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NFL DFS: Week Four MNF Showdown Guide and Podcast

This report will provide plays for the NFL DFS Monday Night Football slate. I will break down the top fantasy players to consider.

PODCAST: The King and Dan Wehr break down Bengals-Steelers from DFS Perspectives

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

O/U: 44.5 (PIT -3.5)

The Cincinnati Bengals will travel to Pittsburgh to take on the Steelers in an AFC North tilt that will determine the sole bottom feeder of the division. Both teams have been horrendous on defense through their first three games. The Bengals defense has struggled against the run, allowing over 168 yards per game, only second worst to the Miami Dolphins. The Steelers aren’t far behind, allowing runners to average 139 yards on the ground. I try be fair when weighing these averages early in the season, but Pittsburgh is allowing starting running backs over five yards per carry.

Pittsburgh has also struggled with pass defense. They allow an average of over 300 yards through the air. Only Tampa Bay and Philadelphia allow more than the Steelers. Despite Pittsburgh’s woes on defense, they still have a turnover margin of +3, which is sixth best in the league (four of those takeaways come from SF). Cincy hasn’t been quite as bad defending in terms of yards per game (237) but still have allowed six TD’s in the red zone through the air.

Given both teams struggles I expect the Steelers to emphasize establishing the run game with James Conner. Pittsburgh is top five in terms of pass protection per their 2.5% adjusted sack rate. If they are able to get things going with Conner (which they should) I can see this opening things up for Mason Rudolph in the pass with good matchups for JuJu Smith-Schuster, Diontae Johnson, and new TE addition Nick Vannett. Likewise for the Bengals, who have struggled immensely on the ground. They are averaging only 2.50 yards per carry and will look to Joe Mixon to get things going in order to open up more opportunities in the passing game.

NFL DFS: DraftKings Approach

NFL DFS Captain:

James Conner ($15,900), Joe Mixon ($13,200), Tyler Boyd ($13,800), and JuJu Smith-Schuster ($15,600).

NFL DFS Flex:

James Conner ($10,600), Joe Mixon ($8,800), Tyler Boyd ($9,200), JuJu Smith-Schuster (10,400), Andy Dalton ($9,800), Mason Rudolph ($9,600), Diontae Johnson ($6,600), Nick Vannett ($4,200), Tyler Eifert ($5,200), Pittsburgh DST ($4,600)

My favorite approach on DraftKings is Joe Mixon at the Captain spot and pairing him up with Andy Dalton in the flex.

NFL DFS: FanDuel Approach

NFL DFS MVP:

Andy Dalton ($15,000), JuJu Smith-Schuster ($13,500) James Conner ($12,000), Joe Mixon ($12,500), and Tyler Boyd ($13,000).

NFL DFS Flex:

(All plays at MVP can be used in flex) Diontae Johnson ($8,500), Nick Vannett ($6,500), James Washington ($6,500), Tyler Eifert ($7500), Chris Boswell ($10,000).

My favorite approach on FanDuel is running Andy Dalton in the MVP spot and pairing him up with Tyler Boyd in the flex.

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