Am I crazy to like Wade Miley ($8,200 DraftKings, $7,800 FanDuel) tonight? Well, I might be, but it doesn’t mean I am wrong! Every DFS player will be talking about the potential chalk in Seattle considering, Encarnacion’s ridiculous BvP stats and a solid under/over in the potential late night dagger. With that said, boy do I love going against the chalk and today, that’s what I will be doing.

But what do I see in Miley? Seattle has struck out the most in the league over their last seven days with 68. Seattle is in a slight offensive slump, ranking in the middle of the pack in most offensive categories over the past week and over the past two weeks. I love looking at the recent splits, meaning last week and previous two week splits. Baseball is a sport of muscle memory, if a team is striking out today they will likely be carrying the same bat tomorrow.

Also, Seattle has actually struggled against left-handers, as they currently own a .234 BA with a 30 % strikeout rate vs. LHPs. Miley has been pitching well as of late, averaging 47.5 FD points over his last two outings. Is Miley’s strikeout pitch officially back? I think so.

Jerad Eickhoff ($7,300 FD & 7,100 DK): Okay, so this is a slightly safer play. Eickhoff faces a S.D. team that once again is in the Top 5 % in Ks over the course of the season. With a 7.5 U/O and a reasonable salary, Eickhoff should be quite chalky tonight against the San Diego Padres.

Kyle Hendricks ($10,200 FD & 9,500 DK): In moderate sample sizes Hendricks has struggled against three Colorado Rockies, yet dominated the remaining five. If Hendricks can keep Dahl, Reynolds and Murphy from hurting him too bad, he should be in for a nice game, Hendricks has been pitching well as of late, averaging 46 FD points over his last two games. But here is the stat that matters: Kyle Hendricks has been untouchable at home so far this season, sporting a 1.29 ERA over five game starts. Hendricks has also allowed a shockingly low .194 BA to opposing hitters at home.

Hendricks has seen Colorado before and has pitched very well against the hard hitting righties in Arenado and Story. The Rockies on the road scare me a lot less than the Rockies at Coors, Kyle Hendricks is a safe play, but you will not be getting a salary discount, as his prices on both sites are pretty high.

Other approved pitchers: Luis Castillo & Kenta Maeda

Monkey Knife Fight: Picks of the Day

Let’s go big or go home! I’ve made it pretty clear that I like Wade Miley tonight, with Seattle striking out the way they have over the past week. W’ere going to be locking the OVER for the first section. The next prop including Encarnacion is easy to me, 1.5 runs + RBI should definitely be OVER as well.

Encarnacion is batting .389 with three homers in 25 at-bats against Miley. For the third and fourth picks including Bregman and Brantley, I will be updating this article when the confirmed pitcher is announced for Seattle. With that said, the last pick including Mallex Smith, is an easy UNDER for me. Mallex should be going L/L for most of the game and if he’s not leading off, this prop is a definite under to me. Smith is currently batting .220 against lefties and is even worse against right-handed pitchers with a .186 BA. Three of these five plays are easily locked in for me, Play MLB Prop Games NOW and get 100 percent bonus.