Tuesday brings us a massive 11 game slate in the NHL, and with NBA off for the day, all eyes will be on hockey. 11 games means you don’t have to worry too much about ownership, and there will be plenty of options. Check out our top NHL DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel below. And, don’t forget to use our NHL Projection Model to fill out your lineups. Good luck!
Andrei Vasilevskiy – Tampa Bay Lightning: The Lightning host the Oilers tonight, which is usually reason to avoid a goalie spot. However, the Oilers come into Tampa on the back end of a traveling back-to-back. While there is certainly risk to this play, Vasilevskiy should see a ton of shots tonight, and Tampa has a slight advantage overall.
Vitek Vanecek – New Jersey Devils: The Devils host the Flames tonight, who are in a similar situation as the Oilers. The Flames went to OT last night on the road. The Devils should get a jump on the Flames tonight on home ice. Vanecek has been solid so far this year, and he should see a fair amount of shots, with a nice chance at a win.
Ville Husso – Detroit Red Wings: Detroit hosts Montreal tonight in a game that they should be able to win. Husso has been playing very well all year, sporting a 1.69 GAA for the year, and a fantastic 0.86 GAA over his last five starts.
Carter Hart – Philadelphia Flyers: The jury is still out on whether the Flyers will be good with Tortorella at the helm, but Torts certainly did something to help Carter Hart. He has a 1.49 GAA this season, and a 2.02 GAA over his last five. The Flyers host the Blues tonight, who have been struggling mightily. They also just played a game in Boston last night.
High Risk Goalie Pick – Logan Thompson – Vegas Golden Knights: Thompson has been very solid for the Knights this year, and he gets a road matchup with Toronto tonight. The Leafs can score, and the road matchup makes it a bit tougher for Thompson, but the shot volume will be there, so we could be talking save bonus on DraftKings.
Others to Consider: Connor Hellebuyck (WPG)., Scott Wedgewood (DAL), Martin Jones (SEA)
These NHL DFS lines are considered top plays for the night and can be considered the focal point of your builds. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).
Tampa Bay Lightning Power Play – Brayden Point/Steven Stamkos/Nikita Kucherov/Vladislav Namestnikov/Victor Hedman: The Lightning will be hosting the Oilers tonight, who, as mentioned above, are on a traveling back to back. Additionally, the Oilers have the 29th ranked penalty killing unit, putting this power play squarely in play tonight. The top two lines for Tampa are in fantastic spots tonight, so feel free to mix and match with the top six here.
Vancouver Canucks Power Play – Bo Horvat/Elias Pettersson/JT Miller/Andrei Kuzmenko/Quinn Hughes: The Canucks head to Ottawa tonight to face the Senators, which makes for a good matchup for them. Your primary focus here should be the trio of Pettersson/Kuzmenko/Hughes, but mixing and matching can work too.
These are NHL DFS plays that carry significantly more risk, but could pay off at low ownership. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).
Buffalo Sabres Power Play – Tage Thompson/Jeff Skinner/Alex Tuch/Jack Quinn/Rasmus Dahlin: The Sabres have a great power play matchup tonight against the lowly Coyotes. Expect a bunch of scoring from the Sabres tonight, which is why the power play is the way to stack it. Doing so gives you access to multiple lines.
New York Rangers 2 – Vincent Trocheck/Jimmy Vesey/Alexis Lafreniere: The Rangers moved Panarin to the top line, so this becomes a lot more risky. If, however, Panarin comes back to play on this line, it becomes a top play, as the Rangers host the Islanders tonight. Even strength line matching suggests that this line should see a whole lot of opportunity tonight.
Seattle Kraken 1 – Alex Wennberg/Oliver Bjorkstrand/Andre Burakovsky/Justin Schultz: Based on the line matching tendencies, this top line should hard match Nashville’s top line, putting them in a very nice looking spot. They should see a bunch of chances tonight, and they make for a real nice late game hammer.
Philadelphia Flyers Power Play – Kevin Hayes/Travis Konecny/Owen Tippett/Scott Laughton/Tony DeAngelo: The Flyers’ power play unit will be up against the 28th ranked St. Louis penalty kill. While the Flyers’ power play is middle of the road, they are in a very good spot.
NHL DFS Honorable Mentions: NJDPP, DET1, EDMPP, DALPP, OTT2, TOR2, VGK1, NYRPP, ARIPP
Consider these NHL DFS plays to help save you some salary in your lineups on DraftKings. Be sure to stack!
Center: Vladislav Namestnikov ($2600) – Tampa Bay Lightning
Wing: Ilya Mikheyev ($3500) – Vancouver Canucks
Defense: Justin Schultz ($3100) – Seattle Kraken
Consider these NHL DFS plays to help save you some salary in your lineups on FanDuel. Be sure to stack!
Center: Scott Laughton ($4500) – Philadelphia Flyers
Wing: JJ Peterka ($4400) – Buffalo Sabres
Defense: Esa Lindell ($3900) – Dallas Stars
Consider these NHL DFS plays for your cash lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel. Cash lineups do not need to be stacked, and it is recommended to play no more than two players from a given team.
Center: Elias Pettersson – Vancouver Canucks
Wing: Nikita Kucherov – Tampa Bay Lightning
Defense: Rasmus Dahlin – Buffalo Sabres
Goalie: Eric Comrie – Buffalo Sabres
In this section, we will highlight some NHL player props that we like for the upcoming NHL slate.
Mark Stone (VGK): over 2.5 shots on goal (+100 on DK Sportsbook)
Steven Stamkos (TBL): over 3.5 shots on goal (+100 on DK Sportsbook)
Alex Tuch (BUF): any time goal scorer (+155 on DK Sportsbook)
Elias Pettersson (VAN): any time goal scorer (+150 on DK Sportsbook)
Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Jon and the NHL team will be there answering questions right up until lock! Be sure to be on the look out for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/
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Welcome to the Week 9 edition of The Inside Look for the 2022 NFL season. This will be a data driven article and will go under the hood to see if the box scores tell the whole story about what transpired during the weekend. My goal here will be to either calm your nerves about a player that may have underperformed or cause you to rethink some of the spots you may have taken.
What a weird weekend Week 9 was. The New York Jets beat up on the intra-state rival Buffalo Bills, the demise of Aaron Rodgers continued, and the Lamar Jackson we’ve known to love may be making a comeback.
Let’s dig in to the data!
Before we dig in to individual player performances I wanted to take a moment to talk about why we focus so heavily on Targets. Targets equal opportunities and in fantasy opportunity more often than creates production. The more targets that a player gets the better chance there is that the player will return on value.
After putting in arguably the worst game of his career in Week 8, Davante Adams had a huge comeback in Week 9. He led all wide receivers this week with 17 targets and was able to catch 10 of them for 146 yards and 2 touchdowns. The 17 targets were the most he’s had since Week 1 when he also had 17. Up next for Adams and the Raiders will be a matchup against Jeff Saturday and the Indianapolis Colts.
Listen, did you know the Vikings are 7-1? A lot of that has had to do with the stellar play of Justin Jefferson. For the third time this season, Jefferson was targeted 13 times. He made the most of those 13 targets as he finished with 7 catches, 115 receiving yards, and 1 touchdown. This was the fifth time this season that Jefferson surpassed the century mark. Next week will be a tough draw for him as the Vikings will head to Buffalo to play the Bills.
This wasn’t a good weekend for running backs and targets. Not a single running back was targeted more than 9 times and none had more than 58 yards receiving. We’ll focus on Austin Ekeler here as he led the way with 9 targets. While he was able to catch 7 of them, he only went for 24 receiving yards. He was however able to convert one of them into a touchdown.
Outside of Travis Kelce, no tight end was targeted in double digits this weekend. Kelce was tied with Davante Adams this weekend for the lead in targets with 17. The 17 targets that Kelce had this weekend were by far the most he’s had this season and also the most he’s ever had in his career. He was able to catch 10 of them for 106 yards, surpassing the 100-yard mark for the third time this season. With all that being said, he’s now gone 3 consecutive games without finding the end zone. He’ll look to change that this coming weekend in a matchup vs. the Jaguars.
The combo of PJ Walker and Baker Mayfield combined to throw the ball 30 times this weekend. They relied heavily on their backs as nearly a third of all their passes went to them. Raheem Blacksheer, D’Onta Foreman, Spencer Brown, and Giovanni Ricci combined for 11 targets on Sunday. We’ll look to see if that distribution continues on Thursday night as the Panthers take on the Falcons.
If you can figure out the methodology behind who Jalen Hurts throws to on a given week, please pass the info on. This week it was his tight ends that saw the bulk of the receiving load. Of Hurts’ 26 passing this weekend, more than 40% of them went to his tight ends. Dallas Goedert led the team in targets this weekend with 9. The 8-0 Eagles can do no wrong at this point.
The Tua/Hill combo may be the most fun thing to watch this season. Nearly 65% of Tua’s 29 passes this weekend went to his wide receivers, with the bulk of those going to Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. Targets and those 2 seem to be as safe as there is in the NFL right now.
With James Robinson shipped off to the Jets, we’re starting to see what Travis Etienne can do. Over the last 4 weeks, we’ve seen his carries go from 10 to 14 to 24 to a season-high of 28. He’s also now rushed for over 100 yards in 3 consecutive weeks and has also found the end zone in all 3 of those games. He was the chalk running back this weekend and he did not disappoint! He’ll have his hands full in Week 10 against the Chiefs.
Dameon Pierce, take a bow! The rookie running back for the Texans had a career-high 27 carries this weekend. He was able to rush for a career-high 139 as well. The only thing he didn’t do right was find the end zone. The rookie has been a big part of this offense this season and that should continue in a matchup against the surprisingly solid New York Giants in Week 10.
The ‘Playbook’ as I like to call it shows a breakdown of the play splits that teams used this past weekend.
Tennessee ended up running the fewest amount of plays this weekend at 42. 70% of those plays however were runs. Between Derrick Henry and Malik Willis, the Titans ran the ball 29 times this weekend compared to just 13 pass plays. One thing we do know is that once Ryan Tannehill is back, that will like shift just a bit.
On the polar opposite end of the spectrum was the Kansas City Chiefs. They not only ran the most plays at 81, but they also threw the ball nearly 80% of the time. Patrick Mahomes threw the ball 68 times! That was a season-high by a wide margin and for the second consecutive week, Mahomes threw for over 400 yards. What a stretch that Mahomes is currently in!
Make sure to check out all of our NFL articles here.
Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!
Welcome to the Man Advantage for Monday, November 7, 2022. Tonight brings us a small, three game slate for NHL DFS with some interesting places to look. There are some pretty obvious plays tonight, so it feels like it is going to be a tough one. Make sure to keep it simple tonight, maybe play a little light, and have some fun. Good luck!
Linus Ullmark – Boston Bruins: The Bruins host the Blues tonight, who have been pretty bad early on. The Blues have lost five straight coming into tonight, and it doesn’t get any easier having to face the Bruins. Ullmark has had his ups and downs, but tonight he feels like a safe play.
Stuart Skinner – Edmonton Oilers: The Oilers head to Washington tonight to face the depleted Capitals. Skinner has the best GAA on the slate tonight, at 1.84, and the Capitals will be without their top D man in Carlson. This feels like a pretty good spot for the Oilers.
High Risk Goalie Pick – Ilya Sorokin – New York Islanders: The Flames and Islanders game could see a bunch of scoring, which makes this play risky right off the bat. However, Sorokin has very good looking numbers of late, and he should see a decent amount of shots.
These NHL DFS lines are considered top plays for the night and can be considered the focal point of your builds. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).
Edmonton Oilers Power Play – Connor McDavid/Leon Draisaitl/Evander Kane/Ryan Nugent-Hopkins/Tyson Barrie: As mentioned above, the Capitals are pretty depleted, having Carlson out on D, and potentially even Orlov. If that happens, you will want as much Edmonton as you can get. Mix and match with this unit, but prioritize McDavid and/or Draisaitl.
Boston Bruins Power Play – Patrice Bergeron/Brad Marchand/David Pastrnak/Jake Debrusk/Hampus Lindholm: The Bs appear to be in a very, very good spot tonight against the Blues, and it is a true coinflip for which of these top plays comes out as the best.
These are NHL DFS plays that carry significantly more risk, but could pay off at low ownership. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).
Boston Bruins 2 – David Krejci/David Pastrnak/Taylor Hall/Matt Grzelcyk: To get a little different, you can run this line out tonight. They are in a great spot at even strength, and all but Pasta correlate on the second power play unit.
Calgary Flames 2 – Nazem Kadri/Dillon Dube/Andrew Mangiapane/Noah Hanifin: This is another good even strength spot, and there should be some goals scored in this game. The top Calgary line can be considered, but this one is doing far more damage.
New York Islanders 3 – Jean-Gabriel Pageau/Kyler Palmieri/Zach Parise/Ryan Pulock: This third line should see the top Calgary line for a good portion of the night, putting them in a plus matchup. Palmieri has been kind of on a tear recently, so this look is very intriguing.
NHL DFS Honorable Mentions: STL1, CGY1
Consider these NHL DFS plays to help save you some salary in your lineups on DraftKings. Be sure to stack!
Center: Jean-Gabriel Pageau ($3100) – New York Islanders
Wing: Andrew Mangiapane ($3100) – Calgary Flames
Defense: Erik Gustafsson ($2600) – Washington Capitals
Consider these NHL DFS plays to help save you some salary in your lineups on FanDuel. Be sure to stack!
Center: Jean-Gabriel Pageau ($4900) – New York Islanders
Wing: Dillon Duber ($4200) – Calgary Flames
Defense: Erik Gustafsson ($3700) – Washington Capitals
In this section, we will highlight some NHL player props that we like for the upcoming NHL slate.
Leon Draisaitl (EDM): over 3.5 shots on goal (+135 on DK Sportsbook)
Kyle Palmieri (NYI): anytime goal scorer (+350 on DK Sportsbook)
Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Jon and the NHL team will be there answering questions right up until lock! Be sure to be on the look out for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/
Sign up and get started with Win Daily Sports! We have your sport and the experts to help make you money. Why lose another buck when you can win TODAY!
We have a tiny three-game Sunday slate, but this will allow us to hone in and stick to a couple of lines. Aside from reading the article, don’t forget to check out our NHL DFS Projection Model which is available every morning.
*All odds and player pricing below have been obtained from DraftKings and are accurate as of the time of writing*
Toronto Maple Leafs (+135) at Carolina Hurricanes (-155) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Detroit Red Wings (+195) at New York Rangers (-230) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Florida Panthers (-205) at Anaheim Ducks (+175) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
In terms of SATF, the New York Rangers are tearing up the charts thus far this season.
It’s peripheral stats like these that help us determine future scoring to the best of our ability. Given the two options the Rangers offer, let’s roll with the league leaders in SATF, NYR Two. They will be facing an absolute trash can in the opposing net, in the form of Alex Nedeljkovic and his 4.96 GAA. With Detroit on a back-to-back, the Wings will likely be clipped here by the Rangers. Although I’m rolling with the second line, the top line is certainly in play as well.
The Ducks have been getting smashed recently. The problem with Florida is that a lot of the production is spread throughout their lines, rather than concentrated. That said, the talent on the top line has finally been shining through a bit. They are currently tied with many others lines for sixth in the NHL in scoring. Speaking of trash cans in goal, with a GAA of 4.58 John Gibson looks like he’s certainly seen better days.
New York Rangers One – Mika Zibanejad “$8,400”, Chris Kreider “$6,300”, Kappo Kakko “$3,700”
Florida Two – Sam Bennett “$4,800”, Sam Reinhart “$4,500”, Rudolfs Balcers “$2,700” VALUE LINE
Brent Burns – Carolina – $6,000 – Burnsy is having a career renaissance finally free of San Jose and their losing ways. He has had double-digit DraftKings points in all games this season except two. You could pay an extra $800 for Brandon Montour in a better spot. However, using a Carolina defender allows us some third-team exposure in addition to saving a little bit of salary.
Brett Pesce – Carolina – $3,400 – Not off to the greatest start with only three assists across 11 games. However, Pesce’s due for offensive regression given his usual standards plus cheap.
Igor Shesterskin – New York Rangers – $8,400 – The most talented goaltender on the slate also playing for the slate’s largest favorite.
Frederick Andersen – Carolina – $8,200 – Almost here by default as this is not the slate to go dumpster diving and Spencer Knight is blah. He should face some decent shot volume and there of course is the revenge narrative in play.
Florida Panthers 60 Min Line (-140) – DraftKings – 1 Unit – Seems like Florida might be too much to handle for a struggling John Gibson and company. We also get shorter odds here than for the Rangers against Detroit.
Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! He is not very difficult to find on Discord with the username Rich Masana. Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/
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