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Gerrit Cole

MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Sunday – 09/19

Welcome to the Sunday Funday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have a nice sized 12 game slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through.

My goal today will be to walk you through my 3 favorite pitchers and 3 favorite stacks on the day. With today’s slate we are going to see a much smaller tournament pool with NFL in play. Today’s a day to scale back as the risk just won’t worth the reward. That said, this is a really fun slate

Let’s dig in to today’s slate!

MLB DFS: The Aces

Gerrit Cole ($11.5k) vs. Cleveland Indians – I hope box score watchers fade Cole today because he’s primed for a ceiling game today. Cole’s last two outings have been a little subpar, but for good reason. His outing against the Blue Jays he injured his hamstring and then against the Orioles he was a bit rusty early on. After shaking off some rust in that game he really came back strong.

W/ a match up today against the Indians he really should have a nice bounce back. While the Indians put up a huge number yesterday, it was against a much lesser pitcher in Gil. They’ve still really struggled against righties over the past month. They have a 26% K rate and just a .123 ISO. That 26% K rate is what I’m focused. As a team that’s a pretty high number and with them facing an elite strike out pitcher in Cole that number should jump. Look for Cole to bounce back today and have a ceiling type game.

Sandy Alcantara ($10.8K) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates – The Pirates aren’t a high strike out team. They also aren’t a team that does much damage, especially against righties as they have just a .134 ISO against them over the last month. While I’m a little concerned with the Pirates lack of strike outs the one thing I often preach is that strike out pitchers find their strike outs.

Alcantara is an elite strike out pitcher. He has a slate leading 36% K rate over the past month. If we look at his last outing it’s a prime example of strike out pitchers finding their strike outs. Washington is also a stingy lineup that doesn’t K much. They actually strike out less than the Pirates. Alcantara struck out 7 in 8 innings and only allowed 1 hit.

If Alcantara pitched in a different market he’d be more of a household name. Alcantara is primed to ease through a very weak Pirates lineup. With a $700 savings he’s going to be my SP1 today.

Nathan Eovaldi ($10.5k) vs. Baltimore Orioles – No team is striking out more over the past week than the Orioles. They have a 35% K rate and also not putting up much offense when they do make contact. The O’s are just a team chasing history.

In Eovaldi we’re getting a pitcher in peak form. He has a 3.04 xFIP over the last month and a 32% K rate. While the Orioles’ lineup occasionally shows some life, I just don’t see them doing it today. Eovaldi should be able to mow through this lineup with ease and give the Orioles their 102^nd loss today.

I know, I gave you three pitchers over $10k today. It’s Sunday, in August, on a 12 game slate. There’s going to be a ton of value today with many teams completely out of the playoff picture. I also just don’t think there’s any reason to get fancy with pitching today as the 3 pitches I laid out are in prime spots.

MLB DFS: The Bats

Boston Red Sox vs. Alex Wells – This is going to be a chalky place for offense today. They will be a tough fade today because Wells isn’t good and the Red Sox are battling for the Wild Card spot. They should put out their regular lineup as their regulars can get a breather tomorrow. The righties for Boston are in an absolute smash spot today.

Over the last 30 days Wells is getting ‘lit’ up by righties. They have a .429 ISO and .464 wOBA against him. They also have a 44% fly ball rate and 56% hard hit rate. The popular guys here will be Hernandez ($3.6k), Renfroe ($4.2k), Bogaerts ($4.1k), and Dalbec ($3.5k). Of these 4 Renfroe and Dalbec are my favorites as they’ve been crushing lefties over the last month. Renfroe has a .360 ISO and Dalbec has a .500.

One way to get fancy and differentiate yourself with a Sox lineup today is to play some lefties like Devers ($4.2k) and Schwarber ($4k). If the Red Sox live up to expectations today and do smash, Wells won’t last more than a few innings and those lefties will eventually get the platoon advantage.

New York Yankees vs. Eli Morgan – The Yankees are another team that is currently in a battle for the Wild Card as they are a half game behind the Red Sox and Blue Jays. At this point of the season these are the teams we to focus our salary on as they aren’t just “playing out the string.” It also helps that the Yankees get a great match up today vs. Eli Morgan.

Morgan will be a solid pitcher, he’s just not ready and he’s not solid yet. The last 30 days have been a struggle for him as his xFIP is sitting at 6.11. He’s giving up way too many fly balls and way too much hard contact. His FB rate is over 48% and his hard hits are over 46%. In his last 17 innings of work he’s given up 5 homers and 9 barrels. Just not what you want to see out of your starter.

Lefties have given him the most heart burn as they have a .400 ISO against him over the last month. We’ll need to see if Gallo ($3.3k) is back in there today and if he is he becomes my core to this stack. He has a .481 ISO against righties over the past month and is in great form right now. I’ll also look to include Rizzo ($3.4k) and Gardner ($2.3k).

If Higgy ($2k) is in there today I also love him for value. He’s min priced and frees up so much salary wise for us. If Gallo is in the lineup today the Yankees become a priority for me over the Red Sox. I know he’s just one player but if he’s in, he’s going yard and really makes this lineup solid.

Seattle Mariners vs. Jackson Kowar – I’m looking to the Mariners today for value. They have a bunch of guys in their lineup that are in prime spots today and get a great match up vs. Kowar. After an absolutely dominant outing vs. the Indians at the start of September, Kowar has seen in a slip in performance. His last 2 outings have been a struggle and I think the Mariners can get to him today.

I’m looking at the Mariners lefties as Kowar’s fly ball rate sky rockets to 57% against them vs. just 18% for righties. Lefties also have an average hit distance of 213 feet vs. him so we know they’re a weakness for him. The guys I’m most focused on here are Crawford ($2.6k), Fraley ($2.2k), Toro ($2.6k), and Kelenic ($2.8k).

These 4 are all under $3k and if we are going to spend up on teams like the Red Sox and Yankees, we need some cheap guys. Kelenic is my favorite of the bunch as he’s finally starting to hit like the top prospect he is. Mariners should be put a big number vs. Kowar today.

I didn’t write up the SDP/STL game but there should be offense in that game. We have two past their prime pitchers. I’d prioritize Cardinals bats in that game as they are more of a sure thing vs. Arrieta.

MLB DFS: The Wrap Up

While the contests are smaller today, this is shaping up to be a fun slate. We have some ace level pitching and solid bats in play.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

4 years ago 0 comments

MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Tuesday – 09/14

Joel Bartilotta 4 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to the Tuesday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have a nice sized 12 game slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through.

My goal today will be to walk you through my 3 favorite pitchers and 3 favorite stacks on the day.

Let’s dig in to tonight’s slate!

MLB DFS: The Aces

Gerrit Cole ($11.4k) vs. Baltimore Orioles – If we get a full clean bill of health on Cole before the game tonight he becomes the clear SP1 on the night. Even with his poor outing against the Blue Jays last week Cole still has a 36% strike out rate over the past month. All of his metrics are separate him from his peers.

He has the highest CSW of any pitcher tonight, the lowest xFIP, and one of the lowest swinging strike rates. He gets a great match up vs. a poor Orioles team. While the Orioles have been better of late vs. righties, they’re still striking out more than 25% of the time vs. righties over the last month. Again, if we know Cole is healthy tonight, he’s my clear SP1.

Lucas Giolito ($9.8k) vs. Los Angeles Angels – This is another pitcher with a questions mark surrounding his health. Gio is expected to come off the IL tonight after a short stay. If we get confirmation that he’s a full go with no limitations I’m going to give him a serious look. He gets as good of a match up as there is tonight against strike out prone Angels team.

Over the least 30 days the Angels are striking out nearly 28% of the time vs. righties. The only guy in this lineup that isn’t striking out much vs. righties is Fletcher but if we look at his other numbers, we should be fine letting him put the ball in play as he has a .176 wOBA against righties over the last month.

Gio’s main put away pitch is his changeup. If it’s on tonight he has a chance to have a ceiling type game. If we look at the Angels projected lineup tonight it’s a pitch that they struggle with. They all have high whiff rates.

Nathan Eovaldi ($10k) vs. Seattle Mariners – Eovaldi has been on a roll of late. Over the last month his 30% K rate is second only to Cole of the pitchers on the mound tonight. Eovaldi is going to face a lefty heavy lineup. The projected Mariners lineup tonight should have 7 lefties in it.

As we look into the Eovaldi’s splits, this is in his wheelhouse. Over the past 30 days he’s striking lefties out at a 33% clip and has held them to a .255 wOBA. He’s going to throw lefties his curveball almost a third of the time tonight, similar to what he did to dominate the Rays last night. In looking at the Mariners lineup the majority of them have whiff rates over 30% to this pitch. This has the makings of another solid Eovaldi outing tonight.

I’m staying in the upper tier of pitchers tonight. The pitchers in the mid to low tiers all look awful on paper and we could make a strong case to stack against all of them.

MLB DFS: The Bats

San Francisco Giants vs. Jake Arrieta – You have to think at this point we are seeing the last few stats of a pitcher that had a very solid career. The last few years have been a big struggle for Arrieta, with this year being his worst by far.

On the year he has a 5.21 xFIP and just a 17% K rate. Once an extreme groundball pitcher, Arrieta is giving up one of the highest fly ball rates of his career this year at 31%. This match up vs. the Giants is as bad of a match up as Arrieta could have. Arrieta relies heavily on his sinker. This Giants lineup is extremely solid vs. sinkers.

The guy I’m targeting first here is Brandon Crawford ($3.4k). On the year he has a .741 slugging % and .515 wOBA vs. sinkers. I’ll be building around Crawford with Wade ($2.9k) and Yastrzemski ($3.3k). Both guys have slugging %’s over .500 and wOBA’s over .400 vs. sinkers this year. All three guys stand a chance to smash tonight.

Houston Astros vs. Jordan Lyles – Lyles is a favorite of mine when it comes to stacking against in DFS. He provides what we need, homers. Over his last 30 innings of work he has given up 9 homers. That’s just an absurd number and one we want to chase tonight.

Lyles is someone that is pretty poor against both sides of the plate so I’m not going to be overly concerned with splits here. My hope is that the Astros play it safe with Brantley and sit him for another game. They have a 6.5 game lead so I don’t see them rushing him back. If he sits and Jose Siri ($2k) plays tonight he becomes a free square.

This isn’t about chasing his performance from last night. It’s about what he unlocks with the rest of the lineup. He frees up salary for guys like Alvarez ($3.6k), Bregman ($4.2k), and Tucker ($3.4k). All three of those guys are the guys hitting righties the hardest now and would be the core to my Astros stack. The Astros will probably be chalky tonight, but we have a full slate of games and ownership should be more spread out.

Washington Nationals vs. Jesus Luzardo – I’m looking to the Nationals again tonight for some value. Let’s start with the match up and then we’ll get into pricing later. Luzardo has not been good with the Marlins. Over the last 30 days he has a near 5 xFIP and is giving up hard hits and fly balls more than 35% of the time. He’s also walking a ton of batters with a 4.68 BB/9.

I really only want to focus on the righties in the Nats lineup. Luzardo has a near 70% GB rate vs. lefties and I really don’t want any part of that. What I do want is a part of the 45% fly ball rate he’s giving up to righties over the last 30 days. The guy I repeatedly look at for value and continues to be under priced is Lane Thomas ($2.3k). He’s near min priced and since 8/31 he has 9 games with at least double digit FD points with just one goose egg. He’s also been extremely solid vs. lefties with a .308 ISO and a .600 wOBA against them over the last 30 days.

Other value plays I like here are min priced Riley Adams ($2k) and Carter Keiboom ($2.4k). Both guys have ISO’s over .250 vs. lefties over the last 30 days. They probably won’t win you a GPP on their own merits. What they will do though is give you enough salary relief to fit in the players that will.

MLB DFS: The Wrap Up

My pitching tonight is focused on the top tier. I don’t trust any one else and we’ll have enough value to fit a top pitcher and a top stack tonight. The Nats players I like fit well with either the Giants or Astros. With the NFL on a break for a few days we’re back to having some solid tournaments to play. I hope these picks help you get to the top.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

4 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS: Picks and Pivots for Friday – 08/27

Joel Bartilotta 4 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to the Friday edition of Picks and Pivots. Tonight we have a massive 15 game main slate of MLB DFS on DraftKings to navigate through.

Hey all, it’s Jared and I’ll be filling in for Brian the next couple of days. My goal today will be to walk you through my thought on process on tonight’s slate and find the best path to victory.

Let’s dig in to today’s slates!

Main Slate Breakdown

With it being Friday we’re back to having a full slate of games with all 30 teams playing tonight. With that brings us a slew of options on both the hill and the at the plate.

The make up of today’s slate so far has me thinking that the good ole Double Aces strategy is very much in play. In what has become a rarity these days we actually have decent amount of aces to pick from

Pitching Picks

With pitching tonight I’m going to live in the expensive tier. There’s going to be enough value with bats (I’ll get to that in the stacks portion) on this slate that I just don’t see any reason to live in the “let’s get fancy with pitching tonight” arena . My pool of pitchers tonight will consist of Gerrit Cole ($10.5k), Aaron Nola ($10.2k), and Joe Musgrove ($9.6k).

Let’s start with Gerrit Cole. After having to relearn how to pitch without the sticky stuff he’s really come on strong over the past month. We have 30 pitchers on the mound and Cole far and away has the highest K rate over the last month at almost 36%.

In 5 of his last 6 outings he has 12, 11, 8, 10, and 9 strike outs. Over that period he’s faced Houston, Boston and Tampa. So some pretty solid lineups. One of Cole’s top pitches is his slider and if we look at the Oakland lineup he really has a chance to neutralize their core.

Olson and Chapman both have whiff rates over 30% to the pitch and Marte really isn’t too far behind.

My next pitcher will take us to Los Angeles with Musgrove. Is Musgrove someone that gives up heartburn every time he’s on the mound? Yes, yes he does. That said, he has a high ceiling for someone under $10k.

The Angels are coming off back to back losses to a team that had previously lost 19 in a row. They are also traveling cross country after being on the road for almost 2 weeks.

Outside of Ohtani this is a pretty weak lineup. If we take him out of this mix this is a lineup that has a .104 ISO against righties over the past month and a near 25% K rate. I really like this spot for Musgrove tonight. I will add though that if Musgrove becomes chalk I will probably fade. No one likes a chalky Musgrove.

The last spot I’m looking at in the ace tier tonight is Aaron Nola against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Over the last month Nola has some really impressive numbers with a 30% K rate and a 30% CSW. Both numbers put him in elite category.

The Diamondbacks are not an imposing lineup. There’s a reason they are 40 games under .500. If Nola’s ownership projections come in low tonight I’ll be sure to pair him with either Cole or Musgrove.

Top Bats and Stacks

When Brian said he needed me to step in for PnP today I took a peak at the match ups. I truly think Brian took off today because he just could not handle what he saw. Tampa Bay Rays vs. Matt Harvey, in Camden Yards.

I’m thankful this match up happened on a full slate vs. just a 6 game slate because we typically see ownership more spread out on a full slate. I don’t think we’ll have to worry about ownership on a night like this.

Harvey at this point in his career is someone that we want to target any time he’s on the hill. He had a pretty nice stretch after the AS break but all metrics said it was luck more than talent. Over the past month it’s been the lefties that have really been Harvey’s Achilles heel.

They have a .271 ISO and a 49% fly ball rate against him. What do the Rays have? A ton of lefties. The main 3 pitches that Harvey will throw tonight are his 4 seamer, sinker, and slider. His fastball has really been what’s been getting him lit up. Batters have a .561 slugging % against hit and a 50% hard hit rate.

The guy that I’m most excited about with the Rays tonight is Brandon Lowe ($5.4k). To start he has absolutely crushed fastballs this year, with a .698 slugging %. He’s also crushing righties over the past month with a .406 ISO. Your leadoff hitter sets the tone and the Rays have a guy that will absolutely set the tone tonight.

Other guys I’m interested in here are Franco ($5.3k), Meadows ($4.7k), and Arozarena ($4.5k). I’ll also make sure to use either Phillips ($2.5k) or Kiermaier ($2.6k).

So we have double aces and expensive Rays, how are we going to afford them? Let’s go to Citi Field with Rich Hill on the mound vs. the Washington Nationals. The Mets are a mess right now and Dick Mountain on the mound isn’t going to help.

He’s been a homer giving up machine over the past month with 5 in his last 21 innings of work. Righties have been torching him with a .364 ISO.

I’m looking at the Nats tonight because they have what we need. Cheap righties. The Nationals have 5 righties tonight under $3k. My main focus will be Barrera ($2.3k), Thomas ($2.2k), and Kieboom ($2.3k). These 3 guys all fit in spots where we have gaps with the Rays. They are also happen to be doing really well against lefties.

Over the last 30 days Barrera has a .463 wOBA, Thomas has a .746 wOBA, and Kieboom has a .327 wOBA. Cheap productive righties against a southpaw getting handled by righties is a great recipe and one that we’ll look to really take advantage of tonight.

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap-Up

The Nationals tonight are really going help us tonight get double aces and the Rays. When I looked at this slate the first thing I did was ask myself, “what would Brian do?”. This is it. At least I hope it is.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

4 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Friday – 07/23

Joel Bartilotta 4 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to the Friday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have a massive 14 game main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through.

We finally have some solid pitching to work around tonight. Some of our big strikeout guys are on the hill tonight so we have some high upside pitchers to work into our lineups. J.A. Happ is also on the mound tonight so you know I’ll be attacking him.

Let’s dig in to today’s slate!

MLB DFS: The Aces

I’ve said this before and I’ll say again, if you are aren’t starting your day with Adam’s Starting Rotation you’re doing it wrong. It’s hands down the best pitching article in the business.

Lucas Giolito ($9.8k) vs. Milwaukee Brewers – After a little bit of a lull in performance during the month of June, Giolito appears to have turned the corner with back to back really solid starts. He has at least 8 K’s in each of his last two starts and the match-up tonight against the Brewers presents himself with another opportunity to do so again.

Over the past week the Brewers bats have been very quiet. They have a near 27% K rate and have one of the lowest barrel/hard hit percentages in all of baseball. With Gio on a roll and the Brewers bats asleep behind the wheel, it’s absolutely something I’ll want to take advantage and it’s one of the best match-ups for the all the aces going tonight. With his price under $10k on both sites tonight, he’s going to be my SP1.

Frankie Montas ($8.6k) vs. Seattle Mariners – If I’m going to live in the mid-range tonight, Montas is going to be my guy. Over the past month he’s seen a pretty nice uptick in performance. His xFIP is sitting at 3.96 vs. his season long 4.35 and his K rate is sitting at 26% vs. 24%.

Tonight he gets a match-up vs. a Mariners team has that really struggled of late. In the past week they have a near 30% K rate and only 9 barrels. Montas faced the Mariners once already this season and was able to K 11 guys. While I think that’s about the max he can get, I do like him to take advantage of this lineup again.

Gerrit Cole ($10.5k) vs. Boston Red Sox – It looks like Cole has figured out how to pitch post sticky stuff. His last 2 starts have been absolutely dominant. He has back to back double digit strike out games. This is a feat he hadn’t accomplished since late April.

Over the past month his K rate is 35% which is the highest of any pitcher on the hill tonight. The match-up against the Red Sox isn’t an easy one but it’s one he took full advantage of a week ago. Can lightning strike twice?

MLB DFS: The Bats

New York Mets v. Steven Matz – Matz makes his return back to New York tonight. His first start where it all began. A kid from Long Island that go to play for his hometown team. There’s definitely some narrative tonight with Matz, but there’s also a match-up with the red hot Mets lineup.

Matz at times has been very good this season. He’s also had some outings that brought back a lot of memories of his time with the Mets. He does not line up well with this Mets offense. He’s going to throw predominantly a sinker tonight. Mets have some hitters on the right side that absolutely crush left handed sinkers.

Alonso ($3.9k) has a .833 ISO against this pitch. Both JD Davis ($3.4k) and James McCann ($2.5k) have ISO’s over .360. Up and down this lineup, they hit the sinker well. Mets tonight have the potential to really ruin Matz’ homecoming tonight. Look for the ball to fly out of the park tonight against Matz.

Detroit Tigers vs. Kris Bubic – Bubic is slowly becoming one of my favorite pitchers to attack. His sophomore campaign has not been a good one, and he’s been even worse over the past month. In his last 15 innings of work he’s given up 4 homers. He also has a 39% hard hit rate and a 44% fly ball rate.

This is the type of pitcher that we want to target and we’re going to target him with the hottest team in baseball. His ISO against this year is greater than .222 to both sides of the plate. He’s actually been a bit worse against lefties so we won’t need to shy away from guys like Baddoo ($3k) tonight.

I’m going to go heavy on Schoop ($3.4k), Grossman ($3.2k), and Haase ($2.9k) though tonight. All three have ISO’s greater than .200 to lefties this year and they’re facing a very hittable one tonight. Tigers are going to face a heavy mix of fastballs and change ups tonight. Haase has a .273 ISO against change ups. He is the cornerstone to my build tonight if using the Tigers.

Los Angeles Angels vs. J.A.Happ – After a nice 3 game stretch at the end of June and beginning of July that saw Happ have solid games, the old Happ resurfaced in his last outing against the Tigers. Look for that Happ to appear again tonight.

He’s facing an Angels team that has been one of the best in baseball against lefties this year. They have a .781 OPS, .191 ISO, and a wRC+ of 115 vs. south paws. And they got one of their best lefty crushers back last night in Justin Upton ($3k). Happ is far worse against righties as his ISO balloons up to .274 against them. He also gives up way more hard contact to them at 42%.

That said, Ohtani ($4.4k) has crushed lefties this year with a .362 ISO and should be part of your stack. Two other guys I’m interested in here are Fletcher ($3.3k)and Iglesias ($2.7k). Both guys are swinging hot bats OPS’s over .900 in the last week.

While these 3 teams are my favorite stacks tonight, there are a plethora of teams in great spots. Dodgers vs. Chi Chi and Astros vs. Allard are both great match-ups. Allard has been very susceptible to the long ball this year. You also have to love both teams in Baltimore tonight as Lopez and Corbin are both guys that can struggle to get batters out.

MLB DFS: The Wrap Up

We finally have some high strike out guys on the hill tonight. There are also a handful of gas cans throwing tonight so ownership of stacks should be well spread out. Outside of some potential showers in Boston we should have some clear skies throughout our games tonight.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

4 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 7/17 (FanDuel Main Slate)

Antonio D'Arcangelis 4 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s 10-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!

There are some weather issues tonight but we can exploit that by playing at least one pitchers folks might stay away from becaus e of the PPD threat in Yankee Stadium.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Gerrit Cole($10,100)

Cole was brilliant in his last start and there’s nobody (except possibly Brandon Woodruff) with the upside he carries into this matchup. It’s the Red Sox, so it’s not an easy task, but he’s carried a 33.5% K rate into the All-Star break and could easily hit double digit Ks against this bunch. The only thing that worries me is the weather, so be ready to pivot to Woodward or another high-priced option like Anthony Desclafani in cash games if it gets to be a tighter window of clean weather.

Best GPP Value: Luis Castillo ($8,000)

The price on Castillo does not reflect his consistency this season or the ceiling that he has in MLB DFS. Again — the biggest problem I have with using him is weather, and if the chances for a delay are low enough I’ll take that chance in some GPPs. Castillo struggled with his command all day against the Brewers in his last outing, needing 102 pitches just to get through 5.1IP, but he did rack up 6 Ks. I think he’ll right some of that ship in another crack at this not-very-scary Brewers lineup.

Contrarian GPP Play: Nathan Eovaldi ($9,400)

Eovaldi handles the Yankees quite well, scoring 46 points (June 4 outing @NYY: 6.0 IP, 7 Ks, 1 ER) and 48 points (June 28 outing vs. NYY: 7.2 IP, 6 Ks, 1 ER) in his last two appearances facing the Bombers — who are missing some firepower tonight and are still stocked with plenty of right-handed batters. Adam Strangis discusses some of that upside in his must-read 7/17 Starting Rotation article, and I’m buying into that upside as a reasonably priced GPP option. Ownership should be low and I still think Eovaldi could get to double digit strikeouts as long as they finish this before the rain comes.

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack (Outside Coors): San Diego Padres

The Dodgers in Coors Field are going to be the highest owned stack, but let’s consider the Padres. It’s fun to pick on Patrick Corbin, and the red-hot Padres lineup looks ready to go again tonight — but only if the weather cooperates. The smart-money weather sharps are projecting a late start and completed game, but we’ll have to double check before lineup lock to see if that’s still the case. Getting Fernando Tatis Jr. ($4,300), Manny Machado ($3,800), Tommy Pham ($2,900) and Wil Myers ($2,500) into my stack would be the top priority.

Value Stack: Los Angeles Angels

There’s no threat of bad weather and the Angels are loaded with value in this matchup against hittable Yusei Kikuchi. Aside from the mopre expensive Shohei Ohtani ($4,500) and Jared Walsh ($3,500), we can find lots of value in David Fletcher ($2,900), Max Stassi ($2,800) and Taylor Ward ($2,500). I’d probably try a few different combinations to mix things up, but I like that five-player pool of bats on this “other” LA team tonight.

Contrarian Stack: Atlanta Braves

I’m not convinced the Braves won’t just rock Josh Fleming off the mound early tonight and I’m really interested in starting the big righty bats, including switch-hitting Ozzie Albies ($3,700), Dansby Swanson ($3,300) and Austin Riley ($3,100), with lefty 1B Freddie Freeman ($4,100) finishing off the four-man stack. Ownership will be low but these guys have massive upside in this matchup. Catcher Kevan Smith is also really cheap at $2,200.

Good luck tonight, and make sure you utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!

4 years ago 0 comments

MLB Daily Fantasy Sports

MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 7/10 (FanDuel Main Slate)

Antonio D'Arcangelis 4 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s six-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:15PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!

No major weather issues except a little light rain in the Windy City, and that wind is blowing in tonight.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Walker Buehler ($10,400)

With Gerrit Cole still looking lost a bit without his trusty sticky stuff, Buehler probably makes the most sense as the top ace on this small slate. While Cole does has another narrative at play here facing his former team — one that simply doesn’t strike out at normal human baseball team levels — Buehler is the largest favorite on the board and is the clear choice for cash games. Adam Strangis, in his must-read 7.10 Starting Rotation article, cites Buehler’s two appearances this season against a punchless D-Backs offense that resulted in 14.1 IP, 18 K’s, two ER, and just six free passes. His MLB DFS upside isn’t nearly what we’ve come to expect from a top ace, but he’s the safest option on the board.

Best GPP Value: Freddy Peralta ($9,900)

Peralta gets the nod for best GPP value because he’s under $10K, but if you need the added savings that bad, you could give Joe Musgrove a shot against the road Rockies, The thing I like about Peralta is his very steady K production, which helps give him a daily FD points projection of over 40 just about every game. The Reds do a good job of putting the ball into play, especially on the road, where the team K rate is a few percentage points lower than at home, but if Fab Finger Freddy can avoid the walks and the big blow, this should be a W and another 40-45 points. Musgrove will likely come in with higher ownership and makes more sense for MLB DFS on a site like DK, where you need to start two pitchers, and one can be very chalky.

Contrarian GPP Play: Patrick Sandoval ($7,700)

If you really want to see some savings at SP in large-field MLB DFS tourneys and stack up the big bats from the Dodgers, Brewers or other high-team-total offenses, you might have some interest in Sandoval, who’s made some adjustments to his pitch repertoire this season and carries a respectable 3.86/3.85 ERA/FIP combo into this matchup against one of the worst offenses in baseball. The Mariners strike out at the third-highest rate in MLB and give Sandoval the opportunity to not only eclipse his 25-30 point FD projection, but have a ceiling game in the 40-345 point range. He whiffed 10 Seattle batters in his last outing against the M’s and yielded just one walk and 2 ER en route to 46 FD points on June 6.

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Milwaukee Brewers vs. CIN RHP Vladimir Gutierrez

While the Dodgers bats are simply too cheap, they don’t seem to match up well vs. LHP Caleb Smith, who shut them out in 6.0 IP last time out on June 18. The Brewers, on the other hand, get to face Gutierrez — who’s given up 25 hits and 11 BB over his last 25.1 IP. “Kind of Bad” Vlad has done okay against lefties so far this season, but he’s been abnormally lucky, as his xFIP splits (6.41 vs. LHB) tell a different story. Look to some combination of the first six (also pretty inexpensive) bats here: Luis Urias ($2,600), Christian Yelich ($3,400), Jace Peterson ($2,600), Omar Narvaez ($2,500), Willy Adames ($2,700) and Avisail Garcia ($3,100). Yelich and Narvaez would be my two-man core if I had to pick a couple bats to populate more of my MLB DFS builds.

Contrarian Stack #1: Houston Astros vs. NYY RHP Gerrit Cole

The Astros put the ball in play, and they’re at home against a pitcher who’s clearly not looking like his normal self. If they can get to him early, there’s massive GPP potential here in stacking some combination of these high-upside Houston bats, including: Jose Altuve ($4,200), Michael Brantley ($3,600), Kyle Tucker ($3,400) and Yordan Alvarez ($4,100) — who is 2-for-3 with two HR against Cole in his young career. I’m also willing to give a look to Martin Maldonado ($2,100) for some salary relief in a four-man stack that otherwise includes Altuve, Brantley and Alvarez. While it pains me to suggest stacking against my beloved Bombers on a short-handed slate, there just aren’t a ton of high-upside options to feast on tonight. I may have one Yankees stack as well, as Zack Greinke is long past his status as an MLB DFS ace.

Contrarian Stack #2: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. ARI LHP Caleb Smith

We discussed how they’ve struggled against LHP and Smith this season, but they are very cheap compared to their usual salaries and the ownership shouldn’t be out of control since they aren’t the highest projected total on the board. Mookie Betts ($3,500) is probably the lowest we’ll see him all season, and there’s plenty of upside in the bats of Justin Turner ($3,000), Chris Taylor ($3,000), Cody Bellinger ($3,300) and Max Muncy ($3,700). I really like the direct cheap prices on Albert Pujols ($2,100) and Will Smith ($2,500) if they end dup in the lineup too.

Good luck tonight, and make sure you utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!

4 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Thursday – 05/06

Joel Bartilotta 4 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Welcome to the Thursday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have a smaller sized 8 game main slate on Fanduel that has a start time of 1:05. So for us East Coast folks, we’ll know if we cashed by dinner time!

Our slate provides us today 1 clear ace, 1 near ace, and the Tigers.

Let’s dig in to today’s slate!

MLB DFS: The Aces

Gerritt Cole ($12.3k) vs. Houston Astros – Cole is the clear ace of the staff today. For the season, he’s k’ing batters at a 44% rate, has a 16.4% swinging strike rate, and 1.78 xFIP. The Astros are a stingy team against righties. K’ing less than 20% of the time. But Cole is a stud and will find his strikeouts regardless of who he is facing. There’s also a bit of a narrative today as he’s facing his old squad for the first time.

Zach Wheeler ($9.1k) vs. Milwaukee Brewers – Just when you thought the Brewers were getting some help with Yelich back, they got it taken away after just one game. Wheeler’s start to the season has seen some very volatile performance. He’s had a couple of stellar outings, but he’s also had some very mediocre to poor outings.

Facing off against the Brewers today though, he has a chance to get back on track with a solid outing. Brewers on the season are struggling against righties. They have a K rate of near 27% and below average ISO, OPS, and wOBA’s. Wheeler is throwing his slider more this season than at any other point in his career. Looking at the Brewers lineup, they all average a whiff rate greater than 30% to this pitch. If he relies on this pitch more today, this has the makings of a ceiling game.

Nathan Eovaldi ($8.6k) vs. Detroit Tigers – If there is a half decent pitcher throwing against the Tigers this season you can rest assured they will be in my player pool. In Eovaldi we’re getting someone that’s more than a half decent pitcher. In just 6 starts this year he’s already reached the 40 FD point mark 3 times. I see no reason why today he shouldn’t get there for a 4^th time.

Tigers are K’ing at a 29% clip this season to righties. That’s high! While no one would ever call Eovaldi a strikeout pitcher, he’s someone that can rack up strikeouts. For the season, he has a respectable 22% k rate and a 13.3% swinging strike rate. While my ace today is Cole, the matchup that Eovaldi has can’t be overlooked. We’ve attacked the Tigers with Kluber and Pivetta recently with success. Let’s attack them again today with Nate the great.

MLB DFS: The Bats

Minnesota Twins vs. Jordan Lyles – The Twins let us all down last night. Outside of a Garver HR they didn’t do much. Look for a rebound today. They get to face off against Lyles who for the season is sporting a 5.29 xFIP. He is a fly ball pitcher facing off against a fly ball hitting team. He’s already given up 8 homers in just 6 starts. He hasn’t not allowed a homer in any start this year.

The odds of at least one member of this Twins lineup hitting a bomb is pretty good. There are other metrics surrounding Lyles that indicates we should see a nice bounce back from the Twins. He’s allowing more than a 40% hard hit rate and 11 barrels through only 28 IP. Hitters are just teeing off on him.

Washington Nationals vs. Drew Smyly – The Nationals somewhat let me down last night. Turner did homer, Castro got on base a couple of times, and Gomes homered as well. Outside of that though, they didn’t do much. I’m going right back to the well tonight.

Smyly has not been good this year. Like Lyles he’s giving up a ton of long balls. 9 to be exact. He has a high fly ball rate of 54% and a hard hit rate of 39%. Those 2 combined are just a recipe for disaster. He’s given up 10 barrels in less than 20 IP. So he’s giving up a barrel just about every other inning. That’s not what you want to see out of a pitcher.

I’m going back to the well because the Nationals have been, for the most part, pretty damn good against lefties this season. They have an .826 OPS and a .362 wOBA. Trea Turner ($3.8k), Josh Harrison ($3.1k), Ryan Zimmerman ($2.8k), and Starlin Castro ($2.3k) are all still very affordable and are set up for success today. If Yan Gomes ($2.5k) gets the start again today, I like him too.

Atlanta Braves vs. Jon Lester – I need to preface this with saying that the Braves have not been good vs. lefties this year. They’ve actually been pretty bad. They’re striking out a lot and not hitting for much power. That said, Jon Lester is no longer a good MLB pitcher. He had his first start of the season last week and while the ERA looks amazing, the underlying stats show a different story. He allowed 7 baserunners in only 5 IP. His hard minus soft hit rate was more than 20%. Giving up that much hard contact is going to catch up to you at some point.

Is today the day? Guys like Ronald Acuna ($4.3k), Marcell Ozuna ($2.9k), and Ozzie Albies ($3.2k) have long track records of success against lefties. They’ll come out of their funk at some point. Hopefully it’s today against Mr. Lester. Ozuna remains underpriced for his upside.

One other spot I do like today is the Kansas City Royals vs. McKenzie. McKenzie has 4 outings where he has given up 4 walks. He’s got really good stuff, but he just can’t control it yet. I don’t normally chase SB’s, but Whit Merrifield ($3.7k) at the top of that lineup is set up for a game where he can have multiple steals.

MLB DFS: The Wrap Up

There should be plenty of offense to go around today. Weather, unlike the last couple of days, shouldn’t impact games much today. There may be some wind in spots, but the sun will finally be shining for all games.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green today!

4 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Sunday, April 18

Brian Tulloch 4 years ago

written by Brian Tulloch

Welcome to the Sunday edition of MLB DFS Picks and Pivots where we dive into the top fantasy baseball plays and slate strategy to help you take down tournaments all season long at Win Daily Sports!

If you are new to MLB DFS Picks and Pivots, the goal of this article is not simply to list out the “best plays” but rather walk through the context of the slate and help you identify the best arms and stacks to build around for MLB DFS tournament play. We will use DraftKings pricing as our anchor and help you get a head start on your winning builds!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Sunday Slate Aces

Happy Sunday Funday my friends as we have a strong 9 game slate here to break down as we identify our top MLB DFS Picks and Pivots! The storyline of this slate is we have loaded pitching slates with 2 and maybe 3 aces we can anchor to with Gerrit Cole, Shane Bieber, and Freddy Peralta on the hill and bringing with them elite swing and miss ability.

Let me stop you here – I write this article for strategy purposes so I don’t dive into the specific plays on the mound unless I think there is a need to. Today there is no need to – because Adam Strangis Starting Rotation once again – is the best pitching read in the industry. Go read it now, read it again and then you can come back here to thank me for telling you to read it.

Shane Bieber ($10K) is the class of the trio from a metrics perspective with a 41% K rate and 18% swinging strike rate since the start of 2020 and while Gerrit Cole ($10.4K) is not far behind at 35% and 15.6%. The surprising part for the casual fan may be that Freddy Peralta ($9.5K) ranks ahead of Cole with a 40% K rate and 16.3% swinging strike rate.

The sticker shock on Peralta is real – very real – as he was $6.9K on Opening Day and now is priced just $500 lower than Shane Bieber. Will that bloated price keep his ownership down relative to the other more established aces?

From a match-up perspective, Cole may have the best one in terms of K upside as Tampa Bay strikes out at a 25.6% clip against RHP which is 2-3% more than either the Pirates (Peralta) or Reds (Bieber).

Rather than nitpick our way through these top three – let me spin it another way – can we simply live with this as our pitcher pool on DraftKings and build our lineups around “Double Aces” while having lineups with $3.7K-$3.8 per batter?

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – Stacks to Attack

If we opt to go “double aces” on this slate, then we need to find strong cost effective stacks which frankly tend to be easier on Sunday slates as we get rest days for stars and cheap punts entering the lineups.

We also more generally have a strong pitching slate, even beyond the aces, which makes finding offenses to stack even harder. However, there are two mid-range stacks I think we can focus on today – the Miami Marlins and the Milwaukee Brewers.

Now you may not look at the Marlins and think this is the offense to stack, but the reality is that no other team in baseball has scored more runs than the Marlins the last 7 days. Today, the Marlins face LHP Alex Wood who makes his first start of the season but this is an arm that had surrendered a .277 ISO and 50% hard contact rate to right-handed batters over the previous two seasons – and guess what – the Marlins are going to throw a whole lineup of right-handed batters at him!

Wood relies nearly 50% of the time on his sinker to RHB and both of Starling Marte and Jesus Aguilar have .200+ ISO marks against that pitch type while Adam Duvall has an absurd .700 ISO and average distance traveled of *checks notes* – 405 feet.

If you look at the last season, the Marlins projected line-up has a .214 team ISO against LHP including two batters with .400+ ISO marks in Adam Duvall and SS Miguel Rojas.

The point here, this line-up is RED HOT and the power splits are seemingly all in their favor today against Wood. This stack could be the one to attack at bargain pricing to give you that path to double aces.

The Brewers meanwhile get similar splits advantage against RHP Chad Kuhl, who has given up a .231 ISO and 48% HC rate to left-handed batters and gets to face a Milwaukee line-up with 5 of their 8 projected hitters coming from the left side.

Kuhl is a similar sinkerballer to left-handed batters, throwing it nearly 50% of the time – and the Brew Crew hammer this pitch type. All of Jackie Bradley, Omar Narvaez, and Billy McKinney have .230+ ISO marks against that pitch type while Travis Shaw leads the team with a .400 ISO. We also get some cheapie value with Jace Peterson at $2.4K who we can use at 2B or OF today!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap Up

Today is a great day for MLB DFS and our MLB DFS Picks are going to be focused on a two ace build with a Marlins and Brewers stack that allows us to attack opposing pitcher splits with serious power upside.

Enjoy this slate – let’s get in our FREE Discord today and chat it up while we dig through our cheat sheets and custom projections here at Win Daily to set up the start of this MLB DFS season with some big wins!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @2LockSports and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

4 years ago 0 comments

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MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Monday, April 12

Brian Tulloch 4 years ago

written by Brian Tulloch

Welcome to the Monday edition of MLB DFS Picks and Pivots where we dive into the top fantasy baseball plays and slate strategy to help you take down tournaments all season long at Win Daily Sports!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Main Slate Breakdown

After Sunday’s horrendous pitching slate that left us with negative points from Ponce De Leon and injuries to our SP1 in Adrian Morejon, you can bet I was pumped to turn the page and see a Monday MLB DFS slate full of aces.

That all starts today with Gerrit Cole and Tyler Glasnow who both sit above $10K today on DraftKings but I would argue that they are both worth every penny and my goal on this slate is to find a way to lock in both. Listen, you get two arms with 34% and 37% K rates respectively and 16% and 14% swinging strike rates which are both among the best marks in baseball since the start of 2020.

If you have read Picks and Pivots before, you know I am a massive believer in going double high K aces on DraftKings assuming we can get high upside cheap hitting stacks and so rather than wax poetic about this aces – I want to spend my time on if this approach is doable today for our MLB DFS lineups.

I will be honest – DraftKings has set this up where I do not think you have to look all that far. In fact, what if I told you that you could get the two best arms on the slate and stack the game with the highest Vegas run total in Oakland/Arizona?

This game will take place in Chase Field where the roof is scheduled to be open on an 80+ degree day in Phoenix and we get two hittable arms in RHP Chris Bassit and LHP Madison Bumgarner.

MadBum simply gets the worst possible spot as has struggled mightily against RHB since the start of last season to the tune of a .310 ISO, 42% fly ball rate and a 45.5% hard contact rate. The HR ball has been a killer for the lefty, surrendering 11 HR’s to RHB in just 30 innings last season and while the HR ball has yet to bite him in 2021, he has surrendered 9 ER in just 8 innings of work with a 44% HC rate.

This Oakland team is just going to hammer you with right-handed power as they have 5 batters with .200+ ISO marks against lefties since the start of 2019.

The pitch type data also jumps off the pitch as MadBum relies nearly 40% of the time on his cutter to righties and all of Mark Canha, Matt Chapman, Stephen Piscotty and Elvis Andrus have .200+ ISO marks against that pitch type.

Even in the L/L match-up here, Matt Olson looks like a GPP difference maker as he sports a .538 ISO against the cutter which Mad Bum uses 50% of the time versus LHB and he has a .630 ISO against his secondary pitch to LHB in the curve.

The Oakland A’s pricing is laughably cheap on this slate and I love the fact that you can stack them as the road team and get guaranteed 9th inning at-bats from your high upside stack.

Going full game stack here in this spot is interesting because the correlation position wise for Arizona with Oakland works quite perfectly on DK especially when we factor in how we want to attack Chris Bassit.

Bassit has always been a pitcher who dominates right-handed heavy lineups but his .200 ISO mark, 41% fly ball rate and 45% hard contact rate against lefties are essentially the mirror image of what we attacked with the Oakland righties against Bumgarner.

So we want the Arizona LHB today – Kole Calhoun, David Peralta, Asdrubal Cabrera, Eduardo Escobar and Stephen Vogt.

Bassit relies heavily on his sinker to left-handed batters and guess what – wever single left-handed hitter noted above has a .200+ ISO mark against that pitch type. David Peralta looks like the prime target here if you are home run hunting as he has a 81% contact rate with a 53% hard contact rate and leads the team with a 317 average distance traveled against that pitch type.

I woke up today feeling dangerous – and also looking for a cheap game stack to put with my double aces – and I think I found exactly what I needed in Chase Field tonight!

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap Up

We have a large MLB DFS slate tonight but my focus is going to be crystal clear with the two primary aces in Cole/Glasnow and an Oakland/Arizona game stack with the roof open at Chase Field.

Stack it up and let’s ride tonight!

4 years ago 0 comments

MLB Sports Betting

Three StriKes for Thursday July 23

Adam Strangis 5 years ago

written by Adam Strangis

Three StriKes for Thursday July 23

Welcome into the inaugural edition of Three StriKes!! I’m super pumped to be bringing this article to the WinDaily team this season and looking forward to winning some money. We’re looking at my three favorite strikeout props, hence the Three StriKes for Thursday July 23. If you’re interested in learning a bit more of the process, I do have an intro right here.

With Thursday being a short slate, we’ll talk about the top three pitchers on the slate but I’m not sure I’ll be betting three tonight. If I do, it will likely go down to a quarter unit instead of a normal half unit in some cases and will be noted as such. Also, I will always put at least a quarter unit on a parlay of all three bets. When we get all three right, we may as well make it worth it.

StriKe One – Gerrit Cole

The very first pitcher ever written up for Three StriKes is near and dear to my heart, Gerrit Cole. As a point of reference, almost all of my betting will be done on DraftKings Sportsbook as that’s the most convenient for me personally. So when talking about the lines, they’ll be as accurate as they can at the time of writing for that site. Cole has opened up at 7.5 strikeouts at -155. While the return might not be great, this is an easy over in my eyes.

First off, he threw 87 pitches in his most recent tune up so workload isn’t a concern. Secondly, only seven of his 33 starts last year produced under eight strikeouts. That’s a very comfortable rate and the Nationals whiffed 21% of the time last year against righty pithing. Losing Anthony Rendon won’t help that mark. We have the preeminent strikeout pitcher from 2019 and his line isn’t even the highest in his own game.

Bet – Over 7.5 K’s

StriKe Two – Max Scherzer

This one is a little tougher and whichever way we bet is going to be just a quarter unit for Three StriKes for Thursday. This would be a line I might normally skip on a bigger slate but let’s have some fun.

Scherzer is set at 8.5 K’s and there are arguments for either side. Here’s the good news for Scherzer and one of the main reasons I lean to the over – he was dominant to RHH in 2019 and there’s a projected seven of them for the Yankees. Mad Max whiffed RHH at a 38.6% clip and held them down to a 0.65 HR/9. He also gave up just a .193 average, 1.62 FIP and a 2.22 xFIP.

Additionally, the Yankees did strikeout at a 23.1% clip last year to RHP. That was virtually without Giancarlo Stanton, who whiffed 31.1% of the time in 2018 (he missed almost all of 2019). What Scherzer comes down to is if he can keep the ball in the yard against this powerful Yankees lineup.

New York against RHH raked for power, ranking third in ISO at .218 and OPS at .820. For all of Stanton’s flaws, he also helps in this category. My view is Scherzer gives up a couple runs, but can control this RHH heavy lineup. I just won’t put a ton on it.

Bet – Small wager on Over 8.5 K’s

StriKe Three – Clayton Kershaw

Just because there’s only two games doesn’t mean we can’t have Three StriKes for Thursday! Kershaw does not currently have a K prop set yet. This will be a normal occurrence because I will be writing the night before, but that’s ok. We’ll discuss some of the stats and we’ll set a line that we feel comfortable with and go from there.

In 2019, Kershaw threw his fastball and slider for a combined 83.1% of his pitches. That’s a fantastic match against the Giants pitch data from 2019, as they ranked 28th vs the fastball and 24th vs the slider. That’s a strong checkmark for Kershaw and his 26.8% K rate from last season. He also has thrown 90 pitches in sim games, so we can feel comfortable with the workload.

There are a couple small drawbacks for Kershaw in this matchup. For one, his HR/9 last year jumped to 1.41. That’s easily the highest of his career so it was technically never easier to tag Kershaw for a bomb. The flip side to that is the Giants only had a .142 ISO, so it remains to be seen if they can take advantage of the long ball.

The other small knock is the Giants were not a big strikeout team against LHP at 23%. That was dead average at 16th among the league, so it wasn’t a glaring weakness. Still, this is not a lineup that should scare you at all. I’m hoping for a 5.5 K prop, but it’s likelier to be 6.5 K’s.

Bet – 5.5 is an easier over, I’m likely to still hit Over 6.5

Parlay – Cole and Kershaw over as Kershaw came in at my preferred 5.5

Thank you for reading as always. Feel free to tweet me @bucn4life with any and all questions, check out the MLB and Betting page on WinDailySports.com and let’s chat in the WinDaily Discord as well!

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5 years ago 0 comments

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Gerrit Cole

MLB DFS: The Aces

MLB DFS: The Bats

MLB DFS: The Wrap Up

MLB DFS: The Aces

MLB DFS: The Bats

MLB DFS: The Wrap Up

Main Slate Breakdown

Pitching Picks

Top Bats and Stacks

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap-Up

MLB DFS: The Aces

MLB DFS: The Bats

MLB DFS: The Wrap Up

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Gerrit Cole($10,100)

Best GPP Value: Luis Castillo ($8,000)

Contrarian GPP Play: Nathan Eovaldi ($9,400)

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack (Outside Coors): San Diego Padres

Value Stack: Los Angeles Angels

Contrarian Stack: Atlanta Braves

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Walker Buehler ($10,400)

Best GPP Value: Freddy Peralta ($9,900)

Contrarian GPP Play: Patrick Sandoval ($7,700)

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Milwaukee Brewers vs. CIN RHP Vladimir Gutierrez

Contrarian Stack #1: Houston Astros vs. NYY RHP Gerrit Cole

Contrarian Stack #2: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. ARI LHP Caleb Smith

MLB DFS: The Aces

MLB DFS: The Bats

MLB DFS: The Wrap Up

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Sunday Slate Aces

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – Stacks to Attack

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap Up

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Main Slate Breakdown

MLB DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap Up

Three StriKes for Thursday July 23

StriKe One – Gerrit Cole

StriKe Two – Max Scherzer

StriKe Three – Clayton Kershaw

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