Welcome back for another installment of the Friday Night Forecheck here at Win Daily Sports! Tonight, we get a nice five game slate. It’s not too big, and not too small, and at first glance looks like a pretty good one. Good luck!
Pavel Francouz – Colorado Avalanche: The Avs head to Chicago tonight to face the Blackhawks in a game they should pretty much dominate. They have a massive implied team total and should be able to handle the Hawks. The issue is limited upside here, so he may not be the optimal for GPPs tonight.
Braden Holtby – Dallas Stars: Dallas hosts the Washington Capitals tonight, and Holtby appears to be getting the start against his old team. This is a great spot for Holtby, as the Stars are a better team at home. There should definitely be some shot upside here, and the potential for a win is very real.
Bonus GPP Goalie Pick – Cam Talbot – Minnesota Wild: The Wild head to the Big Apple tonight to take on the Rangers, who just played last night in Columbus. While the Rangers have been better on home ice of late, they could be due for a letdown, and Talbot could very well go in and steal a game from them tonight. NARRATIVE ALERT!! Talbot was the backup to Henrik Lundqvist for two years, and the Rangers are retiring Hank’s number tonight. Marc-Andre Fleury is a consideration for a VERY RISKY GPP ONLY play, against the Avalanche tonight, who could possibly be without their star center in MacKinnon. Even without him, this is a very risky play, but it makes sense given the shot upside and the fact that MAF loves showing up in weird, unlikely spots.
These lines are considered top plays for the night and can be considered the focal point of your builds. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).
Boston Bruins Power Play – Patrice Bergeron/David Pastrnak/Brad Marchand/Taylor Hall/Charlie McAvoy: The Bruins head to the desert tonight to face the lowly Coyotes and their pretty bad goalie in Scott Wedgewood. This unit is high powered, and will be facing the second worst penalty killing unit in the league tonight. It feels like a Pastrnak night, so if you want to go straight BOS2, that works in this situation as well.
Colorado Avalanche 1 – Nazem Kadri/Gabriel Landeskog/Mikko Rantanen/Cale Makar: The Avs called up a center from the AHL last night, which could indicate that Nathan MacKinnon will be out tonight, after taking a rough looking, but totally clean (THERE I SAID IT!) hit from Taylor Hall the other night. Even if Mac can’t go tonight, this is a nice play with Kadri in the top line at C. Kadri has been more than adequate replacing Mac as needed, and this line is in a great spot tonight. Make sure you keep an eye on news through the day, and if MacKinnon does go, then he goes in Kadri’s place.
These are plays that carry significantly more risk, but could pay off at low ownership. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).
Dallas Stars 1 – Roope Hintz/Jason Robertson/Joe Pavelski/Miro Heiskanen: The Stars are a much better team on home ice, and tonight they host the Capitals. This even strength matchup bodes well for the Stars, as this line should see much of the depth lines for the Caps. The Stars at home generally match the Glendening line to the opposing top line, setting up this very nice depth matchup.
Minnesota Wild 2 – Frederick Gaudreau/Matthew Boldy/Kevin Fiala/Matt Dumba: A lot of folks will be on the top Minnesota line, and for good reason. The top line looks good as well here, but this second line should be more of a focus, simply based on even strength matchup. The Wild second line should be in for some very good looks tonight, as they face mostly the second line for the Rangers.
Pittsburgh Penguins 1 – Sidney Crosby/Jake Guentzel/Bryan Rust/Kris Letang: the Penguins host the Red Wings tonight, and frankly this game could go either way. The Pens played last night, and are starting a bad goalie in Desmith. With Nedeljkovic likely starting for the Wings, expect a lot of goals tonight, giving this line an opportunity to slide under the radar with Boston and Colorado on the slate.
Detroit Red Wings 2 – Pius Suter/Tyler Bertuzzi/Robby Fabbri/Moritz Seider: The second line for the Wings has been very good recently, and tonight sets them up with a chance to continue that. The Pens loosely match their top two lines against opposing top 2 D pairings, setting this line up for plenty of chances tonight. They will likely carry little ownership, so they are a very nice target for value tonight.
Honorable Mentions: WSH2, NYRPP, MIN1
Center: Pius Suter ($3400) – Detroit Red Wings
Wing: Matt Boldy ($2500) – Minnesota Wild
Defense: Samuel Girard ($3600) – Colorado Avalanche
Center: Frederick Gaudreau ($4500) – Minnesota Wild
Wing: Craig Smith ($4000) – Boston Bruins
Defense: Esa Lindell ($4500) – Dallas Stars
Center: Nazem Kadri – Colorado Avalanche
Wing: David Pastrnak – Boston Bruins
Defense: Miro Heiskanen – Dallas Stars
Goalie: Pavel Francouz – Colorado Avalanche
Center: Nazem Kadri – Colorado Avalanche
Wing: David Pastrnak – Boston Bruins
Defense: Miro Heiskanen – Dallas Stars
Goalie: Pavel Francouz – Colorado Avalanche
Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Jon and the NHL team will be there answering questions right up until lock! Be sure to be on the look out for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/
All line combinations are courtesy of www.dailyfaceoff.com, and the advanced rates referenced in the above article are pulled from www.naturalstattrick.com.
This article focuses on 1/27 NHL Picks for both DraftKings Sportsbook and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We analyze tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so that we can gain an edge on the field at large. Full rankings for each position for both sites are available below.
Welcome back to the Hot Shot for a ten-game Thursday slate!
Full Game Odds/Totals and DraftKings Rankings can be found below as well as cash game considerations for each site.
This line seems to make the cut nearly every slate. However, given their affordable collective DraftKings price and the Panthers propensity for high total games and I guess it comes at no surprise. Tonight, we find Florida hosting the Vegas Golden Knights in one of the slate’s three 6.5 total games as of the time of writing. Their eight full line goals over the last ten games is fourth best in the NHL helping to cement their pricing status as criminal on DraftKings part.
The Penguins find themselves in quite a juicy spot later as -310 moneyline favorites as hosts to the Seattle Kraken. Phillip Gruabauer is projected to start in the opposing net and to say he has had a rough season is a bit of an understatement. All three skaters share correlation on the first power play unit with Bryan Rust my preferred individual play if just choosing one.
New York’s top line has been spitting hot fire recently and now gets to face the traveling Columbus Blue Jackets who are on the second night of a back to back. Tonight’s matchup features one of the three 6.5 total games on the night and it shouldn’t be much of a surprise which team ends up doing most of the heavy lifting in that regard.
New York Rangers (-220) at Columbus Blue Jackets (+190) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Anaheim Ducks (-130) at Montreal Canadiens (+110) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total
Carolina Hurricanes (-240) at Ottawa Senators (+195) – 6 Projected Goal Total
New Jersey Devils (+225) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-300) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Vegas Golden Knights (+140) at Florida Panthers (-160) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Los Angeles Kings (+120) at New York Islanders (-140) – 5 Projected Goal Total
Seattle Kraken (+245) at Pittsburgh Penguins (-310) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Calgary Flames (+110) at St. Louis Blues (-130) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Vancouver Canucks (+145) at Winnipeg Jets (-165) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total
Nashville Predators (+100) at Edmonton Oilers (-120) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Filip Forsberg, Andrei Svechnikov, Duncan Keith, Brayden Point or Steven Stamkos
Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/
Welcome back to Win Daily Sports’ Friday Night Forecheck! Tonight, we get a big slate for a Friday, with 8 games. The goalie situation is interesting, and this should be a higher scoring slate. It feels like it might be a little tougher, but there are definitely good spots for us to look at tonight. Good luck!
Ilya Sorokin – New York Islanders: The Islanders host the lowly Coyotes tonight, and this should be the safest pick on the board as far as goalies are concerned. If you are looking for a cash goalie, this is it, as the GPP upside is likely going to be limited.
Frederik Andersen – Carolina Hurricanes: Andersen and the Canes host the Rangers tonight, who have been pretty bad on the road recently, putting up just 2.4 goals per game over their last five road games. Andersen had a little bit of a shaky couple of games recently, but he should be due for a positive night. Shot upside should be there, as will some risk. On a slate like tonight, the targets should be goalies we trust, and Andersen is one of them.
Bonus GPP Goalie Pick – Alex Nedeljkovic: The Red Wings are hosting the Dallas Stars tonight who are on the back end of a traveling back to back. Dallas has also only scored 1.8 goals per game over their last five road games, making this an interesting spot to look at tonight. The shot volume should be decent, and there is a very real possibility for an upside win here tonight.
These lines are considered top plays for the night and can be considered the focal point of your builds. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).
New York Islanders Power Play – Matthew Barzal/Jean-Gabriel Pageau/Anders Lee/Oliver Wahlstrom/Noah Dobson: As mentioned above, the Isles are hosting the Coyotes tonight, and while they have shown some flashes of improvement lately, the Islanders should be able to shut them down. The Coyotes are bottom 5 when it comes to penalty killing, and they take a decent amount of penalties per game, so there should be ample opportunity for this unit to get on the board. Throw in the fact that Wedgewood should be in net for Arizona, and this is a fantastic play tonight.
Pittsburgh Penguins 1 – Sidney Crosby/Jake Guentzel/Bryan Rust/Kris Letang: The Penguins head to Columbus to face the Blue Jackets, who are giving up 4.8 goals against per game over their last five home games. On top of that, the Jackets just played an away game last night. This line should see the top line for most of the night, setting them up for possibly the best spot of the night.
Florida Panthers Power Play – Aleksander Barkov/Sam Reinhart/Jonathan Huberdeau/Anthony Duclair/Aaron Ekblad: This unit is in a fantastic spot as well, as they take on the Vancouver Canucks in Vancouver. The Canucks are starting a goalie who only has three NHL games under his belt, with a whopping 4.35 GAA in those three games back in 16-17. This unit should absolutely roll tonight, and they will be chalky. Barkov/Huberdeau/Ekblad is the trio you want from here if you only want 3.
These are plays that carry significantly more risk, but could pay off at low ownership. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).
Tampa Bay Lightning 2 – Anthony Cirell/Alex Killorn/Steven Stamkos: The Lightning head to Anaheim tonight for a matchup with the Ducks. At even strength, this line has a nice matchup, but Gibson is a solid goalie. That, plus the road matchup, is what makes them a higher risk play tonight.
Saint Louis Blues 3 – Robert Thomas/Brandon Saad/Jordan Kyrou/Justin Faulk: This line has been a fantastic value of late, and has a very nice matchup tonight against the Kraken. Seattle is looking like they will be rolling Joey Daccord in net tonight, who came over as a rookie from Ottawa in the expansion draft. His career GAA is 3.58, so STL is in a great spot tonight. Don’t ignore the power play unit for them either.
Chicago Blackhawks 2 – Jonathan Toews/Alex Debrincat/Dominik Kubalik: This is strictly a matchup based play, as this second line should see the likes of the top line for Minnesota tonight. This sets up a nice matchup that should afford them a bunch of opportunity.
Detroit Red Wings 2 – Pius Suter/Tyler Bertuzzi/Robby Fabbri/Moritz Seider: The Wings host the Stars tonight, and this second line has a really nice matchup against the second line for Dallas. Seider slots into the power play with Fabbri and Bertuzzi, so he is great for D man correlation. The Stars are on the back end of a traveling back to back, and giving up a whopping 4 goals against per game over their last five road games. This is a great low owned target tonight.
Honorable Mentions: TBL3, NYRPP, CBJ1, VAN1, CARPP, MINPP, STLPP
Center: Pius Suter ($3600) – Detroit Red Wings
Wing: Josh Bailey ($3500) – New York Islanders
Defense: Radko Gudas ($2700) – Florida Panthers
Center: Brayden Schenn ($4500) – St. Louis Blues
Wing: Dominik Kubalik ($4300) – Chicago Blackhawks
Defense: Robin Salo ($3600) – New York Islanders
Center: Aleksander Barkov – Florida Panthers
Wing: Bryan Rust – Pittsburgh Penguins
Defense: Moritz Seirder – Detroit Red Wings
Goalie: Ilya Sorokin – New York Islanders
Center: Aleksander Barkov – Florida Panthers
Wing: Bryan Rust – Pittsburgh Penguins
Defense: Moritz Seirder – Detroit Red Wings
Goalie: Ilya Sorokin – New York Islanders
Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Jon and the NHL team will be there answering questions right up until lock! Be sure to be on the look out for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/
All line combinations are courtesy of www.dailyfaceoff.com, and the advanced rates referenced in the above article are pulled from www.naturalstattrick.com.
This article focuses on 1/20 NHL Picks for both DraftKings Sportsbook and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We analyze tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so that we can gain an edge on the field at large. Full rankings for each position for both sites are available below.
Welcome back to the Hot Shot for a nine-game Thursday slate!
Full Game Odds/Totals and DraftKings Rankings can be found below as well as cash game considerations for each site.
The Florida/Edmonton has the highest projected total on the night at 6.5 as if the time of writing. Both Sam Bennett and Anthony Duclair are very fairly priced, giving us a high upside, low-cost method to attack this game. Over the last ten games, their ten full-line goals are good for second amongst all lines in the NHL with seven coming in their last three.
My expectation is that this will be the chalk de jour of the night with Pittsburgh a -280 favorite at home against Ottawa and this being an early game and all. This selection is less about current numbers which could certainly be better for these three and more about reputation and matchup. Of the three skaters, Bryan Rust is my favorite as an individual play due to the $1,500 or so price break from his two linemates. They all share a correlation on the Penguin’s top power-play unit.
Speaking of heavy favorites, Vegas is the biggest of the night, coming in on the money line at -360 as host to the Canadiens. Sometimes the numbers can indirectly tell us a story and when digging through recent sample sizes, one thing that popped out at me is how unlucky this line is. Over their last ten games, they lead all lines in the NHL in terms of shot attempts for including missed and blocked shots, with a who’s who list behind them such as Calgary, Boston, and Colorado’s top lines. Nonetheless, they only have four-line goals to show for it and this screams positive regression is forthcoming. Between this being a late-game and most people expecting a sleepy affair where Vegas just takes care of business, Vegas Two might be able to help us take down a tournament.
Washington Capitals (+130) at Boston Bruins (-150) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total
Dallas Stars (-175) at Buffalo Sabres (+150) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total
Columbus Blue Jackets (+105) at Philadelphia Flyers (-125) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Ottawa Senators (+220) at Pittsburgh Penguins (-280) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Winnipeg Jets (+115) at Nashville Predators (-135) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total
Florida Panthers (-150) at Edmonton Oilers (+130) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Colorado Avalanche (-190) at Los Angeles Kings (+165) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Montreal Canadiens (+280) at Vegas Golden Knights (-360) – 6 Projected Goal Total
San Jose Sharks (-105) at Seattle Kraken (-115) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total
Sam Bennett, Filip Forsberg, Bryan Rust, Erik Karlsson
Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/
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