Welcome back to Win Daily Sports’ Friday Night Forecheck! The NHL schedule continues to be pretty unbalanced, so after a giant, 11 game slate, we have a small 3 game slate tonight. This slate has a couple of very obvious spots, so expect heavy chalk. We will do what we can to find the low owned gems to get you to the top! Good luck!
Kaapo Kahkonen – Minnesota Wild: The Wild host the Ducks tonight, and this is a nice looking play. The Ducks have only been scoring 1.4 goals per game over their last five away games, and Kahkonen has been decent over his last five. Especially if the Wild get some of their weapons back tonight (they should), this becomes a strong play.
Sergei Bobrovsky – Florida Panthers: The Panthers are hosting the Stars tonight, and the Stars are a tale of two teams. On home ice, they have been scoring almost FIVE goals per game over their last five home games. On the road, however, they have only been scoring 1.4 goals per game over their last five road games. On top of that, they are giving up 3.4 goals per game over their last 5 road games, making Bob the best play on the slate tonight.
Bonus GPP Goalie Pick – None: This slate feels pretty straightforward. You could realistically go with Darcy Kuemper (COL), but the upside there feels pretty limited. The Coyotes have been playing well recently, but they are a much better team at home than on the road. With the way that Arizona shoots, and the risk that Kuemper has brought this year, one or two goals could crack him pretty easily, so it feels like the Kuemper play is just too limited. Karel Vejmelka (ARI) just put up a 40+ save, 1 goal against win the other night against Toronto. While he is good for games like that every once in a while, visiting Colorado does not seem like a spot for him to do it again. Anthony Stolarz (ANH) and Jake Oettinger (DAL) are both on the road, and Stolarz is the better play there, so you can make a case for him, but the focus should really be on Kahkonen and Bob for the upside.
These lines are considered top plays for the night and can be considered the focal point of your builds. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).
Colorado Avalanche Power Play – Nathan MacKinnon/Nazem Kadri/Valeri Nichushkin/Mikko Rantanen/Cale Makar: This, just…wow. This should absolutely be a smash spot for an already high octane unit that can handle just about any team in the league. The addition of Nichushkin makes this slightly more affordable. Expect this unit to be SUPER chalk tonight, for very good reason.
Florida Panthers Power Play – Aleksander Barkov/Sam Reinhart/Jonathan Huberdeau/Anthony Duclair/Aaron Ekblad: This unit is in a fantastic spot as well, as they take on the Stars on home ice. Barkov/Huberdeau/Ekblad is always a great trio to run from the Panthers, as they are almost always producing. The second line straight up (Sam Bennett/Anthony Duclair/Jonathan Huberdeau) is a slightly better even strength matchup, but you can get access to them via the power play.
These are plays that carry significantly more risk, but could pay off at low ownership. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).
Anaheim Ducks Power Play – Rickard Rakell/Trevor Zegras/Sonny Milano/Ryan Getzlaf/Cam Fowler: The Ducks’ power play has a very nice matchup, as they are currently ranked 5th in the league. Minnesota has been taking a bunch of penalties, so there should be ample opportunity for them tonight. They are high risk because the Ducks have been struggling to score of late, especially on the road.
Minnesota Wild 1 – Ryan Hartman/Kirill Kaprizov/Mats Zuccarello/Calen Addison: The Wild appear to be getting back their weapons from injury and COVID, so this is a great spot for them tonight. If Addison does in fact slot into the power play, he is a great value play.
Minnesota Wild 3 – Victor Rask/Kevin Fiala/Matthew Boldy: If you want to get off of a chalkier Minnesota play and still get access to them, this is a good play. Boldy has been playing well in his first few games, and this line has a decent matchup at even strength.
Colorado Avalanche 3 – Alex Newhook/JT Compher/Logan O’Connor: This third line for the Avs has been good all year, and is a little better with Aube-Kubel, but he appears to be out tonight. Even so, this is a great way to get much lower ownership on a massive total. Newhook and O’Connor are slippery and are going to be good in this league as they grow and improve. Compher slots into the second power play, so there is a good upside to playing him as well.
Honorable Mentions: ANH4, ARIPP, DAL1
Notes: This slate feels like it is going to come down to getting the MIN/ANH game correct. Getting the correct stack to go with COL/FLA will be a great approach. Another really good GPP approach is to play contrarian and fade the super obvious chalk. As we saw last night, this can work at times, and on three games, it makes sense. Just remember, fading the obvious plays is an all or nothing approach.
Center: Alex Newhook ($3000) – Colorado Avalanche
Wing: Patric Hornqvist ($2900) – Florida Panthers
Defense: Samuel Girard ($3900) – Colorado Avalanche
Center: Alex Newhook ($3900) – Colorado Avalanche
Wing: Jordan Greenway ($4000) – Minnesota Wild
Defense: Esa Lindell ($4400) – Dallas Stars
Cash is not recommended on a three game slate
Cash is not recommended on a three game slate
Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Jon and the NHL team will be there answering questions right up until lock! Be sure to be on the look out for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/
All line combinations are courtesy of www.dailyfaceoff.com, and the advanced rates referenced in the above article are pulled from www.naturalstattrick.com.
This article focuses on 1/13 NHL Picks for both DraftKings Sportsbook and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We analyze tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so that we can gain an edge on the field at large. Full rankings for each position for both sites are available below.
Welcome back to the Hot Shot for a huge eleven-game Thursday slate!
Full Game Odds/Totals and DraftKings Rankings can be found below as well as cash game considerations for each site.
Columbus has been playing really poor defense all season and has struggled on the road and that combination leads me to think they will get smashed in Carolina. The Canes had a letdown against the seemingly impervious Florida Panthers this past weekend. Nevertheless, this Columbus team is not of the same caliber. I generally hate how these lines and the power play are set up, it’s one of my qualms with the Hurricanes. However, the top line seems like a good place to start with Aho the cornerstone and Seth Jarvis at $2,700 our value piece. The line with Nido Neidereiter, as opposed to Seth Jarvis, has six full-line goals over their last ten games, good for a tie for sixth in the NHL among lines across that span.
The Flames have not had their best stretch recently but this seems like a get-right spot against a Senators team that hasn’t played in forever. Much like the Canadiens last night, they will likely be a bit rusty. While the other lines continue to do next to nothing, this Calgary top line has really solidified the Flames as a one-line team production-wise. Their nine primary line-oriented goals and 125 SATF over their last ten games, continue to lead all lines in the NHL. I left off Elias Lindholm, as the other two skaters have been doing most of the damage.
This is a really cheap line that provides us with some additional value and salary savings. Strome is feeling it right now with eleven shots on goal over his last two games and the Breadman seems cheap just back from injury. It is only a matter of time before he gets hot as he won’t stay $5,700 forever and that night could be tonight. Alexis Lafreniere hasn’t done much to date but he is only $2,600 and has all the talent in the world, albeit he does not share top power-play correlation with the other two skaters listed.
Philadelphia Flyers (+200) at Boston Bruins (-250) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Columbus Blue Jackets (+185) at Carolina Hurricanes (-230) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Vancouver Canucks (+200) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-250) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Winnipeg Jets (-140) at Detroit Red Wings (+115) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total
New Jersey Devils (+165) at New York Islanders (-200) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total
Seattle Kraken (+185) at St. Louis Blues (-230) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Buffalo Sabres (+230) at Nashville Predators (-290) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Montreal Canadiens (+145) at Chicago Blackhawks (-180) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total
Ottawa Senators (+185) at Calgary Flames (-230) – 6 Projected Goal Total
New York Rangers (-125) at San Jose Sharks (+105) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total
Pittsburgh Penguins (-145) at Los Angeles Kings (+120) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Artemi Panarin, 2 of the 3 top-ranked cheap defensemen above, Jusse Saros
Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/
Welcome back to Win Daily Sports’ Friday Night Forecheck! On this first Friday of the new year, we have a small 2 game slate. These can be fun, but they can also be heartbreaking at times! It is totally up to you how to approach this slate. You can definitely do the 2-gamer, or you can break it up and run some showdown lineups for each game. Either way, we will do our best to guide you into the right plays. Good luck!
Since this article was written prior to some important news breaking, there will be updates listed below in bold italics. As usual, it is always best to keep an eye on news all the way up until lock, as we may end up with more news breaking.
Antti Raanta Frederik Andersen – Carolina Hurricanes: The Canes host the Flames tonight, and they are in a good spot with the Flames on the back end of a traveling back to back. In those situations, targeting the home goalie is usually a good payoff, and tonight should be no different. The Flames are definitely a little scary, but the shot upside is there and there is ample opportunity for Carolina to win. Andersen is likely to get the start tonight, and that makes this play even better, even though he could be chalky.
Bonus GPP Goalie Pick – Jordan Binnington – St. Louis Blues: The Blues host the Capitals tonight in what should be an interesting matchup. Binnington is usually a tough pill to swallow, but the truth is, the Blues have been playing well on home ice, giving up under 2 goals against per game over their last five home games. As of 4:15pm, Ville Husso is projected to get the start for the Blues, and is also still in a good spot for GPP. He becomes a little riskier, but is worth a look if in fact he suits up over Binnington.
The Others – Dan Vladar (CGY) Jacob Markstrom and Ilya Samsonov (WSH): The reason all four goalies are listed is because, on a 2 game slate, it makes sense to just correlate your lineups with your stacks. When stacking a team, you are basically saying that they will win. This is not ALWAYS optimal, but it makes sense. Frankly, all four goalies are risky, but as mentioned above, Raanta feels the safest. Don’t be afraid to be different with these two either, though.
These lines are considered top plays for the night and can be considered the focal point of your builds. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).
Carolina Hurricanes Power Play – Sebastian Aho/Vincent Trocheck/Teuvo Teravainen/Martin Necas/Tony DeAngelo: The Canes top two lines are in decent spots, which is a good time to target the power play unit. While the power play matchup is not amazing, playing this unit gets you access to scoring up and down the lineup, which is a good approach in this matchup.
St. Louis Blues 2 – Robert Thomas/Vladimir Tarasenko/Jordan Kyrou/Scott Perunovich Robert Thomas/Brayden Schenn/Jordan Kyrou/Justin Faulk: The Blues’ second line has a VERY nice matchup tonight against the Washington 2 line. These guys have been rolling, as well, so there should be decent ownership on them. Running Perunovich with them gets you access to the second power play unit, and feel free to add in Brayden Schenn as another power play piece. Tarasenko and Perunovich were added to the COVID list, so they are of course not in play. With that news, this line is still squarely in play, and even more appealing with Kyrou and Schenn alongside Thomas.
These are plays that carry significantly more risk, but could pay off at low ownership. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).
Washington Capitals 1 – Evgeny Kuznetsov/Alex Ovechkin/Tom Wilson Garnet Hathaway/John Carlson: The Caps have a nice looking matchup against the Blues and Binnington. This top line for the Caps should have a matchup with O’Reilly’s line in a plus matchup. Expect ownership to be pretty high on these guys tonight.
Carolina Hurricanes 3 – Jordan Staal/Jesperi Kotkaniemi/Martin Necas: This is a play that starts to head into risky/deep GPP territory, but this is the type of play that can take down those contests on a small slate. CAR3 should be matched up against the second line for the Flames tonight, and will still be up against Vladar, who is a backup to Markstrom and has not played in a while.
Other Deep GPP lines to Consider:
Washington 3 (Nic Dowd/Carl Hagelin/Garnet Hathaway Brett Leason) Leason was added to this line after Hathaway moved up to the top line with Backstrom out
St. Louis 3 (Ivan Barbashev/Brayden Schenn/Pavel Buchnevich) (Oskar Sundqvist/Brandon Saad/David Perron) – Line shuffling due to COVID – this one isn’t as appealing as it was with Buchnevich and Schenn, but it could work.
Calgary 3 (Dillon Dube/Andrew Mangiapane/Milan Lucic) (Sean Monahan/Dillon Dube/Andrew Mangiapane) – Line shuffled around just a touch and seems a little more appealing with Monahan in the middle.
Center: Sean Monahan ($2800) – Calgary Flames – third line, but slots into the top power play
Wing: Seth Jarvis ($3100) – Carolina Hurricanes
Defense: Oliver Kylington ($3200) – Calgary Flames
Center: Jordan Staal ($3700) – Carolina Hurricanes
Wing: Brandon Saad ($5100) – St. Louis Blues
Defense: Rasmus Andersson ($4900) – Calgary Flames
Cash is not recommended on a two game slate
Cash is not recommended on a two game slate
Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Jon and the NHL team will be there answering questions right up until lock! Be sure to be on the look out for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/
All line combinations are courtesy of www.dailyfaceoff.com, and the advanced rates referenced in the above article are pulled from www.naturalstattrick.com.
This article focuses on 1/6 NHL Picks for both DraftKings Sportsbook and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We analyze tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so that we can gain an edge on the field at large. Full rankings for each position for both sites are available below.
Welcome back to the Hot Shot for a huge eleven-game Thursday slate!
Full Game Odds/Totals and DraftKings Rankings can be found below as well as cash game considerations for each site.
Jack Hughes is finally putting it all together and seems underpriced on DraftKings at $5,800. Jesper Bratt makes for the ideal pairing given his correlation on the first power-play unit. His $5,200 price tag makes the combination very affordable. The Devils are -130 home favorites against a struggling Columbus team in a game with a six total. As far as Severson he is cheap at $3,900 and shares correlation on the first unit as well as top power-play where he is the quarterback. Overall, the trio provides us with some solid value.
This line is another that seems underpriced. They may get overlooked a lot for flashier lines, but as we saw the other night, they can also win tournaments. At $6,600 Brayden Point fills a center slot and Palat allows us some savings on the wing at $5,300. Both skaters share a correlation on Tampa’s top power-play unit. While Calgary is not an ideal target as a decent defensive squad, traveling to Florida is not ideal for them. The Panthers just showed us the possibilities against the Flames.
I have some recency bias here having just played them when they laid an egg against the Blackhawks. However, I would be remiss to not mention them, at home, in a game with the highest total on the night, set at 6.5. More likely than not they will be the chalk, despite the size of the slate. On that basis, I think you can fade and feel fine about it, but of course, if your build leaves you with the extra money, this two-man stack isn’t a bad way to spend it!
Minnesota Wild (+140) at Boston Bruins (-160) – 6 Projected Goal Total
San Jose Sharks (-120) at Buffalo Sabres (+100) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Calgary Flames (+120) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-140) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Columbus Blue Jackets (+110) at New Jersey Devils (-130) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Pittsburgh Penguins (-185) at Philadelphia Flyers (+150) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Florida Panthers (-120) at Dallas Stars (+100) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Winnipeg Jets (+175) at Colorado Avalanche (-210) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Chicago Blackhawks (-155) at Arizona Coyotes (+135) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total
New York Rangers (+135) at Vegas Golden Knights (-155) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Detroit Red Wings (+120) at Anaheim Ducks (-140) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total
Nashville Predators (-130) at Los Angeles Kings (+110) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total
Nathan MacKinnon, Brayden Point, Filip Forsberg, Rasmus Dahlin
Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/
Welcome back to Win Daily Sports’ Friday Night Forecheck! Happy New Year’s Eve, everyone! We hope you have a great time tonight ringing in 2022 with your friends and loved ones! Please be safe and smart tonight. Here’s wishing you and yours a very happy and healthy new year. Maybe we can ring in ’22 with some green!
A couple of notes before we get started – this slate starts at 1pm Eastern and runs throughout the day on DraftKings. On FanDuel, there is only a 2 game main slate that starts at 7pm Eastern. Because of this, plus the COVID situations, it is absolutely IMPERATIVE that you keep up with the news. The games in the afternoon will be over by the time the evening games start, so be sure to keep an eye on all of your news sources through the day.
Laurent Brossoit – Vegas Golden Knights: The Knights face the Ducks at home tonight, and the Ducks have been terrible on the road of late, scoring just 1.8 goals per game, converting a measly 5.8% of their shots. Brossoit has been solid, but he isn’t perfect. Expect him to give up a couple, especially with the Knights dealing yet again with health issues, but he should be considered a ‘safe’ play.
Andrei Vasilevskiy – Tampa Bay Lightning: Vas should be returning from a COVID protocol stint, as the Lightning host the Rangers. The Lightning are on a back-to-back, but the game was against their neighbor, the Panthers, so the travel really should not affect them. They did, however, get absolutely smoked, so the Lightning should have something to prove tonight. The return of Vasilevskiy should be a nice boost to the club, and what’s even better is the shot volume should be there for upside.
Bonus GPP Goalie Pick – John Gibson – Anaheim Ducks: This pick is interesting, as the Ducks travel to Vegas to take on the Knights. The reasoning behind this pick is simple – the Knights are banged up. Outside of the second line, they should struggle to score. The worry here is that Gibson on the road is not as good as he is at home. If the Ducks can shut down that second line, then this could be a sneaky spot for a Ducks win. If he starts, he is worth a look, but if Stolarz gets the nod, then this spot becomes a lot less appealing. Consider a pivot to Igor Shesterkin as a GPP option. Mike Smith can also be considered, and carries some risk because he may not be 100% recovered from his injury.
These lines are considered top plays for the night and can be considered the focal point of your builds. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).
Washington Capitals 1 – Evgeny Kuznetsov/Alex Ovechkin/Tom Wilson/John Carlson: The Caps have a FANTASTIC matchup tonight against the Detroit Red Wings. The Wings match the Larkin line to the opposing top line, and that sets this line up for a potentially huge night. The entire Caps lineup is in a good spot, so consider a power play mix n match with these guys. They should carry ownership, but it could be surprisingly limited since they are the late game on the slate.
Edmonton Oilers Power Play – Connor McDavid/Leon Draisaitl/Ryan Nugent-Hopkins/Zach Hyman/Tyson Barrie: The Oilers head to New Jersey to take on the Devils in the afternoon game, and that is a great spot for this unit. Stacking the power play gets you access to the top two lines, who should see the depth lines for Jersey at even strength. We all know how lethal this unit can be, and today should be no different.
These are plays that carry significantly more risk, but could pay off at low ownership. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).
New Jersey Devils 3 – Dawson Mercer/Andreas Johnsson/Janne Kuokkanen/Damon Severson: Right on the other side of the Edmonton game, we have this very intriguing matchup. This third line should take on the Draisaitl line at even strength, which sets them up very nicely. The Draisaitl line is giving up 12.78 high danger chances against per 60, while this line generates 17.26 high danger chances for per 60. Edmonton has been known to give up goals, and this line will be overlooked. From a narrative standpoint, afternoon games can get a little weird, so with Edmonton traveling East for an early game, this is a very interesting spot.
Vegas Golden Knights 2 – William Karlsson/Jonathan Marchessault/Reilly Smith/Dylan Coghlan: As mentioned earlier, the Knights are banged up. Because of this, the second line is going to have to take on the bulk of the scoring responsibility. They have a decent matchup against the Ducks, and Vegas loves playing on home ice.
Tampa Bay Lightning Power Play – Steven Stamkos/Brayden Point/Alex Killorn/Ondrej Palat/Victor Hedman: The Lightning play host to the Rangers tonight, and they should be energized with the (hopeful) return of Vasilevskiy. On top of that, losing badly to the Panthers should give them something to prove, so they could come out on fire against the Rangers. The other school of thought is that they are tired, Vas is tired and/or rusty, and they end up putting up another dud, which is exactly why they are high risk. You can definitely make a decision between the Lightning and the Rangers in this spot, but based on recent data, the Lightning edge them out a bit. Either way, this game should be high event, and it is likely that you will need some pieces from this game. Note – if Vasilevskiy does NOT go, then this spot becomes the Rangers, especially if Lagace or a different backup that isn’t Elliott gets the nod.
Honorable mentions: ANH2, WSH3, NYRPP, DET1
Center: Ross Colton ($2700) – Tampa Bay Lightning – top line value alongside Stamkos and Palat
Wing: Evgenii Dadonov ($3500) – Vegas Golden Knights – make sure he is active, but he cleared COVID protocol, and with Pacioretty out, he could move to the top line
Defense: Damon Severson ($3600) – New Jersey Devils – he has been logging heavy minutes, and at $3600, his production is plenty to pay off
Center: Ross Colton ($5000) – Tampa Bay Lightning
Wing: Tom Wilson ($5300) – Washington Capitals
Defense: Moritz Seider ($5400) – Detroit Red Wings
Leon Draisaitl – C- Edmonton Oilers
Alex Ovechkin – W – Washington Capitals
Victor Hedman – D – Tampa Bay Lightning
Laurent Brossoit – G – Vegas Golden Knights
It is NOT recommended to play cash lineups on FanDuel, as it is only a 2 game slate.
Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Jon and the NHL team will be there answering questions right up until lock! Be sure to be on the look out for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/
All line combinations are courtesy of www.dailyfaceoff.com, and the advanced rates referenced in the above article are pulled from www.naturalstattrick.com.
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