GPP

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DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Rory McIlroy ($10,500) – My initial lean on Monday was to exclude Rory McIlroy from my player pool, but with Justin Thomas’ ownership surging and the reduction in price that we do have with the entire top section of the board, I will pivot over to the Irishman – who likely will go off as one of the five highest owned golfers on the slate. To me, this is a spot where being neutral to McIlroy is my preferred choice versus trying to get overweight since my model doesn’t necessarily love his profile from top-to-bottom, but the total driving and par-five scoring might be enough for him to tear this venue apart.

Jon Rahm ($10,300)  – Jon Rahm flashed the form we had become accustomed to for years at the St. Jude – gaining eight strokes with his ball-striking, and while the short game has been problematic for far too long this season, we see the Spaniard’s baseline putting increase from 31st in this field when given a random track to 13th on Bent. If the putter is actually heating up, I wouldn’t be surprised if the former top-ranked player in the world walks out of the BMW Championship victorious.

Other Thoughts – Justin Thomas ($10,100) – At the end of the day, it just came down to McIlroy and Thomas being too close in ownership to ignore the rest of the intangibles. I do like how Thomas sets up for the track, but there were options I preferred over him when push came to shove.

$9,000 Range

Scottie Scheffler ($9,800) – Is Scottie Scheffler’s inability to putt recently ideal? Of course not. But I am more focused on this $9,800 price tag that is baking in many of those concerns upfront. The number one player in the world has the exact makeup I am looking for in a golfer that can use his distance to hit it into wide-open areas of the rough and then find success out of the thicker stuff with his irons – a category where he ranks second in the field when I recalculated the information.

Xander Schauffele ($9,600) – The ownership is steadily rising, which means he isn’t as great of a play Wednesday afternoon as he was on Monday morning, but he is one of the safer golfers for cash because of the no-cut nature and recent form, and he is also in GPP consideration since he would need to be pushing around 18% to be classified as a ‘negative value’ in my model. I am not going massively overweight, but he will be in my pool.

Viktor Hovland ($9,200) – I am looking for golfers that have a potential recipe that can enter the mix if certain facets of their games get hot, and Viktor Hovland brings both the total driving and iron proximity to the table if we see this track play into the 20-under par range.

Sungjae Im ($9,100) – It is worth noting that Sungjae Im is a favorite over Collin Morikawa at a few sharper books in the space, and while my model doesn’t necessarily see a massive difference between the two parties, it does view him as a golfer that is trending in the right direction from both a ball-striking and a results perspective.

Other Thoughts: Matthew Fitzpatrick ($9,500) did make my official player pool. The ownership is low enough to take a shot, and even if my model struggles to find his upside during most weeks, the floor is there on a player I am clearly too low on from a statistical perspective. I still can’t figure out how Fitzpatrick produces weekly, but he does always seem to find success.

$8,000 Range

Cameron Young ($8,900) – I thought this situation was extremely similar to what we saw with Will Zalatoris last week. Sure, I don’t love that the public is all over a golfer with actual red flags if we want to get nitpicky, but I will trust my model, which places Young first overall.

Shane Lowry ($8,700) – The recent form is trending in the wrong direction, but I cannot ignore the first-place total in weighted tee-to-green. Similar to what I am doing with Jordan Spieth, I am taking a shot on Lowry’s potential.

Corey Conners ($8,300) – I can’t say the overhaul of Corey Conners plays from me haven’t been working, but I also can’t declare anyone has been overly impressed by his 28th, 21st and 28th place finishes, respectively. I believe Conners busts through at some point with a top-10 showing because the stats look too strong across the board, and the venue does seem strong for him, especially since he has been such a robust Bentgrass performer in the past.

Other Thoughts: Jordan Spieth ($8,800) – Stixpicks has talked me into playing Jordan Spieth.

$7,000 Range

Russell Henley ($7,800) – It has been settled. Russell Henley might be the worst putter on tour. I don’t know when and how that happened because there was a time that I once trusted him with a flat stick in his hand, but since everyone knows that about him at this point, it is providing us an opening to roster the American at sub-10 percent. I do like how Henley tends to spike when he gains strokes with the putter, so let’s hope for the best there and trust the ball-striking metrics that help rank him fifth in weighted tee-to-green expectation.

Davis Riley ($7,500) – Riley ranks 14th in this field for birdie or better percentage, and he also propels to seventh overall in weighted total driving – thanks to his combination of distance and accuracy off the tee.

Keith Mitchell ($7,400) – My numbers were neutral on Mitchell, but when I added in some of the totals from the sharper books into my mix, it did propel him into a playable option in all markets.

Taylor Pendrith ($7,400) – Taylor Pendrith -110 over J.T. Poston was one of my bigger head-to-head plays of the week in the betting market.

Keegan Bradley ($7,200) – The long-term metrics outweigh this recent downswing that we have seen from Bradley.

Additional Thoughts: You can view my model for additional thoughts!

$6,000 Range

Harold Varner III $6,900, Emiliano Grillo $6,600, Wyndham Clark $6,500, Sebastian Munoz $6,500, Alex Smalley $6,100, Luke List $6,000

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DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Rory McIlroy ($11,000)  – We will see where lineups end up going with how I want to allocate ownership in certain spots, but Rory McIlroy is one of three golfers up top that I want to find a way to back this week on DraftKings. The Irishman enters the contest having produced five straight top-19 finishes since the Memorial a few months back, and while I do have some concerns with how the putting splits will transfer over to Bermuda since it has historically been his worst surface, we have seen players win this title in the past by excelling with their ball-striking and losing strokes on the greens.

Scottie Scheffler ($10,800)  – I think Scheffler wins this event because of his ball-striking and ability to scramble from out of the rough. That is a combination that is going to suit TPC Southwind perfectly.

Patrick Cantlay ($10,300) – It will be hard to play more than three options up top for me with how aggressively I want to get to Scottie Scheffler, but it was a tough decision between Cantlay and Xander. I decided to roll with Cantlay because I do believe it will create slightly more leverage than the current ownership is inferring, but there wasn’t much of an edge either way. 

Other Thoughts – I am completely out on Justin Thomas and Cameron Smith.

$9,000 Range

Will Zalatoris ($9,500) – Zalatoris and Scheffler will be the two golfers that will push 40%+ for me in my builds.

Jordan Spieth ($9,100) – Spieth’s increase on Bermuda is notable with the flat stick, gaining the second-most of anyone in this field in his expected output.

Viktor Hovland ($9,000) – I wasn’t planning on backing Viktor Hovland this week, but if I believe there is general ease in getting up and down from off the green, Hovland is one of the top candidates to receive a boost in production. The volatility is there for him to miss the cut, but I don’t see much difference between him and Morikawa from an upside perspective.

Other Thoughts: As always seems to be the case with Fitzpatrick, he never quite makes my player pool when push comes to shove, and I decided to go overly aggressive on Zalatoris, which meant Finau was left on the side. It is hard to find much about Tony to dislike if we remove his ownrship.

$8,000 Range

Collin Morikawa ($8,700) -Morikawa ranks first in my model for good drive percentage on difficult-to-hit fairways, and he is also sixth in weighted proximity.

Sungjae Im ($8,500) – The long-term metrics show a correctly priced golfer, but the more recent stuff is pushing Sungjae Im into this zone that places him as a top-five fit for TPC Southwind. As everyone knows by now, I prefer the long-term metrics, but the Bermuda upgrade that Sungjae will receive + the numbers firing on all cylinders does have me drinking the Kool-Aid that there is a chance he walks out of Memphis with his blue suede shoes.

Shane Lowry ($8,300) – The offshore market doesn’t seem to care much for Shane Lowry, but it is hard to ignore his top-10 totals for weighted proximity, ball-striking, weighted par-four scoring and weighted tee-to-green.

Other Thoughts: I can’t take the chalk in every situation, so I will find myself lower on Joohyung Kim and Sam Burns than consensus.

$7,000 Range

Corey Conners ($7,600) – Conners is a perfect stylistic fit for TPC Southwind, as he ranks inside the top-10 in this field for good drive % on difficult-to-hit fairways, GIR percentage, ball striking and strokes gained off the tee. 

Adam Scott ($7,500) – A GPP leverage target, Scott grades as one of the better pivots, even if he is correctly priced.

Keegan Bradley ($7,500) – If you only look at Keegan Bradley from a statistical sense, he is one of the better values in the field. Sure, the form and course history does matter, but he is worth a flier in GPP contests.

Harold Varner III ($7,400) – Nobody burns me as frequently as Harold Varner III. I’d be cautious in my exposure.

Adam Hadwin ($7,300) – I don’t know what the upside is for the week, but I do like the leverage.

Brian Harman ($7,200) – A 71st-place showing has made everyone jump off of Brian Harman, who is just a week removed from being the sharpest play on the board at the Wyndham.

Additional Thoughts: You can view my model for additional thoughts!

$6,000 Range

Rickie Fowler $6,400, Mark Hubbard $6,900, Lucas Glover $6,300, Matthew NeSmith $6,500, Stewart Cink $6,600, Lee Hodges $6,400, Russell Knox $6,500, C.T. Pan $6,400 – I tried to list as many options as I could to go with a Scheffler/Zalatoris stack. Some of the routes are safer than others.

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DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Patrick Cantlay ($10,700)  – Cantlay ranks first in the field for par-five birdie or better percentage and is also the top golfer for overall birdie or better. With over 40 players an event reaching double-digit totals, expect the American to use that strength to his advantage, and he also grades as the fourth-rated putter in this field to mimic the track.

Will Zalatoris ($10,400) – Is a birdie fest the best venue for Will Zalatoris? Maybe not. But the American does grade as the top player in the field for expected opportunities created, which means if the putter can be marginally above his baseline expectation, there is a chance he runs away with the title. I am willing to bet on that upside at a reduced ownership percentage.

Other Considerations – I have no issues going back to Tony Finau at ($10,600), although I am out on Cameron Young.

$9,000 Range

Max Homa ($9,900) – Homa’s ability to create opportunities and make the putts places him third in this field – not to mention the par-five scoring is also inside the top-15.

Cameron Davis ($9,700) – I don’t care for the ownership, but I love the statistical profile. Davis has a legit chance to compete on the first page of the leaderboard again.

Other Targets: Adam Scott ($9,300)

$8,000 Range

Adam Hadwin ($8,400) – I am always interested in golfers at sub-10 percent ownership who possess top-10 equity in the $8,000 range.

Webb Simpson ($8,300) – Just consider me a broken record at this point. Simpson’s statistical makeup is too good to continue this poor run. The breakout will happen before long.

Other Thoughts: Russell Henley ($8,200) – GPP-Only. Mark Hubbard ($8,000).

$7,000 Range

Si Woo Kim ($7,900) – Kim is always intriguing when he is trending around five percent because of his upside. You would be taking a shot on some of the unknown, but we have gotten extremely positive returns in the past when doing that with him.

Chris Kirk ($7,800) – The offshore market loves Chris Kirk.

Joohyung Kim ($7,600) – The price remains similar from last week’s 3M Open, but the ownership will be cut in half.

C.T. Pan ($7,300) – The ball-striking has started to pick up for Pan, who has gained with his irons in 10 of his last 12 and off the tee in seven of nine. 

Rickie Fowler ($7,300) – Fowler graded as a positive value in all iterations of my model.

Michael Gligic ($7,000) – There are some concerns with how the long-term metrics compare to the recent form for Gligic, which always means the ground underneath him could sink at any moment, but his top-40 statistical rank over a two-year sample size is good enough for me to trust that the floor is higher than you might expect. 

Austin Smotherman ($7,000) – Smotherman improves 26 spots in expected putting on this particular green complex – something that could help since he is one of the best ball-strikers in the field. 

Additional Thoughts: Chris Gotterup ($7,400) – I have no issues with the ownership. You will have to make a decision on how aggressive you want to get. Stewart Cink ($7,100)

$6,000 Range

Lucas Glover $6,900, John Huh $6,800, Kelly Kraft $6,700, Matt Wallace $6,700, Justin Lower $6,600, Andrew Novak $6,400, Aaron Baddeley $6,200, Seung-Yul Noh $6,000

*** Noh is my favorite dart throw on the board

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There is no Bettor Golf Podcast this week, but here is the link to the PGA DraftCast.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Sungjae Im ($10,000)  – You can’t go wrong with anyone in this range, but Sungjae Im would be my preferred choice since I think we ultimately receive the lowest ownership on him. Sometimes it is just a numbers game when there are only seven players priced above $9,000, but there is a reason all three golfers in this section rank inside the top three of my model for upside.

Other Considerations – Tony Finau $10,500, Hideki Matsuyama $10,300

$9,000 Range

Maverick McNealy ($9,300) – Bentgrass courses that allow birdie-making opportunities has always been where McNealy has thrived, and the pieces feel like they might finally be coming together for him to spring his first victory on the PGA Tour.

Other Targets: I am okay with the idea of finding myself underweight to everyone else. A start of McNealy as your first man in or one of the big-three + McNealy is my ideal roster construction at the 3M.

$8,000 Range

Cameron Tringale ($8,800) – Cameron Tringale feels like one of the better pivots on the board because of his reduction in ownership compared to the rest of the range.

Martin Laird ($8,200) – My intrigue around Laird is coming because of his inflated price tag that has reduced his ownership percentage.

Other Thoughts: Cameron Davis ($8,900) – I don’t love the ownership, but there are ways to be aggressive playing him.

$7,000 Range

Ryan Palmer($7,900) – Palmer ranks sixth in my model at TPC courses and is also second on short par-fours – a range he will get five times at some of the more accessible locations at the track.

Emiliano Grillo ($7,600) – The stats always look better than the finishes, but it is a venue like TPC Twin Cities that could allow Grillo to shine.

Austin Smotherman ($7,400) – Smotherman is the number one ball-striker in my model when I recalculated the metrics to mimic the course.

Troy Merritt ($7,400) – The hometown narrative is starting to catch some steam, which I could do without, but the upside metrics are percolating through the page.

Joohyung Kim ($7,300) – Kim is 28/1 to win the event. That has to count for something when every other golfer priced next to him is between 80-100/1.

Danny Lee ($7,200) – Lee is always a bad shot away from potentially withdrawing, but sub-five percent is low enough to bet on the upside.

Tyler Duncan ($7,100) – Duncan grades inside the top-10 of this field in weighted ball-striking and weighted par-four scoring.

Tom Hoge ($7,100) – The classic case of recent form versus long-term metrics. I don’t love the current ownership projection, but Hoge’s upside is probably higher than anyone else in this section if the pieces do come together.

Callum Tarren ($7,000) – Tarren is top-25 in this field for birdie or better and opportunities gained, and the recent putting surge puts him in a position where he only needs a few pieces to come together to land a top-end result. 

Nate Lashley ($7,000) – Lashley ranks first in my model for par-four scoring in this field.

Joseph Bramlett ($7,000) – There is little to no floor for Bramlett, but the potential is there for a golfer that will struggle to exceed two or three percent in popularity

Additional Thoughts: You can use my model to find any plays you might like. This section is massive.

$6,000 Range

Justin Lower $6,900, Satoshi Kodaira $6,700, Kevin Chappell $6,600, Jim Knous $6,500, Seung Yul Noh $6,300

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Here are the links to my shows this week. PGA DraftCast & Bettor Golf Podcast.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Rory McIlroy ($11,100)  – Rory McIlroy has averaged 8.26 shots with his ball-striking over his past five tournaments and enters the week as the second-ranked golfer in my model for weighted current form over the last 10 weeks. As you might expect, Xander Schauffele tops that list.

Other Considerations –  Scottie Scheffler ($11,000) – We have multiple routes we can go when trying to get contrarian, but I will pinpoint in on Scottie Scheffler as my preferred target when trying to get unique up top. We are seeing Jon Rahm grade as the top non-Rory golfer on the board at most offshore shops, but I will trust my numbers with both being extremely close. It is worth noting that Spieth is a massive dog to most competitors.

$9,000 Range

Xander Schauffele ($9,900) – If pricing had come out after the Scottish Open, I don’t think it is outlandish to say Schauffele could have been the second man on the salary scale.

Patrick Cantlay ($9,400) –  The perception of bad form in majors tends to hurt Patrick Cantlay in these spots when it comes to his price and ownership. Thankfully for us, those are beneficial things we can take advantage of from a DFS perspective, and there aren’t too many better values you will find on the board at his projected 10% going rate.

Dustin Johnson ($9,200) – The high-end metrics from Dustin Johnson are phenomenal, as we see him rank first in weighted tee-to-green, fourth in par-four scoring, second in total driving and fourth in weighted proximity

Other Targets: Cameron Smith ($9,500) is in play for GPPs.

$8,000 Range

Tommy Fleetwood ($8,600) – Offshore markets love Tommy Fleetwood, and he is one only four players in the $8,000 range to grade as a positive value for me compared to his price. My next mention would be the other top-end choice, but the reduction we get in ownership from Fleetwood to Finau probably makes him a better DFS target when directly comparing. For what it is worth, Fleetwood is a marginal favorite over Dustin Johnson in head-to-head matchups.

Tony Finau ($8,400) – Finau will likely be one of the two or three highest owned players, but the price is right, and the safety should be there after he has provided five top-27 finishes at the Open during his last five attempts.

Other Thoughts: Sungjae Im ($8,300) – Nothing but a GPP contrarian dart throw.

$7,000 Range

Adam Scott ($7,700) – Scott’s ability to putt from off the surface should generate a massive boost in potential. Offshore markets are not in love with him when looking directly at head-to-head battles, but the outright totals have been ticking in the sharp direction.

Webb Simpson ($7,600) – I maintain my belief that the results for Webb Simpson. The American ranks 10th in this field when it comes to three-putt avoidance on these slow, systematic tests, and we also get top-five outputs in windy conditions and my reweighed par-four scoring.

Tiger Woods ($7,500) – The days where Tiger Woods can win at a standard Par 72 probably are long behind us, but these quirky tests that enhance par-four scoring and reduce par-five performances can still be conducive for him to find success. 

Paul Casey ($7,500) – Enjoy the best minute splice of PGA DraftCast history.

Russell Henley ($7,200) – If Augusta is a comp course to St. Andrews, Henley should be right at home. The weighted proximity places him inside the top-10 of this field, and the driving accuracy should create extra rollout.

Thomas Pieters ($7,200) – Distance + short iron play was not a category that I merged together, but Pieters graded 12th in this field from those two factors.

Additional Thoughts: Marc Leishman ($7,700), Abraham Ancer ($7,600), Sergio Garcia ($7,400), Gary Woodland ($7,100)

$6,000 Range

Keith Mitchell ($6,900), Kevin Kisner ($6,900), Stewart Cink ($6,800), Guido Migliozzi ($6,800), Mackenzie Hughes ($6,800), Erik Van Rooyen ($6,700), Garrick Higgo ($6,700), Wyndham Clark ($6,600), Phil Mickelson ($6,600), Zach Johnson ($6,500), Keita Nakajima ($6,200)

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Here are the links to my shows this week. PGA DraftCast & Bettor Golf Podcast

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Jon Rahm ($11,000)  – Rahm leads the field when it comes to GIR percentage, total driving and strokes gained in the wind and is one of only two players in the 10k range to grade as a positive value against ownership (Scheffler is the other).

Other Considerations –  Scottie Scheffler ($11,200) – I don’t think you can go wrong with Scheffler, Rahm or Thomas, although Thomas does have the most volatility and highest ownership from the trio. For that reason, Rahm and Scheffler are my preferred targets.

$9,000 Range

Xander Schauffele ($9,900) – Decisions will have to be made in GPP contests, but Xander Schauffele might be the safest player on the board.

Will Zalatoris ($9,300) –  Rumors are that the course is going to play more challenging than usual, which is perfect for a golfer like Will Zalatoris

Hideki Matsuyama ($9,000) – Matsuyama ranks top-five in ball-striking and is also the best leverage option I have of any golfer $9,000 or higher.

Other Targets: Sam Burns ($9,200), Cam Smith ($9,100) are both in play for GPPs.

$8,000 Range

Sungjae Im ($8,700) – The ownership is not matching Sungjae Im’s potential. I’ll take the leverage that is presenting itself.

Other Thoughts: I will have Joaquin Niemann ($8,600) and Corey Conners ($8,300) in the player pool, but I am out on most other targets in this territory when talking about GPP builds.

$7,000 Range

Justin Rose ($7,900) – I’ve lessened some on my appeal for Justin Rose as the week has gone on, but the upside is there, and the ownership looks great.

Brian Harman ($7,700) – Harman is one of the better values on the board and should provide safety for the price.

Marc Leishman ($7,600) – GPP-only. Super volatile. I wouldn’t play him for more than six or seven percent if mass-entering builds.

Chris Kirk ($7,400) – Kirk has gained with his driver in 15 consecutive starts

Gary Woodland ($7,300) – Woodland is quickly becoming one of my favorite targets on the board.

Jason Kokrak ($7,300) – Like Marc Leishman, consider this a volatile pick that does have top-10 equity. If choosing between the two, I prefer Kokrak.

Luke List ($7,200) – List gained over 13 shots ball-striking during his past start. The slower greens might help his usually poor putting stroke.

Additional Thoughts: Keith Mitchell ($7,800), Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($7,500), Aaron Rai ($7,400), Maverick McNealy ($7,400), Cameron Tringale ($7,200), Harris English ($7,100), Si Woo Kim ($7,100)

$6,000 Range

Matt Wallace ($6,700), Alex Smalley ($6,600), Wyndham Clark ($6,500), Garrick Higgo ($6,500), Guido Migliozzi ($6,300)

If you haven’t already, follow Win Daily Sports on YouTube and via Apple Podcasts. We’re already hitting big with our NFL content and you are going to want to be a part of that. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late-breaking news and weather reports.

Here are the links to my shows this week. PGA DraftCast & Bettor Golf Podcast

I am going to rapid-fire through all the picks this week.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Scottie Scheffler ($11,200)  – I thought Scott Holdridge said it eloquently tonight on the PGA DraftCast show. I am paraphrasing, but “everyone is worried about numbers and stats, but at some point, you have to worry more about win equity.” There is nobody in the world in better form than the American, and we know he can roll that form over from start to start after his utter domination of the tour in 2022.

Patrick Cantlay ($10,200)  – Patrick Cantlay is the top-ranked player on my model for upside, and he carries an average weight in the statistical category that places him as high as anyone I have seen this year. I didn’t have him lower than eighth in the seven categories I ran, and he was either first, second or third seven of those times. We know the course history has been impressive, with four consecutive top-15 finishes, and the form is starting to come around after producing back-to-back top-14 showings at the U.S. Open and Memorial.

Other Considerations –  Rory McIlroy ($11,000) – I have no issues riding the form. Xander Schauffele ($10,000) – Schauffele will be the top leverage play of the group, although everyone is rather close to one another.

$9,000 Range

Tommy Fleetwood ($9,200) – We are looking at one finish inside the top-15 for Tommy Fleetwood during his single attempt at TPC River Highlands, but I don’t see why we shouldn’t expect a similar outcome again. Fleetwood’s third-place ranking for safety happens to push him up further on my GPP list because of his sub-10 percent mark, and the Englishman grades inside the top 15 for both TPC tracks and Pete Dye layouts. 

Harold Varner III ($9,000) –  I’ve used this example a handful of times, but Stixpicks noticed a trend in Varner’s game that he produces better on shorter tests where he can club down than the driver-friendly layouts where you can bomb away. I don’t know why that is, but sub-7,000 yards is an ideal yardage total for that theory to get tested once again. 

Other Targets: Joaquin Niemann ($9,600) – More of a cash-game play for me. Sungjae Im ($9,700) – Feels like a quality bounce-back spot.

$8,000 Range

Webb Simpson ($8,500) – I will keep all three of these players to a quick rundown because you can hear me talk about them in an in-depth fashion on any of my shows, but Simpson ranks second in this field (behind only Patrick Cantlay) when combining strokes gained at short courses, TPC properties and Dye tracks.

Marc Leishman ($8,400) – Seven top-39 finishes out his last nine attempts for Marc Leishman at TPC River Highlands, including a win in 2012.

Jason Day ($8,100) – I am usually the ‘Boy Who Cried DAYYYYYYYYY’ every week, but my model does happen to like him in Connecticut – evident by his top-10 ranking from an overall sense. Unlike the usual fake hype, this one is real.

Other Thoughts: Aaron Wise -105 over Davis Riley is a play of mine on DraftKings. I also faded Denny McCarthy by taking Brendan Steele over him at -115.

$7,000 Range

Brendan Steele ($7,700) – Steele is going to be popular, but I am leaning towards him being good chalk for a test where he can use his driver as an advantage.

Si Woo Kim ($7,600) – Let’s keep an eye that his ownership stays under 10 percent, but the upside is there for a top-10 finish. Kim is one of the best players in this field when combining Pete Dye tracks and courses under 7,200 yards.

Cameron Davis ($7,500) – Eleventh in my model from an upside perspective, Cameron Davis epitomizes the boom-or-bust nature. If his ownership starts increasing, we might have to look elsewhere.

Sepp Straka ($7,100) – The only argument against this play is that I do believe you can get the same upside versus volatility combination from Charley Hoffman at $6,500.

Additional Thoughts: Here are the players that are currently showing as a value against price + ownership in the $7,000s – Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($7,900), Jhonattan Vegas ($7,500) – that would be GPP-only, Mackenzie Hughes ($7,400), Lanto Griffin ($7,100) and Stewart Cink ($7,000).

$6,000 Range

Zach Johnson ($6,800), Kramer Hickok ($6,700), Charley Hoffman ($6,500), Hank Lebioda ($6,500), Tyler Duncan ($6,400)

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Geoff Fienberg joined this week’s PGA DraftCast, and it was a rowdy show for Stixpicks and myself on the Bettor Golf Podcast. I’d highly recommend giving both a listen.

I am going to rapid-fire through all the picks this week. We will return back to a more standard article a week from now.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Scottie Scheffler ($11,300)  – Scottie Scheffler will be your leverage play in the $10,000+ range with the best combination of upside and unique construction.

Justin Thomas ($10,900)  – It is hard to ignore Justin Thomas as the top player in my model. The ownership is solid for the two-time PGA Championship winner, and the upside goes without question.

Other Considerations –  Rory McIlroy ($10,500) – I like Rory’s “fit” for Brookline, but I do want to point out that we haven’t ever seen him win an event at less than 12-under par.

$9,000 Range

Xander Schauffele ($9,600) – Schauffele’s five-straight top-seven finishes at the U.S. Open will be challenging to ignore.

Dustin Johnson ($9,400) –  If you want to separate a build away from the chalk, Johnson accomplishes that task easily at two percent. There will be volatility, but the upside is always present at a U.S. Open.

Will Zalatoris ($9,300) – Fairways and made putts. That is the recipe for Zalatoris if he wants to win his first PGA Tour title.

Patrick Cantlay ($9,200) – Cantlay has a higher missed cut expectation in my model than anyone we have talked about other than Dustin Johnson, but he also has the highest ceiling of anyone not named McIlroy, Scheffler or Thomas.

Hideki Matsuyama ($9,100) – Matsuyama’s two wins in his last 10 completed tournaments is an impressive total for a golfer trending towards being sub-10 percent.

Other Targets: I will find myself lower on Viktor Hovland and Jordan Spieth than consensus.

$8,000 Range

Matthew Fitzpatrick ($8,500) – Fitzpatrick is a cash-game staple that does have playability elsewhere.

Sam Burns ($8,300) – Probably the most win equity on the board sub-$9,000. Burns is a GPP darling because of his reasonable ownership total and upside.

Tony Finau ($8,200) – I selected Tony Finau first overall during the Draftcast, and he is the second-best value on the board for me at $8,200.

Other Thoughts: Niemann, Berger and Homa will be included in my core.

$7,000 Range

Corey Conners ($7,900) – The lack of U.S. Open success is alarming, but the upside is there as a sub-10 percent option in GPPs.

Aaron Wise ($7,800) – My favorite target on the board. You can tune into Bettor Golf to hear why Wise is going to be a staple of everything I do this week.

Tommy Fleetwood ($7,700) – The recent metrics turn the Englishman into a value in all markets.

Talor Gooch ($7,500) – If short game matters, let’s not overlook Gooch’s first-place ranking in my model for strokes gained around the green.

Sebastian Munoz ($7,400) – Munoz is trending in the right direction statistically and has the current form that you would hope to see on a cheaper option.

Harold Varner III ($7,300) – Don’t let the perceived lack of win equity fool you. Varner is a golfer with the potential to massively exceed his price tag.

Additional Thoughts: Mito and Sungjae are two of the top five mispriced players on the slate. Patrick Rodgers, Si Woo Kim, Luke List and Brian Harman will make the core.

$6,000 Range

I’d mostly avoid this section if I can, but Kurt Kitayama and Adri Arnaus would be the two golfers I will randomly squeeze into builds.

If you haven’t already, follow Win Daily Sports on YouTube and via Apple Podcasts. We’re already hitting big with our NFL content and you are going to want to be a part of that. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late-breaking news and weather reports.