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MLB DFS

10/3 MLB DFS Two-Game Postseason Slate and Showdown Picks

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

We’re into the exciting MLB postseason and looking at some 10/3 MLB DFS picks for the two-game slate and featured Showdown on DraftKings (8:37 EST). Join us as we detail some strategies for lineup construction and taking down the big cash prize.

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10/3 DFS Two-Game Slate (DK & FD)

The games: St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves (5:02 p.m. EST) & Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers (8:37 p.m. EST)

10/3 DFS SP General Strategy

The one-game playoffs are over, so SP1s are much more important, could rack up some big-time points and will set the tone for the entire roster construction. There’s plenty of SP2 value here.

SP1: Walker Buehler, LAD vs. WAS (DK $9,600, FD $10,200)

The pricing is fair on both sites considering Buehler’sceiling, although he’ll have a shorter leash than the regular season. Still –the 29.2 K% stands out as a number we can latch onto and invest in, along withthe 12.2% HR/FB rate. The young ace has been the Dodgers’ most consistentstarter in 2019 and is your best bet at SP1. Ownership will be massive and I’llmake sure to leave him out of 1-2/10 GPP lineups, but we can find ways todifferentiate later.

SP2: Dallas Keuchel, ATL vs. STL (DK $6,800, FD $8,100)

I’m not interested in Miles Mikolas and the small discount on FD, and he’s just too risky against the Braves lineup at their home park in Atlanta. I may slap in both Keuchel and Mikolas in the aforementioned 1-2/10 lineups on DK and stack the biggest bats from the hitting options below, but Keuchel’s postseason record (4-2, 3.31 ERA in nine starts and 10 total appearances) is something I’m drawn to. Keuchel’s .219 BAA and 3.38 SIERA in the postseason further solidify my interest.

10/3 DFS Hitters

10/3 DFS C: Yadier Molina, STL (DK $3,800, FD $2,700)

You’re paying for experience (343 postseason plate appearances) and the highest floor of the available catchers. I’m probably not playing catchers on FD but you get a real discount with Molina. Brian McCann ($3,400 on DK) has legit home run upside but poor postseason numbers in 126 plate appearances (.170/.254/.304 slash). Will Smith is neutralized a bit by LHPs and Kurt Suzuki is a contrarian dart throw for large-field GPPs.

10/3 DFS 1B: Cody Bellinger, LAD (DK $5,000)

The price is right and he’s got the biggest upside excluding Paul Goldschmidt, who might get pretty chalky. I’m not worried about lefty-lefty and Corbin may not last long. Bellinger is an OF on FD and OF eligible on DK. Plug him in there. Pivot: Freddie Freeman, ATL (DK $4,700, FD $4,200). I’m concerned about the bone spur in his elbow and may choose to avoid him here. Freddie is risky but has a favorable matchup against Mikolas.

10/3 DFS 2B: Ozzie Albies, ATL (DK $4,500, FD $3,700)

Tommy Edman ($5,300 on DK) is 2B/3B eligible on DK and makes for an interesting pivot against the LHP, but I like Albies hitting in the 2-spot here despite his splits favoring him versus lefties. If he’s chalky, I’ll look to use the more expensive Edman. Pivots: Edman, Asdrubal Cabrera

10/3 DFS 3B: Justin Turner, LAD (DK $3,900, FD $3,200)

The 34-year-old is nursing a tight back, but he’s assured us he will play in Game 1 and is coming off a solid season where he tied his career high with 27 homers – while driving in 67 runs and slashing .290/.372/.509 in 135 games. I’m taking the plunge and hoping for low ownership because of the back.

10/3 DFS SS: Chris Taylor, LAD (DK $3,600)

Taylor is a relatively cheap OF on FD ($2,800) but the price on Dk is solid too. Remember when this guy just couldn’t get it going early in the season? After his dreadful April when he slashed .171/.263/.257, Taylor settled in, and he’s got plenty of postseason experience with a 139 wRC+ in 30 games.

10/3 DFS OF: Kike Hernandez (DK $3,300)

Hernandez is a $2,900 second baseman on FD, but he’s just $3,300 on Dk and the price can get you a full Dodgers stack without too much trouble. He kills southpaws (career 123 wRC+ and .213 ISO vs. LHPs) and he’s got five HRs in 103 postseason plate appearances. Pivot: Matt Joyce

10/3 DFS OF: Juan Soto (DK $4,100, FD $3,800)

I’m buying Soto despite the tough matchup, planning on him coming up in a big spot late in the game, and delivering. Soto showed us something in the Wild Card game the small sample 0-for-5 BvP against Buehler will keep his ownership low. The price is cheap and if he fits, I’ll use him. Pivots: Marcell Ozuna, Ronald Acuna

10/3 DFS OF: A.J. Pollock, LAD (DK $3,700, FD $3,400)

He rounds out my Dodgers stack on DK and makes sense as a third outfielder on FD. Pollock sports a blistering 136 wRC+ against LHPs and a 154 wRC+ at home vs. LHPs. Pivot: Dexter Fowler

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10/3 DFS FeaturedShowdown (8:37 p.m. on DK)

I’ll have some shares with Buehler as CPT and a few inexpensivebats and bench players (Gavin Lux, Brian Dozier are both viable bench optionsin large-field Showdown GPPs), but the majority of lineups will feature Pollock,Turner, Taylor and Hernandez at CPT with shares of Soto, Howie Kendrick, VictorRobles and Cabrera for the Nats.

Sample Showdown Lineup:

Captain (1.5x) – Pollock ($10,800)

UTIL – Buehler ($11,600)

UTIL – J. Turner ($7,600)

UTIL – A. Cabrera ($7,400)

UTIL – C. Taylor ($6,600)

UTIL – V. Robles ($6,000)

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10/3 DFS Featured Single-Game (8:37 EST on FD)

We don’t have to worry about pitchers on FD, so we can putour best hitter right in the MVP slot and take some chances after that. And Ifwe stick with Pollock as MVP in 2/5 GPP lineups, we’ll get low ownership and anadvantage on the field.

Sample FD lineup (with $0 left):

MVP (2x) – Pollock ($7,000)

All-Star (1.5x) – Bellinger ($9,000)

UTIL – C. Taylor ($4.500)

UTIL – T. Turner ($8,500)

UTIL – K. Hernandez ($6,000)

5 years ago 0 comment

10/3 DFS and Betting Winners: Good Night to be the Underdog

Vincent Pensabene 5 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Wednesday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season. All that and more on the 10/3 DFS and Betting review and look ahead.

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10/3 Betting Winners – Capper Steve & John L.

If you are a Premium Gold subscriber, you’ll get access to a multitude of exclusive content. One of those features is Sports Betting Picks, where Capper Steve gives you some action every day during the week. Both Steve and John (MLB Moving Averages) were high on the underdog Tampa Bay Rays. Capper Steve also hit on both of his hockey picks last night as well. If you are in the business of making money, why have you not joined the Win Daily Family by now?

10/3 DFS Winner: Yandy Diaz

Premium Gold members have access to our MLB Hitter Projection Model and above is a screenshot from it. Here are the Top 10 hitters from the A,L. Wild Card game and Yandy Diaz was at the sixth-highest salary. Diaz made a huge mark on the game as he went 3-for-4 with two solo home runs, including a leadoff homer.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Yandy Diaz had a big chunk of the second half wasted with a left foot contusion, so his impact must’ve felt great. Diaz had success against the Houston Astros during the regular season, going 5-for-15 with a double and a home run, so expect Diaz to be a good hitter throughout the series.

10/3 Betting Winner: Phil Naessens

Phil has been hitting on a regular basis with his Cash with the Flash picks that you see almost every night in his Premium Gold article. With the start of the NHL season, he helps you win some money there. Toronto won their opening game 5-3 to cover the -1.5 spread. The Capitals also defeated the reigning Stanley Cup Champion Blues and if you followed the bet, you would’ve made some extra bankroll with the underdog pick.

10/3 DFS Winner: Marc-Andre Fleury

With the first puck drop of the season comes the first NHL winner. This snippet is via Allen Fabrykant in the Daily Hot Shot article that is available to anybody. The Vegas Golden Knights were home against the San Jose Sharks and their potent offense. Fleury only allowed a single goal on 22 shot attempts for a save percentage of .955 against a team that scored the second-most goals a season ago (289).

Outlook for the rest of the season: Fleury is one of the best goaltenders that the NHL has to offer. His resume speaks for itself, with three Stanley Cups. Expect Fleury to keep opposing offenses shut down, only giving up one or two goals a game.

5 years ago 0 comment

NFL MLB

10/2 DFS and Betting Winners

Vincent Pensabene 5 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Tuesday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season. All that and more on the 10/2 DFS and Betting review and look ahead.

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10/2 Betting Winners – Phil Naessens

If you are a Premium Gold subscriber, you’ll get access to a multitude of exclusive content. One of those features is Cash with the Flash, where Phil Naessens tells you his favorite bets for the day. Obviously with the one-game Wild Card going on, it’s difficult to decide where to put your money. However, Phil hit it on the head and if you followed his bet, you’d be sitting pretty with extra money in your bankroll.

10/1 DFS Winner: Juan Soto

Premium Gold members have access to databases like our MLB Projection Model. It would be difficult to leave Juan Soto off this article for what he was able to do in the N.L. Wild Card game. The box score shows Soto as 1-for-4 with two RBI, but his production was much more than that. In the eighth inning with the bases loaded and down two, he ripped a single to right. Rookie Trent Grisham, who is essentially replacing Christian Yelich, misplayed the ball and allowed the hit to clear the bases. This gave the struggling Nationals offense life and energized the team to a NLDS matchup against the Dodgers.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Juan Soto was the hero that Washington needed last night. The Brewers were shutting down the Nationals offense with ease for most of the game and their 20-year-old stud outfielder literally saved their entire season. Soto only had six total bases in five games against the Dodgers during the regular season so expect him to struggle a bit throughout the NLDS.

10/2 DFS Winner: Yasmani Grandal

Yasmani Grandal helped the Milwaukee Brewers almost steal the Wild Card game last night. Grandal finished 1-for-3 with a home run, two RBI and a walk. The home run was an early blow as many expected Max Scherzer to dominate, but after Grisham worked a walk to to open the game, Grandal homered on the first pitch he saw. The catcher has a mutual option for 2020 so this potentially could be his final game with the Brewers.

10/2 DFS Winner: Lucas Pouille

Another hit from our Cash with the Flash article as Lucas Pouille defeated Yoshihito Nishioka rather covincingly 6-1, 6-2. His next matchup will be in the quarterfinals against top seeded Novak Djokovic early Thursday morning.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

10/1 MLB DFS Wild Card Slate, Showdown, and Prop Picks

5 years ago

written by

It always amazes me how quickly the MLB season flies by. It seems like one day you are studying for upcoming seasonal drafts and the next you are sitting here writing a Wild Card round article. This 10/1 MLB DFS piece will guide you through everything you need to know to succeed for the Tues-Wed slates. With Incendiary’s “Cost of Living” playing in the background, and a hopeful Dodgers future, let’s get this show on the road.

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Pitching

The most important fact to consider when selecting postseason pitching is, they are all top starters. Especially in one game situations. All four pitchers on this slate are viable options, even if the starter for Oakland has not been officially named yet. But, if it is Sean Manaea like we all think, for his salary on DK he is just as much in the mix. On this 10/1 MLB DFS slate I would have no problem locking him in while I wait to see what develops.

Max Scherzervs. Milwaukee Brewers (Tuesday)

$11,000 FD / $9,400 DK / $12,600 DK-SD / $18,900 DK-SD-CP

This game could be a lot higher scoring than most believe. The Brewers are striking out 25.8 percent of the time versus RHPs this season while coming in 15^th in MLB in wOBA. We do have several factors in play here for this game, the first being that Scherzer’s ERA has more than doubled in the second half. There was serious talk of possibly not having him start this game, but Dave Martinez decided Mad Max’s 1.50 ERA versus the Brew Crew with 10 strikeouts over six innings was enough to give him the nod.

The next big factor to look at is the Brewers themselves. The get a negative ballpark shift playing on the road in Washington despite Scherzer’s higher home ERA. Plus, let’s not forget the monster known as Christian Yelich is on hiatus due to injury. All numbers point to a low scoring game to be decided by the bullpens. On this 10/1 MLB DFS slate every starter is viable, especially the Scherz.

BrandonWoodruff vs. Washington Nationals (Tuesday)

$6,200 FD / $6,400 DK / $10,000 DK-SD / $15,500 DK-SD-CP

Much like Scherzer on this 10/1 MLB DFS slate Woodruff benefits from the same positive park shift. However, the Nationals are seventh in MLB in wOBA versus RHPs, and near the bottom of the league in strikeouts. This season Woody dominated the Nats in his only start, facing them back in May, striking out nine batters over six innings while only allowing one earned run. Keep in mind he is working his way back from injury and more than likely will only pitch a few innings.

Charlie Mortonvs. Oakland Athletics (Wednesday)

$9,500 FD / $8,600 DK

As much as I would love to see Oakland advance here the numbers are really telling me differently. Against the Athletics over two starts, Morton has a 0.68 ERA with 13 strikeouts over 13 1/3 innings. Much like tonight’s game this one is also going to come down to the bullpens. With the A’s batting .207 over the last seven days Morton is going to feast on them tomorrow night.

2019 Starting Pitching Stats

Name	Team	IP	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	GB%	HR/FB	ERA	xFIP
Max Scherzer	Nationals	172.1	12.69	1.72	0.94	40.80%	11.60%	2.92	2.88
Charlie Morton	Rays	194.2	11.1	2.64	0.69	48.20%	10.40%	3.05	3.28
Brandon Woodruff	Brewers	121.2	10.58	2.22	0.89	44.60%	12.00%	3.62	3.36
Sean Manaea	Athletics	29.2	9.1	2.12	0.91	41.20%	10.70%	1.21	3.98

Hitting

So, here is the trick to selecting offense on this 10/1 MLB DFS slate, attack the bullpens. With top tier starters taking the mound often it’s that dicey bullpen who ends up surrendering runs. This means we need to look at their numbers. My favorite stat for this is second half bullpen ERA. By this point in the season most guys are wearing out, especially on teams that have found themselves in high leverage situations leading up to this point. Like most Wild Card teams. I expect a lot of pitching changes tonight, much more so than tomorrow night, so I would focus my offense on the Brewers-Nationals game.

Second Half Bullpen Stats

Team	IP	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	GB%	HR/FB	ERA	xFIP
Nationals	234.2	8.94	3.72	1.61	37.30%	15.30%	4.83	4.88
Brewers	284	11.12	3.96	1.43	43.40%	18.00%	3.99	3.96
Athletics	226.2	10.2	3.14	1.23	41.00%	14.00%	3.77	4.08
Rays	328.1	10.75	2.74	1.29	41.90%	15.00%	3.56	3.8

Stack #1: Brewers versus RHPs

As mentioned, this is the game to stack on this two-game 10/1 MLB DFS slate. After locking in Manaea and Morton for tomorrow night you are left with a remaining player salary on DK of nearly $4,300. With the Nationals having one of the worst bullpens in MLB in the 2^nd half, I prefer Milwaukee tonight.

Don’t let he BVP scare you versus Scherzer tonight. If he finds himself giving up a few runs, or in trouble, he will be pulled early.

Name	PA	BB%	K%	BB/K	SB	wOBA	wRC+
Keston Hiura	265	6.80%	30.20%	0.23	6	0.418	159
Eric Thames	397	10.60%	30.50%	0.35	3	0.362	122
Yasmani Grandal	438	16.40%	21.90%	0.75	3	0.35	114
Mike Moustakas	403	9.90%	17.60%	0.56	3	0.342	109
Ryan Braun	332	5.40%	23.50%	0.23	8	0.338	106
Trent Grisham	147	11.60%	23.10%	0.5	1	0.319	94
Lorenzo Cain	445	7.60%	17.10%	0.45	9	0.296	79
Ben Gamel	277	10.10%	29.60%	0.34	1	0.284	71
Travis Shaw	219	16.40%	32.90%	0.5	0	0.278	67
Cory Spangenberg	84	7.10%	32.10%	0.22	2	0.27	62
Orlando Arcia	411	7.80%	20.70%	0.38	7	0.261	56
Hernan Perez	127	5.50%	33.90%	0.16	2	0.24	42
Manny Pina	98	9.20%	25.50%	0.36	0	0.233	38
Tyler Austin	69	10.10%	44.90%	0.23	1	0.232	41
Tyler Saladino	52	7.70%	32.70%	0.24	2	0.188	8

Stack #2: Nationals versus RHPs

Brandon Woodruff as nasty as he is may not go deep into this game. His recent starts suggest maybe three innings. Unless of course they have been babying him and plan on letting him go full bore tonight. Either way, I still prefer the Nats offense tonight over both teams tomorrow night.

Name	PA	BB%	K%	BB/K	SB	wOBA	wRC+
Juan Soto	438	18.30%	20.30%	0.9	9	0.414	155
Anthony Rendon	475	11.40%	12.40%	0.92	2	0.411	153
Howie Kendrick	244	7.80%	12.70%	0.61	1	0.385	136
Trea Turner	441	7.50%	20.40%	0.37	27	0.36	120
Adam Eaton	499	10.60%	15.60%	0.68	11	0.342	108
Asdrubal Cabrera	374	10.20%	22.20%	0.46	3	0.332	99
Kurt Suzuki	237	7.20%	11.40%	0.63	0	0.319	93
Victor Robles	458	5.90%	23.60%	0.25	16	0.314	90
Matt Adams	270	7.00%	35.20%	0.2	0	0.314	89
Brian Dozier	346	12.40%	22.30%	0.56	2	0.312	88
Gerardo Parra	232	6.90%	19.80%	0.35	6	0.291	76
Ryan Zimmerman	137	9.50%	19.70%	0.48	0	0.277	65
Yan Gomes	273	8.40%	25.30%	0.33	2	0.275	64
Michael A. Taylor	57	7.00%	36.80%	0.19	5	0.26	54
Wilmer Difo	115	9.60%	18.30%	0.52	0	0.254	50

Stack #3: Rays versus LHPs

The numbers suggest the Wednesday games will be lower scoring. For the simple reason I see more innings coming out of Morton in this one, the Rays take precedent over the A’s. There will be more bullpen exposure here, pure and simple.

Name	PA	BB%	K%	BB/K	SB	wOBA	wRC+
Tommy Pham	197	18.80%	17.80%	1.06	8	0.407	161
Yandy Diaz	117	12.00%	21.40%	0.56	1	0.402	158
Travis d’Arnaud	150	8.70%	21.30%	0.41	0	0.362	130
Eric Sogard	120	9.20%	18.30%	0.5	2	0.353	122
Michael Brosseau	73	4.10%	23.30%	0.18	0	0.347	120
Austin Meadows	177	5.10%	29.90%	0.17	2	0.346	120
Guillermo Heredia	124	6.50%	23.40%	0.28	0	0.337	114
Kevin Kiermaier	130	3.80%	21.50%	0.18	5	0.332	110
Avisail Garcia	177	7.90%	22.60%	0.35	0	0.328	107
Jesus Aguilar	145	12.40%	22.10%	0.56	0	0.303	86
Daniel Robertson	96	10.40%	28.10%	0.37	1	0.299	88
Brandon Lowe	68	2.90%	52.90%	0.06	0	0.282	77
Ji-Man Choi	94	11.70%	23.40%	0.5	0	0.28	75
Michael Perez	11	0.00%	45.50%	0	0	0.269	67
Willy Adames	198	6.60%	27.80%	0.24	1	0.245	51
Matt Duffy	66	13.60%	19.70%	0.69	0	0.245	51
Mike Zunino	101	9.90%	33.70%	0.29	0	0.214	30
Joey Wendle	59	6.80%	25.40%	0.27	1	0.168	-1

Stack #4: Athletics versus RHPs

With Charlie Morton having dominated the Athletics this season, and the Rays having one of the best bullpens in MLB, this really lowers the offensive production possibilities. This places Oakland at the bottom of the list for me.

Name	PA	BB%	K%	BB/K	SB	wOBA	wRC+
Mark Canha	340	12.90%	23.50%	0.55	2	0.405	160
Sean Murphy	40	10.00%	27.50%	0.36	0	0.394	152
Matt Olson	374	11.20%	25.90%	0.43	0	0.391	150
Seth Brown	69	10.10%	27.50%	0.37	1	0.379	142
Marcus Semien	545	11.60%	14.30%	0.81	10	0.367	134
Ramon Laureano	346	6.40%	26.60%	0.24	9	0.361	129
Matt Chapman	491	10.20%	22.80%	0.45	1	0.355	126
Robbie Grossman	424	12.50%	17.50%	0.72	8	0.307	93
Jurickson Profar	399	8.80%	14.50%	0.6	7	0.286	79
Chad Pinder	191	4.20%	25.70%	0.16	0	0.28	75
Stephen Piscotty	301	8.00%	22.30%	0.36	2	0.272	69
Josh Phegley	239	5.00%	21.80%	0.23	0	0.266	66
Khris Davis	383	7.30%	30.80%	0.24	0	0.252	56

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DraftKings Showdown

Obviously, you are going to want both starting pitchers in all your lineups. The big decision is the Captain spot. I would find a cheap player that steadily produces fantasy points and reserve this spot for him. This allows you the spending power to pretty much have your way with bats. Here is a screenshot of two of my Showdown lineups for tonight as an example.

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This one seems easy for me tonight. Scherzer, despite having some recent woes with earned runs allowed, still strikes out batters at an incredible rate. This one is over all the way.

Brandon Woodruff may not go deep into this one but will certainly achieve this over in a matter of three innings.

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5 years ago 0 comment

NFL MLB

10/1 DFS and Betting Winners

Vincent Pensabene 5 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Monday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 10/1 DFS and Betting review and look ahead.

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10/1 Betting Winners – Capper Steve

If you are a Premium Gold subscriber, you’ll get access to a multitude of exclusive content. One of those features is Capper Steve’s Sports Betting Picks article. If you listened to his expert advice, you would be sitting pretty with an extra two units with a Steelers -3.5 win. The Steelers dominated the game and won easily 27-3.

10/1 DFS Winner: Mason Rudolph

Premium Gold members have access to databases like our NFL Projection Model. The screenshot above is the 11 quarterbacks with the lowest salary for Week 4. Mason Rudolph looked great for the Pittsburgh Steelers on Monday at home against the divisional-rival Cincinnati Bengals. Rudolph went 24-of-28 with 229 yards and a pair of touchdown passes.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Rudolph is beginning to gain success after the Steelers’ first win of the season. Coach Mike Tomlin seemed to keep the playbook simple with short passes for Rudolph. It also helped that he was able to not get sacked the entire game. Now with six touchdowns and only two interceptions on the year, expect Rudolph to gain more confidence and begin to have the playbook open up for him in the upcoming weeks.

10/1 DFS Winner: James Conner

Here is a snippet from Dan Wehr’s Week Four MNF Showdown Guide that highlighted James Conner and how he will get established in the offense. James Conner had 18 touches (10 rushes and eight catches) for 125 yards and a touchdown. He finished the game with the most targets, receptions, and receiving yards.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Conner has been disappointing on the rushing side of his game, just 139 yards so far this season. Going into another AFC North divisional game against the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday, it could be a tell-tale game for him. Conner is a major part of the passing game with his ability to catch the football. Expect around similar combined yards for the remainder of the season.

10/1 DFS Winner: Felix Auger Aliassime

Another hit from our Cash with the Flash article as Felix Auger Aliassime won in straight sets against Albert Ramos-Vinolas in the round of 32 at the China Open. He is next slated to face off against the two seed, Alexander Zverev.

5 years ago 0 comment

NFL MLB

9/30 DFS and Betting Winners

Vincent Pensabene 5 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Sunday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/30 DFS and Betting review and look ahead.

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9/30 Betting Winners – John L.

If you were a Premium Gold subscriber, you will get full access to DFS experts 24/7 and a myriad of other rewards. Our John L. (MLB Moving Avg.) touted an 80 percent win on his prop bets for the day and here are some from our Slack channel. With the potential to increase your bankroll tenfold by becoming a part of the Win Daily family, what are you waiting for?

9/30 DFS Winner: Nick Chubb

Premium Gold members saw our NFL Cheatsheet and Nick Bretswich was on the money at his value running back spot with Nick Chubb. Going up against the Baltimore Ravens, Chubb ran the ball 20 times for 165 yards and three touchdowns. He also added three receptions for 18 yards. Chubb had a huge day and was the main reason for the Browns scoring 40 points yesterday

Outlook for the rest of the season: This was a great bounce-back game for Chubb, who was pedestrian against the Rams last week. This is around the amount of touches he will get per game in this Cleveland offense and if teams are focusing on keeping one of their flashy playmakers out of the end zone, Chubb could have games like this. He broke an 88-yard run and is now averaging 5.1 yards per carry. Expect him to continue being a key cog in this Browns offense.

9/30 DFS Winner: Chris Godwin

Here’s a screenshot from our Premium Gold NFL Projection Model of the Top 25 wide receivers for Week 4 based on salaries on FanDuel. In a game where points were flying all over the board, Chris Godwin was the besr receiver in the league for Week 4. Going on the road against the Rams, he finished with 12 catches (14 targets) for 172 yards and a pair of touchdowns.

Outlook for the rest of the season: This might have been the breakout game for Godwin as the stats for this game are very similar to his first three games combined. It helps to have Mike Evans on the opposite side of the field from him attracting attention, but Godwin looked like a legitimate threat all day long. Expect Godwin to get more action in the next few weeks.

9/30 DFS Winner: Will Smith

Rookie Will Smith had a great final day of the 2019 MLB Regular Season as he went 2-for-3 with a three-run home run against the San Francisco Giants. Since becoming the main catcher for the Dodgers at the end of July, he has an .876 OPS. It will be interesting to see how he will fare in the playoffs against whoever wins the N.L. Wild Card matchup.

9/30 DFS Winner: Andrey Rublev

Here is a snippet of our Cash with the Flash article, available to all Premium Gold subscribers. Tennis could be a difficult sport to bet with many different tournaments and players, but if you follow Phil’s expert advice, you could be making a ton of extra money. Rublev ended up beating Dimitrov in straight sets and advanced to the Round of 16 in the China Open.

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NFL MLB

9/27 DFS and Betting Winners: Hot Handicappers

Sean Escobar 5 years ago

written by Sean Escobar

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Thursday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/27 DFS and Betting review and look ahead.

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9/27 Betting Winners – Capper Steve and John L.

Our Capper Steve hit 5.5 units on the underdog Eagles at +4. Check out his regular picks as a Premium Gold subscrib er, as you will get access to all of our top handicappers. Our John L. (MLB Moving Avg.) also pinpointed Geronimo Allison as a DFS play on our Thursday Podcast and nailed his prop pick in our Slack Channel.

9/27 DFS Winner: Davante Adams

Premium Gold members had access to the a ton of different content, including the Projection Models just like this. The screenshot is of the five-highest priced wide receivers on the Week 4 slate. Davante Adams somehow still provided a lot of value, even with his price tag. Adams finished with 10 receptions for 180 yards in the Thursday Night Football matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles before a toe injury ended his night early.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Adams now has the second-most receiving yards in the league, albeit with an extra game compared to the rest of the NFL. He was the beneficiary of Ronald Darby being out with an injury as he was burning the single high safety coverage all night long. Now at 94.5 yards per game and the Green Bay offense beginning to click, expect Adams to be one of the elite receivers in the league from hereon out.

9/27 DFS Winner: Aaron Rodgers

Here is a Premium Gold projections screenshot of the Top 25 quarterbacks on the Week 4 slate based on their DFS salaries. Aaron Rodgers barely cracked the Top 10 for the week and balled out against the Philadelphia Eagles on Thursday Night Football. He finished 34-of-53 for 422 yards with a pair of touchdowns, an interception and a lost fumble.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Rodgers has the second-most passing yards in a game this season (Pat Mahomes in Week 2) last night. The offense looks like they are beginning to click on all cylinders. Rodgers did also have good pocket protection as he was only sacked once throughout the game. Expect Rodgers to be an elite QB.

9/27 DFS Winner: Sorano Cirstea

Sorano Cirstea dominated in straight sets against Katerina Zavatska in their semi-final matchup at the Tashkent Open. This snippet is from Cash with the Flash article, available to all Premium Gold members. Cirstea will be going against the three seed Alison Van Uytvanck Saturday morning.

9/27 DFS Winner: Sean Manaea

Here is a screenshot from our MLB Cheatsheet, another perk for all our Premium Gold members. Jason was spot on with his value pitcher as Sean Manaea had his final regular season game and went against divisional-rival Seattle Mariners. He finished the day going six innings and allowing a run on four hits and five strikeouts.

Outlook for the rest of the season: This game had as much playoff feeling as a Seattle game can have this season with it being Felix Hernandez’s final start there. Manaea has returned to form in his five games this season since returning from shoulder surgery. He has a 1.21 ERA in 29.2 innings with over a strikeout an inning. He seems to be who will line up to get the ball in the Wild Card game on Wednesday.

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Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

9/26 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks: Indians Can’t Cease Fire

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

The main slate for 9/26 DFS is just a simple, five-game assembly of MLB DFS matchups featuring some playoff implications and some sneaky stacks! Let’s find the best one-off plays and a couple quality stacks to get you on the road to cash!

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9/26 DFS Hitting Stacks ofthe Day

Cleveland Indians at DylanCease

With Jose Ramirez back, the Indians have another titanic bat in their lineup as they try to sneak into the playoffs via the Wild Card. Eliminated from securing their fourth straight AL Central title with Wednesday’s loss (coupled with a victory by the Minnesota Twins), the Indians have a Thursday night matchup that bodes well for the bats facing a hittable Dylan Cease (5.79 ERA). Expect Francisco Lindor to erase that poor showing last night and get some exposure to the 2-5 bats, along with Franmil Reyes and a dirt-cheap Mike Freeman ($3,200 DK, $2,500 FD) at the bottom of the order.

Oakland Athletics atSeattle Mariners

We’ve come to expect a lot from the A’s as September winds down, and this is a prime opportunity for the bats to come alive and pile on some runs on this 9/26 DFS slate. Mark Canha left the game early last night and Khris Davis is battling a stomach bug, but there are plenty of bats to go to in their stead, and while Felix Hernandez is a historically solid pitcher, he’s nearing the end of his career (6.51 ERA this season) and just isn’t the same old King Felix. The A’s also hit well on the road, with a .329 wOBA as a team. I like Matt Olson, Matt Chapman and Marcus Semien.

Houston Astros at JaimeBarria

The Astros plan on sitting Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa and George Springer, but that just means you can grab some value at the top of their lineup with Kyle Tucker and mix in some “next man up” types who’ve performed well in limited duty this season. They’re not my favorite stack for 9/26 DFS, but they’re certainly viable and a little cheaper to fit in without all the regulars.

9/26 DFS Hitting Stacks toConsider

Chicago Cubs at Joe Musgrove – The Cubs face ahittable pitcher who can hand out free passes and get lit up as easily as hecan rack up the Ks.

New York Mets vs. Jordan Yamamoto – Yamamoto isn’t a bad young pitcher, but he struggles with RHBs and the Mets have a bunch of really good ones.

9/26 DFS HittingCatcher

Wilson Ramos, NYM vs. MIA

DK ($3,600) FD ($2600)

Unfortunately, the pickings are slim at catcher today, so I’ll be looking to Wilson Ramos and his power upside. The Mets regular catcher is slashing .286/.350/.415 this season and Yamamoto has trouble with right-handed bats (.322wOBA vs. RHBs, .250 wOBA vs. LHBs). Just make sure he’s in the lineup before you lock him in.

9/26 DFS Hitting FirstBaseman

Matt Olson, OAK at SEA

DK (4,600) FD ($3,700)

My affinity for Matt Olson is well-known among my peers, and he’s deliveredfor me time and again in GPPs. This matchup is an interesting one, because Olsonhas a .293 ISO and 150 wRC+ against righties. Olson, who’s been hitting forpower this month with a .345 ISO, will likely face a couple of RHPs and has agood chance at going deep in this game.

9/26 DFS Hitting SecondBaseman

Aledmys Diaz, HOU at LAA

DK($4,100) FD ($2,900)

With some Astros sitting, Diaz probably gets another start tonight and is carrying a decent slash line (.271/.349/.457) into the 9/26 contest. He has a 122 wRC+ against RHPs this season, is fairly priced on DK and is unbelievably cheap on FD. It looks like I may give him a shot in about half my lineups this evening.

9/26 DFS Hitting ThirdBaseman

Matt Chapman, OAK at SEA

(DK $4,100) FD ($3,600)

Mr. Chapman homered last night, is very affordable on both sites, and is slightly better against RHPs (124 wRC+ vs. RHPs, 122 wRC+ vs. LHPs). While he had a relatively quiet September, I like the matchup for Chapman against King Felix here here — and there are not many 3B who stick out in this slate other than him, Alex Bregman (who’s available at SS on DK), and Yoan Moncada.

9/26 DFSHitting Shortstop

Alex Bregman, HOU at LAA

DK ($2,600) FD ($2,000)

Some of the veteran Astros players will get spelled tonight, but Bregman is slated to stay in the lineup and is red hot at the plate (3-4, two 2B, RBI, R last night). He sports a robust 168 wRC+ and is slashing .298/.421/.595 triple-slash line with 119 runs scored, 40 homers, 110 RBI and five steals this season. The hard-hitting Bregman is a fine place to anchor your SS slot.

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9/26 DFS HittingOutfielders

Kyle Tucker, HOU at LAA

DK($4,800) FD ($2,900)

Tucker draws the leadoff spot for 9/26 DFS a night after launching a solo homer against the Mariners. With Jose Altuve getting the day off, he takes over a prime spot in the Astros lineup and has done ell with his chances so far: The 22-year-old rookie outfielder is hitting .304/.339/.571 with 11 runs scored, three HRs, 10 RBI and five SB in 59 plate appearances this season. The price on DK is fair, but on FD he’s just way too cheap.

Brandon Nimmo, NYM vs. MIA

DK ($3,900) FD ($2,900)

I love Nimmo in the leadoff spot today for the Mets, who don’t havea lot to play for but still have an exciting group of young hitters. Nimmo hasa 133 wRC+ against RHPs in his career and will have plenty of run scoringopportunities here. He also has a 16.4 BB% facing RHPs in his career and a 19.7BB% this season against righties – a nice patience complement to his burgeoningpower.

Kyle Schwarber, CHC at PIT

DK ($3,800) FD ($2,700)

While he’s not much of a contact/average hitter, Schwarber has been heating up at the plate (2-4 last night with a pair of singles on Wednesday) just in time for his team to be eliminated from the playoffs. Schwarber is hitting .248/.337/.527 with 37 homers, 91 RBI and 80 runs scored in 152 games overall in 2019, and he’s got a great matchup vs. RHP Joe Musgrove.

9/26 DFS Additional StackOptions:

C: Wilson Contreras ($4,700 DK, $3,000 FD), Sean Murphy ($4,000DK, $2,900 FD)

1B: Anthony Rizzo ($4,900 DK, $3,900 FD), Pete Alonso ($5,000 DK,$4,000 FD)

2B: Ian Happ ($4,000 DK, $2,600 FD), Yolmer Sanchez ($2,700 DK) ($2,300FD)

3B: Yoan Moncada ($4,800 DK, $3,500 FD), David Fletcher ($3,900DK, $2,800 FD)

SS: Francisco Lindor ($4,600 DK, $4,200 FD), Jack Mayfield ($2,600 DK, $2,000 FD)

OF: Yordan Alvarez ($5,400 DK, $4,400 FD), Nick Castellanos ($4,600DK, $3,800 FD), Michael Brantley ($4,000 DK, $3,500 FD), Oscar Mercado ($4,900DK, $3,400 FD), Michael Conforto ($4,600 DK, $3,500 FD), Robbie Grossman, ($3,500DK, $2,400 FD),

5 years ago 0 comment

NFL MLB

9/26 DFS and Betting Winners: MLB Cheatsheet Is On Fire

Vincent Pensabene 5 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Wednesday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/26 DFS and Betting review and look ahead.

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DFS Winner: Zack Greinke

Premium Gold members had access to the MLB Cheatsheet, as well as other parts of the website and the Slack channel with access to all the DFS Pros. Jason selected Zack Greinke as a value pitcher on last night’s slate against the divisional-rival Seattle Mariners on the road. He went 8.1 innings of no-hit ball before allowing back-to-back singles and being relieved. Greinke also added a walk and nine strikeouts in the outing.

Outlook for the rest of the season: This was most likely Greinke’s final start of the regular season. He has been sensational as a member of the Astros rotation since being traded there at the deadline. In 10 starts, he is 8-1 with a 3.02 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP in that span. He will most likely be a Game 3 starter in the ALDS and should be great during the postseason.

9/26 DFS Winner: Josh Donaldson

Another winner from the MLB Cheatsheet was Josh Donaldson of the Atlanta Braves. He was listed as a value third baseman going against the Kansas City Royals in an interleague matchup. He went 3-for-6 with three doubles, two runs scored and four RBI.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Donaldson needed a game like this before the season ended since he was on a massive cold stretch. Going into last night’s game, Donaldson was 1-for-22 in his last six games. With the NLDS beginning next weekend, it was crucial for him to get his bat going and begin to look as close to the 2015 A.L. MVP as he can.

9/26 DFS Winner: Franmil Reyes

If you seriously aren’t a Premium member by now, what are you waiting for to join the family and win some money? Jason was on fire with the Cheatsheet and hit on another value spot, this time in the outield. Franmil Reyes had a great night against the divisionrival Chicago White Sox, going 3-for-4 with a pair of runs scored.

Outlook for the rest of the season: In his 47 games played since being traded to Cleveland, Reyes has a .293 OBP and a .737 OPS. For the Indians to get into the playoffs, they need their offense to click. Do not get your hopes up for Franmil Reyes to begin hitting in the final few games of the regular season.

9/26 DFS Winner: Sorano Cirstea

This was a solid bet from our Cash with the Flash article, that you can get as a Premium Gold member. Sorano Cirstea won in three sets against Danka Kovinic in their quarter-final matchup. Cirstea was slated as the eight seed heading into the Tashkent Open and will face off against Katarina Zavatska early Thursday morning. Expect Cirstea to be the favorite going into the matchup.

5 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

9/24 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks: Stacking Sox in the Texas Heat

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

We’ve got a 13-game main slate for 9/24 DFS and while a playoff picture is finally emerging and the season is winding down, there are still some high-upside hitters and stacks to get you prepped to win some green!

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9/24 DFS Hitting Stacks of the Day

Red Sox at Edinson Vólquez/Ariel Jurado

The Red Sox shouldn’t have problems getting to either Vólquez, who’s having a last hurrah in the big leagues before retiring, or Jurado, who has a 5.73 ERA this season and has trouble getting Ks. You may want to skip Betts, who’s been getting rest since coming back from a foot injury, but grab shares of J.D. Martinez, Rafael Devers, Xander Bogaerts and some of the more inexpensive bats (Mitch Moreland, Brock Holt, Jackie Bradley) that should help you make salary. I think the 2-5 plus Christian Vazquez (the projected 7 hitter) might be my favorite stack among the Red Sox bats.

Houston Astros at Justin Dunn/Tommy Milone

The Astros are always worth looking to considering their 121 team wRC+ and .349 wOBA, but they face a couple mashable pitchers and you don’t have to worry about splits since they rake just about everybody. Get some shares of the red-hot George Springer (three HRs on Sunday) as well as Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman, Yuri Gurriel and Yordan Alvarez. they have the highest implied total among the teams with set lines so far.

TorontoBlue Jays at Dylan Bundy

These teams have been bashing each other’s brains in, and while I prefer the Blue Jays side of this offensive tilt, the entire game stack is in play. It’s been a GPP winner recently, so I have no qualms about rolling out the usual suspects again: Cavan Biggio, Randal Grichuk, Rowdy Tellez, and value bats like Brandon Drury and Teoscar Hernandez – especially if Lourdes Gurriel, Jr. (illness) sits for a second consecutive day.

9/24 DFS Hitting Stacks to Consider

Chicago Cubs at Mitch Keller – The Cubs are nearly out of the playoff picture thanks to the Cardinals, but for 9/24 DFS you shouldn’t consider them officially dead yet – and they’re a bunch who can still pile on the runs. The Pirates home park isn’t the best venue for stacks, so ownership should be relatively low.

Atlanta Braves at Danny Duffy – Plenty of bats to like for this potent Braves lineup facing the lefty in Kansas City, you’ll just have to leave out a couple since they’re all so good. I may be fading the Yankees in Tampa, but I’m not worried about the Braves against a hittable pitcher in the heartland.

Cleveland Indians vs. Hector Santiago – The Indians aren’t as consistent as the Braves offensively, but they have a bunch of lefty mashers with a special affinity for Santiago. The implied run total is over 5.5, which means you should have shares of the 1-5 bats along with some exposure to Franmil Reyes and Jordan Luplow. I might take a wait-and-see approach with Jose Ramirez, who’s set to be activated from the IL.

Oakland Athletics at Dillon Peters – The A’s aren’t as good against LHPs (.305 team wOBA), but it’s a viable contrarian stack to consider for 9/24 DFS. The implied total is also over 5.5 runs and seems a bit high — so tread lightly with this bunch.

9/24 DFS Hitting Catcher

Christian Vazquez, BOS at TEX

DK ($4,600) FD($3,200)

Vazquez got a day off yesterday against the Rays, but he should beback in the lineup Tuesday in Texas. He’s got 3 homers in his last seven gamesand his overall numbers in 2019 have been impressive: .273/.316/.472 with 22 HRs.Digging a little deeper, we find a .232 road ISO, with 14 of his dingers comingaway from Fenway Park.

9/24 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Carlos Santana, CLE at DET

DK (4,900) FD ($4,000)

Santana is having a career year, and I’m plugging him into most ofmy GPP builds against Hector Santiago. Hisseason slash sits at .288/.403/.529 with a 139 wRC+ and he’s destroying LHPsthis season (1.015 OPS, 162 wRC+ and .421 wOBA). There are many ways to go at1B on this slate, but Santana is my bet for a monster game.

9/24 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Cavan Biggio, TOR at BAL

DK ($4,900) FD ($3,700)

Did you expect me to play some other than Biggio? He hit anotherbomb last night and has ben raking every time I use him in GPPs – from lastTuesday’s cycle and Thursday’s home run to helping me spike some decent cashesin last night’s Rally contests on FanDuel. He’s way too cheap on that site andhis price tag on DK should keep him from being chalk – especially with so manyhigh-priced arms.

9/24 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Manny Machado, SD vs. LAD (3B/SS on DK)

(DK $3,700) FD($3,000)

It’s been a disappointing season for Machado, but he’d like to endit with some standout performances against his old team, the Dodgers. I lovethe matchup against LHP Rich Hill since Machado – with some really pronouncedsplits this season – hits .314/.401/.683 against southpaws. The price is rightfor Machado, and using him as a one-off or with OF Hunter Renfroe ($4,000 onDK, $3,100 on FD) – who’s another viable Padres power hitter with a 132 wRC+against LHPs – makes a lot of sense if you’re trying to find some value and buildingmultiple lineups.

9/24 DFS Hitting Shortstop

Corey Seager, LAD at SD

DK ($4,700) FD($3,800)

Seger is finally hitting his groove as we near the postseason, andnow is a great time to plug him in at SS in the 9/24 DFS main slate. He’s got a123 wRC+ against RHPs and has a .381 WOBA and .314 ISO sine the start of September.There’s no time like the present, and presently, Corey Seager is raking.

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9/24 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Cody Bellinger, LOS at SD (1B/OF on DK)

DK ($4,800) FD($3,200)

Cody might just ring that bell again on Tuesday night against “BadRonald” Bolanos, who’s given up three homers in 14 innings. Bellinger’s 166wRC+ and ridiculous .314/.414/.641 slash line vs. RHPs means he’ll be in all thelineups I can afford him in, regardless of the venue and the fact he’s on the road(149 wRC+ in away games this season).

Ronald Acuna, Jr., ATL at KC

DK ($5,300) FD ($4,400)

He makes for a fine one-off if you’re not using the Braves stack, and he’s putting up obscene numbers against both LHPs and RHPs. Another interesting stat about Acuna is that he’s slashing a robust .281/.370/.510 with a 125 wRC+ at home and .279/.361/.527 with a 128 wRC+on the road. There’s not a day that I don’t consider him, even against the league’s top pitchers and regardless of the lofty price tag.

Austin Hays, BAL at TOR
DK ($3,800) FD ($2,700)

Hays had a monster night in Toronto on Monday and he’s once again in a good spot facing a lefty. The 24-year-old slugger is slashing .302/.362/.535 in the 15 games he’s played in the majors, and he’s still very inexpensive on both sites. If he’s in the Orioles lineup on Tuesday, I’ll be grabbing shares.

9/24 DFS Additional Stack Options:

C: Wilson Contreras ($4,400 DK, $3,200 FD), Sean Murphy ($4,000DK, $3,100 FD)

1B: Anthony Rizzo ($4,900 DK, $4,100 FD), Trey Mancini ($4,700 DK,$3,900 FD)

2B: Jose Altuve ($4,700 DK, $4,200 FD), DJ LeMahieu ($5,000 DK)($4,200 FD – 3B)

3B: Gio Urshela ($4,100 DK, $3,000 FD) Vladimir Guerrero Jr, ($3,800DK, $3,200 FD)

SS: Francisco Lindor ($5,400 DK, $4,300 FD), Nico Hoerner ($3,700DK, $3,000 FD)

OF: Anthony Santander ($4,000 DK, $3,400 FD), Brett Gardner ($4,500DK, $3,500 FD), Randal Grichuk ($4,100 DK, $3,000 FD), Ramon Laureano GPP($3,100 FD), Austin Riley GPP ($2,200 FD), Adam Duvall GPP ($2,400 FD)

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