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NFL Futures Bets for 2020

We’re always looking for ways to put money in your pockets here at Win Daily. When there is a betting line that we can take advantage of, we let you know about it too! Here are a few plays we like on DraftKings Sportsbook for the NFL Futures Bets for 2020.

Michael’s NFL Futures Bets for 2020

There are a few teams I’m looking to take advantage of this year in the NFL one of them is my beloved Giants… Make sure to give me a follow on Twitter @michaelrasile1 and hop into our Free Expert Chat on Discord.

Team Win Totals

DraftKings Promo

Giantso/u 6.5 on DraftKings- UNDER
The Giants had 4 wins last year, 2 against the Redskins, and they got better. Defense is still terrible but the offensive line did get better through the draft. I can maybe see 1 win in their first 5 games: Home against the Steelers (loss), At the Bears (loss), Home against the 49ers (loss), At the Rams (loss), Home against the Cowboys (loss). Maybe maybe maybe one of those goes the Giants way, but probably not. Facing the AFC North and NFC West with each division potentially making the argument that 3 teams from those divisions can make the playoffs. No shot at 7 wins. High on saquon in fantasy, pretty low on Daniel Jones, especially with a deep QB class.

Ramso/u 8 – UNDER
The Rams went 9-7 last year and easily could have been in the playoffs if Greg the Leg could hit an easy field goal against Seattle. They have almost $65 million tied in dead cap (Gurley, Matthews, Cooks) and a bad QB. Offensive line was the biggest problem last year and they did some to fix it, but I wouldn’t be surprised if it was bad again. Todd was bad, but still had over 1000 yard from scrimmage and 14 touchdowns. AFC East and NFC East are pretty easy. NFC West will be hard this year. 2 extra games are the Bucs and Bears, Tom Brady should be fine, and the Bears defense has given the rams fits the last few years. I think their offense won’t be as it was in 2018 and I think their defense will be middle of the pack.

Bearso/u 7.5 – OVER
Deshaun Watson came out and said the Bears never even spoke with him. Now they are stuck with a terrible QB and Mitch Trubisky. Nick Foles was beat out by a 6th round rookie last year, so the Bears thought they should trade a 4th round pick for him, take on his contract (restructured) and now they’re in a pickle. With all that said, their schedule is super easy and them starting out 5-1 or 6-1. AFC South, and AFC South. Extra games the Giants and Saints. 1-1 there. Probably take the over, but i’d be worried. I also wouldn’t touch anyone on this offense except Allen Robinson and it won’t be until late in the draft.

Chiefso/u 11.5 – UNDER
The Chiefs’ schedule consists of the AFC East, NFC South, with the 2 extra against the Ravens and Texans (both play off teams). Per Warren Sharp, Chiefs are going against a top 10 hardest Pass Efficiency Defense. Chiefs love to throw the ball! But thankfully adding a running back in the draft can make their offense a little less reliant on the pass. Super Bowl hangover for all teams other than the Patriots is real. Currently favorites to win the Super Bowl. Of the last 10 winners, only 2 teams made it back to the Super Bowl, Pats/Seahawks, 3 teams didn’t make it back to the playoffs. AFC is pretty weak this year, so they make the playoffs, but I don’t think they repeat and I think they land at 11 wins.

49erso/u 10.5 – OVER
The 49ers schedule consists of the NFC East, AFC East, and 2 extra games against the Saints and Packers. Top three favorite to win the Super Bowl. Of the last 10 SB losers only one has come back and won it. Roster is still stacked and intact. Added a real receiver in the draft and got Trent Williams from the redskins. NFCE and AFCE are both bad, should be able to hit the over of 10.5. Fantasy will be weird, Deebo might be a fun play in DFS but I don’t see the consistency in season long. Aiyuk is a real receiver in this offense unlike the rest of them. Kittle for sure. Running back by committee, Kyle Shannahan doesn’t care.

Brownso/u 8 – UNDER
The Browns schedule consists of the NFC East, AFC South, and 2 extra games against the Jets and Raiders. Browns were terrible last year and finished 7-9. Stacked on offense, just needed a real coach and a semblance of an offensive line. Picked up Conklin in the off season for right tackle and Jedrick Wills for left tackle, he played right tackle in college, but Tua is a lefty so he was still blindside. NFC East and AFC South are both bad and their two extra games aren’t too tough either. I think if the offense can pick it up a bit, added Austin Hooper as well I think they do great. Stephanski runs a lot of 2 TE sets so it was a great pick up. Only problem is if they start out bad, how quickly does Odell and Jarvis get angry at Baker and start to ruin the locker room and ask to be traded again? I think there is a shot at the over, but the Browns are still the Browns and in that case I take the under.

Sia’s NFL Futures Bets for 2020

Make sure to follow Sia at @SiaNejad on Twitter and hop in our Free Expert Chat on Discord!

Week 1 Lines

DraftKings Promo

Chicago at Detroit (-1.5) – A best bet. Detroit at home with weapons on offense. Defense is shaky but that shouldn’t be a problem against Mitch Trubisky. Lions tend to start fast. Last year derailed by Stafford injury but this team isn’t as poor as people think.  

Indianapolis (-8.5) at Jacksonville – Is it possible for a team to give up before Week 1?  This game is a stay away for me but if I had to bet it I’d take the Minshew magic plus the points. It’s just too many points for a home team in Week 1.  Indy probably overvalued at this point.

Green Bay at Minnesota -3.5 – shocking line.  Take it at 3 maybe.  This line will go down to 3 or maybe 2.5 by kickoff.  I’m taking Minnesota with the assumption that I get the line later on at 3 or 3.5.  Not in love with the bet but the line tells you all you need to know about how the oddsmakers feel about the Packers (record from last year may be a little fraudulent).

L.A. Chargers (-3.5) at Cincinnati – Chargers probably win but 3.5 is too much.  This is a bet against on Tyrod and Anthony Lynn.  Chargers can’t help but play close games and Tyrod just isn’t the guy.  Bengals have just enough weapons to move the ball and keep it close.

Arizona at San Francisco (-8) – too many points.  Home game not a factor here. Kyler has done well against SF.  Too many weapons for Arizona.  Game will be close enough.  

Tampa Bay at New Orleans (-4) – line is all over the place.  Anything under 4 and I’m on Saints.  Line opened at -6 when schedule came out which was absurd.  Let’s see if the line moves.  If it stays at -4 I’ll take the dog.  It’s a stay away for now.

Dallas (-3) at L.A. Rams – Feels like they’re in a bad spot. Dallas has a ton of weapons on offense. Defense is very shaky but if they can get a pass rush on Goff, they’ll be okay.  Not a bet I love and i’d probably wait to see if line goes down to -2.5.  Probably won’t since Dallas is a public team.

Team Win Totals

Ravens over (11 with juice to over) – Very easy schedule.  Only travel 6k miles on the season (some teams are between 25k-30k of travel miles).  14-2 last year.  Loaded and did well in the draft (Patrick Queen, JK Dobbins, plenty of offensive line help, DLineman in the third round and a very underrated WR out of Texas in Duvernay and Proche from SMU).  Also got James Daka as an UDFA out of JMU.  Edge rusher with 16.5 sacks last year (I went to JMU).

Steelers over (8.5 with juice to over) – Easy schedule (NFC East/AFC South out of division).  People falling asleep on them.  Great defensive front.  They get their QB back.  Weapons at WR (Juju, Claypool, DJohnson and James Washington) and TE (Ebron/Vance) and RB with Conner and Macfarland.

Bengals under (6) Someone has to be the big loser in this division.  Looking at their schedule I can find 5 wins but not 6.  Certainly not 7 so you’re worst case feels like a push.  Small miracle if this team gets anywhere near 7 games.

Giants under (6.5) (AFC North/NFC West)I know Michael covered them but thought id touch on them too (maybe it’s good to reinforce?).  Under is a good bet here.  Schedule is tough.  Just seems like such a good play felt right to reinforce it.

Broncos over (7.5) (AFC East/NFC South)Not the easiest schedule but still like it.  Won 4 of last 5 games last year.  3 of first 5 on the road but that’s not a bad thing.  Pass rush should be good.  Improved OLine.  Good OC in Pat Shurmur.  Loaded at RB (Gordon and Lindsay) and WR (Jeudy, Sutton, KJ Hamler) and talent at TE.  I believe in Drew Locke.

Cowboys over (9.5) – Defense has to be decent and then they’ll cruise in a weak division.

Super Bowl Winners

Ravens at 7 to 1 –  Best team in the NFL.  14-2 last year.  4th easiest schedule per Warren Sharp metric.  Absolutely loaded up  in the draft on offense and defense (Dobbins/Queen/Duvernay/Proche/OL/DL/Daka out of JMU (16.5 sacks last year).  Only travel 6,000 miles on the entire season (compare that to most NFC/AFC West teams which can travel 25-30 thousand miles).  

Cowboys at 18 to 1 – Competitive NFC but this is a real team which now has a real coach which upgraded in a big way in the draft.  Defense is suspect but these are solid odds.  I like the Cowboys +110 to win the NFC East as well.

Steelers at 28 to 1 – 7th easiest schedule per Warren Sharp metric (NFC East/AFC South). Steelers got to 8 wins with basically no QB.  Juju healthy.  BigBen healthy.  Stout defense.  Upgrades on offense at RB and WR plus solid core of young WRs (Johnson/Washington).  Only two legitimate teams in the AFC so there is a chance for Steelers to make some noise.

Division Winners

Bucs +105 versus the Saints +110 [NFC South]
Saints added Emmanuel Sanders and a few pieces on defense in free agency.  Solid draft with Baun at LB, Ruiz at Center, Troutman at TE.  May take a while for Bucs to get acclimated.  And let’s not forget Brady is 100 years old.  Bucs offense should still be lethal but not sure they’re fit to take over in the NFC South.  I do like what Bucs did in grabbing Wirfs in first round to shore up OLine and like Ke’Shawn Vaughn to be a potential sneaky star at RB.

Packers +170 versus Vikings +165 [NFC North]
Just seems like the Pack may fall apart this year.  Won a lot of close games last year and I expect regression there.  No help for ARod on offense.  Vikings got a headache out of the locker room in Diggs and filled his position in the draft with Jefferson.  Vikings addressed every need in first two rounds with a WR, CB, and a Tackle.  15 picks overall and this is suddenly a young team on the rise with a veteran QB and an elite pair of RB’s

Cowboys +100 versus Eagles +140 [NFC East]
Seems like Cowboys have the easier schedule. Eagles a very solid team but Wentz certainly an injury risk and Eagles draft didn’t address needs like the Cowboys did.  Cowboys did lost Byron Jones (and Philly gained Slay) but Cowboys drafted 2 CBs with their first 4 picks and now have elite weapons all over the offense. Eagles first two picks with Reagor and Hurts may have very minimal impact in 2020.

Niners +115 versus Seahawks +225 [NFC West]
At some point Russell Wilson is going to have a problem carrying this entire team.  Niners get almost everyone back.  Buckner gone but they filled his spot with Javon Kinlaw.  Got Brendan Aiyuk from ASU.  Team is loaded and getting value at +115.  Hawks draft seemed full of reaches with Jordyn Brooks and Darrell Taylor with first two picks.

Jason’s NFL Futures Bets for 2020

Make sure to follow Jason on Twitter at @jasonmezrahi and talk to him about his picks in our Free Expert Chat on Discord.

Division Winners

Bucs 12 to 1
Already locked it in at 15 to 1 and I don’t mind it here at 12 to 1. This offense is going to be good to great. Their Run D was good enough. Their secondary was terrible. Licht also made other big moves this offseason, keeping NFL sack leader Shaq Barrett, and bringing back veteran defenders in Jason Pierre-Paul and Ndamukong Suh. He also made sure he landed one of the best offensive tackle prospects in the 2020 NFL Draft, trading up for Iowa’s Tristan Wirfs. Though he has taken his share of grief for his misses in recent years, much of which he admits he deserves, Licht deserves every bit of praise he’s getting for the bold moves he’s made this offseason to make the Bucs a legitimate contender. We’ll see if the on-field results match the hype this fall, but at this point, Licht and the Bucs have been big winners this offseason.

Eagles 17 to 1
Picking up Darius Slay covered a major whole in that philadelphia secondary and if Carson and the wide receiving crew can stay healthy they can cruise thru a weak NFC east and lock up a possible home playoff game. I love what sanders brings to this offense, combined with the two tight end set of Ertz and Goeddert, and hopefully a healthy Alshon, Desean and rookie Reagor this offense can be explosive.

Cardinals 60 to 1
The Cardinals have been busy this offseason. They acquired WR DeAndre Hopkins in a trade that sent RB David Johnson to the Houston Texans. They re-signed RB Kenyan Drake and LT D.J. Humphries. They added DL Jordan Phillips and LBs Devon Kennard and De’Vondre Campbell in free agency. They selected LB Isaiah Simmons (Clemson) in the first round of the 2020 NFL Draft and added OL Josh Jones (Houston), DL Leki Fotu (Utah) and DL Rashard Lawrence (LSU) with their next three picks.

Team Win Totals

Overs
Ravens – 11
49ers – 10.5
Broncos – 7.5

Unders
Giants – 6.5
Jets – 6.5
Rams – 8
Bills – 9

I hope you can make some money on our NFL Futures Bets for 2020, I think these are some solid plays for the year. Considering we don’t know what it will look like, it should be fun either way!

Make sure to hop in our Free Expert Chat on Discord to ask us all questions!

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Welcome to another Monday night football DFS preview article. I will be covering value and punt plays, favorite stacks, and my contrarian play of the game. So who is ready for some Monday night action between the Giants and Eagles? All prices discussed are via DraftKings in their Monday Night Football DFS Showdown Contest.

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Monday Night Football DFS – Value and Punt Plays

Through the first two weeks of the season, Evan Engram led the team in targets (22) with Eli Manning under center. With Manning getting the start and Engram and back up tight end Rhett Ellison also out, Kaeden Smith ($2,200) is a nice punt play option. He has 14 targets over the past two weeks averaging 12.85 fantasy points. Eagles rank ninth-best versus tight ends.

Nelson Agholor also failed to log a single practice this week, which creates a great opportunity for J.J. Arcega-Whiteside ($2,000) and Greg Ward ($200) who is so cheap and lets you fit in all the studs. Though J.J. scored the touchdown, Ward ran more routes in Week 13 and played more snaps. If Agholor is ultimately ruled out the Eagles will just have three wide receivers in J.J. Arcega-Whiteside, Alshon Jeffery, and Greg Ward. Doug Pederson did mention that tight end Joshua Perkins ($200), who was brought up from the practice squad last week, could have a bigger role.

Monday Night Football DFS – Favorite Stacks

The Giants pass defense is absolutely terrible especially when they play on the road. They are allowing 8.8 yards per pass attempt on the road this season by far the highest in the NFL. Every non-rookie quarterback that has faced the Giants has scored at least 20 fantasy points. Carson Wentz ($11,800) should be the preferred quarterback option and the one you should build around. Wentz threw four touchdowns and no interceptions and averaged just over 250 yards in two games last year versus the Giants. You will then want to pair Wentz with other Eagles weapons that include Zach Ertz ($9,400), Alshon Jeffery ($9,200), and Miles Sanders ($8,600).

Ertz has a touchdown reception in four consecutive games versus the Giants and has at least eight targets and six receptions over his last four games versus the G-Men. Sanders should again see 20-plus touches with Jordan Howard slated to miss. He could be in line for a great game especially if the rain causes the team to focus more on the ground. Via PhiladelphiaEagles.com, Sanders is the first NFL running back to record at least 850 scrimmage yards and 300 return yards in his first 12 career games since Adrian Peterson (Minnesota) in 2007.

That means you should not overlook Dallas Goedert ($4,800) who could see more looks if the Eagles run more two-tight end sets. The Giants will also be without their starting safety Jabrill Peppers. And with any build, you will want to do your best to squeeze Saquon Barkley ($10,600) into your lineup even if you cannot get him in the captain’s spot. Barkley has 371 scrimmage yards (185.5 per game) & three touchdowns (two rush, one rec.) in two career games versus the Eagles. Barkley has better fantasy splits with Eli Manning under center.

Monday Night Football DFS – Contrarian Plays

The Eagles DST ($5,800) could potentially be overlooked in the captain’s spot despite being in a potential blow-up spot with the weather not looking so great for Monday night. But for things to get really weird playing the Giants DST ($2,800) could provide great leverage on the field especially in poor weather conditions where balls can take unusual bounces. The Eagles rank sixth-worst in the league in turnovers per game and lead the league in turnovers per game (2.3) over the last three weeks. Kicker Jake Elliott ($4,000) is also an intriguing play with the weather, but the Giants are allowing 2.2 field goal attempts per game on the road this season.

Darius Slayton ($6,800) will probably be the least owned Giants receiver because we have not seen him with Eli Manning. Still last week Slayton ran the most routes and led the team in targets (nine). But there is an argument to be made that Slayton has the most upside of any Giants receiver. He leads the team in receiving yards, receptions, air yards, and receiving touchdowns. Wide receiver coach Tyke Tolbert suggested Slayton would still be a featured part of the offense following the return of Golden Tate (concussion) to the starting lineup, Jordan Raanan of ESPN.com reports. “He’s going to be the same factor he’s always been.”

The other receiver options are Golden Tate ($8,000) and Sterling Shepard ($7,200). Shepard has the most chemistry with Manning making owners probably trend towards him. In his six career games against the Eagles, Shepard has 35 catches for 457 yards and four touchdowns. This is a revenge game for Tate, and he is averaging 12.5 yards per catch in his first season with the Giants, his best mark since 2014 with the Lions. We saw last week in a plus matchup what Shepard could do without Tate and he just had three receptions. The upside again lies in Tate and not Shepard so Tate is the preferred option, especially coming with lower ownership.

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It’s time for our Week 10 DFS recommendations for the Sunday main slate. I’m focusing on tight ends (TEs) and defenses (DSTs) that will help you win big!

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Week 10 DFS Tight End CashGame Plays 

Austin Hooper, ATL at NO

FD ($6,800)         DK ($6,300) 

No tight end in the NFL has more double-digit fantasy performancesthis season, as Hooper has averaged 18.6 FPPG on DK and 14.63 on FD. Thematchup may be tough on paper, but the Falcons will be throwing the ball inthis one and Hooper is a lock for 7-10 targets each week. He’s got the highestfloor and a Top 3 ceiling.

Travis Kelce, KC at TEN

FD ($6,700)         DK ($6,900) 

Kelce caught 7-62-0 on nine targets last week, but with Patrick Mahomeslooking ready to suit up for Week 10, we might see the big TE finally reachpaydirt for only the second time since mid-September, when he dropped 7-107-1on the Raiders. I’m expecting a stat line closer to that than the morepedestrian totals we’ve been seeing.

Week 10 DFS Tight End GPP Plays

Mark Andrews, BAL at CIN

FD ($6,800)          DK ($5,200)

The exciting young TE isfar from a cash game lock against a Bengals defense that may struggle tocontain Baltimore’s running game. Game script may dictate a conservativeapproach from the Ravens and they might just not need much from Andrews. But ifCincy can somehow keep this thing close, we could see monster day from him.

GeraldEverett, LAR at PIT

FD ($5,700)          DK ($4,500)

The Rams are without Brandin Cooks, and both WR JoshReynolds and Everett get a big bump this week against the Steelers. Everett hassome of the biggest GPP upside on this slate, and his price isn’t oppressiveenough that we are forced to compromise at other positions. He has three gamesof 15+ DK points so far, including a 23.6-point effort against Seattle in Week5 – so get him in some of your Sunday builds.

Eric Ebron, IND vs. MIA

FD ($4,900)          DK ($3,900)

I’m notgoing to begin to parse how the pricing algorithms on FD and DK are this wonkywhen it comes to Ebron and his teammate (discussed below), but there’s merit toplaying both of these guys in GPPs against the Dolphins, who have done a betterjob keeping games close the past few weeks. Ebron is a boom-or-bust GPP optionjust about every week, and we need to consider him, even if we don’t load up.

Jack Doyle, IND vs. MIA

FD ($5,200)          DK ($3,600)

Doyle is a huge bargain on DK and relatively expensive onFD, but he’s an excellent GPP option on both and could have a higher floor thanthe aforementioned Ebron. It would take some enormous hutzpah to play both in aGPP, and I’m not necessarily recommending it, but if there was a week to do it,it would be one like this.

T.J. Hockenson, DET at CHI

FD ($5,300)         DK ($3,900) 

Hockenson gets a favorable matchup against the Bears, who are 30thin the NFL vs. TEs. No major worries the concussion front, either, as he wasevaluated during Week 9 but just had the wind knocked out of him on a big hit.He’s an excellent GPP value play with upside.

Jonnu Smith, TEN vs.KC

FD ($5,100)         DK ($3,500) 

Delanie Walker (ankle) has been ruled out again, and it’s asituation Smith is familiar with. He’s had a couple different results – with a6-78-1 receiving line in a Week 8 win over Tampa Bay and a not-so-great 3-18-0in last week’s loss to the Panthers. The matchup with the Chiefs is on the favorableside, as they are 22nd in the NFL vs. TEs.

Week 10 DFS Tight End Punt Plays 

CameronBrate, TB vs. ARI

FD ($5,100)         DK ($3,700) 

Brate gets to face theworst team in the league at defending TEs and he’s the best option at theposition for the Bucs. TheKing is with me on this, so feel free to roll Brate out in GPPs and evensome cash games if you don’t want to spend up.

Ryan Griffin, NYJ at MIA

FD ($5,100)         DK ($3,100) 

Griffin has double-digit fantasy points on DK in three of his last four and caught six of eight targets for 50 yards in Sunday’s 26-18 loss to the Dolphins. His Week 10 matchup is against the Giants, who are 28th in the league vs. his. With Chris Herndon questionable again, Griffin is a staple of my GPP builds.

Greg Olsen, CAR at GB

FD ($5,100)         DK ($3,600) 

Olsen hasn’t shown much upside in the past several weeks, as the Panthers offense has involved the WRs more and focused on being the Christian McCaffrey show. We’ll see another big workload from CMC, but the Packers secondary is more likely to yield completions underneath to Olsen than the big play. If this thing turns into an offensive explosion, Olsen could get more red-zone looks and make for a cheap, TD-dependent GPP play.

Mike Gesicki, MIA vs. IND

FD ($5,300)         DK ($3,100) 

The suddenly relevant Gesicki matches up against the AFC’s second-worst team vs. TEs, and he’s been relatively efficient the past three weeks. Absent Preston Williams, the Miami offense could work him into more routes and targets for Week 10.

Additional Week 10 DFS GPP and punt options:

JimmyGraham, GB vs. CAR (FD $5,800, DK $4,000) – GPP

VanceMcDonald, PIT vs. LAR (FD $5,600, DK $3,800) – GPP

JaredCook, NO vs. ATL (FD $5,800, DK $4,100) – GPP

O.J.Howard, TB vs. ARI (FD $5,000, DK $3,300) – Punt

RhettEllison, NYG at NYJ (FD $5,000, DK $2,500) – Punt

Tyler Eifert, CIN vs. BAL(FD $5,000, DK $3,000) – Punt

Week 10 DFS DST Cash Game Plays 

Baltimore Ravens (BAL at CIN)

FD ($5,000)         DK ($4,000) 

The Ravens DST has a great matchup this week and has proven themselves worthy even against the toughest of opponents, with 31 combined DK points over the past two weeks against the Seahawks and Patriots. They’re easy to lock into cash games.

New Orleans Saints (NO vs. ATL)

FD ($5,000)         DK ($3,700) 

With 14 sacks over their past four games, the Saints make for a solid option in all formats against a banged-up Falcons offensive unit. They’re cash-viable with a 20-point upside in GPPs.

Week 10 DFS DST GPP Plays

Indianapolis Colts (IND vs.MIA)

FD ($4,900)         DK ($3,500) 

The Colts draw the best matchup of Week 10 and should be a chalky GPP option facing Miami. They’ve averaged 8.5 DK points over their last three and have a 15-point upside on Sunday.

Los Angeles Rams (LAR at PIT)

FD ($4,600)         DK ($3,000) 

The Rams are a sneaky play this week facing the Steelers, who seem to limit mistakes and play a conservative style that doesn’t yie4ld a lot of turnovers. Still, the Rams have a slew of impact defensive players who give them an enormous upside in GPPs.

Buffalo Bills (BUF at CLE)

FD ($4,500)         DK ($2,900) 

In Week 10, the Bills facethe Browns, who make a lot of mistakes. The road matchup and two recent weak effortsare the only things that will keep me from using them more.

New York Giants (NYG at NYJ)

FD ($4,600)         DK ($3,500) 

The Giants just acquired Leonard Williams from the Jets not toolong ago, and we’ve seen the Jets struggle to score the football in the redzone. They make for a boom-or-bust GPP play in a game that could end up being adefenseless shootout.

Chicago Bears (CHI at PHI)

FD ($4,200)          DK ($3,100)

The Bears DST has been remarkably quiet lately, but Matthew Stafford and the Lions tend to push the ball up the field and throw over the top of the defense, which can lead to multiple turnovers. They’re far from safe, but they have an upside.

Week 10 DFS DST Punt Plays 

Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT vs. LAR)

FD ($4,100)         DK ($2,600) 

Scott Engel mentioned these guys, along with the Chiefs in hispunts column this week, and I’m right there with him. The Steelers defensehas been maddeningly consistent with its DK scoring, averaging 11.8 on the seasonand posting 19, 11, 14, 13, and 19 points in succession since Week 4.

Kansas City Chiefs (KC vs. TEN)

FD ($3,700)         DK ($2,700) 

The Chiefs defense – especially the pass rush – is underrated, andthey should have DL Chris Jones back for a second consecutive week, which meansRyan Tannehill could be in trouble. I’m on board as a GPP punt in large-field,low-stakes tourneys.  

Cleveland Browns (CLE vs. BUF)

FD ($3,500)         DK ($2,500) 

The Browns’ defensive line is loaded with talent and the defensive backs seem sot be getting healthy. They could give the Bills some problems, but they remain a longshot for viable production. I’d avoid them in lineups using Devin Singletary and/or the Bills passing game, obviously.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Week – Click Here to Play and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Pick the Players that will get the most Receptions

Goal: 23.5, Prize: 3x

I am including TE Austin Hooper with WRs Julio Jones and Michael Thomas in this MKF bet, going for broke on the 3x, because these three guys can easily average 8 receptions each this week. Thomas might be good for 12 on his own, and Jones and Hooper each have about 7-8 in them too.

Photo of Austin Hooper via Thomson200 at Wikimedia Commons.

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Week 8 in the NFL is all about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.

David Jones took down the Week 3 Sunday Night Showdown in his second tournament takedown in two days!

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here

I want to start off this article by saying you must have the absolute nuts to win the top prize up top on large field GPPs. There is no room for mistakes with so many entries in these contests. If you think you are going to win it all by playing a combo of the top seven guys in the player pool, you are not. If a combo of a bunch of guys you have heard of before is indeed the best scoring lineup, you will most likely tie for first. If that sounds good to you, then go for it. It will be profitable if you nail it, but for me I like to be a little different on these slates. I will be making multiple teams and taking long shots on a few cheap guys. 

Leaving cash on the table in these NFL DFS contests is fine too. This makes your lineup even more unique and lower owned because a lot of amateurs will be pulling their hair out to use their entire salary. 

That all being said, I have looked at every possible player that can get on the field and listed my picks below.

The NFL DFS Week 8 Thursday Night Showdown Picks

I have won the last two NFL Showdowns by using different combinations of picks out of this article. Let’s make it three in a row!

MVP: Dalvin Cook ($15,500 FD)

Dalvin Cook is the obvious choice. The Vikings will most likely be without Adam Thielen meaning they will need to lean on the run game even more than normal. Cook could be in store for another 25 carry game and get little more involved in the pass game. He feels extraordinarily safe as MVP and you can count on him getting in the end zone at least once.

I also think the Vikings Defense shows up against Washington and it is a good idea to correlate your defense with your running back on DraftKings.

MVP Pivot: Stefon Diggs Thielen is out

NFL DFS Flex Options:

Listed in order of preference, with price factored in.

  1. Stefon Diggs ($14,000 FD) Obvious boost with Thielen out. Should be his most heavily targeted game of the season against a poor RedSkins defense.
  2. Kirk Cousins ($15,000 FD)
  3. Terry McLaurin ($12,000 FD) He has emerged as the top receiving threat for the Redskins.
  4. Paul Richardson ($6,500 FD) I like Richardson for a breakout game tonight. He is still capable of a big game, even though he has not put one together yet. I will have to assume that Washington is going to be throwing more here if they are playing from behind, especially if Peterson sits. I wouldn’t play McLaurin and him on the same team unless I had Case Keenum.
  5. Case Keenum ($13,500 FD) The price feels high, but the Skins are gonna have to throw, especially since Thompson is out and Peterson is banged up
  6. Olabisi Johnson ($10,000 FD) Significantly better with Thielen out. New WR2 in Minnesota.
  7. Dan Baily ($9,500 FD) With Thielen out I can see this offense stalling more in the RedZone and attempting more field goals.
  8. Wendall Smallwood ($5,000 FD) Chris Thompson is out, and Adrian Peterson has two ankle sprains.. Way too cheap,
  9. Jeremy Sprinkle ($6,000 FD) I like the price a lot for the now starting tight end on Washington. He is on the field a lot with Davis out.
  10. Irv Smith Jr ($7,500 FD) I was high on Irv at the beginning of the season and he is finally getting some run. The Vikings starting running two TE sets when Thielen went down last week.
  11. Dustin Hopkins ($9,000 FD) Skins kicker
  12. Laqoun Treadwell ($5,000 FD) WR punt play for the Vikings with Thielen out

I did my research on FanDuel today. I like the Vikings Defense a lot of DraftKings.

Punts:

  1. Kyle Rudolph ($8,500 FD) His corpse caught a touchdown last week. Maybe he does it again, maybe he doesn’t.. He is a punt in my book
  2. Trey Quinn ($7,000 FD) Redskins WR3
  3. Alexander Mattison ($8,000 FD) Price is higher than I would like. He should get a handful of carries and perhaps the opportunity to vulture a TD. If the Vikings get up big he may get some garbage time run. Adrian Peterson ($10,500 FD) He is injured but is going to try and tough it out. I won’t have much of him at all

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1. Kirk Cousins will not be throwing as much which leaves the door open for Case Keenum to keep it within 85 yards (that’s a lot). Keenum should also be throwing more if they are trailing.

2. Diggs will get a big boost if Thielen is out and the Vikings defensive backs should be more focused on McLaurin than any of the other receiving options.

3. Adrian Peterson is dealing with a high ankle sprain and I think Cook goes for over 100 yards here.

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Week 7 in the NFL is all about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.

David Jones took down the Week 3 Sunday Night Showdown in his second tournament takedown in two days!

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here

I want to start off this article by saying you must have the absolute nuts to win the top prize up top on large field GPPs. There is no room for mistakes with so many entries in these contests. If you think you are going to win it all by playing a combo of the top seven guys in the player pool, you are not. If a combo of a bunch of guys you have heard of before is indeed the best scoring lineup, you will most likely tie for first. If that sounds good to you, then go for it. It will be profitable if you nail it, but for me I like to be a little different on these slates. I will be making multiple teams and taking long shots on a few cheap guys. 

Leaving cash on the table in these NFL DFS contests is fine too. This makes your lineup even more unique and lower owned because a lot of amateurs will be pulling their hair out to use their entire salary. 

That all being said, I have looked at every possible player that can get on the field and listed my picks below.

The NFL DFS Week 7 Thursday Night Showdown Picks

MVP: Courtland Sutton ($12,000 FD)

MVP is difficult tonight. The Broncos have only given up four passing touchdowns this season and are holding opponents to 207 yards per game. I know Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs can put up big numbers on anyone but I think I want to get different at MVP tonight and pick a Bronco.

Courtland Sutton is the team’s top wide receiver. On the Broncos I am not seeing a lot of offensive options. That is going to mean the offense will run through just a few guys, as opposed to the Chiefs, who have plenty of wide receivers and running backs to mix in.

Sutton should be targeted up and down the field and in the red zone. I am willing to take a shot.

MVP Pivot: Phillip Lindsay – He will be another huge part of the Broncos offense. We just need them to stay in the game. The only team who has given up more rushing touchdowns than the Chiefs is the Cincinnati Bengals.

NFL DFS Flex Options:

Listed in order of preference, with price factored in.

  1. Patrick Mahomes (not gonna fight it if you want to play him at MVP)
  2. Tyreek Hill
  3. Travis Kelce
  4. Emmanuel Sanders
  5. Harrison Butker
  6. Demarcus Robinson
  7. Mecole Hardman
  8. LeSean McCoy
  9. Damien Williams (wouldn’t play with McCoy)
  10. Brandon McManus
  11. Noah Fant
  12. Joe Flacco

Punts:

  1. Royce Freeman
  2. DeaSean Hamilton
  3. Byron Pringle
  4. Darrell Williams

Everyone is listed in order of preference

Click here to play the Thursday MonkeyKnifeFight.com Picks. Play these picks and get 100 percent bonus!

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