thumbs-up-solid
DFS & Sports Betting Tools, Exclusive Content, and Expert Chat
START FREE TRIAL
 
thumbs-up-solid
START FREE TRIAL
thumbs-up-solid
START FREE TRIAL
Home / MonkeyKnifeFight.com / Page 8
Tag:

MonkeyKnifeFight.com

NBADaily Fantasy Sports

11/5 NBA DFS Game Previews & Prop Bets

written by

Tuesday offers another six-game slate, so Vote Early and dig into the 11/5 NBA DFS Game Previews & Prop Bets

Indiana at Charlotte, 7:00 PM Eastern

Pacers at a Glance — 21st in scoring (105.2), 7th in scoring (103.8), 21st in offensive rating (104.3), 11th in defensive rating (103), 22nd in pace (100.8).

PF/C Domantas Sabonis ($8300/DK) is questionable, but with the Pacers playing back-to-backs, chances are Sabonis sits tonight and plays against the Wizards on Wednesday. With PF/C Myles Turner also out out, PF/C Goga Bitadze ($4000/DK) will likely see extended minutes tonight and could be worth a flier. PG/SG Malcolm Brogdon ($8200/DK) is a must-consider on a nightly basis, while SG/SF Jeremy Lamb ($6100/DK) is seeing a spike in his DKP per game totals.

Stud — Brogdon. Dud — SF/PF T.J. Warren ($6100). Sleeper — Bitadze.

Hornets at a Glance — 20th in scoring (105.5), 22nd in scoring defense (112.5), 20th in offensive rating (104.7), 27th in defensive rating (111.7), 24th in pace (100.7).

C Cody Zeller ($6500/DK) offers strong sleeper potential, especially if the Pacers choose to sit Sabonis. He should be a lock for a double-double. PG Terry Rozier ($6900/DK) has become more of a scoring threat in his last four games. Considering the lack of options in Charlotte, I think this is more than just a brief trend. Like Zeller, PF/C P.J. Washington ($6100/DK) has upside tonight.

Stud — Zeller. Dud — SF/PF Miles Bridges ($5400/DK). Sleeper — Washington.

Boston at Cleveland, 7:00 PM Eastern

Celtics at a Glance — 17th in scoring (108.6), 5th in scoring (103), 14th in offensive rating (107), 8th in defensive rating (101.4), 16th in pace (101.5).

After a down opener, PG Kemba Walker ($9100/FD) has averaged at least 42.2 FDP in his last four games. PF Jayson Tatum ($8300/FD) is more steady than spectacular. Nothing wrong with that, but I’d choose Walker if you had to build around a Celtics player tonight. SG Jaylen Brown ($6300/FD) is out tonight (illness), so look for more minutes for SG Marcus Smart ($5600/FD), who has been a surprise source of DFS production. PF Daniel Theis ($4200/FD) is a curious play. SF Gordon Hayward ($6900/FD) continues as a good value since the Boston bench is pretty thin.

Stud — Walker. Dud — Smart. Sleeper — Hayward.

Cavaliers at a Glance — 23rd in scoring (105), 19th in scoring defense (111), 23rd in offensive rating (103.8), 22nd in defensive rating (109.8), 20th in pace (101.1).

As long as he is healthy, PF Kevin Love ($9400/FD) is a must-consider. Tonight, he might be more of a must-start. C Tristan Thompson ($8400/FD) isn’t a fluke. The offense is now optimal for him to be more of an option rather than an observer. The blocked shots, however, is a fluke. PG Collin Sexton ($5200/FD) is averaging two assists per game. Uh, I’d like more from my PG, please. Stay far away from PG Darius Garland ($4000/FD) and SF Cedi Osman ($4400/FD).

Stud — Love. Dud — Garland. Sleeper — SF Larry Nance ($5000/FD).

San Antonio at Atlanta, 7:30 PM Eastern

Spurs at a Glance — 14th in scoring (112.8), 15th in scoring defense (109.8), 12th in offensive rating (108.6), 15th in defensive rating (105.8), 11th in pace (103.9).

Any time you have a PG averaging 8.6 rebounds per game to go along with 2.2 steals per contest, you have to pay attention, which is why Dejounte Murray ($6700/DK) is a strong option tonight. SG/SF DeMar DeRozan ($7500/DK) is adding rebounds and assists to his usual solid scoring totals. Run with him while that lasts. Facing Alex Len will be a challenge for PF/C LaMarcus Aldridge ($6800/DK), but must better than what he faced on Sunday contending with Anthony Davis and Dwight Howard. SF/PF Rudy Gay ($5200/DK) isn’t shooting well from long range but is doing enough stat-stuffing to merit consideration.

Stud — Murray. Dud — Gay. Sleeper C Jakob Poeltl ($3100/DK).

Hawks at a Glance — 26th in scoring (103.4), 8th in scoring defense (104.4), 25th in offensive rating (102.9), 12th in defensive rating (103.8), 25th in pace (100.5).

PF/C John Collins ($8000/DK) was suspended 25 games on Tuesday, taking away 36.9 DKP and huge presence inside for the Hawks. That dampens the news of PG Trae Young ($9200/DK) returning to the lineup. Expect Young to have a larger Usage rate. The value of PG/SG Deandre’ Bembry ($5300/DK) is hurt as well. With Collins out, rookie C Bruno Fernando ($3200) will likely see a considerable jump in minutes. Keep an eye on how much Len ($4100/DK) to get time, but he is dealing with a rib injury. However, he will play tonight.

Stud– Young. Dud– Bembry. Sleeper– Fernando

Orlando at Oklahoma City, 8:00 PM Eastern

Magic at a Glance — 30th in scoring (93.5), 2nd in defense (98.2), 30th in offensive rating (93.5), fifth in defensive rating (100.3), 29th in pace (97.9).

The best play is C Nikola Vucevic ($6800/FD), who’s settling in for his usual 34-36 FDP form. Keep an eye on SF Jonathan Isaac ($6600/FD), who continues to offer blocked shots but can’t be completely trusted due to his inconsistent scoring. I’m still not warm on PF Aaron Gordon ($6400/FD), nor am I feeling good about SG Evan Fournier ($5000/FD).

Stud — Vucevic. Dud — Fournier. Sleeper — Isaac.

Thunder at a Glance — 24th in scoring (104.2), 4th in scoring defense (104.8), 26th in offensive rating (101.5), 4th in defensive rating (99.1), 25th in pace (100.5).

SG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ($8300/FD) is a more confident shooter than he was as a rookie last season. He’s playing well enough defensively to where Gilgeous-Alexander has become a lynchpin behind the Thunder’s top-end defensive effort thus far. PG Chris Paul ($7500/FD) has been more scorer than distributor. As usual, if Danilo Gallinari ($6200/FD) isn’t scoring the ball, he doesn’t offer much in DFS, especially in a game where neither team is a lock to score at least 100 points.

Stud — Gilgeous-Alexander. Dud — Gallinari. Sleeper — SF Hamidou Diallo ($4700/DK).

LA Lakers at Chicago, 8:30 PM Eastern

Lakers at a Glance — 16th in scoring (109.8), 3rd in scoring defense (99.3), 16th in offensive rating (106.7), 1st in defensive rating (96.5), 17th in pace (101.2).

You don’t need me to tell you have to expect from PF/C Anthony Davis ($10,000/DK) and PG/SF LeBron James ($9600/DK). The two combine for 112 DKP, so good luck if you can add both of them. C Dwight Howard ($5100/DK) has been revived in a backup role that allows him to be a defensive monster. SF/PF Kyle Kuzma ($5100/DK) is still getting his legs back under him, so I would stay away for now.

Stud — Davis. Dud — SG/SF Danny Green ($3900/DK). Sleeper — Howard.

Bulls at a Glance — 22nd in scoring (105), 18th in scoring defense (110.3), 22nd in offensive rating (103.8), 18th in defensive rating (109), 18th in pace (101.2).

This probably isn’t the game you want to run with the Bulls, as the Lakers match up well defensively against the young and error-prone Chicago offense. The best option would be PG/SG Zach LaVine ($7300/DK). PF/C Wendell Carter Jr. ($6100/DK) is still battling a thumb injury, while PF/C Lauri Markkanen ($6300/DK) is fighting an injury to his side. I love the upside of all three, but I’d avoid them tonight.

Stud — LaVine. Dud — Markkanen. Sleeper — Carter Jr.

Miami at Denver, 10:00 PM Eastern

Heat at a Glance — 5th in scoring (117.8), 9th in defensive scoring (106.2), 9th in offensive rating (109.2), 3rd in defensive rating (98.4), 7th in pace (106.1).

SG Jimmy Butler ($9400/FD) has not taken long to establish himself as a dominant presence in Miami, averaging better than 48 DKP per game. PF Bam Adebayo ($8400/FD) is living up the preseason promises and is establishing a dangerous outside-inside combo with himself and Butler. PG Kendrick Nunn ($5600/FD) is starting to slip a bit now that Butler is taken the bulk of the usage rate, while PG Goran Dragic ($5600/FD) is cooled off after a strong start. SF Justice Winslow ($6400/FD) is a game time decision.

Stud — Butler. Dud — Winslow. Sleeper — Nunn.

Nuggets at a Glance — 25th in scoring (103.5), 6th in scoring defense (103.2), 19th in offensive rating (104.8), 13th in defensive rating (104.4), 30th in pace (97.1).

The Nuggets are so boring that they make the Jazz look like the Showtime Lakers of the 80s. C Nikola Jokic ($9200/FD) is in an early slump that continues to burn DFS users. PG Jamaal Murray ($6500/FD) will see lots of Butler tonight, so I’m not sure I’d invest in him.

Stud — Jokic. Dud — SG Gary Harris ($5200/FD). Sleeper — PF Paul Millsap ($5400/FD)

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of The Night – Play These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Over/Under

Take Anthony Davis over his 27.5 points per game average. He will live on the free throw line tonight. Take the under on Zach LaVine. He may see more of LeBron James defensively than he may have wanted.

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsNBA

10/31 NBA DFS Game Previews & Prop Bets

written by

Baseball’s over, kiddies, so the 10/31 NBA DFS Game Previews & Prop Bets will have your undivided attention. It’s just a three-game slate, so the diamond withdrawal will come slowly.

Miami at Atlanta, 7:00 PM Eastern

The Heat are a surprising seventh in points per game (118). More surprising is they are third in pace at 107.8, trailing only the Rockets (no shock) and Grizzlies (now be shocked). Miami is just 15th in offensive rating and head into Atlanta to face a Hawks team that is playing better defensively than advertised, as they are 10th in defensive rating.

This should be a good matchup for Jimmy Butler, who is playing in just his second game of the season. Bam Adebayo is also a solid play; both are the only Heat players with Player Efficiency Ratings (PER) better than 20. The opposite is with Justise Winslow, whose PER is far worse (10.49) than expected. Not to worry, though: Winslow is out tonight. Rookie Tyler Herro is getting a lot of minutes with little true bang for the buck, but this is a good matchup that favors him.

I don’t feel good about Goran Dragic, who I feel is a bit overrated even in a bench role, but in a three-game slate, the options are limited. He’ll get his share of ownership. With Butler back and his track record of high usage rates (27.5 in his season debut), everyone has to follow his lead.

Putting it Bluntly: It’s Butler and Adebayo. Oh, wait…you’re waiting for other names? Keep waiting.

The Hawks are living a charmed life in that Trae Young’s MRI on his injured ankle delivered good news, but they will be without him for tonight’s game. That means 38.2% of usage is up for grabs. Evan Turner has a bad Achilles and will be a game time decision, so it means that rookies Cam Reddish, De’Andre Hunter and Tyrone Wallace will have an opportunity to eat away at those minutes.

John Collins is the easy play here, but Jabari Parker is an interesting sleeper that I am tempted to add in a lineup or two as his minutes will get a boost in the wake of Young’s absence. Wallace’s 25.82 PER is the result of 14 garbage minutes, but he’s going to get a chance to see what he can do since Young is out until next week. Hunter, Alex Len and Reddish each have PERs under 10. That’s three members of your starting five. It’s going to get awfully ugly without Young, who’s going to really define the phrase Most Valuable Player.

Atlanta is 24th in offensive rating with Young in the lineup. Let that fester for a moment.

Putting it Bluntly: You are a sadist if you’re playing Showdown with this game. Without Young, the Hawks are going to look more like a solid ACC squad than an actual NBA team.

No Jokic, No Cry for Your DFS Lineup

Denver at New Orleans, 8:30 PM Eastern

Thus far, the Nuggets look like they’re sleepwalking into the season. Denver is 22nd in scoring but sixth in scoring defense, making them look a more flashy version of the Jazz. Actually, that’s an insult to Utah since the Nuggets are dead last in pace at 96.1.

Look, I heart Nikola Jokic like the next DFSer, but looking at them on Tuesday made me feel like I was watching a game in the late 1990s (ie, the apex of the NBA’s “Dead Ball” era). I won’t have to worry about that since the Nuggets will sit him out tonight. That means lots of Mason Plumlee, and I would be in.

Since this is a three-game slate, I suppose we have to consider some Nuggets. I like Jamaal Murray as the best option to play, and I do feel good about Paul Millsap. Both are moderately priced and you figure the Nuggets will get their offensive act together. Will Barton is also a nice play here now that he’s grabbing boards to go along with his offense.

Putting it Bluntly: Jokic will break out. It just won’t be tonight.

That the Pelicans are 28th in defensive rating should be encouraging to run with the Nuggets tonight, but New Orleans is also fourth in pace, so the bet here is that they will make the Nuggets dance to their beat. They’ll have Jrue Holiday back in the lineup after he missed the past two games, but it’s doubtful Derrick Favors will go tonight with a sore right knee.

Brandon Ingram is going to be a star, and his first four games are showing why I think that. Freed from the circus in LA, he’s also in a system that’s allowing his skills to manifest. He’s not quite an every game add, but I’ll want him in the bulk of my lineups tonight. This is also a good play for Lonzo Ball, as he and Jamaal Murray will make this fun if the pace is in favor of the Pelicans. Josh Hart returns to the bench after filling in for Holiday the past two games.

I’d really love to see more Jaxon Hayes, who looked impressive in his only game played. May not happen tonight, but he’s got some interesting tools I’d love to see more of.

Putting it Bluntly: Play Ingram. I really hope the Pelicans make the Nuggets get out of their comfort zone and make them play a more uptempo style.

Saying Hi to Kawhi

San Antonio at LA Clippers, 10:30 PM

Fifth in offensive rating, the Spurs are also seventh in pace. This is a well-balanced team SA has put together, one that has a pair of big guns to bolster a DFS roster along with a handful of players that can be productive in nights where there is a short slate of games. Lookie here, tonight is one of those nights.

LaMarcus Aldridge is 34, but looks like a 27-year-old with the way he’s playing thus far. I’d certainly want him tonight. DeMar DeRozan has looked like DeMar DeRozan over the past couple of games, but the player to grab is Dejounte Murray. Injuries have limited him early in his career, but we’re starting to see why the Spurs had no problem letting the door split on Tony Parker when he left last year. Murray is hitting near 30 in PER with a usage rate of 29. His strong start isn’t a fluke. This is a future All-Star.

Jakob Poeltl serves his purpose. He’s nasty, physical and has a nice R/40 rate. However, Trey Lyles would be a better fit for the offense. That a player with freakish talent like Lyles has yet to get a legit shot is beyond me. Place him on a slag team and Lyles would be getting 28-30% usage. Rudy Gay is just Rudy Gay: solid and damn unappreciated. Bryn Forbes is also an interesting play here.

Putting it Bluntly: I smell some stacking here.

Since Kawhi Leonard sat out on Wednesday, he’ll be more than ready to take on his old team tonight. Only the Rockets have a better offensive rating than the Clippers, but they are 25th in defensive rating. The Clippers run a slower pace than the Spurs, as they are 19th compared to San Antonio’s seventh-place spot in the category.

Lou Williams is scoring at nearly 23 points per game without playing more than 29 minutes per night. Montrezl Harrell got into foul trouble in Wednesday’s loss to the Jazz, playing only 14 minutes. There’s some gold in Ivica Zubac, but we’re not going to so long as he and Harrell are sharing minutes at the 5. JaMychal Green looked solid on Wednesday, but won’t be much of a factor with Leonard in the lineup.

Patrick Patterson, Landry Shamet and Patrick Beverley are each below 10 in PER. That’s unnerving when 3/5ths of your lineup is playing at the level of a back of the bench player.

Putting it Bluntly: It’s Leonard’s show. The bench is actually carrying the Clippers, though.

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of The Night – Play These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Over/Under

Goran Dragic — Averaging 19.3 points per game off the bench, Dragic is looking like the Eastern Conference version of Lou Williams.

Jabari Parker — He’s managing just 2.8 rebounds per game, but Parker will be needed to help fill the void left by the injury to Trae Young. That will mean more minutes off the bench.

Verdict — Take the under on Dragic, but take the over on Parker.

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsNBA

10/30 NBA DFS Game Previews & Prop Bets

written by

Yes, there is a Game 7 of the World Series, but the 10/30 NBA DFS Game Previews are a reminder there are 11 games on tap for DFSers to make long green.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Wanna catch my DFS musings on Twitter? Follow me here!

New York at Orlando, 7:00 PM Eastern

Rookie SG RJ Barrett ($7,200 FanDuel) is legit and comes off a 45.5 FDP effort against the Bulls on Monday. It’s still not safe to invest in C Mitchell Robinson ($6,100 FD), who continues to play despite an ankle injury. It’s time to hop off PF Julius Randle ($8,200 FD), who has hovered in the mid-to-upper 20s in FDP since his 55.2 FDP beast against the Spurs on opening night.

C Nikola Vucevic ($8,500 FD) had a poor outing on Monday, scoring just 22.5 FDP, but his track record suggests he’ll bounce back. That said, I wouldn’t invest in him tonight, especially with the depth of centers available. SG Evan Fournier ($5,600 DK) has gone 2-for-13 from 3-point range in his last two games. If he’s not scoring at a high rate, he has little DFS value. SF Jonathan Isaac ($6,500 FD) woke up for a 46.5 FDP performance on Monday. It’s still not time to buy into PF Aaron Gordon ($6,900 FD).

Minnesota at Philadelphia, 7:00 PM Eastern

C Karl-Anthony Towns ($9,900 DraftKings) won’t continue at a 68.3 DKP pace, but will be a highly-owned player tonight. Sunday’s 49.25 DKP made him look like a mere NBA DFS mortal. SG/SF Andrew Wiggins ($6,300 DK) is off to a good start from the field, but the 30.3 DKP shows he’s limited beyond scoring the basket. PG Jeff Teague ($5,700 DK) is off to a sluggish start and probably won’t be a good play considering PG/SF Ben Simmons ($8,700 DK) will draped over him much of the night.

C Joel Embiid ($10,000 DK) will be up for the challenge against Towns and is also coming off a 66.75 DKP against the Hawks on Monday. Simmons is stat-stuffing to the tune of 16.8 points, six boards and 8.3 assists per game. SF/PF Tobias Harris ($6,700 DK) is a solid play if Embiid and Simmons are too high for your taste, while PF/C Al Horford ($6,100 DK) is more of a 25-28 DKP scorer. Horford has a chance to put up good numbers on a thin Minnesota front line, but his usage is too inconsistent early on.

Chicago at Cleveland, 7:00 PM Eastern

SG Zach LaVine ($8,000 FD) is more of a boom-bust play early on, so look toward PF Lauri Markkanen ($7,900 FD) is the best play on the roster tonight. This looks like a 40-45 FDP night for Markkanen against a suspect Cleveland defense. C Wendell Carter ($6,700 FD) blew up for 46 FDP in Monday’s game at the Knicks. He will still start despite a thumb injury and projects as a mid-to-high 30 FDP performer.

PF Kevin Love is hitting the glass hard early on, making his $8,600 salary at FanDuel a solid play, especially if he’s 15-17 points per game. Who knew that C Tristan Thompson ($7,400 FD) would emerge as a 19.3 points per game scorer? The rebounds and blocks have always been there, but Thompson is DFS-viable as long as he’s filling the basket. SF Larry Nance ($6,100 FD) is the only other Cavs player worth considering for your DFS lineup.

Detroit at Toronto, 7:30 PM Eastern

Once you get past C Andre Drummond ($9,400 DK), the Pistons are very thin for DFS users. PG/SG Derrick Rose ($5,800 DK) comes off a 18.25 DKP effort in Monday’s win over the Pacers, shooting just 4-for-16 from the field. SG/SF Luke Kennard ($4,800 DK) seems to be settling in as a 25-27 DKP scorer, a rate that you can do much better than elsewhere.

PF/C Pascal Siakam ($8,400 DK) continues to dispel skeptics about his impressive start. He’s good for 45-47 DKP on most nights and should be able to hit that mark even with the matchup against Drummond. PG Kyle Lowry ($7,400 DK) has scored at least 40 DKP in three of his first four games. SF/PF OG Anunoby ($4,800 DK) has a combined 78.5 DKP in his last two games and has to be considered a value play. This is not a good night to run with PG/SG Fred VanVleet ($6,100 DK), who has shot a combined 8-for-28 from the field in his last two games.

Milwaukee at Boston, 7:30 PM Eastern

Consider tonight the fourth straight game SF Giannis Antetokounmpo ($11,600 FD) flirts with a triple double. He recorded one in the season opener and has come close over the past two games. SG Khris Middleton has put up 20 points in his last two starts and would be a solid FD play at $7,500. We’re still waiting on PG Eric Bledsoe ($6,600 FD) to step his game up, so don’t put much thought in using him tonight. C Brook Lopez ($5,800 FD) doesn’t offer enough rebounding to be a serious DFS option.

PF Jayson Tatum ($7,700 FD) gives DFSers 20.3 points and 9.3 rebonds per games and will be the Celtics play to add on your roster. PG Kemba Walker ($8,400 FD) has looked like the Walker of old with two straight solid outings following a 14.3 FDP game in the opener. SF Gordon Hayward ($6,600 FD) has regressed in his past two games and doesn’t merit much consideration.

Indiana at Brooklyn, 7:30 PM Eastern

Overlooked by many, PG/SG Malcolm Brogdon ($7,300 DK) is averaging nearly 49 DKP per game and is a good bet for 50-plus against the Nets’ defense. PF/C Domantas Sabonis ($7,900 DK) is averaging 20.7 points and 10.7 rebounds per game. He isn’t too far from being a consistent 40 DKP scorer for DFS users. C Myles Turner ($7,000 DK) has been steady, yet not steady enough to invest into. Rebounding continues to be an issue.

The Nets begin and end with PG Kyrie Irving ($8,700 DK), who feels like a lock to give DFS users 55-60 DKP tonight. PF/C Jarrett Allen ($5,600 DK) would be more valuable if he wasn’t conceding minutes to C De’Andre Jordan ($4,700) and his tepid 18.3 DKP. SG/SF Caris LeVert ($6,300 DK) had 40 DKP against the Grizzlies on Sunday and is emerging as the second option behind Irving.

Houston at Washington, 8:00 PM Eastern

The other Houston-Washington matchup tonight will see PG Russell Westbrook ($10,600 FD) continue to outpace the slow-starting numbers of SG James Harden ($11,000 FD), who is averaging “just” 46.6 FDP per game. C Clint Capela ($8,200 FD) is scoring at a FDP clip of 34.5 that has been helped by his 2.6 blocks per game. PF P.J. Tucker ($6,700 FD) looks to be settling into a 28-30 FDP scorer.

Rookie PF Rui Hachimura ($5,900) is a value play as he’s developing into the Wizards’ second option behind SG Bradley Beal ($9,500 FD), who is averaging close to 42 FDP per contest. Beal will be up to the task of hoisting long range blasts with Harden and Westbrook. C Thomas Bryant ($7,100 FD) comes off a season-low 23.9 FD on Saturday but should be able to bounce back to match up with Capela to make for a good DFS clash.

Portland at Oklahoma City, 8:00 PM Eastern

PG Damian Lillard ($9,100 DK) is averaging 50.8 DKP and is the anchor of the Portland offense, one that’s worth anchoring to your DFS roster. PG/SG C.J. McCollum ($6,600 DK) has produced 91.25 DKP in his last two games. C Hassan Whiteside ($7,600 DK) has fallen off in his two games after opening the season with dominant fashion.

The Thunder are slowly becoming Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s team. At $6,900 at DK, SGA is a value play at 41.3 DKP thus far. PG Dennis Schroder ($5,500 DK) is clearly outplaying starting PG Chris Paul ($7,100 DK) at this point. SF/PF Danilo Gallinari ($6,700 DK) will hover between 28-30 DKP but just won’t be good enough to merit a starting nod on an 11-game night.

Charlotte at Sacramento, 10:00 PM Eastern

This matchup has little Fantasy appeal. That said, SG Devonte’ Graham ($5,700 FD) is the best Hornets option. Yes, that is C Cody Zeller ($6,700 FD) averaging 16 points and 13 rebounds per night. Neither SF Miles Bridges ($5,700 FD) nor PF P.J. Washington ($6,400 FD) will draw much DFS attention.

A 37.1 FDP effort against the Nuggets on Monday might be the push PG De’Aaron Fox needs. SG Buddy Hield ($6,700 FD) is toxic and should be avoided. PF Richaun Holmes ($5,900 FD) came out of nowhere with 46.5 FDP against the Nuggets on Monday. He’s an interesting under the radar play.

LA Clippers at Utah, 10:00 PM Eastern

SF/PF Kawhi Leonard ($8,900 DK) is sitting this one out, as the Clips begin load management with the team playing back-to-back. PF/C Montrezl Harrell ($6,500 DK) and PG/SG Lou Williams ($6,800 DK) are both producing 35-37 DKP in part time roles but will see higher than usual usage with Leonard sidelined tonight. C Ivica Zubac ($4,400 DK) has interesting upside but won’t have much DFS value sharing the post with Harrell.

C Rudy Gobert ($8,000 DK) erupted for 44 DKP in Monday’s win over the Suns and looks to be back to his dominant self. He’s worth the start tonight. PG/SG Donovan Mitchell ($7,800 DK) has fallen off a bit since opening the season with a pair of strong starts. PG Mike Conley ($6,200 DK) was in foul trouble on Monday, which explains his 7.5 DKP total. SF/PF Bojan Bogdanovic ($5,500 DK) is averaging 23.7 points per game, one of the early surprises of the season.

Phoenix at Golden State, 10:30 PM Eastern

SG Devin Booker ($8,500 FD) was held to 27.6 FDP on Monday, but could double that total against the Warriors, who won’t play defense the way the Jazz did on Booker. SF Kelly Oubre ($6,900 FD) is the most reliable DFS player on the roster right now since Booker draws the bulk of the attention. PG Ricky Rubio ($6,500 FD) is a possible sleeper since both teams love to run and gun without little rest. Keep an eye on PF Frank Kaminsky ($5,700 FD), who is getting extended minutes with C Deandre Ayton out.

PG Stephen Curry ($9,600 FD) and PF Draymond Green ($8,000 FD) each scored over 50 FDP in Monday’s slugfest against the Pelicans. SG D’Angelo Russell ($8,400 FD) added 41.3 FDP. SF Glen Robinson ($4,400 FD) added 31.8 FDP, raising hopes that he could emerge as another DFS option in the still-potent Golden State offense.

Monkey Knife Fight Prop of the Night: Play This Pick Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!


Scoring Champ

Damian Lillard — Third in scoring at 30.8 points per game, Lillard is racking up the points despite shooting 29.4% from beyond the arc.

C.J. McCollum — His 23.3 points per game puts him in the top 20 in scoring. He’s a better 3-point shooter than Lillard at this time, knocking down treys at a 38.9% pace.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander — The second-year pro is averaging 23.3 points per game. Unlike Lillard and McCollum, Gilgeous-Alexander is not a reliable free-throw threat, shooting just 68.2% from the line.

Verdict — Gilgeous-Alexander had me until the end when I looked at his free throw shooting (oh, wait, that sounds like my date from last night). I will, however, not go with the obvious (Lillard) and instead run with McCollum.

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NBADaily Fantasy Sports

10/29 NBA DFS Game Previews & Prop Bets

Brandon C. Williams
written by Brandon C. Williams

It’s the power of three for the 10/29 NBA DFS Game Previews, so DFS users will have to pick and choose from a light three-game slate.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Wanna catch my DFS musings on Twitter? Follow me here!

Atlanta at Miami, 7:30 PM Eastern

PG Trae Young ($9,000 DraftKings) is coming off a “mere” 41.25 DKP in Monday’s loss to the Sixers. This is his first back-to-back this season, so Young’s usage rate and production will be tested. PF/C John Collins ($7,300 DK) has seen his DKP per game dip from a season-opening 40 to 31 on Monday. From there, you’d be very hard-pressed to find another Hawks player with even a hint of viable NBA DFS Fantasy upside. The next best option would perhaps be SG/SF De’Andre Hunter ($4.700 DK), who comes off a season-best 27.75 DKP on Monday.

Tonight finally gives us the Heat regular season debut of SG/SF Jimmy Butler ($7.700 DK), whose presence greatly impacts the DFS value of the rest of the team. Butler has a high-volume usage rate and will immediately put it to use. PG/SF Justice Winslow ($6,900 DK) is averaging 44 DKP and should be able to maintain that level. As long as PG Goran Dragic ($5,700 DK) is coming off the bench, he’ll have some value. The one loser in the return of Butler will be PG/SG Kendrick Nunn ($6,000 DK) as his minutes will take a hit. PF/C Bam Adebayo ($7,000 DK) has some value as he’ll be able to square up on Collins, who played 29 minutes on Monday.

Dallas at Denver, 9:00 PM Eastern

Like the aforementioned Hawks, the Mavericks are a two-man show for NBA DFS purposes. SG Luka Doncic ($10,400 FanDuel) has the fourth-highest salary for tonight’s FD slate, but his 55.39 FDP makes him a good anchor in what should be a fast-paced game. Doncic averages 29.3 points and 10.3 boards while adding 7.3 assists. PF Kristaps Porzingis ($9,000 FD) averages 44.79 FDP and gets a must-watch matchup against Nuggets C Nikola Jokic ($10,700 FD). Outside of those two, PF Maxi Kleber ($4,900 FD) is an interesting play; he’ll get significant minutes against a Nuggets team playing a back-to-back. You have to save somewhere, and Kleber makes for a bargain.

Jokic played just 28 minutes on Monday, putting up a season-low 34.6 FDP. A strong bounce back is very possible. PG Jamaal Murray ($7,600 FD) played just 30 minutes against the Kings on Monday, which explains the 28.3 FDP. Murray is usually in the 36-39 FDP range, so look for him to hit his usual mark. The Nuggets have a grab bag of somewhat unappealing NBA DFS options. PF Paul Millsap ($5,800 FD), SF Will Barton ($5,000 FD) and SG Gary Harris ($4,900 FD) can each shock a DFS roster with 35-40 points just as easily as they can sink said roster with an 17-19 point outing. If you have to choose between the three, go with Barton.

Memphis at L.A. Lakers, 10:30 PM Eastern

Grizzlies rookie PG Ja Morant ($7,100 DK) comes off a season-best 50 DKP against the Nets and will offer an alternative for those who don’t want to spend on Young or Doncic at the 1-spot. C Jonas Valanciunas ($6,300 DK) also had a season-best 44.75 DKP in the overtime slugfest against Brooklyn and could have some sleeper potential going against Lakers Cs JaVale McGee and Dwight Howard. PF/C Jaren Jackson Jr. ($6,400 DK) is going to see a lot of PF/C Anthony Davis and a taste of PG/SF LeBron James, so skip him tonight. PF/C Brandon Clarke ($5,100 DK) averages 25 DKP off the bench and is an interesting low-end option, especially if Jackson finds himself in foul trouble.

James ($9,700 DK) is averaging 50.9 DKP, bested only by the 51 DKP that Davis ($10,300 DK) is generating thus far. The temptation to pair them is obvious. Congrats to you if you can make that work. Go with James in an either/or scenario as you will get assists and the potential for more threes. Howard ($5,000 DK) scored 39 DKP against the Hornets on Saturday and appears to have found a spot as a threat off the bench. SF/PF Kyle Kuzma ($6,200 DK) remains sidelined and is expected not to play tonight.

Monkey Knife Fight Prop of the Night: Play This Pick Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Over/Under Scoring

Luka Doncic — Fifth in the league with 29.3 points per game, Doncic is shooting 50% from the field. His 3-point game still needs work, as he’s hitting treys at just 31% in the early going.

Nikola Jokic — He’s off to a sluggish start, shooting just 42.6% from the field, including a 4-for-15 night on Monday. Jokic is way better than that, and it won’t take long for him to regain the stroke that saw him average 20.1 points per game last season.

Verdict — I’m taking the under on Doncic, as I can see him being more of a distributor tonight. I’ll take the over on Jokic, who looks set for a possible 55-60 Fantasy point outing.

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB

10/28 NBA DFS Game Previews & Prop Bets

written by

The 10/28 NBA DFS Game Previews looks at each of the 11 games on Monday’s slate. We’ll also break off a Monkey Knife Fight prop to get you on the way toward making some long green tonight.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Wanna catch my DFS musings on Twitter? Follow me here!

Chicago at New York, 7:00 PM Eastern

PG/SG Zach LaVine ($7,700 DraftKings) and PF/C Lauri Markkanen ($7,700 DK) are averaging 38.4 and 37.9 DKP. If you like pairings, this will be one of Monday’s best. PF/C Wendell Carter Jr. ($6,000 DK) is battling an injured thumb but is expected to start. PG/SG Colby White ($5,000 DK) is averaging 29.4 DKP but might be the boom-bust on the roster.

Knicks PF/C Mitchell Robinson ($5,600 DK) is still hobbled with a sprained ankle, so I would avoid him until he’s closer to 100 percent. The upside is not there at this point. In his stead, PF/C Julius Randle ($8,300 DK) is the best front court play. PG/SG R.J. Barrett ($6,100 DK) is better than advertised and is worth considering, especially if you’re playing the early games. Stay away from SF/PF Marcus Morris ($5,300 DK) and PF/C Bobby Portis ($5,400 DK).

Indiana at Detroit, 7:00 PM Eastern

PG Malcolm Brogdon ($7,600 FanDuel) comes off a 53.4 FDP performance on Saturday and continues to be the one Pacer assured of rewarding 10/28 NBA DFS users. He leads the league in assists (10.5 APG) while shooting nearly 55 percent from the field. Both PF Domantas Sabonis ($7,900 FD) and C Myles Turner ($7,600 FD) are coming off poor (for them) efforts in Saturday’s loss to the Cavaliers. I’d bet on Sabonis as the better bounce back since Turner will have his hands full with Pistons C Andre Drummond ($10,300 FD). SF T.J. Warren ($5,100 FD) is off to a brutal start, averaging less than 13 FDP.

Drummond’s 15.7 rebounds per game leads the league. While that’s not a shock, the fact he’s shooting 61.7 percent from the free throw line is, which is adding about 4-6 points per game to his scoring. SG Derrick Rose ($6,500 FD) exploded for 48.3 FDP against the Sixers on Saturday. He’s perhaps the only other Pistons player worth serious consideration, as SF Luke Kennard ($4,900 FD) has grossly declined since putting up 35.3 FDP in the season opener.

Orlando at Toronto, 7:30 PM Eastern

No surprise that C Nikola Vucevic ($8,200 DK) is the top 10/28 NBA DFS option in the Magic lineup, averaging 38 DKP. He’s 1-for-9 from 3-point range this season (please stop, Nikola). SG/SF Evan Fournier ($5,000 DK) is quietly dependable and trails only Vucevic in usage, so he’s got some sleeper potential. SF/PF Aaron Gordon ($6,200 DK) is shooting just 33 percent from the field and is best left alone until he finds his shot. SF/PF Jonathan Isaac ($5,300 DK) offers blocked shots and boards, but — like Gordon — is struggling to find his offense, not a good play for 10/28 NBA DFS.

It’s too early to tell if PF/C Pascal Siakam ($8,700 DK) is truly a 48.5 DKP per game scorer, yet his usage and 28.7 points per game indicates the Raptors are going to make him the focal point of the offense. Regardless, PG Kyle Lowry ($7,300 DK) is going to get his 42.2 DKP even when his shot is erratic. This is a good matchup to plug in PG/SG Fred VanVleet ($6,300 DK), who bounced back from Friday’s poor effort against the Celtics with a respectful 32 DKP on Saturday. SF/PF OG Anunoby ($4,900 DK) has a chance to break out with a solid outing against a Magic defense that is playing above expectations by allowing 96.5 points per game.

Philadelphia at Atlanta, 7:30 PM Eastern

C Joel Embiid ($10,500 FD) is a gametime decision, but, considering this is the Hawks, he’s worth avoiding tonight. Be all-in on SF Tobias Harris ($7,800 FD) if Embiid is indeed sidelined. Harris is averaging 41.25 FDP by averaging 22 points and 11 boards per night thus far. PG Ben Simmons ($9,700 FD) is producing 45.95 FDP; his turnovers are made up for by the fact he leads the league with 3.5 steals per game. PF Al Horford ($6,900 FD) also benefits greatly if Embiid is out.

PG Trae Young ($9,400 FD) leads the league with 38.5 points per game and is adding nine assists per night as well. He’s something of a bargain considering the caliber of PGs on tonight’s slate. PF John Collins ($8,000 FD) is a stat stuffer who is also averaging 1.5 blocks per game but could have his hands full if Embiid is in the lineup. Beyond perhaps SF DeAndre’ Bembry ($4,100 FD), there’s little else to get excited about when it comes to the Hawks’ DFS options.

Cleveland at Milwaukee, 8:00 PM Eastern

You know it’s uncertainty with the Cavs when C Tristan Thompson ($6,300 DK) is the best DFS option based on Fantasy points per game. That said, don’t be fast to add him as this matchup should bring him down to earth. PF/C Kevin Love ($8,400 DK) looks like the version of Love in Minnesota, putting up 48.1 DKP. Health is always the issue with him, but he’s worth consideration tonight. Don’t count on tonight being the breakout for SF/PF Cedi Osman ($4,800 DK), who is averaging just 13 DKP.

Only an extra assist kept SF/PF Giannis Antetokounmpo ($10,600 DK) from becoming the fourth player ever to open the season with consecutive triple doubles. He’s my anchor in tonight’s DK lineup. SG/SF Khris Middleton ($7,200 DK) scored 37 points in Saturday’s OT loss to the Heat. He’ll be a good pairing as the two of them will suck up most of the Bucks’ usage rate. C Brook Lopez ($5,200 DK) is scoring 26.4 DKP despite a poor start from the field. PG Eric Bledsoe ($6,000) looks like he’s past his injured ribs, making him a sleeper going against Cleveland’s young and inexperienced point guards.

Oklahoma City at Houston, 8:00 PM Eastern

Thunder SG Shai Gilegeous-Alexander ($7,900 FD) would be the one player on the OKC roster to add to your NBA DFS lineup. Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 42.03 FDP and will be more than up for the matchup against Rockets Gs James Harden and Russell Westbrook. This is also a favorable matchup for SF Danilo Gallinari ($7,100 FD). Of course, the attention will be on PG Chris Paul ($7,600 FD), who is off to a slow start entering his first game against the Rockets since being traded for Westbrook during the summer. SG Dennis Schroder ($4,600 FD) is sneaky good, especially if this game becomes a high-scoring affair.

Harden ($11,100 FD) is averaging 41.84 FDP, more than 17 less than Westbrook ($10,900) is producing in his first two games in Houston. Saving is saving, so keep $200 and run with Westbrook at the point. C Clint Capela is averaging 2.5 blocks per game, and at $8,400 at FanDuel, he’s more of a value compared to the likes of Drummond and Embiid for 10/28 NBA DFS. SF Danuel House ($4,100) is a sleeper who could quietly put up 33-35 FDP tonight.

Golden State at New Orleans, 8:00 PM Eastern

PG/SG Stephen Curry ($9,500 DK) is the only reliable option on the Warriors roster these days. Get used to hearing this phrase often. We knew regression was coming, but, damn. They’ve taken a pair of beatdowns. PF/C Marquese Chriss ($3,200 DK) had 25.5 DKP in Sunday’s loss and might actually be the second-best option on the roster. PF/C Draymond Green ($7,100 DK) is battling an elbow contusion but will be available. SF/PF Eric Paschall ($3,200 DK) might be worth a look to see if there’s some long term value.

SF/PF Brandon Ingram ($7,500 DK) is putting up 50.3 DKP, including a 63.25 performance in Saturday’s overtime loss to the Rockets. PG Lonzo Ball ($6,300 DK) is improving and is a borderline good option. I could see a stack with Ingram and Ball against the overwhelmed Warriors. SG/SF Josh Hart ($4,800 DK) is under the radar and is an option for 3-player stack.

Portland at San Antonio, 8:30 PM Eastern

PG Damian Lillard ($10,000 FD) is averaging 48.79 FDP and should be strongly considered. C Hassan Whiteside ($8,300 FD) got hit with foul trouble on Saturday, perhaps the one thing that can slow down his strong start with the Trail Blazers. SG C.J. McCollum ($6,200 FD) finally broke out with 52.3 FDP in Sunday’s win over the Mavericks and can be plugged in a pairing with Lillard. PF Zach Collins ($4,900 FD) dislocated his shoulder on Sunday and will be out indefinitely.

SG DeMar DeRozan ($7,900 FD) tallied 43.3 FDP in Saturday’s win. PF LaMarcus Aldridge ($8,200 FD) added 45.5 FDP, so all looks well in San Antonio. The player to grab, however, is PG Dejounte Murray ($7,000 FD) who looks like a value play and is showing signs of a potential breakout now that’s he’s finally healthy. C Jakob Poeltl ($4,800 FD) could be a cheap source of rebounding as he won’t have any qualms battling Whiteside in the paint.

Denver at Sacramento, 10:00 PM Eastern

If you want to pay top dollar for a big man, then run with C Nikola Jokic ($9,600 DK). Jokic is averaging 54.3 DKP thus far without truly putting his total arsenal on display. This could happen tonight against a thin Kings front court. PG/SG Jamaal Murray ($6,500 DK) comes off a 43.75 DKP in Friday’s gritty overtime win over the Suns. SG/SF Will Barton ($5,300 DK) is too scoring-dependent to be counted out. PF Paul Millsap ($5,300 DK) is off to a slow start, but it’s Jokic and Murray when it comes to DFS.

The Kings are struggling to offer DFS value. PF/C Marvin Bagley III is out at least until late November and PG De’Aaron Fox ($7,300 DK) has had two bad outings mixed in with one brilliant performance. I’d wait on Fox to give me more consistency before investing in him. SG/SF Buddy Hield ($6,000 DK) is the only other Kings player putting up better than 24 DKP per game, leaving the rest of the roster a jumbled band of confusion worth avoiding.

Utah at Phoenix, 10:00 PM Eastern

The risk of running out C Rudy Gobert ($9,000 FD) is that he could see limited minutes similar to what happened in Saturday’s blowout of the Kings. His FDP per game is low for now, but you know he’s got a monster run coming soon. For now, keep running with SG Donovan Mitchell ($8,600 FD) and his 40.86 FDP. SF Bojan Bogdanovic ($5,600 FD) might be the only other Jazz player worth considering tonight.

Right now, I’m liking SF Kelly Oubre Jr ($6,900 FD) more than SG Devin Booker ($9,100) for more than just 10/28 NBA DFS value. Oubre looks made for this style of play and we’re seeing why there was no need to give up on him. Both he and Booker will carry the load with C Deandre Ayton suspended. PG Ricky Rubio (7,000 FD) is a game time decision with his knee. If he’s out, then look for PF Frank Kaminsky ($5,200 FD) to get a boost in usage rate, which translates to sleeper status.

Charlotte at LA Clippers, 10:30 PM Eastern

C Cody Zeller ($5,800 DK) blew up for 52 DKP on Sunday and could carry that value over into tonight. PF/C P.J. Washington ($6,600 DK) and SF/PF Miles Bridges ($6,300 DK) are too risky for consideration tonight. I would consider PG/SG Devonte’ Graham ($4,800 DK) as a possible sleeper.

SF/PF Kawhi Leonard ($9,200 DK) is worth the steep price as he’s off to a strong stat stuffing start. The best options outside of Leonard reside on the Clippers bench as both PF/C Montrezl Harrell ($6,400 DK) and PG/SG Lou Williams ($7,100 DK) are both hitting 35 DKP per game.

Monkey Knife Fight Prop of the Night: Play This Pick Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Most 3-Pointers

Damian Lillard — Off to a solid start, Lillard will have the green light to fire away all night.

DeMar DeRozan — Averaging 19.5 points per game thus far, DeRozan is capable of lighting it up any given night.

Verdict — Take Lillard.

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB

7/29 DFS Hitter Picks: Making Room for Coors Bats

brgrewe@gmail.com
written by brgrewe@gmail.com

With only seven games on this small Monday slate, we’re going to take a different approach with this article. It would be easy to sit here and write about all of the players in the Dodgers-Rockies game in Coors Field but that’s too easy. I’m going to focus on all value plays and try to help you fill out a lineup with those Coors Field bats. It’s going to be imperative to stack that game in a seven-game slate, so hopefully, some of these cheap guys will make that build much easier. Let’s get into our 7/29 DFS hitter picks!

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

If you’d like to see more of my work click here!

7/29 DFS Hitter Options

Catcher 

Carson Kelly, ARI at MIA 

DK ($3,700)   FD ($2,700) 

I really don’t like to use anyone against Caleb Smith but we need to get creative on a seven-game slate. What makes Kelly such an attractive option here is that he absolutely destroys left-handed pitching. In fact, Kelly has a .475 OBP, .808 SLG and 1.283 OPS against southpaws so far this season. Kelly has also been a much better away from home, as his 1.021 road OPS is more than 300 points higher than his home OPS.  

First Base  

Justin Smoak, TOR at KC 

DK ($3,900)   FD ($3,200) 

Smoak has been one of the unluckiest hitters in the league this season but the luck is finally turning around. Over his last 11 games, Smoak has four homers, seven RBI and 10 walks en route to a .435 OBP and 1.040 OPS. That’s the guy that we’ve been expecting all season, as his .385 xwOBA and .511 xSLG is way off his .339 wOBA and .423 SLG. That means positive regression is right around the corner and this recent hot stretch is hopefully the start of it. Getting to face Brad Keller should only help, with the Kansas City righty pitching to a 4.87 xFIP. It also puts Smoak on the left side and he has a .365 OBP and .857 OPS against righties despite the poor luck.  

Second Base 

Brian Dozier, WSH vs. ATL 

DK ($3,400)   FD ($2,400) 

Dozier really deserves more credit and these sites need to raise his price. Over his last 43 games. Dozier has a .380 OBP and .890 OPS. That’s the former All-Star that we loved and this price doesn’t quite match up with that production. Getting to face a lefty is what really makes him hard to fade, with Dozier generating a .418 OBP, .625 SLG and 1.043 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor this season. Not to mention, Dozier went 2-for-3 on Sunday, with a double, homer and two runs scored.

Third Base  

Manny Machado, SD vs. BAL 

DK ($4,600)   FD ($4,000) 

Machado should have a higher price and he’s easily one of the best 7/29 DFS hitter options on the board. This perennial All-Star is one of the hottest hitters in the game right now and he should be $500 more on each site. In fact, Machado is hitting .329 over his last 35 games while providing a .685 SLG and 1.058 OPS in that span. That’s obviously stupendous production and he should continue that success against a pitching staff that has a 5.53 team ERA. It’s unclear exactly who he’ll face but just the fact that this horrible pitching staff has to call someone up is a very promising sign. I also believe that Franmil Reyes and Hunter Renfroe are too cheap on both sites and these three make for a beautiful stack against this putrid pitching staff.

Shortstop 

Jonathan Villar, BAL at SD 

DK ($4,000)   FD ($3,100) 

Villar is a personal favorite of mine and I really don’t like how these sites continue to disrespect him with these price tags. Any leadoff hitter with 20-30 potential should be much higher, especially when they’re hot. Not only does Villar have multi-hit games in four-straight, he’s also collected nine runs, two homers and five steals in that span. That equates to nearly 35 FanDuel points per game, which is downright absurd. Getting to hit on the left side is a huge bonus too, with Villar accruing a .350 OBP against right-handers this season while swiping 18 of his 22 stolen bases against them. Dinelson Lamet is talented but his 5.00 ERA and 1.39 WHIP make him a pitcher we can exploit. 

Outfield  

Shohei Ohtani, LAA vs. DET 

DK ($5,200)   FD ($4,200) 

Ohtani has done nothing but rake against right-handers since being signed from Japan and he’s my favorite 7/29 DFS hitter. In fact, Ohtani has a .307 AVG, .373 OBP, .613 SLG and .987 OPS against righties since being signed. He also has 15 of his 18 career steals against them and it’s crystal clear just how much more comfortable he is from the left side. This happens to be a pitcher we definitely want to stack against too, with Jordan Zimmermann pitching to a 7.57 ERA and 1.71 WHIP en route to a disastrous 0-8 record.  

Corey Dickerson, PIT at CIN 

DK ($4,200)   FD ($2,800) 

Dickerson is in the same boat as Ohtani and he too loves to mash righties. So far this season, Dickerson has a .376 OBP, .538 SLG and .915 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. That’s pretty close to the guy that we’ve seen throughout his career, with Dickerson attaining a .239 ISO, .361 wOBA and .861 OPS against right-handers for his career. That’s all you can ask for from a guy priced so cheaply who gets to hit in in a small park like Great American Ballpark should only help.  If Dickerson misses this game because of a nagging groin, pivot to Jesse Winker atop the Reds lineup in the same price range.

Josh VanMeter, CIN vs. PIT 

DK ($3,700)   FD ($2,700)  

VanMeter has been incredible the last few games and it’s time for these DFS sites to take notice. Four homers in his last eight games tells you everything you need to know, with VanMeter providing a .520 AVG, 1.120 SLG and 1.650 OPS over his last nine games. Those are Barry Bonds-like numbers, as he’s carried over his ridiculous numbers from the minors. At Triple-A this season, VanMeter hit .348 while generating a .669 SLG and 1.098 OPS. Getting the platoon advantage against Jordan Lyles is simply the icing on the cake, with the Pirates righty pitching to a 9.57 ERA and 1.99 WHIP over his last nine starts.  

Check out our DFS Pro Pitching Projections for Premium Gold Members.

Monkey Knife Fight Free Play


0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB

The King’s DFS Pitching Picks for 6/19: Bring on Bassitt and Heaney

Scott Engel
written by Scott Engel

On the early slate, Gerrit Cole seems like the obviouschoice at $11,400 on DraftKings against Cincinnati. The Reds are middle of theroad in MLB in home strikeouts. Cole has 60 strikeouts in 40.1 road innings. Heis the apparent cash game play even though you will have to work in somecheaper bats to fit him into your day or full slate lineups.

Blake Snell is your gusty GPP play at 9500 at the Yankees.It’s obviously a big risk, but Snell is capable of dominating any opponent whenhe has his best stuff, and he has allowed three earned runs or less in seven ofhis last eight starts. He is not afraid of the Bronx, as last month he held theYanks to one run in six innings while striking out nine in a no-decision atYankee Stadium.

Zach Eflin (9100) is cheaper than Cole and may be just a tadsafer than Snell. He has allowed three earn runs while striking out 15 in twostarts since coming off the IL. Washington is 18th in home batting,and the lineup is less scary than the Yankees one that Snell has to face. It’seither the better pitcher in Snell vs, the slightly better matchup for Eflin. Iwould prefer Snell in a tournament but it’s close.

Chris Bassitt has to be your only choice for a second DKstarter and may be the best choice on the day slate for combination  of value at 8000 and a vulnerable opponent, ashe hosts the Orioles. Baltimore is 27th in road batting and Bassitthas allowed more than three earned runs in a game once this season. You do haveto hope for higher K numbers here, but it’s possible you could just enough witha good chance of a victory.

On the night slate, but you definitely have to considerAndrew Heaney at $8500 at Toronto. He already has a pair of 10-strikeout gamessince coming off the IL and the Blue Jays are Top 7 in the American League inhome strikeouts. The lineup looks more formidable than it did earlier in theseason but it’s still a viable matchup for Heaney, who has looked good in two ofthree turns since coming back. He should get good run support against Aaron Sanchezfor a possible victory.

Lucas Giolito (11,300) is the obvious standout and cashpitcher of the night against the Cubs. Right now, I do not care who Gioloto isfacing, he is the top pitcher on the slate when he is listed among the probables.

Zack Greinke is a GPP play at 9000, as Colorado has been thesecond-best hitting team in the Majors over the past week. You may think theyare less threatening away from Coors, but the Rox have scored five or more runsin six of their last seven road games. Their lineup is clicking regardless ofvenue.

Rich Hill (10,300) faces San Francisco at home, and theGiants are 25th in road batting. Hill has a 2.61 home ERA with 33strikeouts in 31 innings. Hill is also starting to shed concerns about length,as he has worked seven innings in two of his past three starts. He is the bestcash game play if you don’t want to spend up for Gioloto against a betterlineup.

MonkeyKnife Fight Pick of the Day

Our experts have been terrific when pinpointing Monkey Knife Fight plays in our premium chat rooms. Tonight, I will take my shot in the Over/Under in the Angels/Jays matchup, locking in Heaney for over 6.5 strikeouts, Mike Trout easily over 1.5 hits plus walks, and considering Aaron Sanchez has not gone over four Ks in five of his past six turns, I’ll take the under on 4.5 strikeouts. Get in against Sanchez now and get 100 percent bonus!

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB

DFS Pitching and Monkey Knife Fight Picks for 6/4: Wade Miley Madness?

Louis Cangiano
written by Louis Cangiano

Am I crazy to like Wade Miley ($8,200 DraftKings, $7,800 FanDuel) tonight? Well, I might be, but it doesn’t mean I am wrong! Every DFS player will be talking about the potential chalk in Seattle considering, Encarnacion’s ridiculous BvP stats and a solid under/over in the potential late night dagger. With that said, boy do I love going against the chalk and today, that’s what I will be doing.

But what do I see in Miley? Seattle has struck out the most in the league over their last seven days with 68. Seattle is in a slight offensive slump, ranking in the middle of the pack in most offensive categories over the past week and over the past two weeks. I love looking at the recent splits, meaning last week and previous two week splits. Baseball is a sport of muscle memory, if a team is striking out today they will likely be carrying the same bat tomorrow.

Also, Seattle has actually struggled against left-handers, as they currently own a .234 BA with a 30 % strikeout rate vs. LHPs. Miley has been pitching well as of late, averaging 47.5 FD points over his last two outings. Is Miley’s strikeout pitch officially back? I think so.

Jerad Eickhoff ($7,300 FD & 7,100 DK): Okay, so this is a slightly safer play. Eickhoff faces a S.D. team that once again is in the Top 5 % in Ks over the course of the season. With a 7.5 U/O and a reasonable salary, Eickhoff should be quite chalky tonight against the San Diego Padres.

Kyle Hendricks ($10,200 FD & 9,500 DK): In moderate sample sizes Hendricks has struggled against three Colorado Rockies, yet dominated the remaining five. If Hendricks can keep Dahl, Reynolds and Murphy from hurting him too bad, he should be in for a nice game, Hendricks has been pitching well as of late, averaging 46 FD points over his last two games. But here is the stat that matters: Kyle Hendricks has been untouchable at home so far this season, sporting a 1.29 ERA over five game starts. Hendricks has also allowed a shockingly low .194 BA to opposing hitters at home.

Hendricks has seen Colorado before and has pitched very well against the hard hitting righties in Arenado and Story. The Rockies on the road scare me a lot less than the Rockies at Coors, Kyle Hendricks is a safe play, but you will not be getting a salary discount, as his prices on both sites are pretty high.

Other approved pitchers: Luis Castillo & Kenta Maeda

Monkey Knife Fight: Picks of the Day

Let’s go big or go home! I’ve made it pretty clear that I like Wade Miley tonight, with Seattle striking out the way they have over the past week. W’ere going to be locking the OVER for the first section. The next prop including Encarnacion is easy to me, 1.5 runs + RBI should definitely be OVER as well.

Encarnacion is batting .389 with three homers in 25 at-bats against Miley. For the third and fourth picks including Bregman and Brantley, I will be updating this article when the confirmed pitcher is announced for Seattle. With that said, the last pick including Mallex Smith, is an easy UNDER for me. Mallex should be going L/L for most of the game and if he’s not leading off, this prop is a definite under to me. Smith is currently batting .220 against lefties and is even worse against right-handed pitchers with a .186 BA. Three of these five plays are easily locked in for me, Play MLB Prop Games NOW and get 100 percent bonus.


0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB

MLB DFS Hitting and Prop Picks for 5/30: Targeting Cleveland and Texas

Alisia Gustafson
written by Alisia Gustafson

JaguarLou here, providing you with the go-to batters and need-to-know DFS information as well as my Monkey Knife Fight pick of the night.

Catcher

Roberto Perez ($2,500 FD & 3,700 DK): This is a solid value play on a team that is expected to score and score big! Perez has been solid over his last six games, averaging 10.98 FanDuel PPG and should see an uptick in potential RBI and runs against a vulnerable Manny Banuelos. He owns a 10.60 ERA against Cleveland so far this season over two starts. In those starts, Cleveland totaled five homers over only 8.1 total innings, averaging a team .353 BA. Stack those Indians!

First Base

Cody Bellinger ($4,800 FD & $5,800 DK): This is where we are going to be spending up tonight, as Cody Bellinger is on fire! The Dodgers cleanup man has averaged 21.34 FanDuel points over his last five games while homering in three of the five. Although Bellinger crushes right handed pitching (and Vargas is no right-hander) there’s a slight misconception that he can’t hit lefties but it couldn’t be further from the truth. Bellinger owns a .343 BA with seven home runs against left handed pitching in just 67 at-bats so far this season. My hope is that Bellinger goes lower owned than he should due to the L/L matchup but the facts are, he’s one of the hottest hitters in the league facing an unimpressive Mets pitching staff at home in Dodger Stadium.

Second Base

Rougned Odor ($2,700 FD & $3,900 DK): Rougned Odor has massive potential in a high over/under that favors left-handed power bats. While Globe Life Stadium hasn’t allowed as many home runs as it usually does, these numbers will even out, Globe Life Park in Arlington is always one of the more premier hitting parks in the Majors. So with the mere 1.024 HR/game that the stadium is currently allowing, I fully expect to increase and quickly. Odor faces Jakob Junis, who has been inconsistent at best and has allowed 50% more home runs on the road than he does at home due to the fact that Kansas City’s Kauffman Stadium is huge. Tonight in Globe Life, balls should be flying!

Shortstop

Elvis Andrus ($3,800 FD & 5,200 DK): Elvis Andrus has a nice matchup against the struggling Jakob Junis. His splits indicate that Junis has struggled on the road, in night games, as well as allowing a .292 BA to opposing lefties. Junis has also struggled at times with the HR ball and in Globe Life Park, this is what we’re banking on, the home run ball! Rougned Odor and Elvis Andrus are likely going to be batting second and third and should see an array of opportunities for fantasy goodness. Texas is favored by -150 with a 10.5 under/over, Andrus becomes one of my favorite plays, especially due to his reasonable price of $3,800 on FanDuel. Andrus’ high price of 5,200 on DraftKings gives me even more confidence in him as the shortstop play of the day on FanDuel.

Third Base

David Freese ($2,900 FD & $3,900 DK): David Freese is a high risk, high reward player, as his ceiling has reached 38 FD points as recently as the 24th of May, yet we’ve also seen his floor (zero) just three days prior. The question remains, what will we see tonight as Freese sets out to face the left-handed Jason Vargas? While I do NOT always follow BvP stats, I mention them on the rare occasions when they are very strong. This is one of those occasions. Freese owns a .571 BA with three home runs in 15 at bats against Vargas. In addition, Vargas is currently sporting very poor road splits, allowing a 6.75 ERA in four road starts this season. The Dodgers are favored at -260 with an 8 point under/over and Freese will have increased RBI opportunities as I fully expect him to be batting fourth or fifth in the lineup.

Outfielder

Starling Marte ($3,600 FD & $4,600 DK): Starling Marte owns a .481 BA with three doubles, one triple and two homers in 30 career at-bats against Chase Anderson. He struggled in his last two starts, allowing three earned runs over four innings at home against the Phillies and one week prior Anderson only lasted four innings against the Braves after walking four batters on just 76 pitches. While I don’t necessarily want to stack the Pirates against Anderson, I will have high exposure to Marte as the Pirates are slight underdogs with an 8.5 under/over.

Monkey Knife Fight Prop Picks

Cleveland seems to have every statistical advantage in this game. I expect Carlos Santana and Francisco Lindor to significantly outperform Tim Anderson and Jose Abreu. Chicago has a tough matchup against Carlos Carrasco ,who has held the White Sox to a team .190 BA over 198 at bats. That is what I like to call consistent, long-term production. And in the end that’s really what we’re looking for, Consistency. Lock and load the overs on the Indians players in the props below:

Remember to sign up for MonkeyKnifeFight.com and get 100 percent bonus!

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Newer Posts
Older Posts

Subscribe to our newsletter

The best bets and resources to make you more profitable

"*" indicates required fields

    Built with ConvertKit

    Our Company

    At WIN DAILY®, our motto is to “change your game and change your life.” We want to help you win that bet, parlay, and big DFS tournament and have some fun while you do. Our goal is to help you turn your love of sports into a profit center while playing responsibly and enjoying your time with a like-minded community.

    WIN DAILY® RADIO
    Friday’s 8-10pm Est
    Sunday’s 7-9pm EST

    START FREE TRIAL

    ©2024 WIN DAILY®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

    This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800 GAMBLER. This service is intended for adult users only.
    Close
    -
    00:00
    00:00

    Queue

    Update Required Flash plugin
    -
    00:00
    00:00