free Expert Discord Chat!
https://discord.com/invite/QsK3HJs

5 years ago 0 comments

Newer Posts

Older Posts

New York Giants

Quarterbacks

Jared Goff ($6,500 DK / $8,200 FD)

Tua Tagovailoa ($6,000 DK / $8,000 FD)

Running Backs

Devon Achane ($7,700 DK / $9,000 FD)

Jahmyr Gibbs ($7,500 DK / $8,400 FD)

Josh Jacobs ($7,000 DK / $7,800 FD)

Rico Dowdle ($5,500 DK / $6,100 FD)

Wide Receivers

Amon-Ra St. Brown ($8,000 DK / $9,000 FD)

Jameson Williams ($6,100 DK / $5,700 FD)

Keenan Allen ($5,100 DK / $6,500 FD) and Rome Odunze ($5,000 DK / $5,500 FD)

Tight Ends

Jonnu Smith ($4,300 DK / $6,300 FD)

DST Rankings

Week 12 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Week 12 NFL DFS Chalk: Tom Brady (FD $17,000, DK $16,800)

Pivot: Daniel Jones (FD $15,000, DK $14,400)

Contrarian #1: Mike Evans (FD $13,000, DK $15,300)

Contrarian #2: Leonard Fournette (FD $11,500, DK $15,000)

Contrarian #3: Saquon Barkley (FD $12,000, DK $11,700)

Contrarian #3: Rob Gronkowski (FD $10,000, DK $9,300)

Week 12 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Week 8 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Week 6 NFL DFS Chalk: Patrick Mahomes (FD $17,000, DK $18,000)

Pivot: Daniel Jones (FD $15,000, DK $15,300)

Contrarian #1: Tyreek Hill (FD $14,000, DK $16,000)

Contrarian #2: Travis Kelce (FD $13,500, DK $15,900)

Contrarian #3: Sterling Shepard (FD $11,000, DK $10,500)

Week 8 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Week 2 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Week 2 NFL DFS Chalk: Daniel Jones (FD $15,000, DK $15,600)

Pivot: Antonio Gibson (FD $12,500, DK $14,400)

Contrarian #1: Taylor Heinicke (FD $14,500, DK $15,300)

Contrarian #2: Terry McLaurin (FD $12,000, DK $13,500)

Contrarian #3: Sterling Shepard (FD $11,500, DK $12,000)

Week 2 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Week 8 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Chalk: Tom Brady (DK $18,000, FD $16,500)

Pivot: Ronald Jones (DK $13,200, FD $13,000)

Contrarian #1: Daniel Jones (DK $13,800, FD $15,000)

Contrarian #2: Darius Slayton (DK $10,500, FD $12,000)

Week 8 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Introduction to Single-Game Showdowns

Week 7 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Chalk: Carson Wentz (DK $16,200, FD $15,500)

Pivot: Daniel Jones (DK $15,600, FD $14,500)

Contrarian #1: Darius Slayton (DK $13,800, FD $12,500)

Contrarian #2: DeSean Jackson (DK $8,700, FD $8,000)

Week 7 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Teams and their Official Sportsbooks

2020 New York Giants Bets and Props

Daniel Jones OVER 3800 yards | DraftKings

Saquon OVER 1200 rushing yards | DraftKings

Giants Total Wins UNDER 6.5 | DraftKings

Win Daily Show Interview with Luis Da Silva Jr.

Win Daily Show Interview with Nate Hamilton

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***Keenan Allen ($5,100 DK / $6,500 FD)* and *Rome Odunze ($5,000 DK / $5,500 FD)***

©2024 WIN DAILY^®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.