10/29 NBA DFS Game Previews & Prop Bets

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It’s the power of three for the 10/29 NBA DFS Game Previews, so DFS users will have to pick and choose from a light three-game slate.

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Atlanta at Miami, 7:30 PM Eastern

PG Trae Young ($9,000 DraftKings) is coming off a “mere” 41.25 DKP in Monday’s loss to the Sixers. This is his first back-to-back this season, so Young’s usage rate and production will be tested. PF/C John Collins ($7,300 DK) has seen his DKP per game dip from a season-opening 40 to 31 on Monday. From there, you’d be very hard-pressed to find another Hawks player with even a hint of viable NBA DFS Fantasy upside. The next best option would perhaps be SG/SF De’Andre Hunter ($4.700 DK), who comes off a season-best 27.75 DKP on Monday.

Tonight finally gives us the Heat regular season debut of SG/SF Jimmy Butler ($7.700 DK), whose presence greatly impacts the DFS value of the rest of the team. Butler has a high-volume usage rate and will immediately put it to use. PG/SF Justice Winslow ($6,900 DK) is averaging 44 DKP and should be able to maintain that level. As long as PG Goran Dragic ($5,700 DK) is coming off the bench, he’ll have some value. The one loser in the return of Butler will be PG/SG Kendrick Nunn ($6,000 DK) as his minutes will take a hit. PF/C Bam Adebayo ($7,000 DK) has some value as he’ll be able to square up on Collins, who played 29 minutes on Monday.

Dallas at Denver, 9:00 PM Eastern

Like the aforementioned Hawks, the Mavericks are a two-man show for NBA DFS purposes. SG Luka Doncic ($10,400 FanDuel) has the fourth-highest salary for tonight’s FD slate, but his 55.39 FDP makes him a good anchor in what should be a fast-paced game. Doncic averages 29.3 points and 10.3 boards while adding 7.3 assists. PF Kristaps Porzingis ($9,000 FD) averages 44.79 FDP and gets a must-watch matchup against Nuggets C Nikola Jokic ($10,700 FD). Outside of those two, PF Maxi Kleber ($4,900 FD) is an interesting play; he’ll get significant minutes against a Nuggets team playing a back-to-back. You have to save somewhere, and Kleber makes for a bargain.

Jokic played just 28 minutes on Monday, putting up a season-low 34.6 FDP. A strong bounce back is very possible. PG Jamaal Murray ($7,600 FD) played just 30 minutes against the Kings on Monday, which explains the 28.3 FDP. Murray is usually in the 36-39 FDP range, so look for him to hit his usual mark. The Nuggets have a grab bag of somewhat unappealing NBA DFS options. PF Paul Millsap ($5,800 FD), SF Will Barton ($5,000 FD) and SG Gary Harris ($4,900 FD) can each shock a DFS roster with 35-40 points just as easily as they can sink said roster with an 17-19 point outing. If you have to choose between the three, go with Barton.

Memphis at L.A. Lakers, 10:30 PM Eastern

Grizzlies rookie PG Ja Morant ($7,100 DK) comes off a season-best 50 DKP against the Nets and will offer an alternative for those who don’t want to spend on Young or Doncic at the 1-spot. C Jonas Valanciunas ($6,300 DK) also had a season-best 44.75 DKP in the overtime slugfest against Brooklyn and could have some sleeper potential going against Lakers Cs JaVale McGee and Dwight Howard. PF/C Jaren Jackson Jr. ($6,400 DK) is going to see a lot of PF/C Anthony Davis and a taste of PG/SF LeBron James, so skip him tonight. PF/C Brandon Clarke ($5,100 DK) averages 25 DKP off the bench and is an interesting low-end option, especially if Jackson finds himself in foul trouble.

James ($9,700 DK) is averaging 50.9 DKP, bested only by the 51 DKP that Davis ($10,300 DK) is generating thus far. The temptation to pair them is obvious. Congrats to you if you can make that work. Go with James in an either/or scenario as you will get assists and the potential for more threes. Howard ($5,000 DK) scored 39 DKP against the Hornets on Saturday and appears to have found a spot as a threat off the bench. SF/PF Kyle Kuzma ($6,200 DK) remains sidelined and is expected not to play tonight.

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Over/Under Scoring

Luka Doncic — Fifth in the league with 29.3 points per game, Doncic is shooting 50% from the field. His 3-point game still needs work, as he’s hitting treys at just 31% in the early going.

Nikola Jokic — He’s off to a sluggish start, shooting just 42.6% from the field, including a 4-for-15 night on Monday. Jokic is way better than that, and it won’t take long for him to regain the stroke that saw him average 20.1 points per game last season.

Verdict — I’m taking the under on Doncic, as I can see him being more of a distributor tonight. I’ll take the over on Jokic, who looks set for a possible 55-60 Fantasy point outing.