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Josh Jacobs

Week 11 DFS RB Picks: Cash, GPP and Value Targets

jason mezrahi 4 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

We’ve got your NFL Week 11 DFS plays – the best RB picks for the main slate, including cash, GPP and some contrarian recommendations to win you some green!

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Week 11 DFS Running Back – Cash Game Plays

ChristianMcCaffrey, CAR at GB

DK ($10,500) FD ($10,500)

Cash or GPP, CMC is King, and the price remains unchanged from last week. He gets days off during the week for maintenance, but by Thursday he’s practicing fully so he can smash on Sunday. I don’t need to justify this anymore, do I? He’s the safest play and has the most upside, so use the guy – just find a way to get him in your lineups.

Dalvin Cook, MIN vs. DEN

DK ($8,900) FD ($8,600)

Cook gets over 20 carries per game and is just a notch below McCaffrey in terms of floor and upside – but still worth of clicking into your cash game lineups and GPPs. Find your value plays at WR, TE and flex this week and just lock both guys in. The Denver defense doesn’t play nearly as well on the road and they’ve been surprisingly mediocre against the run this season – so stopping Cook will be a challenge.

Week 11 DFS Running Back – GPP Plays

Ezekiel Elliot, DAL at DET

DK ($8,900) FD($8,400)

It’s s great matchup and the Cowboys clearly want to run theball more – so this could easily end up being Zeke’s best game of 2019 so far.He has 35-40 point upside on DK and the Lions defense gives up the most fantasypoints in the league to opposing RBs.

Alvin Kamara, NO at TB

DK ($7,400) FD ($7,800)

Since Kamara isn’t a prototypical rusher, I’m totally coolwith rolling him out against the league’s toughest run defense, especiallysince it’s also the league’s worst pass defense! Kamara had a rough go of itlast time around and that should keep the masses from clicking his name inGPPs. I’m going right back to the well – because he’ll be instrumental in the Saintsshredding of the Bucs, and that price has come down to a very reasonable place.

Josh Jacobs, OAK vs. CIN

DK ($6,900) FD ($8,000)

Jacobs has been playing through a shoulder injury and it’s worth monitoring his status on Sunday, but the guy is a workhorse for Oakland and a huge part of their success this season. His combined targets and carries each game have fallen below 19 only once since Week 4, and the Q tag could keep folks off him in GPPs – even against a pitiful Bengals defense. Win Daily Sports expert David Jones noted in his GPP Picks of Destiny that Jacobs he has gone over 100 yards in three of his last five games with five touchdowns in that span, and I firmly agree with his assessment of Jacobs as a mid-range GPP option.

Mark Ingram, BAL vs. HOU

DK ($6,600) FD ($7,500)

The Ravens can beat you many ways, but Ingram still makessense as a high-upside GPP play with some amount of risk – but not enough to keepyou from cashing if he has a ho-hum game. He’s not my favorite RB option thisweek and the number of touches he gets per game is a little low for my liking, buthe’s someone to consider as a pivot if Jacobs’ shoulder keeps him from playing.

Devin Singletary, BUF at MIA

DK ($6,000) FD ($6,500)

The rookie RB was a disappointment last week but has a favorablematchup in Week 11. He’s one of the best GPP plays on the slate given hisupside, talent and the recency bias of the letdown to DFS owners in Week 10.

Also consider: Le’Veon Bell (illness), Phillip Lindsay

Week 11 DFS Running Back – Contrarian GPP Plays

Leomard Fournette, JAC at IND

DK ($7,900) FD ($7,200)

Priceand matchup will keep Fournette from being heavily owned this week, but he’s ina sneaky spot if the Jags decide to limit the number of throws that Nick Foles makesin his first game back. It’s not a heavy exposure opportunity, but mixingFournette into a few low-stakes, large-field multi-entry GPPs shouldn’t be abad decision.

Tevin Coleman, SF vs. ARI

DK ($6,100) FD ($6,700)

Coleman ducked out of practice due to a personal matter on Thursday, so he may not make the initial builds of the GPP masses heading into the weekend. It’s hard to speculate at this point if he’ll be available or if his head will be in the game, but there’s no injury to speak of and both Matt Breida (ankle, doubtful) and Raheem Mostert (knee) are dealing with some issues. Stay tuned and don’t rule him out of DFS viability in this favorable matchup just yet.

Also consider: Marlon Mack, Joe Mixon

Week 11 DFS Running Back – Value/Punt Plays

Sony Michel, NE at PHI

DK ($4,900) FD ($6,300)

Michel is just too cheap on DK and despite coming off hisseason-low of four carries in Week 9, I expect the Patriots to go back to whatworks following their bye week – which means 15-20 carries for Michel and multi-TDupside. He’s a fine play in Week 11.

Brian Hill, ATL at CAR

DK ($4,800) FD ($5,900)

Hill is the only show in town for Atlanta in Week 11 and the matchup is a decent one on paper. I worry about a letdown after his big week, as the Falcons could easily fall behind and abandon the running game, peppering both Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley with targets, but the absence of Austin Hooper has to help Hill’s usage as a receiving option on dump-offs. Tenacious D even says in his GPP column that “Hill is going to step in for the injured Devonte Freeman and get around 20 touches and a couple targets through the air” and I’m with him that the 24-year-old back stands a good shot of finding paydirt.

J.D. McKissic, DET vs. DAL

DK ($4,600) FD ($5,800)

He’s probably too expensive on FD because of his reliance on the passing game and the Dallas run defense, which looked decent up until they encountered Dalvin Cook in Week 10. He’s got opportunity and game script on his side, and he could get a few more targets (season-high seven last week) with Matthew Stafford ruled out again and Jeff Driskel set to fill in at QB.

Kalen Ballage, MIA vs. BUF

DK ($4,300) FD ($5,300)

Ballage is still cheap and getting lots of usage but arelatively quiet game in Week 10 (20 carries for 43 yards, 4-2-0 on four targetsreceiving), but head coach Brian Flores said Wednesday that the Dolphins willcontinue to lean heavily on him as their lead option out of the backfield. Thebills defense hasn’t been great recently and Ballage is a near lock for 15-20touches.

Additional plays: Miles Sanders, Ty Montgomery (only if Bell is OUT)

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Week

Pick the Players that will get the most Fantasy Points

Goal: 68.5, Prize: 3x

Lets go with Christian McCaffrey, Brian Hill and D.J. Moore, who could all go for 20+ Fantasy Points, with McCaffrey a regular threat to eclipse 40. At that rate, I am comfortable locking in the 2x bet all day and going for a little more at 3x considering the upside here. I wanted to include two RBs because its an article about that, so if you are skittish about Hill you can always use Julio Jones.

4 years ago 0 comment

11/4 DFS and Betting Winners: The King Knows His Stuff

Vincent Pensabene 5 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

A flash back at some of the best performances from the Sunday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season. All that and more on the 11/4 DFS and Betting review and look ahead.

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11/4 Win Daily DFS Winner: Scott Engel

Scott was on fire in his Week 9 NFL DFS Plays article as he picked a few guys with monster games. He had Josh Jacobs, Jameis Winston and Tyler Lockett there. He also hit on Noah Fant and Jacob Hollister in his value and punt plays article. Make sure to check out his article prior to each week in the NFL season before locking in your NFL DFS lineups. You can communicate with him on our Slack chat, available to all Premium members.

11/4 Win Daily DFS Winner: Josh Jacobs

Both of our NFL DFS experts had Josh Jacobs on the NFL Cheatsheet as a value running back. If you followed their advice, you would have had a solid running back option as he faced Detroit and dominated on the ground. He went for 120 yards and a pair of touchdowns on 28 carries. That is a career-high in touches and a few yards off his best yardage in a game.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Jacobs is having a great rookie campaign as he is averaging 4.9 yards a carry. That puts him in elite company of runners this season, ahead of names like Leonard Fournette and Ezekiel Elliott. With Jacobs getting accustomed to the Raiders offense, expect his yards to increase and remain in the upper 20s in touches.

11/4 DFS Winner: Luca Doncic

Luca Doncic had a great game against the Cleveland Cavaliers last night, as he recorded back-to-back triple-doubles. He finished with 29 points on 53 percent shooting and added 14 rebounds and 15 assists. The only thing he struggled with was ball control, as he had five turnovers.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Doncic has been great in the early part of the NBA season. He is tied for ninth in points (26.7) and third in assists (9.5). In addition, he is averaging 10.3 rebounds a night. Doncic has improved his shooting, especially from beyond the arc, so don’t be surprised if he keeps this pace up. Expect him to be a darkhorse MVP candidate this season.

11/4 DFS Winner: Jakub Vrana

With the World Series Nationals in the crowd, Jakub Vrana had a huge game for the Capitals. He finished with a hat trick on the night, including two goals in the first period. Vrana is one of the hottest players in the NHL right now.

Outlook for the rest of the season: Jakub Vrana now has five goals in his previous two games played. He now is tied for eighth in the NHL for goals this season. Expect Vrana to have a career-year for the Capitals and be a DFS option every game he is in this season.

5 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports

DFS: Final Injury Report

Edwin Porras 5 years ago

written by Edwin Porras

This week in the DFS Final Injury Report I’ll quickly breakdown what to expect from Drew Brees, and how I feel about Christian Kirk and Tyrell Williams (from an injury perspective). My injury thoughts on players like Keenan Allen and Josh Jacobs have not changed since yesterday, so read about them here.

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Drew Brees

Brees is getting the nod today against the Cardinals five weeks after reconstruction of the ulnar collateral ligament of his throwing thumb. This injury is traumatic in nature so although it’s a bit of a risk bringing him back this week seems a bit rushed, the medical staff must be very confident in the integrity of the structures in the area. However, even if Brees is ready from an injury standpoint, there’s a very real chance his fine motor control and throwing accuracy isn’t quite right just yet. Additionally, he simply hasn’t had enough practice and conditioning for me to feel confident in his physical ability to be that Drew Brees. Don’t use him in cash

Christian Kirk

Kirk’s injury situation is touch and go as the Cardinals have told us almost nothing regarding this injury. He’s a game time decision again yet again this week, and I think he’ll be active as this is four weeks since the high ankle sprain. If he’s indeed active, I don’t have an issue using him this week in tournament lineups. There’s only a small chance of re-aggravation with him, but be aware that a flare up is possible (see Saquon Barkley from last week).

Tyrell Williams

Last on the DFS Final Injury Report is Tyrell Williams. He is battling a case of plantar fasciitis which is another misnomer in the medical community as the suffix “itis” means inflammation. If this was exclusively an inflammation problem, a little rest and some anti-inflammatory drugs would solve the problem quickly, but we know this issue has cost Williams about one month. The reason for that is is that this condition can be due to a number of different dysfunctions dealing with the connective tissue at the heel and foot. For that reason, this condition can take up to six months to resolve completely. What I’m saying here is that I wouldn’t use Williams in cash from an injury perspective as it could flare at any point today. However, if there’s ever a week to use him in tournaments, it’s on the heels (pun intended) of a full week practicing.

Thank you for reading the DFS Final Injury Report. Good luck this week!

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Featured image courtesy Keith Allison.

5 years ago 0 comment

NFL

NFL DFS: Week Seven Running Back Breakdown

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide NFL DFS running back options for the Week Seven 11-game main slate. Running backs will be broken down into three tiers, high, mid, and low. I will also include punt plays.

High Tier

NFL DFS Running Back: Dalvin Cook (MIN) ($8300 FD|$8000 DK)

The Detroit Lions have quietly fallen down the ladder, now allowing over 130 rushing yards per game on the ground. Their bottom five run defense will face a tall task in trying to slow down Dalvin Cook. The Vikings offensive line has been phenomenal, allowing runners to average 5.43 YPC. Cook has 23 receptions for 213 yards and 583 yards on the ground in 2019. As we all know, he has been nearly impossible to stop even against good run defenses. He is averaging almost 23 fantasy points per game and should have no trouble crushing his steep price tag against a lowly Lions run defense.

NFL DFS Running Back: Leonard Fournette (JAX) ($7900 FD|$7000 DK)

I’m fairly certain I was laughed at by some of my colleagues when I said Leonard Fournette would have a great bounce back season. Well look, who’s laughing now! Fournette has 584 rushing yards, which is third best in the league. I am more in tune with his involvement in the pass game now, he has 26 receptions for 189 yards. It is also worth noting he see’s the third most red zone touches of any RB in the league. He will face off against the worst run defense in the NFL. The Dolphins? No. The Bengals. The Bengals allow 184 yards per game on the ground and surrender an average of 5.6 YPC. This is a no brainer, lock in Fournette.

NFL DFS Running Back: Saquon Barkley (NYG) ($8600 FD|$8900 DK)

Saquon Barkley practiced in full on Wednesday, so he is officially a go against the Cardinals this week. I am not crazy about the price tag coming off of injury, but he has no restrictions and quite frankly, it’s Saquon Barkley. Prior to his injury, Barkley avearged 6.5 yards per touch and saw nearly an 80% opportunity share within the offense. Arizona ranks near the bottom against the run, they allow over 4.40 yards per carry and 132 yards per game. It is worth noting that Patrick Peterson is back for the Cardinals this week.

Honorable Mention: David Johnson (Ques.) (ARI) ($7400 FD|$7800)

Mid Tier

NFL DFS Running Back: Mark Ingram (BAL) ($7500 FD|$6600 DK)

Last week we had a slew of mid tier priced RB’s that made lineup construction fairly easy. This week is a different story, I feel more comfortable staying out of the 6k threshold, but Ingram is still a good option. Lamar Jackson and Gus Edwards are always going to be there to eat into Ingram’s workload but he has been so efficient in the red zone that it gives him one of the safest floors. He has found pay dirt two weeks in a row and shouldn’t have a problem this week against the Seahawks who just surrendered 157 yards on the ground against the Browns. Mark Ingram has 87 carries for 424 yards and seven TDs.

NFL DFS Running Back: Josh Jacobs (OAK) ($6700 FD|$5000 DK)

The Green Bay defense has tightened up a bit the last couple of games. They still allow nearly five yards per carry and 124 yards per game on the ground. Josh Jacobs saw a monster workload against a tough Bears defense but still managed 123 yards and two TDs on 26 carries. He has 430 yards on 88 carries and four touchdowns in 2019. Jon Gruden clearly loves using Jacobs and he has a palatable price tag, especially on DK.

Honorable Mention: Tevin Coleman (SFO) ($6200 FD|$5600)

Low Tier & Punt Plays

NFL DFS Running Back: Devin Singletary (BUF) ($5800 FD|$5400 DK)

After going down with a hamstring injury in Week Two, Devin Singletary looks to be back to full health, logging a full practice on Wednesday. He only had ten carries before he went down, but still averaged nearly 11 YPC. He will face the lowly Miami Dolphins who allow over 4.8 YPC and 170 yards per game on the ground.

NFL DFS Running Back: Chase Edmonds (ARI) ($5500 FD|$4700 DK)

I’m listing Chase Edmonds mainly due to the new injury to David Johnson. Just a situation that needs to be monitored. If Edmonds get the nod he is a great cheap option and would be big part of the passing offense. Even though DJ saw 75% of the snaps in Week Six, Edmonds still had 67 all-purpose yards and a TD, easily paying off his cheap tag. Keep him on your radar just in case DJ indeed is out this Sunday.

Honorable Mention (Punt): Matt Breida ($5600 FD|$5300 DK)

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5 years ago 0 comment

NFL

NFL DFS Week Four: Touches and Targets Outlooks

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide NFL DFS touches and targets for the Week Four 12-game main slate. I will break down players into three tiers: High, mid, and low.

High Tier

NFL DFS WR: Julio Jones (ATL) ($8300 FD|$7800 DK)

76% Snap Share. 30 Targets, 19 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Four TDs.

It’s been a different year for Julio Jones in terms of red zone production. He was always the receiver to get a ton of catches and yards but minimal scoring upside just because of how he was used in the red zone in years past. Jones already has half his 2018 TD total (four) through three games. I have a lot of stock invested in him this week and expect a big game.

NFL DFS WR: Keenan Allen (HOU) ($8100 FD|$7600 DK)

94% Snap Share. 42 Targets (36% share), 29 receptions, 14 yards per reception, One TD.

Keenan Allen has been a top fantasy asset the first three weeks this season and he gets an easily exploitable matchup against the tanking Miami Dolphins. Keenan Allen leads all receivers in receptions, total yards, and completed air yards. He averaging the second most FPTS per game through three weeks, averaging 30 per game. Allen once again comes in as a clear cut top fantasy option in Week Four and should be considered in all formats.

NFL DFS TE: Travis Kelce (K.C.) ($7600 FD|$7200 DK)

84% Snap Share. 25 Targets, 17 Receptions, 17 yards per reception, One TDs.

As I’m sure everyone has heard the stat by now, Patrick Mahomes averaged over 495 yards per game and 4.75 TDs through four indoor college games. It seems like a stat that really shouldn’t be considered because we are comparing college and NFL but Mahomes proves week in and week out just how talented he is. Travis Kelce gets a decent size advantage in this weeks matchup and should see plenty of targets. I’m going to overlook Detroit’s blanket coverage against Zach Ertz in Week Three due to all the injuries at the receiver position the Eagles had. K.C. has plenty of weapons to draw attention away from Kelce so he presumably is in a better spot than the Eagles and Ertz were.

NFL DFS RB: Christian McCaffrey (CAR) ($8900 FD|$8700 DK)

100% Snap Share, 21 Targets, 15 Receptions for 132 yards, 59 carries for 318 yards, 6 yards per touch, Three TDs.

It looks like it’s going to be another 28-30 touch day for Christian McCaffrey on Sunday. The Panthers take on the Texans who are allowing over five yards per carry to running backs. Ron Rivera has voiced this week the importance of establishing the run and rolling out a balanced offense. This was the key to Kyle Allen’s success in Week Three vs. the Arizona Cardinals and expect an identical game plan against the Texans.

NFL DFS RB: Austin Ekeler (LAC) ($8100 FD|$8000 DK)

75% Snap Share, 20 Targets, 19 Receptions, 38 carries for 160 yards, 6 yards per touch, Four TDs.

Justin Jackson is out this and week the Chargers are expecting Melvin Gordon to play. I can’t see Gordon coming back this week and hogging a ton of work from Austin Ekeler. I still expect the Chargers to use Ekeler predominantly in his pass catching role and can only see Gordon getting seven to 10 touches on Sunday.

Mid Tier

NFL DFS WR: Cooper Kupp (LAR) ($7000 FD|$6500 DK)

95% Snap Share. 31 Targets, 23 Receptions, 12 yards per reception, Two TDs.

Jared Goff’s favorite receiver, at home, with one of the best matchups on the slate. Goff had 12 more TD passes and over 900 more yards at home compared to on the road in 2018. Cooper Kupp is seeing nearly 30% of all targets come his way, the fifth best in the league.

NFL DFS WR: Sammy Watkins (K.C.) ($6900 FD|$6700 DK)

89% Snap Share. 32 Targets, 20 Receptions, 15 yards per reception, Three TDs.

Outside of Kelce, Sammy Watkins is likely where I will go for a team stack. Watkins is second in the league with 311 receiving yards and is seeing a target share of 28%.

NFL DFS RB: Kerryon Johnson (DET) ($6500 FD|$5400 DK)

62% Snap Share. 48 carries, 126 rushing yards, Two TDs.

It has been a disappointing campaign three weeks in for Kerryon Johnson who is averaging just 2.2 YPC. The Lions will need to establish the run to compliment their balanced passing offense and this is the perfect spot for Johnson to get into rhythm against a Chiefs defense that is allowing runners to average 6.2 YPC.

NFL DFS RB: Leonard Fournette (JAC) ($6400 FD|$6000 DK)

98% Snap Share. 43 carries,179 yards, 14 Receptions, 4.8 yards per touch, Zero TDs.

I know a few people have mentioned Fournette and I am okay with the play in large field tourneys. He just hasn’t impressed like I thought he would this season. If Gardner Minshew is able to maintain what he has been doing it may open up things for Fournette in the run.

NFL DFS WR: Tyler Lockett (SEA) ($6800 FD|$4600 DK)

96% Snap Share. 28 Targets, 22 Receptions, 13 yards per reception, Two TDs.

Tyler Lockett is off to a great start this season. He is averaging 20 FPTS per game and will continue to get a vast majority of looks from Russell Wilson.

NFL DFS WR: Terry McLaurin (WSH) ($6300 FD|$4500 DK)

95% Snap Share. 24 Targets, 16 Receptions, 16 yards per reception, Three TDs.

The Giants are coming in at very high ownership and the Redskins aren’t getting a lot of love. DFS pundits have attacked the Giants defense for three weeks and are suddenly off of them. I like the Redskins receivers as a way a leverage play. The Giants are putrid defending the pass, allowing over 330 yards a game which is the worst in the NFL.

NFL DFS WR: Sterling Shepard (WSH) ($6300 FD|$4500 DK)

100% Snap Share. 16 Targets, 13 Receptions, 10 yards per reception, One TD.

This side of the Giants game will be the some of the biggest chalk on the slate. Understandably so, the Redskins just got torched by a questionable Bears offense at home and are giving up over 450 yards per game. I’m not crazy about eating this Giants chalk after one week of Daniel Jones, but it would be wise to come close to what the field is projecting in terms of ownership.

Low Tier

NFL DFS WR: Larry Fitzgerald (ARI) ($5900 FD|$5600 DK)

100% Snap Share. 31 Targets, 18 Receptions, 14 yards per reception, Two TDs.

NFL DFS WR: Christian Kirk (ARI) ($5100 FD|$5900 DK)

99% Snap Share. 32 Targets, 20 Receptions, 10 yards per reception, Zero TDs.

NFL DFS WR: Paul Richardson Jr. (WSH) ($4700 FD|$3700 DK)

85% Snap Share. 19 Targets, 15 Receptions, 9 yards per reception, Two TDs.

NFL DFS WR: Marvin Jones Jr. (DET) ($5900 FD|$5400 DK)

88% Snap Share. 19 Targets, 15 Receptions, 11 yards per reception, One TDs.

NFL DFS TE: Will Dissly (SEA) ($5400 FD|$3600 DK)

55% Snap Share. 14 Targets, 12 Receptions, 10 yards per reception, Three TDs.

NFL DFS RB: Josh Jacobs (OAK) ($6000 FD|$5100 DK)

53% Snap Share. 45 carries, 220 yards, Two TDs.

NFL DFS RB: Devonta Freeman (ATL) ($5000 FD|$6200 DK)

68% Snap Share. 35 Targets, 129 yards, 9 catches, 62 yards, Zero TDs.

NFL DFS WR: Zach Pascal (IND) ($5400 FD|$4500 DK)

**T.Y. Hilton likely out

45% Snap Share. 3 Targets, 2 Receptions, One TD.

NFL DFS RB: Wayne Gallman Jr. (NYG) ($5800 FD|$4500 DK)

Gallman’s stats aren’t worth mentioning for 2019 because Saquon Barkley gets everything when he is healthy. Expect 15-20 touches for Gallman and a ton of ownership.

NFL DFS WR: Dontrelle Inman (LAC) ($4800 FD|$3000 DK)

44% snap share, 6 Targets, 3 Receptions, zero TDs.

Dontrelle Inman is now in play with Mike Williams and Travis Benjamin out. His snap share and target rate are almost certain to go up with him running in the two slot.

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Kenny Golladay Featured Image via kevind810

5 years ago 0 comment

NFL

NFL DFS: Week Three MNF Showdown Guide and Podcast

Daniel Wehr 5 years ago

written by Daniel Wehr

This report will provide plays for the NFL DFS Monday Night Football slate. I will break down the top fantasy players to consider.

PODCAST: Learning from the Big Winners and MNF Showdown with The King and Dan Wehr

Chicago Bears vs. Washington Redskins

O/U: 41.5 (CHI -4.5)

The Chicago Bears travel to Landover, MD to take on the Washington Redskins. Jonathan Allen will be rejoining the Redskins defense after going down with a knee injury in Week One. The Redskins defense has been picked apart their first two weeks, surrendering an average of 455 yards per game with 168 yards of that being on the ground. Carson Wentz and Dak Prescott were both in tune with hitting their short and intermediate passes against the Redskins and allowed them to take deep shots downfield.

I do not believe tonight is the night for a Bears offensive outbreak, but I think Trubisky is in a better spot than he was in Weeks One and Two. The Redskins defense has only 20 QB pressures and two sacks and even with Jonathan Allen back, he is not 100% and I question his effectiveness in the pass rush. The Bears have struggled with offensive play calling with 42% of all passes going to the RB position. I believe NFL defenses have figured out Matt Nagy’s offensive system. He vowed earlier in the year to not use Tarik Cohen as he did last year, but this still remains to be seen.

Cohen has a 60% snap share and 15 receptions in 2019 compared to his 50% snap share in 2018. This is why I believe the intermediate passes are so crucial in tonight’s game. If the Bears can get away from the predictable dump off passes to their running backs and utilize the talent they have at receiver they should see better game flow and ultimately more scoring.

NFL DFS: DraftKings Approach

NFL DFS Captain:

Allen Robinson ($14,700), Mitch Trubisky ($15,600), Bears DST ($9,300), and Tarik Cohen ($10,200).

NFL DFS Flex:

Mitch Trubisky ($10,400), David Montgomery ($9,400), Bears DST ($1,600), Taylor Gabriel ($4,400), Trey Burton ($6,000), Terry McLaurin ($8,600), Chris Thompson ($7,400), Tarik Cohen ($6,800), Paul Richardson Jr. ($5,000)

My favorite approach on Draftkings is Allen Robinson at the Captain spot and pairing him up with Mitch Trubisky in the flex. I will have minimal Redskins in my single entry lineup.

NFL DFS: FanDuel Approach

NFL DFS MVP:

Mitch Trubisky ($14,500), Allen Robinson ($13,000), David Montgomery ($12,500), and Tarik Cohen ($9,500).

NFL DFS Flex:

(All plays at MVP can be used in flex) Taylor Gabriel ($6,500), Trey Burton ($6,000), Terry McLaurin ($13,500), Paul Richarson Jr. ($8000), Dustin Hopkins ($9,500).

My favorite approach on Fanduel is Mitch Trubisky at the MVP spot and pairing him up with Allen Robinson in the flex.

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5 years ago 0 comment

NFL

DFS: Week Three Final Injury Report with Medical Analysis

5 years ago

written by

Nothing is more frustrating than setting the perfect lineup but getting crushed by something unpredictable such as player injuries. I was personally victimized by this random occurrence in Week Two, and I’m sure you were as well. However, you are a resilient DFS player, and you are clearly ready to absorb the the Week Three Final Injury Report.

A reminder that any player I fade is almost completely from an injury perspective and I’ve come to terms that if I leave said player out of my lineup, I can live with it.

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James Conner

Conner told us early in the week that he was going to be available for Week Three, and his teammates backed him on the idea. He had an MRI early this week that came back clean to go with this self-analysis, and any time those two things match up, start a player with no worries. Conner is good to go on the injury front.

LeSean McCoy

McCoy had an MRI on his ankle early in the week that came back “clear” which means very little considering he did not practice the very next day. Shady and Conner are on completely opposite ends of the spectrum and serve as perfect examples to illustrate why MRI and imaging does not give us the full picture. McCoy was obviously still dealing with significant pain despite participating in practice on Friday. He may be in for a limited workload.

Marlon Mack

Mack suffered a calf injury some time this week and did not practice until Friday. There were actually some reports of him carrying a walking boot around the practice facility. Couple that with the fact that Jordan Wilkins is likely a big part of the game plan this week, and it is made worse by the fact that healthy calves are crucial for planting and sprinting. That leads to a Marlon Mack fade.

Josh Jacobs

Jacobs admitted to recently losing up to 10 pounds due to illness, not even taking into consideration a groin injury that limited him in practice all week. With his body more than likely still recovering systemically and from an injury perspective that is enough to scare me off before even looking at the tough matchup with Minnesota.

Alshon Jeffery

To save you (and myself) the headache, I’m fading Jeffery due to conflicting reports and a calf injury that seems to be lingering.

Mike Williams

We never cleared up the injury that plagued Mike Williams in Week Two, but in Week Three put him into lineups with the confidence from a week of full practice participation.

Greg Olsen

The last time I wrote about Olsen I faded him due to the short turnaround and the fact that he’s 34 with a back injury. It turns out that despite his massive 100+ receiving yard game, he was clearly limited and not “good to go” as he was telling reporters prior to Week Two. Well, here we are again, and I’m recommending to fade him. The difference is that if you decide to slide him into a tournament lineup this week against the Cardinals “defense” I wouldn’t hold it against you. The guy can clearly play when he’s less than 100%.

Everybody else

The following players have been ruled out as of Friday evening: Damien Williams, DeSean Jackson, Michael Gallup, and Devin Singletary.

We hope you find the Week Three Final Injury Report helpful. Be on the lookout for the Two-Minute Drill injury Report on Sunday morning. Good luck!

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Image via Jeffrey Beall.

5 years ago 0 comment

NFL

NFL DFS: Week Two Monday Night Football Showdown Guide

Daniel Wehr 5 years ago

written by Daniel Wehr

This report will provide plays for the NFL DFS Monday Night Football slate. I will break down the top fantasy players to consider.

Cleveland Browns vs. New York Jets

O/U: 45.5 (CLE -2.5)

After a disappointing Week One home opener against the Titans, the Browns look to rebound on the road against the New York Jets who will be without quarterback Sam Darnold due to illness. The Browns allowed 125 yards on the ground and 248 through the air in Week One. The Titans showed us how ineffective Baker Mayfield can be if defenses are able to pressure him and force him to make throws he normally wouldn’t.

I cannot see the Jets replicating what the Titans did. C.J. Mosley has already been ruled out for tonight’s game and that leaves a gaping hole in the middle of the Jets run defense and pass rush. Le’Veon Bell is also questionable with a shoulder injury, but media outlets suggest he should play tonight. Assuming he plays, I have to imagine he will carry a ton of usage as the Jets do not have a lot of offensive talent outside of Bell. If the Browns can execute their game plan and contain Bell the Jets offense could be in for a long night It is worth noting that Demaryius Thomas and Trevor Siemian played together in Denver. Thomas is also listed as questionable, and he definitely isn’t the same player he was in 2017.

NFL DFS: DraftKings Approach

One of the key differences between DK and FD is the salary is 1.5 times more expensive at the Captain position on DK. I will provide some core options at both Captain and Flex positions.

My main approach with single games is game scripting. It takes out a lot out of the guesswork and gives you a foundation when building your lineups. In tonight’s matchup we have a 45.5 O/U with the Browns being favored by -2.5 points. Suggested low scoring on both sides and a close spread almost always puts kickers into play for me. All players in consideration at the Captain position can also be used in the Flex player pool.

Captain: Nick Chubb ($15,000), Le’veon Bell ($17,400), Odell Beckham Jr. ($17,700), and Jarvis Landry ($13,500).

Flex: Austin Seibert ($3400), Sam Ficken ($3200), Ty Montgomery ($1600), David Njoku ($5800), Jamison Crowder ($8000), Robbie Anderson ($7000), Demaryius Thomas ($3800), and Trevor Siemian ($8200)

NFL DFS: FanDuel Approach

FanDuel does not hit us with a salary penalty for their MVP spot so we can choose the player who we believe can score the most raw points at that slot. All players in consideration at the MVP position can also be used in the Flex player pool.

MVP: Nick Chubb ($13,000), Baker Mayfield ($15,000), Le’veon Bell ($15,500), Odell Beckham Jr. ($14,000)

Flex: Trevor Siemian ($12,500), Demaryius Thomas ($6500), Jarvis Landry ($12,500), Austin Seibert ($8,500), Sam Ficken ($9,000), David Njoku ($10,500), and Jamison Crowder ($12,000).

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5 years ago 0 comment

NFL

NFL DFS: Week One Monday Night Football Breakdown and Podcast

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide plays for the NFL DFS Monday Night Football slate. I will break down changes each team has made during the off-season and provide recommended plays for each game.

MNF DFS Podcast with the King and Dan Wehr: Listen Below

Houston Texas vs. New Orleans Saints

O/U: 51.5 (NOS -6.5)

NFL DFS Team: Houston Texans

The Texans were one of the best rushing teams in the league last season according to team rankings, averaging 125 yards per game. They’ve added a few pieces here in the offseason through the draft, specifically at their weakest positon, left tackle (Laremy Tunsil). The Texans fell to the middle of the pack in terms of passing efficiency last season and I think injuries to Will Fuller, Deshaun Watson, and ineffective running by Lamar Miller were big contributors.

Watson took more hits than any QB in the league in 2018 so it was clear where they needed to make a change. By adding bulldog running back Duke Johnson and solidifying their offensive line they have a well rounded offense that can excel in the passing game if they can give Watson the time he needs to throw against a so-so New Orleans secondary (266 YPG allowed in 2018).

NFL DFS Team: New Orleans Saints

The Saints are coming fresh off of a heartbreak loss in the postseason after a much criticized no call on an obvious pass interference call against the Rams. I have to imagine this team comes in firing on all cylinders with aspirations of getting back into the postseason as a top seeded team. They lost a few pieces in the offseason, Mark Ingram being one of the biggest in free agency. The Saints replaced him with journeyman RB Latavius Murray, who should see a good bit of work in the red zone.

The Saints were a Top 10 team in terms of rushing and passing offense in 2018 and I don’t expect much to change this season. With no Ingram and Murray handling some of the workload, I still expect Alvin Kamara to see a massive snap share and should be considered on a week to week basis. Let’s not forget about sure handed receiver Michael Thomas, who reeled in 95% of catchable balls thrown his way. The Saints have lost the last five of their season openers.

NFL DFS Plays to consider:

Michael Thomas WR ($8500 FD|$7800 DK)
Deandre Hopkins WR ($9000 FD|$8000 DK)
Will Fuller WR ($6100 FD|$5300 DK)
Duke Johnson Jr. RB ($6500 FD|$6000 DK)
Alvin Kamra RB ($9000 FD|$8500 DK)
(Punt Play) Latavius Murray ($6000 FD|$4100 DK)
Deshaun Watson QB ($8600 FD|$6800 DK)
(Punt play) Kenny Stills WR ($5200 FD|$3900 FD)
(Punt Play) Tedd Ginn Jr. WR ($5000 FD|$4100 DK)

Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders

O/U: 43.5 (DEN -2)

NFL DFS Team: Denver Broncos

The Broncos have struggled with finding a QB since the departure of Peyton Manning and turn to the services of Joe Flacco for the 2019 season. Flacco, once an MVP caliber QB for the Ravens, has struggled to find consistent footing in the offense since his miraculous run in the 2012 postseason. There was a lot of praise for Flacco out of Broncos off-season camps, citing his ability to read the defense and vertically stretch the field (but we already knew that). Philip Lindsay is coming off of surgery but is at full health. Royce Freeman is also back to 100% health and saw a majority of the action in the preseason with Lindsay in recovery. I believe we see a more balanced snap share in the back field between the two this season and I tend favor Freeman in this first game just due to the fact that Lindsay did not see a lot of work and should be eased back into the offense.

Not much should change for the Denver defense, they still have that formidable defensive line and a solid core of LBs to complement them, although they still allowed 120 rushing yards per game last season. The Broncos also added much needed versatility to their secondary, one of the weakest spots in their defense last year. They allowed 245 yards per game through the air on average last season.

NFL DFS Team: Oakland Raiders

What a disastrous last few weeks for the Raiders. With the untimely departure of Antonio Brown it leaves a huge hole in one of their weakest positions on offense. The only receiver worth noting on this offense, Tyrell Williams, draws a tough matchup against Isaac Yiadom. One noteworthy change to the Raiders is their improvement at the offensive line positions.

The defense isn’t very appealing and tried to make up for their woes through the 2019 draft. The defensive performance will be determined by their rookie draft picks (Two edge rushers, and one safety in the first two rounds). If these guys can plug and play I think the Raiders could have a bright spot on the defense. Another player to keep an eye on for the Raiders is highly touted rookie RB Josh Jacobs. He comes into tonight’s slate as a top value play and although the Raiders are not a run first offense, I believe they turn to Jacobs to pick up the slack on offense.

NFL DFS Plays to consider

Joe Flacco QB ($7000 FD|$5100 DK)
Josh Jacobs RB ($6800 FD|$5000 DK)
Royce Freeman RB ($5900 FD|$4300 DK)
Emmanuel Sanders WR ($5700 FD|$5500 DK)
Darren Waller TE ($5400 FD|$3400 DK)
Courtland Sutton WR ($4900 FD|$4500 DK)

Defense

Flip a coin between the Raiders or Broncos. I favor the Broncos just due to all the questions surrounding the offense right now.

Denver Broncos DST ($4800 FD|$3500 DK)
Oakland Raiders DST ($3800 FD|$2300 DK)

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5 years ago 0 comment

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